NATO Defence Planning Process

(NDPP)

LTC David Cathro

ACT Staff Element Europe, Mons+32-(0)65-44-8076, IVSN 254-8076 David.CATHRO@shape.nato.int

Supreme

Allied

Commander

Transformation

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Aims

• NATO Defence Planning Process

• Key products

• Governance

• Key references

• Where we are now and what next

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“… to provide a framework within which national and

Alliance defence planning activities can be harmonized to

meet agreed targets in the most effective way. It should

facilitate the timely identification, development and delivery

of the necessary range of forces that are interoperable

and adequately prepared, equipped, trained and supported

as well as the associated military and non-military

capabilities to undertake the Alliance’s full spectrum of

missions.’’

- Outline Model for a NATO Defence Planning Process -

PO(2009)0042

Aim of NDPP

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Defence Planning Staff Team

DPPC(R)

NDPP Governance

NAC

Planning

Domains

IMS

IS

ACONCIA

CDEB

ACTCoEs

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Force Planning

Harmonized Planning Domains

Planning Domains

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NDPP 101

What do we (NATO) want to do?

What do we need to do it?

What do we need to maintain,

what are the shortfalls (& surpluses)?

What do we have available?

What do we want nations to provide?

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NDPP

1. Political

Guidance

2. Determine

Requirements

3. Apportion

Requirements

Set Targets

4. Facilitate

Implementation

5. Review

Results Improving

Alliance

Capabilities

ACT

Lead

Step

2+

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Ste

p 4

:

Faci

lita

te I

mp

lem

en

tati

on

(O

n-g

oin

g)

Step 1:

Establish Political Guidance

‘Level of Ambition’

National & Multinational Responses to

Capability Survey

Existing Collective (Common Funded) Capabilities

National Targets

Multi-National Targets

Collective Targets (Common Funded)

Step 5:

Review Results

‘NATO Capability Review’

Step 2:

Determine Requirements

‘Capability Requirements Review

(CRR)’

Step 3:

Apportion Requirements

and Set Targets

NDPP

Minimum

Capability

Requirements

(MCR).....................

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.....................

.....................

COA Prioritise(PSA)

Capabilities

to be

Maintained.....................

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.....................

.....................

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.....................

Shortfalls.....................

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• Complete Set of Capabilities

• Quantitative and Qualitative

• Transparent and Traceable

• Analytically Derived

• Single Set of Requirements

• All Planning Domains

• Numerous workshops and seminars with

Nations’ Reps

Requirements Analysis

(Step 2)

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NDPP Step 2

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CM

CP

ESE

HO&DR

CD

CT

PE

EOP

PK

MT Sub-Set

All 15 NATO

Mission Types

NATO Level of Ambition (LoA)

MJO

LoSJO Lo

SJO-

Lo

SJO Air

SJO

Mar

MJO HiSJO HiSJO-

Hi

MJO

LoSJO Lo

SJO-

Lo

SJO Air

SJO

Mar

MJO HiSJO HiSJO-

Hi

Requirements AnalysisG

en

eri

c P

lan

nin

g

Sit

ua

tio

ns

GPS PK

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Initial Step 3 Components(Step 2+)

Minimum

Capability

Requirements

(MCR)

Minimum

Capability

Requirements

(MCR)

Minimum

Capability

Requirements

(MCR)

Bi-SC Priority

Shortfall

Areas

Bi-SC Priority

Shortfall

Areas

Bi-SC Priority

Shortfall

AreasCourse of Action

Development

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NATION A : MOD / CHOD AND

OTHER MIN REPS

IMS

ACT

(Chair)

Joint Consultations in national capitals

IS

Initial Step 3 Components (2+)

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IMS

Step 3 Components

ACT ACO

28x

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Current Cycle

Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Step 1 Political Guidance

Step 2 – Determine Requirements

Step 4 Facilitate Implementation

PG

MCR

Step 3 Draft Targets& Apportionment

Agreed Targets

BB

JCMC

Synopsis & PSA

COA

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Joint Consultations Schedule

NATION DATE REMARKNetherlands 16-17 Oct The HagueNorway 18-19 Oct OsloCroatia 23-24 Oct ZagrebSlovenia 25-26 Oct LjubljanaRomania 30-31 Oct BukarestAlabania 01-02 Nov TiranaCanada 06-07 NovUnited States America 08-09 NovPortugal 13-14 Nov LisbonSpain 15-16 Nov MadridTurkey 20-21 Nov AnkaraGreece 22-23 Nov AthensCzech Rep 27-28 Nov PragueSlovakia 29-30 Nov BratislavaEstonia 04-05 Dec TalinnPoland 06-07 Dec WarshawDenmark 11-12 Dec CopenhagenHungary 13-14 Dec BudapestBulgaria 22-23 Jan SofiaGermany 24-25 Jan BonnFrance 28-29 Jan ParisBelgium 30-31 Jan BrusselsLuxembourg 01 FebUnited Kingdom 05-06 FebLatvia 07-08 Feb RigaItaly 12-13 Feb RomeLithuania 14-15 Feb VilniusIceland 07 Jan

BG Hansen-Nord BG Laurent

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NDPP 101

What do we (NATO) want to do?

What do we need to do it?

What do we need to maintain,

what are the shortfalls (& surpluses)?

What do we have available?

What do we want nations to provide?

Step 1 - Political Guidance (LOA)

Step 2 - PSAs

Step 5 - NATO Inventory (DPCS)Step 2 - MCR

Step 3 – GTP & Tailored Targets

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So what for me?

• October 2012 – January 2013: Joint

Consultations.

• September 2012- December 2012: Frame

the DPCS.

• 1 December 2012: T-day = transformation

to the new NATO Command Structure

(NCS) and the Peacetime Establishment.

• April 2013: Multi-laterals.

• Q3 2013: DPCS analysis

• 2013: Preparation for the next cycleNATO UNCLASSIFIED

18

2012Step 3 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

2012Step 2

2015 2016

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

MCR

Comparison

PSA

Apportionment

&

Target Setting

Step 5 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Capability Review

SRA

2012

ACT Plan for CRR16

Synopsis

Approved

Target

Packages

CoA

Multi-lateral

Examinations

Apport.

Approved

Target

Packages

Summary

Blue

Books

Resp.

Analysis

Bi-lats

Bi-SC

Capability

Report

Resp.

Analysis

Bi-lats

MCR

GTP

Capability

Report

Multi-

lats

PARP 2013 2014 2015 2016 20172012

Bi-lats

PARP MG Issued

Consolidated

Report Approved

Drafting

PGs

Draft PG

Bi-lats

Su

rve

ys

Re

spo

nse

s Summary

Report

Bi-lats

PARP MG Issued

Consolidated

Report Approved

Drafting

PGs

Draft PG

Bi-lats

Su

rve

ys

Re

spo

nse

s

Summary

Report

Bi-lats

PARP MG Issued

Consolidated

Report Approved

Drafting

PGs

Dra

ft P

Gs

Issu

ed

Su

rve

ys

Re

spo

nse

s

BBs

Update

CC&S

CC&S

Step 1 2013 2014 20172012

Political Guidance

JCs

Joint

Consultations

MCR Preparation

Survey Survey

MCR Development & Staffing

MCR Preparation

Indicates activity to ensure SMEs are identified and trained

Indicates main period of activity

AnalysisAnalysis

Bi-SC

As of 21 Sep 12

Prepared by Project Management team

Approved by BG Laurent CG&S

Dra

ft P

Gs

Issu

ed

Analysis

Dra

ft P

Gs

Issu

ed

The outcome of Feb Ministerials on “Enhancing the

NDPP” could affect when PG is delivered (Q3/Q4 2013)

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What Next

• Step 2 Lessons Identified Report

• Step 3 Lessons Identified Process

• Enhancing NDPP

– Oct 2012: Improving Visibility & Relevance

– Feb 2013: Streamlining the NDPP

• Incorporating Smart Defence and the

Connected Forces Initiative

• CRR 16 Project Initiation Document

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Useful References

• PO(2009)0042 ‘Outline Model for a NATO Defence Planning Process’, 02

Apr 2009.

• C-M(2011)0022, dated 14 March 2011Political Guidance,

• NDPP Step 2+ Project Initiation Document (being rewritten for CRR16)

• 5000 TSC FRX 0030/TT-7673/Ser:NU0053 dated 14 October 2011. Bi-SC

Agreed Capability Codes and Capability Statements

• 5000 TSC FRX 0010/TT-6520/Ser: NC0036 dated 06 June 2011. NATO

Defence Planning Capability Review 2010/2011 - Bi-SC Suitability and Risk

Assessment.

• 5000 TSC FRX 0030/TT-7804/Ser:NC 0006 dated 20 December 2011.

NATO’s Minimum Capability Requirements 2011.

• 500 TSC FRX 0030/TT-8030/Ser:NC 002 dated 21 March 2012. Synopsis

of the 2011 Minimum Capability requirements, including a Summary of the

2012 Priority Shortfall Areas.

• AC/281-N(2012)0131-REV6 (R) dated 05 October 2012. Improving the

Visibility and Relevance of Outputs from the NDPP.

• Step 2 Lessons Identified Summary Report (not yet released)

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Aims

• NATO Defence Planning Process

• Key products

• Governance

• Key references

• Where we are now and what next

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Discussion

Supreme

Allied

Commander

Transformation

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