“Now Everyone Can Fly”“Now Everyone Can Fly”

35
“Now Everyone Can Fly” “Now Everyone Can Fly” 2005 Second Quarter Results 21 st February 2005 2005 Second Quarter Results 21 st February 2005

Transcript of “Now Everyone Can Fly”“Now Everyone Can Fly”

Page 1: “Now Everyone Can Fly”“Now Everyone Can Fly”

“Now Everyone Can Fly”“Now Everyone Can Fly”

2005 Second Quarter Results21st February 2005

2005 Second Quarter Results21st February 2005

Page 2: “Now Everyone Can Fly”“Now Everyone Can Fly”

1

Now Everyone Can FlyDisclaimer

Information contained in our presentation is intended solely for your personal reference and is strictly confidential. Such information is subject to change without notice, its accuracy is not guaranteed and it may not contain all material information concerning the company. Neither we nor our advisors make any representation regarding, and assumes no responsibility or liability for, the accuracy or completeness of, or any errors or omissions in, any information contained herein.

In addition, the information contains projections and forward-looking statements that reflect the company’s current views with respect to future events and financial performance. These views are based on current assumptions which are subject to various risks and which may change over time. No assurance can be given that future events will occur, that projections will be achieved, or that the company’s assumptions are correct. Actual results may differ materially from those projected.

This presentation is strictly not to be distributed without the explicit consent of Company management under any circumstance.

Page 3: “Now Everyone Can Fly”“Now Everyone Can Fly”

2

Now Everyone Can FlyAgenda

1. Highlight & Events

2. Results Commentary - Second Quarter 2005

3. Cost Management

4. Outlook

Question & Answers

Page 4: “Now Everyone Can Fly”“Now Everyone Can Fly”

CONFIDENTIALCONFIDENTIAL

Now Everyone Can Fly

1. Highlight & Events1. Highlight & Events

Page 5: “Now Everyone Can Fly”“Now Everyone Can Fly”

4

Now Everyone Can FlyHighlights and Events

5 new routes added in the quarter- entered a new country (Macau)

Purchase Indonesian Airline – securing foundation of growth potential in Indonesia

Thai-AirAsia (expanding the model outside of Malaysia)

80 Airbus Order Concluded– guarantees continues supply of aircraft and secures low cost structure

Initial Public Offering Launched

AirAsia to be inducted in MSCI Emerging Market Index, 1st March

Page 6: “Now Everyone Can Fly”“Now Everyone Can Fly”

5

Now Everyone Can FlyAirAsia in Snapshot

Growth

Low CostPeople

Margin

AirAsiaBrand

Page 7: “Now Everyone Can Fly”“Now Everyone Can Fly”

6

Now Everyone Can FlyGrowth, Growth, Growth

1,561

2,924

1,354

2,839

1,481

611291

M ar-2001 Jun-2002 Jun-2003 Jun-2004 1Q-2005 2Q-2005 1H-2005

Passengers Flown Passengers Flown ((‘‘000)000)

Market can’t have enough of our low fares- first half passenger flown exceeded full year 2004 passenger carried

Passenger numbers rising despite increase in average fareCapacity rise did not undermine load factor

Page 8: “Now Everyone Can Fly”“Now Everyone Can Fly”

7

Now Everyone Can FlyGrowth, Growth, Growth Thailand Statistics Q2 -2005 Q1 -2005 Q4 -2004

84% 74%

230,831

99

2.83

182

247

3

369,340

99

Cost / ASK (US cents) 2.57 3.14

314

371

# aircraft (end) 6 4

77%

434,865

115

409

544

Average Load factor

# Passengers

Average fare (RM)

RPK (mn)

ASK (mn)

Within a year, we are now the market leaders in Thailand

Strong passenger growth with improving yield and lowered cost

Page 9: “Now Everyone Can Fly”“Now Everyone Can Fly”

8

Now Everyone Can FlyGrowth, Growth, Growth: Indonesia

Entry to Indonesia way ahead of initial timeline estimates

Indonesia potential is enormous, (>200 mill population, 17000 islands, minimal competition)

Fleet currently 2 planes, brought from the Malaysian operations

Indonesia is not computed in prospectus

Page 10: “Now Everyone Can Fly”“Now Everyone Can Fly”

9

Now Everyone Can Fly“How is your Cost / ASK so low?”Operating Expenses Cost/ASK Reason

(US cents) AA Others*

Staff cost 0.29 1.16 Superior productivity & low cost region

Fuel and Oil 1.11 1.03 Positive oil hedge benefits

Maintenance & Overhaul 0.17 0.38 LT contracts at attractive levels

Cost of aircraft 0.25 0.50 Lock in aircraft at bottom cycle

Depreciation & Amort’n 0.10 0.18 Fleet biased toward lease than owned

Others 0.21 2.58 Asian charges are much lower

TOTAL cost per ASK 2.13 5.83 63% Cheaper than Direct Peers

Others: Gol, JetBlue, Southwest,, VirginBlue, EasyJet

It’s not a myth! It’s only a mirage if you can’t see it!

Page 11: “Now Everyone Can Fly”“Now Everyone Can Fly”

10

Now Everyone Can FlyCost Management

2.12.1

2.52.9

3.4

2002 2003 2004 Q1 2005 Q2 2005

Cost / ASK (US cents)Cost / ASK (US cents)

1.3 cents cost reduction since begin operations

Superior cost containment and more to come – biggest caveat is oil price

Page 12: “Now Everyone Can Fly”“Now Everyone Can Fly”

11

Now Everyone Can FlyCost – where we stack against industry?

Source: CSFB

CSFB acknowledge AirAsia as the lowest cost airline company

Page 13: “Now Everyone Can Fly”“Now Everyone Can Fly”

12

Now Everyone Can FlyPeople, People, People

Focus on quality and service is essential to ensure continuous supply of quality staff and avoid slip-up

Training Centre aka AirAsia Academy- ensure high quality rollout of staff without major cost exposure- continuous improvement courses to ensure we’re always up to date- keen-eye to improve quality, wherever possible

Aircraft simulator

- investment for future indigenous pilots- Pioneer ‘Pilot Cadet Program’ batch will graduate in June 2005

Page 14: “Now Everyone Can Fly”“Now Everyone Can Fly”

13

Now Everyone Can FlyTraining – The Bottleneck of Growth

Own flight simulator complex under construction at KLIA

10-year aviation agreement with CAE Labuan

Alleviates AirAsia’s dependence on third parties for it’s pilots type-rating training

Flight Simulator CenterFlight Simulator Center

Cadet Pilot Training SchoolCadet Pilot Training School

Introduced own Pilot Cadet Training Program in December 2003

Cadet pilots are recruited and enrolled in the Malaysian Flying Academy

First group of 17 pilots are expected to graduate in May 2005

Engineer RecruitmentEngineer Recruitment

Arrangement with Aero Precision Resources

Training center uses AirAsia’s aircraft and facilities to train potential engineers

Allows AirAsia to identify and select engineers for recruitment

Selected engineers are given an allowance for type-rating training, with a bond to AirAsia for 3 - 5 years

““Training engineTraining engine”” that produces quality pilots and engineers to support our plannthat produces quality pilots and engineers to support our planned future ed future growthgrowth

Page 15: “Now Everyone Can Fly”“Now Everyone Can Fly”

14

Now Everyone Can FlySimulator Updates

• Scheduled completion: June 26th 2005• Commencement of Operations : July 1st 2005 (from April)

Page 16: “Now Everyone Can Fly”“Now Everyone Can Fly”

15

Now Everyone Can Fly

Recruiting the Best People- adding value to our organization

Kathleen Tan (Executive Vice President – Commercial)- Specialist in arrears of marketing, communications, brand management. Over 20 years experience in Asia-Pacific region.

Senjaya (Chief Executive Officer; Indonesia)- Previously in the music industry. Impeccable brand development aptitude and management skills

Rozman (Chief Financial Officer; Indonesia)- Sound financial experience; previously in KLIA

John Chang(Executive Vice President – Greater China & North Asia)

Page 17: “Now Everyone Can Fly”“Now Everyone Can Fly”

16

Now Everyone Can FlyBut how about your Profit Margins?

Profitability Margin (%)

AirAsia

Ryanair

EasyJet

VirginBlue

JetBlue

South West AVERAGE

EBIT 25 25 5 11 9 9 13.9

Source: AirAsia; Bloomberg; latest company reports

AirAsia possesses among the best profit margins

Page 18: “Now Everyone Can Fly”“Now Everyone Can Fly”

CONFIDENTIALCONFIDENTIAL

Now Everyone Can Fly

2. Second Quarter Results Commentary2. Second Quarter Results Commentary

Page 19: “Now Everyone Can Fly”“Now Everyone Can Fly”

18

Now Everyone Can FlyFinancial Highlights – Q2 2005

Year End : June Figures in RM ‘000, unless otherwise stated

Q2 2005 Q1 2005 Q2 2004 ∆Q2:Q1(O5)

∆Q2:Q2(04)

106,477 +42%

+107%

+156%

+194%

+80%

+323%

+24%

39,631

+68%

+71%

+84%

+68%

+64%

28,448

27,195

26,976

842 +95%

125,479

32,786

20,442

15,508

(3,300)

10,478

1326

Revenue 178,633

EBITDAR 67,843

EBITDA 52,242

EBIT 45,713

Net Income 44,361

Share of Associates (720)

ASK (million)1645

Page 20: “Now Everyone Can Fly”“Now Everyone Can Fly”

19

Now Everyone Can FlyPerformance Indicator

Figures in % Q2 2005 Q1 2005 Q2 2004 FY 2004

261211

372625

291615

EBITDAR MarginEBIT MarginNet Income Margin

382625

Consistent EBITDAR margin improvement

Profitability intact despite loses in Thai AirAsia

This is in-line with seasonality issues of October to December

Page 21: “Now Everyone Can Fly”“Now Everyone Can Fly”

20

Now Everyone Can FlyBalance Sheet

Note: (*) For the 15 months ended June 30, 2002

Balance Sheet Balance Sheet (RM(RM’’ million)million)

899

60 35 46 29 17

-582

-105

150 161493

Mar-01 Jun-02 Jun-03 Jun-04 Sep-04 Dec-04

SHR Equity Net Debt

(*)

Post IPO

IPO proceeds renders a very strong balance sheet

Page 22: “Now Everyone Can Fly”“Now Everyone Can Fly”

21

Now Everyone Can FlyCash Generating Machine

Note:(*) For the 15 months ended June 30, 2002

Cashflow from Operating Activities Cashflow from Operating Activities (RM(RM’’ million)million)

1529

56

7-3 -12-19

82

Mar-00 Mar-01 Jun-02 Jun-03 Jun-04 Q1-05 Q2-05(*)

“Normalized CFO” is RM82m. RM75m is paid for aircraft and fuel deposits. Therefore CFO is ‘superficially’ depressed at RM7m

Page 23: “Now Everyone Can Fly”“Now Everyone Can Fly”

22

Now Everyone Can FlyOperational Statistics Operational Statistics Q2 -2005 Q1 -2005

75% 77%

984,621

122

1017

1326

2.48

3.27

2.08

12

# aircraft (end) 19 15

1,126,393

153

1230

1645

2.86

3.82

Cost/ASK (US cents) 2.13 +2.4%

Average # aircraft 16.7

18

∆ q-o-q

Average Load factor

# Passengers +14%

Average fare (RM) +25%

RPK (mn) +21%

ASK (mn) +24%

Rev/ASK (US cents) +15%

Rev/RPK (US cents) +17%

# aircraft (beginning)

Page 24: “Now Everyone Can Fly”“Now Everyone Can Fly”

23

Now Everyone Can FlyOperational Statistics

Passenger volumes increased by 14% over preceding quarter

Load factor affected by huge inputs of new capacity, markets requires time to consume new capacity

ASK increased by 24% as a relation to new aircrafts, increased frequency and addition of new destinations

Superior cost containment despite rising fuel price. Cost savings attained via economies of scale and increased productivity

Yields improved due to strong demands

Page 25: “Now Everyone Can Fly”“Now Everyone Can Fly”

CONFIDENTIALCONFIDENTIAL

Now Everyone Can Fly

3. Cost Management 3. Cost Management

Page 26: “Now Everyone Can Fly”“Now Everyone Can Fly”

25

Now Everyone Can FlyOperating Expenses

Operating Expenses (RM ‘000) First Half -2005 % Revenue

304,112

11.2

37.4

4.8

9.8

3.8

33.1

9.2

EBITDA

- Depreciation & Amortisation

82,685

(11,464)

27.2

3.8

20.8

(33,940)

(113,613)

(14,645)

(29,859)

(11,426)

100,632

(27,945)

EBIT 63,327

Revenue

− Staff Cost

− Fuel and Oil

− User & Station Charges

− Maintenance & Overhaul

− Others

EBITDAR

- Cost of aircraft

Page 27: “Now Everyone Can Fly”“Now Everyone Can Fly”

26

Now Everyone Can FlyCost / ASK – what changed from last year to this year?

Q2 2005 : 2.44 vs. Q2 2004 : 2.13 ( 13.0% improvement )

(US cents) Cost per Contribution ReasonsASK (%)

Staff cost 0.29 -8.8 Improved productivity

Maintenance & Overhaul 0.17 -12.9 Good LT contracts

Other costs 0.07 -6.3 Disciplined cost containment

Cost of aircraft 0.25 -4.1 Economies of scale benefits

Fuel and Oil 1.11 13.0 Oil Hedge benefits

User & Station Charges 0.14 3.6 More regional routes

Depreciation & Amortization 0.10 2.7

Total Cost per ASK 2.13 -13.0%

Page 28: “Now Everyone Can Fly”“Now Everyone Can Fly”

27

Now Everyone Can FlyWhat did we say all these time?

LOWEST COST + LOWEST FARES

= RECIPE FOR SUCCESS

We will keep to our winning ways!

Page 29: “Now Everyone Can Fly”“Now Everyone Can Fly”

CONFIDENTIALCONFIDENTIAL

Now Everyone Can Fly

4. Outlook 4. Outlook

Page 30: “Now Everyone Can Fly”“Now Everyone Can Fly”

29

Now Everyone Can FlyExpanding Ancillary Income

Go Holiday – AirAsia’s holiday package option- customers increasingly comfortable with Go-Holiday - developing other opportunities

Advertising – paying homage to our strong brand

AirAsia credit card – partner with RHB and DBS

Snack Attack – AirAsia’s onboard food & drinks

Merchandise – duty free options and company souvenirs

New sources under consideration- insurance (travel & life)- car rental

Page 31: “Now Everyone Can Fly”“Now Everyone Can Fly”

30

Now Everyone Can FlyCurrent Trading Conditions and Outlook

Aircraft delivery schedule under backlog- Availability of attractively priced Boeing 737-300 is increasingly scarce and lease rates have been hardening

- demand for B737-300 is rising, particularly from Cargo airlines - delay in aircraft delivery will have a financial impact- current fleet 28 aircraft; another 12 aircraft LOI already signed

but delayed delivery up to AugustWill not sacrifice business philosophy

High fuel price – AirAsia is hedged until June 2005looking for the opportune moment to renew hedge

Page 32: “Now Everyone Can Fly”“Now Everyone Can Fly”

31

Now Everyone Can FlyTrading Conditions & Outlook: Thailand

Aircraft planned for Thailand deployed to Indonesia & Malaysia- less critical mass but less aircraft

Yield and load factors improved, further potential in store - more rationale competition- our brand has achieved dominion status

Model is working well but less aircraft

Final stages before launching flights to China, Indo-ChinaAssuming talks with Government proceeds smoothly, we will commence flights within the short-term

Page 33: “Now Everyone Can Fly”“Now Everyone Can Fly”

32

Now Everyone Can FlyLCC Terminal Resolution

Government Announcement : Wednesday 23rd Februaryeither way, it will be good news for AirAsia

Government has listened to us tentatively and gathered inputs, should new terminal be built in KLIA - low cost facilities (potential to save up to 30% of manpower cost)- simplicity of design to ensure high operational efficiency - should mimic or similar cost structure if operate from Subang- construction should be swift, <1 year

Page 34: “Now Everyone Can Fly”“Now Everyone Can Fly”

33

Now Everyone Can FlyConcluding Remarks

Very strong quarter (good volume growth, strong average fare, good profit margins)

Excellent cost control (despite the oil price boom)

Low fares + lowest cost = impressive margins

Business outlook reliant to these factors - aircraft delivery schedule- sentiments for travel - oil price (high oil price is a concern)

We will stick to our model. Do not believe sacrificing MODEL in order to address short-term cyclical aversions. Long-term benefit for the business is paramount!

Page 35: “Now Everyone Can Fly”“Now Everyone Can Fly”

34

Now Everyone Can FlyThank You – Question & Answer