This Brief is Classified:UNCLASSIFIED

NORAD and USNORTHCOMTheater Strategy

UNCLASSIFIED

Robert J. FeldermanBrigadier General, USADeputy Director, Plans, Policy & Strategy

UNCLASSIFIED

UNCLASSIFIED

The QDR emphasizes the need for a campaign planning construct to meet emerging planning-related requirements:• Ability to shift from responsive action to early

preventive measures to stop problems from becoming conflicts or crisis

• Ability to holistically organize, integrate, and prioritize wide array of steady state operations and activities

• Ability to better address early preventive measures across the range of a combatant command’s responsibilities and missions

The NORAD and USNORTHCOM Theater Strategy, as part of the campaign planning construct, captures the broad, overarching ends, ways and

means to be detailed in the campaign plan

Purpose

2

UNCLASSIFIED

UNCLASSIFIED

N-NC Vision 2020

Influence

NationalPolicy

Family ofPlans

Operationalize

NORAD and USNORTHCOM Theater Strategy• Operationalized Vision• Enduring Ends, Changing Ways, Evolving Means• Bridge to Theater Campaign plan

NationalPolicy

Family ofPlans

NationalPolicy

Family ofPlans

NationalStrategy

Shape

NORAD CONPLAN

3310

NC Mission Analysis

GEF

N-NC/J5 Advisory

Group

Domestic(CS, TSC)

International(SPP)

Adversaries(Challenge)

Strategy Development

3

UNCLASSIFIED

UNCLASSIFIED

Strategy to Plan

The NORAD and USNORTHCOM Theater Strategy incorporates the vision and articulates long-term goals, clear themes and messages for the detailed and executable campaign plan

The campaign plan provides: “a vehicle to ensure a combatant commander’s activities and operations across an AOR or functions are integrated and synchronize to convey clear and consistent messages to both our friends and allies” The Guidance for Employment of the Force

The campaign plan is the centerpiece of the planning construct and should be the first plan a commander brings to the SecDef for review

under the Adaptive Planning in-progress review (IPR) process

4

National Strategy Operation Planning

National Strategy Guides Contingency PlansUNCLASSIFIED

Crisis Planning

NSSNSS

BDDBDD

NMSNMS

NSHSNSHS

UCPUCP

GEFGEFJSCPJSCP

NRFNRF

NORADNORAD

CONPLANSCON

PLANSCONPLANSCON

PLANSCONPLANSCON

PLANS

CONPLANSCON

PLANSCONPLANSCON

PLANS

STRAT

PLANSSTRAT

PLANSSTRAT

PLANSSTRAT

PLANSSTRAT

PLANSSTRAT

PLANSNIMSNIMS

STANDING

EXORDs

PSMAs

ESTMs

EXORDs

OPORDs

TCPTCP

STRATSTRAT

HSPD8

HSPD8

RFFs

5

6

Where Does the Campaign Plan Fit?UNCLASSIFIED

UNCLASSIFIED

Leve

l of M

ilita

ry E

ffort

ShapePhase 0

DeterPhase I

Seize theInitiativePhase II

DominatePhase III

StabilizePhase IV

Enable CivilAuthorityPhase V

ShapePhase 0

Phases

Theater Shaping

Global Shaping

Shaping Shaping

TheaterCampaign

Plan

Theater Campaign Plan

Shaping Activities

Deterring Activities

Seizingthe Initiative

Activities

DominatingActivities

Stabilizing Activities

Enabling Civil

Authority

Activities

Contingency Plans

TheaterCampaign

Plan

Theater Campaign Plan Environment (U)

UNCLASSIFIED

UNCLASSIFIED

Civil Support

Theater Campaign Plan -- Phase 0

HomelandDefense

Time

Levelof

Effort

Phase I Phase II Phase III Phase IV Phase V7

• Legal authorities in the Homeland• Homeland Defense

• Deterrence a key component• Integrating the Instruments of National Power

• Integrated Planning System – in development• Response oriented• Supporting the supporting Federal agency• Response times are short• Expectations of the American public are high

Planning ChallengesUNCLASSIFIED

UNCLASSIFIED 8

• Who is Primary Federal Agency?• What type of response is required?• When will incident happen?• Where is support required?• How do we best support?• How do we provide the support necessary/requested

not a moment too soon but not a second too late?

Civil Support Planning ChallengesUNCLASSIFIED

Level of USNORTHCOM response dependent onlocal, tribal, State and Federal responses

UNCLASSIFIED 9

Civil Support Planning SolutionsUNCLASSIFIED

• Contingency plans that provide a framework based on what we know• Coordination and initial assessment• Scalable C2• Tiered response• Phased operation

• Adaptive planning and execution process provides response based on specific incident• Coordination points across mission partners• Process to refine CONPLAN as details become available

Success of USNORTHCOM response dependent onflexibility and coordination with mission partners

UNCLASSIFIED 10

UNCLASSIFIED

UNCLASSIFIED

IPS Background

Direction for the Integrated Planning System (IPS) set forth in Annex I, National Planning, to Homeland Security Presidential Directive 8 , National Preparedness).

The purpose of the IPS is to further enhance the preparedness of the United States by formally establishing a standard and comprehensive approach to national planning. The IPS is the first step in standardizing homeland security planning.

•11

UNCLASSIFIED

UNCLASSIFIED

IPS Purpose

IPS is meant to provide guidance for conducting planning in accordance with the Homeland Security Management System (HSMS), described in the National Strategy for Homeland Security of 2007. The Strategy calls for a national effort to create and transform homeland security principles, systems, structures and institutions across four key pillars of homeland security:

• Prevent and disrupt terrorist attacks• Protect the American people, our critical infrastructure, and

key resources• Respond to and recover from incidents that do occur• Continue to strengthen the foundation to ensure our long-

term success

•12

UNCLASSIFIED

UNCLASSIFIED

IPS Fundamental Concepts

Understanding several key fundamental concepts is important to ensure effective use and implementation of the IPS:

• The IPS has been developed recognizing that homeland security planning is based on coordination and synchronization rather than command and control

• The IPS applies to Federal departments and agencies with a role in homeland security when conducting scenario-based planning

• State, local, and Tribal governments are encouraged to comply with IPS by using the Comprehensive Preparedness Guide

• The IPS establishes a process for developing Federal plans• The IPS is not designed to solve every planning problem

•13

UNCLASSIFIED

UNCLASSIFIED

HORIZONTAL INTEGRATION

V ERTICAL

•Developed by DHS•Focused on risk-based planning•Grouped into eight scenario sets

•Outlines strategic priorities, broad national objectives•Describes the envisioned “end –state”

•Defines mission, roles, authorities, and responsibilities•Establishes mission-essential tasks

•Describes the process for integrating and synchronizing existing Federal capabilities to accomplish the mission-essential tasks

•Describes how Federal capabilities will be integrated into regional, State, Tribal, and local plans

Federal Strategic Plans

Federal Agency OPLANs Tactical Plans

Federal CONPLANs

Strategic Guidance

Statements

National Planning Scenarios

IPS Structure

Regional, State, Tribal, Local

Plans

•Developed by Federal agency heads•Details resources, assets, and personnel needed to implement strategic guidance

•Provides a full description of the concept of operation including roles, tasks, responsibilities, integration, and actions

•Developed by federal agency head•Identifies individual task & actions•Supports the objectives of the OPLAN

Component supporting plansUSNORTHCOM CONPLANs

UNCLASSIFIED

UNCLASSIFIED•15

IPS Scenario Sets

Scenario Sets National Planning ScenariosExplosives Attack – Bombing Using Improvised Explosives Devices

Scenario 12: Explosives Attack – Bombing Using Improvised Explosive Device (IED)

Nuclear Attack Scenario 01: Nuclear Detonation – Improvised Nuclear Device (IND)

Radiological Attack - RDD Scenario 11: Radiological Attack – Radiological Dispersal Devices (RDD)

Biological Attack – with annexes for different pathogens

Scenario 02: Biological Attack – Aerosol AnthraxScenario 04: Biological Attack – Pneumonic PlagueScenario 13: Biological Attack – Food ContaminationScenario 14: Biological Attack – Foreign Animal Disease (FAD)

Chemical Attack - with annexes for different agents

Scenario 05: Chemical Attack – Blister AgentScenario 06: Chemical Attack – Toxic Industrial Chemicals (TIC)Scenario 07: Chemical Attack – Nerve AgentScenario 08: Chemical Attack – Chlorine Tank Explosion

Natural Disasters – with different annexes for different disasters

Scenario 09: Natural Disaster – Major EarthquakeScenario 10: Natural Disaster – Major Hurricane

Cyber Attack Scenario 15: Cyber Attack

Pandemic Influenza Scenario 03: Biological Disease Outbreak – Pandemic Influenza

UNCLASSIFIED

UNCLASSIFIED•16

DOD & USNORTHCOM Planning

IPS Plans & DOD Planning

Federal Strategic Plan

Federal Interagency CONPLAN

Federal Agency OPLAN

Agency, State, Regional

Tactical Plan

DHS Strategic Guidance Statement

OPORDFunctional

Component CdrOPLAN

USNORTHCOM CONPLAN

Strategic Guidance

Level of Detail Increases

DHS & Federal Interagency Planning

Contingency Planning to Crisis Action Planning

17UNCLASSIFIED

UNCLASSIFIED

N-NC Long, Near, Current Planning

This is what we should doCommand Executive Group

Prioritize Planning Efforts and Provide Direction/Guidance

NORAD-USNORTHCOM Battle Staff

Long Term Planning Near Term Planning Current Operationsand Exercises

Future Plans Center(FPC/J5)

Campaign PlanOPLANS

CONPLAN

Long-Term Exercise

DevelopmentJ7

Future Ops Center(NC FOC/J35)

Future Ops Center(N FOC/J35/J33)

Near-Term Exercises(NC J37)

NC J33NJ33

Based on Emerging Situation:-Adjust OPORD,OPLAN-Update Estimate-Refine CCIR, ROE/RUF-Prepare RFFs-Issue Orders (EXORD-Develop DP, DST, branch plans, and contingencies -Synchronize and coordinate current

operations and exercises. -Monitor/assess/direct actions for short terms events.-Receive and send reports.-Participate (and when required) lead current ops planning efforts.-(when required) issue MODs and FRAGORDs-Monitor CCIR, DP, DST and recommend adjustments.

Hand OffHand Off

Hand Off

Regular synchronization mustoccur between long, near, andcurrent ops/ex leadership to ensureunity of effort.

N2C2

18

Executive Direction

Situational Understanding

1 Commander’s Assessment

CDR’s Assessment

2 MissionAnalysis

& Running EstimateDefine the problem

3 Course of ActionDevelopment

Solutions

4

SubmitCDR’s Estimate

(MA + COA + RFF)Drives CJCS EXORD

5 ReceiveCJCS

EXORDAuthority

6NC EXORD

Intent/Orders/Guidance

7 MonitorSituation

(Running Estimate)Maintain S/A

8

Publish MOD

Process Requests

(MAs/RFAsRFFs)

SecDefApproval(if Req’d)

Situation Changes

MODCYCLE

Crisis Action Planning

WO WO

WARNORD (WO)Used to inform subordinates & parallel planning

CJCS MODto CJCSEXORD

NC MODto NC

EXORD

Modification (MOD)Updates:•Situation•Authorities •Intent/Guidance•Tasks

Goal:RhythmicDaily MOD

WO