1) Napoleon Army’s Russian Invasion in 1812

2) 야구통계: MLB 심판진의 인종편견

3) 실시간 선거개표: 2012년 한국 대통령 선거

1.4 통계 자료를 이용한 예시

1) Napoleon Army’s Russian Invasion in 1812

2 Stages in Napoleon's invasion of Russia in 1812

http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/ww2010.book.tolstoy.htm

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1) Napoleon Army’s Russian Invasion in 1812

The armies of Napoleon Bonaparte concentrated where it is

http://mathiassimon1829.blogspot.kr/2013/03/simon-nas-americas.html

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1) Napoleon Army’s Russian Invasion in 1812

Mr. Yankey’s World History Class, Owasso Mid High School, 8800 N 129th East Ave, Owasso, OK 74055 http://www.owasso.k12.ok.us/webpages/gyankey/regadvhandouts.cfm?subpage=313703

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1) Napoleon Army’s Russian Invasion in 1812

Russian Winter(Napoleon Army’s Russian Invasion in 1812). https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russian_Winter

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y = survivors

x = Cumulative Kilomieters marched 6

1) Napoleon Army’s Russian Invasion in 1812

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0 360 720 1080 1440 1800

y = ln(survivors)

x = Cumulative Kilomieters marched

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1) Napoleon Army’s Russian Invasion in 1812

Ln(y) = 13.181 - 0.0022x R² = 0.92

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0 360 720 1080 1440 1800

y = ln(survivors)

x = Cumulative Kilomieters marched

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1) Napoleon Army’s Russian Invasion in 1812

Ln(y) = 13.181 - 0.0022x

y = 530,330e-0.002x

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1) Napoleon Army’s Russian Invasion in 1812

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1) Napoleon Army’s Russian Invasion in 1812

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0 360 720 1080 1440 1800

y = ln(survivors)

x = Cumulative Kilomieters marched

Linear spline regression of ln (y):

ln 𝑦 = 12.783 − 0.0012𝑥 − 0.0019(𝑥 − 900)+

𝑅2 = 0.98

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1) Napoleon Army’s Russian Invasion in 1812

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ln 𝑦 = 12.783− 0.0012𝑥 −0.0019(𝑥 − 900)+

→ 𝑦 = 356,112exp(−0.0012𝑥 − 0.0019(𝑥 − 900)+)

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1) Napoleon Army’s Russian Invasion in 1812

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1) Napoleon Army’s Russian Invasion in 1812

트렌턴 전투, 1975년 작, 찰스 맥배런

https://ko.wikipedia.org/wiki/%ED%8A%B8%EB%A0%8C%ED%84%B4_%EC%A0%84%ED%88%AC

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1) Napoleon Army’s Russian Invasion in 1812

Retreat from Russia scene iii

https://napoleon1812.wordpress.com/

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1) Napoleon Army’s Russian Invasion in 1812

Napoleon In Russia 2

http://www.alamy.com/stock-photo/napoleon-russia-1812.html

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1) Napoleon Army’s Russian Invasion in 1812

Defeat

http://www.nyrb.com/products/defeat?variant=1094929449

WAR AND PEACE

http://www.abebooks.co.uk/9781840225556/Peace-

Wordsworth-Classics-World-Literature-1840225556/plp

5. 야구 통계: Y. Puig 2013, LA Dodgers

The Explosive Start: June 3–July 2 (27 경기: 타율=.443, 출루율=.473)

*타율=H/AB, 출루율=(H+BB+HBP)/(AB+BB+HBP+SF) 17

출처 : ESPN, http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/hotzones/_/id/32574/yasiel-puig

5. 야구 통계: Y. Puig 2013, LA Dodgers

The Slump: July 3–July 22 (15 경기: 타율=.220, 출루율=.266)

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출처 : ESPN, http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/hotzones/_/id/32574/yasiel-puig

5. 야구 통계: Y. Puig 2013, LA Dodgers

The Adjustments: July 23~Aug. 18 (21 경기: 타율=.377, 출루율=.490)

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출처 : ESPN, http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/hotzones/_/id/32574/yasiel-puig

Discrimination in Baseball: MLB Umpires, Racial Bias and Calling Strikes

• C. Parsons, J. Sulaeman, M.Yates, and D. Hamermesh (2011), “Strike

Three: Discrimination, Incentives, and Evaluation,” American Economic

Review, 101, 1410–1435

• Monitoring:

1. QuesTec, a computerized monitoring system intended to evaluate the

accuracy and consistency of home-plate umpires’ judgments. From

2004–2008, QuesTec had been installed in 11 of MLB’s 30 ballparks

(see Fig 1 A, B)

2. Attendance (see Fig 2 A, B)

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2) 야구통계: MLB 심판진의 인종편견

21

2) 야구통계: MLB 심판진의 인종편견

출처 : C. Parsons, J. Sulaeman, M.Yates, and D. Hamermesh(2011), “Strike Three:

Discrimination, Incentives, and Evaluation,” American Economic Review, 101, 1410–1435

22

2) 야구통계: MLB 심판진의 인종편견

출처 : C. Parsons, J. Sulaeman, M.Yates, and D. Hamermesh(2011), “Strike Three:

Discrimination, Incentives, and Evaluation,” American Economic Review, 101, 1410–1435

23

53.98% 51.88% 51.34%

8.21%

45.12% 47.29% 47.83%

6.18%

0.00%

20.00%

40.00%

60.00%

80.00%

조정 전 득표율 조정된 득표율 최종득표율 각 후보 우세지역 개표율

주요 후보 득표율

박근혜 후보(후보 1) 문재인 후보(후보 2)

3) 선거개표: 2012년 한국 대선 오후 7:50

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301,242

591,171

46,352

121,760

356,542

243,764

91,917 216,381

886,460

198,823

7,502

47,357 7,678

564,647

796,727

751,859

199

후보1 우세

후보2 우세

95% 신뢰구간 오차범위: ±107662

3) 선거개표: 2012년 한국 대선 오후 7:50

전국: 893449

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박근혜(후보 1)

문재인(후보 2)

열세

우세

3) 선거개표: 2012년 한국 대선 오후 7:50