Northeast Area Regional Profile - NCAINCAI Policy Research Center Northeast Regional Profile Draft...
Transcript of Northeast Area Regional Profile - NCAINCAI Policy Research Center Northeast Regional Profile Draft...
Northeast Area Regional Profile ME, NH, VT, MA, CT, RI, NY, NJ, DE, PA, IN, OH
This map shows NCAI Northeastern states which have American Indian reservation land, Tribal Designated Statistical Areas, State Designated Indian Statistical Areas, and State Indian Reservations.1
1 Northeast Area. Scale 1:6,000,000. 2010 TIGER/Line Shapefiles, U.S. Census Bureau, 2012. Using ArcMap10.1. Washington, DC: National
Congress of American Indians
Wampanoag-Aquinnah
Narragansett
Mohegan
Mashantucket Pequot
Hassanamisco
Oneida (NY)
Tonawanda
Federal reservation and/or off-reservation trust land
Tribal Designated Statistical Area
State Designated American Indian Statistical Area
State Reservations
Paucatuck
Eastern Pequot Poospatuck
Houlton
Maliseet
Pleasant
Point
Golden hill
INDIANA AND OHIO
Mashpee Wampanoag
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Population2
CT DE MA ME
# % # % # % # %
Total Population in State 2,772,410 100% 618,617 100% 5,265,236 100% 1,264,971 100%
AIAN Alone 11,256 0.4% 4,181 0.7% 18,850 0.4% 8,568 0.7%
AIAN Alone or in Combination 31,140 1.1% 9,899 1.6% 50,705 1.0% 18,482 1.5%
NJ NY RI
# % # % # %
Total Population in State 6,029,248 100% 12,740,974 100% 856,869 100%
AIAN Alone 29,026 0.5% 106,906 0.8% 6,058 0.7%
AIAN Alone or in Combination 70,716 1.2% 221,058 1.7% 14,394 1.7%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 Census, Summary File, Table DP-1
Age Distribution According to the World Factbook,3 age structure of a population affects a nation's key socioeconomic issues. Nations with young populations (high percentage under age 15), for instance, should invest more in schools, while nations with older populations should invest more in the health sector. The age structure can also be used to help predict political issues. The rapid growth of a young adult population unable to find employment, for instance, can lead to unrest.
In Connecticut, the median age for the AIAN alone population was 31.6 years compared to 43.3 for the White population.
The median age for the AIAN alone or in combination population was 30.7.
2 This profile covers states that include some tribal geography, whether federal or state. States not included are: Indiana, Ohio,
Pennsylvania, Maryland, Vermont, and New Hampshire. 3 The World Factbook 2013-14. Washington, DC: Central Intelligence Agency, 2013.
4.8 5.6
6.2 6.5
5.8 5.3
5.1
5.8
7.3
8.5 8.6
7.4
6.4
4.7
3.4 2.9
2.6 2.9
8.1 8.2
9.1 9.2 -- AIAN AoiC
7.3 7 6.9
6.3 6.9
7.6
6.9
5.3
4.1
2.5
1.7 1.2
0.9 0.8
0
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10 Connecticut
AIAN = 11,256
White = 2,772,410
AIAN AoiC = 31,140
Source: 2010 Census AIAN Summary File, Table DP-1
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In Delaware, the median age for the AIAN alone population was 35.1 years compared to 43.1 for the White population.
The median age for the AIAN alone or in combination population was 32.1.
In Massachusetts, the median age for the AIAN alone population was 30.8 years compared to
431.8 for the White population.
The median age for the AIAN alone or in combination population was 30.5.
4.9 5.4
5.9 6.6 6.8
6.2 5.7 6.1
7.2
8.2 8.1
7.2
6.3
4.5
3.3 2.8
2.4 2.6
7.9 7.7 8
9.4 8.9
7.5
6.5 6.2
6.8 7.4
6.8
5.4
AIAN AoiC -- 3.9
2.8
1.9 1.3
0.9 0.8 0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10 Massachusetts
AIAN = 18,850
White = 5,265,236
AIAN AoiC = 50,705
Source: 2010 Census AIAN Summary File, Table DP-1
5 5.3 5.5
6.5 6.6
5.9
5.5 5.8
6.6
7.8 7.9
7.2 6.9
5.5
4.1
3.3
2.4 2.2
8.1 7.9 7.8
9.1 -- AIAN AoiC
7.5
6.9 6.6
6.4
6.7
7.5
6.7
5.4
4.5
3.2
2.3
1.6 0.9 0.9
0
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2
3
4
5
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9
10 Delaware
AIAN = 4,181
White = 618,617
AIAN AoiC = 9,899
Source: 2010 Census AIAN Summary File, Table DP-1
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In Maine, the median age for the AIAN alone population was 34 years compared to 43.6 for the
White population.
The median age for the AIAN alone or in combination population was 33.
The median for AIAN alone or in combination on reservations was 27.3.
In New Jersey, the median age for the AIAN alone population was 30.7 years compared to 42.4 for the White population.
The median age for the AIAN alone or in combination population was 31.4.
4.9 5.4 5.8 6.5 5.9
5.4
5.4 6
6.9
8.2 8.5 7.9
6.9
5
3.7 3
2.4 2.3
12.4 -- AIAN AoiC Rservations
9.5
7.7 8.2 8.2
8
5.1
6 6 6.5 6.7
4.4
3.2 3.4 2.7
1.2 0.5 0.4
0
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4
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8
10
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14 Maine
AIAN = 18,850
White = 5,265,236
AIAN AoiC = 50,705
AIAN AoiC Res = 2,094
Source: 2010 Census Summary File-1, Table DP-1
9 -- AIAN Alone
7.6 7.6 7.9 8.3 8.3
7.9 7.3
7.1
7.1
6.4
4.7
3.7
2.5
1.8 1.2 0.9 0.7
5.4 5.9
6.3 6.3 5.6 5.6 5.5
6.1
7.3
8.3 8.3
7.1
6.2
4.6
3.4 3
2.6 2.7
0
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10 New Jersey
AIAN = 29.026
White = 6,029,248
AIAN AoiC = 70,716
Source: 2010 Census Summary File-1, Table DP-1
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In New York, the median age for the AIAN alone population was 30.7 years compared to 41.1 for
the White population.
The median age for the AIAN alone or in combination population was 31.
The median age for the AIAN alone or in combination on reservations was 32.2.
In Rhode Island, the median age for the AIAN alone population was 29.9 years compared to 42.6
for the White population.
The median age for the AIAN alone or in combination population was 27.3.
7.9 7.8 7.9
8.9 8.5 7.8
7.3 7.1 7.2
7.3
6.2
5
AIAN AoiC -- 3.8
2.6
2
1.2 0.8 0.7
5.3 5.5 5.8 6.4
6.7 6.6 6
6.1
6.9
7.7 7.8
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10 New York
AIAN = 106,906
White = 12,740,974
AIAN AoiC = 221,058
AIAN AoiC Res = 8,271
Source: 2010 Census Summary File-1, Table DP-1
4.6 5.1 5.5
7 7.2
5.7 5.4 5.9
7
8.1 8.2
7.3
6.4
4.6
3.3 2.9 2.7 3
9.4 9.1 9.1
10.6 -- AIAN AoiC
8.4
7 6.4 5.7
6.6 6.5 6.3
4.6
3.3
2.4 1.6 1.1 1 1
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12 Rhode Island
AIAN = 6,058
White = 856,869
AIAN AoiC = 14,394
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Educational Attainment The figure below shows the percentage of AIAN and White populations over 25 with a high school diploma or higher and percentage with a bachelor’s degree or higher. The Massachusetts AIAN population had the highest percentage with a bachelor’s or higher (25 percent) of AIAN populations across the seven states.
Percentage of persons age 25 and over with high school completion or higher and a bachelor's or higher degree: 2008-10
Rhode Island AIAN bachelor’s data not included due to reporting standards not being met. Either there are too few cases for a reliable estimate or the coefficient of variation (CV) is 50 percent or greater. NOTE: Estimates are 3-year averages of 2008–10 data. Use of a 3-year average increases the sample size, thereby reducing the size of sampling errors and producing more stable estimates. Race categories exclude persons of Hispanic ethnicity.
The Dropout Rate is the count of grade dropouts divided by the enrollment base for the grade.
92.3 90.3 91.9 90.4 92.0 91.2 87.5
83.8 82.3 80.5 79.7 82.8 83.4
70.6
39.3
29.4
40.6
26.4
38.0 37.4 32.9
20.5 14.2
25.1
15.5 16.4 18.1
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
White % with HS or Higher
AIAN % with HS or Higher
White % with Bachelor's orHigher
AIAN % with Bachelor's orHigher
SOURCE: U.S. Department of Commerce, Census Bureau, 2008-2010 American Community Survey (ACS) 3-Year Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS) data. (This table was prepared August 2012 by the National Center for Education Statistics.)
1.4
3 3.1
10.3
4.2
8.6
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3.3
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5.6
3.8
8.5
0
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White AIAN White AIAN White AIAN White AIAN White AIAN White AIAN White AIAN
CT DE ME MA NJ NY RI
State Dropout Rate for AIAN and White Students
Data Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Common Core of Data (CCD), "State Dropout and Completion Data File", 2009-10 v.1a.
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Averaged Freshman Graduation Rate (AFGR) of students is an estimate of the percentage of an entering freshman class students graduating in 4 years. These data are taken from the CCD State Dropout and Completion Data File.
AIAN Educational Attainment by Northeast State
The first educational attainment figure displays highest level of education for American Indian/Alaska Natives living in seven Northeast states.
Massachusetts and Connecticut had the highest proportion of the AIAN population attaining a graduate or professional degree, both at 9 percent. The percentage of bachelor’s degree attainment among the AIAN Massachusetts population was 12 percent. In New Jersey, 29 percent of the AIAN population had less than a high school diploma or equivalency; in Rhode Island, 27 percent had not completed high school.
61.3
81.8
96.3
79.9
95.2
82.4
70.5
86.6 94.1 91.8
59.7
86.7 76.3 78.3
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
AIAN White AIAN White AIAN White AIAN White AIAN White AIAN White AIAN White
CT DE ME MA NJ NY RI
State Averaged Freshman Graduation Rate, 2009-10
Data Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Common Core of Data (CCD), "State Dropout and Completion Data File", 2009-10 v.1a.
9
16
34
21
5 8 9 7
14
30 27
8 9 5 11 12
29
22
13 11
3 10 11
30
18
9 12
9
16 13
33
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5 10
6
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32
20
8 10
6 10
17
36
20
6 6 4 0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
< 9 grade 9 -12 nodiploma
HS graduate(includes
equivalency)
Some college,no degree
Associate's Bachelor's Grad or profdegree
American Indian Educational Attainment
CT AIAN# DE AIAN# ME AIAN# MA AIAN# NJ AIAN NY AIAN RI AIAN#
Source: US Census Bureau, 2006 -2010 American Community Survey, Table DP02 # means the estimate has medium reliability
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The next figures show educational attainment by the seven states for the AIAN and White population
over 25.
4% 6%
28%
17%
8%
21%
16%
9%
16%
34%
21%
5% 8% 9%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
< 9 grade 9 -12 nodiploma
HS graduate(includes
equivalency)
Somecollege, no
degree
Associate's Bachelor's Grad or profdegree
CT White
CT AIAN
Connecticut
4%
8%
32%
20%
8%
17%
12%
7%
14%
30% 27%
8% 9%
5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
< 9 grade 9 -12 nodiploma
HS graduate(includes
equivalency)
Some college,no degree
Associate's Bachelor's Grad or profdegree
DE White
DE AIAN
Delaware
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4% 6%
35%
19%
9%
17%
9% 11% 12%
29%
22%
13% 11%
3%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
< 9 grade 9 -12 nodiploma
HS graduate(includes
equivalency)
Some college,no degree
Associate's Bachelor's Grad or profdegree
ME White
ME AIAN
Maine
4% 6%
27%
16%
8%
23%
17%
10% 11%
30%
18%
9% 12%
9%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
< 9 grade 9 -12 nodiploma
HS graduate(includes
equivalency)
Some college,no degree
Associate's Bachelor's Grad or profdegree
MA White
MA AIAN
Massachusetts
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5% 6%
31%
17%
6%
22%
13% 16%
13%
33%
16%
5%
10%
6%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
< 9 grade 9 -12 nodiploma
HS graduate(includes
equivalency)
Some college,no degree
Associate's Bachelor's Grad or profdegree
NJ White
NJ AIAN
New Jersery
5% 7%
29%
16%
9%
19%
16%
12% 12%
32%
20%
8% 10%
6%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
< 9 grade 9 -12 nodiploma
HS graduate(includes
equivalency)
Some college,no degree
Associate's Bachelor's Grad or profdegree
NY White
NY AIAN
New York
6% 9%
28%
18%
8%
19%
13% 10%
17%
36%
20%
6% 6% 4%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
< 9 grade 9 -12 nodiploma
HS graduate(includes
equivalency)
Some college,no degree
Associate's Bachelor's Grad or profdegree
RI White
RI AIAN
Rhode Island
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About the American Community Survey (ACS): ACS produces period estimates of socioeconomic and housing characteristics which describe the average characteristics of an area over a specific time period. The survey collects information nearly every day of the year and then aggregates the results over a 1, 3, or 5 year period. The multiyear estimates describe the population and characteristics of an area for the full period, as opposed to a point in time. Multiyear estimates are the only type of estimates available for geographic areas with populations of less than 65,000, which describes most tribal geographies and AIAN village- and reservation-level populations. Multiyear estimates, based on larger sample sizes, are more reliable for AIAN
populations. Economic Characteristics The Census definition of unemployment differs from the Bureau of Indian Affairs (BIA) measure of unemployment. Persons are considered by BIA as "unemployed" if they are thought to be available for work, but not employed. This more realistic approach differs from the definition of unemployment in the Census Bureau data which requires that a person be "actively seeking work" within the last four weeks to be counted as unemployed. The Census definition does not take into account job seeking patterns where persons do not actively search for work when they know it is not available, common for many reservation/tribal areas. With that caveat, below is the percent unemployed according to the 5 year estimate (2006-2010) for Connecticut, Delaware, Maine, Massachusetts, New Jersey, New York, and Rhode Island.
Of the Northeast states with tribal geographic areas (federal or state), Maine had the highest percentage unemployed of the AIAN (alone) population 16 and over. The lowest AIAN percentage unemployed was Connecticut and New Jersey. Data interpretation must take account the level of uncertainty present in ACS estimates, which may be large for small subpopulation groups and rare characteristics. The coefficient of variation (CV) can help determine the fitness of an estimate and help assess whether estimates should be aggregated to a higher geographic level or if the characteristic detail should be collapsed. The CV is calculated as the ratio of the standard error of the estimate to the estimate. A white paper produced by the software company ESRI characterizes a CV below 0.12 as high reliability, 0.12–0.40 as medium reliability and anything above 0.40 as low reliability.
4
4 ESRI (2011). The American Community Survey. Technical report, ESRI.
6%
12%
6%
17%
6%
19%
7%
17%
7%
12%
6%
13%
7%
18%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
White AIAN# White AIAN# White AIAN# White AIAN# White AIAN White AIAN White AIAN#
CT DE ME MA NJ NY RI
Unemployment, 2006-2010
# means the estimate has medium reliability SOURCE: U.S. Census Bureau, 2006-2010 American Community Survey (ACS) 5-Year Estimates, Table DP03
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4%
12%
5%
22%
8%
36%
5%
21%
4%
13%
7%
19%
6%
28%
7%
18%
9%
39%
14%
46%
8%
28%
7%
20%
11%
25%
10%
35%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
White AIAN# White AIAN# White AIAN White AIAN# White AIAN# White AIAN White AIAN#
CT DE ME MA NJ NY RI
Families in Poverty (2006-2010 ACS)
All families
with children under 18 years
# means the estimate has medium reliability SOURCE: U.S. Census Bureau, 2006-2010 American Community Survey (ACS) 5-Year Estimates, Table DP03
91,077
59,399
74,853
48,241 58,841
27,725
86,368
44,800
92,497
56,011
76,496
44,987
77,000
33,457
010,00020,00030,00040,00050,00060,00070,00080,00090,000
100,000
White AIAN White AIAN White AIAN White AIAN White AIAN White AIAN White AIAN
CT DE ME MA NJ NY RI
Median Family Income
SOURCE: U.S. Census Bureau, 2006-2010 American Community Survey (ACS) 5-Year Estimates, Table DP03