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INTERNATIONAL SECURITY AND

WARFARE IN THE 2 I ST CENTURY

A Selected Bibliography

U S Army War College Library June 2000

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I. REPORT IDENTiFYlNG INFORMATION

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INTERNATION SECURITY AND WARFARE IN THE

21ST CENTURY: A SELECTED BIBLIOGRAPHY

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"International Security and Warfare in the 21st Century" is a special theme at the U.S. Army War College. Compiled in support of this theme, the following bibliography reflects books, documents, and periodical articles in the collection of the Army War College Library.

The parameters for the selection of materials for the bibliography were set by the description of the theme as expressed in the Army War College Curriculum Pamphlet for Academic Year 2000. The description is as follows:

The contemporary international security environment reflects elements of conti- nuity and change in potential sources of conflict and warfare in the 21st Cen- tury. Trends such as economic globalization, ethnic rivalry, failed states and transnational sources of conflict coexist with traditional regional military threats. Technology that facilitates a global economy also creates new national vulnerabilities, especially in information systems. The multi-faceted nature of these challenges ensures an increased role for the interagency process in ad- dressing them. The conduct of warfare may also be changing. While some elements of traditional warfare will persist, new actors and new technologies suggest that asymmetric challenges and asymmetric warfare will increase. Coa- litions and alliances grow in importance to both US national security and the use of military force. The Army War College provides tomorrow's leaders with the necessary knowledge and skills for addressing the forces of continuity and change that shape both new and traditional warfare in the security environment of the 21st Century.

All the items in the bibliography are available in the Army War College Library collection. The books and documents are dated 1996 to the present, while the periodical articles are dated 1997 to the present.

For your convenience we have added our call numbers at the end of each book and document entry. Please keep in mind that call numbers may vary from library to library. This bibliog- raphy is also available on the Internet through our Library's homepage (http: //carlisle-www . army .mil/library/).

For additional information, please contact the Research and Information Services Branch, U. S . Army War College Library, by sending an e-mail message to libraryr@awc.carlisle.army .mil, or by phoning Commercial (717) 245-3660 or DSN 242-3660.

Jane E. Gibish, compiler

1

INTERNATIONAL SECURITY AND

WARFARE IN THE 21ST CENTURY

Selected Bibliography

CONTENTS

BOOKS AND DOCUMENTS .............................................................................. 1

PERIODICAL ARTICLES ................................................................................. 16

... 111

Books and Documents

Alexander, John B. Future War: Non-Lethal Weapons in Twenty-First Century Warfare. New York: St. Martin's Press, 1999. 254pp. (U795 .A44 1999)

Allison, Roy, and Christopher Bluth, eds. Security Dilemmas in Russia and Eurasia. London: Royal Institute of International Affairs, 1998. 358pp. (UA770 . S2 1 1998)

Alongi, Maria, rapporteur. Ethnic Conflict and European Security: Lessons from the Past and Implications for the Future. Conference Report. Carlisle Barracks: U.S. Army War Col- lege, Strategic Studies Institute, October 1996. 22pp. (U413 .A66A45 1996)

Al-Saud, Turki A. After the Arabian Gulf War: The Arab Perspective on Continuing Threats to Middle East Stability. Strategy Research Project. Carlisle Barracks: U.S. Army War College, April 1999. 3Opp. (AD-A363-407)

Anderson, Ralph D. Sources of Conflict in the Twenty-First Century. Strategy Research Project. Carlisle Barracks: U.S. Army War College, May 1999. 69pp. (AD-A364-499)

Arbatov, Aleksei, Karl Kaiser, and Robert Legvold, eds. Russia and the West: The 2lSt Cen- tury Security Environment. Eurasia in the 2lSt Century, Vol. 1. Armonk, NY: M.E. Sharpe, 1999. 258pp. (UA770 .R85 1999)

Arquilla, John, and David F. Ronfeldt, eds. In Athena's Camp: Preparing for Conflict in the Information Age. Report MR-880-OSD. Santa Monica: Rand, 1997. 50 lpp. (U2 1.2 .A74 1997)

Art, Robert J., and Kenneth N. Waltz, eds. The Use of Force: Military Power and Interna- tional Politics. 5" ed. Lanham, MD: Rowman & Littlefield, 1999. 478pp. (U21.2 .U83 1999)

Australian Defence Studies Centre. Australian Securitv in a New Era: Reform or Revolution? Canberra, Australia: 1998. 129pp. (UA870 .A871 1998)

Babkina, A.M. Nuclear Proliferation: An Annotated Bibliography. Commack, NY: Nova Science, 1999. 239pp. (KZ5675 .B33 1999)

Babkina, A.M. Terrorism: An Annotated Bibliography. Commack, NY: Nova Science, 1998. 327pp. (HV6431 .B11 1998)

Banks, Steven A. Planning for Future Humanitarian Assistance Operations: Using the SAO (Security Assistance Officer) to Establish the NGO (Non-governmental Organization) Working Relationship. Newport: U. S. Naval War College, Department of Operations. February 1999. 15pp. (V420 .B151 1999)

Bell. J. Bowyer. Dragonwars: Armed Struggle & the Conventions of Modern War. New Brunswick, NJ: Transaction, 1999. 455pp. (U240 .B44 1999)

Bellon, Timothy E. Military Responses to State-Sponsored Terrorism: Re-Thinking Deter- rence and Coercion Theory. Thesis (M. S .). Monterey : U. s. Naval Postgraduate School, 1999. 170pp. (V425 .U5 TH B455)

Bennett, Bruce W., Christopher P. Twomey, and Gregory F. Treverton. What Are Asymmet- ric Strategies? Documented Briefing DB-246-OSD. Santa Monica: Rand, 1999. 13pp. (U163 .B36 1999)

Binnendijk, Hans, editor-in-chief. Strategic Assessment 1999: Priorities for a Turbulent World. Washington: National Defense University Press, 1999. 314pp. (UA23 .S82 1999)

Binnendijk, Hans, editor-in-chief. Strategic Assessment 1998: Engaging Power for Peace. Washington: National Defense University Press, 1998. 285pp. (UA23 .S82 1998)

Binnendijk, Hans, editor-in-chief. Strategic Assessment 1997: Flashpoints and Force Struc- ture. - Washington, National Defense University Press, 1997. 300pp. (UA23 .S82 1997)

Binnendijk, Hans, and James E. Goodby, eds. Transforming Nuclear Deterrence. Washing- ton: National Defense University Press, 1997. 63pp. (UA11 .T73 1997)

Blank, Stephen, ed. Mediterranean Security into the Coming Millennium. Carlisle Barracks: U.S. Army War College, Strategic Studies Institute, 1999. 516pp. (U413 .A66M44 1999)

Blank, Stephen. The Strategic Context of Russo-Chinese Relations. Camberley , Surrey, England: Royal Military Academy, Sandhurst, Conflict Studies Research Centre, Septem- ber 1999. 18pp. (U520 .R1 1999 B43)

Blank, Stephen, William T, Johnsen, and Thomas-Durell Young. European Security: Wash- ington's Shaping Strategy in Action. Carlisle Barracks: U.S. Army War College, Strategic Studies Institute, March 2000. 42pp. (U413 .A66B56 2000)

Bowers, Stephen R., and Kimberly R. Keys. Technology and Terrorism: The New Threat for the Millennium. Conflict Study No. 309. Leamington Spa, Warwickshire, England: Re- search Institute for the Study of Conflict and Terrorism, 1998. 24pp. (D1 .C6 no.309)

Bracken, Paul J. Fire in the East: The Rise of Asian Military Power and the Second Nuclear &. New York: HarperCollins, 1999. 186pp. (UA830 .B73 1999)

Brenner, Michael J., ed. NATO and Collective Security. New York: St. Martin's Press, 1998. 317pp. (JZ5930 .N17 1998)

Brown, James, ed. New Horizons and New Strategies in Arms Control. Albuquerque: San- dia National Laboratories, 1998. 388pp. (525625 .N49 1998)

Brown, Michael E., and others, eds. Nationalism and Ethnic Conflict. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press, 1997. 434pp. (JC311 .N315 1997)

2

Buchanan, Paul G. "Chameleon, Tortoise, or Toad: The Changing U.S. Security Role in Contemporary Latin America. " In International Security and Democracy: Latin America and the Caribbean in the Post-Cold War Era, edited by Jorge I. Dominguez, pp. 266-288. Pittsburgh: University of Pittsburgh Press, 1998. 346pp. (F1414.2 .I65 1998)

Bunker, Robert J. Five-Dimensional (Cyber) Warfighting: Can the Army After Next Be De- feated Through Complex Concepts and Technologies? Carlisle Barracks: U.S. Army War College, Strategic Studies Institute, March 1998. 42pp. (U413 .A66B83 1998)

Butts, Kent H., and Arthur L Bradshaw, eds. Caspian Sea International Environmental Secu- rity Game, 16-17 November 1998. Carlisle Barracks: U.S. Army War College, Center for Strategic Leadership, July 1999. 222pp. (U413 .C75B87 1999)

Cameron, Gavin. Nuclear Terrorism: A Threat Assessment for the 21st Century. New York: St. Martin's Press, 1999. 200pp. (HV6431 .C35 1999)

Carment, David, and Patrick James, eds. Peace in the Midst of War: Preventing and Manag- ing International Ethnic Conflicts. Columbia: University of South Carolina Press, 1998. 333pp. (GN496 .P43 1998)

Ciccarelli, John, ed. Transnational Crime: A New Security Threat? Canberra: Australian Defence Studies Centre, 1996. 1Olpp. (HV6252 .T72 1996)

Cimbala, Stephen J. The Past and Future of Nuclear Deterrence. Westport: Praeger, 1998. 235pp. (UA11 .C56 1998)

Coffman, David W. "Operational Art and the Human Dimension of Warfare in the 2lSt Cen- tury. " In Essays 1999, by National Defense University, Institute for National Strategic Studies, pp. 67-95. Washington: National Defense University Press, 1999. 97pp. (UA23 .E77 1999)

Combs, Cindy C. Terrorism in the Twenty-First Century. Upper Saddle River, NJ: Prentice Hall, 1997. 243pp. (HV6431 .C6472 1997)

Cordesman, Anthony H. Iran's Military Forces in Transition: Conventional Threats and Weapons of Mass Destruction. Westport: Praeger, 1999. 432pp. (UA853 .I7C65 1999)

Cordesman, Anthony H. Iraq and the War of Sanctions: Conventional Threats and Weapons of Mass Destruction. Westport, Praeger 1999. 684pp. (UA853 .I75C65 1999)

Cordesman, Anthony H. The Military Balance in the Middle East: An Executive Summary. IGCC Policy Paper No. 49. La Jolla, CA: Institute on Global Conflict and Cooperation, March 1999. 118pp. (5227 .I5P5 no.49)

Cordesman, Anthony H. Transnational Threats from the Middle East: Crying Wolf or Crying Havoc? Carlisle Barracks: U.S. Army War College, Strategic Studies Institute, May 1999. 231pp. (U413 .A66C67 1999)

3

Crickard, F.W., Paul T. Mitchell, and Katherine Orr, eds. Multinational Naval Cooperation and Foreign Policy into the 2lSt Century. Brookfield VT: Ashgate, 1998. 305pp. (VA40 .M85 1998)

Crocker, Chester A., Fen 0. Hampson, and Pamela R. Aall, eds. Managing Global Chaos: Sources of and Responses to International Conflict. Washington: United States Institute of Peace Press, 1996. 642pp. (JX4473 .M35 1996)

Cronin, Patrick M., ed. 2015, Power and Progress. Washington: National Defense Univer- sity Press, 1996. 157pp. (U411 .I6P69 1996)

Cronin, Richard P. Japan's Changing Security Outlook: Implications for U .S .-Japan Defense Cooperation. Washington: Library of Congress, Congressional Research Service, July 1999. 30pp. (UA845 .C761 1999)

Cross, Sharyl, and others, eds. Global Security beyond the Millennium: American and Rus- sian Perspectives. New York: St. Martin's Press, 1999. 260pp. (UA23 .G64 1999)

Cyiulik, Joseph C. Asymmetric Warfare and the Threat to the American Homeland. Land- power Essay Series, No. 99-8. Arlington: AUSA Institute of Land Warfare, 1999. 13pp. (UA23 .A95L15 99-8)

Daniel, Donald C . , Bradd C. Hayes, and Chantal de Jonge Oudraat . Coercive Inducement and the Containment of International Crises. Washington: United States Institute of Peace Press, 1999. 272pp. (KZ6376 .D36 1998)

Davidson, Lisa W., Margaret D. Daly, and James J. Landon. Humanitarian and Peace Op- erations: NGOs (Non-governmental Organizations) and the Military in the Interagency Pro- cess: Workshop Report. Washington: National Defense University 1996. 66pp. (U411 .I6D38 1996)

Davis, Addison D. Emerging Non-Traditional Security Issues for the New Millennium. Working Paper in International Studies No. 1-99-4. Stanford: Hoover Institution, February 1999. 33pp. (UA10.5 .D19 1999)

Davis, Jacquelyn K., and Michael J. Sweeney. Strategic Paradigms 2025: U.S. Security Planning for a New Era. Dulles, VA: Brassey's, 1999. 353pp. (521480 .D38 1999)

Delmas, Philippe. The Rosy Future of War. New York: Free Press, 1997. 236pp. (JC330.2 .D24 1997)

de Ruiter, Andrew J.C. Civil Military Cooperation: Core Business in (Future) Peace Support Operations. Strategy Research Project. Carlisle Barracks: U.S. Army War College, April 1999. 3 9 ~ ~ . (AD-A364-510)

Dick, C.J. From an Era of Threat to One of Dangers. Camberley, Surrey, England: Royal Military Academy, Sandhurst, Conflict Studies Research Centre, November 1998. 40pp. (U520 .R1 1998 D3)

4

Dolatyar, Mostafa, and Tim S. Gray. Water Politics in the Middle East: A Context for Con- flict or Co-operation? New York: St. Martin's Press, 2000. 255pp. (HD1698 .M53D65 2000)

Downes, Richard. Landpower and Ambiguous Warfare: Challenge of Colombia in the 21st Century. Conference Report. Carlisle Barracks: U.S. Army War College, Strategic Stud- ies Institute, March 1999. 21pp. (U413 .A66D69 1999)

Drennen, Christopher J. Rejecting Self-Deterrence in the Post-Cold War Environment: As- suming a Leadership Role to Influence the Future. Newport: U.S. Naval War College, Joint Military Operations Department, February 1996. 17pp. (V420 .D62 1996)

Dujarric, Robert, and others. Korea: Security Pivot in Northeast Asia. Indianapolis: Hudson Institute, 1998. 156pp. (DS917 .D85 1998)

Durch, William J. Searching for National Security: Threat and Response in the Age of Vul- nerability. Washington: Henry L. Stimson Center, May 1999. 102pp. (UA10.5 .D87 1999)

Falkenrath, Richard A., Robert D. Newman, and Bradley A. Thayer. America's Achilles' Heel: Nuclear, Biological, and Chemical Terrorism and Covert Attack. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press, 1998. 354pp. (HV6432 .F35 1998)

Farer, Tom J., ed. Transnational Crime in the Americas. New York: Routledge, 1999. 311pp. (HV6252 .T73 1999)

Filler, Robert J. U.S. Strategic Nuclear Forces in the Post Strategic Arms Reduction Talk World: Is There a Future for Nuclear Deterrence? Strategy Research Project. Carlisle Barracks: U.S. Army War College, April 1998. 32pp. (AD-A341-484)

Fishel, John T., ed. "The Savage Wars of Peace": Toward a New Paradigm of Peace Opera- tions. Boulder: Westview Press, 1998. 244pp. (JX1981 .P7S18 1998)

Flor, Leonard0 V. Operations with NGOs (Non-governmental Organizations), the 'Interna- tional Army of the Future'. Fort Leavenworth: U.S. Army Command and General Staff College, School of Advanced Studies, May 1997. 73pp. (U415 .A42 97 F45)

Friedman, George, and Meredith Friedman. The Future of War: Power, Technology, and American World Dominance in the 2lSt Century. New York: Crown, 1996. 464pp. (UP500 .F74 1996)

Furlong, Ronald L. Future Coalitions: Learning from the Past, Looking to the Future and Listening to Our Allies. Newport: U.S. Naval War College, Department of Operations, May 1998. 20pp. (V420 .F86 1998)

Gareev, Makhmut A. If War Comes Tomorrow: The Contours of Future Armed Conflict. Translated by Yakov V. Fomenko. Portland: Cass, 1998. 182pp. (U21.2 .G3713 1998)

5

Garrett, Stephen A. Doing Good and Doing Well: An Examination of Humanitarian Inter- vention. Westport: Praeger, 1999. 213pp. (KZ6369 .G37 1999)

Gauthier, Kathryn L. China as Peer Competitor?: Trends in Nuclear Weapons, Space, and Information Warfare. Maxwell Air Force Base: Air University Press, July 1999. 39pp. (UG635.31 .M29 no.18)

Gibish, Jane E., comp. Revolution in Military Affairs: A Selected Bibliography. Carlisle Barracks: U.S. Army War College Library, May 1996. 39pp. (U413 .Z92R28 1996)

Gibish, Jane E., comp. Strategic Vision: A Selected Bibliography with Emphasis on Future Warfare. Carlisle Barracks: U.S. Army War College Library, May 1998. 40pp. (U413 .Z92S79 1998)

Gibish, Jane E., comp. U.S. National Security and Military Strategies: A Selected Bibliogra- phy. Carlisle Barracks: U.S. Army War College Library, August 1999. 44pp. (U413 .Z92U7 1999)

Gleeson, Dennis J., and D. Robert Worley. Future Conflict: A Survey of Recent Literature. IDA Document D-2268. Alexandria: Institute for Defense Analyses, 1999. 1 vol. (UA23 .In8 D-2268)

Gong, Gerrit W., ed. Taiwan Strait Dilemmas: China-Taiwan-U.S. Policies in the New Century. Significant Issues Series, Vol. 22, No. 1. Washington: Center for Strategic and International Studies, 2000. 174pp. (E183.8 .C5T283 2000)

Gray, Colin S. The Second Nuclear Age. Boulder: Lynne Rienner, 1999. 193pp. (U264 .G739 1999)

Haass, Richard. Intervention: The Use of Military Force in the Post-Cold War World. Rev. ed. Washington: Brookings Institution Press, 1999. 295pp. (UA23 .H22 1999)

Hajjar, Sami G. Security Implications of the Proliferation of Weapons of Mass Destruction in the Middle East. Carlisle Barracks: U.S. Army War College, Strategic Studies Institute, December 1998. 53pp. (U413 .A66H26 1998)

Haselkorn, Avigdor. The Continuing Storm: Iraq, Poisonous Weapons and Deterrence. New Haven: Yale University Press, 1999. 374pp. (DS79.744 .C46H37 1999)

Hays, Peter L, Vincent J. Jodoin, and Alan R Van Tassel, eds. Countering the Proliferation and Use of Weapons of Mass Destruction. New York: McGraw-Hill, 1998. 369pp. (UA23 .C68 1998)

Hickey, Dennis. The United States and Cross-Strait Rivalry: Strategic Partnership and Strate- gic Ambiguity. (U.S. relationship with Taiwan as well as the People's Republic of China) Washington: Atlantic Council of the United States, May 1999. 23pp. (UA835 .H42 1999)

6

Hoffman, Bruce. "Terrorism Today and Tomorrow, In Inside Terrorism, pp. 185-205. New York: Columbia University Press, 1998. 288pp. (HV6431 .H625 1998)

Hoyt, John R. A Proactive Strategy toward Terrorism and Transnational Crime. Thesis (M.A.). Monterey: U.S. Naval Postgraduate School, December 1998. l l lpp . (V425 .U5 TH H591)

Huggins, William S. Third Wave of Third Strike: The Future of the Nation-State and the Utility of Armed Force. Strategy Research Project. Carlisle Barracks: U.S. Army War College, April 1998. 28pp. (AD-A344-421)

Huntington, Samuel P. The Clash of Civilizations and the Remaking of World Order. New York: Simon & Schuster, 1996. 367pp. (D860 .H86 1996)

Institute for Foreign Policy Analysis, and the Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy, Interna- tional Security Studies Program. Strategy, Force Structure, and Defense Planning for the Twenty-First Century. Cambridge, MA: Institute for Foreign Policy Analysis, May 1997. 51pp. (U153 .S78 1997)

Johnsen, William T. The Future Roles of U.S. Military Power and Their Implications. Car- lisle Barracks: U.S. Army War College, Strategic Studies Institute, April 1997. 75pp. (U413 .A665628 1997)

Kaldor, Mary, and Basker Vashee, eds. Restructuring the Global Military Sector. Vol 1: New Wars. New York: Pinter, 1997. 351pp. (U42 .R27 1997)

Kay, Sean. NATO and the Future of European Security. Lanham, MD: Rowman & Little- field, 1998. 199pp. (UA646.3 .K377 1998)

Keeling, Stephen E. International Military Education and Training: A Shaper of the Security Environment of the Future. Strategy Research Project. Carlisle Barracks: U.S. Army War College, April 1999. 30pp. (AD-A364-074)

Keller, Brian A. Intelligence Support to Military Operations on Urban Terrain: Lessons Learned from the Battle of Grozny . Strategy Research Project. Carlisle Barracks: U.S. Army War College, April 2000. 42pp. (AD-A374-901)

Kennedy, Claudia J. The Age of Revolutions. Letort Paper No. 3. Carlisle Barracks: U.S. Army War College, Strategic Studies Institute, 1998. 15pp. (U413 .A66L48 no.3)

Kerry, John. The New War: The Web of Crime That Threatens America's Security. New York: Simon & Schuster, 1997. 210pp. (HV6252 .K47 1997)

Khalilzad, Zalmay, and Ian 0. Lesser, eds. Sources of Conflict in the 2lSt Century: Regional Futures and U.S. Strategy. Report MR-897-AF. Santa Monica: Rand, 1998. 336pp. (UG633 .S68 1998)

7

Khalilzad, Zalmay, and John P. White, eds. Strategic Appraisal: The Changing Role of In- formation in Warfare. Report MR-1016-AF. Santa Monica, Rand, 1999. 452pp. (UG478 .S77 1999)

Khalilzad, Zalmay, and others. The United States and a Rising China: Strategic and Military Implications. Report MR-1082-AF. Santa Monica: Rand, 1998. 11 lpp. (UA835 .U55 1999)

Kilgore, Joe E. The Future of Unconventional Warfare. Strategy Research Project. Carlisle Barracks: U.S. Army War College, April 1999. 25pp. (AD-A364-050)

Knoblauch, Karl B. Constabularies in Future Peace Operations. Strategy Research Project. Carlisle Barracks: U.S. Army War College, April 1998. 37pp. (AD-A344-404)

Konynenburg, Matt. The Urban Century: Developing World Urban Trends and Possible Factors Affecting Military Operations. Quantico: Marine Corps Intelligence Activity, No- vember 1997. 18pp. (U167.5 .S7K66 1997)

Kratsas, James J. International Military Education and Training: A Force Multiplier with Relevance for the 2lSt Century. Strategy Research Project. Carlisle Barracks: U. S. Army War College, March 1997. 26pp. (AD-A326-908)

Kugler, Richard L. Changes Ahead: Future Directions for the U.S. Overseas Military Pres- ence. Report MR-956-AF. Santa Monica: Rand, 1998. 174pp. (UA23 .K7893 1998)

Kushner, Harvey W., ed. The Future of Terrorism: Violence in the New Millennium. Thou- sand Oaks, CA: Sage, 1998. 278pp. (HV6432 .F87 1998)

Lake, David A., and Donald Rothchild, eds. The International Spread of Ethnic Conflict: Fear, Diffusion, and Escalation. Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1998. 392pp. (GN496 .I595 1998)

Landpower in the 2lSt Century: Preparing for Conflict. (Collection of articles from Parame- ters, the Army War College's professional journal. The collection was prepared for the Army After Next Wargame, April 1998.) Carlisle Barracks: U.S. Army War College, 1998. 224pp. (UA25 .L26 1998)

Laqueur, Walter. The New Terrorism: Fanaticism and the Arms of Mass Destruction. New York: Oxford University Press, 1999. 312pp. (HV6431 .L361 1999)

Laurence, Tim. Humanitarian Assistance and Peacekeeping: An Uneasy Alliance. London: Royal United Services Institute for Defence Studies, 1999. 88pp. (U543 .R68W5 no.48)

Leatherman, Janie and others. Breaking Cycles of Violence: Conflict Prevention in Intrastate Crises. West Hartford: Kumarian, 1999. 256pp. (JC328.6 .B725 1999)

Lesser, Ian O., and others. Countering the New Terrorism. Report MR-989-AF. Santa Monica: Rand, 1999. 153pp. (HV6432 .C68 1999)

8

Lilley, James R., and David L. Shambaugh, eds. China's Military Faces the Future. Wash- ington: AEI, 1999. 356pp. (UA835 .C4463 1999)

Lovelace, Douglas C., Jr. Evolution in Military Affairs: Shaping the Future U.S. Armed Forces. Carlisle Barracks: U.S. Army War College, Strategic Studies Institute, June 1997. 80pp. (U413 .A661L58 1997)

Lovelace, Douglas C., Jr., and Steven Metz. Nonlethality and American Land Power: Strate- gic Context and Operational Concepts. Carlisle Barracks: U. S. Army War College, Stra- tegic Studies Institute, June 1998. 43pp. (U413 .A66L67 1998)

Lwin, Michael R. Great Powers, Weak States and Asymmetric Strategies. Thesis (M.S.). Monterey: U.S. Naval Postgraduate School, December 1997. 96pp. (V425 .U5 TH L95)

Lynch, Timothy D. A Suggested Decision-Making Guide for Use by Interagency Working Groups in Developing Policy Recommendations for Complex Contingency Crisis Opera- tions. Strategy Research Project. Carlisle Barracks: U.S. Army War College, April 1997. 2 9 ~ ~ . (AD-A326-872)

McCaffrie, Jack, and Alan Hinge, eds. Sea Power in the New Century: Maritime Operations in Asia-Pacific beyond 2000. Canberra: Australian Defence Studies Centre, 1997. 225pp. (UA870 .S42 1998)

McLachlan, Ian, and others. Australia's Strategic Dilemmas: Options for the Future. Can- berra: Australian Defence Studies Centre, 1997. 175pp. (UA870 .A98 1997)

Magyar, Karl P. Global Security Concerns: Anticipating the Twenty-First Century. Maxwell Air Force Base: Air University Press, 1996. 327pp. (U21.2 .G53 1996)

Maley, William, ed. Fundamentalism Reborn?: Afghanistan and the Taliban. New York: New York University Press, 1998. 253pp. (DS371.3 .F86 1998)

Malik, J. Mohan, ed. The Future Battlefield. Geelong, Victoria, Australia: Deakin Univer- sity Press, 1997. 288pp. (UA870 .F882 1997)

Mandel, Robert. Deadly Transfers and the Global Playground: Transnational Security Threats in a Disorderly World. Westport: Praeger, 1999. 139pp. (UA10.5 .M325 1999)

Manwaring, Max G., ed. Security and Civil-Military Relations in the New World Disorder: The Armed Forces in the Americas. An anthology from a symposium cosponsored by the Chief of Staff, United States Army, the George Bush School of Government and Public Service, and the U.S. Army War College. Carlisle Barracks: U.S. Army War College, Strategic Studies Institute, September 1999. 85pp. (U413 .A66M26 1999)

Manwaring, Max G., and John T. Fishel, eds. Toward Responsibility in the New World Dis- order: Challenges and Lessons of Peace Operations. Portland: Cass, 1998. 2 15pp. (JZ6374 .T69 1998)

9

Marcella, Gabriel, and Donald E. Schulz. Colombia's Three Wars: U.S. Strategy at the Crossroads. Carlisle Barracks: U.S. Army War College, Strategic Studies Institute, March 1999. 41pp. (U414 .A66M27 1999)

Marshall, Thomas J, chairman, and Jon A, Kessmeier, rapporteur. Problems and Solutions in Future Coalition Operations. Final Report of a Headquarters U.S. Army Europe Confer- ence. McLean, VA: Science Applications International Corporation, July 1996. 2 vols. (U260 .P65 1996)

Matthews, Lloyd J. , ed. Challenging the United States Symmetrically and Asymmetrically: Can America Be Defeated? Carlisle Barracks: U.S. Army War College, Strategic Studies Institute, 1998. 343pp. (U413 .A66C42 1998)

Menon, Rajan, Yuri E. Fedorov, and Ghia Nodia, eds. Russia, the Caucasus, and Central Asia: The 2lS\Century Security Environment. Eurasia in the 2lSt Century, Vol. 2. Ar- monk, NY: M.E. Sharpe, 1999. 272pp. (UA770 .R818 1999)

Metz, Steven. Armed Conflict in the 21st Century: The Information Revolution and Post- Modem Warfare. Carlisle Barracks: U.S. Army War College, Strategic Studies Institute, April 2000. 113pp. (U413 .A66M475 2000)

Metz, Steven. Redefining American Strategy in Africa. Carlisle Barracks: U.S. Army War College, Strategic Studies Institute, February 2000. 71pp. (U413 .A66M474 2000)

Metz, Steven. Strategic Horizons: The Military Implications of Alternative Futures. Carlisle Barracks: U.S. Army War College, Strategic Studies Institute, March 1997. 58pp. (U413 .A66M473 1997)

Metz, Steven, and others. The Future of American Landpower: Strategic Challenges for the 2lSt Century Army. Carlisle Barracks: U.S. Army War College, Strategic Studies Institute, March 1996. 25pp. (U413 .A661M47 1996)

Miles , Franklin B. Asymmetric Warfare: An Historical Perspective. Strategy Research Proj- ect. Carlisle Barracks: U.S. Army War College, March 1999. 47pp. (AD-A363-836)

Molander, Roger C. , and others. Strategic Information Warfare Rising. Repoxt MR-964- OSD. Santa Monica: Rand, 1998. 82pp. (U163 .S756 1998)

Morbach, Gernot W. Terrorism and Organized Crime: The Alliance of Tomorrow? How to Counter a Possible Future Threat. Thesis (M.S.). Monterey: U.S. Naval Postgraduate School, June 1998. 151pp. (V425 .U5 TH M561)

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Schneider, Barry R., and Lawrence E. Grinter, eds. Battlefield of the Future: 2lSt Century Warfare Issues. Air War College Studies in National Security, No. 3. Maxwell Air Force Base: Air University Press, September 1998. 279pp. (UG635.31 .B37 1998)

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Periodical Articles

Ackerman, Robert K. "Crises, Opportunities Define Pacific Command Operations: Nurturing a Regional Security Environment Requires Multifacited Coalition Operations and Connec- tivity." Signal 54 (November 1999): 16-19.

Ackerman, Robert K. "Echoes of Chechnya Warfare Resound in Moscow, Quantico: Experi- ences Gleaned in Caucasus Urban Battles Shape Russian Doctrine, but Raise More Ques- tions for U.S. Marines Planning Future Operations." Signal 54 (May 2000): 39-42.

Ackerman, Robert K. "Kosovo Maps the Future of Information Technologies: New Capabili- ties Emerge with Advanced Networking, while Shortcomings Become More Apparent and Critical. I' Signal 54 (December 1999): 49-52.

Adams, Jan S. "The U.S.-Russian Face-off in the Caspian Basin. 'I ("Moscow faces unprece- dented problems with the feisty new sovereign states of the Caspian Basin and in defending Russia's national interests against encroachments by regional and global powers, especially the United States. ") Problems of Post-Communism 47 (January-February 2000): 49-58.

Adams, Thomas K. "The New Mercenaries and the Privatization of Conflict. 'I Parameters 29 (Summer 1999): 103-1 16.

Ahrari, Ehsan. "China Changes Its Strategic Mindset. 2 parts. Jane's Intelligence Review 11 (November 1999): 38-44; 11 (December 1999): 38-35.

Ahrari, Ehsan. "Growing Strong: The Nuclear Genie in South Asia. Security Dialogue 30 (December 1999) : 43 1-444.

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Ahrari, Ehsan. "Unrestricted War: The Leveller. It ("Compensating for the People's Libera- tion Army's slow rate of modernisation, Chinese military strategists have published a new theory of warfare that focuses on the weaknesses of potential adversaries. 'I) Jane's Intelli- gence Review 12 (February 2000): 44-46.

Alexander, John B. "Emerging Threats Make Non-Lethal Weapons an Option in a Changing World." National Defense 82 (February 1998): 34.

Antal, John F. "A Glimpse of Wars to Come: The Battle for Grozny." Army 49 (June 1999) : 28-40.

Antonenko , Oksana. "Russia, NATO and European Security after Kosovo. It Survival 41 (Winter 1999-2000): 124-144.

Arquilla, John, and David Ronfeldt. "The Advent of Netwar: Analytic Background. in Conflict and Terrorism 22 (July-September 1999): 193-206.

Studies

Arquilla, John, and Theodore Karasik. "Chechnya: A Glimpse of Future Conflict?" Studies in Conflict and Terrorism 22 (July-September 1999): 207-230.

Arquilla, John, David Ronfeldt, and Michele Zanini. "Information-Age Terrorism. I' Current History 99 (April 2000): 179-185.

Aubin, Stephen P. "China: Yes, Worry about the Future." Strategic Review 26 (Winter 1998): 17-20.

Ayers, Robert. "The New Threat: Information Warfare. RUSI Journal 144 (October 1999): 23-27.

Baev, Pave1 K. "Russia's Stance against Secessions: From Chechnya to Kosovo. It Interna- tional Peacekeeping 6 (Autumn 1999): 73-94.

Ball, Deborah Y. "How Safe Is Russia's Nuclear Arsenal?" Jane's Intelligence Review 11 (December 1999): 10-1 1.

Banerjee, Dipanker. "Revolution in Military Affairs: Impact and Consequences for the Asia- Pacific Region. '' Asian Defence Journal, no. 3 (March 1999): 6-9.

Barnett, D. Sean, and James S. Thomason. "Flexible Presence in the 2lSt Century." JFQ: Joint Force Quarterly 20 (Autumn-Winter 1998-1999): 7-14.

Baumann, Robert F. "Historical Perspectives on Future War. 'I Military Review 77 (March- April 1997): 40-48.

Berkowitz, Bruce D. "War Logs On: Girding America for Computer Combat." Foreign Af- fairs 79 (May-June 2000): 8-12.

Berman, Ilan, and Paul M. Wihbey. "The New Water Politics of the Middle East." Strategic Review 27 (Summer 1999): 45-52.

17

Bermudez, John S. , Jr. "Exposing North Korea's Secret Nuclear Infrastructure. 'I 2 Parts. Jane's Intelligence Review 11 (July 1999): 36-41; 11 (August 1999): 41-45.

Betts, Richard K. "Power, Prospects, and Priorities: Choices for Strategic Change. It Naval War College Review 50 (Winter 1997): 9-22.

Bi , Jianxiang. "Managing Taiwan Operations in the Twenty-First Century: Issues and Op- tions." Naval War College Review 52 (Autumn 1999): 30-58.

Blanche, Ed. "Mid-East Water Woe Can Only Get Worse. Jane's Intelligence Review 11 (November 1999): 26-27.

Blanche, Ed, and Duncan Lennox. "Shifting Balance: The Middle East's Expanding Missile Forces Are Changing the Region's Military and Security Balance. I' Jane's Defence Weekly 31 (10 March 1999): 59-69.

Blank, Stephen. "The Illusion of a Short-War." SAIS Review 20 (Winter-Spring 2000): 133- 151.

Blank, Stephen. "The Mediterranean and Its Security Agenda. Mediterranean Quarterly 1 1 (Winter 2000) : 24-28.

Blank, Stephen. "NATO Enlargement between Rhetoric and Realism. International Politics 36 (March 1999): 67-88.

Blank, Stephen. "Russia as Rogue Proliferator. 'I Orbis 44 (Winter 2000): 91-107.

Blank, Stephen. "Russia Rises to Perceived Threats. Jane's Intelligence Review 12 (Febru- ary 2000): 23-27.

Bodansky, Yossef. "Beijing and the Kosovo Crisis: Learning from the NATO War against Yugoslavia, the PRC (People's Republic of China) Polishes the Skills Needed to Fight Asymmetrical Wars." Defense & Foreign Affairs Strategic Policy 27, nos. 5-6 (1999): 4- 12.

Boese, Wade, and Christopher Fischer. "Pragmatism in Practice: CFE (Conventional Armed Forces in Europe) Seeks to Secure Europe's Future. ruary 2000): 14-19.

Jane's Intelligence Review 12 (Feb-

Bowen, Desmond. "Something Must Be Done -- Military Intervention. I' Studies in Conflict & Terrorism 23 (January-March 2000): 1-19.

Bowers , Stephen R. "Information Warfare: The Computer Revolution Is Altering How Fu- ture Wars Will Be Conducted. 'I Armed Forces Journal International 136 (August 1998): 38-39.

Bowra, Kenneth R., and William H. Harris. "Regional Engagement: An ARSOF (Army Spe- Special Warfare 1 1 (Fall cial Operations Forces) Approach to Future Theater Operations.

1998): 2-23. 18

Bracken, Paul. "Asia's Militaries and the New Nuclear Age. Current History 98 (December 1999): 415-421.

Bread, Timothy M., and Ivan Eland. "Confronting the Threat of Ballistic Missile Prolifera- tion." USA Today 128 (May 2000): 14-16.

Bristow, Damon. "Cyber-Warfare Rages across Taiwan Strait. Jane's Intelligence Review 12 (February 2000): 40-41.

Bunker, Robert J. "Epochal Change: War over Social and Political Organization. 'I Parame- ters 27 (Summer 1997): 15-25.

Bunker, Robert J. "Higher-Dimensional Warfighting. 'I Military Review 79 (September- October 1999): 53-62.

Bunker, Robert J. "Terrorist: Soldier of the Future?" Special Warfare 10 (Winter 1997): 7- 11.

Byman, Daniel, and Matthew Waxman. "Defeating US Coercion. Survival 41 (Summer 1999): 107-120.

Byman, Daniel, and Matthew Waxman. "Kosovo and the Great Air Power Debate. 'I Interna- tional Security 24 (Spring 2000): 5-38.

Carter, Ashton B. "Adapting US Defence to Future Needs." Survival 41 (Winter 1999- 2000): 101-123.

"The Challenges to Global Security. 'I Jane's Defence Weekly: Editorial Supplement. 32 (22 December 1999) : entire issue.

Chenery, John T. "Transnational Threats 101 : Today's Asymmetric Battlefield. Military Intelligence 25 (July-September 1999): 4-9.

Christensen, Thomas J. "China, the U, S. -Japan Alliance, and the Security Dilemma in East Asia. It International Security 23 (Spring 1999): 49-80.

Cimbala, Stephen J. " Accidentalhadvertent Nuclear War and Information Warfare. 'I Armed Forces & Society 25 (Summer 1999): 653-675.

Clark, Wesley K. "Meeting Future Military Challenges to NATO." JFQ: Joint Force Quar- terly, no. 21 (Spring 1999): 41-46.

Clark, Wesley K. "The United States and NATO: The Way Ahead. 'I Parameters 29 (Winter 1999-2000) : 2- 14.

Clemmons, Byard Q., and Gary D. Brown. "Cyberwarfare: Ways, Warriors and Weapons of Mass Destruction. 'I Military Review 79 (September-October 1999): 35-45.

19

Cochran, Thad. "Responding to an Escalating Threat: Twelfth Multinational Conference on Theater Missile Defense, Edinburgh, Scotland, June 1, 1999. (October-December 1999): 293-296.

Comparative Strategy 18

Collins, John. "Special Operations Forces in Peacetime. I' Special Warfare 13 (Winter 2000): 2-7.

Costa, Keith J. "Toward a 'Concert for Freedom'. 'I ("The Hart-Rudman Commission ponders the ways in which the US can reconcile national security ends and means.") Air Force Magazine 83 (April 2000): 42-47.

Daalder, Ivo H., and Michael E. O'Hanlon. "Unlearning the Lessons of Kosovo. Policy, no. 116 (Fall 1999): 128-140.

Foreign

Damm, Raymond C., Jr. "Combined Action Program: A Tool for the Future." Marine Corps Gazette 82 (October 1998): 49-53.

Daughtry, Emily E., and Fred L. Wehling. "Cooperative Efforts to Secure Fissile Material in the NIS (Newly Independent States). I' (of the former Soviet Union) Nonproliferation Re- view 7 (Spring 2000): 97-1 11.

Dearth, Douglas H. "Information War: Rethinking the Application of Power in the 21" Cen- tury." Military Intelligence 23 (January-March 1997): 11-16, 60.

Delpech, Therese. "Nuclear Weapons and the 'New World Order': Early Warning from Asia?" Survival 40 (Winter 1998-1999): 57-76.

DeMattei, Lou Anne. "U.S. Vulnerability to Cyber Threat. 'I Officer Review 39 (October 1999) 22-24.

Diamond, Howard. "U.S. Intelligence Estimate Warns of Rising Missile Threats. 'I Arms Control Today 29 (September-October 1999): 33, 39.

Dibb, Paul. "Revolution in Military Affairs and Asian Security. 'I Survival 39 (Winter 1997- 1998): 93-116.

Dobson, Hugo J. "Regional Approaches to Peacekeeping Activities: The Case of the ASEAN (Association of Southeast Asian Nations) Regional Forum. I' International Peacekeeping 6 (Summer 1999): 152-171.

Dorff, Robert H. "Responding to the Failed State." Small War & Insurgencies 10 (Winter 1999) 62-8 1.

Doswald-Beck, Louise. "Implementation of International Humanitarian Law in Future Wars. 'I Naval War College Review 52 (Winter 1999): 24-52.

Douglass, Joseph D., Jr. "Russian Organized Crime and Financial Markets. 'I ROA National Security Report (November 1999): 32-33, 36.

20

Downing, John. "China Equips Itself for Power Projection. It Jane's Intelligence Review 12 (February 2000): 42-43.

Downing, John. ('China's Military Threat to Taiwan: The Reality behind Hidden Agenda. I' Jane's Intelligence Review 12 (May 2000): 33-36.

Drumheller, Michelle. "Nature of 2lSt Century Conflict Poses Dilemma for Global Powers. National Defense 83 (March 1999): 8-9.

Dunlap, Jr. Charles J. "21"-Century Land Warfare: Four Dangerous Myths. Parameters 27 (Autumn 1997): 27-37.

Elders, Vernon J. "Information Warfare and International Security. ROA National Security Report (September 1999): 28-32.

Eilts, Hermann F. "Middle East Dynamics and Its Changing Landscape. Strategic Review 27 (Summer 1999): 33-44.

Eisenhour, John H., and Edward Marks. "Herding Cats: Overcoming Obstacles in Civil- Military Operations. '' JFQ: Joint Force Quarterly, no. 22 (Summer 1999): 86-90.

Eisenstadt, Michael. "Living with a Nuclear Iran?" Survival 41 (Autumn 1999): 124-148.

Erwin, Sandra I. "Elite War Fighters Brace for 'Asymmetric' Combat: Special Operations National Defense 83 (February 1999): 18-20. Units See Proliferation of Deployments.

Falk, Richard. "The New Interventionism and the Third World. Current History 98 (No- vember 1999): 370-375.

Falkenrath, Richard A. "Confronting Nuclear, Biological and Chemical Terrorism. 'I Survival (A~tUmn 1998): 43-65.

Ferguson, Yale, and R. Mansbach. "Global Politics at the Turn of the Millennium: Changing Bases of,'Us' and 'Them'." International Studies Review 1 (Summer 1999): 77-107.

Finch, Raymond C., 111. "Face of Battle: Chechen Fighter Shamil Basayev. Military Re- view 77 (May-June 1997): 33-41.

Fischerkeller, Michael P. "David Versus Goliath: Cultural Judgments in Asymmetric Wars. Security Studies 7 (Summer 1998): 1-43.

Flynt, Bill. "Threat Convergence. Military Review 79 (September-October 1999): 2-1 1.

Forster, Anthony. "An Emerging Threat Shapes Up as Terrorists Take to the High Seas." ("Maritime violence is increasingly constituting more than mere piracy, as more and more militant groups seek to further their political aims offshore. ' I ) Jane's Intelligence Review 10 (July 1998): 42-45.

21

Forster, Anthony. "Hi-Tech Terrorists Turn to Cyber Warfare. Jane's Intelligence Review 11 (September 1999): 46-49.

Foster, Ed. "Imbalance of Power. I' ("NATO is re-examining its deployment strategies as a result of a comparative under-performance in recent conflicts by its European members. 'I) Jane's Defence Weekly 33 (5 January 2000): 24-28.

Freedman, Lawrence. "Changing Forms of Military Conflict. I' Survival 40 (Winter 1998- 1999): 39-56.

Freedman, Lawrence. "Moral and Material Grounds Will Mark the Front Lines of the Fu- ture. 'I Jane's Intelligence Review 12 (January 2000): 45-49

Friedman, Norman. "Was Kosovo the Future?" Proceedings - U.S. Naval Institute 126 (January 2000): 6-8.

Galeotti, Mark. "Russia's Criminals Go Global. 'I Jane's Intelligence Review 12 (March 2000) : 10- 15.

Gato, Gerard. "Insurgencies, Terrorist Groups and Indigenous Movements: An Annotated Bibliography. ica) Military Review 79 (July-August 1999): 72-82.

(Focuses on current literature pertaining to complex issues in Latin Amer-

Gehman, Harold W., Jr. "Transforming NATO Defense Capabilities. " JFQ: Joint Force Quarterly, no. 21 (Spring 1999): 47-51.

Gerry, Alexander A. "In International Law: Legality of Military Intervention to Protect Hu- man Rights and Prevent Genocide." Officer 75 (October 1999): 34-35, 44.

Gertz, Bill. "The North Korean Missile Threat." Air Force Magazine 83 (January 2000): 38- 43.

Gibbings, Thomas, Donald Hurley, and Scott Moore. "Interagency Operations Centers: An Opportunity We Can't Ignore. I' Parameters 28 (Winter 1998-1999): 99-1 12.

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22

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