New Zealand Insight - UMR Research · 2018-08-24 · Increasing immigration: better or worse for...

New Zealand Insight June 2017

Immigration Overview

}

23 41 2 26 7

Negative (0-3) 4 to 6 Unsure Positive (7-9) 10 - Entirely positive

On a scale of 0 to 10, where 10 means you think immigration into New Zealand is an entirely positive thing, and 0 means you think immigration into New Zealand is an entirely negative thing, how would you describe your views towards immigration?

Views towards immigration - all

3Base: all respondents (n=1000)

Total positive: 34%

}On a scale of 0 to 10, where 10 means you think immigration into New Zealand is an entirely positive thing, and 0 means you think immigration into New Zealand is an entirely negative thing, how would you describe your views towards immigration?

Views towards immigration – citizens vs migrants

4Base: all respondents, split by citizenship status

8

25

24

42

3

2

41

25

24

6

Migrants

NZ citizens

Total positive: 65%

Total positive: 31%

} Overall, do you think having an increasing number of people of many different races, ethnic groups, and nationalities in our country makes New Zealand...?

Increasing immigration: better or worse for NZ?


40

23

34

3

51

44

34

34

43

41

55

19

16

19

24

31

20

23

13

42

30

34

38

32

35

32

32

37

3

3

4

4

3

0

2

18-29

30-44

45-59

60+

National

Labour

Greens

NZ First

A better place to live A worse place to live

It doesn't make much difference Unsure

Most important issue word clouds – June

2014

6


2015

7


2016

8

Most important issue word clouds – April

2017

9

} Do you think the issue of immigration has been discussed in New Zealand too much, too little or the right amount in the last year or so?

Do we talk about immigration enough?


13

24

11

51

12

25

17

9

12

9

23

28

30

24

20

21

11

15

7

10

12

5

53

32

46

57

56

65

NZ Citizen

Migrant

National

Labour

Greens

NZ First

Too much The right amount Unsure Too little

} On a 1 to 5 scale where 1 means strongly agree and 5 means strongly disagree, how much do you agree or disagree with the following statements:

Key attitudes on immigration

11

57

56

30

21

26

16

3

4

3

19

14

51

It’s hard to discuss immigration without

sounding racist

Too many people who come to live

here from overseas don’t seem to have

a good enough grasp of English

To be truly a New Zealander you have

to be born in New Zealand

Agree (1+2) 3 Unsure Disagree (4+5)

Base: all respondents (n=1000)

} On a 1 to 5 scale where 1 means strongly agree and 5 means strongly disagree, how much do you agree or disagree that: to be truly a New Zealander you have to be born in New Zealand?

Do true New Zealanders have to be born here?

12

27

33

16

41

20

15

10

18

1

2

1

2

52

49

73

39

National

Labour

Greens

NZ First


Base: all respondents, split by vote

} To what extent do you think that a good grasp of English should be a prerequisite for moving here indefinitely: Which is closest to your view?

Requirements for English proficiency

13

7

66

27

People should not need to

have any English proficiency

when they arrive

People should have basic

English when they arrive

People should be fluent in

English when they arrive


} On a 1 to 5 scale where 1 means strongly agree and 5 means strongly disagree, how much do you agree or disagree with the following statements

Key attitudes on immigration

14

57

56

30

28

21

26

16

22

3

4

3

7

19

14

51

43

It’s hard to discuss immigration without sounding racist

Too many people who come to live here from

overseas don’t seem to have a good enough grasp

of English

To be truly a New Zealander you have to be born in

New Zealand

People who want to live here should have to declare

their commitment to the Treaty of Waitangi / Te Tiriti o

Waitangi?



} Generally speaking, how welcoming do you think New Zealand is for new immigrants?

How welcoming are we?

15

8

40

3

49

Not welcoming (0-3)

4 to 6

Unsure

Welcoming (7-10)


} On a scale of 0-10, how prepared do you think New Zealand is to accommodate population growth over the next few years (from both immigrants and citizens) in the following areas:

Can NZ accommodate population growth?

16

38

42

45

52

53

68

41

36

36

32

32

23

4

3

3

3

2

2

17

19

17

13

13

6

Schools

The environment

Jobs

The health system

Transport

Housing

Not prepared (0-3) 4 to 6 Unsure Prepared (7-10)


}

59

75

79

86

32

18

18

12

1

1

1

8

6

3

1

National

Labour

Greens

NZ First

Not prepared (0-3) Neutral Unsure Prepared (7-10)

On a scale of 0-10, how prepared do you think New Zealand is to accommodate population growth over the next few years (from both immigrants and citizens) in: Housing

Can NZ’s housing cope with population growth?

17Base: all respondents, spit by vote

Immigration Policy Settings

} Thinking about NZ’s current overall immigration settings, are they fair on:

Are current immigration settings fair?

19

22

34

30

36

12

16

36

14

Fair on New Zealand citizens

Fair on New migrants

Fair (1+2) 3 Unsure Unfair (4+5)


} Do you think that New Zealand has a cap on the total number of people from overseas who are allowed to come and live here?

Immigration cap - awareness

55

15

30Yes

Unsure

No


} Do you think that New Zealand has a cap on the total number of people from overseas who are allowed to come and live here?

Caps on immigration

55

15

30


53

54

52

60

61

53

54

45

16

16

16

11

12

12

15

16

32

30

32

29

27

35

32

39

18-29

30-44

45-59

60+

National

Labour

Greens

NZ First

Yes Unsure No

} Should NZ have a cap on...

Caps on immigration - preferences

22

79

9

12

53

11

35

19

10

70

Total immigration Overseas students Tourist numbers

Yes Unsure No


} If you were forced to make a choice between the following two policy options for work visas, which would you prefer:

Work visas

23

Issuing fewer work visas but with

more rights to remain in New Zealand

and more access to social security

Allowing more work visas to be

issued but with more limited rights to

remain in New Zealand and less

access to social security

40

60

54

48

36

24

28

45

63

27

46

52

64

76

72

55

37

73

18-29

30-44

45-59

60+

National

Labour

Greens

NZ First


} Thinking about the number of people coming into New Zealand, what do you think is the total number of permanent and long-term arrivals every year?

Number of permanent arrivals

24

18

10

17

17

19

19

Unsure

< 10k

10k - 25k

25k - 50k

50k - 75k

75,000 +


Year to April 2017 permanent and long-term arrivals: 129,800

} In terms of their contribution to NZ’s yearly total number of migrants, please rank the following ten locations from most to least (Top three)

Perceptions of where migrants come from

25

66

53

51

39

36

21

19

7

4

2

China

Pacific Islands

India

The United Kingdom

Australia

Philippines

South Africa

USA

Germany

France


} Refugees, as opposed to immigrants, are generally fleeing armed conflict or economic collapses or political persecution. What do you think New Zealand’s current maximum is in terms of accepting refugees?

Perceptions of current refugee quota

26

27 2623 24

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

Under 750 750-1000 1,000-10,000 Over 10,000

Actual quota: 750 (increasing to 1,000 in 2018)


} The current maximum intake of refugees is 750 people per year, increasing to 1,000 in 2018. Which of these statements is closest to your own view?

Preferred refugee quota changes

27

24 19 28 9 13 6

This number should be less than 750

The amount of refugees should stay at 750

Increasing to 1,000 refugees is about right

This number should be increased to 1,500

This number should be increased to more than 1,500

Unsure


Permanent Residence and Work Visa approvals

28

3

39

53

64

39

51

7

Last year’s 50,000

approvals for Permanent

Residence seems:


approvals for Work

Visas seems:

Too low About right Too high Unsure


Permanent Residence and Work Visa approvals

29

49

51

39

77

National

Labour

Greens

NZ First

Last year’s 50,000 approvals

for Permanent Residence

seems “too high”:


approvals for Work Visas

seems “too high”:

Base: all respondents, split by vote

51

55

41

80

National

Labour

Greens

NZ First

} In 1997, the number of permanent residence visas and temporary work visas was roughly the same. By 2016, the number of temporary work visas was four times the number of permanent residence visas. This means that an increasing proportion of immigrants have no guaranteed right to remain in New Zealand, no access to welfare benefits, and restricted access to education and healthcare. Overall, do you see this change in immigration as a positive development?

Permanent vs work visa balance


24

3412

30

Positive (1+2) 3 Unsure Negative (4+5)

} Only New Zealand residents and citizens should be able to purchase New Zealand property

Support for banning overseas buyers

31

6118

4

17



51

65

64

62

53

65

66

83

19

18

17

19

20

18

23

11

7

3

3

3

3

3

5

1

23

15

16

16

24

14

6

6

18-29

30-44

45-59

60+

National

Labour

Greens

NZ First

} How strongly do you agree with the following statements?

Paying for citizenship

32

78

15

8

8

22

12

3

9

6

11

55

74

All migrants who want to become citizens

here should have to undergo the same

citizenship procedures, irrespective of how

wealthy they are

Investing ten million dollars or more in NZ over

a three-year period should qualify potential

migrants for immediate residence here

The Minister of Immigration should have the

power to automatically grant citizenship to

very wealthy non-resident people



} Do you think New Zealand’s Treaty obligations should require consultation with Māori on immigration policy?

Should there be Māori consultation

33

34

15

51

Yes

Unsure

No


}Generally do you think immigrants to New Zealand should have to abandon traditional cultural practices that many New Zealanders find wrong or offensive or do you think that they should be able to continue those practices as long as they are legal?

Support for traditional practices

34

33

6

61


Abandon traditional practices New Zealanders find wrong or offensive

Unsure

Be able to continue those practices as long as they are legal

24

26

33

47

40

28

14

44

8

6

7

4

4

5

6

6

69

68

60

50

56

67

80

50

18-29

30-44

45-59

60+

National

Labour

Greens

NZ First

} The Burqa is a piece of clothing worn by some Muslim women to cover parts of their body. Do you support banning the wearing of burqas in New Zealand in general?

Banning the Burqa – those who said ‘yes’

35

40

44

37

23

32

45

56

All

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-59

60+


} What about in the following instances?

‘Yes’ to banning the Burqa

36

72

66

50

In banks

In courts for witnesses

In schools

Base: all respondents (n=1000); includes those who supported banning outright

} Regardless of your overall views, using a scale of 1 to 5 where 1 means you strongly agree and 5 strongly disagree how strongly do you agree with the following statements?

Arguments for immigration

37

51

47

45

45

37

35

34

18

25

23

29

28

31

30

30

24

4

7

5

5

8

12

13

9

20

23

21

22

24

23

23

49

Immigrants make New Zealand a much more

interesting and diverse place to live

Immigrants undertake menial low paid jobs that New

Zealanders won't do

Immigration is important for taking part in the global

community

Immigrants provide skills we need to build our

economy

The food is much better

Many new immigrants make substantial investments in

the New Zealand economy

High levels of immigration in recent years have kept

the New Zealand economy growing strongly while…

Even if immigrants have forced up house prices more

New Zealanders are winners from that than losers.



} Regardless of your overall views, using a scale of 1 to 5 where 1 means you strongly agree and 5 strongly disagree how strongly do you agree with the following statements. (agree; 1+2)

Arguments for immigration


Overall positive about immigration Overall negative about immigration

75

69

67

Make NZ more

interesting

Important for

global

community

Provides skills

40

26

24

Take jobs Nzers

won't do

The food is much

better

Makes NZ more

interesting

} Regardless of your overall views, using a scale of 1 to 5 where 1 means you strongly agree and 5 strongly disagree how strongly do you agree with the following statements.

Arguments against immigration

39

61

56

45

42

38

36

36

35

30

20

22

25

23

27

25

24

20

24

6

7

9

9

20

8

6

5

13

13

15

21

26

15

31

34

40

32

The demand from immigrants for housing is a major factor

in forcing house prices in Auckland and other hot spots…

New Zealand infrastructure just cannot cope with the

current levels of immigration

Immigrants often all go to live in one suburb creating

divisions between New Zealanders

The willingness of some immigrants to work for low wages

and in poor conditions drives down wages and working…

There is a lot of abuse of the requirements immigrants are

meant to meet before coming to New Zealand

High levels of immigration increases the threat of terrorism

in New Zealand

Current levels of immigration threaten the Kiwi way of life

The high numbers of immigrants here sometimes leave me

feeling like this isn't really my country any more

Immigration has led to higher levels of organised crime

and more corruption in New Zealand



} Regardless of your overall views, using a scale of 1 to 5 where 1 means you strongly agree and 5 strongly disagree how strongly do you agree with the following statements. (agree; 1+2)

Arguments against immigration


Overall positive about immigration Overall negative about immigration

44

40

30

Pushes up house

prices

Infrastructure

cannot cope

Lowers wages and

working conditions

85

83

75

Pushes up house

prices

Infrastructure

cannot cope

Feels like NZ isn’t

our country any

more

} Negative about immigration agreement – positive about immigration agreement

Most polarising arguments against

immigration


61

59

46

45

44

Feels like NZ isn’t our country any

more

Threaten the Kiwi way of life

More organise crime and

corruption

Create divisions between New

Zealanders

Increases the threat of terrorism

Methodology

• Results in this report are based upon questions asked in a stand-alone UMR online survey. The survey was a nationally representative sample of 1000 New Zealanders, 18 years of age and over.

• To get better accuracy amongst immigrants, oversampling was performed to get a total sub-sample of n=150. The full sample was weighted to ensure immigrants were not over represented in the overall results.

• The survey was conducted from 16th to 21st May 2017.

• The margin of error for sample size of 1000 for a 50% figure at the 95% confidence level is ±3.1%

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New Zealand Insight - UMR Research · 2018-08-24 · Increasing immigration: better or worse for...

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