Odds of Sellilng
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Transcript of Odds of Sellilng
10/16/2012 Odds of Selling ©TM 2007 www.Focus1st.com
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0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
% of Homes in Your Neighborhood
SOLD WITHDRAWN/EXPIRED FOR SALE
Odds of Selling is 62% • Homes are Selling at 0.7 per month. • 6.0 months supply available.
Summary of 2011 Activity
Odds of Selling is 26% • Homes are Selling at 0.5 per month. • 12.0 months supply available.
Summary of 2012 Activity
Odds of Selling is 26% • Homes are Selling at 0.4 per month. • 14.4 months supply available.
Last 12 Months of
Activity
NOTE: THE CURRENT YEARS DATA IS NOT A COMPLETE YEAR OF DATA.
What are the Odds of Selling Your Home? Loviisa Farms (Pasco)
Source: MLS, Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed., Data Collected: 10/16/2012
10/16/2012 Time To Sell ©TM 2007 www.Focus1st.com
$150,000
$155,000
$160,000
$165,000
$170,000
$175,000
$180,000
$185,000
$190,000
$195,000
$200,000
SO
LD
Pri
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Days Before SOLD
The Average Days Before SOLD is 129 Days, the Average Sold Price is $175,500.
2012 Time to Sell Pattern Loviisa Farms (Pasco)
Source: MLS, Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed., Data Collected: 10/16/2012
10/16/2012 Time To Sell ©TM 2007 www.Focus1st.com
$150,000
$155,000
$160,000
$165,000
$170,000
$175,000
$180,000
$185,000
$190,000
$195,000
$200,000
SO
LD
Pri
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Days Before SOLD
The Average Days Before SOLD is 112 Days, the Average Sold Price is $177,799.
2011 Time to Sell Pattern Loviisa Farms (Pasco)
Source: MLS, Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed., Data Collected: 10/16/2012
10/16/2012 Buying Patterns ©TM 2007 www.Focus1st.com
$150,000
$155,000
$160,000
$165,000
$170,000
$175,000
$180,000
$185,000
$190,000
$195,000
$200,000
SO
LD
Pri
ce
SOLD Date
2012 Buying Pattern Loviisa Farms (Pasco)
Source: MLS, Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed., Data Collected: 10/16/2012
10/16/2012 Buying Patterns ©TM 2007 www.Focus1st.com
$150,000
$155,000
$160,000
$165,000
$170,000
$175,000
$180,000
$185,000
$190,000
$195,000
$200,000
SO
LD
Pri
ce
SOLD Date
2011 Buying Pattern Loviisa Farms (Pasco)
Source: MLS, Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed., Data Collected: 10/16/2012
10/16/2012 Scattergram Pricing ©TM 2007 www.Focus1st.com
$150,000
$155,000
$160,000
$165,000
$170,000
$175,000
$180,000
$185,000
$190,000
$195,000
$200,000
2,050 2,070 2,090 2,110 2,130 2,150 2,170 2,190 2,210 2,230 2,250
Pro
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Total Square Feet Linear (Total Square Feet)
From 1/4/2011 to 9/13/2012
Properties Sold in Loviisa Farms (Pasco)
Activity in Loviisa Farms (Pasco)From 2/18/2010 to 10/6/2012
Note: For many appraisals, only homes sold in the last six months, can be used as comparables.
Source: MLS, Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
MLS # Status Property Address Style
Finished
Sq. Ft.
Total
Sq. Ft. Bed Bath
Year
Built List Price
Days On
Market
Sold -
With/Exp
Date Sold Price
*Difference
does NOT
include Seller
concessions
Price per
TSF
169392 Sold 4317 Campolina Lane 2 Story 2232 2232 4 2.5 2006 $184,900 197 1/4/11 $184,900 0.00 $83
174297 Sold 8608 Massey Drive 2 Story 2080 2080 4 2.5 2006 $182,499 127 7/26/11 $180,000 (2,499.00) $87
175362 Sold 4404 Appaloosa Ct 2 Story 2190 2190 3 2.5 2005 $174,900 103 8/17/11 $173,990 (910.00) $79
175960 Sold 9812 Welsh 2 Story 2190 2190 3 2.5 2005 $186,900 76 8/19/11 $180,000 (6,900.00) $82
176439 Sold 9720 Welsh Drive 2 Story 2190 2190 3 2.5 2005 $174,900 59 8/26/11 $170,000 (4,900.00) $78
178003 Sold 8712 Massey Drive 2 Story 2232 2232 4 2.5 2005 $193,000 25 9/30/11 $193,000 0.00 $86
177435 Sold 4304 Cochins 2 Story 2072 2072 4 2.5 2004 $179,900 58 10/5/11 $172,000 (7,900.00) $83
173400 Sold 4712 Appaloosa Ln 2 Story 2143 2143 3 2.5 2004 $169,900 251 10/11/11 $168,500 (1,400.00) $79
178380 Sold 4019 Messara Lane 2 Story 2080 2080 4 2.5 2005 $157,900 130 2/3/12 $155,000 (2,900.00) $75
178727 Sold 9103 Maltese Dr 2 Story 2232 2232 4 2.5 2005 $189,000 125 2/16/12 $189,000 0.00 $85
179022 Sold 4509 Moline Ln 2 Story 2222 2222 4 2.5 2006 $189,000 176 4/26/12 $189,000 0.00 $85
179844 Sold 9320 Shetland Dr. 2 Story 2232 2232 4 2.5 2004 $179,900 134 5/17/12 $177,500 (2,400.00) $80
183763 Sold 4522 Moline Lane 2 Story 2080 2080 4 2.5 2006 $174,000 78 9/13/12 $167,000 (7,000.00) $80
164539 With/Exp 4503 Tamworth Ln 2 Story 2232 2232 4 2.5 2007 $197,000 126 2/18/10 $88
165231 With/Exp 4411 Messara Lane 2 Story 2080 2080 4 2.5 2004 $179,000 127 4/7/10 $86
164261 With/Exp 9304 Welsh Dr 2 Story 2232 2232 4 2.5 2004 $190,900 5 4/13/10 $86
166131 With/Exp 9711 Percheron Dr 2 Story 2222 2222 4 2.5 2003 $189,900 90 4/23/10 $85
168326 With/Exp 9711 Percheron Dr 2 Story 2222 2222 4 2.5 2003 $189,900 35 5/28/10 $85
168293 With/Exp 4411 Messara Lane 2 Story 2080 2080 4 2.5 2005 $179,900 62 6/24/10 $86
167764 With/Exp 4604 Appaloosa Ln 2 Story 2190 2190 3 2.5 2004 $181,900 101 7/12/10 $83
167135 With/Exp 4305 Campolina Ln 2 Story 2232 2232 4 2.5 2006 $165,000 147 8/2/10 $74
168963 With/Exp 4503 Campolina 2 Story 2232 2232 4 2.5 2006 $185,000 93 8/28/10 $83
169267 With/Exp 4210 Finnhorse Lane 2 Story 2232 2232 4 2.5 2006 $180,900 93 9/15/10 $81
168144 With/Exp 9304 Welsh Dr. 2 Story 2232 2232 4 2.5 2004 $189,900 184 10/17/10 $85
176250 With/Exp 9315 Welsh Dr 2 Story 2232 2232 4 2.5 2004 $189,900 33 7/22/11 $85
179589 With/Exp 9320 Shetland Dr. 2 Story 2232 2232 4 2.5 2004 $185,000 22 1/4/12 $83
179990 With/Exp 9711 Percheron Dr 2 Story 2222 2222 4 2.5 2003 $179,900 84 4/6/12 $81
181356 With/Exp 9911 Mustang Dr 2 Story 2158 2158 3 2.5 2004 $169,000 30 4/12/12 $78
182626 With/Exp 4522 Moline 2 Story 2080 2080 4 2.5 2006 $179,950 54 6/27/12 $87
183596 With/Exp 4408 Appaloosa Ct 2 Story 2190 2190 3 2.5 2005 $184,900 10 6/28/12 $84
181842 With/Exp 4503 Tamworth Lane 2 Story 2232 2232 4 2.5 2007 $210,000 98 7/14/12 $94
183499 With/Exp 4526 Muris Lane 2 Story 2222 2222 4 2.5 2007 $199,900 71 8/23/12 $90
184113 With/Exp 4503 Tamworth Lane 2 Story 2232 2232 4 2.5 2007 $210,000 169 10/6/12 $94
183100 For Sale 4507 Tamworth Lane 2 Story 2232 2232 4 2.5 2007 $186,250 159 $83
Activity in Loviisa Farms (Pasco)From 2/18/2010 to 10/6/2012
Note: For many appraisals, only homes sold in the last six months, can be used as comparables.
Source: MLS, Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
MLS # Status Property Address Style
Finished
Sq. Ft.
Total
Sq. Ft. Bed Bath
Year
Built List Price
Days On
Market
Sold -
With/Exp
Date Sold Price
*Difference
does NOT
include Seller
concessions
Price per
TSF
184776 For Sale 4211 Dartmoor Lane 2 Story 2080 2080 4 2.5 2006 $178,000 65 $86
185520 For Sale 4708 Belgian Lane 2 Story 2214 2214 3 2.5 2004 $185,000 29 $84
185755 For Sale 4301 Galway Ln 2 Story 2080 2080 4 2.5 2006 $174,900 18 $84
185777 For Sale 4013 Finnhorse Lane 2 Story 2232 2232 4 2.5 2005 $187,900 15 $84
185988 For Sale 9711 Percheron Dr 2 Story 2222 2222 4 2.5 2003 $179,900 5 $81
Properties For Sale in Loviisa Farms (Pasco)Data Collected:10/16/2012
Note: For many appraisals, only homes sold in the last six months, can be used as comparables.
Source: MLS, Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
MLS # Status Property Address Style
Finished
Sq. Ft.
Total
Sq. Ft. Bed Bath
Year
Built List Price
Days On
Market
183100 For Sale 4507 Tamworth Lane 2 Story 2232 2232 4 2.5 2007 $186,250 159
184776 For Sale 4211 Dartmoor Lane 2 Story 2080 2080 4 2.5 2006 $178,000 65
185520 For Sale 4708 Belgian Lane 2 Story 2214 2214 3 2.5 2004 $185,000 29
185755 For Sale 4301 Galway Ln 2 Story 2080 2080 4 2.5 2006 $174,900 18
185777 For Sale 4013 Finnhorse Lane 2 Story 2232 2232 4 2.5 2005 $187,900 15
185988 For Sale 9711 Percheron Dr 2 Story 2222 2222 4 2.5 2003 $179,900 5
The Real Estate Pond
Activity in Loviisa Farms (Pasco)
Activity from 7/17/2012 to 10/16/2012
NEW
SOLD
Flow (Best Value & Price/Shown & Offers Made)
Show (Shown But No Offers)
Stagnant Mass (Not Being Considered)
Inlet
Outlet
Invento
ry
1 Sold in Last 90 Days
5 New in Last 90 Days
0 Currently Under Contract
6 Properties Available for Sale*
*Does Not Include Properties Currently Under Contract Each Icon Represents 1 Properties
10/16/2012 Dynamic Pricing www.Focus1st.com
The Real Estate Pond
Activity in Loviisa Farms (Pasco)
**Projected Activity from 10/16/2012 to 1/16/2013
NEW
SOLD
Flow (Best Value & Price/Shown & Offers Made)
Show (Shown But No Offers)
Stagnant Mass (Not Being Considered)
Inlet
Outlet
Invento
ry
0 Projected Sold in Next 90
Days**
3 Projected New in Next 90
Days**
0 Currently Under Contract
6 Properties Available for Sale*
*Does Not Include Properties Currently Under Contract Each Icon Represents 1 Properties **Projected Data Based on Buying Patterns
NOTE: The 0 properties that are
currently Under Contract are part
of the 0 sales to occur in the next 90 days,
leaving 0 new sales.
10/16/2012 Dynamic Pricing www.Focus1st.com
months:
(+ your house) =
months
0.4 (Monthly sales rate #3) / 7 (properties for sale #4) Odds of Selling this month
1. Location: Rating
2. Price: Rating
3. Size (lot and house): Rating
4. Features/Amenities: Rating
5: Condition: Rating
(Adjust for seasonality & market trends)
Step #8: Market Positioning through "Buyer's Eyes"
100% Odds of Selling within 30 Days = Position your house in the Top 0
50% Odds of Selling within 30 Days = Position your house in the Top 0
33% Odds of Selling within 30 Days = Position your house in the Top 1
Step #6: Odds of Selling within 30 Days through "Buyers Eyes":
6%
Step #7: Postioning your property vs. the competition through "Buyer's Eyes":
Step #3: Sale rate (absorption rate) per month: 0.4
Step # 4: Number of properties currently for sale: 6 7
Step #5: At current sales rate, time required to sell all of current properties: 16.8
Profile Buyer for this property:
Step #1: Define the "Playing Field" through "Buyer's Eyes"
- Area, neighborhood, zip code, price range, lakefront, schools, etc.
Step #2: Sold properties in the past 12 5
Absorption Rate Positioning Worksheet
Seller:
Address:
Property Description:
10/16/2012 www.Focus1st.com