Now and Future From IMO GHG Study
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September 29 th , 2009 International Symposium on Reduction of GHG Emission from International Shipping – from IMO to COP15 – Organized by NMRI : National Maritime Research Institute, Japan PROLOGUE 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 Fuel Consumption (Million tons) This study IMO Expert Group (Freight-Trend), 2007 Endresen et al., JGR, 2007 Endresen et al (Freight-Trend)., JGR, 2007 EIA Total marine fuel sales Point Estimates from the Studies This study (Freight trend) IMO GHG Study (NMRI is one of the member) reported GHG emission from international shipping in 2007 is estimated about 870 Million tones. Scenarios for CO2 emissions from International Shipping from 2007 to 2050 in the absence of climate policies 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 CO2 emissions from ships (million tons CO2 / yr) A1FI A1B A1T A2 B1 B2 Max Min B2 B1 A2 A1T A1B A1FI Now and Future What we can do? From IMO GHG Study 1 to 10 Energy management 1 to 10 Voyage optimization 10 to 50 % 5 to 50 Fleet management, logistics and incentives OPERATION (All ships) 0 Exhaust gas CO2 reduction 1 to 10 Renewable energy 5 to 15 Low-carbon fuels 5 to 15 Power and propulsion systems 2 to 20 Hull and super structure 25 to 75 % 10 to 50 % 2 to 50 Concept, speed and capability Combined Combined Saving (%) of CO2 t-nm DESIGN (New ships)
Transcript of Now and Future From IMO GHG Study
September 29th, 2009
International Symposium on Reduction of GHG Emission from
International Shipping – from IMO to COP15 –
Organized by NMRI :National Maritime Research Institute, Japan
PROLOGUE
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1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010
Fuel
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ptio
n (M
illio
n to
ns)
This study
IMO Expert Group (Freight-Trend), 2007
Endresen et al., JGR, 2007
Endresen et al (Freight-Trend)., JGR, 2007
EIA Total marine fuel sales
Point Estimates from the Studies
This study (Freight trend)
IMO GHG Study (NMRI is one of the member) reported GHG emission from international shipping in 2007 is estimated about 870 Million tones.
Scenarios for CO2 emissions from International Shipping from 2007 to 2050 in the absence of climate policies
0
1000
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2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
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ps (m
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A1T
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B2
Max
Min
B2
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A2
A1T
A1B
A1F
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Now and Future What we can do?From IMO GHG Study
1 to 10Energy management1 to 10Voyage optimization
10 to 50 %
5 to 50Fleet management, logistics and incentives
OPERATION (All ships)0Exhaust gas CO2 reduction
1 to 10Renewable energy5 to 15Low-carbon fuels5 to 15Power and propulsion systems2 to 20Hull and super structure
25 to 75 %
10 to 50 %
2 to 50Concept, speed and capability
CombinedCombinedSaving (%) of CO2 t-nm
DESIGN (New ships)
What and how international shipping shall do?
• IMO MEPC 59 agreed to circulate 4 technical measures: EEDI, Verification method of EEDI, SEEMP and EEOI, but not enough.
• IMO Assembly 26th Nov-Dec. 2009 – IMO policy• UNFCCC COP15 Dec. 2009 Framework for after
Kyoto protocol
