Observing converging infrastructures - Bratislava 2019 · 2019-11-14 · INSTITUTE FOR TECHNOLOGY...
Transcript of Observing converging infrastructures - Bratislava 2019 · 2019-11-14 · INSTITUTE FOR TECHNOLOGY...
INSTITUTE FOR TECHNOLOGY ASSESSMENT AND SYSTEMS ANALYSIS
Observing converging infrastructuresA Heuristic for Technology Assessment
Christian Buscher | 4th European Technology Assessment Conference | Bratislava | 06/11/19
KIT – The Research University in the Helmholtz Association
www.kit.edu
How to observe converginginfrastructures?
’’The overall system can be fruitfully described as
posing a linked series of sociotechnical problems.’’
(P. Edwards)
ENERGY AS ASOCIOTECHNICAL PROBLEM
AN INTERDISCIPLINARY PERSPECTIVE ONCONTROL, CHANGE, AND ACTION IN ENERGY
TRANSITIONS
Edited byChristian Büscher, Jens Schippl and Patrick Sumpf
Routledge Studies in Energy Transitions
Buscher, C., Schippl, J., Sumpf, P.: Energy as a
Sociotechnical Problem. An Interdisciplinary
Perspective on Control, Change, and Action in
Energy Transitions. (Routledge, 2018).
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Sociotechnical Problems
Transition
stable
dimensionsexpectations uncertainty
factual control complexity → maintain control
social redundancy variety → instigate change
non-temporal actionability transparency → enable action
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Dimensions of the energycomplex
ENERGYsocial
temporal
fact
ual
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Complexity/ControlENERGY
social
temporal
fact
ual
Options of Sector Coupling in a Decarbonized Energysystem
Photovoltaik Wind Wasser Biomasse Solarthermie Geothermie
Speicher
Elektrolyse
CarbonCapture
H2-Speicher
Power-to-LiquidPower-to-Gas
Wärmepumpe
Kraftwerk mitKraft-Wärme-
Kopplung
Power-to-Heat
Brennstoffzelle
WasserturbineWindturbine Dampf-/Gasturbine Dampfturbine Dampfturbine
NichtenergetischerBrennstoffbedarf
Wärmespeicher
StromWärmeBrennstoffeAbgaseCO2
H2
Elektro-fahrzeuge
Brennstoff-zellen-
fahrzeug
Fahrzeug mit Verbrennungsmotor
Transport
Wärme-pumpe
Brennstoff-zelle
Geo-thermie
Blockheiz-kraftwerk
Solar-thermie
Raumwärme/Warmwasser
Stromnachfrage
Prozesswärme
Verbrennung
Elektrische Induktionund
Widerstandserwärmung
SRU. 2017. Umsteuern erforderlich: Klimaschutz im Verkehrssektor. German Advisory Council on the Environment (SRU), P. 44
Structural Changes SCCentralization/De-Centralization:control of systems, networks ofsystems, networks of networks
Integration/Dis-Integration:vertical ’unbundling’ – horizontal’re-bundling’ (?)
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Redundancy/VarietyENERGY
social
temporal
fact
ual
REDUNDANCYhigh low
A. B.
learning experimental
high organization; settings; emergingregime/ niche- technology
constellation fieldsVARIETYC. D.
dominant regimes low degree of
low path dependency organization
lock-ins
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Actionability/Non-transparencyENERGY
social
temporal
fact
ual
– Orthogonal Relation: Simultaneous operationof social and technical realities
– Increasing non-transparency and non-knowledge: Simple interface ↔ complicatedphysical and social structures/institutions
⇒ Effects on short term (operating) and long term(investing, planning, governing) decision-making
⇒ Role of social mechanisms: responsibility/liability,trust in systems, etc.
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Outlook
Ongoing activities:
– Exploring recent studies
– Operationalization of sociotechnical problems
– Assessment of consequences of SC developments
Planned Activities:
– TATuP Special Issue in 2020
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Studies
– ST1: Ausfelder, F., et al. 2017. “‘Sektorkopplung’ - Untersuchungen und Uberlegungen zur Entwicklung eines integriertenEnergiesystems.” Schriftenreihe Energiesysteme der Zukunft. Munchen.
– ST2: BMUB. 2016. “Klimaschutzplan 2050 – Klimaschutzpolitische Grundsatze und Ziele der Bundesregierung.” Berlin:Bundesministerium fur Umwelt, Naturschutz, Bau und Reaktorsicherheit (BMUB).
– ST3: Henning, Hans-Martin, and Andreas Palzer. 2015. “Was kostet die Energiewende? – Wege zur Transformation desdeutschen Energiesystems bis 2050.” Freiburg: Fraunhofer-Institut fur Solare Energiesysteme ISE.
– ST4: Wietschel, M., et al. 2018. “Sektorkopplung – Definition, Chancen und Herausforderungen.” Working Paper Sustainabilityand Innovation. Fraunhofer ISI.
– ST5: Bauknecht, D., et al. 2018. “Visionen Und Pfadentscheidungen Der Energiewende: Ein Bericht Im Rahmen DesKopernikus-Projekts ENavi.” Potsdam: Geschaftsstelle des Kopernikus-Projekts Energiewende-Navigationssystem — ENavi.
– ST6: Winter, Martin. 2018. “Effiziente Kopplung der Sektoren Energie und Verkehr.” Berlin: Technische Universitat Berlin.
– ST7: Hoffrichter, Albert, and Thorsten Beckers. 2018. “Cross-Border Coordination as a Prerequisite for Efficient SectorCoupling in Interconnected Power Systems. Institutional Economic Considerations on Allocating Decision-MakingCompetencies in the European Union.” Berlin: Technische Universitat Berlin.
– ST8: Canzler, Weert, and Andreas Knie. 2013. Schlaue Netze: wie die Energie- und Verkehrswende gelingt. Munchen:Oekom.
– ST9: Robinius, M., et al. 2017. “Linking the Power and Transport Sectors: Modelling a Sector Coupling Scenario for Germany.”Energies 10 (7): 956.
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