Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26...

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Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019

Transcript of Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26...

Page 1: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia

November 26 - December 7, 2019

Page 2: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

Methodology

2

• The poll was conducted by the Center for Research and Policy Development on behalf of the International Republican Institute’s Center for Insights in Survey Research.

• Data was collected from November 26 to December 7, 2019 through face-to-face interviews at respondents’ homes.

• The sample comprised 1,178 residents of The Gambia, aged 18 and older. The sample is representative of the adult population of The Gambia by age, Local Government Area (LGA) and urbanicity in accordance with results of the 2013 Population and Housing Census of The Gambia.

• The poll’s response rate was 98 percent. The margin of error for the full sample is ±3.0 points at 95 percent confidence level.

• A multistage probability sampling method was used, employing a random route method for household selection and the Kish grid for respondent selection.

• Stage 1: PPS stratification across eight LGAs.• Stage 2: PPS stratification in urban and rural enumeration areas within LGAs.• Stage 3: Randomized assignment of primary sampling units.

• The sample is weighted for age, gender, urbanicity and LGA based on results of the 2018 Labor Force Survey of The Gambia.

• Interviews were conducted in English, Mandinka, Wolof and Fula.

• Charts and graphs may not add to 100 percent due to rounding.

• Cited bases are weighted.

• The poll was funded by the U.S. Agency for International Development.

Page 3: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

Contextual Note

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• Any reference to the “current constitution” refers to the 1997 constitution as amended. The 1997 constitution is the country’s second constitution. In 1994, a military coup led by Yahya Jammeh overthrew the democratic government. This military government held a referendum in 1996, resulting in the 1997 constitution. The constitution has since been amended numerous times under the former authoritarian ruler, Yahya Jammeh. Therefore, many Gambians polled refer to this constitution as Jammeh’s constitution.

• The Constitutional Review Commission (CRC) was established in June 2018 to review and analyze the current constitution and draft a new constitution for the Republic of The Gambia. Following consultations of Gambians domestic and abroad, the CRC released a draft of the constitution on November 15, 2019.

• The CRC conducted a second round of countrywide public consultations between November 31 and December 16, 2019.

• The CRC subsequently released and sent the final draft constitution to the executive on March 30, 2020.

• Data for this poll was collected between November 26 and December 7, 2019. Therefore, any references to the draft constitution refer to the initial draft released by the CRC on November 15, 2019.

Page 4: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

Geographical Key: LGAs of The Gambia

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Brikama

Kerewan

Mansakonko Basse

Janjanbureh

Kuntaur

Banjul

Kanifing

*Due to relatively small sample size, Kanifing and Banjul are combined when displaying LGA-disaggregated results.

Page 5: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

Frequent Disaggregates, Part 1

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Disaggregate Disaggregation Category Base

LGA

Kanifing & Banjul n=270

Brikama n=537

Mansakonko n=49

Kerewan n=100

Kuntaur n=57

Janjanbureh n=69

Basse n=96

UrbanicityUrban n=673

Rural n=505

SexMale n=557

Female n=621

Age Groups

Age 18-29 n=404

Age 30-35 n=207

Age 36-55 n=403

Age 56 and older n=164

*Cited bases are weighted. Margin of error will vary with sample size.

Page 6: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

Frequent Disaggregates, Part 2

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Disaggregate Disaggregation Category Base

Economic Situation

Barely Subsistence n=351

Subsistence n=458

Adequate n=278

More than Adequate n=79

*Cited bases are weighted. Margin of error will vary with sample size.

**Economic Situation is based on the question “Please tell us which answer best describes your current economic situation.”

• Barely Subsistence = “I have trouble feeding myself and my family and buying even the most essential things for survival.”

• Subsistence = “I have enough means for survival, but I do not have enough money for extra things.”

• Adequate = “I am able to afford a few new extra things.”

• More than Adequate = “I am able to afford most things I want.”

Page 7: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

Outlook and Priority Issues

Page 8: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

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In general, would you say that The Gambia is heading in the right direction or the wrong direction?

58%

53%

59%

64%

55%

35%

42%

37%

29%

30%

7%

5%

4%

6%

15%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

All Respondents

18-29

30-35

36-55

56 and older

In the right direction In the wrong direction Don’t know/Refused

Age Groups

Page 9: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

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What is the most important problem facing The Gambia today?

(Spontaneous response; up to three responses permitted)

25%

12%

7%

7%

5%

5%

5%

4%

3%

3%

2%

2%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

11%

2%

4%

14%

10%

6%

7%

3%

8%

3%

3%

4%

5%

2%

3%

3%

2%

2%

1%

9%

11%

4%

11%

9%

5%

7%

4%

7%

2%

4%

5%

4%

3%

4%

3%

2%

1%

1%

<1%

6%

19%

4%

0% 20% 40% 60%

Cost of living, high prices

Unemployment

Insecurity

Water

Agriculture

Electricity

Internal conflicts

Crime/Public Safety

Healthcare

Infrastructure

Education

Corruption

Small business opportunities/loans

Poverty

Economy - other/general

Social services/benefits

External conflicts/War

Other

No (other) problem

Don’t know/Refused

Most important Second most important Third most important

*Responses receiving less than 1 percent on first response are combined into Other.

31%

50%

Page 10: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

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26%

15%

15%

6%

6%

4%

3%

2%

2%

2%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

Cost of living, high prices

Insecurity

Unemployment

Internal conflicts

Crime/Public Safety

Electricity

Corruption

Infrastructure

Social services/benefits

Caste conflicts

Banjul+Kanifing24%

12%

8%

7%

5%

4%

3%

3%

3%

2%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

Cost of living, high prices

Unemployment

Agriculture

Insecurity

Internal conflicts

Crime/Public Safety

Education

Electricity

Water

Small business opportunities/loans

Brikama

17%

15%

9%

9%

6%

4%

3%

3%

2%

2%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

Cost of living, high prices

Electricity

Water

Insecurity

Unemployment

Infrastructure

Internal conflicts

Small business opportunities/loans

Healthcare

Poverty

Mansakonko32%

13%

11%

6%

6%

6%

4%

4%

2%

2%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

Cost of living, high prices

Unemployment

Water

Electricity

Healthcare

Agriculture

Infrastructure

Poverty

Economy - other/general

Insecurity

Kerewan

What is the most important problem facing The Gambia today?(Spontaneous response; first response only – Top 10 responses)

Page 11: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

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17%

16%

15%

8%

8%

8%

6%

6%

5%

3%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

Water

Cost of living, high prices

Unemployment

Agriculture

Electricity

Healthcare

Insecurity

Infrastructure

Poverty

Economy - other/general

Kuntaur28%

28%

9%

6%

6%

5%

3%

3%

2%

1%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

Cost of living, high prices

Water

Agriculture

Crime/Public Safety

Internal conflicts

Infrastructure

Unemployment

Electricity

Education

Healthcare

Janjanbureh

26%

21%

10%

8%

5%

5%

3%

3%

3%

2%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

Water

Cost of living, high prices

Electricity

Unemployment

Agriculture

Healthcare

Small business opportunities/loans

Poverty

Education

Infrastructure

Basse

What is the most important problem facing The Gambia today?(Spontaneous response; first response only – Top 10 responses)

Page 12: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

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What has the national government said to be its biggest priority?

(Spontaneous response; up to two responses permitted)

19%

15%

12%

3%

3%

2%

2%

2%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

14%

1%

23%

14%

12%

14%

2%

6%

2%

3%

1%

2%

2%

<1%

<1%

1%

<1%

1%

11%

25%

4%

0% 20% 40%

Creating jobs

Maintaining infrastructure like roads and public buildings

Providing healthcare

Establishing democracy

Providing education

Maintaining security

Effective service delivery

Attracting foreign investment

Fighting corruption

Keeping law and order

Regularizing and verification of national/government payroll

Expenditure tracking

Investigating officials and actions of the Jammeh administration

Regulating the mining industry

Reforming the constitution

Other

No (other) priority

Don’t know/Refused

Biggest priority Second biggest priority

*Responses receiving less than 1 percent on first response are combined into Other.

Page 13: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

How would you describe the current economic situation of your household?

13

7%

8%

10%

5%

4%

15%

6%

6%

2%

1%

40%

40%

43%

40%

36%

41%

31%

56%

40%

54%

60%

52%

41%

38%

36%

43%

50%

20%

57%

32%

46%

43%

23%

26%

10%

11%

10%

9%

9%

15%

5%

3%

14%

3%

15%

21%

3%

4%

2%

2%

9%

1%

3%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

All Respondents

18-29

30-35

36-55

56 and older

Banjul+Kanifing

Brikama

Mansakonko

Kerewan

Kuntaur

Janjanbureh

Basse

Very good Somewhat good Somewhat bad Very bad Don’t know/Refused

Age Groups

LGAs

Page 14: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

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Do you believe that democracy is the best possible form of government for The Gambia or not?

66%

58%

58%

69%

85%

18%

24%

20%

15%

9%

11%

12%

15%

12%

4%

5%

6%

7%

4%

3%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

All Respondents

18-29

30-35

36-55

56 and older

Yes, it is the best possible form of government for our country

No, there are other forms of government that could be equally good for our country

No, there are other forms of government that are better than democracy

Don’t know/Refused

Age Groups

Page 15: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

How would you rate the performance of the national government?

15

29%

25%

24%

36%

31%

16%

31%

38%

17%

27%

55%

48%

38%

44%

37%

33%

39%

54%

31%

33%

49%

41%

23%

36%

17%

15%

16%

19%

20%

13%

19%

18%

30%

20%

13%

4%

10%

11%

15%

7%

8%

13%

11%

6%

4%

9%

8%

3%

6%

6%

9%

5%

2%

3%

8%

5%

1%

3%

1%

8%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

All Respondents

18-29

30-35

36-55

56 and older

Banjul+Kanifing

Brikama

Mansakonko

Kerewan

Kuntaur

Janjanbureh

Basse

Very good Somewhat good Somewhat bad Very bad Don’t know/Refused

Age Groups

LGAs

Page 16: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

Citizen Views on the Constitution

Page 17: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

How familiar or unfamiliar are you with The Gambia’s current constitution?

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15%

10%

9%

23%

16%

16%

14%

22%

20%

23%

26%

14%

30%

15%

11%

10%

13%

10%

11%

12%

10%

34%

43%

35%

27%

27%

28%

39%

18%

16%

20%

14%

31%

14%

22%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

All Respondents

18-29

30-35

36-55

56 and older

Male

Female

Very familiar Somewhat familiar Somewhat unfamiliar Very unfamiliar Don’t know/Refused

Age Groups

Sex

Page 18: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

How familiar or unfamiliar are you with The Gambia’s current constitution?

18

15%

4%

26%

17%

1%

3%

30%

1%

22%

25%

17%

18%

45%

28%

16%

19%

11%

14%

9%

6%

18%

11%

5%

13%

34%

47%

27%

40%

30%

32%

27%

45%

18%

11%

22%

20%

6%

27%

23%

22%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

All Respondents

Banjul+Kanifing

Brikama

Mansakonko

Kerewan

Kuntaur

Janjanbureh

Basse

Very familiar Somewhat familiar Somewhat unfamiliar Very unfamiliar Don’t know/Refused

LGAs

Page 19: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

You may have heard about efforts underway to change the constitution. How familiar or unfamiliar are you with this issue?

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30%

21%

23%

42%

32%

36%

25%

29%

28%

30%

28%

29%

29%

28%

10%

7%

12%

10%

16%

10%

10%

21%

31%

20%

16%

15%

19%

24%

10%

13%

15%

5%

8%

7%

13%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

All Respondents

18-29

30-35

36-55

56 and older

Male

Female

Very familiar Somewhat familiar Somewhat unfamiliar Very unfamiliar Don’t know/Refused

Age Groups

Sex

Page 20: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

You may have heard about efforts underway to change the constitution. How familiar or unfamiliar are you with this issue?

20

30%

22%

40%

17%

34%

31%

51%

40%

20%

23%

29%

29%

28%

33%

27%

15%

17%

36%

38%

36%

10%

9%

11%

10%

11%

10%

12%

10%

8%

7%

21%

27%

14%

30%

19%

33%

15%

8%

14%

26%

10%

12%

7%

10%

10%

11%

5%

7%

20%

9%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

All Respondents

Urban

Rural

Banjul+Kanifing

Brikama

Mansakonko

Kerewan

Kuntaur

Janjanbureh

Basse

Very familiar Somewhat familiar Somewhat unfamiliar Very unfamiliar Don’t know/Refused

Urbanicity

LGAs

Page 21: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

Do you think The Gambia needs a new constitution?

21

72%

15%

5%

9%

Yes, it is a priority Yes, but it is not a priority No Don’t know/Refused

Page 22: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

Is the 1997 constitution still relevant or no longer relevant for The Gambia?

22

15%

19%

13%

14%

7%

17%

13%

34%

36%

29%

33%

34%

42%

26%

13%

9%

13%

16%

16%

12%

14%

26%

25%

29%

26%

27%

22%

30%

12%

11%

15%

10%

15%

7%

17%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

All Respondents

18-29

30-35

36-55

56 and older

Male

Female

Very relevant Somewhat relevant Somewhat not relevant Very not relevant Don’t know/Refused

Age Groups

Sex

Page 23: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

Is the 1997 constitution still relevant or no longer relevant for The Gambia?

23

15%

11%

20%

20%

7%

8%

9%

12%

34%

42%

32%

19%

42%

31%

19%

28%

13%

11%

14%

14%

19%

18%

9%

12%

26%

22%

23%

41%

23%

32%

47%

32%

12%

14%

11%

6%

9%

11%

16%

15%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

All Respondents

Banjul+Kanifing

Brikama

Mansakonko

Kerewan

Kuntaur

Janjanbureh

Basse

Very relevant Somewhat relevant Somewhat not relevant Very not relevant Don’t know/Refused

LGAs

Page 24: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

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What is the most important reason for replacing the 1997 constitution?

(Spontaneous response; among those who say that the 1997 constitution is not relevant; n = 466)

36%

27%

8%

5%

4%

3%

<1%

1%

5%

11%

0% 20% 40%

Repressive laws on fundamental rights andfreedoms

It is Jammeh’s constitution

Stop abuse of authority by political leaders

Imposition of death penalty

Does not have term limits for the president

Limit powers of the president

Balance powers between president, nationalassembly and judiciary

None, the constitution should not be replaced

Other

Don’t know/Refused

48%

40%

12%

Relevant

Not relevant

Don't know/Refused

Is the 1997 constitution

still relevant or no longer

relevant for The Gambia?

Page 25: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

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What is the most important reason for replacing the 1997 constitution?(Spontaneous responses from those say that the 1997 constitution is not

relevant)

36%

27%

8%

5%

4%

3%

<1%

1%

5%

11%

32%

32%

11%

2%

5%

4%

<1%

<1%

6%

7%

38%

24%

5%

8%

3%

3%

<1%

1%

4%

13%

0% 20% 40%

Repressive laws on fundamentalrights and freedoms

It is Jammeh’s constitution

Stop abuse of authority by politicalleaders

Imposition of death penalty

Does not have term limits for thepresident

Limit powers of the president

Balance powers between president,national assembly and judiciary

None, the constitution should notbe replaced

Other

Don’t know/Refused

All respondents(n=466)

Male(n=191)

Female(n=275)

48%

40%

12%

Relevant

Not relevant

Don't know/Refused

Is the 1997 constitution

still relevant or no longer

relevant for The Gambia?

Page 26: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

Do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements about the draft constitution for The Gambia?

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89%

82%

82%

72%

72%

73%

68%

64%

57%

30%

6%

8%

6%

9%

9%

6%

7%

8%

10%

7%

1%

2%

3%

3%

5%

5%

8%

7%

8%

10%

2%

2%

6%

8%

10%

13%

8%

17%

13%

47%

1%

5%

4%

8%

4%

3%

9%

5%

12%

7%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

It should include a requirement that women, youth andpersons with disabilities make up a certain percentage of

those working as public officials

It should introduce a right of access to information law thatallows citizens to request information from the government,

as long as this does not harm the security of the country

It should include a limit - two periods of five years - for howlong an individual can serve as president

It should state that nominees for positions in the executiveand statutory bodies must be vetted by the National Assembly

It should introduce an age limit requirement for presidentand vice president

It should establish that The Gambia is a secular state,meaning that the government is neutral in matters of religion

It should include a requirement that political parties need toexplain who gave them their funding

It should establish that a candidate should receive at least 50percent of votes to be elected president

It should preclude the president from nominating individualsfor the National Assembly

It should ban the practice of FGM [female genital mutilation]

Strongly agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagree Strongly disagree Don’t know/Refused

Page 27: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

Do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements about

the draft constitution for The Gambia?

“It should include a requirement that women, youth and persons with disabilities make up a certain

percentage of those working as public officials.”

27

89%

88%

89%

91%

91%

89%

90%

80%

93%

89%

89%

92%

91%

93%

6%

7%

7%

6%

6%

7%

6%

14%

3%

9%

8%

2%

7%

5%

1%

2%

2%

<1%

1%

1%

1%

2%

<1%

1%

6%

<1%

2%

2%

1%

1%

1%

1%

2%

3%

2%

1%

1%

1%

2%

1%

2%

1%

1%

2%

<1%

2%

2%

2%

1%

1%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

All Respondents

18-29

30-35

36-55

56 and older

Male

Female

Banjul+Kanifing

Brikama

Mansakonko

Kerewan

Kuntaur

Janjanbureh

Basse

Strongly agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagree Strongly disagree Don’t know/Refused

LGAs

Age Groups

Sex

Page 28: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

Do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements about the draft constitution for The Gambia?

“It should introduce a right of access to information law that allows citizens to request information from the government, as long as this does not harm the security of the country.”

28

82%

84%

81%

83%

79%

86%

80%

78%

83%

82%

95%

91%

93%

68%

8%

9%

10%

7%

10%

8%

9%

14%

5%

9%

2%

8%

4%

20%

2%

2%

<1%

2%

3%

2%

1%

2%

2%

2%

1%

3%

2%

2%

2%

3%

1%

3%

2%

2%

2%

3%

2%

6%

5%

4%

7%

5%

7%

2%

8%

4%

8%

4%

2%

1%

4%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

All Respondents

18-29

30-35

36-55

56 and older

Male

Female

Banjul+Kanifing

Brikama

Mansakonko

Kerewan

Kuntaur

Janjanbureh

Basse

Strongly agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagree Strongly disagree Don’t know/Refused

LGAs

Age Groups

Sex

Page 29: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

Do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements about the draft constitution for The Gambia?

“It should include a limit - two periods of five years - for how long an individual can serve as president.”

29

82%

81%

82%

83%

81%

85%

79%

83%

84%

79%

91%

83%

68%

67%

6%

5%

8%

4%

7%

5%

7%

8%

3%

8%

4%

5%

2%

19%

3%

2%

3%

2%

6%

2%

4%

1%

2%

4%

4%

11%

1%

5%

6%

8%

6%

5%

2%

6%

6%

7%

6%

4%

<1%

1%

21%

2%

4%

3%

2%

5%

5%

3%

4%

1%

5%

5%

<1%

7%

6%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

All Respondents

18-29

30-35

36-55

56 and older

Male

Female

Banjul+Kanifing

Brikama

Mansakonko

Kerewan

Kuntaur

Janjanbureh

Basse

Strongly agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagree Strongly disagree Don’t know/Refused

LGAs

Age Groups

Sex

Page 30: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

Do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements about the draft constitution for The Gambia?

“It should state that nominees for positions in the executive and statutory bodies must be vetted by the National Assembly.”

30

72%

70%

77%

73%

69%

75%

69%

62%

74%

75%

89%

86%

65%

65%

9%

12%

9%

8%

6%

8%

10%

13%

5%

10%

6%

10%

13%

19%

3%

2%

2%

4%

4%

3%

4%

3%

4%

2%

1%

1%

9%

8%

9%

6%

8%

9%

9%

7%

7%

10%

7%

3%

16%

5%

8%

7%

6%

7%

11%

4%

10%

15%

7%

6%

4%

1%

4%

3%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

All Respondents

18-29

30-35

36-55

56 and older

Male

Female

Banjul+Kanifing

Brikama

Mansakonko

Kerewan

Kuntaur

Janjanbureh

Basse

Strongly agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagree Strongly disagree Don’t know/Refused

LGAs

Age Groups

Sex

Page 31: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

Do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements about the draft constitution for The Gambia?

“It should introduce an age limit requirement for president and vice president.”

31

72%

78%

74%

71%

59%

73%

71%

73%

72%

69%

83%

73%

62%

68%

9%

7%

7%

10%

13%

5%

12%

9%

7%

13%

7%

8%

11%

14%

5%

4%

5%

6%

8%

7%

4%

6%

4%

11%

7%

5%

2%

8%

10%

9%

8%

10%

13%

11%

9%

10%

11%

3%

2%

14%

17%

7%

4%

3%

6%

3%

7%

4%

4%

2%

5%

5%

2%

1%

7%

3%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

All Respondents

18-29

30-35

36-55

56 and older

Male

Female

Banjul+Kanifing

Brikama

Mansakonko

Kerewan

Kuntaur

Janjanbureh

Basse

Strongly agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagree Strongly disagree Don’t know/Refused

LGAs

Age Groups

Sex

Page 32: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

Do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements about the draft constitution for The Gambia?

“It should establish that The Gambia is a secular state, meaning that the government is neutral in matters of religion.”

32

73%

71%

77%

72%

75%

74%

72%

80%

70%

59%

94%

90%

63%

51%

6%

7%

7%

5%

3%

5%

7%

7%

3%

15%

2%

4%

6%

19%

5%

2%

8%

9%

3%

6%

5%

3%

8%

6%

3%

1%

2%

5%

13%

16%

6%

11%

16%

12%

13%

8%

15%

14%

1%

4%

26%

23%

3%

3%

3%

3%

3%

2%

4%

2%

4%

6%

<1%

2%

2%

2%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

All Respondents

18-29

30-35

36-55

56 and older

Male

Female

Banjul+Kanifing

Brikama

Mansakonko

Kerewan

Kuntaur

Janjanbureh

Basse

Strongly agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagree Strongly disagree Don’t know/Refused

LGAs

Age Groups

Sex

Page 33: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

Do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements about the draft constitution for The Gambia?

“It should include a requirement that political parties need to explain who gave them their funding.”

33

68%

73%

73%

69%

50%

71%

66%

74%

64%

57%

80%

79%

62%

68%

7%

6%

6%

7%

14%

6%

9%

7%

5%

11%

12%

11%

7%

18%

8%

7%

5%

11%

3%

8%

7%

5%

11%

2%

4%

4%

3%

5%

8%

7%

9%

7%

13%

9%

7%

9%

10%

11%

2%

10%

5%

9%

7%

8%

6%

21%

6%

11%

5%

10%

19%

3%

6%

18%

3%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

All Respondents

18-29

30-35

36-55

56 and older

Male

Female

Banjul+Kanifing

Brikama

Mansakonko

Kerewan

Kuntaur

Janjanbureh

Basse

Strongly agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagree Strongly disagree Don’t know/Refused

LGAs

Age Groups

Sex

Page 34: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

Do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements about the draft constitution for The Gambia?

“It should establish that a candidate should receive at least 50 percent of votes to be elected president.”

34

64%

68%

65%

61%

56%

65%

62%

72%

57%

58%

81%

65%

70%

55%

8%

8%

7%

7%

8%

7%

9%

13%

3%

6%

5%

15%

8%

18%

7%

5%

5%

3%

19%

7%

7%

4%

8%

6%

3%

4%

12%

6%

17%

13%

18%

23%

12%

18%

16%

6%

28%

20%

5%

7%

6%

11%

5%

5%

5%

5%

5%

3%

7%

5%

4%

10%

6%

9%

4%

10%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

All Respondents

18-29

30-35

36-55

56 and older

Male

Female

Banjul+Kanifing

Brikama

Mansakonko

Kerewan

Kuntaur

Janjanbureh

Basse

Strongly agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagree Strongly disagree Don’t know/Refused

LGAs

Age Groups

Sex

Page 35: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

Do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements about the draft constitution for The Gambia?

“It should preclude the president from nominating individuals for the National Assembly.”

35

57%

56%

56%

61%

53%

60%

55%

47%

57%

63%

86%

74%

52%

50%

10%

12%

7%

8%

13%

8%

12%

16%

8%

8%

3%

7%

9%

19%

8%

9%

15%

5%

4%

10%

6%

9%

9%

4%

1%

9%

3%

9%

13%

14%

13%

13%

10%

13%

13%

15%

14%

17%

1%

6%

21%

14%

12%

9%

9%

12%

20%

9%

14%

14%

12%

7%

8%

5%

16%

9%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

All Respondents

18-29

30-35

36-55

56 and older

Male

Female

Banjul+Kanifing

Brikama

Mansakonko

Kerewan

Kuntaur

Janjanbureh

Basse

Strongly agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagree Strongly disagree Don’t know/Refused

LGAs

Age Groups

Sex

Page 36: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

Do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements about the draft constitution for The Gambia?

“It should ban the practice of FGM [female genital mutilation].”

36

30%

36%

38%

22%

29%

24%

36%

41%

25%

19%

37%

45%

25%

25%

7%

5%

3%

11%

5%

9%

5%

7%

5%

9%

17%

11%

2%

4%

10%

9%

6%

9%

15%

10%

9%

8%

10%

5%

9%

9%

5%

18%

47%

44%

46%

51%

43%

48%

46%

37%

53%

65%

29%

32%

61%

45%

7%

5%

8%

7%

8%

9%

4%

8%

7%

2%

7%

3%

6%

7%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

All Respondents

18-29

30-35

36-55

56 and older

Male

Female

Banjul+Kanifing

Brikama

Mansakonko

Kerewan

Kuntaur

Janjanbureh

Basse

Strongly agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagree Strongly disagree Don’t know/Refused

LGAs

Age Groups

Sex

Page 37: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

How would you rate the performance of the Constitutional Review Commission in the developing of the draft constitution for The Gambia?

37

42%

43%

40%

47%

32%

45%

48%

40%

25%

37%

29%

36%

18%

20%

20%

16%

14%

24%

11%

12%

48%

21%

4%

17%

2%

1%

1%

3%

1%

2%

2%

1%

3%

<1%

2%

1%

1%

1%

<1%

1%

<1%

2%

2%

1%

1%

37%

35%

37%

33%

52%

28%

37%

45%

23%

42%

67%

45%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

All Respondents

18-29

30-35

36-55

56 and older

Banjul+Kanifing

Brikama

Mansakonko

Kerewan

Kuntaur

Janjanbureh

Basse

Very good Somewhat good Somewhat bad Very bad Don’t know/Refused

Age Groups

LGAs

Page 38: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

Did you participate in the Constitutional Review Commission consultations?

38

14%

15%

15%

15%

7%

18%

10%

12%

17%

12%

17%

15%

10%

21%

6%

8%

77%

77%

73%

77%

86%

75%

80%

78%

77%

77%

77%

74%

89%

73%

75%

75%

9%

7%

13%

8%

7%

7%

10%

10%

6%

11%

6%

11%

1%

6%

19%

17%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

All Respondents

18-29

30-35

36-55

56 and older

Male

Female

Urban

Rural

Banjul+Kanifing

Brikama

Mansakonko

Kerewan

Kuntaur

Janjanbureh

Basse

Yes No Don’t know/Refused

Age Groups

Sex

Urbanicity

LGAs

Page 39: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

How did you participate in the Constitutional Review Commission (CRC) consultations?

39

65%

27%

23%

17%

10%

6%

5%

5%

4%

4%

3%

17%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80%

Attended public hearings/consultations in theregions

Attended consultations at national level

Submitted memoranda

Attended meeting

Participated in the CSO or political party meeting toprepare memoranda for submission to CRC

Attended the diaspora consultations

Bantaba meeting

Community consultation

"They interviewed me"

Village/District meetings

Public consultation

Other

14%

77%

9%

Yes

No

Don't know/Refused

Did you participate in the

Constitutional Review

Commission (CRC)

consultations?

(Spontaneous response; among those who participated in the CRC consultations,

n=164; multiple responses permitted, figure displays Named responses only)

Page 40: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the Constitutional Review Commission’s consultations and engagement of citizens for the draft

constitution of The Gambia?

40

(Among those who participated, n=164)

62%20%

9%

9% 1%

Very satisfied Somewhat satisfied Somewhat dissatisfied Don’t know Refused

Page 41: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

To what extent do you trust or distrust each of the following institutions and commissions that will handle the draft

constitution?

41

53%

54%

43%

44%

19%

17%

23%

22%

6%

6%

4%

10%

5%

8%

3%

11%

16%

15%

27%

14%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

National Assembly

Independent Electoral Commission

Constitutional Review Commission

President

Trust a great deal Somewhat trust Somewhat distrust Distrust a great deal Don’t know/Refused

Page 42: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

To what extent do you trust or distrust each of the following institutions and commissions that will handle the draft constitution?

National Assembly

42

53%

50%

44%

61%

54%

26%

67%

40%

58%

57%

63%

42%

19%

21%

20%

16%

22%

34%

13%

25%

22%

16%

3%

21%

6%

9%

8%

4%

3%

14%

4%

9%

2%

13%

1%

1%

5%

7%

9%

3%

4%

11%

5%

6%

1%

5%

2%

1%

16%

14%

19%

16%

18%

15%

12%

20%

17%

9%

32%

34%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

All Respondents

18-29

30-35

36-55

56 and older

Banjul+Kanifing

Brikama

Mansakonko

Kerewan

Kuntaur

Janjanbureh

Basse

Trust a great deal Somewhat trust Somewhat distrust Distrust a great deal Don’t know/Refused

Age Groups

LGAs

Page 43: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

To what extent do you trust or distrust each of the following institutions and commissions that will handle the draft constitution?

Independent Electoral Commission

43

54%

53%

46%

64%

47%

33%

63%

65%

54%

74%

54%

50%

17%

17%

16%

14%

24%

28%

14%

6%

24%

5%

3%

14%

6%

7%

9%

4%

7%

11%

7%

4%

3%

5%

1%

1%

8%

10%

13%

3%

7%

14%

8%

3%

1%

6%

3%

15%

13%

16%

15%

16%

13%

9%

22%

17%

9%

39%

35%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

All Respondents

18-29

30-35

36-55

56 and older

Banjul+Kanifing

Brikama

Mansakonko

Kerewan

Kuntaur

Janjanbureh

Basse

Trust a great deal Somewhat trust Somewhat distrust Distrust a great deal Don’t know/Refused

Age Groups

LGAs

Page 44: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

To what extent do you trust or distrust each of the following institutions and commissions that will handle the draft constitution?

Constitutional Review Commission

44

43%

42%

40%

49%

35%

36%

51%

46%

31%

48%

34%

30%

23%

24%

19%

21%

27%

31%

17%

17%

46%

16%

9%

22%

4%

7%

4%

2%

1%

5%

5%

8%

<1%

5%

1%

2%

3%

3%

6%

<1%

1%

<1%

4%

2%

<1%

2%

27%

24%

32%

24%

36%

23%

23%

28%

22%

30%

55%

45%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

All Respondents

18-29

30-35

36-55

56 and older

Banjul+Kanifing

Brikama

Mansakonko

Kerewan

Kuntaur

Janjanbureh

Basse

Trust a great deal Somewhat trust Somewhat distrust Distrust a great deal Don’t know/Refused

Age Groups

LGAs

Page 45: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

To what extent do you trust or distrust each of the following institutions and commissions that will handle the draft constitution?

President

45

44%

45%

36%

46%

43%

34%

49%

48%

37%

43%

51%

41%

22%

23%

20%

20%

29%

30%

19%

17%

28%

27%

13%

16%

10%

11%

9%

9%

7%

9%

12%

7%

15%

3%

2%

3%

11%

9%

19%

10%

7%

13%

12%

7%

9%

20%

2%

4%

14%

11%

15%

16%

14%

14%

8%

22%

11%

8%

32%

35%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

All Respondents

18-29

30-35

36-55

56 and older

Banjul+Kanifing

Brikama

Mansakonko

Kerewan

Kuntaur

Janjanbureh

Basse

Trust a great deal Somewhat trust Somewhat distrust Distrust a great deal Don’t Know/Refused

Age Groups

LGAs

Page 46: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the draft constitution†?

46

27%

22%

2%2%

46%

Very satisfied Somewhat satisfied Somewhat dissatisfied Very dissatisfied Don’t know/Refused

†The initial draft constitution released by the CRC on November 15, 2019.

Page 47: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

Do you think that the draft constitution† has addressed the following issues adequately or not, or do you not know enough about this issue in

the draft constitution†?

47

44%

41%

40%

40%

39%

38%

34%

33%

31%

30%

27%

4%

2%

2%

6%

2%

4%

6%

8%

4%

3%

9%

14%

18%

20%

15%

20%

19%

21%

18%

23%

23%

22%

38%

38%

39%

40%

39%

39%

39%

41%

41%

43%

42%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Term limits for position of the presidency

Fundamental rights and freedoms

Representation of persons with disabilities in decision-making

Age limit for elected officials

Representation of women in decision-making

Political leaders' accountability to the citizens

Appointment of ministers and other persons to holdexecutive positions

Citizenship

Balanced powers between the National Assembly andpresident

Balanced powers between the judiciary and president

Misuse of power by president

Yes, adequately No, not adequately Do not know enough about this issue Don’t know/Refused

†The initial draft constitution released by the CRC on November 15, 2019.

Page 48: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

Do you think that the draft constitution† has addressed the following aspects of fundamental rights and freedoms adequately or not, or do you

not know enough about these aspects in the draft constitution†?

48

46%

46%

43%

42%

42%

40%

37%

27%

2%

2%

4%

2%

2%

5%

11%

16%

17%

15%

17%

19%

18%

18%

15%

18%

35%

37%

36%

37%

37%

37%

37%

39%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Rights of persons with disabilities

Rights of women

Freedom of assembly and freedom of speech

Protection against discrimination

Protection of individual citizens' property

Guarantees freedom of speech and expression, whichshall include assembly, freedom of the press and…

Right to marry*

Death penalty as a punishment

Yes, adequately No, not adequately Do not know enough about this issue Don’t know/Refused

†The initial draft constitution released by the CRC on November 15, 2019.

*The right to marry here means the right to enter into marriage freely and where both parties consent, referring to a provision

to prevent underage child marriages.

Page 49: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

49

How would you rate the issue of ‘election of National Assembly members’ as provided in the draft constitution?†

24%

23%

18%

31%

17%

7%

8%

9%

7%

6%

4%

3%

2%

3%

9%

1%

1%

4%

<1%

2%

26%

32%

22%

26%

19%

37%

33%

44%

33%

47%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

All Respondents

18-29

30-35

36-55

56 and older

Very good Somewhat good Somewhat bad Very bad Do not know enough about this issue Don’t know/Refused

Age Groups

†The initial draft constitution released by the CRC on November 15, 2019.

Page 50: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

What are the top reasons for your rating? (Spontaneous response; among those who rated the issue of ’election of

National Assembly members’ † as Good, n=370; up to two responses permitted)

50

34%

19%

9%

7%

5%

5%

5%

1%

4%

12%

13%

11%

11%

11%

4%

16%

2%

2%

2%

14%

14%

0% 20% 40% 60%

Term of office for a National Assembly member

Citizenship requirements for a National Assemblymember

Educational requirements for a National Assemblymember

Removal of a National Assembly member fromoffice

Percentage of the vote required to be successfullyvoted in as National Assembly member

Age requirements for National Assembly members

Nomination of National Assembly members bypresident

Nomination of National Assembly members bypolitical parties

Other

No second response

Don’t know/Refused

First reason Second reason

31%

5%26%

37%

Very/somewhat good

Very/somewhat bad

Do not know enough aboutthis issue

Don't know/Refused

How would you rate the issue

of ’election of National

Assembly members’ as

provided in the draft

constitution? †

†The initial draft constitution released by the CRC on November 15, 2019.

Page 51: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

What are the top reasons for your rating? (Spontaneous response; among those who rated the issue of ’election of

National Assembly members’ † as Bad, n=60; up to two responses permitted)

51

39%

20%

6%

4%

4%

3%

3%

2%

6%

13%

15%

1%

1%

39%

3%

7%

2%

1%

13%

18%

0% 20% 40% 60%

Citizenship requirements for a national assemblymember

Term of office for a national assembly member

Nomination of national assembly members bypresident

Educational requirements for a national assemblymember

Percentage of the vote required to be successfullyvoted in as national assembly member

Age requirements for national assembly members

Removal of a national assembly member fromoffice

Nomination of national assembly members bypolitical parties

Other

No second response

Don’t know/Refused

First Second

31%

5%26%

37%

Very/somewhat good

Very/somewhat bad

Do not know enough about thisissue

Don’t know/Refused

How would you rate the issue

of ‘election of National

Assembly members’ as

provided in the draft

constitution? †

†The initial draft constitution released by the CRC on November 15, 2019.

Page 52: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

52

How would you rate the issue of ‘election of the president’ as provided in the draft constitution?†

27%

23%

26%

35%

16%

6%

9%

3%

4%

4%

2%

1%

1%

3%

5%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

28%

32%

25%

25%

26%

37%

34%

45%

32%

48%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

All Respondents

18-29

30-35

36-55

56 and older

Very good Somewhat good Somewhat bad

Very bad Do not know enough about this issue Don’t know/Refused

Age Groups

†The initial draft constitution released by the CRC on November 15, 2019.

Page 53: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

What are the top reasons for your rating? (Spontaneous response; among those who rated the issue of ‘election of the

President’ † as Good, n=379; up to two responses permitted)

53

24%

20%

15%

15%

13%

5%

7%

14%

16%

6%

8%

15%

23%

2%

7%

9%

0% 20% 40% 60%

Age requirements for president

Citizenship requirements for the president

Removal of the president from office

Percentage of the vote required to besuccessfully voted in as president

Educational requirements for the president

Term of office of the president

Other

No second response

Don’t know/Refused

First reason Second reason

32%

3%28%

37%

Very/somewhat good

Very/somewhat bad

Do not know enough about thisissue

Don’t know/Refused

How would you rate the issue

of ’election of the President’

as provided in the draft

constitution? †

†The initial draft constitution released by the CRC on November 15, 2019.

Page 54: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

What are the top reasons for your rating? (Spontaneous response; among those who rated the issue of ‘election of the

President’ † as Bad, n=33; up to two responses permitted)

54

21%

21%

17%

7%

6%

10%

18%

11%

3%

1%

43%

5%

10%

18%

10%

0% 20% 40% 60%

Removal of the president from office

Percentage of the vote required to besuccessfully voted in as president

Age requirements for president

Citizenship requirements for the president

Educational requirements for the president

Term of office of the president

Other

No second response

Don’t know/Refused

First reason Second reason

32%

3%28%

37%

Very/somewhat good

Very/somewhat bad

Do not know enough about thisissue

Don’t know/Refused

How would you rate the issue

of ’election of the President’

as provided in the draft

constitution? †

†The initial draft constitution released by the CRC on November 15, 2019.

Due to small sample size n, results for respondents who rated the

issue of ’the election of the President’ as bad should be treated

with caution.

Page 55: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

55

If the new constitution limits the president to serving two terms of five years each, should President Barrow be allowed to serve for two

additional terms if elected, or should his current term count as the first of the two possible terms?

24%

66%

10%

Two more terms Current term should count as first term Don’t know/Refused

Page 56: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

How likely or unlikely are you to vote in the referendum on the new constitution?

56

64%

56%

63%

72%

67%

67%

62%

38%

68%

63%

86%

91%

81%

70%

10%

12%

12%

9%

6%

10%

10%

16%

10%

7%

4%

4%

5%

6%

3%

3%

2%

3%

3%

3%

3%

6%

2%

3%

1%

2%

4%

10%

15%

7%

7%

11%

10%

11%

14%

11%

17%

3%

4%

10%

13%

14%

16%

10%

13%

11%

14%

26%

9%

11%

6%

5%

9%

10%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

All Respondents

18-29

30-35

36-55

56 and older

Male

Female

Banjul+Kanifing

Brikama

Mansakonko

Kerewan

Kuntaur

Janjanbureh

Basse

Very likely Somewhat likely Somewhat unlikely Very unlikely Don’t know/Refused

LGAs

Age Groups

Sex

Page 57: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

57

What is the primary reason you are unlikely to vote in the referendum on the new constitution?

(Spontaneous response, among those who are unlikely to vote, n=156)

39%

17%

6%

5%

3%

3%

<1%

2%

2%

1%

5%

14%

0% 20% 40% 60%

I do not have a voter's card

Lack of interest

My vote does not matter

Lack of time

I will be out of the country

If the president makes any changes to the draftconstitution submitted by the CRC

Not satisfied with the process followed to draftthe new constitution

Constitution does not meet my expectations

Not satisfied with constitution

If the national assembly makes any changes to thedraft constitution submitted by the CRC

Other

Don’t know/Refused

74%

13%

13%

Very/somewhat likely

Very/somewhat unlikely

Don’t know/Refused

How likely or unlikely are

you to vote in the

referendum on the new

constitution?

*Other responses included:

• “Don’t know much about it,” 4%

Page 58: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

(Among those who are unlikely to vote and say this is because they do not have a voter ID Card, n=61)

58

DEMOGRAPHIC PROFILE: Unlikely voters who lack a Voter ID Card

38%

62%

62%

9%

12%

17%

58%

10%

26%

2%

5%

18%

2%

11%

21%

4%

9%

8%

1%

22%

4%

15%

64%

20%

2%

<1%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%

Male

Female

18-29

30-35

36-55

56 and older

Primary or less

Lower Secondary

Upper Secondary

Vocational

Diploma

Higher

Don’t know/Refused

Employed, full time

Employed, part time

Self-employed, full time

Self-employed, part time

Unemployed, looking for a job

Unemployed, not looking for a job

Homemaker

Retired

Student/pupil

Other

Don’t know/Refused

Barely Subsistence

Subsistence

Adequate

More than Adequate

Don’t know/Refused

Gender

Age

Educati

on

Occupati

on

Econom

ic S

ituati

on

32%

50%

5%

1%

2%

10%

66%

34%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%

Banjul

Kanifing

Brikama

Mansakonko

Kerewan

Kuntaur

Janjanbureh

Basse

Urban

Rural

Local G

overn

ment

Are

a (

LG

A)

Urb

anic

ity

44%

16%1%

13%

26%

Trust a great deal Somewhat trustSomewhat distrust Distrust a great dealDon’t know/Refused

To what extent do you trust or

distrust each of the following

institutions and commissions

that will handle the draft

constitution?

Independent Electoral

Commission

Page 59: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

59

Which of the following issues in the new constitution, if any, will most compel you to vote in the referendum?

32%

18%

6%

3%

1%

4%

4%

10%

23%

14%

19%

8%

4%

3%

8%

7%

9%

28%

11%

12%

8%

2%

3%

10%

8%

12%

35%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80%

Term limit for position of the presidency

Fundamental rights and freedoms

Equal and separate power between the executive government,National Assembly and courts

Election threshold, such as requiring an absolute majority to wina presidential election

Nomination / appointments of National Assembly members,judges, chiefs and alkalos* by the president

Corruption, including anti-corruption commission and code ofconduct for public officials

Interest group representation and participation in decision makingfor women, youth, persons with disabilities and ethnic minorities

None of these

No additional response

Don’t know/Refused

Most important Second most important Third most important

*Alkalos are village elders. Districts composed of villages governed by alkalos are overseen by seyfos or chiefs.

57%

49%

Page 60: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

Let us talk for a moment about the appointment of alkalos* and chiefs in The Gambia. Which of the following statements is closest to your view?

60*Alkalos are village elders. Districts composed of villages governed by alkalos are overseen by seyfos or chiefs.

17%

64%

16%

2%

The alkalos and chiefs should be appointed by the president or a designated authorityThe position of alkalo and chief should be hereditaryAgree with neitherDon’t know/Refused

Page 61: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

Let us talk for a moment about Gambian citizenship. Do you agree or disagree that children born in the country of two non-Gambian parents

should be given Gambian citizenship?*

61

81%

6%

3%

10%1%

Strongly agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagree Strongly disagree Don’t know/Refused

*Under the 1997 constitution, Gambian citizenship is passed down through descent by blood (jus sanguinis). Therefore,

children born in the country of two non-Gambian parents do not currently receive citizenship.

Page 62: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

Let us talk for a moment about the office of the vice president*. Which of the following statements is closest to your view?

62

40%

42%

49%

39%

27%

33%

47%

51%

50%

43%

56%

53%

61%

43%

2%

2%

<1%

1%

3%

1%

2%

7%

6%

7%

4%

17%

5%

9%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

All Respondents

18-29

30-35

36-55

56 and older

Male

Female

The vice president should be elected together with the president on one ticket

The vice president should be appointed by the president

Agree with neither

Don’t know/Refused

Age Groups

Sex

*Under the 1997 constitution the president appoints both the vice-president and the cabinet.

Page 63: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

Which of the following statements is closest to your view?

63

35%

58%

2% 5%

Government should be able to monitor private communications, for example on mobile phones, to makesure that people are not plotting violence

People should have the right to communicate in private without a government agency reading or listening towhat they are saying

Agree with neither

Don’t know/Refused

Page 64: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

Which of the following statements is closest to your view?

64

70%

25%

2% 3%

Freedom of religion and worship are absolute, meaning that government should never limit what is said in aplace of worship

Government should have the power to regulate what is said in places of worship, especially if preachers orcongregants threaten public security

Agree with neither

Don’t know/Refused

Page 65: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

Which of the following statements is closest to your view?

65

17%

40%

38%

1%5%

Our country should be governed only by religious law

Our country should be governed only by civil law

Our country should be governed by both civil and religious law

Agree with neither

Don’t know/Refused

Page 66: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

Which of the following statements is closest to your view?

66

17%

20%

21%

15%

7%

16%

16%

16%

23%

29%

13%

40%

33%

41%

42%

51%

41%

37%

47%

29%

28%

28%

38%

43%

33%

38%

32%

38%

40%

32%

46%

40%

56%

1%

1%

2%

<1%

1%

1%

2%

<1%

1%

1%

5%

4%

4%

5%

9%

4%

6%

6%

1%

3%

2%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

All Respondents

18-29

30-35

36-55

56 and older

Wolof (n=262)

Fula (n=181)

Mandinka (n=475)

Jola (n=115)

Serahuli (n=59)

Other (n=86)

Our country should be governed only by religious law

Our country should be governed only by civil law

Our country should be governed by both civil and religious law

Agree with neither

Don’t know/Refused

Age Groups

Language most spoken at home

Page 67: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

Which of the following statements is closest to your view?

67

17%

16%

16%

27%

13%

9%

15%

28%

40%

41%

37%

44%

35%

50%

52%

38%

38%

38%

40%

19%

50%

39%

25%

32%

1%

1%

1%

3%

<1%

1%

5%

3%

6%

6%

2%

2%

6%

2%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

All Respondents

Banjul+Kanifing

Brikama

Mansakonko

Kerewan

Kuntaur

Janjanbureh

Basse

Our country should be governed only by religious law

Our country should be governed only by civil law

Our country should be governed by both civil and religious law

Agree with neither

Don’t know/Refused

LGAs

Page 68: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

Which of the following statements is closest to your view?

68

58%

30%

3%

9%

Provincial governors should be elected by voters in the provinces.

The president should continue to appoint provincial governors for all provinces.

Agree with neither

Don’t know/Refused

Page 69: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

Which of the following statements is closest to your view?

69

58%

58%

63%

66%

55%

51%

53%

40%

30%

28%

26%

29%

37%

40%

33%

45%

3%

6%

2%

2%

1%

1%

5%

9%

9%

9%

3%

8%

9%

13%

10%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

All Respondents

Banjul+Kanifing

Brikama

Mansakonko

Kerewan

Kuntaur

Janjanbureh

Basse

Provincial governors should be elected by voters in the provinces

The president should continue to appoint provincial governors for all provinces

Agree with neither

Don’t know/Refused

LGAs

Page 70: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

Representation and Opportunities for Minority Groups

Page 71: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

How important or unimportant is it that all members of The Gambia’s adult population, are included in political decision making?

How important is it that [each of the following groups] are included?

71

96%

93%

93%

94%

2%

4%

4%

3%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

<1%

1%

1%

2%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Young adults

Women

People with disabilities

Ethnic minorities

Very important Somewhat important Somewhat unimportant Very unimportant Don’t know/Refused

Page 72: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

To what extent do you agree or disagree with the following statements about equal opportunities in The Gambia today?

72

97%

93%

91%

50%

2%

3%

4%

7%

1%

2%

1%

9%

<1%

2%

3%

34%

<1%

<1%

<1%

1%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Girls and boys have equalopportunities to get an

education

Women and men haveequal opportunities to

earn an income

Women and men haveequal opportunities to geta job that pays a wage or

salary

Women and men haveequal opportunities toown and inherit land

Very important Somewhat important Somewhat unimportant Very unimportant Don’t know/Refused

Page 73: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

Political Party Affiliation

Page 74: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

Political Parties as of December 2019

74

Abbreviation Political Party Name

APRC Alliance for Patriotic Re-orientation and Construction

GDC Gambia Democratic Congress

NRP National Reconciliation Party

PDOIS People’s Democratic Organization for Independence and Socialism

PPP Peoples Progressive Party

GPDP Gambia Party for Democracy and Progress

NCP National Convention Party

GMC Gambia Moral Congress

UDP United Democratic Party

GAP Gambia Action Party

Page 75: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

Do you feel close to any particular political party?

75

43%

37%

48%

47%

39%

44%

41%

55%

62%

50%

49%

58%

53%

57%

2%

1%

2%

3%

3%

3%

1%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

All Respondents

18-29

30-35

36-55

56 and older

Male

Female

Yes No Don’t know/Refused

Age Groups

Sex

Page 76: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

Do you feel close to any particular political party?

76

43%

30%

46%

43%

44%

49%

52%

50%

55%

68%

51%

57%

56%

51%

48%

49%

2%

2%

4%

<1%

1%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

All Respondents

Banjul+Kanifing

Brikama

Mansakonko

Kerewan

Kuntaur

Janjanbureh

Basse

Yes No Don’t know/Refused

LGAs

Page 77: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

77

Which political party do you feel closest to?(Among those who feel close to a political party, n=675)

(Spontaneous response)

27%

25%

14%

13%

8%

3%

1%

1%

1%

<1%

<1%

2%

4%

0% 20% 40%

UDP

*Other: President Barrow

PDOIS

APRC

GDC

NRP

GMC

NCP

PPP

GPDP

GAP

Other

Don’t know/Refused

*Many respondents referenced “Barrow” or “President Barrow” when expressing an Other response. This is displayed

separately as Other: President Barrow.

43%

55%

2%

Yes

No

Don’t know/Refused

Do you feel close to any

particular political party?

Page 78: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

Communication and Media Use

Page 79: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

Which of these things do either you or someone in your household own?

Radio

79

47%

35%

46%

56%

58%

59%

37%

44%

47%

53%

60%

43%

45%

43%

17%

26%

16%

12%

11%

10%

23%

18%

15%

21%

19%

12%

21%

25%

35%

39%

35%

32%

29%

30%

39%

37%

37%

26%

20%

45%

26%

32%

1%

1%

2%

1%

1%

1%

1%

<1%

1%

8%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

All Respondents

18-29

30-35

36-55

56 and older

Male

Female

Banjul+Kanifing

Brikama

Mansakonko

Kerewan

Kuntaur

Janjanbureh

Basse

Personally own Household owns Not owned Don’t know/Refused

LGAs

Age Groups

Sex

Page 80: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

Which of these things do either you or someone in your household own?

Television

80

32%

21%

33%

42%

32%

39%

25%

34%

37%

25%

36%

14%

26%

13%

33%

50%

28%

23%

26%

28%

38%

57%

29%

13%

30%

16%

32%

18%

34%

29%

38%

34%

41%

32%

36%

9%

34%

63%

34%

70%

38%

69%

1%

<1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

<1%

1%

4%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

All Respondents

18-29

30-35

36-55

56 and older

Male

Female

Banjul+Kanifing

Brikama

Mansakonko

Kerewan

Kuntaur

Janjanbureh

Basse

Personally own Household owns Not owned Don’t know/Refused

LGAs

Age Groups

Sex

Page 81: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

Which of these things do either you or someone in your household own?

Computer

81

13%

18%

13%

11%

4%

18%

8%

21%

14%

4%

10%

2%

2%

4%

5%

6%

4%

5%

5%

4%

6%

7%

7%

2%

6%

1%

79%

74%

78%

82%

84%

75%

82%

70%

76%

92%

87%

95%

76%

94%

3%

2%

5%

2%

7%

3%

4%

2%

4%

3%

2%

3%

16%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

All Respondents

18-29

30-35

36-55

56 and older

Male

Female

Banjul+Kanifing

Brikama

Mansakonko

Kerewan

Kuntaur

Janjanbureh

Basse

Personally own Household owns Not owned Don’t know/Refused

LGAs

Age Groups

Sex

Page 82: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

Which of these things do either you or someone in your household own?

Mobile Phone

82

86%

86%

86%

86%

88%

94%

79%

95%

83%

82%

87%

87%

92%

79%

3%

4%

1%

3%

1%

1%

4%

2%

4%

3%

2%

3%

3%

11%

10%

13%

11%

10%

5%

16%

4%

13%

15%

12%

9%

6%

18%

<1%

<1%

1%

1%

<1%

1%

1%

2%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

All Respondents

18-29

30-35

36-55

56 and older

Male

Female

Banjul+Kanifing

Brikama

Mansakonko

Kerewan

Kuntaur

Janjanbureh

Basse

Personally own Household owns Not owned Don’t know/Refused

LGAs

Age Groups

Sex

Page 83: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

Do you own a smart phone that you use to access the internet, or applications such as Facebook and WhatsApp?

83

60%

77%

63%

56%

26%

66%

55%

71%

45%

39%

23%

36%

43%

73%

34%

44%

27%

55%

1%

<1%

1%

2%

<1%

1%

1%

1%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

All Respondents

18-29

30-35

36-55

56 and older

Male

Female

Urban

Rural

Yes No Don’t know/Refused

Age Groups

Sex

Urbanicity

Page 84: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

How often, if ever, do you use a mobile phone?

84

71%

76%

68%

72%

61%

75%

68%

80%

59%

6%

5%

6%

4%

13%

8%

5%

6%

6%

2%

2%

4%

1%

1%

2%

2%

1%

3%

2%

2%

1%

2%

1%

<1%

3%

<1%

3%

5%

4%

4%

6%

2%

3%

6%

4%

6%

13%

9%

15%

13%

21%

11%

15%

7%

22%

1%

<1%

2%

1%

1%

1%

1%

2%

<1%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

All Respondents

18-29

30-35

36-55

56 and older

Male

Female

Urban

Rural

Daily or almost daily Several times a week Weekly Monthly Less often Never Don’t know/Refused

Age Groups

Sex

Urbanicity

Page 85: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

How often, if ever, do you use the internet?

85

43%

57%

45%

42%

11%

48%

39%

57%

25%

10%

12%

8%

11%

7%

12%

9%

10%

10%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

3%

2%

3%

1%

1%

1%

4%

1%

2%

1%

1%

2%

9%

10%

8%

9%

11%

9%

10%

10%

8%

32%

17%

30%

34%

68%

26%

38%

17%

52%

1%

<1%

2%

1%

1%

1%

2%

2%

1%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

All Respondents

18-29

30-35

36-55

56 and older

Male

Female

Urban

Rural

Daily or almost daily Several times a week Weekly Monthly Less often Never Don’t know/Refused

Age Groups

Sex

Urbanicity

Page 86: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

In the past 7 days, have you used social media, for example WhatsApp or Facebook?

86

53%

69%

53%

50%

20%

58%

48%

64%

37%

46%

30%

45%

49%

78%

40%

50%

33%

62%

2%

1%

2%

2%

2%

1%

2%

3%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

All Respondents

18-29

30-35

36-55

56 and older

Male

Female

Urban

Rural

Yes No Don’t know/Refused

Sex

Age Groups

Urbanicity

Page 87: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

87

Which specific media outlets, such as a specific TV channel, radio station, newspaper, website, etc., do you consider most trustworthy?

(Spontaneous response; up to two responses permitted)

31%

16%

6%

3%

2%

3%

1%

1%

2%

2%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

9%

11%

<1%

2%

13%

21%

5%

5%

5%

2%

2%

2%

1%

1%

2%

1%

1%

<1%

1%

1%

<1%

<1%

9%

30%

0% 20% 40% 60%

QTV

GRTS Radio

QRadio

Star FM

Radio (general)

TV (general)

Paradise FM

Capital FM

Radio Gambia

GRTS TV

Taranga FM

Forayaa

Afri Radio

OTV

West Coast FM

BBC

France 24

Basse Radio

Other

No other media

I don't listen to/watch/read news

I have no access

Don’t know

First most trusted Second most trusted

*Responses receiving less than 2 percent overall are collapsed into Other.

Page 88: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

Corruption

Page 89: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

89

Now I would like to discuss corruption with you. When I say corruption, I mean having to do a favor, give a gift or pay a bribe because someone misuses their position for personal gains. To what extent, if any, has

corruption had a negative impact on you?

40%

59%

36%

21%

36%

8%

4%

7%

8%

22%

9%

2%

9%

19%

9%

32%

24%

38%

32%

28%

<1%

<1%

<1%

<1%

12%

10%

9%

18%

6%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

All Respondents

Barely Subsistence

Subsistence

Adequate

More than Adequate

It has had a lot of negative impact It has had some negative impact

It has had little negative impact It has not had any negative impact

Other Don’t know/Refused

Economic Situation

Page 90: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

90

1%

1%

<1%

<1%

1%

1%

<1%

1%

<1%

4%

2%

4%

2%

1%

4%

15%

14%

14%

16%

19%

78%

78%

81%

79%

70%

3%

2%

2%

3%

2%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

All Respondents

Barely Subsistence

Subsistence

Adequate

More than Adequate

Daily Weekly Monthly Less frequently Not at all Don’t know/Refused

Economic Situation

In the past 12 months, how often, if at all, have you had to do a favor, give a gift or pay a bribe?

Page 91: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

Demographics

Page 92: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

Demographics

47%

53%

34%

18%

34%

14%

40%

22%

15%

10%

5%7%

<1%

57%

43%

1%

22%

46%

4%

9%

5% 6%8%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

Male

Fem

ale

18-2

9

30-3

5

36-5

5

56 a

nd o

lder

Mandin

ka

Wolo

f

Fula

Jola

Sera

huli

Oth

er

Don’t

know

/Refu

sed

Urb

an

Rura

l

Banju

l

Kanif

ing

Bri

kam

a

Mansa

konko

Kere

wan

Kunta

ur

Janja

nbure

h

Bass

e

Sex Age Language(Spoken most at home)

Urbanicity Local Government Area

92

Page 93: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

Demographics

17%

6%

21%

11%9%

6%

17%

2%7%

3%<1%

59%

33%

4%2% 3%

46%

13%

25%

2%7% 8%

<1%

30%

39%

24%

7%

1%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%Em

plo

yed,

full-t

ime

Em

plo

yed,

part

-tim

e

Self

-em

plo

yed,

full-t

ime

Self

-em

plo

yed,

part

-tim

e

Unem

plo

yed,

lookin

g f

or

a j

ob

Unem

plo

yed,

not

lookin

g f

or

a j

ob

Hom

em

aker

Reti

red

Stu

dent/

pupil

Oth

er

Don't

know

/Refu

sed

Pri

vate

Sta

te

Non-g

overn

menta

l O

rganiz

ati

on

None

Oth

er

Pri

mary

or

less

Low

er

Secondary

Upper

Secondary

Vocati

onal

Dip

lom

a

Hig

her

Don't

know

/Refu

sed

Bare

ly S

ubsi

stence

Subsi

stence

Adequate

More

than A

dequate

Don’t

know

/Refu

sed

OccupationalStatus

EmploymentSector*

EducationalAttainment

EconomicSituation**

*Employment Sector is among those who are employed full-time or employed part-time (n=269).

**Economic Situation is based on the question “Please tell us which answer best describes your current economic situation.”

• Barely Subsistence = “I have trouble feeding myself and my family and buying even the most essential things for survival.”

• Subsistence = “I have enough means for survival, but I do not have enough money for extra things.”

• Adequate = “I am able to afford a few new extra things.”

• More than Adequate = “I am able to afford most things I want.” 93

Page 94: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

Which of these things do either you or someone in your household own?

Bank Account

94

36%

29%

44%

44%

27%

41%

32%

46%

39%

19%

41%

17%

26%

17%

5%

7%

3%

3%

6%

3%

7%

5%

5%

8%

6%

3%

2%

2%

56%

61%

51%

52%

64%

54%

59%

46%

54%

73%

52%

77%

60%

78%

3%

3%

2%

2%

3%

3%

2%

2%

2%

<1%

3%

12%

3%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

All Respondents

18-29

30-35

36-55

56 and older

Male

Female

Banjul+Kanifing

Brikama

Mansakonko

Kerewan

Kuntaur

Janjanbureh

Basse

Personally own Household owns Not owned Don’t know/Refused

LGAs

Age Groups

Sex

Page 95: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

Which of these things do either you or someone in your household own?

Motor Vehicle or Motorcycle

95

16%

10%

19%

20%

16%

28%

5%

14%

15%

20%

19%

9%

24%

19%

15%

24%

13%

10%

10%

8%

22%

17%

12%

19%

16%

9%

13%

34%

68%

65%

67%

69%

72%

63%

72%

67%

72%

62%

66%

82%

60%

47%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

2%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

All Respondents

18-29

30-35

36-55

56 and older

Male

Female

Banjul+Kanifing

Brikama

Mansakonko

Kerewan

Kuntaur

Janjanbureh

Basse

Personally own Household owns Not owned Don’t know/Refused

LGAs

Age Groups

Sex

Page 96: Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia...Nationwide Public Opinion Poll: The Gambia November 26 - December 7, 2019 Methodology 2 • The poll was conducted by the Center for Research

Demographics

94%

6%

32%

19%15% 14%

6% 6% 5%1% 1% 1% 2% <1%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%M

usl

im

Chri

stia

n

Mandin

ka

Fula

, T

ukulo

r, o

r Loro

bo

Jola

Wolo

f

Sera

hule

h

Sere

r

Manja

go

Jahanka

Bam

bara

Cre

ole

or

Aku M

ara

bout

Oth

er

Don't

know

/Refu

sed

Religion Ethnicity

96