Northeast Area Regional Profile - NCAINCAI Policy Research Center Northeast Regional Profile Draft...

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Northeast Area Regional Profile ME, NH, VT, MA, CT, RI, NY, NJ, DE, PA, IN, OH This map shows NCAI Northeastern states which have American Indian reservation land, Tribal Designated Statistical Areas, State Designated Indian Statistical Areas, and State Indian Reservations. 1 1 Northeast Area. Scale 1:6,000,000. 2010 TIGER/Line Shapefiles, U.S. Census Bureau, 2012. Using ArcMap10.1. Washington, DC: National Congress of American Indians Wampanoag-Aquinnah Narragansett Mohegan Mashantucket Pequot Hassanamisco Oneida (NY) Tonawanda Federal reservation and/or off-reservation trust land Tribal Designated Statistical Area State Designated American Indian Statistical Area State Reservations Paucatuck Eastern Pequot Poospatuck Houlton Maliseet Pleasant Point Golden hill INDIANA AND OHIO Mashpee Wampanoag

Transcript of Northeast Area Regional Profile - NCAINCAI Policy Research Center Northeast Regional Profile Draft...

Page 1: Northeast Area Regional Profile - NCAINCAI Policy Research Center Northeast Regional Profile Draft Page 3 of 12 In Delaware, the median age for the AIAN alone population was 35.1 years

Northeast Area Regional Profile ME, NH, VT, MA, CT, RI, NY, NJ, DE, PA, IN, OH

This map shows NCAI Northeastern states which have American Indian reservation land, Tribal Designated Statistical Areas, State Designated Indian Statistical Areas, and State Indian Reservations.1

1 Northeast Area. Scale 1:6,000,000. 2010 TIGER/Line Shapefiles, U.S. Census Bureau, 2012. Using ArcMap10.1. Washington, DC: National

Congress of American Indians

Wampanoag-Aquinnah

Narragansett

Mohegan

Mashantucket Pequot

Hassanamisco

Oneida (NY)

Tonawanda

Federal reservation and/or off-reservation trust land

Tribal Designated Statistical Area

State Designated American Indian Statistical Area

State Reservations

Paucatuck

Eastern Pequot Poospatuck

Houlton

Maliseet

Pleasant

Point

Golden hill

INDIANA AND OHIO

Mashpee Wampanoag

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Population2

CT DE MA ME

# % # % # % # %

Total Population in State 2,772,410 100% 618,617 100% 5,265,236 100% 1,264,971 100%

AIAN Alone 11,256 0.4% 4,181 0.7% 18,850 0.4% 8,568 0.7%

AIAN Alone or in Combination 31,140 1.1% 9,899 1.6% 50,705 1.0% 18,482 1.5%

NJ NY RI

# % # % # %

Total Population in State 6,029,248 100% 12,740,974 100% 856,869 100%

AIAN Alone 29,026 0.5% 106,906 0.8% 6,058 0.7%

AIAN Alone or in Combination 70,716 1.2% 221,058 1.7% 14,394 1.7%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 Census, Summary File, Table DP-1

Age Distribution According to the World Factbook,3 age structure of a population affects a nation's key socioeconomic issues. Nations with young populations (high percentage under age 15), for instance, should invest more in schools, while nations with older populations should invest more in the health sector. The age structure can also be used to help predict political issues. The rapid growth of a young adult population unable to find employment, for instance, can lead to unrest.

In Connecticut, the median age for the AIAN alone population was 31.6 years compared to 43.3 for the White population.

The median age for the AIAN alone or in combination population was 30.7.

2 This profile covers states that include some tribal geography, whether federal or state. States not included are: Indiana, Ohio,

Pennsylvania, Maryland, Vermont, and New Hampshire. 3 The World Factbook 2013-14. Washington, DC: Central Intelligence Agency, 2013.

4.8 5.6

6.2 6.5

5.8 5.3

5.1

5.8

7.3

8.5 8.6

7.4

6.4

4.7

3.4 2.9

2.6 2.9

8.1 8.2

9.1 9.2 -- AIAN AoiC

7.3 7 6.9

6.3 6.9

7.6

6.9

5.3

4.1

2.5

1.7 1.2

0.9 0.8

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10 Connecticut

AIAN = 11,256

White = 2,772,410

AIAN AoiC = 31,140

Source: 2010 Census AIAN Summary File, Table DP-1

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In Delaware, the median age for the AIAN alone population was 35.1 years compared to 43.1 for the White population.

The median age for the AIAN alone or in combination population was 32.1.

In Massachusetts, the median age for the AIAN alone population was 30.8 years compared to

431.8 for the White population.

The median age for the AIAN alone or in combination population was 30.5.

4.9 5.4

5.9 6.6 6.8

6.2 5.7 6.1

7.2

8.2 8.1

7.2

6.3

4.5

3.3 2.8

2.4 2.6

7.9 7.7 8

9.4 8.9

7.5

6.5 6.2

6.8 7.4

6.8

5.4

AIAN AoiC -- 3.9

2.8

1.9 1.3

0.9 0.8 0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10 Massachusetts

AIAN = 18,850

White = 5,265,236

AIAN AoiC = 50,705

Source: 2010 Census AIAN Summary File, Table DP-1

5 5.3 5.5

6.5 6.6

5.9

5.5 5.8

6.6

7.8 7.9

7.2 6.9

5.5

4.1

3.3

2.4 2.2

8.1 7.9 7.8

9.1 -- AIAN AoiC

7.5

6.9 6.6

6.4

6.7

7.5

6.7

5.4

4.5

3.2

2.3

1.6 0.9 0.9

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10 Delaware

AIAN = 4,181

White = 618,617

AIAN AoiC = 9,899

Source: 2010 Census AIAN Summary File, Table DP-1

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In Maine, the median age for the AIAN alone population was 34 years compared to 43.6 for the

White population.

The median age for the AIAN alone or in combination population was 33.

The median for AIAN alone or in combination on reservations was 27.3.

In New Jersey, the median age for the AIAN alone population was 30.7 years compared to 42.4 for the White population.

The median age for the AIAN alone or in combination population was 31.4.

4.9 5.4 5.8 6.5 5.9

5.4

5.4 6

6.9

8.2 8.5 7.9

6.9

5

3.7 3

2.4 2.3

12.4 -- AIAN AoiC Rservations

9.5

7.7 8.2 8.2

8

5.1

6 6 6.5 6.7

4.4

3.2 3.4 2.7

1.2 0.5 0.4

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14 Maine

AIAN = 18,850

White = 5,265,236

AIAN AoiC = 50,705

AIAN AoiC Res = 2,094

Source: 2010 Census Summary File-1, Table DP-1

9 -- AIAN Alone

7.6 7.6 7.9 8.3 8.3

7.9 7.3

7.1

7.1

6.4

4.7

3.7

2.5

1.8 1.2 0.9 0.7

5.4 5.9

6.3 6.3 5.6 5.6 5.5

6.1

7.3

8.3 8.3

7.1

6.2

4.6

3.4 3

2.6 2.7

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10 New Jersey

AIAN = 29.026

White = 6,029,248

AIAN AoiC = 70,716

Source: 2010 Census Summary File-1, Table DP-1

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In New York, the median age for the AIAN alone population was 30.7 years compared to 41.1 for

the White population.

The median age for the AIAN alone or in combination population was 31.

The median age for the AIAN alone or in combination on reservations was 32.2.

In Rhode Island, the median age for the AIAN alone population was 29.9 years compared to 42.6

for the White population.

The median age for the AIAN alone or in combination population was 27.3.

7.9 7.8 7.9

8.9 8.5 7.8

7.3 7.1 7.2

7.3

6.2

5

AIAN AoiC -- 3.8

2.6

2

1.2 0.8 0.7

5.3 5.5 5.8 6.4

6.7 6.6 6

6.1

6.9

7.7 7.8

7

6.2

4.5

3.5

2.9 2.5 2.6

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10 New York

AIAN = 106,906

White = 12,740,974

AIAN AoiC = 221,058

AIAN AoiC Res = 8,271

Source: 2010 Census Summary File-1, Table DP-1

4.6 5.1 5.5

7 7.2

5.7 5.4 5.9

7

8.1 8.2

7.3

6.4

4.6

3.3 2.9 2.7 3

9.4 9.1 9.1

10.6 -- AIAN AoiC

8.4

7 6.4 5.7

6.6 6.5 6.3

4.6

3.3

2.4 1.6 1.1 1 1

0

2

4

6

8

10

12 Rhode Island

AIAN = 6,058

White = 856,869

AIAN AoiC = 14,394

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Educational Attainment The figure below shows the percentage of AIAN and White populations over 25 with a high school diploma or higher and percentage with a bachelor’s degree or higher. The Massachusetts AIAN population had the highest percentage with a bachelor’s or higher (25 percent) of AIAN populations across the seven states.

Percentage of persons age 25 and over with high school completion or higher and a bachelor's or higher degree: 2008-10

Rhode Island AIAN bachelor’s data not included due to reporting standards not being met. Either there are too few cases for a reliable estimate or the coefficient of variation (CV) is 50 percent or greater. NOTE: Estimates are 3-year averages of 2008–10 data. Use of a 3-year average increases the sample size, thereby reducing the size of sampling errors and producing more stable estimates. Race categories exclude persons of Hispanic ethnicity.

The Dropout Rate is the count of grade dropouts divided by the enrollment base for the grade.

92.3 90.3 91.9 90.4 92.0 91.2 87.5

83.8 82.3 80.5 79.7 82.8 83.4

70.6

39.3

29.4

40.6

26.4

38.0 37.4 32.9

20.5 14.2

25.1

15.5 16.4 18.1

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

White % with HS or Higher

AIAN % with HS or Higher

White % with Bachelor's orHigher

AIAN % with Bachelor's orHigher

SOURCE: U.S. Department of Commerce, Census Bureau, 2008-2010 American Community Survey (ACS) 3-Year Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS) data. (This table was prepared August 2012 by the National Center for Education Statistics.)

1.4

3 3.1

10.3

4.2

8.6

1.7

3.3

0.9 1.5 1.7

5.6

3.8

8.5

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

White AIAN White AIAN White AIAN White AIAN White AIAN White AIAN White AIAN

CT DE ME MA NJ NY RI

State Dropout Rate for AIAN and White Students

Data Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Common Core of Data (CCD), "State Dropout and Completion Data File", 2009-10 v.1a.

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Averaged Freshman Graduation Rate (AFGR) of students is an estimate of the percentage of an entering freshman class students graduating in 4 years. These data are taken from the CCD State Dropout and Completion Data File.

AIAN Educational Attainment by Northeast State

The first educational attainment figure displays highest level of education for American Indian/Alaska Natives living in seven Northeast states.

Massachusetts and Connecticut had the highest proportion of the AIAN population attaining a graduate or professional degree, both at 9 percent. The percentage of bachelor’s degree attainment among the AIAN Massachusetts population was 12 percent. In New Jersey, 29 percent of the AIAN population had less than a high school diploma or equivalency; in Rhode Island, 27 percent had not completed high school.

61.3

81.8

96.3

79.9

95.2

82.4

70.5

86.6 94.1 91.8

59.7

86.7 76.3 78.3

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

AIAN White AIAN White AIAN White AIAN White AIAN White AIAN White AIAN White

CT DE ME MA NJ NY RI

State Averaged Freshman Graduation Rate, 2009-10

Data Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Common Core of Data (CCD), "State Dropout and Completion Data File", 2009-10 v.1a.

9

16

34

21

5 8 9 7

14

30 27

8 9 5 11 12

29

22

13 11

3 10 11

30

18

9 12

9

16 13

33

16

5 10

6

12 12

32

20

8 10

6 10

17

36

20

6 6 4 0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

< 9 grade 9 -12 nodiploma

HS graduate(includes

equivalency)

Some college,no degree

Associate's Bachelor's Grad or profdegree

American Indian Educational Attainment

CT AIAN# DE AIAN# ME AIAN# MA AIAN# NJ AIAN NY AIAN RI AIAN#

Source: US Census Bureau, 2006 -2010 American Community Survey, Table DP02 # means the estimate has medium reliability

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The next figures show educational attainment by the seven states for the AIAN and White population

over 25.

4% 6%

28%

17%

8%

21%

16%

9%

16%

34%

21%

5% 8% 9%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

< 9 grade 9 -12 nodiploma

HS graduate(includes

equivalency)

Somecollege, no

degree

Associate's Bachelor's Grad or profdegree

CT White

CT AIAN

Connecticut

4%

8%

32%

20%

8%

17%

12%

7%

14%

30% 27%

8% 9%

5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

< 9 grade 9 -12 nodiploma

HS graduate(includes

equivalency)

Some college,no degree

Associate's Bachelor's Grad or profdegree

DE White

DE AIAN

Delaware

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4% 6%

35%

19%

9%

17%

9% 11% 12%

29%

22%

13% 11%

3%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

< 9 grade 9 -12 nodiploma

HS graduate(includes

equivalency)

Some college,no degree

Associate's Bachelor's Grad or profdegree

ME White

ME AIAN

Maine

4% 6%

27%

16%

8%

23%

17%

10% 11%

30%

18%

9% 12%

9%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

< 9 grade 9 -12 nodiploma

HS graduate(includes

equivalency)

Some college,no degree

Associate's Bachelor's Grad or profdegree

MA White

MA AIAN

Massachusetts

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5% 6%

31%

17%

6%

22%

13% 16%

13%

33%

16%

5%

10%

6%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

< 9 grade 9 -12 nodiploma

HS graduate(includes

equivalency)

Some college,no degree

Associate's Bachelor's Grad or profdegree

NJ White

NJ AIAN

New Jersery

5% 7%

29%

16%

9%

19%

16%

12% 12%

32%

20%

8% 10%

6%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

< 9 grade 9 -12 nodiploma

HS graduate(includes

equivalency)

Some college,no degree

Associate's Bachelor's Grad or profdegree

NY White

NY AIAN

New York

6% 9%

28%

18%

8%

19%

13% 10%

17%

36%

20%

6% 6% 4%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

< 9 grade 9 -12 nodiploma

HS graduate(includes

equivalency)

Some college,no degree

Associate's Bachelor's Grad or profdegree

RI White

RI AIAN

Rhode Island

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About the American Community Survey (ACS): ACS produces period estimates of socioeconomic and housing characteristics which describe the average characteristics of an area over a specific time period. The survey collects information nearly every day of the year and then aggregates the results over a 1, 3, or 5 year period. The multiyear estimates describe the population and characteristics of an area for the full period, as opposed to a point in time. Multiyear estimates are the only type of estimates available for geographic areas with populations of less than 65,000, which describes most tribal geographies and AIAN village- and reservation-level populations. Multiyear estimates, based on larger sample sizes, are more reliable for AIAN

populations. Economic Characteristics The Census definition of unemployment differs from the Bureau of Indian Affairs (BIA) measure of unemployment. Persons are considered by BIA as "unemployed" if they are thought to be available for work, but not employed. This more realistic approach differs from the definition of unemployment in the Census Bureau data which requires that a person be "actively seeking work" within the last four weeks to be counted as unemployed. The Census definition does not take into account job seeking patterns where persons do not actively search for work when they know it is not available, common for many reservation/tribal areas. With that caveat, below is the percent unemployed according to the 5 year estimate (2006-2010) for Connecticut, Delaware, Maine, Massachusetts, New Jersey, New York, and Rhode Island.

Of the Northeast states with tribal geographic areas (federal or state), Maine had the highest percentage unemployed of the AIAN (alone) population 16 and over. The lowest AIAN percentage unemployed was Connecticut and New Jersey. Data interpretation must take account the level of uncertainty present in ACS estimates, which may be large for small subpopulation groups and rare characteristics. The coefficient of variation (CV) can help determine the fitness of an estimate and help assess whether estimates should be aggregated to a higher geographic level or if the characteristic detail should be collapsed. The CV is calculated as the ratio of the standard error of the estimate to the estimate. A white paper produced by the software company ESRI characterizes a CV below 0.12 as high reliability, 0.12–0.40 as medium reliability and anything above 0.40 as low reliability.

4

4 ESRI (2011). The American Community Survey. Technical report, ESRI.

6%

12%

6%

17%

6%

19%

7%

17%

7%

12%

6%

13%

7%

18%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

White AIAN# White AIAN# White AIAN# White AIAN# White AIAN White AIAN White AIAN#

CT DE ME MA NJ NY RI

Unemployment, 2006-2010

# means the estimate has medium reliability SOURCE: U.S. Census Bureau, 2006-2010 American Community Survey (ACS) 5-Year Estimates, Table DP03

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4%

12%

5%

22%

8%

36%

5%

21%

4%

13%

7%

19%

6%

28%

7%

18%

9%

39%

14%

46%

8%

28%

7%

20%

11%

25%

10%

35%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

White AIAN# White AIAN# White AIAN White AIAN# White AIAN# White AIAN White AIAN#

CT DE ME MA NJ NY RI

Families in Poverty (2006-2010 ACS)

All families

with children under 18 years

# means the estimate has medium reliability SOURCE: U.S. Census Bureau, 2006-2010 American Community Survey (ACS) 5-Year Estimates, Table DP03

91,077

59,399

74,853

48,241 58,841

27,725

86,368

44,800

92,497

56,011

76,496

44,987

77,000

33,457

010,00020,00030,00040,00050,00060,00070,00080,00090,000

100,000

White AIAN White AIAN White AIAN White AIAN White AIAN White AIAN White AIAN

CT DE ME MA NJ NY RI

Median Family Income

SOURCE: U.S. Census Bureau, 2006-2010 American Community Survey (ACS) 5-Year Estimates, Table DP03