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Numerical Investigation of Transient Flow Responses in Fractured Tight Oil Wells
by
Min Yue
A thesis submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of
Master of Science
in
Petroleum Engineering
Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering
University of Alberta
© Min Yue, 2016
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Abstract
Increasing demand of global energy and limited conventional resources force the petroleum
industry to shift their focus towards the low permeability reservoirs such as shale or tight rock
reservoir. Multi-fractured horizontal wells have economically unlocked the massive hydrocarbon
resources from unconventional reservoirs. Horizontal drilling and hydraulic fracturing create a
complex fracture network that could enhance reservoir contact area to achieve economic
production rates.
In this study, we compute the transient response in a segment of a hydraulically fractured
horizontal well using a triple-porosity model. Impacts of capillary discontinuity (fracture face-
effect) and some limitations in analytical models such as sequential flow, single-phase flow and
fully-connected symmetric fractures are investigated.
We find that the uncertainty in model history-matched parameters and assumptions associated
with analytical models could potentially over- or under-estimate production by up to 30%.
History-matching with analytical models alone and the assumption of uniformly-spaced fracture
stages would tend to overestimate long-term production forecast. In contrast, the assumption of
no solution gas in tight oil reservoir leads to underestimation of reservoir properties such as
length of fracture and permeability. Moreover, the simulated production data indicates that
fracture face-effect results in rapid production decline. Lower capillary contrast between fracture
and matrix results in less water blockage and higher production.
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Dedicated to my parents, grandparents and fiancé, who give me courage, support and endless love
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Acknowledgments
First, I would like to express my sincerest gratitude to my supervisors, Dr. Juliana Y. Leung and
Dr. Hassan Dehghanpour, for supporting me, for their constant encouragement, guidance and
help throughout my project with their patience.
I would like to thank Dr. Alireza Nouri and Dr. Yuntong She, my examining committee
members.
I am thankful to support of Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada
(NSERC). Also I am thankful Computer Modelling Group Ltd. (CMG) for providing academic
licenses of IMEX for my research.
I would like to thank Mingyuan who has given me his valuable suggestions in model building. I
would like to extend my thanks to my dearest friends Yang, Xinming, Bo, Jingwen, Zhongguo,
Cui, Song, Jindong and Yanming for their warm friendship.
Last but not the least, I would like to express my love to my family: my parents, my grandparents
and Mingxiang, who have been with me through the best and worst times with their endless love
and support.
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Table of Content
1 General Introduction ....................................................................................................... 1
1.1. Overview and Background ............................................................................................ 1
1.2. Problem Statement ......................................................................................................... 3
1.3. Research Objectives ....................................................................................................... 4
1.4. Thesis Layout .................................................................................................................. 6
2 Literature Review ............................................................................................................. 7
2.1 A Brief Background of Unconventional Reservoirs .................................................... 7
2.2 Modeling and Analysis of Flow Response in Hydraulically-Stimulated Tight
Reservoirs .................................................................................................................................. 8
2.3 Modeling and Analysis of Multiphase Flow Response in Tight Reservoirs ............ 10
3 Geological and Production Characteristics of Tight Oil Reservoirs ............ 12
3.1 Geological Characteristics ........................................................................................... 13
3.2 Hydraulic Fracturing ................................................................................................... 16
3.3 Natural Fracture (Secondary Fracture) ..................................................................... 20
4 Methodology ..................................................................................................................... 25
4.1 Rate Transient Analysis ............................................................................................... 26
4.2 Analytical Solution: Using Laplace Transform ......................................................... 27
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4.3 History Matching and Sensitivity Analysis of Simulation Models .......................... 31
5 Numerical Investigation of Limitations and Assumptions of Analytical
Transient Flow Models ........................................................................................................ 32
5.1 Configuration of Multistage Hydrualic Fracturing .................................................. 34
5.2 Intensity/Spacing of SecondaryFractures .................................................................. 37
5.3 Non-Sequential Flow .................................................................................................... 42
5.4 Non-Symmetric Drainage ............................................................................................ 46
5.5 Heterogeneous Fracture Properties ............................................................................ 54
6 Influence of Multi-phase Effects on oil Production ............................................ 60
6.1 The Role of Gas Dissolution ........................................................................................ 60
6.2 The Role of Capillary Discontinuity ........................................................................... 66
7 Conclusions and Future Work ................................................................................... 90
7.1 Conclusions ................................................................................................................... 90
7.2 Future Work ................................................................................................................. 93
References ................................................................................................................................. 94
VII
List of Tables
Table 5.1 Known Field Data ...................................................................................................... 32
Table 5.2 Unknown Data – Assumed based on typical values observed in Bakken reservoirs
....................................................................................................................................................... 33
Table 5.3 Unknown Data – Estimated based on rate transient analysis (RTA) .................... 33
Table 5.4 Spacing between the four stages of hydraulic fractures for the Cardium well in
Case A .......................................................................................................................................... 34
Table 5.5 History-matched hydraulic fracture half-length and the corresponding number
of natural fractures for the Bakken well ................................................................................... 37
Table 5.6 Spacing between natural fractures for the Bakken well in Case A ....................... 46
Table 5.7 Natural fracture length for the Bakken well in Case B .......................................... 50
Table 6.1 Water saturation at interface in dual-porosity and triple-porosity models with
different capillary pressure (Pc1 and Pc3) ................................................................................. 78
Table 6.2 Value of rowk in conditions of different relative permeability curvature ........... 88
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List of Figures
Figure 3.1 Schematic north-south cross section showing the Bakken and adjacent
formations (USGS, 2013) ............................................................................................................ 13
Figure 3.2 Proppant distribution in hydraulic fracture (Cipolla et al. 2009) ........................ 17
Figure 3.3 Horizontal well with transversely intersecting fracture (Phillips, et al., 2007) ... 19
Figure 4.1 Top view of a horizontal well in triple-porosity model ......................................... 25
Figure 4.2 Analysis of the Cardium well production data with analytical models ............... 30
Figure 5.1 Pressure (in kPa) distribution at the end of production history (250 days) for the
Cardium well with different distribution of LF ........................................................................ 35
Figure 5.2 Log-log plot of daily oil rate as a function of time for the Cardium well in Case A
over 250 days ............................................................................................................................... 36
Figure 5.3 Relationship between xf –nf for the Bakken well ................................................... 38
Figure 5.4 Schematic of the base case with eight natural fractures for the Bakken well ..... 40
Figure 5.5 Pressure (in kPa) distribution for the base case (Bakken well) at the end of
production history (4.5 years) .................................................................................................... 40
Figure 5.6 Log-log plot of daily oil rate as a function of time for the Bakken well .............. 41
Figure 5.7 Pressure (in kPa) distribution for the sequential case (Bakken well) at the end of
production history (4.5 years) .................................................................................................... 42
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Figure 5.8 Log-log plot of daily oil rate as a function of time for the base case and the
sequential case (Bakken well) .................................................................................................... 43
Figure 5.9 Log-log plot of daily oil rate as a function of time for the base case and all
sequential cases (Bakken well) ................................................................................................... 44
Figure 5.10 Log-log plot of daily oil rate as a function of time for non-sequential and
sequential cases............................................................................................................................ 45
Figure 5.11 Pressure (in kPa) distribution of the Bakken well at 4.5 years and the
histogram of Lf for ...................................................................................................................... 47
Figure 5.12 Log-log plot of daily oil rate as a function of time of the Bakken well for Case A
....................................................................................................................................................... 48
Figure 5.13 Log-log plot of daily oil rate as a function of time of the Bakken well for Case A
with higher matrix permeability (0.0026mD) ........................................................................... 49
Figure 5.14 Schematic of non-symmetric drainage for the Bakken well ............................... 51
Figure 5.15 Pressure (in kPa) distribution of the Bakken well after 4.5 years for ............... 52
Figure 5.16 Log-log plot of daily oil rate as a function of time of the Bakken well for Case B
....................................................................................................................................................... 54
Figure 5.17 Schematic of fully-conncected and non-conncected natural fractures for the
Bakken well.................................................................................................................................. 55
Figure 5.18 Log-log plot of daily oil rate as a function of time of the Bakken well for cases
X
with varying natural fracture connectivity (4.5 years) ............................................................ 56
Figure 5.19 Schematic of fully-conncected and non-conncected hydraulic fractures for the
Bakken well.................................................................................................................................. 57
Figure 5.20 Log-log plot of daily oil rate as a function of time of the Bakken well for cases
with varying hydraulic fracture connectivity (4.5years) ......................................................... 58
Figure 5.21 Pressure (in kPa) distribution of the Bakken well after 4.5 years when
RL=0.224 ....................................................................................................................................... 59
Figure 6.1 Average gas saturation in hydraulic fracture during the first 30 days for the
Bakken well.................................................................................................................................. 61
Figure 6.2 Input PVT data for the Bakken models with different bubble-point pressure .. 62
Figure 6.3 Log-log plots of production profiles for the Bakken models with different
bubble-point pressure ................................................................................................................. 63
Figure 6.4 Log-log plots of production profiles for the Bakken models with different
relative permeability endpoints ................................................................................................. 64
Figure 6.5 Log-log plots of production profiles for the Bakken models with different
relative permeability curvatures ............................................................................................... 65
Figure 6.6 Oil and water saturation profiles in matrix as a function of distance from the
fracture-matrix interface for the dual-porosity model at: ...................................................... 68
Figure 6.7 Different capillary pressure curve for matrix ........................................................ 69
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Figure 6.8 Oil and water saturation profiles in matrix as a function of time for the dual-
porosity model with different capillary pressure:.................................................................... 70
Figure 6.9 Oil and water saturation profiles in saturation in matrix as a function of
distance from the fracture-matrix interface for the dual-porosity models with different
capillary pressure at 30 days: .................................................................................................... 71
Figure 6.10 Log-log plot of daily rate versus time for the dual-porosity models with
different capillary pressure in matrix during 91 days: ........................................................... 72
Figure 6.11 Average oil saturation in fracture in models in as a function of time for the
dual-porosity model different capillary pressure: ................................................................... 73
Figure 6.12 Log-log plot of cumulative oil versus time for the dual-porosity models with
different capillary pressure in matrix during 91 days ............................................................. 74
Figure 6.13 Log-log plot of daily rate versus time for the dual-porosity models with
different capillary pressure in matrix during 91 days: ........................................................... 75
Figure 6.14 Oil and water saturation profiles in matrix as a function of .............................. 77
Figure 6.15 Triple-porosity models with different capillary pressure: .................................. 78
Figure 6.16 Different relative permeability in matrix system by changing endpoint of krow80
Figure 6.17 Saturation profiles in saturation in matrix as a function of distance from the
fracture-matrix interface with different endpoint of krow at 30 days:.................................... 81
Figure 6.18 Log-log plot of daily rate versus time for the dual-porosity models with
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different kro endpoints in matrix during 91 days: .................................................................. 82
Figure 6.19 Different relative permeability in matrix system by changing curvature of krow
....................................................................................................................................................... 83
Figure 6.20 Saturation profiles in saturation in matrix as a function of distance from the
fracture-matrix interface with different curvature of krow at 30 days: .................................. 84
Figure 6.21 Log-log plot of daily rate versus time for the dual-porosity models with
different krow curvature in matrix during 91 days:.................................................................. 85
Figure 6.22 Schematic of calculation procedure for ∆krow:..................................................... 86
Figure 6.23 Saturation profiles in saturation as a function of distance from the fracture-
matrix interface with different capillary pressure in matrix at 30 days: .............................. 87
Figure 6.24 Log-log plot of daily rate versus time for the dual-porosity models with
different capillary pressure in matrix during 91 days: ........................................................... 88
Figure 6.25 Δq as a function of time in models with different endpoint of krow .................... 89
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Nomenclature and Greek Symbols
𝐴𝑐𝑤 = cross-sectional area to flow defined as2ℎ𝑋𝑒, /m 2
𝐵𝑔 = formation volume factor of gas, rm 3/sm 3
𝐵𝑜 = formation volume factor of oil, rm 3/m 3
𝑐𝑡 = total compressibility, kPa −1
df = length of natural fracture, m
𝐸𝑔 = Gas expansion factor: 1/𝐵𝑔, sm 3/rm 3
f s = transfer function
ℎ = reservoir thickness, m
HF = hydraulic fracture
𝑘𝑚 = matrix permeability, mD
𝑘 𝐹 = hydraulic fracture permeability, mD
𝑘𝑓 = natural fracture permeability, mD
orowk = endpoint of oil relative permeability
𝑘 𝑟𝑜𝑔 = oil relative permeability
rwk = water relative permeability
𝐿𝐹 = hydraulic fracture spacing, m
𝐿𝑓 = natural fracture spacing, m
𝐿𝑤 = spacing between two horizontal wells, m
NF = natural (secondary) fracture
𝑛F = number of hydraulic fracture stages
𝑛f = number of natural fractures
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𝑃𝑏 = bubble-point pressure, kPa
𝑃𝑖 = initial reservoir pressure, kPa
𝑃𝑤𝑓 = minimum wellbore flowing pressure, kPa
Pcq = the difference in oil rate between models with different capillary pressure in matrix,
m 3/day
Dq = dimensionless wellbore rate
𝑅𝑠 = solution gas-oil ratio, m 3/m 3
s = laplace variable, t-1, s-1
𝑆𝑜𝑟𝑤 = residual oil saturation
𝑆𝑤 = water saturation
𝑆𝑤𝑖 = initial water saturation
𝑆𝑤𝑛 = normalized water saturation
SRV = stimulated reservoir volume
𝑤𝐹 = hydraulic fracture width, m
𝑤𝑓 = natural (secondary) fracture width, m
𝑋𝑒 = effective well length, m
Dey = dimensionless reservoir half-length
𝑥𝑓 = hydraulic fracture half-length, m
𝑦e = reservoir half-length, m
= interporosity transmissivity ratio
= storativity ratio, dimensionless
𝜇 = viscosity, cp
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𝜙𝑚 = matrix porosity
𝜙𝐹 = hydraulic fracture porosity
𝜙𝑓 = natural (secondary) fracture porosity
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1 General Introduction
1.1. Overview and Background
Unconventional resources have become an increasingly important energy supply in North
America in the past two decades. Shale gas, tight oil, tight gas and coal-bed methane have been
widely explored and exploited as commercial resources around the world. The proliferation of
activity into shale plays has increased the production of shale gas. In North America, it makes
the contribution of shale gas to total natural gas production from less than 1% in 2000, to 39%
for the United States and 15% for Canada separately. (Stevens 2012; US Energy Information
Administration, 2013a).
Unconventional resources are in the unconventional reservoirs that are with low matrix
permeability in the order of nano darcies (10-6 mD) to micro darcies (10-3 mD) (Best and
Katsube, 1995), small porosity (less than 10%) and small pore size in the order of nano meters
(10-9 m) (Nelson, 2009). Large well-reservoir contact area is required to achieve commercial
production from the unconventional reservoirs (Ning et al., 1993).
The use of multilateral horizontal drilling in conjunction with multi-stage hydraulic fracturing
technologies has greatly expanded the ability to produce natural gas and oil profitably from
unconventional plays (Wang et al., 2008; Medeiros et al., 2010). The first application of
hydraulic fracturing can back to 19th century. In the 1970s, the developments of Devonian shale
in the eastern US foster the crucial technologies for unconventional resources, which including
horizontal drilling, multi-stage fracturing and slick water fracturing (US Energy Information
Administration, 2013b). After the 1990s, the advances in horizontal drilling and hydraulic
fracturing techniques, successful development of shale gas system such as Barnett Shale in
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Texas, US have led to increased exploitation and development internationally and large-scale
shale gas production in North America.
The decline in conventional resources and increasing demand for energy supply make oil
companies more active to seek out new unconventional reservoirs for commercial development.
However, development of unconventional formations still faces engineering challenges. Since
the hydraulic fracturing system creates complex fracture network along horizontal wellbore,
understanding the multiphase flow in the fracturing system is essential for reservoir estimation
and production forecast, which can eventually lead to better optimization of drilling and
production process. Moreover, because of the extremely small nano pore size in unconventional
reservoirs, capillary end effect will play a more important role in hydrocarbon recovery,
compared with inhigh permeability high porosity conventional reservoirs.
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1.2. Problem Statement
Existing triple-porosity models typically assume sequential flow from matrix to micro fractures
and from micro fractures to hydraulic fracture. Modeling simultaneous depletion of a matrix
block into both micro and hydraulic fractures entails solution of a two-dimensional continuity
equation that is challenging by analytical or even semi-analytical methods. In addition,
production data analysis is an inverse problem with non-unique solutions. Analysis with
analytical models and type-curves provides deterministic and homogeneous estimates,
representing an average parameter value and rendering uncertainty analysis of fracture properties
difficult. In other word, it is hard to capture the uncertainties associated with reservoir
heterogeneity.
Field data usually show a rapid decline of oil production or low water flowback from fractured
horizontal wells. It has been hypothesized that multiphase effects such as phase blockage are
partly responsible for inefficient fracturing water and hydrocarbon recovery. Furthermore, recent
imbibition experiments indicate the significance of capillary pressure during multiphase flow in
unconventional rocks. In the late part of this thesis, we hypothesize that the discontinuity of
capillary pressure at fracture-matrix interface leads to significant phase blockage and relative
permeability effects, which in turn result in production decline. To test this hypothesis, we run a
series of simulation case studies to investigate the role of capillary discontinuity on multi-phase
production from fractured horizontal wells.
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1.3. Research Objectives
In this thesis, we use a commercial reservoir simulator to compute the transient response in a
segment of a hydraulically fractured horizontal well with a triple-porosity model, where matrix
and fracture elements are explicitly discretized. Some limitations in analytical models such as
sequential flow, single-phase flow and fully-connected symmetric fractures are investigated
using the actual rate data from two tight oil wells completed in the Cardium and Bakken
formations. An early drop in production, as commonly observed in many tight oil wells, could be
attributed to gas dissolution with pressure decline and multiphase flow effects. Impacts of
pressure interference between natural fractures and inter-well fracture communication are also
investigated. Uncertainty in model parameter estimation is studied by assuming that results
obtained from analytical solutions would characterize the mean estimate of the corresponding
fracture parameters, additional heterogeneous models of natural/induced micro-fracture
properties including its total number and intensity (spacing) are assigned stochastically. These
models are subsequently subjected to flow simulations, and the variability in production
performance captures the sensitivity due to model parameter uncertainties.
In addition to this, the simulated saturation profiles confirm the existence of fracture-face effect,
which in principle is similar to the end-effect observed in laboratory coreflooding tests. Fracture-
face effect is caused by seeking capillary equilibrium in two systems with different capillary
pressures. The simulated production data indicate that fracture-face effect results in rapid
production decline. Less water blockage and higher production are observed in cases with lower
capillary contrast between fracture and matrix or higher relative permeability to the oil phase. It
is also observed that initial oil production increases slightly due to the displacement of oil by
water (wetting phase) near the fracture-matrix interface. This increase is more pronounced when
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we increase the capillary pressure in matrix blocks. However, long-term production is hampered
as a result of increased water blockage.
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1.4. Thesis Layout
Most of the research is using numerical reservoir simulation. Methodology consists of rate
transient analysis, history matching and sensitivity analysis.
The work in this thesis is divided into six chapters. Chapter 1 (the current chapter) provides the
background and the scope of this research including problem statement and some hypotheses.
Chapter 2 contains the introduction of modeling fractured well and transient flow. A detailed
literature review on multi-phase effects on production is also included in this chapter. An
overview of the geological features, reservoir heterogeneities and fracture characteristics for
typical tight oil reservoirs is included in Chapter 3. A discussion of the hydraulic fracturing
operation is also presented. This discussion serves as a basis for the numerical models employed
in this thesis. Chapter 4 presents the details of the proposed modeling methodology. Rate
transient analysis (RTA), Laplace transform and history matching are all explained in this
chapter. Chapter 5 comprises numerical investigation of limitations and assumptions of
analytical transient flow models. Several case studies are performed to highlight the non-
uniqueness of fracture characterization in production data analysis. Chapter 6 investigates two
multi-phase effects in tight oil production which are solution gas and capillary end effect. Some
sensitivity including relative permeability, bottom-hole pressure and capillary pressure are tested
in these two cases. Chapter 7 summarizes the major findings of the conducted research and
presents suggestions for future research on this topic.
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2 Literature Review
2.1 A Brief Background of Unconventional Reservoirs
Unconventional resources are hydrocarbon reservoirs which have low permeability and porosity,
include shale gas, shale oil, tight gas, tight oil and coalbed methane. Tight gas and oil are the
hydrocarbon gathered in small, poorly connected cavities between poorly porous sandstone.
Shale gas and oil are the hydrocarbon which still remain in the bedrock where it formed instead
of migrating to more permeable rock. Shale is characterized as a fine-grained, clastic
sedimentary rock composed of clay minerals and quartz grains (Crain, 2012). It has lower
permeability and porosity than tight sandstone reservoirs. The hydrocarbon in organic-rich shale
reservoirs usually trapped in the surfaces of the shale rock particles (Curtis, 2002). Until 2013,
there are 7,299 trillion cubic feet of shale gas and 345 billion barrels shale or tight oil which
located in 95 basins around the world are identified as technically recoverable resources around
the world (US Energy Information Administration, 2013b).
Stimulation techniques such as horizontal drilling, multi-stage fracturing and slick water
fracturing are required for achieving economic hydrocarbon production from unconventional
reservoirs. However, effective developments must consider the complex characteristics of
hydraulic fracturing system, which make the reserve estimation and production forecast more
difficult than conventional reservoirs. Accurate modeling and analysis on hydraulic stimulated
reservoirs are essential for better optimization of drilling and production process.
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2.2 Modeling and Analysis of Flow Response in Hydraulically-Stimulated Tight Reservoirs
Multi-fractured horizontal wells are required to enhance reservoir contact area in order to
achieve economic production rates (Ning et al., 1993). Modeling and analysis of flow response
in hydraulically-stimulated tight reservoirs are required for reserve estimation and production
forecast. Works including Warren and Root (1963), Kazemi (1969) and Swaan (1976) have
provided the basis for analyzing flow in a dual-porosity system. In these models, fluid flows
from the low-permeability matrix into a high-permeability fracture network, which is connected
to the production wellbore. El-Banbi (1998) extended the dual-media model for application in
stimulated tight reservoirs. Five distinct alternating linear and bilinear flow regimes representing
depletion in hydraulic fracture and surrounding matrix blocks can be identified (Bello, 2009).
Abdassah and Ershaghi (1986) developed a triple-porosity model for analysis of pressure
transient data, which could explain the anomalous slope changes observed during various
transition periods. Since most tight reservoirs are also naturally fractured, more comprehensive
triple-porosity models encompassing hydraulic fractures, natural fractures and matrix blocks
were developed recently (Abdullah A G and Iraj E, 1996; Liu et al., 2003; Wu et al., 2004;
Alahmadi, 2010, 2013; Dehghanpour and Shirdel, 2011; Abbasi et al., 2014; Ali A J et al., 2013).
In these models, natural or secondary fracture is considered as the third porosity system (Gale et
al., 2007), which can improve the stimulated reservoir volume as compared to a dual-porosity
system involving only hydraulic fracture and matrix (Rogers et al., 2010; Castillo et al., 2011).
The aforementioned analytical models have been employed extensively in the areas of pressure
transient (PTA) and rate transient (RTA) analysis. Many authors have also proposed simplified
semi-analytical analysis equations that can be used to estimate various system parameters such as
hydraulic fracture half-length and fracture-matrix contact area (Bello, 2009; Szymczak et al.,
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2012; Ali et al., 2013). It should be emphasized that analytical or semi-analytical models are
essentially simplified solutions to the detailed governing equations. Unfortunately, production
data analysis is an inverse problem with non-unique solutions. Analysis with these analytical
models would typically yield a homogeneous deterministic estimate, representing an average
parameter value, but it fails to capture the uncertainties associated with reservoir heterogeneity
(Al-Ahmadi and Wattenbarger, 2011). At last, assumptions associated with most (semi-)
analytical models include single-phase flow (ignoring the effects of solution gas) and sequential
depletion from matrix to natural fractures and from natural fractures to hydraulic fracture (Al-
Ahmadi and Wattenbarger, 2011; Ali A J et al., 2013). These models also assume a fully-
connected natural fracture system, rendering detailed transient flow analysis in a triple-porosity
medium challenging.
In theory, numerical reservoir simulators can be used to estimate the transient flow response in a
triple porosity medium in which matrix blocks deplete into the two fracture networks
simultaneously within an arbitrary drainage volume; however, computational costs and
complexities of simulation models often hinder their efficiency in practice (Alkouh et al., 2012;
Kalantari -Dahaghi et al., 2012; Lee and Sidel, 2010). We demonstrate with production data
collected from two tight oil wells that the history matching process generates non-unique
solutions. The effects of boundary conditions, pressure interference and gas dissolution would
also introduce additional uncertainties in the parameters derived from analytical models. The
analysis workflow adopted in this study presents a practical framework for integrating numerical
simulations with analytical solutions to study the limitations of analytical transient flow models
and to quantify the uncertainty in production performance predictions.
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2.3 Modeling and Analysis of Multiphase Flow Response in Tight Reservoirs
Unconventional reservoirs have received a significant attention recent years due to recent
advances in horizontal drilling hydraulic fracturing and the large amount of recoverable oil and
gas (Isaacs 2008). Multi-hydraulically fractured horizontal wells could enhance production by
connecting artificial fractures with micro fractures. Modeling and analysis of multiphase flow
response in tight reservoirs with multiple fracture systems are required for reserve estimation and
production forecast.
Works such as Clark (1962), Synder (1969) and Iwai (1976) have provided the basis for
analyzing flow in a multi-phase fractured system. In these models, a set of differential equations
which combine Darcy’s law and the law of conservation of mass for each phase describe
reservoir behavior. Based on this, Kazemi (1976) combined these flow equations to build a three
dimensional, numerical simulator to simulate the water and oil flow in fractured reservoirs.
Fetkovich (1980) developed type curve analysis method for oil wells based on the material
balance equations and rate-time equations (Fetkovich, 1973). Fraim and Wattenbarger (1988)
presented a method to analyze multiphase flow with Fetkovich (1980) type curves. Rossen and
Kumar (1992) considered the effect of aperture distribution and gravity, developed a two-phase
flow model using Effective Medium Approximation (EMA) (Kirkpatrick, 1973). Effect of
fracture relative permeabilities on natural fractured reservoirs is investigated using Rossen and
Kumar model. (Rossen and Kumar, 1994). Eker et al. (2014) modified a single-phase pressure
drop equation, and introduced a multiphase flow model for analyzing well performance of
fractured shale oil and gas reservoirs.
Brownscombe and Dyes (1952) performed water-oil imbibition experiments and observed oil
can be displacement by water imbibition. The experiment results coupled with estimates of the
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extent of fracturing, concluded the capillary pressure could be a main recovery mechanism in the
highly fractured water-wet reservoir. Firoozabadi and Markeset (1992) performed drainage
experiment on stacked block and stacked slab rock samples and observed the capillary cross flow
enhanced the drainage rate. It is critical to know the capillary discontinuity in gravity drainage
(Horie et al., 1988; Labastie, 1990). Ignorance of fracture-face effect result in erroneous results
on relative permeability calculation in most of multiphase core flooding experiments (Qadeer et
al., 1991; Huang and Honarpour, 1998).). Rangel-German (2006) conducted water-air
imbibition and oil-water drainage experiments, concluded that capillary continuity play more
important role if the fractures are wider. Gupta et al. (2015) claimed that fracture-face effects
have minimal impact on field-scale recovery according to their corefloods results. In this paper,
we hypothesize that the discontinuity of capillary pressure at fracture-matrix may result in
production decline.
Although experimental studies are useful in understanding the system physics, they are also
costly and limited in study scale. Analytical models, though extensively employed in the areas of
pressure transient (PTA) and rate transient (RTA) analysis, are essentially simplified solutions to
the detailed governing equations; certain common assumptions include sequential depletion from
matrix to a fully-connected secondary fracture system and from secondary fractures to hydraulic
fracture (Al-Ahmadi and Wattenbarger, 2011; Ali et al., 2013) are often invoked. Numerical
reservoir simulators offer a viable alternative to estimate the transient flow response in a
complex medium in which fluids could flow into the two fracture networks simultaneously
within an arbitrary drainage volume.
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3 Geological and Production Characteristics of Tight Oil Reservoirs
In this chapter, geological characteristics, including those exhibited by complex multi-scale
heterogeneous fractured systems, of typical tight oil reservoirs are summarized. In addition,
completions/production technologies of horizontal wells and hydraulic fracturing are discussed,
as these techniques are commonly adopted to unconventional reservoir development. The
discussion would focus on two specific tight formations: Bakken and Cardium formations.
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3.1 Geological Characteristics
Bakken Formation
Recently, the Bakken formation has been regarded as one of the largest contiguous deposits in
North America due to its huge oil accumulation (US EIA, 2014). It is an interbedded sequence of
rock unit from the Late Devonian to Early Mississippian age underlying large areas of
northwestern North Dakota, Southern Saskatchewan, northeastern Montana and southwestern
Manitoba (NoRDQuiST, 1953). The rock formation consists of three distinct members: lower
and upper shale and middle member which is shown in Fig 3.1.
Figure 3.1 Schematic north-south cross section showing the Bakken and adjacent formations (USGS, 2013)
The upper and lower shale are organic-rich marine shale and share similar characteristics. Due to
their low porosity and low permeability, upper and lower shale are acting as seals to the
generated hydrocarbon (Wiley et al., 2004). The middle member is the main productive target of
the current development. It is composed of marine sandstone or siltstone with large amount of
14
carbonate grains and cements (Cox et al., 2008).
Production in the Bakken can be divided into three development periods, that is, conventional
vertical drilling (1953-1987), horizontal drilling in the upper shale (1987-2000) and horizontal
drilling in the middle Bakken (2000-now) (LeFever, 2004).The application of horizontal well
and hydraulic fracturing treatments have caused a considerable increasing in Bakken production
since 2000 .
Although average porosity (5%) and permeability (0.04 md) are much lower than typical oil
reservoirs, the existence of vertical secondary fractures have greatly enhanced the efficiency of
horizontal drilling (Pitman et al., 2001). In this way, it is easy for a borehole to contact thousands
of meters of oil reservoir rock with only about 40 m thickness (Baars, 1972). Also, production is
increased by artificially fracturing the rock to have fracture with high conductivity for oil
flowing into well (Yedlin, 2008). It has been proven that horizontal well with hydraulic
fracturing is the most effective treatment to develop the middle Bakken formation (Tabatabaei et
al., 2009).
Cardium Formation
The Cardium Formation is a stratigraphic unit of Late Cretaceous age and is a major source of oil
and natural gas (Krause et al., 1994). It extends from northeastern British Columbia near Dawson
Creek, to western Alberta. Oil is produced from Cardium formation in central Alberta, while
natural gas is produced in western Alberta. The sandstones in formation have good storage
ability and thick overlying becomes stratigraphic traps, while black shale, the underlying, is good
source rock (Alberta Geological Survey, 2009).
Porosity of the Cardium formation is typically less than 9% with permeability being less than 1
md. Variation of porosity and permeability within the matrix can be ignored, considering their
15
intrinsically low values (Hoch et al., 2003). Horizontal well and hydraulic fracturing are also
employed to connect to secondary fractures and enhance reservoir contact area or stimulated
reservoir volume (Alberta Research Council et al., 1994).
16
3.2 Hydraulic Fracturing
Hydrocarbon in tight reservoir is difficult to be produced due to very low permeability in
formation (Norbeck, 2011). Many unconventional reservoirs have recovery rate of less than 2%
of OGIP which is much less compared with conventional reservoirs of 80% (King 2010; Moore
2010). Recently, hydraulic fracturing becomes a successful technology and widely used in tight
reservoirs to improve hydrocarbon production performance (Hossain and Rahman, 2008).
Hydraulic fracturing is a formation stimulation technique used to create additional permeability
by fracturing production formation with pressurized liquids (Veatch et al., 1989). Hydraulic
fracturing operations are always performed by several portions of the lateral in horizontal well
and fracturing of each portion is called a stage (DOE, 2009). Hydraulic fractures are induced in
two phases (Weijers, 1995). At first, preparations such as perforation on casing and creating
finger-like holes in formation are followed by pumping viscous fluids into well (Taleghani,
2009). A fracture is formed from perforation and develops into reservoir when bottom-hole
pressure is above breakdown pressure and fracture width becomes relatively large during
pumping (Cipolla et al. 2009). Next, fracturing slurry containing fluid and proppant is injected.
This slurry increases width and length of fracture and transports the proppant into the end of
fracture. Proppant is solid which can prevent the fractures from closing after finishing injection
(Gandossi, 2013). Proppant distribution, controlled by proppant selection, fluids viscosity and
fracture complexity, influences productivity of hydraulic fracture directly (Daneshy, 2004;
Cipolla et al. 2009). Fig 3.2 shows a comparison that a fracture with or without proppant after
pumping stops.
Cipolla et al. (2008) proposed that production enhancements in tight reservoir could be achieved
by complex fracture and average proppant concentration would decrease with fracture
17
complexity increasing. Cipolla et al. (2009) claimed that proppant transport and proppant-filled
height play important role in tight unconventional reservoirs. Using “waterfracs” which consists
of treated water and very low proppant concentrations in recent hydraulic fracturing treatments
has been successful in tight reservoirs (Fredd et al., 2000).
Figure 3.2 Proppant distribution in hydraulic fracture (Cipolla et al. 2009)
After slurry with proppant is pumped in, fluid with lower viscosity flows back out of the well, a
fracture with high conductivity is formed (Veatch et al., 1989). Typical widths of hydraulic
fractures are less than 0.6 cm, which is quite narrow. However, the effective length of hydraulic
fracture can goes to as long as 900 m (Buchsteiner et al., 1993).
Hydraulic fractures are tensile fractures, and they always open in the direction of least
resistance (Nolen-Hoeksema, 2013). Some geologic discontinuities (joints, bedding planes, faults
and stress contrasts) have significant influences on hydraulic fracture, including reducing total
18
length of hydraulic fracture by fluid leak-off or difficulty of proppant transport and placement
(Warpinski and Teufel, 1987). Micorseismic imaging of fracture is relied on detection of micro-
earthquakes or acoustic emissions associated with fracture (Urbancic et al., 1999). It can be used
to characterize the fracture network (including fracture spacing, conductivity, degree of
complexity, arimuth and fracture dimensions) and approximate fracture geometry (Fisher et al.,
2002; Mayerhofer et al., 2006; Nejadi et al., 2015). Fractures are responsible for the main part of
the permeability and mechanical closure of fracture is associated with pressure decline (Raaen et
al., 2001). In other word, pressure declined can be a result of reduced fracture size, i.e. the
pressure is less than or equal to the smallest principal stress in some part of the fracture (Fjar et
al., 2008). Decreasing the fluid pressure causes the fracture to close, and the permeability
decreases because of the smaller aperture (Walsh, 1981). Fracture closure can directly lead to
production decline. Hence, modelling of fracture geometry is important in hydraulic fracturing
for enhancing production in low-permeability reservoirs (Teufel and Clark, 1984).
For Bakken formation, horizontal well and hydraulic fracturing are used to achieve optimum
recovery (Miller et al., 2008). Phillips, et al., (2007) highlighted the importance of fractures with
high conductivity in Bakken horizontal wells and claimed that proppant characteristics are key
parameter for transverse fractures (Fig 3.3). Due to low permeability in Bakken, horizontal well
with multi-stage hydraulic fractures are required to increase oil production (Hassen et al., 2012).
Others have suggested that the length of a hydraulic fracture is the most important factor
influencing hydrocarbon productivity (Tabatabaei et al., 2009). It is also concluded that the
optimum fracturing job would be the fracturing treatment that will cross and connect as much of
the natural fracture system to the wellbore as possible. (Dahi, 2009).
19
Figure 3.3 Horizontal well with transversely intersecting fracture (Phillips, et al., 2007)
20
3.3 Natural Fracture (Secondary Fracture)
Secondary or natural fractures have been recognized as an important factor for hydrocarbon
recovery in unconventional reservoirs (Gale et al., 2014). Hydrocarbon recovery commonly
exceeds the rate which is expected from hydraulic-fracture stimulation of intact host rock alone
(Medeiros et al., 2010; Al-Ahmadi and Wattenbarger, 2011; Walton and McLennan, 2013; Yan
et al., 2013). Natural fracture can be generated by many different process include 1) local stress
perturbations; 2) regional burial; 3) stress change due to oil and gas generation or diagenetic
reactions; 4) tectonic palaeostress; 5) accommodation effects around major faults and folds; 6)
local structures and 6) stress release during uplift (Gale and Holder, 2010). The natural fractures
in unconventional reservoirs are poorly connected to each other, rendering the formations
economically unproductive. Without hydraulic fracturing stimulation, many tight gas reservoirs
have been estimated to recover less than 2% of original gas in place (OGIP) (King, 2010; Moore,
2010). The connectivity of natural fractures can be effectively reactivated by hydraulic fracturing
operations associated with complex microseismic event (Blanton, 1982; Warpinski and Teufel,
1987; Fisher et al., 2002, 2005; Dunphy and Campagna, 2011; Fisher and Warpinski, 2012),
which will ultimate increase the estimated ultimate recovery (EUR) of tight gas reservoir to
nearly 50% (King, 2010). Lack of site-specific natural fracture information is an impediment to
understanding microseismic patterns and evaluating the hydraulic fracturing efficiency.
The overall productivity of a well and the role of natural fractures play as mechanical
discontinuities and flow conduits depend on the number of fractures, fracture connectivity, and
fracture characteristics (Wei and Economides, 2005). Understanding the characterization of the
natural fracture has been considered as an important factor for determining the hydraulic
fracturing, designing the well completion strategies and estimating the hydrocarbon production
21
performance (Aguilera, 2008). Fracturing properties such as fracture length, fracture width,
fracture permeability, fracture conductivity, spatial arrangement, strength and cohesion and
fracture mode (opening or shear) can be inferred from a variety of data including production
data, core samples, resistivity image logs and cuttings and mud log data from drilling process
(Norbeck, 2011).
Fracture abundance can be evaluated by fracture intensity or spacing, which is defined as number
of fractures of a given size per unit of rock (scanline length, outcrop area or rock volume)
(Ortega et al., 2006). It is more accurate when more fractures are sampled in a core or outcrop.
However, sparse fractures are difficult to be captured in a limited area of outcrops, or the fracture
clustering is easily misleading the fracture abundance observations. Another method to measure
the fracture abundance is spacing, which is defined as separation between adjacent fractures,
calculated as the inverse of intensity (Narr, 1996). Spacing is effectively analyzed in horizontal
well data sets collected from a large outcrop. Fracture density or P32 is another measure of the
fracture abundance, which is defined as the ratio of fracture surface area to rock volume
(Dershowitz and Einstein, 1988). Fracture trace data in borehole images or whole core can be
used to provide sufficient data sets for quantification of fracture density (Barthélémy et al.,
2009). However, it is difficult to calculate or measure the fracture surface area and the
micrometer wide fractures are difficult to be identified on chattered surfaces of the core. Vertical
intensity of natural fractures are varies from 7 to 160 fractures per 100 ft for the unconventional
reservoirs (Gale et al., 2014).
Geometry of an individual fracture is defined by its size (length and aperture) and orientation
(i.e., dip and azimuth angle). Many unconventional formations exhibit a wide range of fracture
size. Kinematic apertures range from micrometer to millimeter for both tight and shale reservoirs
22
(Laubach and Gale, 2006; Gale et al., 2014). The population of natural fracture usually follows a
power-law size distribution (Marrett et al., 1999; Ortega and Marrett, 2000). Fracture length can
be observed on some outcrop or quarry, but it is limited by the fracture exposure and the fracture
may be not well preserved because of weathering (Olson, 2003). The maximum length observed
by Gale et al.(2014) is around 40 m length with about 3 m height and 0.5 to 1 mm thick in
Marcellus quarry outcrop. Natural fractures in shale are typically parallel arranged to the bedding
plane, and propagate along the plane perpendicular to the least-compressive principal stress
(Secor, 1966). Similar fracture orientations may indicate they formed under a similar stress
regime (Hodgson, 1961; Hancock, 1985). Systematic regional patterns (consistent or gradually
varying fracture patterns) of fracture strike has been observed in many basins include the
Appalachian Plateau (Nickelsen and Hough, 1967; Engelder et al., 2009), the midcontinent New
Albany (Ault, 1989) and the Michigan Basin Antrim Shales (Apotria et al., 1994). However,
some formation also contain unsymmetrical fracture strike patterns. For example, fracture sets
are not always follow the same sets in the outcrop in parts of the New Albany Shale (Gale and
Laubach, 2009). This can be explained by weathering changes (Fidler, 2011), stress-field rotation
(Rijken and Cooke, 2001).
Multiple orientation fracture patterns can be observed in shales with complex regional loading
patterns and isotropic stress (Tuckwell et al., 2003; Fidler, 2011). Formation with such highly
interconnected fracture pattern shows better production performance compare to the similar
formation with a similar number of fractures but not well-connected (Philip et al., 2002).
Natural fracture permeability of a tight reservoir can be varied from 3 to 100 mD (Rubin, 2010;
Cheng, 2012; Fakcharoenphol et al., 2013; Wattenbarger and Alkouh, 2013). Natural fracture
porosity can be typically varied from 0.1% to 8% in unconventional formations (Nelson, 1985;
23
Weber and Bakker, 1981). The natural fracture porosity can be underestimated because the size-
dependent sealing patterns make the larger fractures tends to host great porosity (Laubach,
2003). Fracture porosity is far more compressible than normal matrix porosity (Ostensen, 1983).
Fracture porosity usually decreases linearly with the log of confining stress (Walsh, 1981; Walsh
and Grosenbaugh, 1979). Laboratory studies using tight sandstones shows the linear relation of
fracture porosity and the log of confining stress (Jones and Owens, 1980; Sampath, 1982). The
permeability of jointed natural fractures can be significantly reduced due to the stress decreasing.
The fracture wound not be fully closure and the permeability is still higher than matrix
permeability (Gutierrez et al., 2000; Cho et al., 2013). For partly cemented natural fractures, the
fracture is naturally propped with cement, which can prohibit closure from the stress decrease
during production.
Not all natural fractures contribute to production. It depends on whether they are connected to
the hydraulically fracture or activated according to the stress conditions (Cipolla et al., 2009).
Natural fractures with high permeability and well-connected to the hydraulic fractures, usually
have a positive effect on hydrocarbon recovery (Curtis, 2002; Engelder et al., 2009). High
permeability natural fractures can also be a hindrance to hydrocarbon recovery (Dyke et al.,
1995). For a conductive fracture system, water may only drain high permeability fractures but
not low-permeability oil-saturated pores. Conductive fractures may also result in early
breakthrough of water and hydrocarbon. For long-term production, natural fractures might close
or be less contact with the hydraulic fracture system due to the fluid pressure depletion (Pagels et
al., 2012; McClure, 2014). The horizontal natural fractures may act as barriers to hinder the
hydraulic fracture propagate vertically when they intersect (Weng et al., 2011).
It is hard to measure natural fractures properties (such as permeability and length) by using log
24
imaging. In tight reservoir it is not practical to use well test analysis to estimate natural fracture
properties because low reservoir permeability slows down the reservoir responses and testing
time is long (Nejadi et al., 2014). Alternatively, analysis of dynamic production data has been
adopted for estimations of fracture properties. However, production data analysis is an inverse
problem with non-unique solutions (Nejadi et al., 2014). In this thesis, we have an integration of
analytical solution and numerical solution to quantify uncertainties in reservoir and fracture
properties.
25
4 Methodology
A commercial black-oil simulator (Computer Modeling Group, 2013) is used to construct a 2-D
numerical model composed of three interacting media: natural fractures (NF), matrix blocks and
hydraulic fractures (HF). There are no restrictions regarding the flow direction and the number
of fluid phases. If we assume that hydraulic fracture stages are evenly spaced and symmetric, the
simulation domain can be represented simply by a segment of a horizontal well with two bi-wing
hydraulic fractures as shown in Fig 3.1. The top view of a horizontal well oriented along the x-
direction with two additional fracture systems is illustrated. Perforation is placed in the center of
the simulation model where the hydraulic fracture is intersecting with the horizontal well. Some
natural fractures are positioned evenly at each side of horizontal well.
Figure 4.1 Top view of a horizontal well in triple-porosity model
The model depicts essentially a “single-porosity” medium, where matrix and fracture systems are
explicitly discretized, and distinct properties are assigned to grid blocks that belong to each of
the three systems. Due to the vast difference in the width dimensions of fractures and matrix, a
logarithmic local grid refinement (LGR) scheme is employed to discretize regions around the
Hydraulic FractureNatural Fracture
Well
26
fractures, enhancing stability of the numerical solution while accurately capturing the transient
responses within the fractures. The grid size varies from 0.05 m in the fracture cells to 10 m in
the matrix cells that are located far away from the fracture.
4.1 Rate Transient Analysis
Parameters in the simulation model should be assigned according to known field
observations/operating variables, as well as results obtained from RTA analysis. Analytical
models such as Bello (2009) or Ezulike et al. (2015) can be used to estimate the system
parameters pertinent to a dual-porosity or triple-porosity system, respectively. After
identification of the observable flow regimes from the data, analysis equations can be applied to
compute properties such as fracture permeability, fracture intensity, reservoir half-length (ye) or
stimulated reservoir volume (SRV). It is likely that a number of combinations of different
parameter values could result in the same production data match.
27
4.2 Analytical Solution: Using Laplace Transform
The assumption of evenly-distributed hydrauclic fracturing stages is explored in this section.
Analytical models are applied to the Cardium well data to estimate a number of unknown
parameters. First, the dual-porosity model of Bello (2009) is used to estimate the unknown
hydraulic fracture properties such as half-length and permeability of hydraulic fracture. The rate-
normalized pressure or RNP plots of three dominant flow regions are shown in Fig 3.2. For the
bilinear region, a plot of RNP against √𝑡4
(Fig 3.2a) yields a straight-line slope 𝑚1, which is
substituted into Bello’s region 2 analysis equation to obtain kF:
√𝑘𝐹 = 966 ×𝜇𝐵𝑜
𝐴𝑐𝑤√𝐿𝐹 √
1
𝑘𝑚(∅𝑐𝑡)𝑡𝜇
4×
1
𝑚1 (1)
Where kF = hydraulic fracture permeability; LF = spacing between fracture stages; = fluid
viscosity; ct = total compressibility; = porosity; Bo = oil formation volume factor; km = matrix
permeability; and 𝐴𝐶𝑊 = cross-sectional area to flow defined as 2ℎ𝑋𝑒 (Xe = effective well
length). The half-length of hydraulic fracture (xF) is estimated by substituting the straight-line
slope 𝑚2obtained from a plot of RNP against √𝑡 (Fig 3.2b) for the linear flow regime into
Bello’s region 4 analysis equation:
𝑥𝐹 =5.8𝐵𝑜𝐿𝐹
𝐴𝑐𝑤√
𝜇
𝑘𝑚(∅𝑐𝑡)𝑡×
1
𝑚2 (2)
The values of kF and xF are estimated to be 1090 mD and 112 m, respectively.
Next, data from the boundary-dominated (linear pseudo steady state) flow regime is analyzed
with the model described by Siddiqui et al. (2012). Assuming hydraulic fractures are fully
28
connected between wells (i.e., ye = xF), ye and km can be estimated. A plot of RNP against
material balance time (MBT) (Fig 3.2c) would yield a straight-line slope 𝑚𝑠𝑠 and intercept 𝑏𝑠𝑠:
𝑥𝐹 =𝐵𝑜
2(∅𝑐𝑡)𝑚ℎ𝑛𝐹 𝐿𝐹×
1
𝑚𝑠𝑠 (3)
𝑘𝑚 =𝜇𝐵𝑜𝐿𝐹
24𝑛𝐹 𝑥𝐹ℎ×
1
𝑏𝑠𝑠 (4)
Where h = formation thickness; xF and km are evaluated to be 101 m and 0.034 mD, respectively.
It is noticed that the correlation between RNP and MTB is not very strong in Fig 3.2c. This
might introduce uncertainties in the estimation of xF and km using this method. It is expected that
some discrepancies would exist between xF values estimated using the two different analytical
models. Unlike Siddiqui’s model, estimation of xF form Bellos’s model depends on the value of
km. In this analysis, a permeability value of 1.34 mD was measured from core samples, and it
was used as km in Bellos’s analysis. This km value, however, is substantially larger than the
estimate from Siddiqui’ model, since micro fractures might exist in the core samples and true km
is difficult to measure. Therefore, the value of km obtained from Siddiqui’s model could serve as
another estimate of the true matrix permeability.
Finally, a quadrilinear flow model (QFM) proposed by Ezulike and Dehghanpour (2013) is
applied to estimate additional unknown parameters including number of natural fractures (nf),
natural fracture permeability (kf), distance between two natural fractures (Lf). Laplace transform
was used to solve a set of governing equations that describe simultaneous depletion of single-
phase flow from matrix to natural fracture and hydraulic fracture under constant bottom-hole
pressure or constant rate at the inner boundary. Type-curve solutions are subsequently
constructed by inverting the solutions from the Laplace space (s) to real time numerically
(Ezulike and Dehghanpour, 2013). Eqs.5-14 are the solutions in Laplace space for the
29
dimensionless rate at the wellbore with constant bottom-hole pressure.
De
Dyssfs
ssfq
coth (5)
Where
sfsfs
ssfssfs
sf mmFmAC
ff
FfAC
F tanh3
tanh3
,, (6)
And
FmAC
mm
ssf
,
23
(7)
And
fmAC
m
fmAC
m
FfAC
fmAC
FfAC
f
f
ss
ssf
,
1
,
1
,
,
,
3tanh
33
(8)
Where
cw
eDe
A
yy (9)
tt
FtF
c
c
(10)
tt
mtm
c
c
(11)
cwF
m
f
fmAC Ak
k
L
1
2,
12 (12)
cwF
m
F
FmAC Ak
k
L
2
2,
12 (13)
cwF
f
F
FfAC Ak
k
L2,
12 (14)
Here, 1 and 1 are weighting parameters, which control the fraction of fluid in the matrix that
depletes into natural fracture and hydraulic fracture, respectively, during production; km1 and km2
denote matrix permeability in flow to natural fracture and hydraulic fracture, respectively. A
match between QFM type-curves and production data is illustrated in Fig 3.2d.
30
Figure 4.2 Analysis of the Cardium well production data with analytical models
(a) –RNP against √𝒕𝟒
for bilinear flow; (b) – RNP against √𝒕 for linear flow;
(c) – RNP against MBT for boundary-dominated flow; (d) – QFM type-curve matching
The same analysis is repeated for the second well completed in the Bakken formation. Results
for xF are in good agreement with those reported in the literature. Duhault (2012) and Quirk et al.
(2012) have observed 60 m < xF < 300 m in Cardium formation, while O’Brien et al. (2012)
estimated 135 m < xF < 275 m from micro-seismic studies in the Bakken formation.
(a) (b)
0.E+00
5.E+02
1.E+03
2.E+03
2.E+03
3.E+03
3.E+03
4.E+03
4.E+03
0.E+00 1.E+03 2.E+03 3.E+03 4.E+03 5.E+03 6.E+03 7.E+03
RN
P (
kPa/
(sm
3/d
ay))
t (hr)
0.E+00
5.E+00
1.E+01
2.E+01
2.E+01
3.E+01
3.E+01
0.E+00 2.E-01 4.E-01 6.E-01 8.E-01 1.E+00
1/q
D
tD
(c) (d)
31
4.3 History Matching and Sensitivity Analysis of Simulation Models
Additional adjustment or tuning of estimates derived from analytical models is required to
achieve a final production history match with the simulation models. It is assumed that the
results obtained from this history-matching process would characterize primarily the mean
values of the corresponding fracture parameter distributions. A series of stochastic models are
subsequently constructed and subjected to flow simulations in order to assess the uncertainties in
fracture intensity (spacing) and the impacts of different assumptions associated with the
analytical models. The variability (spread) in the simulation predictions would capture the
sensitivity due to uncertainty in these model parameters.
32
5 Numerical Investigation of Limitations and Assumptions of Analytical
Transient Flow Models
The RTA and history matching procedures described in the previous section have been applied in
two case studies, where production data from two horizontal wells completed in the Cardium
formation and Bakken formation are examined. Known model parameters summarized from field
reports are shown in Table 5.1 (Ezulike and Dehghanpour, 2013). A few other unknown
parameters are assigned based on typical values for these formations (Hlidek and Rieb, 2011;
Alcoser et al., 2012; Clarkson and Pederson, 2011) and RTA, as shown in Table 5.2. The value
of fracture conductivity (kF × wF) used in this study is comparable to typical field observation
(Cinco, 1978). Although the assumed value for fracture porosity (F) appears to be high in
comparison to field observation, a sensitivity analysis reveals that the effects of F on the
numerical solution are minimal. This is because porosity influences primarily the accumulation
term in the governing equations, and its impacts are subdued in a slightly-compressible system
(e.g., oil). On the other hand, fracture permeability, kF, has a strong influence on the simulated
flow response, as it is used in the flux calculations. Table 5.3 is range of parameters estimated
from RTA. Several cases for assessing the uncertainties and limitations of analytical models are
presented next.
Table 5.1 Known Field Data
Parameter Symbol Cardium Well Bakken Well Unit
Formation volume factor of oil
𝐵𝑜 1.221 1.329 rm 3/m 3
Viscosity 𝜇 1.13 0.5643 cp Initial reservoir pressure 𝑃𝑖 15575 46884 kPa
Minimum wellbore flowing pressure
𝑃𝑤𝑓 1000 1000 kPa
Total compressibility 𝑐𝑡 1.54 × 10−4 2.51 × 10−6 kPa −1
Matrix permeability 𝑘𝑚 - 0.0005 mD
Matrix porosity 𝜙𝑚 0.12 0.09 -
33
Effective well length 𝑋𝑒 1370 1707 m
Reservoir thickness ℎ 7 5.8 m Number of hydraulic
fracture stages 𝑛F - 16 -
Table 5.2 Unknown Data – Assumed based on typical values observed in Bakken reservoirs
Parameter Symbol Value Unit
Natural fracture permeability
𝑘𝑓 500 mD
Hydraulic fracture permeability
𝑘 𝐹 1000 mD
Natural fracture porosity 𝜙𝑓 0.6 -
Hydraulic fracture porosity
𝜙𝐹 0.8 -
Water saturation 𝑆𝑤 0.2 -
Hydraulic fracture width 𝑤𝐹 0.01 m Natural fracture width 𝑤𝑓 0.00005 m
Hydraulic fracture spacing
𝐿𝐹 106 m
Hydraulic fracture half-length
Natural fracture length
𝑦𝑒 𝑑𝑓
200 106
m m
Table 5.3 Unknown Data – Estimated based on rate transient analysis (RTA)
Parameter Symbol Value Unit
Natural fracture permeability
𝑘𝑓 104 − 520 mD
Hydraulic fracture permeability
𝑘 𝐹 245 − 1224 mD
Number of natural fracture
𝑛𝑓 6-19 -
Hydraulic fracture half-length
𝑦𝑒 141-235 m
34
5.1 Configuration of Multistage Hydrualic Fracturing
Next, a series of dual-porosity simulation models with four stages of hydraulic fracture are
constructed to investigate the uncertainty in spacing between fracture stages on production
performance of the Cardium well. Four different configurations or sets of LF are tested (Table
5.4), and the corresponding pressure distributions at the end of production history (250 days) are
illustrated in Fig 5.1. Fig 5.2 compares the production performances of all four cases, which
deviate from each other with time. As expected, oil rate for the Base Case (where fracture stages
are uniformly spaced) is the highest because pressure depletion and drainage is the most
effective. In fact, a difference of 30% is observed between the Base Case and Case 0-3. This
observation implies that if an analytical model assuming symmetry and uniform spacing between
fracture stages is used to analyze production data from a well with asymmetric fracture stages
and uneven spacing, a significant underestimation of the fracture half-length (and SRV) would be
expected. The analytical solution, though not realistic, has provided an alternative (non-unique)
estimation, which could be sufficiently useful for production forecast; however, underestimation
of fracture half-length or SRV could potentially impact future field development decisions such
as placement of nearby wells to maximize drainage.
Table 5.4 Spacing between the four stages of hydraulic fractures for the Cardium well in Case A
Case Number Distribution of LF Unit
Case 0-1 146.4, 2.4, 147.6 m
Case 0-2 20.4, 146.4, 2.4 m
Case 0-3 87.6, 79.2, 69.6 m
Base Case 71.7, 71.7, 71.7 m
35
Figure 5.1 Pressure (in kPa) distribution at the end of production history (250 days) for the Cardium well with
different distribution of LF
(a) Case 0-1; (b) Case 0-2; (c) Case 0-3; (d) Base Case.
P
0 100 200 300
0 100 200 300
-20
0-1
00
0
-20
0-1
00
0
0.00 145.00 290.00 feet
0.00 45.00 90.00 meters
File: case a-1.irfUser: Min YueDate: 2014/6/4
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3,520
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6,204
7,546
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10,231
11,573
12,915
14,257
15,600
Pressure (kPa) 2007-05-10 K layer: 1
P
0 100 200 300
0 100 200 300
-20
0-1
00
0
-20
0-1
00
0
0.00 145.00 290.00 feet
0.00 45.00 90.00 meters
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2,177
3,520
4,862
6,204
7,546
8,889
10,231
11,573
12,915
14,257
15,600
Pressure (kPa) 2007-05-10 K layer: 1
P
0 100 200 300
0 100 200 300
-20
0-1
00
0
-20
0-1
00
0
0.00 140.00 280.00 feet
0.00 45.00 90.00 meters
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2,139
3,485
4,831
6,177
7,523
8,869
10,215
11,561
12,908
14,254
15,600
Pressure (kPa) 2007-05-10 K layer: 1
(a) (b)
(c) (d)
36
Figure 5.2 Log-log plot of daily oil rate as a function of time for the Cardium well in Case A over 250 days
1
10
100
1 10 100 1000
Oil
Rat
e (
m3
/day
)
Time (day)
Base Case Case 0-1 Case 0-2 Case 0-3
Difference of 30%
37
5.2 Intensity/Spacing of SecondaryFractures
Approximate estimates of hydraulic fracture half-length (xf) and spacing between natural
fractures (or the number of natural fractures, nf) are obtained from production data analysis with
the triple-porosity analytical model described by Ezulike and Dehghanpour (2015). As discussed
in the previous sections, solutions to production data analysis are non-unique, and many different
combinations of these two parameters could yield the same data match. Therefore, based on the
ranges of values derived from RTA, a set of simulation cases with different number of natural
fractures (up to 20) are built and later matched with the production data. When the number of
natural fractures becomes zero, the model converges to a dual-porosity model. To match the
production data, different combinations of xf and nf are obtained. The final results for the
Bakken well are tabulated in Table 5.5 and presented graphically in Fig 5.3.
Table 5.5 History-matched hydraulic fracture half-length and the corresponding number of natural fractures for
the Bakken well
Dual-Porosity Case
Case 1 Case 2 Case 3 Case 4 Case 5
nf 0 2 4 8 12 20
xf 315 280 250 200 150 114
38
Figure 5.3 Relationship between xf –nf for the Bakken well
Interestingly, as the number of natural fractures increases, the history-matched hydraulic fracture
half-length is reduced. This is because natural fractures provide additional interface for matrix
depletion. In one extreme scenario where natural fractures are absent (representing a dual-
porosity system), a maximum hydraulic fracture half-length of 315m is required to achieve a
reasonable history match. This is almost three times the size in comparison to the other extreme
scenario where there are 20 natural fractures and a hydraulic fracture half-length of 114m. This
observation not only highlights the non-unique nature of production data analysis, but it also
demonstrates the important role of nf for production enhancement in a triple-porosity system.
In order to carry out further sensitivity analysis of other model parameters, a base case with nf =
8 and xf = 200 m is selected. A schematic of this base case is shown in Fig 5.4. Fig 5.5 shows the
pressure distribution for the base case at the end of production history after 4.5 years. Fig 5.6 is a
log-log plot of producing oil rate versus time for this base case along with the actual field data.
The overall trend of the production decline of the base case is in good agreement with the actual
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
0 5 10 15 20 25
x f(m
)
nf
39
field observations, but it fails to accurately predict two spikes in the oil production. The first
peak at 17 days corresponds to a drop in the bottom-hole pressure, while the second peak at 172
days is the result of reopening the well after a temporary shut-in. In this model, the bottom-hole
pressure is assumed to be constant.
40
Figure 5.4 Schematic of the base case with eight natural fractures for the Bakken well
Figure 5.5 Pressure (in kPa) distribution for the base case (Bakken well) at the end of production history (4.5
years)
Natural Fracture
Hydraulic Fracture
Well
1
2𝐿𝐹
𝑑𝑓
𝐿𝑓
𝑥𝑓𝑦𝑒
P
-200 -100 0 100 200 300
-200 -100 0 100 200 300
-300-200
-1000
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
0.00 205.00 410.00 feet
0.00 65.00 130.00 meters
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1,769
6,283
10,798
15,313
19,828
24,342
28,857
33,372
37,887
42,401
46,916
Pressure (kPa) 2011-07-07 K layer: 1
8 Natural Fractures
Hydraulic Fracture
Well
Perforation
41
Figure 5.6 Log-log plot of daily oil rate as a function of time for the Bakken well
0.1
1
10
1 10 100 1000 10000
Oil
Rat
e (
m3
/day
)
Time (day)
Filed Data Base Case
42
5.3 Non-Sequential Flow
In all analytical models, a series of 1-D sequential flows are assumed: fluid flows from matrix to
natural fractures then from natural fractures to hydraulic fracture. Several simulation models are
built to test this assumption for the Bakken well. All parameters are the same as described at
beginning of this chapter; however, the i-direction permeability in matrix is reduced to nearly
zero to simulate the sequential flow conditions. Therefore, pressure drop between natural fracture
and matrix is uniform along the entire natural fracture. Fig 5.7 shows the pressure distribution for
the sequential case at the end of production history after 4.5 years. The drainage area in matrix is
reduced substantially, as compared with the base case shown in Fig 5.5, due to zero flux between
matrix and hydraulic fracture.
Figure 5.7 Pressure (in kPa) distribution for the sequential case (Bakken well) at the end of production history
(4.5 years)
P
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-1000
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-300
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0
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6,072
10,611
15,149
19,687
24,225
28,763
33,302
37,840
42,378
46,916
Pressure (kPa) 2011-07-07 K layer: 1
43
Fig 5.8 compares the oil rate versus time for the sequential case and the base case. It can be
observed that the sequential model underestimates the oil rate as compared with the non-
sequential model, especially at early time. This observation implies that history matching with
analytical models would overestimate nf and xf to compensate the ignorance of matrix-hydraulic
fracture communication.
Figure 5.8 Log-log plot of daily oil rate as a function of time for the base case and the sequential case (Bakken
well)
To verify this hypothesis, more natural fractures are added to this sequential-flow case; two
additional models with 12 and 20 natural fractures are built. Fig 5.9 compares the daily oil rate
versus time for the base case and all three sequential cases (nf = 8, 12 and 20). As the number of
natural fractures increases the response of sequential flow case converges to that of the
simultaneous flow case (base case) with only 8 natural fractures. However, the difference
between the three sequential flow models with different values of nf is not obvious at early time
scales. This is because during early time, flow from hydraulic fracture to well contributes
0.1
1
10
1 10 100 1000 10000
Oil
Rat
e (
m3
/day
)
Time (day)
Field Data Base Case Base Case(low kx)
Difference between non-
sequential flow and
sequential flow model
44
primarily to the production. Therefore, increasing the number of natural fractures does not have a
significant influence on early time production. However, as production continues, drainage from
natural fractures and matrix becomes important; increasing the number of natural fractures in the
sequential model would enhance the contact area with the matrix and allow increased drainage
from matrix to natural fractures. This would essentially compensate for the reduction in fluid
transfer from the matrix to hydraulic fracture due to the near-zero permeability in i-direction.
Figure 5.9 Log-log plot of daily oil rate as a function of time for the base case and all sequential cases (Bakken
well)
Fig 5.10 shows the daily oil rate versus time for the non-sequential and sequential cases with
certain number of natural fractures (e.g., nf = 8 and 20). A transient flow in the hydraulic fracture
system is observed at early time. This is followed immediately by a bilinear flow (1/4 slope)
period in hydraulic fracture and natural fracture. Another short transient linear flow emerges,
which is followed by a period of bilinear flow (1/4 slope) in matrix and natural fracture. This
sequence of observable flow regimes is similar to the model #3 described by Al-Ahmadi (2011).
0.1
1
10
1 10 100 1000 10000
Oil
Rat
e (
m3
/day
)
Time (day)
Base Case (8NFs) Sequential Flow (8NFs) Sequential Flow (12NFs) Sequential Flow (20NFs)
Increasing number of
natural fractures
45
It is obvious that the difference between non-sequential and sequential with twenty natural
fractures is much less than the difference between two cases with eight natural fractures. In other
word, the difference between the two models diminishes as nf increases. That means the impact
of sequential flow assumption is less important when nf increases. This result suggests that for
forecasting gas or oil production production, especially at late time scales, sequential triple
porosity models may work for situations when nf is high enough. This observation also suggests
that analytical solutions may lead to an overestimation of nf or conductivity of the secondary
fracture network.
(a)
(b)
Figure 5.10 Log-log plot of daily oil rate as a function of time for non-sequential and sequential cases
(Bakken well): (a) –nf = 8; (b) – nf = 20.
0.1
1
10
1 10 100 1000 10000
Oil
Rat
e (
m3
/day
)
Time (day)
Base Case (8NFs) Sequential Flow (8NFs)
0.1
1
10
1 10 100 1000 10000
Oil
Rat
e (
m3
/day
)
Time (day)
Base Case (20NFs) Sequential Flow (20NFs)
46
5.4 Non-Symmetric Drainage
In most analytical models, the spacing between natural fractures and length of natural fractures
are assumed to be uniform. Hence, for nf = 8 in the history-matched base case, a value of natural
fracture spacing (Lf) of 44.4 m should be considered as an average or mean estimate, while the
length of each natural fracture is approximately 106 m (spacing between individual hydraulic
fracturing stages).
Firstly, a series of models (Case A) for the Bakken well with varying spacing between the eight
individual natural fractures are employed to investigate the impact of local heterogeneity of Lf on
production prediction. Four different distributions of Lf are tested, and their values are
summarized in Table 5.6. The degree of variability (heterogeneity) increases from Case A-1
through Case A-4.
Table 5.6 Spacing between natural fractures for the Bakken well in Case A
Case Number Distribution of Lf Unit
Case A-1 22.2 13.6 13.6 133 35.2 133 13.6 13.6 22.2
m
Case A-2 28.4 28.4 28.4 28.4 28.4 28.4 97.6 66 68
m
Case A-3 22.2 22.2 22.2 22.2 22.2 22.2 22.2 22.2 222.4
m
Case A-4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 340 m
In Case A-1 (Fig 5.11a), four natural fractures are placed on each side of the horizontal well,
with one being very close to the perforation point while the other three fractures are located
much further away. The pressure map at the end of 4.5 years and the corresponding histogram of
Lf for Case A-1 are shown in Fig 5.11a. Results for Case A-2, which consists of six evenly-
47
distributed natural fractures on one side and two more on the other side, are shown in Fig 5.11b.
Fig 5.11c shows a case where all eight natural fractures are located on the same side of the
horizontal well. Fig 5.11d illustrates an extreme scenario where all natural fractures are located
on the same side of and far away from the well. It is clear that larger pressure drop, and thus
more drainage, can be experienced in the areas close to the natural fractures.
Figure 5.11 Pressure (in kPa) distribution of the Bakken well at 4.5 years and the histogram of Lf for
(a) – Case A-1; (b) – Case A-2; (c) – Case A-3; (d) – Case A-4.
Fig 5.12 compares the match with production history for the four cases, and the differences
between each case at early times shown in Fig 5.12a are not noticeable. However, when
P
-200 -100 0 100 200 300
-200 -100 0 100 200 300
-300-200
-1000
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
0.00 205.00 410.00 feet
0.00 65.00 130.00 meters
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1,749
6,266
10,783
15,299
19,816
24,333
28,849
33,366
37,883
42,399
46,916
Pressure (kPa) 2011-07-07 K layer: 1
0
1
2
3
4
5
Fre
qu
en
cy
Spacing (m)
P
-200 -100 0 100 200 300
-200 -100 0 100 200 300
-300-200
-1000
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
0.00 205.00 410.00 feet
0.00 65.00 130.00 meters
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1,766
6,281
10,796
15,311
19,826
24,341
28,856
33,371
37,886
42,401
46,916
Pressure (kPa) 2011-07-07 K layer: 1
01234567
Fre
qu
en
cy
Spacing (m)
P
-200 -100 0 100 200 300
-200 -100 0 100 200 300
-300-200
-1000
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
0.00 205.00 410.00 feet
0.00 65.00 130.00 meters
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1,755
6,271
10,788
15,304
19,820
24,336
28,852
33,368
37,884
42,400
46,916
Pressure (kPa) 2011-07-07 K layer: 1
0
2
4
6
8
10
Fre
qu
en
cy
Spacing (m)
P
-200 -100 0 100 200 300
-200 -100 0 100 200 300-300
-200-100
0
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
0.00 205.00 410.00 feet
0.00 65.00 130.00 meters
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1,707
6,228
10,749
15,270
19,791
24,312
28,833
33,353
37,874
42,395
46,916
Pressure (kPa) 2011-07-07 K layer: 1
0
2
4
6
8
10
Fre
qu
en
cy
Spacing (m)
(a) (b)
(c) (d)
48
comparing the production performance from 1000 days to 20 years illustrated in Fig 5.12b, the
effect of natural fractures becomes dominating. It is obvious that the differences between these
five profiles become more pronounced with time. It can be noted that oil rate for Case A-4 is
much lower than that for other cases because pressure depletion and drainage is much less
effective on the side of the horizontal well where the natural fractures are absent. The base case,
on the other hand, gives the highest production rate at all times because natural fractures are
evenly distributed, allowing more effective drainage across the entire domain.
(a)
(b)
Figure 5.12 Log-log plot of daily oil rate as a function of time of the Bakken well for Case A
0.1
1
10
1 10 100 1000 10000
Oil
Rat
e (
m3
/day
)
Time (day)
Base Case Case A-1 Case A-2 Case A-3 Case A-4
0.1
1
1000 10000
Oil
Rat
e (
m3
/day
)
Time (day)
Base Case Case A-1 Case A-2 Case A-3 Case A-4
49
(a) – entire history for 20 years; (b) – late-time history after 1000 days.
Next, the four cases are repeated with matrix permeability increased by approximately 5 times
(i.e., km = 0.0026 mD) to investigate the interplay between matrix permeability and heterogeneity
in natural fracture spacing. Fig 5.13 shows the production history for these four new cases, and
the differences among them are negligible.
(a)
(b)
Figure 5.13 Log-log plot of daily oil rate as a function of time of the Bakken well for Case A with higher matrix
permeability (0.0026mD)
(a) – entire history for 20 years; (b) – late-time history after 1000 days.
0.1
1
10
1 10 100 1000 10000
Oil
Rat
e (
m3
/day
)
Time (day)
Base Case Case A-1 Case A-2 Case A-3 Case A-4
0.1
1
1000 10000
Oil
Rat
e (
m3
/day
)
Time (day)
Base Case Case A-1 Case A-2 Case A-3 Case A-4
50
One possible explanation is that for this particularly high matrix permeability, specific locations
of a fixed number of natural fractures do not have significant impacts. With high km, relatively
uniform pressure depletion and oil drainage can be achieved readily, irrespective of the NF
locations. In other words, the contribution of natural fractures is not essential. On the other hand,
when km is low, drainage in regions with low NF density remains limited, significantly
hampering the ensuing production. Overall, the comparative analysis suggests that the impact of
natural fracture spatial distribution is more pronounced for low-permeability reservoirs.
As discussed before, most analytical models assume that all natural fractures are uniform in
length. In the next set of models (case B), length of individual natural fractures is varied,
allowing only a portion of the natural fractures to be fully connected. The case with natural
fractures length being half the distance between two hydraulic fractures (Rl =0.5) is chosen as the
base scenario here. Rl. is defined as the ratio of natural fracture length df to hydraulic fracture
spacing LF. A series of models (Cases B-1 to B-3) are constructed where the length of individual
natural fractures is sampled from different distributions with the same average (mean) value of
50 m. The idea is to ensure that average length of the eight natural fractures remains identical.
Three different distributions, as summarized in Table 5.7, are tested to investigate the effects of
local heterogeneity in natural fracture length on production performance. All cases have the same
average natural fracture length as in the new base case.
Table 5.7 Natural fracture length for the Bakken well in Case B
Case Number New Base Case
Case B-1 Case B-2 Case B-3
Natural Fracture Length (m)
50 26 or 74 26 or 74 38, 74, 4, 62, 54, 18, 90, 60
51
Fig 5.14 shows a schematic of each model set-up including the new base case. In Case B-1, two
sets of natural fractures with different lengths are placed alternatively. Case B-2 consists of four
evenly-distributed short natural fractures on one side and four long ones on the other side. Case
B-3 shows a case where eight natural fractures with different lengths are randomly placed along
the bi-wings of the hydraulic fracture. The pressure distributions at the end of 4.5 years for all
four cases are shown in Fig 5.15.
Figure 5.14 Schematic of non-symmetric drainage for the Bakken well
(a) – New Base Case; (b) Case B-1; (c) – Case B-2; (d) – Case B-3
(a) (b)
(c) (d)
52
Figure 5.15 Pressure (in kPa) distribution of the Bakken well after 4.5 years for
(a) – New Base Case; (b) Case B-1; (c) – Case B-2; (d) – Case B-3
Fig 5.16 compares the production performances of the three cases with that of new base case,
and the differences at early times are not noticeable. Once again, at early times, flow contribution
from natural fractures and matrix are not important. When comparing the production
performance from 100 days to 4.5 years, the effects of natural fractures become more apparent.
All three cases of B-1 to B-3 have the same average natural fracture length, and the resultant
(a) (b)
(c) (d)
P
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-1000
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
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1,711
6,231
10,752
15,272
19,793
24,313
28,834
33,355
37,875
42,396
46,916
Pressure (kPa) 2011-07-07 K layer: 1
P
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-300-200
-1000
-400
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-100
0
0.00 205.00 410.00 feet
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1,691
6,214
10,736
15,259
19,781
24,304
28,826
33,349
37,871
42,394
46,916
Pressure (kPa) 2011-07-07 K layer: 1
P
-200 -100 0 100 200 300
-200 -100 0 100 200 300
-300-200
-1000
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
0.00 205.00 410.00 feet
0.00 65.00 130.00 meters
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1,693
6,215
10,737
15,260
19,782
24,304
28,827
33,349
37,871
42,394
46,916
Pressure (kPa) 2011-07-07 K layer: 1
P
-200 -100 0 100 200 300
-200 -100 0 100 200 300
-300-200
-1000
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
0.00 205.00 410.00 feet
0.00 65.00 130.00 meters
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1,691
6,214
10,736
15,259
19,781
24,304
28,826
33,349
37,871
42,394
46,916
Pressure (kPa) 2011-07-07 K layer: 1
53
total area available for flow between natural fracture and matrix would also be nearly identical.
The minor observable difference would most likely due to the heterogeneous distribution of
natural fracture lengths. It can be noted that oil rate for Case B-3 is slightly lower than those for
other cases. That is because arrangement of natural fractures in Case B-3 does not allow even
symmetric drainage from both sides of the hydraulic fracture. Pressure depletion and ensuing
drainage are less effective on the side of the horizontal well with less contact area between
natural fractures and matrix. The new base scenario gives the highest production rate because
natural fractures are evenly distributed, allowing more effective drainage across the entire
domain. All cases would converge again in long-term production (shown in Fig 5.16c) when
transient flow in matrix begins. Similar to the observations in section 3.1, the results presented in
this section would imply that the assumption of symmetric drainage in analytical solutions may
lead to underestimation of fracture half-length and the associated SRV.
(a) (b)
0.1
1
10
1 10 100 1000 10000
Oil
Rat
e (
m3
/day
)
Time (day)New Base Case Case B-1Case B-2 Case B-3
0.1
1
100 1000 10000
Oil
Rat
e (
m3
/day
)
Time (day)New Base Case Case B-1Case B-2 Case B-3
54
(c)
Figure 5.16 Log-log plot of daily oil rate as a function of time of the Bakken well for Case B
(a) – early-time istory for 4.5 years; (b) – mid-time history between 100 to 10000 days; (c) – entire history for 20
years.
5.5 Heterogeneous Fracture Properties
The effect of fracture connectivity on rate transient response is studied next. Another assumption
which plays an important role in analytical models is that natural fractures are fully connected
between hydraulic fracture stages. That means for a fixed number of hydraulic fracturing stages
with uniform spacing, the natural fractures are connected across all stages (i.e., df = LF in Fig.3).
The ratio of natural fracture length df to hydraulic fracture spacing LF is defined as Rl, which
reflects the degree of natural fracture connectivity. As shown in Fig 5.17, if Rl equals to zero, the
model is equivalent to a dual-porosity model. On the other hand, if Rl equals to one, the model
has fully-connected natural fractures. Models with different values of Rl (0, 0.1, 0.3, 0.5, 0.7 and
1.0) are constructed by reducing the value of df, in order to study the relationship between natural
fractures connectivity and rate transient response for the Bakken well.
0.1
1
10
1 10 100 1000 10000
Oil
Rat
e (
m3
/day
)
Time (day)
New Base Case Case B-1 Case B-2 Case B-3
55
Figure 5.17 Schematic of fully-conncected and non-conncected natural fractures for the Bakken well
(a) – Rl=1.0; (b) – Rl=0.5; (c) – Rl=0.25; (d) – Rl=0
It is evident in Fig 5.18 that as the value of Rl increases, oil production would also increase,
especially during later time when the drainage is dominated by linear flow in natural fractures
and bilinear flow in matrix and natural fractures. This observation implies that the assumption of
fully-connected natural fractures in the analytical model may underestimate nf.
(a) (b)
(c) (d)
56
Figure 5.18 Log-log plot of daily oil rate as a function of time of the Bakken well for cases with varying natural
fracture connectivity (4.5 years)
Another assumption of analytical models is that hydraulic fractures between two parallel
horizontal wells are fully-connected. That means the distance between two parallel horizontal
wells is the same as length of one hydraulic fracture (i.e., 2xf = Lw). The ratio of hydraulic
fracture length 2xf to distance between two parallel horizontal wells Lw is defined here as RL.
Several schematics with different values of RL are shown in Fig 5.19. RL = 1 represents a dual-
porosity system, while RL = 0 represents a single porosity system.
0.1
1
10
1 10 100 1000 10000
Oil
Rat
e (
m3
/day
)
Time (day)
Rl=0 Rl=0.1
Rl=0.3 Rl=0.5
Rl=0.7 Rl=1.0
Rl (df/LF)
increasing from
zero to one
57
Figure 5.19 Schematic of fully-conncected and non-conncected hydraulic fractures for the Bakken well
(a) – RL=1.0; (b) – RL=0.75; (c) – RL=0.5; (d) – RL=0.25
Fig 5.20 shows that as the value of RL increases, oil production would also increase.
Interestingly, when hydraulic fracture length is very short (RL = 0.224), the signatures and slopes
of production plot are very different from dual-porosity (RL = 1.0) plot. The slope is expected to
change from a half slope to a quarter slope and finally to a half slope in a normal dual-porosity
system (Fig 5.20). This sequence of slope change represents linear, bilinear and linear flow in
fracture, matrix-fracture and matrix, respectively. However, when RL equals to 0.224, we observe
a change from unit slope to half slope. The occurrence of early unit-slope and the absence of
(a) (b)
(c) (d)
58
early half- and quarter-slope indicate that the transient flow in relatively small hydraulic
fractures is masked by pseudo steady-state pressure depletion. In other words, the transient
behavior has quickly reached the tip of short hydraulic fractures.
Figure 5.20 Log-log plot of daily oil rate as a function of time of the Bakken well for cases with varying hydraulic
fracture connectivity (4.5years)
Furthermore, pressure map shown in Fig 5.21 indicates that there is pressure drop at the tips of
hydraulic fractures. This observation could explain why signatures of rate-time plot for relatively
0.01
0.1
1
10
1 10 100 1000 10000
OIl
Rat
e (
m3
/day
)
Time (day)
RL=0.224 RL=0.515
RL=0.7575 RL=1
RL increasing
from 0.224 to
1.0
0.01
0.1
1
10
1 10 100 1000 10000
OIl
Rat
e (
m3
/day
)
Time (day)
RL=0.224 RL=1
59
small RL would be different from those with high RL value. It also implies that the occurrence of
early unit slope could be an indication of limited hydraulic fracture penetration. Similar to the
effects of fully-connected natural fractures, the assumption of fully-connected hydraulic fracture
may underestimate the distance between two horizontal wells, which could potentially impact
future development design such as optimal well spacing.
Figure 5.21 Pressure (in kPa) distribution of the Bakken well after 4.5 years when RL=0.224
P
-200 -100 0 100 200 300
-200 -100 0 100 200 300
-300-200
-1000
-400
-300
-200
-100
00.00 205.00 410.00 feet
0.00 65.00 130.00 meters
File: 0.224 new.irfUser: Min YueDate: 2014/3/5
Scale: 1:3164Y/X: 1.00:1Axis Units: m
1,191
5,763
10,336
14,908
19,481
24,053
28,626
33,198
37,771
42,344
46,916
Pressure (kPa) 2011-07-07 K layer: 1
P
30 40 50 60 70 80
30 40 50 60 70 80
-18
0-1
70
-16
0-1
50
-14
0
-18
0-1
70
-16
0-1
50
-14
0-1
30
0.00 25.00 50.00 feet
0.00 10.00 20.00 meters
File: 0.224 new.irfUser: Min YueDate: 2014/3/5
Scale: 1:376.160476 Y/X: 1.00:1Axis Units: m
1,191
5,763
10,336
14,908
19,481
24,053
28,626
33,198
37,771
42,344
46,916
Pressure (kPa) 2011-07-07 K layer: 1
60
6 Influence of Multi-phase Effects on oil Production
6.1 The Role of Gas Dissolution
Gas dissolution and multiphase flow effects could potentially contribute to early decline in
production, as often observed in many tight oil wells. However, these effects are typically
ignored in most analytical models. To understand how solution gas may influence two-phase oil-
gas flow, a model based on the Bakken well base case is considered. In order to provide a more
detailed description of the matrix-fracture interface, of the model size has been reduced to 10.6m
× 20.5m. The model is initialized with no free gas and zero water saturation. The relative
permeability and capillary pressure relationships for matrix and fracture system are assigned
according to the multiphase flow functions presented in Gdanski and Fulton (2009). Zero
capillary pressure and linear relative permeability functions (stick curves with exponent = 1.0)
are assigned in the fractures (Papatzacos and Skjæveland, 2002). The effects of gas adsorption
are ignored in this work, since Wu et al. (2014) estimated the contribution of gas
adsorption/desorption to the total gas production to be approximately 13%. Gas saturation profile
in the hydraulic fracture is shown in Fig 6.1. The initial increase and decrease in gas saturation
during the first few days may be attributed to the large disparity between initial reservoir
pressure and bottom-hole pressure; pressure in the hydraulic fracture drops suddenly, and a
significant amount of solution gas has evolved and is produced immediately.
61
Figure 6.1 Average gas saturation in hydraulic fracture during the first 30 days for the Bakken well
Next, a set of triple-porosity model with two natural fractures placed evenly on each side of the
horizontal well is constructed to assess the impacts of the amount of gas dissolution and
multiphase flow functions on production performance. The relative permeability and capillary
pressure functions in the natural fracture is assigned according to Iwai (1976) and Killough
(1976). The amount of solution gas is varied with different bubble-point pressure (Pb). The
bottom-hole flowing pressure, Pwf, is kept constant to ensure that variation in production is
attributed to solution gas alone. The production profiles and input PVT data for Pb = 10 and 35
MPa are compared in Fig 6.2 and Fig 6.3. In order to compare the combined energy content
obtained from the produced oil and gas, the total hydrocarbon rate based on the approximate
energy released by burning one barrel of oil is computed (British Petroleum, 2011).
62
(a) (b)
(c)
Figure 6.2 Input PVT data for the Bakken models with different bubble-point pressure
(a) – oil formation volume factor; (b) – solution gas-oil ratio; (c) – gas expansion factor.
(a) (b)
1
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
0 20000 40000 60000
Bo
PPb=10000 Pb=35000
1
21
41
61
81
101
121
0 20000 40000 60000
Rs
PPb=10000 Pb=35000
1
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
0 20000 40000 60000
Bo
PPb=10000 Pb=35000
1
21
41
61
81
101
121
0 20000 40000 60000
Rs
PPb=10000 Pb=35000
1
51
101
151
201
251
0 10000 20000 30000 40000
Eg
PPb=10000 Pb=35000
0.001
0.01
0.1
1
10
100
0.01 0.1 1 10 100 1000
Oil
Rat
e (
m3
/day
)
Time (day)Pb=10000 Pb=35000
1
10
100
1000
10000
0.01 0.1 1 10 100 1000
Gas
Rat
e (
m3
/day
)
Time (day)Pb=10000 Pb=35000
63
(c)
Figure 6.3 Log-log plots of production profiles for the Bakken models with different bubble-point pressure
As Pb increases, both the oil rate and total hydrocarbon rate are reduced, while gas rate is
increased. This is because with the same initial pressure, higher Pb implies a larger pressure
range over which free gas would exist. Given that the mobility for the gas phase is higher than
that of the oil phase, oil production is reduced. Therefore, ignoring the presence of two phase oil-
gas flow in analytical models could lead to an overestimation of fracture parameters such as
effective fracture volume and fracture length.
The influences of relative permeability functions in the natural fracture are studied next. Fig 6.4
compares the production profiles for cases with different krog endpoint ranging from 0.1 to 1.0.
As the value of krog endpoint decreases, lower oil production can be achieved. The reasoning for
this decrease in production is two folds: decrease in hydraulic connection for the oil phase and
shifting the intersection of oil and gas relative permeability curves towards the higher liquid
saturation scale (i.e., there is a smaller saturation range over which the mobility of the oil phase
is higher than the gas phase).
0.1
1
10
100
1000
0.01 0.1 1 10 100
Tota
l Hyd
rob
arb
on
(b
bl/
day
)
Time (day)
Pb=10000 Pb=35000
64
(a) (b)
(c)
Figure 6.4 Log-log plots of production profiles for the Bakken models with different relative permeability
endpoints
Fig 6.5 compares the production profiles for cases with different gas relative permeability
exponent, a1, ranging from 1.0 to 3.0. Slightly lower oil and hydrocarbon production rates are
observed for the case with higher values of a1, especially at late time. It has already been
highlighted that ignoring the presence of two phase oil-gas flow could lead to an underestimation
of fracture parameters such as effective fracture volume and fracture length; the conclusions
derived from Figs 6.4-6.5 would imply that this underestimation would be more severe, if krog is
low and/or gas relative permeability exponent (a1) is high.
0.1
1
10
100
0.01 0.1 1 10 100
Oil
Rat
e (m
3/d
ay)
Time (day)Case C-1 Case C-2 Case C-3
Case C-4 Case C-5
Endpoint increases from 0.1 to 1.0
10
100
1000
10000
0.01 0.1 1 10 100
Gas
Rat
e (m
3/d
ay)
Time (day)Case C-1 Case C-2 Case C-3
Case C-4 Case C-5
1
10
100
1000
0.01 0.1 1 10 100
Tota
l Hyd
rob
arb
on
(bb
l/d
ay)
Time (day)Case C-1 Case C-2 Case C-3
Case C-4 Case C-5
0.1
1
10
100
0.01 0.1 1 10 100
Oil
Rat
e (m
3/d
ay)
Time (day)Case C-1 Case C-2 Case C-3
Case C-4 Case C-5
Endpoint increases from 0.1 to 1.0
10
100
1000
10000
0.01 0.1 1 10 100
Gas
Rat
e (m
3/d
ay)
Time (day)Case C-1 Case C-2 Case C-3
Case C-4 Case C-5
1
10
100
1000
0.01 0.1 1 10 100
Tota
l Hyd
rob
arb
on
(bb
l/d
ay)
Time (day)Case C-1 Case C-2 Case C-3
Case C-4 Case C-5
0.1
1
10
100
0.01 0.1 1 10 100
Oil
Rat
e (
m3
/day
)
Time (day)Case C-1 Case C-2 Case C-3
Case C-4 Case C-5
Endpoint increases from 0.1 to 1.0
10
100
1000
10000
0.01 0.1 1 10 100
Gas
Rat
e (
m3
/day
)
Time (day)Case C-1 Case C-2 Case C-3
Case C-4 Case C-5
1
10
100
1000
0.01 0.1 1 10 100
Tota
l Hyd
rob
arb
on
(b
bl/
day
)
Time (day)Case C-1 Case C-2 Case C-3
Case C-4 Case C-5
65
(a) (b)
(c)
Figure 6.5 Log-log plots of production profiles for the Bakken models with different relative permeability
curvatures
0.1
1
10
100
0.01 0.1 1 10 100
Oil
Rat
e (
m3
/day
)
Time (day)
a1=1 a1=2 a1=3
𝐾𝑟𝑓 = 𝐾0𝑟𝑓⬚
× 𝑆⬚𝑎1
10
100
1000
10000
0.01 0.1 1 10 100
Gas
Rat
e (
m3
/day
)
Time (day)a1=1 a1=2 a1=3
1
10
100
1000
0.01 0.1 1 10 100
Tota
l Hyd
rob
arb
on
(b
bl/
day
)
Time (day)
a1=1 a1=2 a1=3
66
6.2 The Role of Capillary Discontinuity
Unlike most experiments and analytical models that use coreflood to present capillary
discontinuity, we have models under reservoir conditions with a high capillary pressure
difference between fractures and matrix. Since hydraulic fracture has high conductivity, its
corresponding capillary pressure is significantly lower than that in the rock matrix (Aguilera,
1980). Therefore, zero capillary pressure and linear relative permeability functions are assigned
in the fractures (Papatzacos and Skjæveland, 2002). This zero capillary pressure in the hydraulic
fracture is to imitate the zero capillary pressure boundary condition in core-flooding
experiments. A section of the reservoir between two hydraulic fractures showing in Fig 4.1 is
modeled.
We use a typical correlation, Corey correlation, to represent relative permeability in the matrix
(Brooks and Corey, 1964).
Correlations of oil relative permeability can be defined as below:
oC
wnorowwrow SkSk 1 (5)
Where Swn is defined as a normalized water saturation value:
orwwi
wiwwwnwn
SS
SSSSS
1 (6)
Where Swi is irreducible water saturation; Sorw is residual oil saturation.
Co is empirical parameters obtained from measured data or history matching; orowk is called the
end point of oil relative permeability.
67
Capillary pressure in matrix is assigned according to the correlation in Eq. (7) (Gdanski et al.,
2009).
3
1
'
2
6.89476
a
c aw
Pka S
(7)
' is the interfacial tension of water and oil (30 dynes/cm). For the matrix, a measure of pore
structure a3 equals to 0.5 (Bradley, 1992). To represent low-permeability reservoirs, a1 and a2
equal to 1.86 and 6.42 respectively (Holditch, 1979).
Dual-porosity and triple-porosity models with one hydraulic fracture in the middle and
perpendicular to the horizontal wellbore were built. By using these models, influences of fracture
face-effect on production profile in fractured reservoir can be investigated. We use logarithmic
grid size distribution near fracture to capture flow behavior by using saturation profile. In this
part, a dual-porosity model called base case B is built. Since the irreducible water saturation is
0.2, the initial water saturation is to 0.5 to model mobile water and no free gas at initial
conditions. To ensure that only two flowing phases exist and that there is zero gas production,
the bubble-point pressure is set at 15000 kPa, in comparison with initial reservoir pressure of
48630 kPa. Fig 6.6 shows the simulated saturation versus distance to the fracture-matrix
interface for a dual-porosity model at different times.
68
(a) (b) (c)
Figure 6.6 Oil and water saturation profiles in matrix as a function of distance from the fracture-matrix interface
for the dual-porosity model at:
(a)- 10 days; (b)- 30 days; (c)- 90 days
The interface between fracture and matrix is located at x = 0. Oil saturation in matrix increases
from its initial value due to oil expansion with pressure decline. Highest water saturation is
observed at the interface, and as production continues, this highest value increases from its initial
value (0.5) as a result of enlarged water blockage at the interface. This water blockage is a
distinctive characteristic of fracture-face effect and may have influences on production.
Water imbibition due to capillary pressure during extended shut-in can lead to the transfer of oil
from matrix into fracture (Cheng, 2012). In this part, we try to investigate the relationship
between capillary pressure functions and fracture-face effect under reservoir conditions. We are
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0 2 4 6
S
X (m)water oil
10 days
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0 2 4 6
S
X (m)water oil
30 days
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0 2 4 6
S
X (m)water oil
90 days
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0 0.2 0.4 0.6
S
X (m)water oil
0.5
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0 0.2 0.4 0.6
S
X (m)water oil
0.5
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0 0.2 0.4 0.6
S
X (m)water oil
0.5
40% of initial oil is produced
69
investigating the effect of matrix capillary pressure by running three dual-porosity models with
different capillary pressure functions as shown in Fig 6.7.
Figure 6.7 Different capillary pressure curve for matrix
We use three different capillary pressures curves to investigate the effects of fracture-face effect
at fracture-matrix interface. Here, we hypothesize that with higher Pc of matrix, capillary end-
effect becomes more pronounced and oil production rate drop. Higher Pc of matrix may cause
larger water blockage near the interface of matrix and fracture, and therefore, oil flow from
matrix to fracture can be hindered.
Fig 6.8 shows oil saturation in matrix close to frac-matrix interface (0.01025 m) in models with
different capillary pressure in the first day. It is shown in Fig 6.8 that after 1 hour of production,
oil saturation in matrix close to frac-matrix interface decreases. It is observed in Fig 6.8 that oil
saturation drop is sharper for the case with higher capillary pressure. And low oil saturation at
the interface (which means high water saturation) leads to water blockage around fracture-matrix
interface.
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
9000
10000
0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1
Pc
(kP
a)
Sw
Pc1 Pc2 Pc3
70
(a) (b)
(c) (d)
Figure 6.8 Oil and water saturation profiles in matrix as a function of time for the dual-porosity model with
different capillary pressure:
(a)- oil saturation in 1 day; (b)- oil saturation in 0.04 day
(c)- water saturation in 1 day; (b)-water saturation in 0.04 day
Saturation comparisons of models with different capillary pressure in matrix at 30 days are
plotted in Fig 6.9. Both oil saturation and water saturation versus distance to frac-matrix
interface are shown. It can be seen that higher capillary pressure in matrix causes higher water
saturation at interface. This higher water saturation leads to water blockage around the interface.
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0 10 20 30
So
Time (hrs)
Higher Pc, lower oil saturation at interface
Lower Pc
Higher Pc
0.3
0.35
0.4
0.45
0.5
0.55
0 0.5 1 1.5
So
Time (hrs)
Lower Pc
Higher Pc
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
0 10 20 30
Sw
Time (hrs)
Lower Pc
Higher Pc
0.4
0.45
0.5
0.55
0.6
0.65
0 0.5 1 1.5
Sw
Time (hrs)
Lower Pc
Higher Pc
71
(a) (b)
Figure 6.9 Oil and water saturation profiles in saturation in matrix as a function of distance from the fracture-
matrix interface for the dual-porosity models with different capillary pressure at 30 days:
(a)-oil saturation in 0.6 m; (b)-water saturation in 0.6 m
Fig 6.10 shows production comparison of models with various capillary pressure in matrix. Fig
6.10 (a) and Fig 6.10 (b) are oil rate and water rate during the whole production process. Both oil
rate and water rate decrease with increasing of capillary pressure in matrix after one day. As we
mentioned above, higher capillary pressure brings more water blockage around frac-matrix
interface and this water blockage prevents both oil and water in matrix from going into fracture.
An interesting thing to note is that in production profile shown Fig 6.10, oil rate increases as
capillary pressure increases while water rate has a sharp drop in the first day.
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0 0.2 0.4 0.6
So
X (m)Pc1 Pc2 Pc3
Pc1 < Pc2 < Pc3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
0 0.2 0.4 0.6
Sw
X (m)
Pc1 Pc2 Pc3
72
(a)
(b)
Figure 6.10 Log-log plot of daily rate versus time for the dual-porosity models with different capillary pressure in
matrix during 91 days:
(a)-oil rate from very beginning; (b)- water rate from very beginning
Both oil rate and water rate decrease with increasing of capillary pressure in matrix after one day.
As we mentioned above, higher capillary pressure brings more water blockage around frac-
1
10
100
0.00001 0.001 0.1 10
Oil
Rat
e (
m3
/day
)
Time (day)
Pc1 Pc2 Pc3
Pc1<Pc2<Pc3
0.1
1
10
100
0.00001 0.001 0.1 10
Wat
er
Rat
e (
m3
/day
)
Time (day)
Pc1 Pc2 Pc3
73
matrix interface and this water blockage prevents both oil and water in matrix from going into
fracture. An interesting thing to note is that in production profile shown in Fig 6.10 (a) and Fig
6.10 (b), oil rate increases as capillary pressure increases in the first day. This increasing of oil
rate can be explained by Fig 6.11. Fig 6.11 shows average oil saturation in fracture by using time
scale.
(a) (b)
Figure 6.11 Average oil saturation in fracture in models in as a function of time for the dual-porosity model
different capillary pressure:
(a)- in 112 days; (b)- at 1 hour
We observe in Fig 6.11 that oil saturation in fracture is higher for the model with higher capillary
pressure in matrix, after 1 hour of production. With higher capillary pressure in matrix, it is
harder for both oil and water in matrix to flow into fracture. In the beginning, with higher Pc, the
difference of oil phase pressure between in the nearby matrix and the fracture is higher, leading
to higher oil drainage in the matrix. Therefore, higher oil rate and lower water rate can be
achieved. As production continues, fracture-face effect becomes more important, and water
blockage is slowing down both oil and water flows.
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1
0 50 100 150
So
Time (day)
Higher Pc, higher oil saturation in fracture, especially at very beginning.
Higher Pc
Lower Pc
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1
0 0.5 1 1.5
So
Time (hrs)
Higher Pc
Lower Pc
74
Fig 6.12 compares cumulative oil of models with various capillary pressure models in matrix. It
is easy to see that although capillary pressure changed, cumulative oil production does not
change much. In Wang and Leung’s (2015) paper, quite similar results are observed in soaking
models.
Figure 6.12 Log-log plot of cumulative oil versus time for the dual-porosity models with different capillary
pressure in matrix during 91 days
The bold horizontal line represents initial oil volume in fracture at initial conditions. Based on
Fig 6.12 and Fig 6.10 (a), we hypothesize that most of produced oil comes from fracture at
beginning (less than 3 hrs). However, cumulative oil in 3 hours is beyond initial oil volume in
fracture. This is because some oil in matrix goes into fracture due to the draw down at early
times.
0.0001
0.001
0.01
0.1
1
10
100
1000
0.00001 0.001 0.1 10 1000
Cu
mu
lati
ve O
il (m
3)
Time (day)
Pc1 Pc2 Pc3 Qo in frac
Pc1<Pc2<Pc3
Initial oil volume in fracture at beginning
75
Another set of models with different initial water saturation in matrix are constructed to
investigate influences of initial water saturation on production under different capillary pressure.
Results of oil rate with different capillary pressure in models with three different initial water
saturation levels are shown in Fig 6.13.
(a) (b)
(c)
Figure 6.13 Log-log plot of daily rate versus time for the dual-porosity models with different capillary pressure in
matrix during 91 days:
Initial water saturation in matrix equals to (a)-0.3; (b)- 0.5; (c)-0.7
We observe that oil rate decreases with increasing initial water saturation in matrix. Here, we
define Pcq to be the difference in oil rate between models with lower and higher capillary
0.1
1
10
100
0.00001 0.001 0.1 10
Oil
Rat
e (
m3
/day
)
Time (day)
Pc1
Pc3
0.1
1
10
100
0.00001 0.001 0.1 10
Oil
Rat
e (
m3
/day
)
Time (day)
Pc1
Pc3
0.1
1
10
100
0.00001 0.001 0.1 10
Oil
Rat
e (
m3
/day
)
Time (day)
Pc1
Pc3
76
pressure in matrix. In Fig 6.13, Pcq increases with increasing initial water saturation. We
compute Pcq as a function of time. When initial water saturation reaches to 0.7, its average
differential ( 1
/PcPc
qq 100%) value over the entire production period is around 30%. This is
because with higher initial water saturation in matrix, there is more mobile water in matrix. More
mobile water in matrix provides more favorable conditions for the occurrence of fracture-face
effect. This leads to more water blockage around interface which decreases oil production.
After discussing impacts of capillary pressure with dual-porosity models, triple-porosity models
with one hydraulic fracture and eight secondary fractures are constructed. Relative permeability
functions in secondary fracture are adopted from Aguilera et al. (1980). And a capillary function
for secondary system is assigned from Eq. (7) before. We expected with more frac-matrix
interfaces in triple-porosity model, fracture-face effect became more obviously. Fig 6.14 is water
and oil saturation profiles in matrix as a function of distance from the hydraulic fracture interface
(X) and secondary (micro) fracture interface (Y) at different times.
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
0 0.2 0.4 0.6
S
X (m)water oil
5 days
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
0 0.2 0.4 0.6
S
X (m)water oil
25 days
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
0 0.2 0.4 0.6
S
X (m)water oil
50 days
77
(a)-1 (a)-2 (a)-3
(b)-1 (b)-2 (b)-3
Figure 6.14 Oil and water saturation profiles in matrix as a function of
(a) distance from the hydraulic fracture-matrix interface X and (b) distance from the secondary fracture-matrix
interface Y for the triple-porosity model at
(1): 5 days; (2); 25 days; and (3) 50 days.
Fig 6.14 (a) shows the evolution of saturation profiles in matrix as a function of distance from
the hydraulic fracture-matrix interface with time. The region near the interface is enlarged to
illustrate the fracture-face effect more clearly. Similarly, Fig 6.14 (b) presents the saturation
profiles matrix as a function of distance from the hydraulic fracture-matrix interface at different
time. It is shown in both Fig 6.14 (a) and Fig 6.14 (b) that as time goes by, water saturation close
to frac-matrix interface increases. It is discovered that fracture-face effect appears in two
different systems (hydraulic fracture-matrix, secondary fracture-matrix) in triple-porosity models
(Fig 6.14) due to high Pc difference between matrix and fracture.
The effects of capillary pressure functions in matrix on water saturation and on oil production are
shown in Fig 6.15. Three triple-porosity models with varying capillary pressure in matrix are
constructed.
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
0 1 2 3
S
Y (m)water oil
5 days
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
0 1 2 3
S
Y (m)water oil
25 days
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
0 1 2 3
S
Y (m)water oil
50 days
78
(a) (b)
(c) (d)
Figure 6.15 Triple-porosity models with different capillary pressure:
(a)- Log-log plot of daily oil rate versus time during 91 days; (b)- Water saturation of HF-M system at 30 days;
(c)- Water saturation of SF-M system at 30 days; (d)- Water saturation of SF-HF system at 30 days.
(Values of Pc1, Pc2 and Pc3 are shown in Fig 6.7)
With increasing capillary pressure in matrix, water saturation in matrix close to frac-matrix
interface increases, while oil rate decreases. These observations are quite similar to the results in
dual-porosity model. However, the difference in oil rate shown in Fig 6.15 (a) is not pronounced.
Table 6.1 shows a comparison between dual-porosity and triple-porosity models on water
saturation at the interface in HF-M system and SF-M system.
Table 6.1 Water saturation at interface in dual-porosity and triple-porosity models with different capillary
pressure (Pc1 and Pc3)
0.1
1
10
100
0.00001 0.001 0.1 10 1000
Oil
Rat
e (
m3
/day
)
Time (day)Pc1 Pc2 Pc3
Pc1<Pc2<Pc3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
0 0.2 0.4 0.6
Sw
X (m)
Pc1 Pc2 Pc3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
0 0.2 0.4 0.6
Sw
Y (m)Pc1 Pc2 Pc3
0
0.05
0.1
0.15
0.2
0.25
0.3
0 0.2 0.4 0.6
Sw
X (m)
Pc1 Pc2 Pc3
79
Swinter Swinter (Pc=Pc1) Swinter (Pc=Pc3) ∆ Swinter
Dual-porosity (HF-M)
0.6181 0.8445 0.2264
Triple-porosity (HF-M)
0.6305 0.8479 0.2174
Triple-porosity (SF-M)
0.7388 0.8641 0.1253
Compared with dual-porosity model in Table 6.1, triple-porosity model has higher water
saturation in both HF-M and SF-M systems. This means fracture-face effect becomes more
pronounced in models with more interfaces. However, the difference in oil production ( Pcq )
that we compute as a function of time in triple-porosity model does not increase compared with
Pcq in dual-porosity models. The contrast between different porosity systems in a medium
consisting of matrix, secondary fractures and hydraulic fracture is less in comparison to a
medium consisting of matrix and hydraulic fracture only. Fracture-face effect has fewer
influences on oil rate in triple-porosity models compared with impacts on oil rate in dual-
porosity models shown in Fig 6.10 (a).Since the fracture-face effect is more pronounced between
HF and M, the dual-porosity model is employed in the next section to study the impacts on
matrix relative permeability functions.
Next, we investigate possible relationships between relative permeability and production
performance. Two models with different values of relative permeability endpoint and curvature
in matrix are tested
According to Eq. (5) and Eq. (6) shown before, two parameters determine value of relative
permeability, orowk and oC . By changing these two parameters, sensitivity of relative
permeability value on production are assessing. The first parameter tested here is value of orowk .
80
This value we call it endpoint of rowk in matrix and it changes from 0.4 to 0.9, as shown in Fig
6.16.
Figure 6.16 Different relative permeability in matrix system by changing endpoint of krow
Fig 6.16 shows that as the endpoint of krow increases, the value of oil relative permeability in
matrix increases. Fig 6.17 presents the oil and water saturation profiles in matrix as a function of
distance from the HF-M interface by using models with different endpoint of krow. It is observed
that as the endpoint of krow increases, oil saturation decreases while water saturation increases.
According to Fig 6.16, the intersection point of oil and water relative permeability curves goes to
right, as the endpoint of krow increases. This observation means that matrix becomes more water-
wet and capillary end effect becomes more pronounced.
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1
0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1
Kr
Sw
krow
krw
0.9
0.7
0.4
81
(a) (b)
Figure 6.17 Saturation profiles in saturation in matrix as a function of distance from the fracture-matrix
interface with different endpoint of krow at 30 days:
(a)-oil saturation; (b)- water saturation
Fig 6.18 shows the results of log-log plot of daily production versus time during 112 days using
models with different krow endpoints in matrix.
(a)
Endpoint of krow
Increases
1
10
100
0.00001 0.001 0.1 10
Oil
Rat
e (
m3
/day
)
Time (day)
maxkrow=0.4 maxkrow=0.7 maxkrow=0.9
Endpoint of
krow increases
82
(b)
Figure 6.18 Log-log plot of daily rate versus time for the dual-porosity models with different kro endpoints in
matrix during 91 days:
(a)-oil rate; (b)- water rate
Oil rate increases as oil relative permeability increases. On the other hand, water rate decreases
by increasing endpoint of krow. Although water saturation at interface is larger which means more
water blockage around interface as endpoint of krow increases, higher krow endpoint gives higher
value of krow at interface water saturation. This leads to higher oil transmissibility and lower
water transmissibility.
The second sensitivity testing is curvature of oil relative permeability in matrix. This curvature is
Co in equation (1) which influences relative permeability directly. When this exponent equals to
1.0, relative permeability curves become straight line. Exponent of oil relative permeability
curvature in matrix defined as Co changes from 2.0 to 5.0 which is shown in Fig 6.19.
0.1
1
10
100
0.00001 0.001 0.1 10
Wat
er
Rat
e (
m3
/day
)
Time (day)
maxkrow=0.4 maxkrow=0.7 maxkrow=0.9
83
Figure 6.19 Different relative permeability in matrix system by changing curvature of krow
We hypothesize that due to increasing Co, changing of water saturation have stronger impacts on
oil relative permeability. It will result in fracture-face effect increasing and leads to oil rate
reduction. Fig 6.20 is oil and water saturation in matrix close to fracture. It shows that when Co
in matrix is higher, more water blockage appears near fracture which means fracture-face effect
becomes more pronounced, and it hinders oil transport from matrix to fracture.
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1
0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1
Kr
Sw
krow
krw
84
(a) (b)
Figure 6.20 Saturation profiles in saturation in matrix as a function of distance from the fracture-matrix
interface with different curvature of krow at 30 days:
(a)-oil saturation; (b)- water saturation
Similar to the observation in Fig 6.6 for the base case, oil saturation in matrix increases due to oil
expansion with reservoir pressure decline during production. Fig 6.21 is log-log plot of daily
production versus time during 112 days. Oil rate shown in Fig 6.21 decreases while water rate
increases with Co increasing. This observation is consistent with the characteristics of oil
saturation profiles shown in Fig 6.20. With Co increasing, more oil remains in the matrix due to
lower krow at a given saturation; therefore, oil rate decreases.
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0 0.2 0.4 0.6
So
X (m)Co=2 Co=3 Co=5
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
0 0.2 0.4 0.6
Sw
X (m)
Co=2 Co=3 Co=5
Curvature of krow decreases
85
(a)
(b)
Figure 6.21 Log-log plot of daily rate versus time for the dual-porosity models with different krow curvature in
matrix during 91 days:
(a)-oil rate; (b)- water rate
To investigate how much capillary pressure and relative permeability influence production. We
do an additional sensitivity. Here, we do a combination sensitivity with capillary pressure and
relative permeability curvature. Fig 6.22 is a schematic of the whole procedure. Firstly, Pc1 and
0.1
1
10
100
0.00001 0.001 0.1 10
Oil
Rat
e (
m3
/day
)
Time (day)
Co=2 Co=3 Co=5
0.1
1
10
100
0.00001 0.001 0.1 10
Wat
er
Rat
e (
m3
/day
)
Time (day)
Co=2 Co=3 Co=5
Curvature increases
86
Pc3 shown in Fig 6.7 are used in Matrix. Water saturation profile at particular day can be
obtained by using models with different capillary pressure in matrix. Different value of Sw close
to frac-matrix interface (0.01025 m) in models with Pc1 and Pc3 can be read in water saturation
profiles (Sw1 and Sw3 in Fig 6.22 (b)). According to Fig 6.16, when endpoint of krow equals to 0.9,
rowk can be obtained. Then this whole procedure is repeated by using endpoint of krow equals to
0.4. Fig 6.23 is saturation profile at 30 days by using Pc1 and Pc3 on matrix with different
relative permeability curvature. We use these plots to obtain water saturation at interface.
(a)- (1) (b)- (1) (c)- (1)
(a)- (2) (b) - (2) (c)- (2)
Figure 6.22 Schematic of calculation procedure for ∆krow:
(1)- endpoint of krow=0.9; (2)- endpoint of krow=0.4
(a)-different Pc in matrix; (b)- water saturation profiles of models with different Pc in matrix;
(c)-oil relative permeability
cP wS
wSwS( )X m
( )kPa1cP
3cP
1wS
3wS
3wS1wS
Δ
0.9
cP wS
wSwS( )X m
( )kPa1cP
3cP
1wS
3wS
3wS1wS
Δ
0.4
87
(a)
(b)
Figure 6.23 Saturation profiles in saturation as a function of distance from the fracture-matrix interface with
different capillary pressure in matrix at 30 days:
Endpoint of krow equals to (a)-0.4; (b)- 0.9
Take orowk =0.4 as an example:
According to Fig 6.23 (a), wS =0.8750-0.6425=0.2325;
According to Fig 6.16, 2rowk = krow(0.6425)- krow(0.8750) =0.02
Table 6.2 is list of rowk . We observe that with increasing the endpoint of oil relative
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
0 0.2 0.4 0.6
S
X (m)
So/Pc1 So/Pc3 Sw/Pc1 Sw/Pc3
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
0 0.2 0.4 0.6
S
X (m)
So/Pc1 So/Pc3 Sw/Pc1 Sw/Pc3
88
permeability, rowk increases. This result demonstrates that Pcq decreases as oil relative
permeability endpoint increases.
Table 6.2 Value of rowk in conditions of different relative permeability curvature
Endpoint of krow =0.4 Endpoint of krow =0.9
rowk 0.02 0.07
Log-log plots of daily rate versus time with different capillary pressure and relative permeability
in matrix are shown in Fig 6.24. Results show that with increasing of krow endpoint, oil rate
decreases.
(a) (b)
Figure 6.24 Log-log plot of daily rate versus time for the dual-porosity models with different capillary pressure in
matrix during 91 days:
endpoint of krow equals to (a)-0.4; (b)- 0.9
Using data shown in Fig 6.23, we calculate Pcq as a function of time in Fig 6.24. It is obvious
that Pcq increases when endpoint of oil relative permeability increases at the first 50 days. Due
to the endpoint increasing, rowk increases and this leads to Pcq increasing. This is consistent
with what we expected. After 50 days, due to higher oil rate in model with higher krow endpoint,
0.1
1
10
100
0.00001 0.001 0.1 10
Oil
Rat
e (
m3
/day
)
Time (day)Pc1 Pc3
0.1
1
10
100
0.00001 0.001 0.1 10
Oil
Rat
e (
m3
/day
)
Time (day)Pc1 Pc3
89
drainage reaches boundary and Pcq goes to flat.
Figure 6.25 Δq as a function of time in models with different endpoint of krow
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
0 20 40 60 80 100
∆q(m
3/day)
Time (day)maxkrow=0.4 maxkrow=0.9
90
7 Conclusions and Future Work
7.1 Conclusions
A workflow that integrates numerical simulation results with analytical solutions is implemented
to quantify the uncertainty in production performance predictions. Assuming that results
obtained from RTA would characterize the mean estimate of the corresponding fracture
parameters, additional heterogeneous models of fracture properties are subjected to flow
simulations to demonstrate their impact on production performance. Our results highlight the
non-uniqueness of fracture characterization in production data analysis. It is illustrated that
ignoring the uncertainty in history-matched parameters and assumptions associated with
analytical models could potentially over- or under-estimate production by up to 30%.
Certain assumptions in analytical models may not necessarily hold. Numerical models are
implemented in this study to assess their limitations and impacts. It is demonstrated that
analytical sequential-flow model underestimates drainage with time; therefore, history-matching
with analytical models alone would tend to overestimate fracture parameters including natural
fracture intensity. The assumption of uniformly-spaced fracture stages, however, could lead to
underestimation of hydraulic fracture half-length and the associated stimulated reservoir volume.
This could potentially impact future field development decisions such as placement of nearby
wells to maximize drainage.
Lengths and spacing between natural fractures play an important role, particularly at mid to late
times: higher production and more efficient drainage can be observed when natural fractures are
evenly distributed for a given number of natural fractures, especially when matrix permeability is
ultra-low. This also implies that the assumption of evenly-distributed natural fractures with
91
homogeneous properties could lead to underestimation of fracture half-length and the associated
stimulated reservoir volume.
A series of simulation models depicting different boundary conditions are also used to evaluate
the uncertainties due to pressure interference between natural fractures and inter-well fracture
communication. The connectivity of both natural and hydraulic fractures has a pronounced effect
on the rate transient behavior. Some of the flow regimes such as fracture linear transient flow
disappear as the secondary fractures between hydraulic fractures or hydraulic fractures between
lateral wells become disconnected. Oil production decreases more slowly during late time when
there is linear flow in natural fractures and bilinear flow in natural fractures and matrix. On the
other hand, disconnected short hydraulic fractures may lead to unit slope instead of half slope
and quarter slope at early time. The occurrence of early unit-slope and the absence of early half-
and quarter-slope indicate that the transient flow in relatively small hydraulic fractures is masked
by pseudo steady-state pressure depletion due to limited hydraulic fracture penetration. This may
contribute to additional uncertainties in fracture characterization with analytical models.
The approach presented in this study can be used as an avenue to quantify the effects of model
uncertainties on production performance prediction, and the method can be readily extended to
shale reservoirs. Given the subject of resource/reserve estimation of multi-fractured horizontal
wells in unconventional reservoirs remains challenging, this work highlights the importance of
adopting a modeling framework that takes into consideration the uncertainties in model
parameters when carrying out long-term production forecast.
Ignoring the presence of two phase oil-gas flow or assuming the absence of solution gas in tight
oil reservoirs could lead to overestimation of fracture parameters such as effective fracture
92
volume and fracture length and permeability. In particular, this overestimation would be more
severe, if krog is low and/or gas relative permeability exponent (a1) is high.
Capillary end-effects do exist at facture-matrix interface and cause water blockage at this
interface. This is similar to the end-effect observed in laboratory coreflooding tests. This
capillary discontinuity plays an unignorably role in matrix-fracture flow communication, which
in turn, influences water hydrocarbon production. Results show that less water blockage and
higher production are observed in cases with lower capillary contrast between fracture and
matrix. With higher capillary contrast between fracture and matrix, effects of imbibition become
more pronounced and more oil flows into fracture from matrix. However, cumulative oil
production does not change much. Also, Capillary end- effect has less influences on oil rate in
triple-porosity models compared with impacts on oil rate in dual-porosity models.
It is also observed that initial oil production increases slightly due to the displacement of oil by
water (wetting phase) near the fracture-matrix interface. This increase is more pronounced when
we increase the capillary pressure or initial water saturation in matrix blocks. However, after this
slightly increasing, whole production procedure is hampered as a result of increased water
blockage.
Relative permeability effects capillary discontinuity directly. Increasing oil relative permeability
endpoint or decreasing oil relative permeability curvature can lead to capillary end-effect more
pronounced. Models with different capillary pressure in matrix can have higher oil rate
difference as endpoint of oil relative permeability increases.
The results can be applied 1) for a more representative simulation of fractured horizontal wells
and 2) for designing efficient treatment technologies for the removal of water blockage which is
one of the key mechanisms for the production decline observed in the field.
93
7.2 Future Work
For future multi-phase production from fractured horizontal wells studies, the following future
research is recommended:
Both dual-porosity models and triple-porosity models in tight oil reservoir with three-
phase flow can be constructed to figure out three-phase effects on oil production,
especially long-term production.
The presented triple-porosity models in this thesis will be evaluated using more field data
from different formations and wells to do production prediction.
Stochastically distributed discrete fracture networks (DFN) can be employed in future
work. Branched natural (secondary) fracture with different length and position will be
modeled randomly. This can capture the uncertainties associated with reservoir
heterogeneity better.
An injector can be used in triple-porosity model in this thesis to simulate flow-back and
shut-in operation. Effects of capillary discontinuity from fractured horizontal well on
hydrocarbon production will be investigated using models with injector.
94
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