Nonprofit with 25 years experience reducing economic, · 2014-12-12 · • Nonprofit with 25 years...
Transcript of Nonprofit with 25 years experience reducing economic, · 2014-12-12 · • Nonprofit with 25 years...
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2014 IEEE Sustech
• Nonprofit with 25 years experience reducing economic,
environmental costs of energy
• Comprehensive focus and results
• Energy efficiency – Renewable energy – Transportation
• National & international consulting & implementation
• Program design, planning, & evaluation – policy & advocacy –
research
• Clients are government agencies, regulators, utilities,
foundations, advocates
• Operate 3 Energy Efficiency Utilities
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Forecasting Demand
of Public Electric
Vehicle Charging
Infrastructure
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2014 IEEE Sustech
National EV Registrations
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
2011 2012 2013 2014
# E
Vs
on
th
e r
oa
d
Cumulative EV Sales
200,000+ EVs registered
8,354+ charging stations
20,285+ outlets
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Presentation title to go here
How much
demand will
there be for
public charging?
Where should
charging stations
be located?
*Optimizing EVSE deployment*
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Charging Equipment
Level 1 charging 120V
DC fast charging 480V
Level 2 charging 208/240V
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Methodology to
predict demand for
public EVSE
Vermont case study Spatial data of
non-residential
locations
Projected
EV sales
Travel
patterns
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2014 IEEE Sustech
EIA Projected EV Registrations
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
Pro
jecte
d E
V o
wn
ers
hip
(Tota
l #
EV
s o
n t
he r
oad)
Projected = 281
Actual = 600+
5,649
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2014 IEEE Sustech
EV drivers
go ~ 25
miles
between
charges
Vermonters
drive 33
miles / day
Vermonters
need an
extra 8
miles / day
Daily Travel Demand
With a Level 2 charger
≈ 1.5 hours of charging
per vehicle
Between 8 AM and 5
PM, each EVSE can
serve 5.8 vehicles
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2014 IEEE Sustech
Estimating Demand
Demand for public EVSE is a function of :
1. EV range and efficiency (70- 80 miles)
2. Distance EV drivers are comfortable driving between charges (25 mi)
3. Local travel patterns (33 mi driving per day in Vermont)
Vermonters will need 0.04 public charging stations per EV
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2014 IEEE Sustech
High density
of
employment
Long dwell
times
Priority non-residential
locations
n = 40
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How many
public EVSE
will Vermont
need?
…… and
how much
will it cost?
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2014 IEEE Sustech
Projected EVSE needed in Vermont
Year Projected # EVs
Cumulative # EVSE needed
Incremental cost estimate
(midrange)
2013 50 2 $32,000
2014 281 11 $180,000
2015 571 23 $365,000
2016 885 35 $567,000
2017 1,386 55 $887,000
2018 1,980 79 $1,267,000
2019 2,520 101 $1,613,000
2020 3,216 129 $2,058,000
2021 3,972 159 $2,541,000
2022 4,798 192 $3,070,000
2023 5,649 226 $3,615,000
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2014 IEEE Sustech
Adequate public EVSE at
present but not full
geographic coverage
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2014 IEEE Sustech
EVSE Siting Considerations
• Availability of power
• Parking capacity
• Proximity to high traffic corridor,
destinations
• Link with other modes
(transit, Park and Rides)
• Filling gaps in EVSE spatial
coverage
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2014 IEEE Sustech
Funding Public EVSE
Annual funds needed will be substantial
($32,000 to $3 million+)
1. Fee for use
2. Advertising revenue generation
3. Pairing EVSE with solar photovoltaic
4. Sale of renewable fuel credits (RINs)