Ohio River Basin Trading Program: Quarterly Update May 19 ... Quarterly... · Interstate MOU in...

Ohio River Basin Trading Program: Quarterly Update

May 19, 2010Public Webcast

Jessica FoxProject [email protected]

2© 2010 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Webcast Recording Details

Webcast Recording URL:https://www.livemeeting.com/cc/epripremier/view

Recording ID: TradingQ210


Project Highlights

Last Webcast:• Update on National Credit Stacking Study• Forming Steering Committees• Update on Watershed Modeling• Collaborator In the Spotlight: American Electric Power• EPRI Complementary Project: Developing GHG Offsets on Farms

This Webcast:• Program Organizational Structure• Stakeholder Engagement Update• Interstate MOU• MOU Executed with USDA & EPA: Ecosystem Services• Atmospheric Deposition: Linking Air Quality and Watershed Models


Project Collaboration

Electric Power Research Institute

American Electric Power

American Farmland Trust

Ohio Farm Bureau

Hoosier Energy

Hunton & Williams

Kieser & Associates

Miami Conservancy District

ORSANCO

Tennessee Valley Authority

Duke Energy

EPA

USDA


Project Area


Project Vision

Previous: To establish water quality trading as an economically, socially, and ecologically palatable option for improving the outlook of polluted waters in the Ohio River Basin.

Revised (Draft): To improve water quality by establishing water quality trading as an economically, socially, and ecologically viable approach in the Ohio River Basin.


Polling Question:

The draft vision statement resonates with me and I will be interested in engaging with (tracking, participating, supporting) this effort.

16%

84%

Yes (41)

No (0)

Somew hat (8)


Organization Structure - Draft

Legal CounselLegal

Counsel

*(Minimum of one member of each subcommittee + collaborators) 1 MCD participation

Trading Program Governance/

Policy Committee*1

Trading Program Governance/

Policy Committee*1

Technical Committee*1Technical

Committee*1Stakeholder Steering

Committee*

Stakeholder Steering

Committee*

Power Industry/ Other Private Sector

Discharger Subcommittee

(EPRI)

Power Industry/ Other Private Sector

Discharger Subcommittee

(EPRI)

Municipal Point Sources

Subcommittee

(ORSANCO)

Municipal Point Sources

Subcommittee

(ORSANCO)

Environmental/ Conservation Group

Subcommittee

(EPRI)

Environmental/ Conservation Group

Subcommittee

(EPRI)

Project Communications Committee

(Collaborators, ORB, National Interests)

Project Communications Committee

(Collaborators, ORB, National Interests)

Agricultural Subcommittee

(AFT)

Agricultural Subcommittee

(AFT)

Project Team CollaboratorsProject Team Collaborators

Regulators (States, EPA, ORB, others) Subcommittee

Regulators (States, EPA, ORB, others) Subcommittee

Polling Question


Polling Question:

The draft organizational structure seems . . .

22%

4%

74%

appropriate for now (33)

needs minor modification (10)

needs significant modification (2)


Interstate MOU in Ohio River Basin

• Purpose: To support the development of an interstate water quality trading program for the Ohio River Basin.

• States Invited: Illinois, Indiana, Ohio, Pennsylvania, New York, Kentucky, Virginia, Tennessee and West Virginia.

• This MOU provides a framework for the Parties to work together toward their shared goals of restoring and protecting water quality in the ORB.

• Issues to be discussed by signatory parties include process of interstate coordination, program rules (baselines, ratios, trading partners, monitoring, etc), role of watershed modeling, agreement on how the various elements of the program are implemented.


MOU to Coordinate EPA/USDA/EPRI

• The purpose of this Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) is to agree to mutual goals to help inform the sustainable use of ecosystem services in the Upper Mississippi and Ohio River Basins.

“Collaboration between these parties will better ensure that focused and effective research priorities for ecosystem services are identified and pursued in a coordinated manner that leads to practical implementation of ecosystem services protection and management actions.”

• Executed February 22, 2010– Paul Anastas, Assistant Administrator, EPA– Harris Sherman, Under Secretary, USDA– Bryan Hannegan, Vice President, EPRI


Funding

• Applying for 2010 USDA Conservation Innovation Grant– Establishing robust communication with all levels of

agriculture in the project area – Developing a business case for farmer participation in

a water quality trading program. – Executing one or more pilot trades to test the rules of

the larger trading program. – Alignment on indicators for ecosystem service health

that we can use in the trading program to track long-term sustainability.


Linking Air Quality and Watershed Management Models

Eladio M. Knipping, Ph.D.Senior Technical Manager

Environment SectorElectric Power Research Institute

Ohio River Project Webcast, May 19, 2010


Assessment Tools for Multimedia Linkages


Watersheds and Corresponding Airsheds

• Estuaries with hypoxia issues– Hudson/Raritan Bay– Chesapeake Bay– Pamlico Sound– Altamaha Sound

• Outlined airshed contributes 75% atmospheric nitrogen deposition to corresponding watersheds


Significance of Linkage between Air and Watershed Models

• Integrated Modeling Systems

• Multi-pollutant framework

• Effect of atmospheric loadings on water quality

• Comprehensive source attribution

• TMDL, ecosystem management


EPA’s Watershed Deposition Tool (WDT)

• Watershed Deposition Tool (WDT)– Recent air/water linkage efforts by EPA– Released by the Atmospheric Sciences Modeling Division in September 2007

• Maps post-processed gridded deposition estimates from CMAQ to 8-digit HUCs within a watershed or region. Static tool.

• Deposition components:– Total Nitrogen: Dry and Wet; Oxidized and Reduced– Total Sulfur: Dry and Wet– Total Mercury: Dry and Wet

• CMAQ 3-Year averages (2001-2003) for nitrogen and sulfur and 1-Year (2001) for mercury currently available


Air and Watershed Models Selected for Linkage in this Study

• AMSTERDAM (a.k.a. CMAQ-MADRID-APT-Hg)

– Advanced Modeling System for Transport, Emissions, Reactions and Deposition of Atmospheric Matter

– 3-D Eulerian air quality model to simulate ozone, PM, and the deposition of mercury and acidic and nitrogenous compounds

– Hourly outputs of air concentrations and wet and dry deposition fluxes

• WARMF

– Watershed Analysis Risk Management Framework

– Decision support system for watershed planning and TMDL analysis

• Aim to synergize the capabilities of these two unique modeling systems developed separately under EPRI sponsorship into one dynamic system.


AMSTERDAM Overview

• State-of-the-science 3-D Eulerian air quality model to simulate ozone, PM, and the deposition of mercury and acidic and nitrogenous compounds

• Advanced plume treatment of plumes from selected point sources such as power plant stacks (plume-in-grid modeling)

• Available at www.cmascenter.org


WARMF Overview

• Comprehensive mechanistic watershed model, simulates flow, temperature, pH, nutrients, ions, sediment, algae, dissolved oxygen

• Divides watershed into land catchments, river segments, reservoirs

• Driven by meteorology, rain chemistry, gaseous and particulate concentrations in air


Measured Data•Hydrologic Conditions •Water Quality

Measured Data•Hydrologic Conditions •Water Quality

Watershed Characteristics

•Land use•Fertilizer•Catchment areas/slope •Soil layer characteristics•Septic systems

Watershed Characteristics

•Land use•Fertilizer•Catchment areas/slope •Soil layer characteristics•Septic systems

Meteorological ConditionsAir QualityDeposition

Meteorological ConditionsAir QualityDeposition

Model Output•Hydrologic Conditions•Stream flow•Water quality (nutrients, DO, Chl-a, TSS)•Loading

Model Output•Hydrologic Conditions•Stream flow•Water quality (nutrients, DO, Chl-a, TSS)•Loading

Watershed Model Adjustable parameters: •Precipitation weighting, temperature lapse•Initial conditions•Reaction rates•BMPs•Bank stability / vegetation factors

Point-Source and Non-Point-Source

Discharges

Point-Source and Non-Point-Source

Discharges

Managed Flow•Diversions•Reservoir Releases

Managed Flow•Diversions•Reservoir Releases

Summary of the WARMF Watershed Model


Subsurface ProcessesMineral WeatheringAMDSeptic SystemsOrganic Matter DecayNitrificationCation ExchangePlant Uptake

Watershed Processes


Descriptive Processes

• Hydrology: snow accumulation, snow melt, infiltration to soil, groundwater table, seepage to stream, flow routing in river, hydrodynamics of stratified lake.

• Canopy: wet deposition, dry deposition, throughfall, litter fall.

• Soil: weathering, organic matter decay, competitive cation exchange, etc.

• River and lake: fate and transport of pollutants, temperature, DO, nutrients, bioaccumulation of mercury in fish


Components of the Interface


Atmospheric Species of Interest in Ecosystem Modeling

• Acidification– Acidic species (sulfate, nitrate, chloride)– Neutralizing species (Na, K, Mg, Ca)– Complex impact of NHx

• Eutrophication– Nitrogenous species (NOx, nitrous and nitric acids, nitrate, organic nitrogen,

ammonia, ammonium)– Phosphorus (atmospheric deposition << direct discharges)

• Bioaccumulation– Mercury species; other metals– Persistent organic pollutants (POPs)– Complex impact of nutrients

• Ozone damage to plants


Testing the Linkage

• AMSTERDAM output from two scenarios: – 2002 Base scenario– “Beyond 2009” NOx/SO2/Hg future-year scenario

• Catawba watershed


Simulated Air Emission Reduction

• Domainwide Values

• Total SO2 Emissions (Base Case, 2002): 21,594 tons/year • Total SO2 Emissions (Beyond 2009 scenario): 16,354 tons/year

• Total NOx Emissions (Base Case, 2002): 28,253 tons/year• Total NOx Emissions (Beyond 2009 scenario): 20,544 tons/year

• Absolute and relative reductions in emissions:– SO2: 5240 tons/year (24%)– NOx: 7709 tons/year (27%)


Nitrate Loading from Watershed


Sulfate Loading from Watershed


Effect of Air Emission Reduction

Location Ammonia Reduction, %

Nitrate Reduction, %

Sulfate Reduction, %

Linville River 12.0% 63.5% 17.8%

Lake James 5.0% 42.2% 5.6%

South ForkCatawba R. 0.5% 19.8% 7.3%

Sugar Creek 0.2% 2.7% 13.7%

Lake Wateree 1.4% 11.0% 6.8%

Surface Water Load Reduction


Linkage Summary

• AMSTERDAM output provides high resolution inputs of rain, gaseous, fine particulate, and coarse particulate concentrations

• MCIP provides high resolution meteorology but with somewhat lower accuracy than measured data

• Sensitivity to atmospheric load varies by land use

• WARMF can predict water quality improvement resulting from air emissions reductions

• The linkage provides a tool to estimate emissions source contributions to atmospheric deposition and understand how that contribution affects water quality and other watershed variables

• Improvements in emissions, meteorological and air quality models will translate into better linked data


Contact Information

Eladio M. KnippingElectric Power Research Institute (EPRI)2000 L Street NW Suite 805, Washington, DC 20036Email: [email protected]: 202.293.6343

Robert GoldsteinElectric Power Research Institute (EPRI)3420 Hillview Ave, Palo Alto, CA 94304Email: [email protected]: 650.855.2154

Polling Question


Polling Questions:

Do you think there is value in linking air quality and water quality models to inform effective management of water quality in the Ohio River Basin?

84%

3%

13%0%

Yes (25)No (1)Maybe (4)I don't know (0)


Next Quarter Activities

• Finalize Organizational Structure• Execute interstate MOU• Continue stakeholder outreach• Continue watershed modeling• Revamp website • Publish National Credit Stacking Study Results

Poll Question


Polling Question:

84%

9%

5% 2%

Current schedule is adequate4 times/yr (36)Prefer more frequent6 times/yr (4)Prefer less frequent2 times/yr (2)Prefer less frequent3 times/yr (1)

How do you feel about the frequency of these public webcasts?


Staying Connected

• Save the Date, Quarter Webcast:– August 11, 2010

• Add Yourself to Our Contact List• Send Comments

– E-mail: [email protected]– www.epri.com/ohiorivertrading


Jessica Fox, Project Manager

e-mail: [email protected]

www.epri.com/ohiorivertrading

Ohio River Basin Trading Program: Quarterly Update May 19 ... Quarterly... · Interstate MOU in...

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