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Transcript of Oil Search Profile · Oil Search Profile 2 Tunisia Iraq Yemen Papua New Guinea Australia Brisbane...
O I L S E A R C H L I M I T E D
1
Citi’s 4th Australian Investment Conference 24 October 2012
Oil Search Profile
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TunisiaIraq
Yemen
Papua New Guinea
Australia Brisbane
Sydney
Port Moresby
(Head Office)
Kutubu Ridge Camp
Dubai
Sana’a
TunisSulaymaniyah
Established in Papua New Guinea (PNG) in 1929
Market capitalisation ~US$10 billion
Listed on ASX (Share Code OSH) and POMSOX, plus ADR programme (Share Code OISHY)
Operates all PNG’s currently producing oil and gas fields
PNG Government is largest shareholder with 15%. Exchangeable bond over shares issued to IPIC of Abu Dhabi
29% interest in PNG LNG Project, world scale LNG project operated by ExxonMobil
Exploration interests in PNG, Middle East/North Africa
Key Oil and Gas Fields, PNG
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Kumul Terminal
PorgoraGold Mine
7°S
Juha
Moran
Agogo
Mananda 5
PRL08
PRL11
PDL7
PDL2
PDL4PDL3
PRL09
PDL6
PDL5
PRL14
260
233
PDL9PDL8
Moro Airport
Flinders
6°S
8°S
9°S
PRL01
PPL234
PRL10
PPL244
Kiunga
Kundiawa
Mt. Hagan
Mendi
Kerema
Barikewa
Pandora
SE Mananda
Uramu
P’nyang
Madang
Daru
Wabag
PPL276
PPL338
338
338
338
PPL339
339
339
339
PPL339
339
PPL312 339 339
PPL260
Lae
145°E 146°E144°E143°E 147°E
Kimu
PRL3
PPL385
Kopi ScraperStation
142°E141°E
Kopi Wharf
PPL219
PNG LNG ProjectNew Facilities
PNG LNG ProjectGas Resources
Non PNG LNG Gas Resources
ExplorationGas Resources
Elk/Antelope
PPL277
Goroka
Oil Field
Gas Field
Oil Pipeline
PNG LNGGas Pipeline
OSH Facility
PNG LNG Project Facility
Major Road
100km
Prospect
Gobe Main
Kutubu
PRL02
HidesConditioning Plant
& Komo Airfield
Proposed JuhaFacility
Hides
PDL1
Angore
LNG Facility
Port Moresby
SE Gobe
233
Tagari
OSH in Significant Growth Phase
Top quartile performer for past six years
Significant growth opportunities identified, capable of driving future value
Largest ever development, appraisal and exploration programme now underway
Series of catalysts over next 18 months, with drilling results progressively delivered
Activities supported by steady production, strong cash flows and healthy balance sheet
4
Strategy Delivery Underway
Delivery of initiatives from 2010/11 Strategic Review on track: PNG LNG Project in full construction, on track for 2014 LNG sales
Resource definition for LNG growth making good progress:P’nyang South discovery
Hides drilling commenced
Highlands exploration ongoing
PNG Gulf drilling to commence early 2013
Oil upside in PNG and overseas being tested: Increased rig capacity in PNG, Mananda 6 to be drilled in 1Q13
Taza exploration well in Kurdistan underway, Semda in Tunisia to follow
Active programmes to address operating risks
Balance sheet strength, with optimisation of debt structure
Success in initiatives should enable continued top quartile TSR performance
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Strong Share Price Performance
6
• Significant share price growth:o Jan 2007 to date +128.4% (ASX100 = -18.1%)o Jan 2012 to date +22.4% (ASX100 = +13.1%)
• Key future share price drivers:o PNG LNG progresso Train 3 expansion statuso Gulf of Papua exploration / resource aggregation o Other international growth
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3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Jan‐07 Jul‐07 Jan‐08 Jul‐08 Jan‐09 Jul‐09 Jan‐10 Jul‐10 Jan‐11 Jul‐11 Jan‐12 Jul‐12
Woodside
Santos
ASX 100
Brent
Oil Search
Share price (rebased to OSH)
Beach
PNG LNG Project Overview
7Port Moresby
7°S
145°E
Kutubu CPF
146°E144°E143°E
6°S
8°S
GorokaKundiawa
Mt. Hagan
Mendi
Kerema
Daru
Wabag
Lae
Offshore pipeline
Onshore pipelineand Infrastructure
Gobe PF
Kopi Wharf
LNG Facility
Juha Facility
Komo Airfield
Hides Gas Conditioning Plant
Kumul Terminal
142°E
9°S
Oil Field
Gas Field
Oil Pipeline
PNG LNGGas Pipeline
OSH Facility
PNG LNG Project Facility
Major Road
100km
Juha
Moran
Agogo
Gobe Main
Kutubu
Hides Angore
PNG LNG Project Overview
6.6 MTPA, 2 train development, operated by ExxonMobil
Over its 30-year life, PNG LNG expected to produce more than 9 tcfof gas and 200+ million barrels of associated liquids
Initial Equities: ExxonMobil 33.2%
Oil Search 29.0%
National Petroleum Company of PNG (PNG Govt) 16.8%
Santos 13.5%
Nippon Oil 4.7%
MRDC (PNG Landowners) 2.8%
Fully contracted to Asian buyers, with continuing strong market interest
Sinopec (China) ~2.0 MTPA
TEPCO (Japan) ~1.8 MTPA
Osaka Gas (Japan) ~1.5 MTPA
CPC (Taiwan) ~1.2 MTPA888
PNG LNG Project Overview
Main EPC contractors:LNG Plant: Chiyoda/JGCOffshore Pipeline SaipemHides Gas Plant CBI/Clough JVOnshore Pipeline SpiecapagInfrastructure McConnell Dowell/CCC JVEarly Works Clough/Curtain JVAssociated Gas (OSH only) Jacobs
Different labour environment to Australian LNG projects. Workforce of ~17,600 including 8,500 PNG nationals, plus many other different nationalities
First LNG sales on track for 2014, capital cost US$15.7 billion
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Milestones achieved in 2012
Completed 407 kilometre offshore pipelay
Commenced installation of pipe racks and vessels on both LNG process trains. Completed LNG tank shells and roofs and jetty trestle
Onshore pipeline completed to Kutubu
Good progress on Komo airfield, Antonovcontract awarded
HGCP process area handed over to construction contractor
Hides development drilling commenced
Completed first phase of PL 2 Life Extension Project
Associated Gas (AG) Project: First gas drying unit (TEG) operational, performance testing of commissioning gas unit (CGU)
Good progress towards Operator’s planned start-up window in 2014
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11
Focus Areas for 2012/13
Komo and HGCP work-front productivity post recent bad weather/flooding
Continued progress on onshore pipeline through challenging terrain and social environment
Development drilling at Hides
AG: Complete commissioning gas availability from Kutubu, finalise Gobe construction and Kumul works
Following uneventful election process, engage with new Government on benefits delivery structures
Progress towards Operator’s planned start-up window in 2014
Hides Development and Appraisal Drilling
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Hides Nogoli Camp
GTE PL 1 Hides GTE Plant
PDL 1 – Hides Field8 New Production Wells
Drilling 2012+
PDL 7 – South Hides
Hides Gas Conditioning PlantConstruction 2012/13
PDL 8 – Angore Field2 New Wells
10km Komo Airstrip
PNG LNG development drilling programme commenced in July with Rig 702 Second rig, Rig 703, on site and expected to start drilling shortlyProduced Water Disposal (PWD) well to be drilled in 2013. Will target water leg and provide important data on gas water contact and potential gas resource upside
Timetable
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FinancialClose
» Complete pipe lay» Ongoing drilling» Complete Hides plant» Commission LNG plant
with Kutubu gas
» Ongoing procurement and mobilisation
» Airfield construction» Drilling mobilisation» Start offshore pipeline
construction » Onshore line clearing
and laying» Start LNG equipment
installation
» Continued early works» Detailed design» Order long leads and
place purchase orders» Open supply routes» Contractor mobilisation» Commence AG
construction
First Gas from Train 1,
then Train 2
» Continue onshore pipe lay
» Complete offshore pipe lay
» Start Hides plant installation
» Start Hides drilling» Complete key AG
items
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
PNG LNG – Trains 1 & 2, Storage Tanks
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PNG LNG –Installation of Amine Absorber, T2
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PNG LNG – Export Jetty
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PNG LNG –Offshore and Onshore Pipelines
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Offshore pipeline (completed)
Onshore pipelineOnshore pipeline welding
PNG LNG - AG Projects
18
TEG Dehydration Unit installation
New CALM Buoy at Kumul
Upgrade of Kumul Marine Terminal
PNG LNG –Hides Gas Conditioning Plant
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PNG LNG – Rig 702
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PNG LNG – Komo Airfield
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Growing PNG Gas Business:Key Strategic Priority
Pursuing two-pronged LNG expansion strategy for PNG gas growth:
Potential PNG LNG Expansion: Highlands /onshore resources close to PNG LNG infrastructure
PNG Gulf of Papua LNG: Explore for gas to support new LNG hub. Other options include floating LNG or integration with existing infrastructure
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Kumul Terminal
7°S
PRL08
PRL11
PDL7
PDL2
PDL4PDL3
PRL09
PDL6
PDL5
PRL14
260
233
PDL9PDL8
233
6°S
8°S
9°S
PRL01
PPL234
PRL10
PPL244
Mt. Hagan
Mendi
Kerema
Daru
Wabag
PPL276
PPL338
338
338
338
PPL339
339
339
339
PPL339
339
PPL312 339
PPL260
145°E 146°E144°E143°E
PRL3
PPL385
142°E
PPL219
PNG LNG ProjectGas Resources
Non PNG LNG Gas Resources
ExplorationGas Resources
PPL277
100km
PRL02
PDL1
Juha
Moran
Agogo
Flinders
Tagari
Pandora
Uramu
P’nyang
Gobe MainKutubu
Hides GasConditioning Plant
& Komo Airfield
Hides Angore
SE Gobe Elk/Antelope
Juha North
PNG LNG Expansion
Gulf - potentialnew LNG hub
2012 3D Seismic Region
2011 3D Seismic Regions
P’nyang South
P’nyang South 1 and ST1 discovered ~380 metre gas zone in southern fault block in PRL 3, with additional up-dip potential to >650 metres
Result materially increases total estimated 2C gas resources in P’nyang field
Potential key underpinning volume for LNG expansion, particularly together with gas reserves upside in AG fields
Now in pre-FEED concept selection stage, preliminary studies on potential design concepts and costs underway
PRL 3: ExxonMobil 49%, Oil Search 38.5%, JX Holdings 12.5%
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P’nyang 1X
P’nyang South 1
P’nyang 2X
ST1
P’nyang 1XP’nyang South 1 & ST1
Toro
SW NE
6°S
144°E
Hides
Kutubu
Gobe
Moran
Agogo
Juha
Angore
P’nyangSouth
10km0
100km
Highlands Drilling
First exploration well in programme, Trapia 1, unsuccessful, but other prospects and leads, on trend with Angore, remain prospective
2D seismic programme being undertaken to further mature Tagari and NW Angore leads:
Phase 1 – 30 km completed 2Q12
Phase 2 – 120 km recently commenced
Acquiring interest in adjacent licence, PPL 277, 50:50 with ExxonMobil (subject to Ministerial approval)
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6°S
8°S
144°E142°E
Hides
Kutubu
Gobe
Moran
Agogo
Juha
Angore
P’nyang
Tagari
Huria
NW Angore
Tagari
Trapia 1
2012 Seismic
10km 100km
OSH holds equity positions in nine licences (recent offer of PPL 385) in PNG Gulf area
Significant resource potential identified in proven hydrocarbon (gas & condensate) province:
Major offshore 3D seismic survey acquired in 2011 & additional 3D in 2012
Over 30 opportunities across multiple play types
Range in size from 0.5 - 1.5 tcf
Unexplored potential in large onshore licence areas adjoining InterOil exploration acreage
Stena Clyde semi sub due on-site early 2013 to drill up to 4 offshore wells
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Recently announced farm-down to TOTAL:Will hold equal interests in five licences – PPLs 234, 244, 338 & 339 and PRL 10
Transaction terms include firm and contingent components
Have also formed strategic partnership to look at other licences in PNG
Culmination of competitively bid selection process
Gulf of Papua Expansion Opportunity
Port Moresby145°E 146°E144°E
8°S
9°S
Kerema
LNG Facility
Kumul Terminal
Elk/Antelope
Pandora
2011 3D Seismic Regions
2D Seismic 2011 Lines
Uramu
2012 3D Seismic Region 2011 3D
Seismic Regions
2D Seismic 2011 Lines
100km
Flinders
Hagana
Tadiva
Kidukidu
Offshore Leads and Prospects
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Dima
Chauka
Oil Appraisal - Mananda 6
90 km 2D seismic programme over Mananda 5 discovery completed in 2Q12
Interpretation of seismic has confirmed structure
Appraisal well, Mananda 6, planned for 1Q13
PPL 219: Oil Search 71.25%, JX Holdings 28.75%
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SE MANANDA
MORAN
AGOGO
Mananda 5
2012 Seismic
Testing Mananda 5 – 1Q11
Mananda 6Proposed Location
5km
MENA Exploration
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Kurdistan: Taza-1
Taza-1 well spudded early JulyOil and gas shows encountered, expected to drill into primary objective and reach its target depth by end October
Large structure, simple 4-way dip closure, with potential for 250-500 mmbbls
Target structure sits in very prospective location on-trend and adjacent to existing fields
Taza PSC: Oil Search 60%, Total 20% (following ShaMaran sale), KRG 20% back-in
2929
Sarqala discovery9600bpod
Jambur~800 mmbbl
Khor Mor2-3tcf
Taza
Qamar~200 mmbbl
Kurdamir~400mmboe
Kurdistan Operating Environment
Kurdistan attracting significant global attention:
Recent entrants include Chevron, Total, ExxonMobil, Gazprom, Genel
KRG building closer ties to Turkey, providing long term alternative export route
Current production is 150,000 bopd (100,000 export), expected to rise to 300,000 bopd in 2013:
Export oil either trucked or transported through Kirkuk –Ceyhan Pipeline
Strong local market, priced at discount
If successful, Taza development options are initial 5 – 15,000 bopd Extended Well Test within 12 months of discovery, upsizing to 40-60,000 bopd 2-3 years later
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Taza-1
XOM – 6 Blocks (shown in red)
Total – 2 Blocks from Marathon
Gazprom– 2 Blocks
Chevron – 2 blocks from Reliance
Genel – 8 Blocks
Total – 2 Blocks from Marathon
Chevron – 2 Blocks from Reliance
Gazprom– 2 Blocks
Tunisia: Tajerouine Permit
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Semda-1 exploration well to spud late 2012Targeting proven oil plays and new deep gas play Potential for >150 mmbbls oil and >400 bcf gasExcellent PSC termsAdditional follow-on potential if Semdasuccessful Tajerouine: Oil Search 100%
Semda
Semda-1 Location
Activities Underpinned by Profitable Oil Production
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(Forecast)
9
0
1
10
3
2
5
7
8
6
4
Hides GTESE ManandaSE Gobe
Gobe MainMoranKutubu
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
7.668.12
6.2-6.76.69
2012/13 Development & Near-Field Appraisal Drilling Activity
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PRL08
PRL11
PDL7
PDL1
PPL233
PPL219
PRL02
PDL2
PDL5PDL6
PRL09
PRL14
PPL260
PDL4
PDL3
PDL4
PDL7
Juha
Hides
SE Mananda
Barikewa
Kimu
Cobra
Iehi
PPL233
6°S
143°E 144°E
7°S
Mananda 5
PPL277
PDL8
PDL9
PRL11
Angore
Oil Field
Gas Field
Oil Pipeline
PNG LNGGas Pipeline
OSH Facility
PNG LNG Project Facility
Major Road
40km
Prospect
Usano:2012 : 1 workover2013 : 1 well
Kutubu:2012 : 3 workovers2013 : ± 1 well, 3 workovers
Agogo:2012 : 1 well, 2 workovers2013 : 1-2 wells
Moran:2012 : 1 well2013 : 1 well, ± 1 workover
SE Gobe:2012 : 2 well interventions2013 : ± 1-2 workovers
Gobe Main:2013 : ± 1-2 workovers
2012 Production Outlook
Production to end September of 4.6 mmboe Production for 2012 full year expected to be within previous guidance of 6.2 – 6.7 mmboe. Significant contributions from successful 2011 and 2012 wells and workovers, offset by:
Precautionary shutdown of Kumul loading operations in July/August.Impact ~0.4 mmbbls, including delay in reinstating full production
Major flooding - impact on logistical and operational activities
Natural decline
Two week Gobe shutdown for tie-in of PNG LNG Associated Gas facilities in October
Two development wells being spudded in 4Q12, will help maintain production out to first LNG broadly flat
Continued focus on maturing near-field portfolio and appraising new pools identified following recent success
Rig 103 being mobilised back to Kutubu/Moran to provide optionality to pursue exploration and appraisal opportunities without potential adverse impact on development programme
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Treasury Update
US$573 million in cash at end September. Cash invested and actively managed with highly rated bank counterparties
Refinancing of existing corporate facility concluded with bank syndicate, awaiting Bank of PNG approvals. US$500m five year, non amortising revolving facility
Issue was oversubscribed with strong support from banks. New facility secures funding to past first cash flows from PNG LNG
No oil hedging undertaken during YTD12 or currently in place
US$2.63 billion drawn down under PNG LNG project finance facility at end September
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PNG Operating Environment
PNG general election went smoothly
Expect period of stability under newly elected Government led by Prime Minister Peter O’Neill
History of constructive dialogue between industry and Government to manage issues and expectations expected to continue
Key areas of focus remain:Improving benefits distribution system, transparency and service delivery
Providing support to PNG Government bodies, where appropriate
Continue working with Government and community to manage and mitigate operating and investment risks:
Oil Search Health Foundation fully operational
Ongoing community programmes
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PNG LNG TransformsProduction Outlook
37
25Net Production (mmboe)
0
5
10
15
20
MENAHides GTESE ManandaSE GobeGobe MainMoranKutubu
(Forecast)
2008 2009
8.607.66
2010
8.12
2011 2012 2013
6.69
2014 2015 2016 20182017
6.2-6.7
2019 2020 20222021
PNG LNG T1/2start-up
Conclusion
Oil Search very well placed to generate ongoing value growth
First PNG LNG Project sales on schedule for 2014
Increasing probability of LNG expansion following gas drilling success
Ongoing programme to further expand gas resources
High potential oil drilling underway
Activities underwritten by strong cash flows, solid balance sheet and new funding facility
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O I L S E A R C H L I M I T E D
DISCLAIMER
While every effort is made to provide accurate and complete information, Oil Search Limited does not warrant that the information in this presentation is free from errors or omissions or is suitable for its intended use. Subject to any terms implied by law which cannot be excluded, Oil Search Limited accepts no responsibility for any loss, damage, cost or expense (whether direct or indirect) incurred by you as a result of any error, omission or misrepresentation in information in this presentation. All information in this presentation is subject to change without notice.
This presentation also contains forward-looking statements which are subject to particular risks associated with the oil and gas industry. Oil Search Limited believes there are reasonable grounds for the expectations on which the statements are based. However actual outcomes could differ materially due to a range of factors including oil and gas prices, demand for oil, currency fluctuations, drilling results, field performance, the timing of well work-overs and field development, reserves depletion, progress on gas commercialisation and fiscal and other government issues and approvals.
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