Oceans of opportunity
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Oceans of opportunityHarnessing Europe’s largest domestic energy resource
European Offshore Wind Conference 200916 September 2009
Justin Wilkes
Head of Regulatory Affairs
European Wind Energy Association
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• The offshore wind power market– current status– future developments
• National policies and programmes
Outline
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• The offshore wind power market– current status– future developments
• National policies and programmes
Outline
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End 2008: 1.5 GW offshore – 8 EU countries
Offshore – current status
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Global cumulative wind power capacity 1990-2007 (MW)2008 and 2009: steady as she goes
2008: • 366 MW annual installed offshore capacity• 1,471 MW cumulative installed offshore capacity
2009:• 420 MW annual installed offshore capacity• 2,000 MW cumulative installed offshore capacity
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• The offshore wind power market– current status– future developments
• National policies and programmes
Outline
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Global cumulative wind power capacity 1990-2007 (MW)
Offshore wind energy market in the EU in 2010
• Annual installations of 1,100 MW• Cumulative installed capacity of 3,000 MW• Electricity production of 11 TWh• Meeting 0.3% of total EU electricity demand
• Avoiding 7 Mt of CO² annually
• Annual investments in wind turbines of €2.5 billion
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Global cumulative wind power capacity 1990-2007 (MW)
2011 – 2020: steady growth of offshore market
Offshore wind energy annual and cumulative installations 2011-2020 (MW)
Source: EWEA 2009
• 2011: annual installations of 1.5 GW• 2020: annual installations of 6.9 GW• 2020: cumulative installations of 40 GW
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Global cumulative wind power capacity 1990-2007 (MW)
Offshore market growth to follow the onshore pattern
Source: EWEA 2009
Historical onshore growth 1992-2004 compared to EWEA‘s offshore projection 2008-2020 (MW)
• Onshore market growth:32%
• Offshore market growth:28%
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Global cumulative wind power capacity 1990-2007 (MW)
2021 - 2030: steady growth of offshore market
• 2021: annual installations of 7.7 GW• 2030: annual installtions of 13.6 GW• 2030: cumulative installations of 150 GW
Offshore wind energy annual and cumulative installations 2021-2030 (MW)
Source: EWEA 2009
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Global cumulative wind power capacity 1990-2007 (MW)100 GW and counting
EWEA has identified proposals for over 100 GW of offshore wind projects in European waters:
• This would meet 10% of EU electricity demand• This would avoid 200Mt of CO² annually
•100+ GW shows the significant level of developer interest
EWEA prediction:40 GW by 2020150 GW by 2030
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• The offshore wind power market– current status– future developments
• National policies and programmes
Outline
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Global cumulative wind power capacity 1990-2007 (MW)Country breakdown
• Online: 25.2 MW• Current pipeline: 3,755 MW• Total: 3,780.2 MW
Ireland
Source: EWEA 2009
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Global cumulative wind power capacity 1990-2007 (MW)Country breakdown
United Kingdom
Source: EWEA 2009
• Online: 597.8 MW• Under construction: 1,246 MW• Current pipeline: 13,861 MW• R1, R2, STW + misc total: 15,704.8 MW• UK Round 3: 25,500 MW
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Global cumulative wind power capacity 1990-2007 (MW)Country breakdown
• 2020 target : 6,000 MW• Online: 246.8 MW• Under construction: 200 MW• Current pipeline: 4,615 MW• Total: 5,061.8 MW
The Netherlands
Source: EWEA 2009
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Global cumulative wind power capacity 1990-2007 (MW)Country breakdown
• 2020 target: 2,000 MW• Online: 30 MW• Under construction: 600 MW• Current pipeline: 1,114 MW• Total: 1,744 MW
Belgium
Source: EWEA 2009
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Global cumulative wind power capacity 1990-2007 (MW)Country breakdown
France
Source: EWEA 2009
• 2020 target: 6,000 MW• Under construction: 105 MW• Current pipeline: >4,925.5 MW• Total: >5,030.5 MW
Mediterranean
Atlantic
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Global cumulative wind power capacity 1990-2007 (MW)Country breakdown
• Objective 2025: 25,000 MW• Online: 12 MW (all near shore)• Under construction: 1,002.5 MW• Pipeline: 23,708 MW• Total: 25,322.5 MW
Germany
Source: EWEA 2009
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Global cumulative wind power capacity 1990-2007 (MW)Country breakdown
• Online: 409.15 MW• Under construction: 459.2 MW• Current pipeline: > 1,218 MW• Total: > 2,086.35 MW
Denmark
Source: EWEA 2009
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Global cumulative wind power capacity 1990-2007 (MW)Country breakdown
• Online: 133.2 MW• Under construction: 30 MW• Current pipeline: 10,850 MW• Total: 11,013.2 MW
Sweden
Source: EWEA 2009
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Global cumulative wind power capacity 1990-2007 (MW)Country breakdown
• Objective 2020: 1,000 MW• Online: 24 MW• Current pipeline: 1,306 MW• Total: 1,330 MW
Finland
Source: EWEA 2009
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Global cumulative wind power capacity 1990-2007 (MW)Country breakdown
• Online: 2.3 MW• Current pipeline: 11,296 MW• Total: 11,298.3 MW
Norway
Source: EWEA 2009
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Country breakdown
Source: EWEA 2009
•Online: 0 MW• Current pipeline:
•Spain: 4,965 MW•Portugal: 301 MW
Global cumulative wind power capacity Spain & Portugal
W)
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Spanish Offshore wind zoning exercise
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Country breakdown
Source: EWEA 2009
Italy & Malta (Croatia & Albania)
•Online: 0 MW• Under construction: 83 MW• Current pipeline: 8,886.8 MW• Total: 8,969.8 MW
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Thank you very much for your attention
www.ewea.org/offshore
RENEWABLE ENERGY HOUSE63-65 RUE D’ARLONB-1040 BRUSSELS
T: +32 2 546 1940F: +32 2 546 1944E: [email protected]