Olig-1 ©2006 Chas. J. Goetz Oligopoly: Competition Among the Few Return u The Bertrand Oligopoly...

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olig- olig-1 ©2006 Chas. J. Goetz Oligopoly: Competition Among the Few Oligopoly: Competition Among the Few Return The Bertrand Oligopoly Model The Bertrand Oligopoly Model Other Oligopoly Models Other Oligopoly Models The Cournot Oligopoly Model The Cournot Oligopoly Model Assumptions for a “Hypothetical” Assumptions for a “Hypothetical”

Transcript of Olig-1 ©2006 Chas. J. Goetz Oligopoly: Competition Among the Few Return u The Bertrand Oligopoly...

Page 1: Olig-1 ©2006 Chas. J. Goetz Oligopoly: Competition Among the Few Return u The Bertrand Oligopoly Model The Bertrand Oligopoly Model The Bertrand Oligopoly.

olig-olig-11©2006 Chas. J. Goetz

Oligopoly: Competition Among the FewOligopoly: Competition Among the Few

Return

The Bertrand Oligopoly ModelThe Bertrand Oligopoly Model

Other Oligopoly ModelsOther Oligopoly Models

The Cournot Oligopoly ModelThe Cournot Oligopoly Model

Assumptions for a “Hypothetical”Assumptions for a “Hypothetical”

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Hypothetical Facts and Monopoly ResultHypothetical Facts and Monopoly Result

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P = 950 - Q

MC = 50MC = 50

Monopoly Price = 500Monopoly Price = 500

MR

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Monopolist’s Profit-maximizing OutputMonopolist’s Profit-maximizing Output

445 505 60 224,725 22,250 202,475446 504 58 224,784 22,300 202,484447 503 56 224,841 22,350 202,491448 502 54 224,896 22,400 202,496449 501 52 224,949 22,450 202,499450 500 50 225,000 22,500 202,500451 499 48 225,049 22,550 202,499452 498 46 225,096 22,600 202,496453 497 44 225,141 22,650 202,491454 496 42 225,184 22,700 202,484455 495 40 225,225 22,750 202,475456 494 38 225,264 22,800 202,464457 493 36 225,301 22,850 202,451458 492 34 225,336 22,900 202,436459 491 32 225,369 22,950 202,419460 490 30 225,400 23,000 202,400

Q P MR Rev Tcost Profit

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]]

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The Cournot Oligopoly ModelThe Cournot Oligopoly Model

Who (or What) Is “Cournot”?Who (or What) Is “Cournot”?

Premises of the Cournot ModelPremises of the Cournot Model

Mathematical Cournot ModelMathematical Cournot Model

A Topographical Cournot ModelA Topographical Cournot Model

Deriving the Reaction CurvesDeriving the Reaction Curves

The “Solution” of the ModelThe “Solution” of the Model

Efficiency Properties: The Well RevisitedEfficiency Properties: The Well Revisited

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Hypothetical Facts and Monopoly ResultHypothetical Facts and Monopoly Result

Return0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900

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Monopoly Price = 500Monopoly Price = 500

MR

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olig-7© 2006, Chas. J. Goetz

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Regardez le Croix

d’Honneur

Recherches sur les Principes Mathématiques

de la Théorie des Richesses

(1838)

Antoine Augustin CournotAntoine Augustin Cournot (1801-1877) (1801-1877)

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Premises of Cournot Oligopoly ModelPremises of Cournot Oligopoly Model

A few firms produce goods that are either perfect substitutes (homogeneous) or imperfect substitutes (differentiated).

Firms set output, as opposed to price. The market sets price where demand equals the amount supplied.

Each firm believes its rivals will hold output constant if it changes its own output.

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Mathematical Approach Mathematical Approach • p = a-bQ• c(q) = cq , constant marginal cost

• Firm i’s profit : (a-b(q-i +qi))qi - cqi

• FOC: a-bq-i -2bqi - c = 0

• qi = (a-bq-i - c)/2b = R(q-i), i’s reaction• Cournot Equilibrium: qi = R(q-i) for all i.

• n equations in n unknowns.

• But all firms are alike, use symmetry: qi=q

• Reaction: q = (a-b(n-1)q - c)/2b • q = (a -c)/b(n+1) • Q = (a-c)/b n/(n+1) (a-c)/b as n . Competitive outcome!

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Mathematical Approach Mathematical Approach PreferrersPreferrers

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Profits of Firm #1 – 3D ViewProfits of Firm #1 – 3D View

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Profits of Firm #1 – 3D View, FilledProfits of Firm #1 – 3D View, Filled

Bird’s Eye View

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Profits of Firm #1 – Birds-eye View, FilledProfits of Firm #1 – Birds-eye View, Filled

Unfilled Topographic

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Profits of Firm #1 – Birds-eye View, UnfilledProfits of Firm #1 – Birds-eye View, Unfilled

Firm #2

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Profits of Firm #2 – 3D ViewProfits of Firm #2 – 3D View

Bird’s Eye View3D Firm #1

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Profits of Firm #2 – Birds-eye ViewProfits of Firm #2 – Birds-eye View

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Unfilled Topographic

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Profits of Firm #2 – Birds-eye View, UnfilledProfits of Firm #2 – Birds-eye View, Unfilled

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Reaction CurvesReaction Curves

Economists often use “Reaction Curves.” Where did we see this before?

In the Cournot case, the reaction curve for one firm plots its output decisions against various outputs for the other firm(s).

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Profits of Firm #2 – Birds-eye View, UnfilledProfits of Firm #2 – Birds-eye View, Unfilled

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Deriving Firm #2’s Reaction CurveDeriving Firm #2’s Reaction Curve

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Deriving Firm #1’s Reaction CurveDeriving Firm #1’s Reaction Curve

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Summary: Reaction FunctionsSummary: Reaction Functions

Firm 1’s reaction (or best-response) function indicates the amount of Q1 that firm 1 should produce in order to maximize its profits for each possible quantity of Q2 produced by firm 2.

Since the products of the two firms are substitutes, an increase in firm 2’s output leads to a decrease in the profit-maximizing amount of firm 1’s product.

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Intersection of Reaction CurvesIntersection of Reaction Curves

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Adjustments Toward Equilibrium When Firm Two EntersAdjustments Toward Equilibrium When Firm Two Enters

Firm #1’s Best-Reaction Curve

Firm #1’s Best-Reaction Curve

Firm #2’s B

est-Reaction C

urve

Firm #2’s B

est-Reaction C

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Redo

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Stable Equilibrium, Expectations ConfirmedStable Equilibrium, Expectations Confirmed

Summary

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Cournot EquilibriumCournot Equilibrium

Situation where each firm produces the output that maximizes its profits, given the the output of rival firms

No firm can gain by unilaterally changing its own output

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QuestionsQuestions

Is the Cournot Equilibrium also a Nash Equilibrium?

Is the Cournot Equilibrium an efficient result for the firms?

Nash Equilibrium

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Nash EquilibriumNash Equilibrium

this result involves output combinations at which the profits of each firm are maximized, given its expectations about output from the other firm(s);

and the outputs expected by all firms are indeed being produced by the other firm(s). That is, the expectations are validated by experience.

The intersection of the reaction curves corresponds to a Nash equilibrium because

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But . . .But . . .

A Nash Equilibrium is not A Nash Equilibrium is not always an “efficient” result always an “efficient” result

for the players.for the players.

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Area to be Area to be “Zoomed”“Zoomed”

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Simplified

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78.878.8 90.090.0

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Simplified Diagram Showing Cournot EquilibriumSimplified Diagram Showing Cournot Equilibrium

Analogue

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78.878.8 90.090.0

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Well Problem

Similar to the “Well Problem”Similar to the “Well Problem”

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Cournot vs. Collusive ResultCournot vs. Collusive Result

Q2

Q1

Equilibrium?

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Collusive Result Unstable?Collusive Result Unstable?

Q2

Q1

Monopoly Result

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Nash EquilibriumNash Equilibrium

A Nash equilibrium is a set of strategies, one for each player, such that no player has an incentive to unilaterally unilaterally change her action. Players are in equilibrium if a change in strategies by any one of them would lead that player to earn less than if she remained with her current strategy.

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