Nearshore Community Integrated Research Implementation...
Transcript of Nearshore Community Integrated Research Implementation...
Nearshore Community Integrated Research
Implementation Framework Fact Sheet
Framework for Collaborating and Coordinating Research and Applications
within the Nearshore Coastal Process Research Community
Collaborative Project Description
This project will utilize metrics to evaluate
the three collaboration approaches and end
products. Each of the three breakout groups
at the November 2016 Nearshore
Collaboration Workshop developed different
approaches for collaboration. The approaches
consist of short –term and long-term
coordinated projects. The goal of this project
is to evaluate each approach in order to
illustrate the pros and cons of different
options/frameworks for future collaborations,
and develop unbiased metrics with which to determine success.
The various approaches are summarized as:
Group 1: Leverage several existing but distinct projects within a site-specific area that were
funded by several sources to create an advanced outcome, focus on connection to users;
Group 2: Leverage ongoing research exploring a specific research question by individual PIs
from different entities that have a history of collaboration that apply for funding collectively,
more focus on answering the science question, not site-specific;
Group 3: Address a stated charge/driver that is focused on a specific site, PIs have individual
funding, a hybrid of Groups 1 and 2.
Outcomes from this project will be feedback to leadership, reporting out to program management, and
development of guidelines for future collaborative research projects. It will be important to find ways to
identify which agency or group contributed, provide authorship for that contribution, and develop
protocols for fair representation in the guidance.
Products
Evaluate the three approaches with unbiased metrics of success
Determine the conditions under which each approach is more applicable
Provide guidance in the form of a ‘menu’ with ways to collaborate/coordinate depending on your
needs
NPS/Roman
Agency Roles
Identify metrics of success
Leverage funding between agencies
Coordinate schedules/milestones from the other groups
Metrics for Success
Completion of products, and others to be determined
Schedule, milestones
1. Evaluate metrics for each Group at 1 month, 6 months, and 1 year
2. February 2017 – Report approach and status to leadership
3. February 2018 – Develop draft guidance for ‘research collaboration menu’
Team Members
ASBPA – Nicole Elko
BOEM – Jeff Reidenauer
Nearshore Advisory Council
NOAA – David Kidwell
USACE – Jeff Lillycrop
USGS – Cheryl Hapke, and John Haines
Other participating members of Groups 1, 2, and 3
December 2016
For questions, please contact
Nicole Elko, [email protected]
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Nearshore Community Integrated Research Implementation
Collaborative Project Fact Sheet 1A (Short-term)
Coastal Evolution Through Time
NE Gulf of Mexico Framework Demonstration for
Effective Data Delivery and Visualization
Collaborative Project Description
The demonstration leverages and integrates
a number of organizational efforts within
the Northeast Gulf of Mexico. The team
will follow the Integrated Ocean Observing
System (IOOS) framework for data
integration and interoperability integration
of sensor data and simulation data across
different agencies and institutions by
leveraging the standards, tools and best
practices used already in place.
Cooperation will also lead to coordinated ‘storytelling,’ guidance on what the products will help
the user do, and determining how this work all fits together to enhance coastal resilience.
Strategy will be developed to enhance collaborative outreach and engagement with regional
stakeholders.
Examples of existing projected include evaluating different restoration options to determine best
practice- design evaluation by USGS and USACE, as well as the quantification of the benefits of
natural and nature-based features (NNBF) for various uses and flood mitigation (NOAA).
Products
SeaSketch visualization of activities within the NE GOM to increase coordination and
collaboration between agencies (Product of Action Item 1)
ESRI Storybook of collaborative efforts in NE GOM amongst agencies (Product of
Action Item 3)
Leveraging of ongoing work to address future needs and develop next-generation product
NOAA
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Agency Roles
TBD after Action Item 1
Metrics for Success
Achievement of milestones action items – see below
Schedule, milestones
1. Action Item 1 – January 2017: Have a web ex/conference call to determine all of the
different research tasks that are occurring in the region. The call will include folks in
attendance at the November 2016 workshop as well as others who work in the study area.
Each PI will provide an overview of what they are doing in the area. Academics and
federal agencies will be invited. Make SeaSketch or Google Earth map of collaborative
areas while we are discussing. Discuss GOMA meeting and stakeholder engagement.
o Goal: Find what the gaps in the research are and potentially engage academics.
Product: Develop a SeaSketch of all of the projects
2. Action Item 2: Meet at GOMA in March to speak with Stakeholders
3. Action Item 3 - Summer 2017: Story map of pieces we are pulling together. Figure out
what linkages are to determine what the story is
4. Action Item 4 – Late summer/End of FY17: Reconvene after SeaSketch and story map
are created once we have an idea of what we are all doing and what the gaps are to
determine where we will go with it and what type of products we’ll get out of it
5. Action Item 5: Academic engagement. Potential academic workshop
Team Members
Academics – TBD
ASBPA – Nicole Elko
BOEM – Jeff Reidenauer
NOAA – David Kidwell
Stakeholders – TBD
USACE – Katie Brutsche
USGS – Soupy Dalyander, Jeff Danielson (SeaSketch), Dean Gesch,
Rich Signell (sharing data for story map)
December 2016
For questions, please contact
Nicole Elko, [email protected]
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Nearshore Community Integrated Research Implementation
Collaborative Project Fact Sheet 1B (Long-Term)
Coastal Evolution Through Time
National Integrated Coastal Hazard and Resilience Evaluation (NICHE):
Demonstration Study for NE Gulf of Mexico
Collaborative Project Description
This project is an active interagency collaboration
(resilience hub) to link current research efforts,
build on existing resilience tools and metrics and
combine different agency data portals. The short-
term proof-of-concept demonstration study within
the NE Gulf of Mexico collaboration will define
exactly what the NICHE will be. Once developed,
NICHE will be communicated with the end user to
see what is missing from existing tools, fill
missing data/tools and identify gaps to develop the
method to evaluate resilience (hazard, vulnerability, recovery, and adaptation). The NICHE will
capitalize on best available science across disciplines. Ultimately, NICHE may be able to tie how
coastal restoration and community actions reduce vulnerability and increase the potential for
recovery and adaptation.
Product
The final product will be determined as we communicate with end users and complete the NE
Gulf of Mexico Demonstration (could be a living map, framework for data integration across
agencies and users) but will generally be an evaluation of coastal hazards, vulnerability, and
resilience. The final product is envisioned to communicate hazard, vulnerability, and resilience
metrics as well as provide a visual data portal.
Metrics for Success
Metrics will be refined following the NE Gulf of Mexico collaboration, but principally will
consist of demo development progress and completion.
USGS
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Schedule, milestones
5 year project timeline
1. NE Gulf of Mexico Collaboration Demo
2. Mock up of NICHE in 1 year following Demo completion
3. Full development and engagement with end-users
Agency Roles
Academia – Develop new scientific knowledge and engineering methods to address
research gaps
ASBPA – Manage coordination, integration, advocacy, evaluation
BOEM – Identify the sediment resources
FWS – Identify the natural and ecosystem resources and associated management issues
IOOS – Manage multi-agency sensors and model data integration, GCOOS
NOAA – Conduct physical and biological oceanography; handle transition and
operational elements and applied sides. Identify the natural and cultural resource
management issues. Identify the stakeholder management issues
NPS – Identify the natural and cultural resources and associated management issues
USACE – Plan, design, construct, and operate coastal and environmental engineering
projects; identify stakeholder management issues; manage sediment on local and regional
scales; provide project baseline data; manage navigation channels including dredging and
placement in vicinity of inlets and within the Intracoastal Waterway
USGS – Collect and analyze baseline data for scientific evaluation of coastal restoration
efforts and system resiliency; conduct physical processes research including
oceanography; geology; habitat on barrier islands, beaches, dunes, bays and estuaries;
work with stakeholders to create specific decision analysis for adaptive management of
coastal systems.
Team Members
Academics – TBD
ASBPA – Nicole Elko
BOEM – Jeff Reidenauer
NOAA – David Kidwell
Stakeholders – TBD
USACE – Katie Brutsche
USGS – Soupy Dalyander, Rich Signell, and Jeff Danielson
December 2016
For questions, please contact
Nicole Elko, [email protected]
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Nearshore Community Integrated Research Implementation
Collaborative Project Fact Sheet 2A (Short-Term)
Extreme Events and Model Development
Duck Multi-model NowCast Test Bed
Collaborative Project Description
The objective of this project is to identify model
strengths and weaknesses by running suite of models
continuously alongside one another over a range of
conditions. Ultimately, the skill assessment will
identify model deficiencies and inform model
development. Expected end users are applied and
operational modeling groups at USACE District
Offices, the Naval Oceanographic Office, and
NOAA National Weather Service and National
Ocean Service Offices.
Product
Journal publications/special issue on model strengths and weaknesses, comparison
Workshop on model setup and incorporation to the test bed
Archive of model run data
Establishment infrastructure for model management and data dissemination
Protocol for model and data sharing
Fact sheet
Integration with International Coastline Observatory Network (ICON)
Agency Roles
USACE – Leader. Hosts Model Test Bed at Field Research Facility, Duck, NC
o Observations
o Models: STWAVE, CMS, CSHORE, FUNWAVE, CSTORM
NOAA – ADCIRC, WW3, SWAN
NRL – Incorporates Delft3D-FM
USGS – Total Water Level prediction, COAWST
Academic – Tests COAWST, SWASH
USACE
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Metrics for Success
Number of multiagency agency journal articles
Number of new models being added into the test bed
Number of conference presentations and sessions
Identification of missing physical processes or better parameterizations in models
Incorporation of academic partners
Addition of new test sites location/type
Schedule, milestones
1. February 2017 – USACE (Jane Smith and Spicer Bak) will target writing a Coastal
Model Test Bed white paper from BathyDuck experiment so that project information can
be communicated.
2. March 2017 – USACE (Spicer Bak), NRL (Allison Penko), USGS (Joe Long) will
develop protocol for model comparison including a description of where model results
and data will be stored, what model variables will be compared (e.g., wave height, water
velocities), what data will be used for comparison (in situ, remotely sensed) and the
locations where data will be compared.
3. June 2017 – NRL (Allison Penko) will set up Delft3D-FM for BathyDuck experiment
(September-October 2015). Model results will be shared with Spicer Bak.
4. August 2017 – USGS (Joe Long) will set up XBeach simulations in hydrostatic modes in
an operational framework. Model results will be shared based on the established
protocol.
5. September 2017 – USACE (Spicer Bak), NRL (Allison Penko), USGS (Joe Long) will
aim to revise the protocol for model data sharing based on experiences. At this point
additional models may be incorporated following the established protocol.
6. Long term goals: a. Integration of International Coastline Observatory Network (ICON)
b. Addition of ecological models (e.g. dune vegetation) for comparison with
remotely sensed data
c. Extension of test bed to sound side of FRF property or other sites
d. Annual Workshop at FRF
e. Data sharing via conference sessions
Team Members
NOAA – TBD
NRL – Meg Palmsten and Allison Penko
Queens University – Ryan Mulligan
USGS – Joe Long and Nathanial Plant
USACE – Spicer Bak, Jane Smith, Tyler Hesser, and Brad Johnson
December 2016
For questions, please contact
Nicole Elko, [email protected]
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Nearshore Community Integrated Research Implementation
Collaborative Project Fact Sheet 2B (Short-Term)
Extreme Events
Extreme-Event Dune Response Tool
Collaborative Project Description
The cooperative effort tackles issues associated
with extreme event geomorphology change
prediction/collection, storm surge/coastal
flooding, recovery restoration, hydrodynamics,
biogeomorphodynamics, erosion/recovery cycles
and small-scale processes. Develop a tool to
predict magnitude of dune response (collision or
overwash) to extreme events given a total water
level forecast and initial profile. The tool could be
used in near real-time during emergency
management decision making or for scenario-
based planning. The project will particularly
advance coastal change forecasts and management
plans by incorporating the current advances in the science and engineering communities.
Products
Near-real time forecasts of dune erosion magnitudes Applied tool for engineering dune management planning
Journal Article – During storm collision regime observations & modeling
Journal Article – Advection/Diffusion model of dune erosion
Agency Roles
USGS – Coordinate with NOAA for rolling out total water level forecasts nationally.
Develop Accessible data set of Lidar profiles nationally (not just dune features, e.g.
netcdf files). Calculate probabilities of coastal change and the magnitudes of dune
erosion & overwash. Share knowledge on Coastal Change Hazards Portal (or equivalent)
USACE – Compile during-storm dune erosion data sets & integrate to common format.
Evaluate predictive models of dune erosion (collision regime). Identify engineering
planning needs & applications to dune design
NRL – Evaluate predictive models of dune erosion (collision regime)
NOAA – NWS provides operational wave and water level model output to aid with tool
development
NWS
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Metrics for Success
Journal Articles on Storm/Dune Dynamics
Level of public accessing time-series predictions
Miles of coastline/Number of communities capable of receiving dune erosion forecast
Schedule, milestones
Year 1
USGS, USACE, and NRL host web-meeting in January
USGS will implement current coastal change forecasts with time-series in pilot locations
by June 2017
NRL and USACE will publish journal article evaluating collision regime model during
storms by June 2017
USGS (Joe Long) will publish journal article on an advection/diffusion model of dune
erosion by September 2017
USACE and USGS will interact with Corps Districts to identify needs by June 2017
Year 2
USGS will improve portal capabilities or find alternate host
USGS, USACE, and NRL package dune modeling code
USGS will expand time-series predictions and make available to public
USACE, USGS & others will develop national lidar profile database
Year 3
Final tool integrated into portal and deployed to Districts for near real-time forecasts and
scenario based planning
Team Members
Academia – TBD
NOAA – TBD
NRL – Meg Palmsten
USACE – Kate Brodie
USGS – Hilary Stockdon, Joe Long
December 2016
For questions, please contact
Nicole Elko, [email protected]
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Nearshore Community Integrated Research Implementation
Collaborative Project Fact Sheet 2C (Short-Term)
Extreme Events
Extreme Event Rapid Deployment Plan
Collaborative Project Description
This team aims to organize pre-, during, and
post- event coordination of research and data
collection and management so that researchers
are more organized to study extreme events with
better coverage and reduce redundancies. The
goal is to enable data that is collected by
researchers during mission response to be used
by a broader array of scientists across
government, academia, and industry and have a
greater impact.
Products
Web Meeting prior to each winter storm and Hurricane season with the near term goal of
organizing prior to winter 2017 to develop coordination, deployment strategies and
science questions.
Protocols - Rapid Response Protocol and Post-mortem damage protocol
Extreme Events Portal, given Coastal Act set up need for a data portal, development of
Accessible/Comprehensive Datasets/Cataloguing, and the potential for IOOS
coordination of data
Survey of Mapping Data, IWG-OCM
List of research questions; data needs; people (contacts) that becomes the extreme event
list for the portal. Established sites of ongoing measurements, interested people, known
storm event knowledge
Agency Roles
Leader - TBD
Web conference host – TBD (Rotation) o Working with WGDIAP on coordination around event o WebEx/Conference Protocol development
Data Cataloguing – TBD (potentially NOAA through Coastal Act/IOOS)
NWS
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Metrics for Success
Number of agencies and researchers participating in pre-season coordination meeting
Number of successful data collection associated with report
Number of agencies accepting protocols
Number of publications resulting from coordinated extreme event data
Schedule, milestones
The work leads to a larger project with a number of short-term gains along the way
1. December 2016 – USGS (Harry Jenter) will talk with WG/DIAP to see if they will
support this effort. Need a model for how to communicate and coordinate with the
relevant research agency and academic partners. USGS will follow up with group.
2. December 2016 – WHOI (Britt Raubenheimer) hosts an email list serve. Advertise at
Coastal List (WHOI), AGU (Britt) and ASPBA (Nicole Elko).
3. January 2017 – Explore options for instrument lending library at various agency
(USACE – Mary Cialone, USGS – Chris Sherwood, HIF-USGS – Harry Jenter, NSF-
NHERI) – Diane Foster (UNH). Initial Contact before January meeting.
4. January 2017 – USGS with possible assistance from UNH (Diane Foster) will set up a
national level Web meeting (with possible regional coordination POCs and discussions to
follow).
5. January 2017 – At web meeting IWG-OCM will present pre and post storm surveys
(USGS - Jeff Danielson).
6. January 2017 – Provide contact information for model predictions and report at web
meeting. Greg Dusek NOAA – NOS & NWS.
7. Develop a pool of trained volunteers from academic community.
Team Members
Academics – Britt Raubenheimer (WHOI), Diane Foster (UNH)
BOEM – Jeffrey Reidenauer
FEMA – TBD
NOAA – Greg Dusek (NOS), Arun Chawla (NWS)
USACE – Mary Cialone, Jeff Watters (FRF), Jane Smith (Modelling), Chris Massey
(Modelling)
USGS – Hilary Stockdon (St. Petersburg), Chris Sherwood (Woods Hole), Harry Jenter
(Headquarters), Jeffrey Danielson (IWG-OCM)
December 2016
For questions, please contact
Nicole Elko, [email protected]
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Nearshore Community Integrated Research Implementation
Collaborative Project Fact Sheet 2D (Short-Term)
Extreme Events
Evaluation of Model Fidelity for Extreme Morphological Events
Collaborative Project Description
This work broadens the reach of an Office of Naval
Research project to extend and coordinate with more
models and cooperation from different agencies and
academic teams. In addition to contribution these
organizations will then have more to draw from the
work. The effort aims to evaluate and improve coastal
morphological model performance for selected storms
with large geomorphological events and develop good
data sets for model initiation and forcing.
Product
Quantitative assessment of model performance, including the identification of key model deficiencies
Agency Roles
ONR – Project facilitation
Deltares – Run Delft3D and participate in model comparison
USGS – Provide datasets for selected scenarios and run COAWST and Delft3D
and participate in model comparison
NRL – Provide wind forcing and work on Delft3D model development
University of Delaware – Run high-resolution models and provide improved sediment-transport
formulations.
Metrics for Success
Number of models tested from different agencies
Schedule, milestones
Begins in February 2017 for three years, with milestones reached as different models are submitted.
Team Members
Deltares – TBD
NRL – Allison Penko
University of Delaware – TBD
University of Florida – TBD
USACE – Jane Smith and Chris Massey
USGS – John Warner, Chris Sherwood
Others as engaged December 2016
For questions, please contact
Nicole Elko, [email protected]
USGS
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Nearshore Community Integrated Research Implementation
Collaborative Project Fact Sheet 2E (Long-Term)
Extreme Events
Dune Response to Extreme Events:
DUring Nearshore Event eXperiment (DUNEX)
Collaborative Project Description
The During Nearshore Event Experiment (DUNEX)
consists of conducting extreme-event field
experiment(s) to measure during-storm
hydrodynamics, meteorology, hydrology, sediment
transport, geology, ecology, and the resulting
morphological evolution of the beach and dune
system with overtopping and overland flow. The
research will take a two-pronged approach and
develop plans for both a storm-chasing experiment as
well as an extreme-event prone site.
The Storm Chasing Experiment (Hurricane on US Gulf of Mexico or East Coast) will improve
storm-chasing capabilities (logistics, methodology, coordination), develop pre-planned scenarios
for sites every 100 miles along the coast, and support storm-climatology based planning. The
Fixed Site Experiment will target a Nor’Easter on the northeast US Atlantic Coast. The
experiment will target integration of processes with longer-term processes & ecology feedbacks,
examine the potential for recovery components, and support storm-climatology based planning.
Product
DUNE-EX experiments and corresponding data and information
Journal Articles, Ph.D. Dissertations
Agency Roles
BOEM – pre/post sub-bottom mapping
NOAA – pre-post imagery/LIDAR (coastal mapping group); Water level and wave
observations (NOS CO-OPS)
NRL – sediment transport & remote sensing
USACE – provide during-storm data collection of hydrodynamic, morphology change,
sediment transport using remote sensing and in-situ measurements; pre-post LIDAR
mapping (JALBTCX)
USGS – provide pre-post LIDAR/imagery; pressure sensors & rapid deployment gauges
(meteorology), UAS, video-imaging during (hydro & morphology); sediment transport
NWS
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Metrics for Success
Number of publications
Data sets for extreme-event numerical model development & validation
Graduate Student Ph.D. Dissertations
Interagency collaboration & coordination
Schedule, milestones
Year 1
Academic Team (Britt Raubenheimer) will talk to NSF about funding
USACE and USGS will talk to internal funding managers (USACE – Kate Brodie and
Mary Cialone; USGS – Hilary Stockdon)
ASBPA will advocate for project importance (Nicole Elko)
Academic team and USACE (Britt Raubenheimer, Kate Brodie, and Mary Cialone) will
host a planning meeting to engage potential collaborators, by December 2017, perhaps
coordinated with ASBPA Fall 2017 meeting when dune research is presented
Year 2 – 3
Modeling studies to refine plans
Methodology R&D and instrumentation development for robust, easily deployable
packages
Identify planning committee
Identify data management & sharing plan and hardware
Develop proposals & identify funding
Annual planning meetings
Year 3 – 5
Planning committee helps with permitting, access, logistics, identifies gaps, resolves
conflicts, organizes PIs
More frequent planning meetings (web-ex or person depending on funding)
Year 5 – 6
DUNE-EX
Internal data distribution & experiment report
Year 7
Public data distribution
Journal publications, and similar documents
Team Members
Academia – Britt Raubenheimer, Others as Engaged
BOEM – Jeffrey Reidenauer, Jeff Waldner
NOAA – Greg Dusek
NRL – Meg Palmsten
USACE – Kate Brodie, FRF personnel, Candice Piercy, Mary Cialone
USGS – Hilary Stockdon, Chris Sherwood, Harry Jenter, Jennifer Miselis
December 2016
For questions, please contact
Nicole Elko, [email protected]
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Nearshore Community Integrated Research Implementation
Collaborative Project Fact Sheet 2F (Long-Term)
Extreme Events and Model Development
Dune Response to Extreme Events: High Fidelity Modeling
Collaborative Project Description
This work utilizes basic and applied research
to improve study, planning, management,
engineering and operation of dunes and
associated processes. The objective is to open
source version controlled modular modelling
system (e.g. Systems model coupling
capability, or GitHub). The output should be
easily translated to economic analysis,
ecological and human impact models that
incorporate the following components:
Wave, Winds, Tides , Inundation
Forcing
Overland Flow Model
Sediment Transport (Erosion, Accretion, Scour)
Vegetation
Groundwater
Physical Infrastructure Interactions
Possible extensions - Ecological, Human Impact and Economic Analysis
Product
Storm – regional scale High fidelity model with quantified uncertainty
Risk – national scale probabilistic model for scenario planning
Operational model for end users that reflects the current state of practice
Field Experiment Data and Results
Agency Roles
Field experiment host – TBD
Module development – TBD
R&D technology development – TBD
Develop funding and associated coordination for work – TBD
NPS/Krueger
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December 2016
For questions, please contact
Nicole Elko, [email protected]
Metrics for Success
Number of models evaluated
Number of sub-projects set up
Number of events/times operational model is run
Schedule, milestones
1. Spring 2017 – Identify roughly 3 data sets (e.g. Duck, 2015, Assateague Island, Dauphin
Island, Sandy impacts, Forsythe NWP). USACE (Brad Johnson, Kate Brodie), USGS
(Hilary Stockdon, Jeff Warwick, Jeff Danielson), and Oregon State University (Peter
Ruggiero)
2. Spring 2017 – Identify lab experiments, facilities, and people in structures. Possible
include considerations of article regions. USACE (Brad Johnson, Duncan Bryant), UNH
(Diane Foster).
3. Fall 2017 – Evaluate existing models with a High Fidelity Modelling workshop.
Workshop planning. USACE (Kate Brodie), NRS (Mara Orescanin), USGS (Chris
Sherwood, Jeff Danielson), and NOAA (Ashley Chappell).
4. Winter 2017 – Workshop will be used to formulate a plan and discuss a model
framework.
5. 2018 – 2019 – Module development
Team Members
Academic – Britt Raubenheimer, Nina Stark, TBD
BOEM – TBD
FEMA – TBD
NOAA – Greg Dusek, TBD
NRL – Allison Penko and Meg Palmsten
USACE – Brad Johnson, Kate Brodie, and Candice Piercy
USGS – Joe Long, Hillary Stockdon, Chris Sherwood, and Jeff Danielson
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Nearshore Community Integrated Research Implementation
Collaborative Project Fact Sheet 2G (Long-Term)
Extreme Events
Dune Response to Extreme Events: Probabilistic Modeling
Collaborative Project Description
This joint project has been developed to understand
the major physical controls to for dune response
using an iterative process of (simplified) model
development and comparison with pre- and post-
storm lidar data, which will help define the simple
relationships for dune evolution. The work aims to
apply a simple model over large geographic areas.
The model will be forced with NWPS forecast total
water levels and probabilistic scenarios using the
Coastal Hazard System (CHS) dataset.
This work will support the determination of the probability that a certain site will experience a
specific amount of dune erosion can be determined (based on both likelihood of response to
specific forcing and the likelihood of that forcing occurring). The approach will include the
uncertainty or error bounds of that probability. This work will support probabilistic models and
lead to the enhanced probabilistic forecasting of dune response by developing a simplified X-
beach or equivalent dune model that operates off of probabilistic water levels/storms, including
existing surrogate models that tie into the Nearshore Wave Prediction System (NWPS). While
some simplification may be required for national-scale product, the probabilistic approach will
allow for better identified and informed magnitudes of coastal change for forecasting purposes.
Products
Improved national scale probabilistic model for scenario planning with CHS with
improved spatial coverage
Dune erosion forecasts with decision support capability
Agency Roles
Provision of simplified dune response model
NWPS model via NOAA, in particular the National Weather Service
Providing probable storms & water levels (via CHS), overall and surrogate model of
incoming storms
USGS
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Metrics for Success
Integration into larger jointly funded project among agencies (USGS, USACE, NOAA)
National coverage for scenario based dune modeling
Schedule, milestones
January 2017 – Phone call between team members and development of data and model
integration steps
Team Members
NOAA – Arun Chawla
NRL – Meg Palmsten
USACE - Chris Massey, Kate Brodie
USGS – Hilary Stockton, Joe Long
December 2016
For questions, please contact
Nicole Elko, [email protected]
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Nearshore Community Integrated Research Implementation
Collaborative Project Fact Sheet 3A (Short-Term)
Human and Ecosystem Health
Marsh Vulnerability Protocols (MVP): A Pilot Project to Assess
Indices for Restoration Site Selection at Forsythe NWR
Collaborative Project Description
E. B. Forsythe National Wildlife Refuge (FNWR)
received funds to restore salt marshes using a variety of
methods including thin-layer placement of sediment in
the aftermath of Hurricane Sandy. In order to accomplish
this restoration, FNWR prioritized and selected
restoration sites within the refuge based on an organic
approach utilizing an expert opinion-based decision-
making process. In a separate effort, USGS is
developing a structured vulnerability analysis within
FNWR. This project, supported by the National
Nearshore Collaboration Workgroup, will conduct a post-hoc analysis of the two site-selection
approaches. The collaborative product brings together multiple agencies and academic
institutions, and compares a method based on local knowledge with one that might be applied in
a broader, national context more easily.
Product
A report describing the comparison of expert opinion and vulnerability index methods for
identifying marsh restoration sites in the FNWR on Barnegat Bay, and recommendations to be
incorporated into a future structured decision approach.
Agency Roles
USACE – working with biologists at FNWR to implement restoration on selected sites
and inform Refuge future monitoring plans. Co-author report.
USGS/USFWS – synthesizing physical, geomorphic, & ecological drivers of wetland
change.
USGS – The deliverable products are ScienceBase catalogs that display drivers (e.g.
wave attack, sediment supply, SLR, salinity intrusion) and derived vulnerability indices
USFWS/McLaughlin
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Metrics for Success
Completion of evaluation of two methods and publication of findings.
Distribution of findings to Marsh Restoration Managers through a Regional Collaboration
Work Group to be developed. Possible Regional Collaboration Work Group Members are
as follows: Regional Nearshore Collaboration Workgroup - Academic Institutions,
Barnegat Bay Partnership, BOEM, HR Wallingford, NJ DOT, NJ DEP, NOAA, NPS,
TNC, USACE, USFWS, USGS, & EPA
Inclusion of comparison product on web portals
Schedule, milestones
1. January – April 2017: Initial Communication between Primary Project Members
a. January 2017: Confirm collaboration is underway, briefly summarize first steps
accomplished, define metrics for success & funding leveraged, identify group
communication method, and refine next steps if needed.
b. March – USACE (Candice Piercy and Elizabeth Murray) and USGS (Dan Nowacki) will
discuss USFWS assessment.
c. April – USGS (Dan Nowacki) contacts USACE (Candice Piercy) when vulnerability
index is ready.
2. January 2017 – March: USFWS full ranking of sites.
a. USACE will work with USFWS to develop a process description and ranking system
3. April 2017: USGS Ranking Process
a. Early Spring Models will be ready for comparison. Project completed within two years.
4. June 2017: 6 month update
5. TBD: Stakeholder outreach
a. Identify local partners/Regional Collaboration Work Group Members for communicating
interest in the region and planned work.
b. Present results of comparison at FNWR to Regional Collaboration Work Group via
webinar or local meeting and discuss implications for marsh management in coastal NJ,
soliciting ways in which the results could inform a structured decision approach.
6. Near end of project: Develop Strategic plan for long term activities.
a. Should be discussed with regional team. Consider funding mechanisms.
b. Coordinate with National Nearshore Collaboration Workgroup about potential funding
and priorities for long-term supplement to this project.
c. Incorporate findings from comparison and outreach webinar into long-term plans
d. Engagement Strategy – a meeting would be valuable and NJ Sea Grant could be
interested in hosting a working meeting.
Team Members
Project Delivery Team:
USACE – Candice Piercy/Elizabeth Murray
USFWS – Paul Castelli
USGS – Dan Nowacki/Zafer Defne December 2016
For questions, please contact
Nicole Elko, [email protected]
21
Nearshore Community Integrated Research Implementation
Collaborative Project Fact Sheet 3B (Short-Term)
Human and Ecosystem Health
Modernize Sharing of Ecological Data, with a Pilot Effort in Sharing
Marsh Project Data at Forsythe NWR and Greater Barnegat Bay Region
Collaborative Project Description
There are a number of agencies working in Forsythe
National Wildlife Refuge and the greater Barnegat
Bay region. This project seeks to investigate and
standardize the collection and distribution of
ecological data being collected in the area. The end
goal is to develop an ecological data sharing strategy
that enables easy connectivity with physical datasets.
The research will recommend best data-storage and
sharing practices for ecological data by leveraging
applicable best practices from the standardization of
physical science dataset. Examples of best practices
include the use of NetCDF, Climate and Forecast (CF) metadata conventions, as well as SeaSketch.
Additional outcomes may include the development of metadata standards for ecological data. Groups will
coordinate to find out what activities in the region are collecting ecological and physical marsh data.
Product
A white paper of current data collection activates in Barnegat Bay that will used to develop exportable
best practices for sharing ecological data.
Agency Roles
USACE – will lead the effort to identifying agencies
USGS – has ongoing work in the region; metadata and standards expert for physical data
NOAA – has ongoing work in the region
USFWS – has ongoing work in the region
Regional Nearshore Collaboration Workgroup - Academic Institutions, HR Wallingford, NJ
DOT, NJ DEP, NOAA, NPS, and TNC
NOAA
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Metrics for Success
Under development for January 2017 meeting
Schedule, milestones
This work is expected to take 1-2 years.
1. January – March: USACE (Herman) will work with USGS on current datasets.
2. January 2017: Confirm collaboration is underway, briefly summarize 1st steps accomplished,
define metrics for success & funding leveraged, ID group communication method, refine next
steps if needed.
3. June 2017: 6 month update
4. June – TBD: Contact regional Group and request metadata and list of activities.
5. June – TBD: Touch base with broader nearshore conference community regarding ecological
data collection.
Team Members
Project Team:
USACE – Brook Herman
USFWS – Paul Castelli
USGS – Dan Nowacki/Rich Signell
Regional Nearshore Collaboration Work Group:
Academic Institutions – TBD, potentially through Sea Grant Network
HR Wallingford – David Powers
NJ DEP – TBD
NJ DOT – TBD
NOAA – David Kidwell/TBD at NJ Sea Grant Network/NERRS)
NPS – Cliff McCreedy
TNC – TBD
December 2016
For questions, please contact
Nicole Elko, [email protected]
23
Nearshore Community Integrated Research Implementation
Collaborative Project Fact Sheet 3C (Short-Term)
Human and Ecosystem Health
Larval Transport: Identify Dominant Drivers for Cross-shore Transport
of Early- and Late-stage Larvae Using Bio-physical Models
Collaborative Project Description
This project assesses the current state-of-the-art
biophysical models to study larval transport in
the coastal ocean. The work also aims to further
the model development required to accurately
simulate cross-shore larval transport.
Potential science/management questions to be
answered include:
Beach replenishment: What are the
ecological impacts of beach
replenishment projects, and can a best
time or best method for replenishment
be identified?
Dredging: How do sand shoals provide larval habitat, and
how can this information be used to time dredging activities?
The coordination work also should seek to determine the relevant physical and biological datasets
required to validate existing biological and physical models investigating larval transport. These needs
include deciding which study sites provide the necessary biophysical information to carryout these efforts.
E.g., along California and Oregon Coasts. Research on larval transport models may also extend to other
relevant questions, such as nearshore pollutant/contaminant and heat transport, is an additional goal
extension. Over the long-term this project will improve the coupled modeling of biological and physical
processes in coastal waters.
Product
Technical report on state-of-the-art larval transport modeling capability, identification of
available datasets, data gaps, model advancement requirements, and important products to be
derived in long-term.
Identifying funding sources and longer term needs, such as BOEM funding opportunities.
NOAA/Leroux
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Agency Roles
To be determined at first 2017 discussion.
Metrics for Success
To be determined at first 2017 discussion.
Schedule, milestones
BOEM (Deena Hansen) and University of Washington (Nirni Kumar) will host a conference call
to continue to hone this activity.
January 2017 – Confirm collaboration is underway, briefly summarize 1st steps accomplished,
define metrics for success & funding leveraged, identify group communication method, refine
next steps if needed.
June 2017 – 6 month update
Team Members
Project Team:
BOEM ‒ Deena Hansen
HR Wallingford ‒ David Powers
NOAA ‒ TBD at Northeast Science Center
University of Washington ‒ Nirni Kumar
USACE ‒ Todd Swannack
USGS ‒ TBD
WHOI ‒ Britt Raubenheimer
December 2016
For questions, please contact
Nicole Elko, [email protected]
25
Nearshore Community Integrated Research Implementation
Collaborative Project Fact Sheet 3D (Long-Term)
Human and Ecosystem Health
National Assessment of Drivers of Marsh Sustainability and Vulnerability
Collaborative Project Description
The overall project aims to assess the regional
applicability of the vulnerability index developed by
USGS. The USGS is synthesizing physical,
geomorphic, and ecological drivers of wetland
change. The deliverable products are ScienceBase
catalogs that display drivers (e.g. wave attack,
sediment supply, SLR, salinity intrusion, etc) and
derived vulnerability indices including the UVVR,
wave attack, carbon stock, etc, through GIS and web
mapping services. This assessment will inform
management efforts by identifying the most
vulnerable and the most stable areas of wetlands. Other settings will benefit from an improved ability to
generalize across a range of tidal, geomorphic, and ecological factors to evaluate wetland vulnerability to
sea level rise. Restoration decisions and other management actions that use the results will have an
improved chance of success and inappropriate strategies for particular locations can be avoided.
This plan proposes the expansion of this vulnerability index, currently being implemented in Barnegat
Bay, NJ, to more sites nationwide. Sites may include areas similar to Avalon NJ, Narrow River RI, Seal
Beach CA, Grand Bay LA, Cape Cod MA , Gateway NY, Assateque MD/VA, Fire Island NY, Timiquan
FL, Northern San Francisco Bay CA, Great Marsh MA, Lower Columbia WA, Puget Sound WA,
Galveston Bay TX. Other sites will be considered as well, however, these locations have the advantage of
current involvement and contacts within the partner agencies, potentially expediting development of case
sites for the application of the vulnerability index.
As described in the Marsh Vulnerability Protocols fact sheet, this plan compares the vulnerability indices
produced by the USGS index to vulnerabilities identified by local experts and decision makers in the
expanded sites.
Product
A report describing the comparison of the marsh vulnerability index method developed by USGS at
Barnegat Bay to expert opinion prioritizations at numerous sites around the country, to ascertain if it can
be applied nationally without modification. Assessment of findings and potential next steps.
USFWS
26
Agency Roles
USGS – Providing marsh vulnerability index approach.
USACE/NOAA/USFWS/NPS/Academia – Facilitating collaboration with other sites as available.
Local Agencies – Expert-opinion based approach at each additional assessment site.
Metrics for Success
Publication for additional comparison sites
Sharing assessment and vulnerability index via web portals
Regional tool development where appropriate
Schedule, milestones
Early Spring 2017 – Models will be ready for comparison, and will be compared at Forsythe
NWR (See Marsh Vulnerability Protocols Short Term Proposal).
From this point the schedule of the project depends on the success of the short-term project and
identification and engagement of other comparison sites.
Team Members
Academic Institutions – TBD
NOAA – David Kidwell
NPS – Cliff McCreedy
USACE – Candice Piercy/Elizabeth Murray
USFWS – Paul Castelli
USGS – Dan Nowacki
Local contacts for sites as they are finalized.
December 2016
For questions, please contact
Nicole Elko, [email protected]
27
Nearshore Community Integrated Research
Project Fact Sheet Acronyms
ADCIRC – Advanced Circulation Model
ASBPA – American Shore and Beach Preservation Association
BOEM – Bureau of Ocean Energy Management
CHS – USACE Coastal Hazard System
CMS – Coastal Modeling System
COAWST – Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere-Wave-Sediment Transport
CSHORE – one-dimensional time-averaged nearshore profile model
CSTORM – coastal storm modelling system
Delft3D-FM – Deltares flexible mesh 3 dimensional modeling suite
DOT – Department of Transportation
DEP – Department of Environmental Protection
EPA – Environmental Protection Agency
FEMA – Federal Emergency Management Agency
FRF – USACE Field Research Facility
FUNWAVE - Fully Nonlinear Boussinesq Model
GCOOS – Gulf of Mexico Coastal Ocean Observing System
GOMA – Gulf of Mexico Alliance
ICON – Integration of international coastline observatory network
IOOS – Integrated Ocean Observing System
IWG-OCM – Interagency Working Group on Ocean and Coastal Mapping
NERRS – National Estuarine Research Reserve System
NNBF – natural and nature-based features
NOAA – National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
NPS – National Park Service
NRL – U.S. Navy Research Laboratory
NWPS – Nearshore Wave Prediction System
NWR – National Wildlife Refuge
NWS – National Weather Service
ONR – Office of Naval Research
PI – Principal investigator
POC – Point of Contact
STWAVE – Steady-State Spectral Wave model
SWAN – Simulating WAves Nearshore model
SWASH – Simulating WAves till SHore
TBD – To Be Determined
TNC – The Nature Conservancy
UNH – University of New Hampshire
USACE – U.S. Army Corps of Engineers
USGS – U.S. Geological Survey
USFWS – U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service
WG/DIAP – Working Group for Disaster Impact Assessments and Plans
WHOI – Wood Hole Oceanographic Institute
WW3 - Wave Watch II
XBeach – 2 dimensional coastal model
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