NationalTrackingPoll#200306 March04-04,2020 ... · NationalTrackingPoll#200306 March04-04,2020...

National Tracking Poll #200306March 04-04, 2020

Crosstabulation Results

Methodology:This poll was conducted between March 4-March 4, 2020 among a national sample of 1990 Regis-tered Voters. The interviews were conducted online and the data were weighted to approximate atarget sample of Registered Voters based on age, educational attainment, gender, race, and region.Results from the full survey have a margin of error of plus or minus 2 percentage points.

Table Index

1 Table P1: Now, generally speaking, would you say that things in the country are going in theright direction, or have they pretty seriously gotten off on the wrong track? . . . . . . . . . . 5

2 Table Q172: Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President? . 9

3 Table P3: Now, thinking about your vote, what would you say is the top set of issues on yourmind when you cast your vote for federal offices such as U.S. Senate or Congress? . . . . . . . 13

4 Table PI1: How likely is it that you will vote in the 2020 presidential primary or caucus inyour state? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18

5 Table PI2: Now thinking about the 2020 presidential primary or caucus in your state, wouldyou vote in the: . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22

6 Table PI3: If the Democratic presidential primary or caucus in your state were being heldtoday, for whom would you vote? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26

7 Table PI4_1: How well do each of the following describe how you feel about the 2020 presi-dential election? Con dent . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29

8 Table PI4_2: How well do each of the following describe how you feel about the 2020 presi-dential election? Worried . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33

9 Table PI4_3: How well do each of the following describe how you feel about the 2020 presi-dential election? Excited . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37

10 Table PI4_4: How well do each of the following describe how you feel about the 2020 presi-dential election? Indifferent . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 41

11 Table PI4_5: How well do each of the following describe how you feel about the 2020 presi-dential election? Angry . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 45

12 Table PI4_6: How well do each of the following describe how you feel about the 2020 presi-dential election? Depressed . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 49

13 Table PI4_7: How well do each of the following describe how you feel about the 2020 presi-dential election? Happy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 53

14 Table PI4_8: How well do each of the following describe how you feel about the 2020 presi-dential election? Confused . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 57

15 Table PI4_9: How well do each of the following describe how you feel about the 2020 presi-dential election? Proud . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 61

16 Table PI4_10: How well do each of the following describe how you feel about the 2020 presi-dential election? Hopeful . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 65

17 Table PI4_11: How well do each of the following describe how you feel about the 2020 presi-dential election? Bored . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 69

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National Tracking Poll #200306, March, 2020

18 Table PI4_12: How well do each of the following describe how you feel about the 2020 presi-dential election? Helpless . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 73

19 Table PI4_13: How well do each of the following describe how you feel about the 2020 presi-dential election? Interested . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 77

20 Table PI4_14: How well do each of the following describe how you feel about the 2020 presi-dential election? Frustrated . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 81

21 Table PI5: Who do you think is going to win the 2020 presidential election? . . . . . . . . . 85

22 Table PI6: Who do you think has the best chance of beating President Trump in the 2020presidential election? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 89

23 Table PI7: Generally speaking, how surprised, if at all, were you by the results of Super Tuesday? 93

24 Table PI8: Based on what you’ve seen, read, or heard which of the following Democraticcandidates performed best on Super Tuesday? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 97

25 Table PI9: To the best of your knowledge, which of the following Democratic candidates wonthe most delegates on Super Tuesday? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 101

26 Table PI10: Lastly, following Super Tuesday, which of the following Democratic candidates ifany would you say should drop out of the race to be the Democratic presidential nominee? . . 105

27 Table PI11_1: As a result of Super Tuesday, would you say you are more or less likely to voteforeach of the following candidates in your state’s primary or caucus? Joe Biden . . . . . . . 109

28 Table PI11_2: As a result of Super Tuesday, would you say you are more or less likely to voteforeach of the following candidates in your state’s primary or caucus? Michael Bloomberg . . 113

29 Table PI11_3: As a result of Super Tuesday, would you say you are more or less likely to voteforeach of the following candidates in your state’s primary or caucus? Tulsi Gabbard . . . . . 117

30 Table PI11_4: As a result of Super Tuesday, would you say you are more or less likely to voteforeach of the following candidates in your state’s primary or caucus? Bernie Sanders . . . . 121

31 Table PI11_5: As a result of Super Tuesday, would you say you are more or less likely to voteforeach of the following candidates in your state’s primary or caucus? Elizabeth Warren . . . 125

32 Table PI12_1: To what extent do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements?The candidate who won the most delegates on Super Tuesday will be the Democratic nominee 129

33 Table PI12_2: To what extent do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements?The candidate who won the most delegates on Super Tuesday can beat President Trump . . . 133

34 Table PI12_3: To what extent do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements?The results of Super Tuesday are re ective of the Democratic Party . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 137

35 Table PI12_4: To what extent do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements?I am happy with the results of Super Tuesday . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 141

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Morning Consult

36 Table PI12_5: To what extent do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements?The Democratic Party is heading in the right direction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 145

37 Table PI12_6: To what extent do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements?The Democratic Party should eliminate caucuses as part of the nomination process . . . . . . 149

38 Summary Statistics of Survey Respondent Demographics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 153

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5

Table P1

Crosstabulation Results by Respondent Demographics

Table P1: Now, generally speaking, would you say that things in the country are going in the right direction, or have they pretty seriously gotten off onthe wrong track?

Demographic Right Direction Wrong Track Total N

Registered Voters 40% (799) 60% (1191) 1990Gender: Male 44% (414) 56% (518) 931Gender: Female 36% (385) 64% (673) 1059Age: 18-29 31% (96) 69% (211) 306Age: 30-44 39% (192) 61% (304) 496Age: 45-54 44% (128) 56% (165) 293Age: 55-64 41% (178) 59% (254) 432Age: 65+ 44% (205) 56% (258) 463Generation Z: 18-22 30% (33) 70% (77) 110Millennial: Age 23-38 36% (185) 64% (332) 516Generation X: Age 39-54 42% (198) 58% (270) 468Boomers: Age 55-73 42% (328) 58% (448) 775PID: Dem (no lean) 14% (113) 86% (716) 829PID: Ind (no lean) 33% (163) 67% (333) 495PID: Rep (no lean) 79% (524) 21% (142) 666PID/Gender: DemMen 21% (74) 79% (284) 359PID/Gender: DemWomen 8% (38) 92% (432) 470PID/Gender: Ind Men 35% (91) 65% (172) 263PID/Gender: Ind Women 31% (72) 69% (160) 232PID/Gender: Rep Men 80% (249) 20% (61) 309PID/Gender: Rep Women 77% (275) 23% (81) 356Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 11% (61) 89% (517) 578Ideo: Moderate (4) 34% (199) 66% (386) 585Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 70% (502) 30% (212) 713Educ: < College 44% (546) 56% (705) 1252Educ: Bachelors degree 35% (165) 65% (306) 471Educ: Post-grad 33% (88) 67% (180) 268

Continued on next page

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Morning ConsultTable P1



Registered Voters 40% (799) 60% (1191) 1990Income: Under 50k 40% (398) 60% (585) 983Income: 50k-100k 41% (277) 59% (395) 672Income: 100k+ 37% (124) 63% (211) 335Ethnicity: White 44% (710) 56% (900) 1610Ethnicity: Hispanic 35% (68) 65% (124) 193Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 20% (50) 80% (202) 252Ethnicity: Other 31% (40) 69% (89) 128All Christian 47% (473) 53% (527) 1000All Non-Christian 30% (28) 70% (67) 95Atheist 20% (19) 80% (78) 97Agnostic/Nothing in particular 35% (278) 65% (520) 798Religious Non-Protestant/Catholic 32% (40) 68% (84) 124Evangelical 55% (273) 45% (227) 500Non-Evangelical 41% (318) 59% (460) 779Community: Urban 31% (155) 69% (340) 495Community: Suburban 41% (390) 59% (572) 962Community: Rural 48% (254) 52% (279) 533Employ: Private Sector 40% (251) 60% (383) 634Employ: Government 38% (39) 62% (62) 101Employ: Self-Employed 39% (67) 61% (104) 171Employ: Homemaker 43% (77) 57% (100) 176Employ: Retired 42% (241) 58% (328) 569Employ: Unemployed 38% (57) 62% (94) 150Employ: Other 38% (43) 62% (70) 113Military HH: Yes 47% (169) 53% (187) 356Military HH: No 39% (630) 61% (1004) 1634RD/WT: Right Direction 100% (799) — (0) 799RD/WT: Wrong Track — (0) 100% (1191) 1191Trump Job Approve 84% (691) 16% (129) 820Trump Job Disapprove 8% (94) 92% (1036) 1130



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Table P1



Registered Voters 40% (799) 60% (1191) 1990Trump Job Strongly Approve 91% (435) 9% (41) 476Trump Job Somewhat Approve 74% (256) 26% (88) 344Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove 18% (46) 82% (205) 252Trump Job Strongly Disapprove 5% (48) 95% (830) 878Favorable of Trump 84% (685) 16% (131) 816Unfavorable of Trump 8% (90) 92% (1027) 1117Very Favorable of Trump 91% (440) 9% (42) 483Somewhat Favorable of Trump 73% (244) 27% (89) 333Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump 21% (35) 79% (135) 170Very Unfavorable of Trump 6% (55) 94% (892) 947#1 Issue: Economy 48% (236) 52% (252) 488#1 Issue: Security 69% (252) 31% (111) 363#1 Issue: Health Care 23% (98) 77% (327) 425#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 39% (135) 61% (212) 346#1 Issue: Women’s Issues 15% (14) 85% (76) 89#1 Issue: Education 33% (30) 67% (61) 91#1 Issue: Energy 19% (22) 81% (93) 115#1 Issue: Other 19% (14) 81% (58) 722018 House Vote: Democrat 12% (102) 88% (730) 8322018 House Vote: Republican 79% (522) 21% (141) 6642018 House Vote: Someone else 34% (25) 66% (48) 732016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 11% (81) 89% (634) 7152016 Vote: Donald Trump 79% (556) 21% (149) 7052016 Vote: Other 22% (38) 78% (135) 1732016 Vote: Didn’t Vote 31% (121) 69% (271) 391Voted in 2014: Yes 41% (564) 59% (802) 1367Voted in 2014: No 38% (235) 62% (388) 6232012 Vote: Barack Obama 20% (175) 80% (689) 8642012 Vote: Mitt Romney 69% (374) 31% (169) 5422012 Vote: Other 56% (46) 44% (36) 822012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 41% (203) 59% (294) 497


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Registered Voters 40% (799) 60% (1191) 19904-Region: Northeast 38% (134) 62% (221) 3554-Region: Midwest 39% (178) 61% (279) 4574-Region: South 45% (331) 55% (412) 7434-Region: West 36% (155) 64% (279) 435DPV 14% (135) 86% (847) 982DPV Already Voted 4% (2) 96% (55) 57DPV Likely to Vote 14% (133) 86% (792) 925Vote for Joe Biden 11% (45) 89% (362) 408Vote for Michael Bloomberg 21% (19) 79% (70) 88Vote for Bernie Sanders 14% (46) 86% (277) 323Vote for Elizabeth Warren 9% (10) 91% (99) 110Note: Row proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. For more information visit MorningConsultIntelligence.com.

https://morningconsultintelligence.com


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Table Q172

Table Q172: Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President?

DemographicStronglyApprove

SomewhatApprove

SomewhatDisapprove

StronglyDisapprove

Don’t Know /No Opinion Total N

Registered Voters 24% (476) 17% (344) 13% (252) 44% (878) 2% (40) 1990Gender: Male 26% (246) 17% (158) 12% (110) 43% (405) 1% (13) 931Gender: Female 22% (230) 18% (186) 13% (142) 45% (473) 3% (28) 1059Age: 18-29 13% (41) 17% (53) 19% (59) 47% (143) 3% (10) 306Age: 30-44 21% (105) 16% (81) 12% (62) 47% (233) 3% (15) 496Age: 45-54 27% (80) 16% (46) 11% (34) 42% (123) 3% (10) 293Age: 55-64 26% (111) 18% (78) 13% (57) 42% (183) 1% (3) 432Age: 65+ 30% (138) 19% (87) 9% (40) 42% (196) — (2) 463Generation Z: 18-22 11% (12) 20% (22) 24% (26) 39% (44) 6% (6) 110Millennial: Age 23-38 19% (98) 15% (77) 13% (67) 50% (257) 3% (17) 516Generation X: Age 39-54 25% (117) 17% (80) 13% (61) 42% (198) 3% (12) 468Boomers: Age 55-73 27% (211) 19% (147) 11% (85) 42% (328) 1% (5) 775PID: Dem (no lean) 3% (29) 7% (54) 12% (99) 77% (638) 1% (8) 829PID: Ind (no lean) 15% (72) 19% (92) 21% (105) 40% (198) 6% (29) 495PID: Rep (no lean) 56% (375) 30% (198) 7% (48) 6% (42) 1% (3) 666PID/Gender: DemMen 5% (19) 10% (36) 12% (41) 72% (260) 1% (2) 359PID/Gender: DemWomen 2% (10) 4% (18) 12% (58) 80% (378) 1% (6) 470PID/Gender: Ind Men 16% (42) 17% (46) 18% (48) 44% (116) 4% (11) 263PID/Gender: Ind Women 13% (30) 20% (46) 24% (57) 35% (81) 8% (18) 232PID/Gender: Rep Men 59% (184) 25% (77) 6% (20) 9% (29) — (0) 309PID/Gender: Rep Women 53% (191) 34% (121) 8% (28) 4% (14) 1% (3) 356Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 4% (21) 4% (25) 11% (64) 80% (463) 1% (5) 578Ideo: Moderate (4) 14% (82) 19% (109) 17% (97) 48% (283) 2% (14) 585Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 50% (358) 26% (186) 10% (72) 13% (90) 1% (6) 713Educ: < College 25% (314) 19% (233) 13% (168) 41% (508) 2% (28) 1252Educ: Bachelors degree 22% (102) 17% (78) 12% (58) 48% (224) 2% (9) 471Educ: Post-grad 22% (60) 12% (33) 10% (26) 54% (145) 1% (4) 268Income: Under 50k 23% (223) 17% (170) 13% (124) 45% (439) 3% (27) 983Income: 50k-100k 27% (179) 17% (117) 12% (83) 42% (280) 2% (13) 672Income: 100k+ 22% (74) 17% (57) 13% (45) 48% (159) — (0) 335Ethnicity: White 28% (444) 19% (302) 12% (198) 40% (639) 2% (26) 1610Ethnicity: Hispanic 21% (40) 11% (21) 13% (25) 53% (102) 2% (5) 193


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Morning ConsultTable Q172



SomewhatApprove

SomewhatDisapprove

StronglyDisapprove


Registered Voters 24% (476) 17% (344) 13% (252) 44% (878) 2% (40) 1990Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 6% (16) 9% (22) 14% (34) 67% (170) 4% (10) 252Ethnicity: Other 12% (15) 16% (20) 15% (19) 54% (69) 4% (5) 128All Christian 31% (307) 19% (192) 12% (124) 37% (367) 1% (11) 1000All Non-Christian 15% (14) 13% (12) 9% (9) 62% (59) 1% (1) 95Atheist 13% (12) 6% (5) 6% (6) 75% (72) 1% (1) 97Agnostic/Nothing in particular 18% (143) 17% (135) 14% (113) 48% (380) 3% (27) 798Religious Non-Protestant/Catholic 18% (22) 13% (16) 14% (18) 53% (65) 2% (3) 124Evangelical 38% (189) 21% (106) 10% (51) 29% (145) 2% (9) 500Non-Evangelical 23% (181) 18% (140) 13% (105) 44% (341) 2% (12) 779Community: Urban 16% (79) 15% (75) 13% (62) 54% (269) 2% (10) 495Community: Suburban 24% (229) 17% (167) 13% (125) 44% (422) 2% (19) 962Community: Rural 31% (168) 19% (103) 12% (64) 35% (187) 2% (11) 533Employ: Private Sector 22% (137) 19% (118) 15% (94) 43% (274) 2% (11) 634Employ: Government 27% (27) 16% (17) 14% (14) 40% (41) 2% (2) 101Employ: Self-Employed 25% (43) 14% (25) 12% (21) 46% (78) 3% (4) 171Employ: Homemaker 25% (45) 19% (34) 10% (18) 40% (71) 5% (9) 176Employ: Retired 30% (169) 17% (94) 9% (51) 45% (253) — (2) 569Employ: Unemployed 20% (30) 14% (20) 17% (26) 47% (70) 3% (4) 150Employ: Other 16% (18) 19% (22) 11% (12) 49% (55) 5% (5) 113Military HH: Yes 31% (109) 19% (69) 12% (42) 37% (132) 1% (3) 356Military HH: No 22% (366) 17% (275) 13% (209) 46% (746) 2% (37) 1634RD/WT: Right Direction 54% (435) 32% (256) 6% (46) 6% (48) 2% (14) 799RD/WT: Wrong Track 3% (41) 7% (88) 17% (205) 70% (830) 2% (26) 1191Trump Job Approve 58% (476) 42% (344) — (0) — (0) — (0) 820Trump Job Disapprove — (0) — (0) 22% (252) 78% (878) — (0) 1130Trump Job Strongly Approve 100% (476) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) 476Trump Job Somewhat Approve — (0) 100% (344) — (0) — (0) — (0) 344Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove — (0) — (0) 100% (252) — (0) — (0) 252Trump Job Strongly Disapprove — (0) — (0) — (0) 100% (878) — (0) 878Favorable of Trump 57% (468) 37% (301) 3% (22) 2% (19) 1% (6) 816Unfavorable of Trump 1% (7) 3% (30) 20% (220) 76% (851) 1% (9) 1117



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Table Q172



SomewhatApprove

SomewhatDisapprove

StronglyDisapprove


Registered Voters 24% (476) 17% (344) 13% (252) 44% (878) 2% (40) 1990Very Favorable of Trump 91% (441) 6% (28) — (1) 3% (13) — (0) 483Somewhat Favorable of Trump 8% (27) 82% (273) 6% (21) 2% (7) 2% (6) 333Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump 1% (2) 10% (17) 83% (141) 4% (6) 2% (4) 170Very Unfavorable of Trump 1% (5) 1% (14) 8% (78) 89% (845) — (5) 947#1 Issue: Economy 25% (122) 24% (117) 16% (77) 32% (156) 3% (16) 488#1 Issue: Security 54% (196) 20% (74) 7% (25) 18% (65) 1% (4) 363#1 Issue: Health Care 12% (50) 12% (51) 11% (46) 64% (270) 2% (8) 425#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 18% (62) 20% (69) 11% (39) 49% (171) 1% (5) 346#1 Issue: Women’s Issues 10% (9) 7% (6) 18% (16) 62% (56) 3% (3) 89#1 Issue: Education 17% (16) 16% (14) 21% (19) 43% (39) 3% (3) 91#1 Issue: Energy 4% (5) 7% (8) 18% (21) 69% (79) 1% (1) 115#1 Issue: Other 22% (16) 7% (5) 12% (9) 58% (42) 1% (1) 722018 House Vote: Democrat 3% (28) 6% (46) 12% (98) 79% (654) 1% (6) 8322018 House Vote: Republican 55% (366) 30% (198) 9% (57) 6% (40) 1% (4) 6642018 House Vote: Someone else 14% (11) 21% (15) 23% (17) 32% (23) 10% (7) 732016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 2% (15) 4% (29) 11% (75) 83% (590) 1% (6) 7152016 Vote: Donald Trump 55% (391) 30% (211) 8% (55) 6% (45) — (3) 7052016 Vote: Other 9% (15) 11% (19) 29% (51) 47% (81) 4% (6) 1732016 Vote: Didn’t Vote 14% (53) 21% (81) 18% (71) 41% (161) 6% (25) 391Voted in 2014: Yes 26% (353) 16% (225) 11% (152) 46% (623) 1% (14) 1367Voted in 2014: No 20% (123) 19% (119) 16% (100) 41% (255) 4% (27) 6232012 Vote: Barack Obama 6% (55) 10% (82) 12% (101) 72% (619) 1% (7) 8642012 Vote: Mitt Romney 52% (283) 27% (144) 10% (55) 10% (57) 1% (4) 5422012 Vote: Other 32% (26) 30% (25) 14% (12) 17% (14) 6% (5) 822012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 22% (112) 18% (92) 17% (84) 37% (185) 5% (24) 4974-Region: Northeast 19% (68) 16% (56) 13% (45) 50% (178) 2% (8) 3554-Region: Midwest 22% (101) 19% (85) 14% (66) 43% (197) 2% (8) 4574-Region: South 28% (204) 18% (134) 11% (81) 41% (306) 2% (18) 7434-Region: West 23% (102) 16% (69) 14% (60) 45% (197) 2% (7) 435DPV 3% (31) 7% (69) 13% (132) 76% (744) 1% (8) 982DPV Already Voted 2% (1) 6% (3) 15% (9) 77% (44) — (0) 57


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Morning ConsultTable Q172



SomewhatApprove

SomewhatDisapprove

StronglyDisapprove


Registered Voters 24% (476) 17% (344) 13% (252) 44% (878) 2% (40) 1990DPV Likely to Vote 3% (29) 7% (65) 13% (123) 76% (700) 1% (8) 925Vote for Joe Biden 2% (8) 5% (18) 11% (47) 82% (334) — (0) 408Vote for Michael Bloomberg 5% (5) 9% (8) 17% (15) 68% (60) — (0) 88Vote for Bernie Sanders 3% (11) 9% (28) 16% (50) 71% (229) 2% (5) 323Vote for Elizabeth Warren 2% (2) 4% (4) 8% (9) 86% (94) — (0) 110Note: Row proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. For more information visit MorningConsultIntelligence.com.



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Table P3

Table P3: Now, thinking about your vote, what would you say is the top set of issues on your mind when you cast your vote for federal offices such asU.S. Senate or Congress?

Demographic

EconomicIssues –like taxes,wages,jobs,

unemploy-ment, andspending

SecurityIssues –like

terrorism,foreign

policy, andbordersecurity

HealthCare Issues– like the2010 healthcare law,Medicaid,other

challenges

SeniorsIssues –like

Medicareand SocialSecurity

Women’sIssues –like birthcontrol,abortion,and equal

pay

EducationIssues – like

schoolstandards,class sizes,

school choice,and student

loans

Energy Issues– like carbonemissions,cost ofelectric-

ity/gasoline,or renewables Other: Total N

Registered Voters 25%(488) 18%(363) 21%(425) 17%(346) 4% (89) 5% (91) 6% (115) 4% (72) 1990Gender: Male 28%(262) 20%(184) 20%(186) 17%(158) 1% (12) 4% (40) 6% (53) 4% (37) 931Gender: Female 21%(226) 17%(179) 23%(239) 18%(188) 7% (77) 5% (51) 6% (63) 3% (36) 1059Age: 18-29 27% (83) 11% (33) 24% (72) 2% (6) 13% (38) 12% (36) 11% (33) 2% (6) 306Age: 30-44 34%(168) 15% (73) 22% (111) 5% (26) 7% (32) 7% (32) 7% (36) 4% (18) 496Age: 45-54 32% (94) 18% (53) 29% (83) 9% (26) 3% (8) 1% (4) 4% (11) 5% (13) 293Age: 55-64 19% (82) 19% (83) 23% (99) 26% (110) 1% (6) 3% (14) 4% (18) 4% (19) 432Age: 65+ 13% (61) 26% (121) 13% (59) 39%(179) 1% (4) 1% (4) 4% (18) 4% (16) 463Generation Z: 18-22 26% (29) 7% (7) 19% (21) 2% (2) 13% (15) 16% (18) 16% (18) 1% (1) 110Millennial: Age 23-38 32%(167) 13% (67) 24%(122) 3% (18) 9% (48) 8% (40) 7% (36) 4% (18) 516Generation X: Age 39-54 32%(149) 18% (85) 26%(123) 8% (38) 3% (16) 3% (15) 5% (25) 4% (17) 468Boomers: Age 55-73 16%(127) 22%(168) 19%(146) 33%(252) 1% (10) 2% (18) 3% (26) 4% (29) 775PID: Dem (no lean) 20%(162) 7% (57) 31%(256) 18%(148) 6% (52) 6% (53) 9% (72) 4% (29) 829PID: Ind (no lean) 29%(146) 15% (72) 19% (92) 17% (83) 5% (23) 4% (20) 6% (30) 6% (29) 495PID: Rep (no lean) 27%(180) 35%(234) 12% (77) 17% (115) 2% (14) 3% (19) 2% (13) 2% (15) 666PID/Gender: DemMen 24% (85) 8% (28) 29%(105) 18% (63) 2% (7) 7% (24) 10% (35) 3% (10) 359PID/Gender: DemWomen 16% (77) 6% (29) 32%(150) 18% (85) 9% (44) 6% (29) 8% (37) 4% (19) 470PID/Gender: Ind Men 33% (88) 15% (40) 18% (48) 16% (41) 1% (2) 4% (11) 6% (15) 6% (17) 263PID/Gender: Ind Women 25% (58) 14% (32) 19% (44) 18% (42) 9% (21) 4% (8) 7% (15) 5% (12) 232PID/Gender: Rep Men 29% (89) 37% (116) 10% (32) 17% (54) 1% (2) 1% (4) 1% (3) 3% (9) 309PID/Gender: Rep Women 25% (90) 33% (118) 13% (45) 17% (61) 3% (12) 4% (15) 3% (10) 2% (5) 356Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 17% (98) 6% (34) 35%(200) 14% (80) 8% (44) 5% (26) 12% (68) 5% (29) 578Ideo: Moderate (4) 30%(174) 13% (73) 22%(129) 18%(104) 5% (29) 4% (25) 6% (33) 3% (18) 585Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 25%(182) 34%(242) 11% (80) 19%(134) 1% (10) 4% (30) 2% (13) 3% (21) 713


14



Demographic




terrorism,foreign



challenges




pay




loans



Registered Voters 25%(488) 18%(363) 21%(425) 17%(346) 4% (89) 5% (91) 6% (115) 4% (72) 1990Educ: < College 25%(312) 19%(235) 20%(245) 20%(247) 5% (60) 4% (51) 5% (64) 3% (38) 1252Educ: Bachelors degree 25% (117) 16% (77) 25% (116) 14% (65) 4% (20) 6% (27) 5% (26) 5% (22) 471Educ: Post-grad 22% (58) 19% (50) 24% (64) 13% (35) 4% (10) 5% (13) 9% (25) 5% (12) 268Income: Under 50k 21% (211) 18%(172) 21%(209) 22%(214) 5% (48) 5% (47) 5% (50) 3% (32) 983Income: 50k-100k 26%(177) 20%(133) 21%(139) 14% (97) 4% (29) 5% (33) 6% (42) 3% (23) 672Income: 100k+ 30%(100) 17% (58) 23% (77) 11% (36) 4% (12) 3% (11) 7% (23) 5% (18) 335Ethnicity: White 24%(387) 20%(319) 21%(336) 18%(292) 4% (64) 4% (65) 5% (88) 4% (58) 1610Ethnicity: Hispanic 31% (60) 14% (27) 23% (44) 8% (16) 5% (10) 6% (11) 8% (15) 5% (9) 193Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 26% (66) 13% (32) 24% (60) 15% (38) 5% (13) 8% (19) 6% (15) 4% (9) 252Ethnicity: Other 27% (35) 9% (11) 22% (28) 13% (17) 9% (12) 5% (7) 10% (13) 4% (5) 128All Christian 23%(234) 24%(239) 18%(175) 21%(207) 3% (31) 4% (44) 4% (45) 3% (26) 1000All Non-Christian 13% (13) 17% (16) 28% (27) 20% (19) 7% (7) 2% (2) 8% (8) 3% (3) 95Atheist 17% (16) 13% (13) 37% (36) 4% (4) 8% (8) 2% (2) 7% (7) 13% (12) 97Agnostic/Nothing in particular 28%(225) 12% (95) 23%(187) 15% (117) 5% (44) 5% (44) 7% (56) 4% (30) 798Religious Non-Protestant/Catholic 16% (20) 19% (23) 25% (31) 21% (26) 7% (9) 3% (4) 6% (8) 3% (3) 124Evangelical 25%(126) 25%(127) 16% (78) 21%(106) 4% (19) 4% (19) 2% (11) 3% (13) 500Non-Evangelical 24%(185) 19%(145) 22%(169) 18% (141) 4% (29) 5% (36) 6% (50) 3% (23) 779Community: Urban 28%(139) 13% (66) 24%(120) 15% (73) 5% (26) 5% (23) 6% (31) 4% (18) 495Community: Suburban 23%(219) 19%(185) 21%(198) 17%(165) 5% (50) 5% (44) 6% (58) 4% (43) 962Community: Rural 24%(130) 21% (112) 20%(107) 20%(108) 3% (14) 4% (24) 5% (26) 2% (12) 533



15

Table P3


Demographic




terrorism,foreign



challenges




pay




loans



Registered Voters 25%(488) 18%(363) 21%(425) 17%(346) 4% (89) 5% (91) 6% (115) 4% (72) 1990Employ: Private Sector 34%(213) 14% (91) 23%(146) 9% (60) 4% (27) 5% (32) 7% (47) 3% (18) 634Employ: Government 31% (31) 20% (20) 25% (25) 4% (4) 6% (6) 6% (6) 4% (5) 4% (4) 101Employ: Self-Employed 33% (56) 18% (31) 24% (41) 8% (14) 4% (6) 4% (8) 7% (12) 3% (5) 171Employ: Homemaker 22% (39) 21% (36) 22% (39) 11% (20) 9% (16) 6% (11) 6% (10) 3% (6) 176Employ: Retired 13% (72) 25% (141) 15% (88) 37%(210) 1% (7) 1% (8) 3% (19) 4% (24) 569Employ: Unemployed 22% (33) 15% (23) 27% (40) 15% (23) 4% (6) 7% (10) 4% (6) 6% (9) 150Employ: Other 20% (22) 14% (16) 28% (32) 13% (15) 9% (10) 7% (8) 5% (6) 4% (4) 113Military HH: Yes 20% (71) 26% (92) 16% (57) 21% (75) 4% (13) 3% (12) 5% (19) 5% (17) 356Military HH: No 26%(417) 17%(270) 23%(368) 17%(271) 5% (76) 5% (79) 6% (97) 3% (55) 1634RD/WT: Right Direction 29%(236) 31%(252) 12% (98) 17%(135) 2% (14) 4% (30) 3% (22) 2% (14) 799RD/WT: Wrong Track 21%(252) 9% (111) 27%(327) 18%(212) 6% (76) 5% (61) 8% (93) 5% (58) 1191Trump Job Approve 29%(238) 33%(270) 12% (101) 16%(132) 2% (15) 4% (30) 2% (14) 3% (21) 820Trump Job Disapprove 21%(233) 8% (89) 28%(316) 19%(210) 6% (71) 5% (58) 9%(100) 5% (51) 1130Trump Job Strongly Approve 26%(122) 41%(196) 11% (50) 13% (62) 2% (9) 3% (16) 1% (5) 3% (16) 476Trump Job Somewhat Approve 34% (117) 21% (74) 15% (51) 20% (69) 2% (6) 4% (14) 2% (8) 1% (5) 344Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove 31% (77) 10% (25) 18% (46) 16% (39) 6% (16) 7% (19) 8% (21) 3% (9) 252Trump Job Strongly Disapprove 18%(156) 7% (65) 31%(270) 19% (171) 6% (56) 4% (39) 9% (79) 5% (42) 878Favorable of Trump 29%(235) 34%(274) 12% (96) 17%(135) 2% (12) 4% (29) 2% (15) 2% (20) 816Unfavorable of Trump 21%(233) 7% (82) 28%(317) 18%(203) 7% (74) 5% (57) 9% (98) 5% (52) 1117Very Favorable of Trump 25%(120) 42%(203) 11% (52) 13% (65) 2% (10) 3% (13) 1% (7) 3% (15) 483Somewhat Favorable of Trump 34% (115) 22% (72) 13% (44) 21% (70) 1% (3) 5% (16) 2% (7) 2% (5) 333Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump 34% (57) 13% (23) 17% (28) 15% (26) 5% (8) 8% (14) 5% (8) 3% (6) 170Very Unfavorable of Trump 19%(176) 6% (60) 31%(289) 19%(177) 7% (65) 5% (44) 9% (90) 5% (47) 947


16



Demographic




terrorism,foreign



challenges




pay




loans



Registered Voters 25%(488) 18%(363) 21%(425) 17%(346) 4% (89) 5% (91) 6% (115) 4% (72) 1990#1 Issue: Economy 100%(488) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) 488#1 Issue: Security — (0) 100%(363) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) 363#1 Issue: Health Care — (0) — (0) 100%(425) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) 425#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security — (0) — (0) — (0) 100%(346) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) 346#1 Issue: Women’s Issues — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) 100% (89) — (0) — (0) — (0) 89#1 Issue: Education — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) 100% (91) — (0) — (0) 91#1 Issue: Energy — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) 100% (115) — (0) 115#1 Issue: Other — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) 100% (72) 722018 House Vote: Democrat 19%(162) 7% (60) 30%(251) 20%(166) 5% (40) 5% (42) 9% (73) 5% (39) 8322018 House Vote: Republican 28%(183) 37%(244) 9% (61) 17% (116) 2% (14) 3% (18) 2% (12) 2% (15) 6642018 House Vote: Someone else 31% (22) 15% (11) 18% (13) 16% (11) 6% (4) 6% (4) 5% (4) 4% (3) 732016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 19%(137) 8% (55) 28%(203) 21% (151) 6% (46) 4% (28) 8% (59) 5% (36) 7152016 Vote: Donald Trump 27%(188) 35%(247) 11% (80) 18%(124) 1% (8) 4% (25) 2% (14) 2% (18) 7052016 Vote: Other 28% (49) 13% (23) 23% (39) 16% (29) 6% (10) 5% (9) 4% (8) 4% (6) 1732016 Vote: Didn’t Vote 28% (111) 9% (37) 26% (101) 11% (43) 7% (26) 7% (29) 9% (34) 3% (12) 391Voted in 2014: Yes 23%(313) 21%(283) 20%(277) 20%(272) 3% (44) 4% (53) 5% (74) 4% (51) 1367Voted in 2014: No 28%(175) 13% (80) 24%(148) 12% (75) 7% (45) 6% (38) 7% (41) 3% (21) 6232012 Vote: Barack Obama 21%(179) 10% (86) 28%(241) 21%(179) 4% (33) 5% (43) 7% (65) 5% (39) 8642012 Vote: Mitt Romney 27%(144) 35%(188) 11% (62) 18%(100) 2% (9) 3% (14) 2% (9) 3% (17) 5422012 Vote: Other 23% (19) 26% (21) 12% (10) 23% (19) 5% (4) 2% (2) 5% (4) 3% (2) 822012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 29%(142) 14% (68) 22% (111) 10% (49) 9% (44) 7% (32) 7% (37) 3% (14) 497



17

Table P3


Demographic




terrorism,foreign



challenges




pay




loans



Registered Voters 25%(488) 18%(363) 21%(425) 17%(346) 4% (89) 5% (91) 6% (115) 4% (72) 19904-Region: Northeast 27% (97) 16% (56) 20% (71) 20% (70) 4% (14) 3% (12) 7% (24) 3% (11) 3554-Region: Midwest 23%(107) 17% (77) 22% (99) 16% (72) 6% (26) 7% (30) 6% (27) 4% (19) 4574-Region: South 25%(189) 21%(154) 20%(150) 18%(132) 4% (27) 4% (33) 4% (31) 4% (28) 7434-Region: West 22% (96) 17% (75) 24%(103) 17% (73) 5% (23) 4% (17) 8% (33) 3% (15) 435DPV 21%(205) 7% (72) 30%(290) 17% (171) 6% (60) 6% (59) 9% (87) 4% (38) 982DPV Already Voted 12% (7) 6% (3) 36% (21) 19% (11) 7% (4) 3% (2) 12% (7) 6% (3) 57DPV Likely to Vote 21%(198) 7% (69) 29%(269) 17%(160) 6% (56) 6% (58) 9% (80) 4% (35) 925Vote for Joe Biden 17% (69) 7% (31) 30%(123) 25%(104) 4% (16) 4% (16) 7% (29) 5% (20) 408Vote for Michael Bloomberg 29% (26) 10% (9) 15% (14) 23% (20) 6% (5) 6% (5) 11% (9) — (0) 88Vote for Bernie Sanders 22% (71) 5% (17) 34% (111) 8% (27) 9% (29) 9% (28) 10% (32) 2% (7) 323Vote for Elizabeth Warren 17% (19) 9% (10) 29% (31) 11% (12) 8% (9) 5% (5) 12% (14) 9% (10) 110Note: Row proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. For more information visit MorningConsultIntelligence.com.


18

Morning ConsultTable PI1

Table PI1: How likely is it that you will vote in the 2020 presidential primary or caucus in your state?

DemographicAbsolutelycertain Very likely About 50-50 Not too likely

Not likely atall

Alreadyvoted Total N

Registered Voters 65% (1293) 13% (255) 9% (183) 4% (72) 5% (107) 4% (81) 1990Gender: Male 68% (636) 12% (113) 8% (73) 3% (28) 6% (52) 3% (30) 931Gender: Female 62% (657) 13% (143) 10% (110) 4% (43) 5% (55) 5% (51) 1059Age: 18-29 53% (163) 19% (59) 15% (45) 4% (13) 5% (16) 3% (10) 306Age: 30-44 61% (303) 18% (87) 12% (60) 3% (14) 4% (19) 2% (12) 496Age: 45-54 61% (180) 10% (30) 11% (32) 4% (13) 9% (26) 4% (12) 293Age: 55-64 72% (311) 9% (37) 5% (20) 5% (22) 4% (17) 6% (24) 432Age: 65+ 72% (335) 9% (42) 5% (25) 2% (9) 6% (29) 5% (23) 463Generation Z: 18-22 49% (54) 19% (21) 20% (22) 5% (5) 5% (6) 2% (2) 110Millennial: Age 23-38 57% (297) 18% (95) 14% (72) 4% (18) 4% (21) 3% (13) 516Generation X: Age 39-54 63% (296) 13% (60) 9% (43) 4% (17) 7% (33) 4% (19) 468Boomers: Age 55-73 73% (563) 9% (66) 5% (36) 4% (31) 5% (37) 5% (42) 775PID: Dem (no lean) 72% (595) 13% (104) 7% (54) 1% (12) 2% (15) 6% (49) 829PID: Ind (no lean) 47% (233) 13% (66) 15% (75) 8% (40) 14% (70) 2% (11) 495PID: Rep (no lean) 70% (464) 13% (85) 8% (54) 3% (19) 3% (22) 3% (21) 666PID/Gender: DemMen 76% (271) 12% (44) 6% (20) 1% (3) 2% (7) 4% (13) 359PID/Gender: DemWomen 69% (324) 13% (60) 7% (34) 2% (9) 2% (8) 8% (36) 470PID/Gender: Ind Men 54% (142) 11% (28) 12% (31) 7% (18) 14% (36) 3% (8) 263PID/Gender: Ind Women 39% (91) 17% (39) 19% (43) 10% (22) 14% (34) 1% (3) 232PID/Gender: Rep Men 72% (222) 13% (41) 7% (21) 2% (7) 3% (9) 3% (10) 309PID/Gender: Rep Women 68% (242) 12% (44) 9% (33) 3% (12) 4% (13) 3% (12) 356Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 74% (430) 10% (55) 6% (33) 2% (9) 3% (15) 6% (35) 578Ideo: Moderate (4) 58% (337) 18% (104) 13% (74) 4% (22) 6% (34) 2% (14) 585Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 68% (484) 12% (83) 7% (47) 4% (28) 6% (42) 4% (30) 713Educ: < College 62% (774) 15% (183) 11% (144) 4% (47) 5% (59) 4% (45) 1252Educ: Bachelors degree 69% (325) 10% (45) 7% (31) 3% (15) 6% (30) 5% (24) 471Educ: Post-grad 72% (194) 10% (27) 3% (8) 4% (10) 7% (18) 4% (12) 268Income: Under 50k 60% (589) 16% (153) 11% (109) 4% (38) 6% (57) 4% (38) 983Income: 50k-100k 67% (448) 11% (74) 9% (59) 3% (21) 6% (39) 5% (32) 672Income: 100k+ 76% (256) 8% (28) 5% (15) 4% (13) 3% (11) 3% (11) 335Ethnicity: White 65% (1053) 12% (199) 9% (142) 4% (57) 6% (92) 4% (66) 1610Ethnicity: Hispanic 66% (127) 11% (22) 9% (17) 2% (4) 6% (12) 6% (11) 193



19

Table PI1



Not likely atall


Registered Voters 65% (1293) 13% (255) 9% (183) 4% (72) 5% (107) 4% (81) 1990Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 61% (155) 16% (40) 11% (29) 3% (7) 4% (10) 5% (12) 252Ethnicity: Other 66% (85) 12% (16) 9% (12) 6% (7) 4% (5) 2% (3) 128All Christian 67% (673) 12% (125) 7% (68) 4% (41) 5% (46) 5% (46) 1000All Non-Christian 70% (67) 12% (11) 6% (5) 3% (3) 3% (3) 6% (5) 95Atheist 73% (70) 6% (6) 7% (7) 1% (1) 7% (7) 6% (6) 97Agnostic/Nothing in particular 60% (482) 14% (114) 13% (103) 3% (26) 6% (51) 3% (23) 798Religious Non-Protestant/Catholic 67% (83) 17% (21) 6% (8) 3% (3) 3% (3) 5% (6) 124Evangelical 66% (330) 15% (74) 8% (41) 4% (22) 3% (14) 4% (19) 500Non-Evangelical 66% (515) 12% (90) 9% (69) 4% (29) 6% (45) 4% (32) 779Community: Urban 65% (320) 13% (65) 10% (51) 3% (13) 6% (29) 4% (17) 495Community: Suburban 67% (647) 12% (113) 8% (73) 4% (39) 5% (45) 5% (45) 962Community: Rural 61% (325) 15% (77) 11% (58) 4% (20) 6% (34) 3% (18) 533Employ: Private Sector 69% (438) 12% (75) 8% (53) 3% (18) 5% (29) 3% (20) 634Employ: Government 65% (65) 17% (18) 10% (10) — (0) 7% (7) 1% (1) 101Employ: Self-Employed 63% (108) 12% (21) 11% (18) 5% (8) 3% (5) 6% (11) 171Employ: Homemaker 49% (86) 23% (40) 12% (21) 5% (9) 7% (12) 4% (8) 176Employ: Retired 72% (409) 8% (46) 5% (29) 3% (18) 6% (35) 5% (31) 569Employ: Unemployed 51% (76) 20% (30) 13% (19) 7% (10) 8% (12) 2% (3) 150Employ: Other 58% (66) 12% (14) 18% (20) 2% (3) 5% (5) 5% (5) 113Military HH: Yes 68% (244) 11% (39) 7% (25) 3% (11) 5% (19) 5% (18) 356Military HH: No 64% (1049) 13% (216) 10% (158) 4% (60) 5% (88) 4% (62) 1634RD/WT: Right Direction 67% (537) 14% (112) 8% (64) 3% (25) 5% (41) 2% (19) 799RD/WT: Wrong Track 63% (755) 12% (143) 10% (119) 4% (46) 6% (66) 5% (61) 1191Trump Job Approve 66% (544) 13% (110) 9% (76) 3% (25) 5% (41) 3% (25) 820Trump Job Disapprove 66% (743) 13% (142) 8% (93) 4% (41) 5% (55) 5% (56) 1130Trump Job Strongly Approve 75% (359) 8% (40) 7% (32) 3% (13) 3% (14) 4% (17) 476Trump Job Somewhat Approve 54% (185) 20% (70) 13% (44) 3% (12) 8% (26) 2% (7) 344Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove 47% (119) 20% (49) 14% (36) 7% (19) 7% (18) 4% (11) 252Trump Job Strongly Disapprove 71% (624) 11% (93) 7% (57) 2% (22) 4% (37) 5% (45) 878Favorable of Trump 67% (546) 14% (111) 9% (70) 3% (24) 5% (41) 3% (24) 816Unfavorable of Trump 65% (731) 12% (135) 9% (96) 4% (42) 5% (56) 5% (57) 1117


20




Not likely atall


Registered Voters 65% (1293) 13% (255) 9% (183) 4% (72) 5% (107) 4% (81) 1990Very Favorable of Trump 74% (359) 9% (43) 8% (38) 3% (13) 3% (14) 4% (17) 483Somewhat Favorable of Trump 56% (188) 20% (68) 10% (32) 3% (12) 8% (27) 2% (7) 333Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump 51% (87) 14% (23) 14% (24) 9% (16) 7% (12) 5% (8) 170Very Unfavorable of Trump 68% (645) 12% (112) 8% (72) 3% (26) 5% (44) 5% (48) 947#1 Issue: Economy 59% (290) 15% (74) 13% (63) 3% (16) 7% (34) 2% (10) 488#1 Issue: Security 71% (257) 11% (41) 6% (23) 4% (13) 5% (17) 3% (13) 363#1 Issue: Health Care 65% (276) 15% (65) 6% (27) 4% (15) 4% (17) 6% (25) 425#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 68% (234) 11% (38) 7% (25) 4% (14) 6% (21) 5% (16) 346#1 Issue: Women’s Issues 62% (55) 11% (10) 17% (16) 3% (3) 2% (1) 5% (4) 89#1 Issue: Education 61% (56) 17% (16) 13% (12) 4% (3) 4% (3) 2% (2) 91#1 Issue: Energy 69% (80) 5% (6) 10% (12) 4% (5) 5% (6) 6% (7) 115#1 Issue: Other 62% (45) 8% (6) 7% (5) 4% (3) 12% (9) 6% (5) 722018 House Vote: Democrat 76% (633) 9% (77) 4% (36) 2% (13) 3% (25) 6% (48) 8322018 House Vote: Republican 72% (476) 12% (82) 6% (40) 2% (16) 4% (28) 3% (22) 6642018 House Vote: Someone else 57% (42) 17% (12) 12% (9) 2% (2) 10% (7) 2% (2) 732016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 76% (542) 10% (75) 3% (24) 2% (14) 3% (19) 6% (42) 7152016 Vote: Donald Trump 70% (491) 12% (87) 7% (48) 3% (22) 5% (36) 3% (22) 7052016 Vote: Other 60% (104) 14% (24) 10% (18) 3% (4) 8% (13) 5% (9) 1732016 Vote: Didn’t Vote 39% (153) 17% (68) 24% (93) 8% (32) 10% (38) 2% (8) 391Voted in 2014: Yes 74% (1010) 11% (145) 5% (68) 2% (30) 4% (49) 5% (65) 1367Voted in 2014: No 45% (283) 18% (110) 18% (115) 7% (42) 9% (58) 2% (16) 6232012 Vote: Barack Obama 72% (623) 11% (97) 6% (52) 2% (20) 3% (27) 5% (47) 8642012 Vote: Mitt Romney 70% (382) 11% (61) 5% (29) 3% (17) 6% (30) 4% (22) 5422012 Vote: Other 58% (47) 16% (13) 10% (8) 5% (4) 8% (6) 3% (2) 822012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 48% (237) 17% (84) 19% (94) 6% (30) 9% (43) 2% (10) 4974-Region: Northeast 61% (218) 18% (63) 9% (34) 4% (14) 6% (21) 2% (6) 3554-Region: Midwest 65% (295) 15% (67) 10% (44) 4% (20) 5% (25) 1% (6) 4574-Region: South 65% (485) 11% (84) 10% (73) 4% (26) 5% (40) 5% (34) 7434-Region: West 68% (294) 10% (42) 7% (32) 3% (11) 5% (21) 8% (34) 435DPV 75% (736) 12% (123) 7% (66) — (0) — (0) 6% (57) 982DPV Already Voted — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) 100% (57) 57



21

Table PI1



Not likely atall


Registered Voters 65% (1293) 13% (255) 9% (183) 4% (72) 5% (107) 4% (81) 1990DPV Likely to Vote 80% (736) 13% (123) 7% (66) — (0) — (0) — (0) 925Vote for Joe Biden 78% (318) 11% (47) 5% (21) — (0) — (0) 6% (23) 408Vote for Michael Bloomberg 79% (70) 11% (9) 8% (7) — (0) — (0) 3% (3) 88Vote for Bernie Sanders 71% (228) 15% (49) 8% (26) — (0) — (0) 6% (20) 323Vote for Elizabeth Warren 78% (85) 9% (10) 5% (5) — (0) — (0) 8% (9) 110Note: Row proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. For more information visit MorningConsultIntelligence.com.


22


Table PI2: Now thinking about the 2020 presidential primary or caucus in your state, would you vote in the:

DemographicDemocratic primary or

caucusRepublican primary or

caucusDon’t Know / No

Opinion Total N

Registered Voters 54% (982) 37% (676) 8% (154) 1812Gender: Male 55% (467) 38% (324) 7% (61) 851Gender: Female 54% (515) 37% (352) 10% (93) 960Age: 18-29 69% (191) 23% (65) 8% (21) 277Age: 30-44 57% (262) 33% (152) 11% (49) 463Age: 45-54 47% (118) 43% (108) 11% (27) 254Age: 55-64 53% (209) 40% (156) 7% (27) 393Age: 65+ 47% (201) 46% (195) 7% (30) 425Generation Z: 18-22 75% (74) 18% (18) 7% (7) 99Millennial: Age 23-38 62% (295) 30% (141) 8% (40) 476Generation X: Age 39-54 49% (203) 39% (165) 12% (50) 418Boomers: Age 55-73 51% (362) 42% (295) 7% (50) 707PID: Dem (no lean) 97% (779) 1% (10) 2% (12) 802PID: Ind (no lean) 45% (173) 25% (98) 30% (115) 385PID: Rep (no lean) 5% (30) 91% (568) 4% (27) 624PID/Gender: DemMen 97% (339) 1% (4) 2% (6) 349PID/Gender: DemWomen 97% (440) 1% (7) 1% (6) 453PID/Gender: Ind Men 51% (107) 27% (57) 22% (45) 209PID/Gender: Ind Women 38% (66) 23% (40) 39% (70) 176PID/Gender: Rep Men 7% (21) 90% (263) 3% (10) 293PID/Gender: Rep Women 3% (9) 92% (305) 5% (17) 331Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 93% (512) 5% (25) 3% (16) 554Ideo: Moderate (4) 61% (323) 25% (134) 14% (72) 530Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 17% (109) 76% (492) 7% (43) 644Educ: < College 52% (599) 38% (438) 9% (108) 1145Educ: Bachelors degree 57% (241) 35% (150) 8% (35) 426Educ: Post-grad 59% (142) 37% (88) 4% (11) 240Income: Under 50k 57% (505) 34% (303) 9% (80) 888Income: 50k-100k 50% (304) 42% (257) 9% (53) 613Income: 100k+ 56% (173) 37% (116) 7% (21) 310Ethnicity: White 48% (698) 44% (639) 8% (123) 1460Ethnicity: Hispanic 67% (118) 25% (45) 8% (14) 177



23

Table PI2





Opinion Total N

Registered Voters 54% (982) 37% (676) 8% (154) 1812Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 87% (205) 6% (14) 7% (16) 236Ethnicity: Other 68% (78) 20% (23) 12% (14) 116All Christian 45% (415) 48% (439) 7% (60) 913All Non-Christian 69% (61) 20% (18) 11% (10) 89Atheist 83% (73) 15% (14) 2% (2) 89Agnostic/Nothing in particular 60% (433) 28% (205) 11% (83) 721Religious Non-Protestant/Catholic 60% (71) 27% (32) 13% (15) 118Evangelical 39% (181) 56% (258) 5% (24) 463Non-Evangelical 54% (379) 37% (264) 9% (62) 705Community: Urban 65% (297) 26% (120) 8% (37) 454Community: Suburban 53% (470) 38% (332) 9% (77) 878Community: Rural 45% (216) 47% (223) 8% (40) 479Employ: Private Sector 54% (317) 37% (217) 9% (53) 586Employ: Government 59% (55) 34% (32) 8% (7) 94Employ: Self-Employed 57% (90) 34% (54) 9% (14) 158Employ: Homemaker 46% (72) 46% (71) 8% (12) 155Employ: Retired 49% (255) 43% (223) 7% (38) 516Employ: Unemployed 65% (84) 28% (35) 7% (9) 128Employ: Other 59% (62) 29% (30) 12% (12) 105Military HH: Yes 43% (141) 47% (154) 10% (32) 326Military HH: No 57% (841) 35% (522) 8% (122) 1486RD/WT: Right Direction 18% (135) 75% (547) 7% (51) 733RD/WT: Wrong Track 79% (847) 12% (128) 10% (103) 1079Trump Job Approve 13% (99) 79% (597) 8% (58) 754Trump Job Disapprove 85% (875) 7% (76) 8% (83) 1034Trump Job Strongly Approve 7% (31) 89% (400) 4% (17) 448Trump Job Somewhat Approve 22% (69) 64% (197) 13% (41) 306Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove 61% (132) 18% (38) 21% (45) 215Trump Job Strongly Disapprove 91% (744) 5% (38) 5% (38) 819Favorable of Trump 12% (94) 80% (598) 8% (59) 751Unfavorable of Trump 86% (873) 7% (70) 7% (76) 1019


24






Opinion Total N

Registered Voters 54% (982) 37% (676) 8% (154) 1812Very Favorable of Trump 5% (22) 92% (419) 3% (16) 457Somewhat Favorable of Trump 25% (72) 61% (179) 15% (43) 294Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump 58% (83) 22% (31) 20% (28) 142Very Unfavorable of Trump 90% (790) 4% (38) 6% (48) 877#1 Issue: Economy 47% (205) 42% (184) 11% (49) 438#1 Issue: Security 22% (72) 73% (245) 5% (16) 333#1 Issue: Health Care 74% (290) 20% (78) 6% (25) 393#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 55% (171) 35% (110) 10% (31) 312#1 Issue: Women’s Issues 70% (60) 16% (13) 14% (12) 85#1 Issue: Education 70% (59) 20% (17) 10% (9) 85#1 Issue: Energy 83% (87) 11% (12) 5% (5) 105#1 Issue: Other 62% (38) 27% (16) 11% (7) 612018 House Vote: Democrat 93% (739) 4% (29) 3% (26) 7942018 House Vote: Republican 8% (47) 87% (542) 5% (31) 6202018 House Vote: Someone else 34% (22) 12% (8) 54% (34) 642016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 93% (635) 4% (27) 3% (20) 6832016 Vote: Donald Trump 12% (78) 83% (535) 5% (35) 6472016 Vote: Other 56% (88) 19% (29) 25% (38) 1552016 Vote: Didn’t Vote 56% (180) 25% (80) 19% (61) 321Voted in 2014: Yes 54% (692) 41% (523) 6% (72) 1288Voted in 2014: No 55% (290) 29% (153) 16% (82) 5242012 Vote: Barack Obama 82% (672) 13% (104) 5% (43) 8182012 Vote: Mitt Romney 15% (72) 80% (395) 6% (28) 4942012 Vote: Other 23% (16) 55% (39) 23% (16) 712012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 52% (219) 32% (137) 16% (67) 4244-Region: Northeast 60% (192) 31% (99) 9% (30) 3204-Region: Midwest 56% (232) 36% (149) 7% (31) 4124-Region: South 52% (352) 40% (271) 8% (54) 6774-Region: West 51% (206) 39% (157) 10% (39) 402DPV 100% (982) — (0) — (0) 982DPV Already Voted 100% (57) — (0) — (0) 57



25

Table PI2





Opinion Total N

Registered Voters 54% (982) 37% (676) 8% (154) 1812DPV Likely to Vote 100% (925) — (0) — (0) 925Vote for Joe Biden 100% (408) — (0) — (0) 408Vote for Michael Bloomberg 100% (88) — (0) — (0) 88Vote for Bernie Sanders 100% (323) — (0) — (0) 323Vote for Elizabeth Warren 100% (110) — (0) — (0) 110Note: Row proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. For more information visit MorningConsultIntelligence.com.


26


Table PI3: If the Democratic presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, for whom would you vote?

Demographic Joe BidenMichael

BloombergTulsi

GabbardBernieSanders

ElizabethWarren


Registered Voters 42% (408) 9% (88) 1% (14) 33% (323) 11% (110) 4% (40) 982Gender: Male 42% (195) 10% (45) 1% (6) 38% (175) 7% (33) 3% (12) 467Gender: Female 41% (212) 8% (44) 1% (8) 29% (148) 15% (76) 5% (28) 515Age: 18-29 22% (41) 5% (9) 1% (1) 58% (111) 10% (19) 5% (10) 191Age: 30-44 29% (76) 9% (24) 2% (5) 42% (111) 14% (37) 4% (10) 262Age: 45-54 49% (57) 7% (8) 4% (4) 28% (34) 9% (11) 4% (4) 118Age: 55-64 47% (99) 13% (27) 2% (4) 22% (45) 13% (26) 4% (8) 209Age: 65+ 67% (135) 10% (20) — (0) 11% (22) 8% (17) 4% (8) 201Generation Z: 18-22 20% (15) 3% (2) 1% (0) 65% (48) 9% (6) 3% (2) 74Millennial: Age 23-38 25% (75) 6% (18) 1% (3) 49% (146) 13% (38) 5% (15) 295Generation X: Age 39-54 42% (85) 10% (21) 3% (7) 31% (62) 11% (22) 3% (6) 203Boomers: Age 55-73 55% (198) 12% (43) 1% (4) 17% (63) 11% (40) 4% (14) 362PID: Dem (no lean) 41% (320) 9% (71) 1% (7) 33% (254) 12% (92) 4% (35) 779PID: Ind (no lean) 40% (70) 8% (14) 3% (6) 37% (63) 10% (17) 2% (3) 173PID/Gender: DemMen 41% (139) 10% (34) 1% (3) 37% (125) 8% (28) 3% (11) 339PID/Gender: DemWomen 41% (182) 8% (37) 1% (4) 29% (129) 15% (64) 5% (24) 440PID/Gender: Ind Men 42% (45) 7% (8) 2% (2) 43% (46) 5% (5) 1% (1) 107PID/Gender: Ind Women 38% (25) 10% (7) 5% (3) 27% (18) 18% (12) 2% (1) 66Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 37% (189) 7% (34) 1% (3) 39% (199) 15% (75) 2% (12) 512Ideo: Moderate (4) 47% (153) 11% (36) 3% (9) 27% (87) 8% (25) 4% (14) 323Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 47% (51) 14% (16) 2% (2) 22% (24) 8% (9) 6% (7) 109Educ: < College 41% (246) 9% (53) 1% (7) 34% (206) 10% (58) 5% (29) 599Educ: Bachelors degree 37% (90) 10% (24) 2% (5) 35% (84) 12% (30) 4% (9) 241Educ: Post-grad 51% (72) 8% (11) 1% (2) 23% (33) 15% (22) 1% (1) 142Income: Under 50k 37% (189) 9% (47) 1% (5) 37% (185) 11% (56) 5% (23) 505Income: 50k-100k 40% (121) 7% (21) 2% (6) 34% (102) 13% (39) 5% (14) 304Income: 100k+ 56% (98) 12% (21) 1% (2) 21% (36) 8% (14) 2% (3) 173Ethnicity: White 42% (293) 10% (67) 2% (12) 31% (216) 12% (86) 3% (24) 698Ethnicity: Hispanic 24% (28) 9% (10) — (0) 52% (61) 11% (13) 5% (6) 118Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 44% (90) 8% (17) — (0) 34% (69) 9% (18) 6% (12) 205Ethnicity: Other 32% (25) 6% (5) 2% (2) 48% (37) 7% (6) 5% (4) 78



27

Table PI3



BloombergTulsi


ElizabethWarren


Registered Voters 42% (408) 9% (88) 1% (14) 33% (323) 11% (110) 4% (40) 982All Christian 52% (214) 10% (43) 2% (8) 23% (95) 10% (40) 4% (15) 415All Non-Christian 44% (27) 10% (6) 1% (1) 28% (17) 13% (8) 3% (2) 61Atheist 30% (22) 4% (3) — (0) 48% (35) 18% (13) 1% (1) 73Agnostic/Nothing in particular 33% (145) 8% (37) 1% (5) 41% (176) 11% (48) 5% (22) 433Religious Non-Protestant/Catholic 42% (30) 11% (8) 1% (1) 30% (21) 13% (9) 3% (2) 71Evangelical 48% (87) 12% (21) — (1) 25% (45) 9% (16) 7% (12) 181Non-Evangelical 47% (178) 10% (36) 3% (10) 27% (101) 10% (39) 4% (14) 379Community: Urban 37% (109) 9% (28) 1% (2) 35% (105) 13% (38) 5% (15) 297Community: Suburban 44% (207) 9% (41) 1% (6) 33% (155) 10% (47) 3% (14) 470Community: Rural 42% (91) 9% (20) 3% (6) 29% (63) 11% (24) 5% (11) 216Employ: Private Sector 35% (112) 10% (31) 2% (8) 38% (121) 11% (35) 3% (10) 317Employ: Government 45% (25) 6% (3) 1% (1) 31% (17) 13% (7) 3% (2) 55Employ: Self-Employed 30% (27) 10% (9) — (0) 45% (40) 14% (12) 1% (1) 90Employ: Homemaker 29% (21) 13% (10) 2% (1) 29% (21) 17% (12) 10% (7) 72Employ: Retired 62% (159) 10% (24) — (1) 13% (32) 10% (25) 5% (13) 255Employ: Unemployed 33% (28) 8% (7) 3% (2) 43% (36) 9% (7) 4% (3) 84Employ: Other 36% (22) 6% (4) — (0) 48% (30) 8% (5) 2% (1) 62Military HH: Yes 46% (65) 15% (21) 1% (1) 25% (35) 11% (15) 3% (4) 141Military HH: No 41% (342) 8% (68) 1% (13) 34% (288) 11% (95) 4% (36) 841RD/WT: Right Direction 34% (45) 14% (19) 4% (6) 34% (46) 8% (10) 7% (9) 135RD/WT: Wrong Track 43% (362) 8% (70) 1% (8) 33% (277) 12% (99) 4% (31) 847Trump Job Approve 27% (27) 13% (13) 5% (5) 39% (39) 7% (7) 9% (9) 99Trump Job Disapprove 44% (381) 9% (75) 1% (7) 32% (279) 12% (103) 3% (30) 875Trump Job Somewhat Approve 27% (18) 12% (8) 5% (3) 41% (28) 6% (4) 9% (6) 69Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove 36% (47) 12% (15) 4% (5) 38% (50) 7% (9) 4% (6) 132Trump Job Strongly Disapprove 45% (334) 8% (60) — (2) 31% (229) 13% (94) 3% (25) 744Favorable of Trump 32% (30) 9% (9) 5% (5) 38% (36) 4% (4) 11% (10) 94Unfavorable of Trump 43% (375) 9% (79) 1% (7) 32% (279) 12% (104) 3% (28) 873Somewhat Favorable of Trump 35% (25) 9% (7) 3% (2) 36% (26) 6% (4) 11% (8) 72Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump 31% (25) 17% (14) 6% (5) 35% (29) 8% (6) 3% (3) 83Very Unfavorable of Trump 44% (350) 8% (65) — (2) 32% (250) 12% (98) 3% (26) 790


28




BloombergTulsi


ElizabethWarren


Registered Voters 42% (408) 9% (88) 1% (14) 33% (323) 11% (110) 4% (40) 982#1 Issue: Economy 34% (69) 13% (26) 3% (5) 35% (71) 9% (19) 7% (14) 205#1 Issue: Security 42% (31) 12% (9) 5% (4) 24% (17) 14% (10) 3% (2) 72#1 Issue: Health Care 42% (123) 5% (14) 1% (3) 38% (111) 11% (31) 3% (8) 290#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 61% (104) 12% (20) 1% (1) 16% (27) 7% (12) 4% (7) 171#1 Issue: Women’s Issues 27% (16) 9% (5) — (0) 48% (29) 15% (9) 1% (1) 60#1 Issue: Education 28% (16) 9% (5) 1% (0) 48% (28) 9% (5) 6% (3) 59#1 Issue: Energy 33% (29) 11% (9) — (0) 37% (32) 16% (14) 4% (3) 872018 House Vote: Democrat 44% (326) 8% (60) 1% (6) 31% (226) 12% (91) 4% (30) 7392016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 47% (296) 9% (57) 1% (4) 27% (170) 14% (87) 3% (21) 6352016 Vote: Donald Trump 40% (31) 11% (8) 5% (4) 29% (23) 6% (4) 9% (7) 782016 Vote: Other 35% (31) 5% (5) 5% (4) 45% (39) 5% (4) 5% (5) 882016 Vote: Didn’t Vote 28% (50) 10% (18) 1% (2) 50% (90) 8% (14) 4% (7) 180Voted in 2014: Yes 46% (319) 10% (66) 1% (8) 27% (185) 12% (85) 4% (30) 692Voted in 2014: No 31% (89) 8% (23) 2% (5) 48% (138) 9% (25) 3% (10) 2902012 Vote: Barack Obama 45% (300) 9% (60) 1% (9) 27% (183) 14% (92) 4% (28) 6722012 Vote: Mitt Romney 50% (36) 11% (8) 1% (1) 28% (20) 6% (4) 5% (3) 722012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 29% (64) 9% (19) 2% (4) 52% (114) 6% (13) 2% (5) 2194-Region: Northeast 38% (73) 7% (14) 2% (3) 33% (64) 11% (22) 8% (16) 1924-Region: Midwest 41% (96) 10% (23) 2% (5) 31% (73) 11% (26) 4% (10) 2324-Region: South 45% (160) 11% (38) 1% (4) 30% (106) 9% (32) 3% (12) 3524-Region: West 39% (79) 7% (13) 1% (1) 39% (80) 14% (30) 1% (2) 206DPV 42% (408) 9% (88) 1% (14) 33% (323) 11% (110) 4% (40) 982DPV Already Voted 39% (23) 4% (3) 3% (2) 35% (20) 15% (9) 3% (2) 57DPV Likely to Vote 42% (385) 9% (86) 1% (12) 33% (303) 11% (101) 4% (38) 925Vote for Joe Biden 100% (408) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) 408Vote for Michael Bloomberg — (0) 100% (88) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) 88Vote for Bernie Sanders — (0) — (0) — (0) 100% (323) — (0) — (0) 323Vote for Elizabeth Warren — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) 100% (110) — (0) 110Note: Row proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. For more information visit MorningConsultIntelligence.com.



29

Table PI4_1

Table PI4_1: How well do each of the following describe how you feel about the 2020 presidential election?Con dent

Demographic Very well Somewhat well Not too well Not well at allDon’t know /No opinion Total N

Registered Voters 21% (423) 27% (537) 25% (507) 16% (320) 10% (203) 1990Gender: Male 27% (249) 29% (273) 23% (212) 15% (139) 6% (59) 931Gender: Female 16% (174) 25% (265) 28% (295) 17% (181) 14% (143) 1059Age: 18-29 15% (45) 23% (71) 33% (102) 15% (46) 14% (42) 306Age: 30-44 22% (108) 28% (138) 24% (121) 15% (76) 11% (52) 496Age: 45-54 19% (55) 28% (81) 23% (67) 22% (63) 9% (27) 293Age: 55-64 22% (94) 26% (114) 26% (114) 16% (69) 10% (41) 432Age: 65+ 26% (121) 29% (134) 22% (103) 14% (66) 9% (39) 463Generation Z: 18-22 15% (17) 31% (34) 23% (25) 17% (18) 15% (16) 110Millennial: Age 23-38 18% (91) 25% (128) 30% (157) 15% (77) 12% (64) 516Generation X: Age 39-54 21% (100) 27% (128) 23% (108) 19% (90) 9% (42) 468Boomers: Age 55-73 23% (182) 28% (215) 25% (197) 15% (117) 8% (65) 775PID: Dem (no lean) 18% (147) 28% (232) 29% (239) 16% (136) 9% (75) 829PID: Ind (no lean) 10% (51) 20% (101) 34% (167) 22% (108) 14% (69) 495PID: Rep (no lean) 34% (225) 31% (205) 15% (102) 11% (76) 9% (58) 666PID/Gender: DemMen 23% (82) 32% (116) 25% (89) 14% (49) 7% (23) 359PID/Gender: DemWomen 14% (65) 25% (116) 32% (150) 19% (88) 11% (52) 470PID/Gender: Ind Men 14% (38) 21% (56) 33% (87) 22% (57) 10% (26) 263PID/Gender: Ind Women 6% (13) 19% (45) 34% (80) 22% (51) 19% (43) 232PID/Gender: Rep Men 42% (129) 33% (101) 12% (36) 11% (33) 3% (10) 309PID/Gender: Rep Women 27% (97) 29% (104) 18% (66) 12% (42) 14% (48) 356Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 15% (89) 26% (148) 33% (190) 19% (111) 7% (40) 578Ideo: Moderate (4) 16% (93) 28% (163) 29% (168) 18% (106) 10% (56) 585Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 32% (230) 30% (215) 17% (122) 13% (91) 8% (56) 713Educ: < College 24% (303) 26% (328) 23% (283) 14% (173) 13% (164) 1252Educ: Bachelors degree 16% (74) 28% (130) 30% (142) 20% (95) 6% (30) 471Educ: Post-grad 17% (46) 29% (79) 31% (82) 19% (52) 3% (9) 268Income: Under 50k 23% (225) 25% (249) 24% (234) 15% (144) 13% (132) 983Income: 50k-100k 20% (132) 30% (203) 26% (172) 17% (113) 8% (53) 672Income: 100k+ 20% (66) 25% (85) 31% (102) 19% (63) 5% (18) 335Ethnicity: White 21% (342) 27% (438) 25% (409) 17% (272) 9% (149) 1610


30

Morning ConsultTable PI4_1



Registered Voters 21% (423) 27% (537) 25% (507) 16% (320) 10% (203) 1990Ethnicity: Hispanic 23% (43) 31% (59) 25% (49) 11% (21) 11% (21) 193Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 25% (62) 25% (63) 24% (60) 14% (35) 13% (32) 252Ethnicity: Other 15% (19) 28% (36) 30% (38) 10% (13) 17% (21) 128All Christian 24% (239) 31% (314) 22% (224) 14% (144) 8% (79) 1000All Non-Christian 19% (18) 24% (23) 30% (28) 20% (19) 6% (6) 95Atheist 18% (18) 19% (18) 28% (27) 32% (31) 3% (3) 97Agnostic/Nothing in particular 19% (148) 23% (182) 29% (228) 16% (126) 14% (114) 798Religious Non-Protestant/Catholic 17% (21) 24% (30) 32% (39) 21% (26) 7% (8) 124Evangelical 28% (142) 31% (157) 19% (95) 9% (47) 12% (59) 500Non-Evangelical 22% (168) 28% (220) 25% (197) 16% (121) 9% (72) 779Community: Urban 22% (109) 27% (133) 26% (129) 15% (74) 10% (51) 495Community: Suburban 19% (186) 26% (255) 27% (258) 18% (175) 9% (88) 962Community: Rural 24% (128) 28% (149) 23% (121) 13% (71) 12% (64) 533Employ: Private Sector 20% (126) 28% (175) 29% (186) 15% (95) 8% (52) 634Employ: Government 18% (18) 30% (30) 28% (28) 17% (17) 7% (7) 101Employ: Self-Employed 22% (37) 29% (49) 26% (44) 16% (28) 8% (13) 171Employ: Homemaker 17% (29) 23% (41) 29% (50) 12% (22) 19% (34) 176Employ: Retired 25% (141) 28% (162) 22% (123) 17% (94) 9% (49) 569Employ: Unemployed 26% (40) 22% (33) 18% (28) 17% (25) 17% (25) 150Employ: Other 20% (22) 25% (28) 21% (24) 22% (24) 13% (15) 113Military HH: Yes 27% (97) 27% (95) 22% (77) 14% (48) 11% (38) 356Military HH: No 20% (326) 27% (442) 26% (430) 17% (272) 10% (164) 1634RD/WT: Right Direction 36% (286) 32% (255) 15% (120) 8% (60) 10% (78) 799RD/WT: Wrong Track 11% (137) 24% (283) 33% (388) 22% (260) 10% (125) 1191Trump Job Approve 33% (271) 34% (276) 17% (140) 7% (61) 9% (73) 820Trump Job Disapprove 13% (152) 23% (257) 32% (363) 22% (251) 10% (107) 1130Trump Job Strongly Approve 49% (234) 32% (154) 9% (41) 3% (16) 6% (30) 476Trump Job Somewhat Approve 11% (37) 35% (122) 29% (99) 13% (45) 12% (42) 344Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove 7% (19) 21% (54) 34% (85) 27% (67) 11% (28) 252Trump Job Strongly Disapprove 15% (133) 23% (203) 32% (278) 21% (185) 9% (79) 878



31

Table PI4_1



Registered Voters 21% (423) 27% (537) 25% (507) 16% (320) 10% (203) 1990Favorable of Trump 34% (275) 34% (274) 17% (136) 7% (57) 9% (74) 816Unfavorable of Trump 13% (144) 23% (257) 33% (365) 23% (253) 9% (98) 1117Very Favorable of Trump 49% (234) 34% (162) 9% (43) 3% (14) 6% (30) 483Somewhat Favorable of Trump 12% (41) 33% (111) 28% (93) 13% (43) 13% (44) 333Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump 7% (11) 22% (37) 38% (64) 29% (49) 5% (8) 170Very Unfavorable of Trump 14% (133) 23% (219) 32% (301) 22% (204) 9% (90) 947#1 Issue: Economy 19% (94) 27% (133) 27% (132) 17% (82) 9% (46) 488#1 Issue: Security 34% (123) 32% (117) 17% (61) 9% (31) 9% (31) 363#1 Issue: Health Care 16% (70) 26% (112) 29% (125) 18% (75) 10% (43) 425#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 25% (87) 25% (88) 24% (82) 16% (55) 10% (35) 346#1 Issue: Women’s Issues 13% (11) 19% (17) 31% (27) 23% (21) 14% (12) 89#1 Issue: Education 13% (12) 27% (25) 28% (25) 16% (14) 16% (15) 91#1 Issue: Energy 13% (15) 26% (30) 33% (38) 21% (24) 7% (8) 115#1 Issue: Other 15% (11) 20% (14) 23% (17) 26% (19) 17% (12) 722018 House Vote: Democrat 16% (137) 27% (224) 29% (244) 18% (151) 9% (77) 8322018 House Vote: Republican 33% (216) 33% (217) 16% (109) 12% (79) 6% (41) 6642018 House Vote: Someone else 4% (3) 23% (17) 35% (26) 17% (12) 20% (15) 732016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 17% (122) 27% (193) 29% (210) 18% (131) 8% (60) 7152016 Vote: Donald Trump 33% (231) 33% (230) 16% (116) 11% (78) 7% (50) 7052016 Vote: Other 6% (10) 21% (37) 37% (64) 25% (44) 11% (19) 1732016 Vote: Didn’t Vote 15% (59) 20% (76) 30% (116) 17% (66) 19% (74) 391Voted in 2014: Yes 23% (319) 29% (395) 24% (331) 16% (214) 8% (109) 1367Voted in 2014: No 17% (104) 23% (142) 28% (177) 17% (106) 15% (94) 6232012 Vote: Barack Obama 17% (150) 27% (231) 28% (242) 19% (166) 9% (75) 8642012 Vote: Mitt Romney 31% (167) 31% (165) 19% (105) 13% (71) 6% (35) 5422012 Vote: Other 14% (11) 30% (25) 24% (20) 18% (14) 14% (11) 822012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 19% (93) 23% (114) 28% (141) 14% (68) 16% (82) 497


32




Registered Voters 21% (423) 27% (537) 25% (507) 16% (320) 10% (203) 19904-Region: Northeast 21% (75) 26% (91) 26% (93) 16% (58) 11% (38) 3554-Region: Midwest 19% (87) 28% (126) 27% (125) 17% (78) 9% (42) 4574-Region: South 27% (201) 25% (183) 23% (170) 15% (108) 11% (82) 7434-Region: West 14% (60) 32% (137) 27% (120) 18% (77) 10% (42) 435DPV 16% (160) 27% (261) 31% (308) 18% (179) 7% (73) 982DPV Already Voted 10% (6) 32% (19) 39% (23) 14% (8) 4% (2) 57DPV Likely to Vote 17% (155) 26% (243) 31% (285) 19% (171) 8% (71) 925Vote for Joe Biden 19% (79) 30% (121) 29% (117) 15% (60) 8% (31) 408Vote for Michael Bloomberg 22% (20) 21% (19) 32% (28) 17% (15) 8% (7) 88Vote for Bernie Sanders 15% (48) 24% (78) 35% (113) 20% (64) 6% (20) 323Vote for Elizabeth Warren 5% (6) 31% (34) 33% (36) 23% (25) 7% (8) 110Note: Row proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. For more information visit MorningConsultIntelligence.com.



33

Table PI4_2

Table PI4_2: How well do each of the following describe how you feel about the 2020 presidential election?Worried




34







35

Table PI4_2





36







37

Table PI4_3

Table PI4_3: How well do each of the following describe how you feel about the 2020 presidential election?Excited




38







39

Table PI4_3





40







41

Table PI4_4

Table PI4_4: How well do each of the following describe how you feel about the 2020 presidential election?Indifferent




42







43

Table PI4_4





44







45

Table PI4_5

Table PI4_5: How well do each of the following describe how you feel about the 2020 presidential election?Angry




46







47

Table PI4_5





48







49

Table PI4_6

Table PI4_6: How well do each of the following describe how you feel about the 2020 presidential election?Depressed




50







51

Table PI4_6





52







53

Table PI4_7

Table PI4_7: How well do each of the following describe how you feel about the 2020 presidential election?Happy




54







55

Table PI4_7





56







57

Table PI4_8

Table PI4_8: How well do each of the following describe how you feel about the 2020 presidential election?Confused




58







59

Table PI4_8





60







61

Table PI4_9

Table PI4_9: How well do each of the following describe how you feel about the 2020 presidential election?Proud




62







63

Table PI4_9





64







65

Table PI4_10

Table PI4_10: How well do each of the following describe how you feel about the 2020 presidential election?Hopeful




66







67

Table PI4_10





68







69

Table PI4_11

Table PI4_11: How well do each of the following describe how you feel about the 2020 presidential election?Bored




70







71

Table PI4_11





72







73

Table PI4_12

Table PI4_12: How well do each of the following describe how you feel about the 2020 presidential election?Helpless




74







75

Table PI4_12





76







77

Table PI4_13

Table PI4_13: How well do each of the following describe how you feel about the 2020 presidential election?Interested




78







79

Table PI4_13





80







81

Table PI4_14

Table PI4_14: How well do each of the following describe how you feel about the 2020 presidential election?Frustrated




82







83

Table PI4_14





84







85

Table PI5

Table PI5: Who do you think is going to win the 2020 presidential election?

Demographic President TrumpThe Democratic

candidateDon’t know / No

opinion Total N

Registered Voters 44% (884) 41% (823) 14% (283) 1990Gender: Male 48% (450) 42% (388) 10% (93) 931Gender: Female 41% (434) 41% (435) 18% (189) 1059Age: 18-29 33% (100) 54% (165) 14% (42) 306Age: 30-44 42% (210) 45% (221) 13% (65) 496Age: 45-54 49% (143) 37% (109) 14% (41) 293Age: 55-64 45% (192) 36% (157) 19% (83) 432Age: 65+ 52% (239) 37% (172) 11% (52) 463Generation Z: 18-22 32% (36) 55% (61) 13% (14) 110Millennial: Age 23-38 38% (198) 49% (252) 13% (67) 516Generation X: Age 39-54 47% (219) 39% (182) 14% (67) 468Boomers: Age 55-73 47% (364) 37% (288) 16% (123) 775PID: Dem (no lean) 13% (109) 75% (621) 12% (99) 829PID: Ind (no lean) 41% (201) 32% (159) 27% (136) 495PID: Rep (no lean) 86% (575) 7% (44) 7% (47) 666PID/Gender: DemMen 16% (56) 78% (281) 6% (22) 359PID/Gender: DemWomen 11% (53) 72% (340) 16% (77) 470PID/Gender: Ind Men 47% (123) 32% (86) 21% (55) 263PID/Gender: Ind Women 34% (78) 32% (73) 35% (81) 232PID/Gender: Rep Men 88% (272) 7% (21) 5% (16) 309PID/Gender: Rep Women 85% (303) 6% (22) 9% (31) 356Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 15% (86) 72% (414) 14% (78) 578Ideo: Moderate (4) 36% (211) 47% (277) 17% (97) 585Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 77% (551) 13% (94) 10% (68) 713Educ: < College 46% (571) 42% (520) 13% (161) 1252Educ: Bachelors degree 44% (207) 39% (182) 17% (81) 471Educ: Post-grad 40% (106) 45% (120) 15% (41) 268Income: Under 50k 42% (412) 45% (439) 13% (133) 983Income: 50k-100k 48% (326) 37% (247) 15% (100) 672Income: 100k+ 44% (147) 41% (137) 15% (50) 335Ethnicity: White 50% (804) 36% (578) 14% (228) 1610Ethnicity: Hispanic 34% (65) 53% (103) 13% (25) 193


86





opinion Total N

Registered Voters 44% (884) 41% (823) 14% (283) 1990Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 15% (38) 73% (185) 12% (29) 252Ethnicity: Other 33% (42) 47% (60) 20% (26) 128All Christian 52% (524) 35% (350) 13% (126) 1000All Non-Christian 33% (31) 49% (47) 18% (17) 95Atheist 29% (28) 62% (60) 9% (9) 97Agnostic/Nothing in particular 38% (301) 46% (367) 16% (130) 798Religious Non-Protestant/Catholic 34% (42) 47% (58) 20% (25) 124Evangelical 59% (295) 33% (163) 8% (42) 500Non-Evangelical 45% (350) 40% (313) 15% (115) 779Community: Urban 32% (157) 53% (262) 15% (77) 495Community: Suburban 46% (443) 40% (384) 14% (135) 962Community: Rural 53% (285) 33% (177) 13% (71) 533Employ: Private Sector 45% (287) 41% (259) 14% (89) 634Employ: Government 45% (45) 38% (38) 18% (18) 101Employ: Self-Employed 43% (73) 47% (80) 11% (18) 171Employ: Homemaker 45% (79) 40% (70) 15% (27) 176Employ: Retired 50% (282) 38% (215) 13% (73) 569Employ: Unemployed 36% (54) 44% (67) 20% (30) 150Employ: Other 32% (37) 51% (58) 17% (19) 113Military HH: Yes 55% (196) 35% (124) 10% (37) 356Military HH: No 42% (688) 43% (700) 15% (246) 1634RD/WT: Right Direction 81% (649) 12% (94) 7% (57) 799RD/WT: Wrong Track 20% (236) 61% (729) 19% (226) 1191Trump Job Approve 87% (714) 6% (51) 7% (55) 820Trump Job Disapprove 15% (164) 68% (764) 18% (201) 1130Trump Job Strongly Approve 96% (455) 3% (13) 2% (7) 476Trump Job Somewhat Approve 75% (259) 11% (38) 14% (47) 344Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove 26% (65) 44% (112) 30% (75) 252Trump Job Strongly Disapprove 11% (99) 74% (653) 14% (126) 878Favorable of Trump 89% (724) 6% (47) 5% (44) 816Unfavorable of Trump 14% (151) 68% (764) 18% (201) 1117



87

Table PI5




opinion Total N

Registered Voters 44% (884) 41% (823) 14% (283) 1990Very Favorable of Trump 98% (473) 1% (3) 1% (7) 483Somewhat Favorable of Trump 75% (251) 13% (44) 11% (37) 333Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump 32% (54) 40% (68) 28% (48) 170Very Unfavorable of Trump 10% (98) 74% (696) 16% (153) 947#1 Issue: Economy 50% (244) 35% (170) 15% (74) 488#1 Issue: Security 75% (273) 16% (59) 9% (31) 363#1 Issue: Health Care 27% (114) 56% (238) 17% (73) 425#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 42% (145) 45% (155) 14% (47) 346#1 Issue: Women’s Issues 21% (19) 60% (54) 18% (16) 89#1 Issue: Education 34% (31) 54% (49) 12% (11) 91#1 Issue: Energy 24% (28) 64% (74) 12% (13) 115#1 Issue: Other 40% (29) 35% (26) 24% (18) 722018 House Vote: Democrat 14% (120) 72% (597) 14% (115) 8322018 House Vote: Republican 86% (573) 6% (40) 8% (51) 6642018 House Vote: Someone else 36% (26) 23% (17) 42% (30) 732016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 13% (94) 75% (535) 12% (86) 7152016 Vote: Donald Trump 86% (604) 8% (53) 7% (48) 7052016 Vote: Other 27% (47) 41% (70) 32% (56) 1732016 Vote: Didn’t Vote 35% (136) 42% (164) 23% (92) 391Voted in 2014: Yes 46% (632) 42% (572) 12% (163) 1367Voted in 2014: No 40% (252) 40% (251) 19% (120) 6232012 Vote: Barack Obama 23% (196) 64% (556) 13% (113) 8642012 Vote: Mitt Romney 80% (435) 10% (52) 10% (55) 5422012 Vote: Other 63% (51) 15% (12) 23% (19) 822012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 41% (202) 40% (199) 19% (96) 4974-Region: Northeast 42% (150) 46% (163) 12% (42) 3554-Region: Midwest 46% (209) 41% (187) 13% (61) 4574-Region: South 47% (351) 40% (295) 13% (98) 7434-Region: West 40% (174) 41% (179) 19% (82) 435DPV 15% (145) 72% (711) 13% (126) 982DPV Already Voted 15% (8) 56% (32) 29% (17) 57


88





opinion Total N

Registered Voters 44% (884) 41% (823) 14% (283) 1990DPV Likely to Vote 15% (137) 73% (679) 12% (109) 925Vote for Joe Biden 12% (48) 78% (316) 11% (44) 408Vote for Michael Bloomberg 13% (11) 76% (68) 11% (9) 88Vote for Bernie Sanders 16% (51) 71% (229) 13% (43) 323Vote for Elizabeth Warren 13% (14) 71% (77) 16% (18) 110Note: Row proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. For more information visit MorningConsultIntelligence.com.



89

Table PI6

Table PI6: Who do you think has the best chance of beating President Trump in the 2020 presidential election?


BloombergTulsi


ElizabethWarren


Registered Voters 40% (793) 9% (176) 2% (35) 20% (400) 3% (69) 26% (518) 1990Gender: Male 42% (390) 9% (82) 3% (25) 22% (209) 2% (23) 22% (203) 931Gender: Female 38% (403) 9% (94) 1% (10) 18% (190) 4% (46) 30% (315) 1059Age: 18-29 31% (95) 8% (25) 1% (2) 40% (122) 6% (17) 15% (46) 306Age: 30-44 32% (156) 9% (46) 2% (10) 28% (139) 5% (26) 24% (118) 496Age: 45-54 39% (114) 9% (27) 3% (9) 16% (47) 4% (13) 29% (84) 293Age: 55-64 45% (195) 8% (35) 1% (6) 14% (59) 1% (6) 30% (130) 432Age: 65+ 50% (233) 9% (43) 2% (7) 7% (33) 1% (7) 30% (139) 463Generation Z: 18-22 28% (31) 7% (8) 1% (1) 46% (50) 3% (4) 15% (16) 110Millennial: Age 23-38 31% (162) 8% (40) 1% (7) 33% (170) 6% (30) 21% (107) 516Generation X: Age 39-54 37% (172) 10% (49) 3% (13) 19% (87) 5% (22) 27% (125) 468Boomers: Age 55-73 47% (365) 9% (68) 2% (13) 11% (83) 2% (13) 30% (234) 775PID: Dem (no lean) 50% (410) 9% (78) 1% (7) 27% (222) 6% (46) 8% (65) 829PID: Ind (no lean) 37% (185) 8% (40) 3% (12) 23% (116) 3% (14) 26% (128) 495PID: Rep (no lean) 30% (197) 9% (58) 2% (15) 9% (62) 1% (9) 49% (325) 666PID/Gender: DemMen 48% (174) 10% (35) 1% (2) 31% (109) 5% (17) 6% (21) 359PID/Gender: DemWomen 50% (237) 9% (43) 1% (4) 24% (113) 6% (29) 9% (44) 470PID/Gender: Ind Men 41% (108) 7% (18) 4% (10) 28% (74) 1% (3) 19% (51) 263PID/Gender: Ind Women 33% (77) 9% (22) 1% (3) 18% (42) 5% (11) 33% (77) 232PID/Gender: Rep Men 35% (109) 9% (28) 4% (13) 8% (26) 1% (2) 42% (131) 309PID/Gender: Rep Women 25% (89) 8% (29) 1% (3) 10% (36) 2% (6) 54% (194) 356Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 46% (265) 7% (42) 1% (7) 33% (189) 6% (36) 7% (39) 578Ideo: Moderate (4) 46% (269) 12% (68) 2% (10) 20% (118) 4% (21) 17% (100) 585Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 32% (228) 8% (56) 2% (18) 11% (80) 1% (10) 45% (321) 713Educ: < College 36% (454) 9% (114) 2% (19) 21% (265) 3% (43) 29% (357) 1252Educ: Bachelors degree 44% (205) 8% (37) 3% (12) 21% (98) 3% (13) 22% (106) 471Educ: Post-grad 50% (133) 10% (25) 1% (4) 14% (37) 5% (13) 21% (55) 268Income: Under 50k 35% (341) 9% (85) 1% (13) 23% (228) 4% (44) 28% (272) 983Income: 50k-100k 40% (271) 9% (58) 2% (12) 19% (129) 3% (18) 27% (184) 672Income: 100k+ 54% (180) 10% (34) 3% (10) 13% (42) 2% (7) 18% (62) 335Ethnicity: White 39% (627) 8% (136) 2% (30) 18% (295) 3% (56) 29% (465) 1610Ethnicity: Hispanic 31% (60) 12% (23) 3% (5) 30% (58) 4% (8) 20% (39) 193


90




BloombergTulsi


ElizabethWarren


Registered Voters 40% (793) 9% (176) 2% (35) 20% (400) 3% (69) 26% (518) 1990Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 46% (117) 10% (24) 1% (3) 27% (68) 3% (8) 13% (32) 252Ethnicity: Other 38% (49) 12% (15) 1% (1) 28% (36) 4% (5) 17% (22) 128All Christian 44% (439) 9% (90) 2% (21) 14% (137) 3% (28) 29% (285) 1000All Non-Christian 50% (48) 8% (7) 1% (1) 18% (17) 3% (3) 20% (19) 95Atheist 37% (35) 5% (5) 1% (1) 34% (33) 10% (10) 12% (12) 97Agnostic/Nothing in particular 34% (271) 9% (73) 1% (11) 27% (213) 3% (28) 25% (202) 798Religious Non-Protestant/Catholic 46% (57) 10% (12) 1% (1) 20% (25) 4% (5) 19% (24) 124Evangelical 38% (189) 10% (49) 2% (11) 14% (70) 2% (10) 34% (170) 500Non-Evangelical 44% (343) 9% (69) 2% (17) 17% (130) 3% (26) 25% (193) 779Community: Urban 39% (195) 9% (47) 1% (7) 25% (124) 5% (26) 20% (97) 495Community: Suburban 42% (405) 9% (85) 2% (17) 19% (186) 2% (23) 26% (246) 962Community: Rural 36% (194) 8% (45) 2% (10) 17% (90) 4% (20) 33% (175) 533Employ: Private Sector 38% (243) 9% (59) 2% (13) 24% (150) 5% (29) 22% (141) 634Employ: Government 44% (44) 12% (13) 2% (2) 17% (18) 3% (3) 22% (22) 101Employ: Self-Employed 32% (55) 11% (19) 2% (4) 25% (44) 3% (6) 26% (44) 171Employ: Homemaker 28% (49) 8% (14) 1% (2) 20% (35) 6% (10) 38% (66) 176Employ: Retired 50% (286) 9% (49) 2% (9) 9% (50) 2% (11) 29% (165) 569Employ: Unemployed 32% (47) 5% (8) 1% (1) 28% (43) 2% (2) 33% (49) 150Employ: Other 32% (36) 12% (13) 3% (4) 28% (31) 3% (4) 22% (25) 113Military HH: Yes 38% (135) 9% (33) 2% (8) 14% (50) 4% (14) 32% (115) 356Military HH: No 40% (658) 9% (143) 2% (26) 21% (349) 3% (54) 25% (403) 1634RD/WT: Right Direction 28% (223) 10% (79) 3% (22) 14% (110) 2% (15) 44% (350) 799RD/WT: Wrong Track 48% (570) 8% (97) 1% (12) 24% (289) 5% (54) 14% (168) 1191Trump Job Approve 27% (225) 9% (73) 3% (25) 13% (110) 1% (11) 46% (375) 820Trump Job Disapprove 50% (564) 9% (103) 1% (8) 25% (283) 5% (56) 10% (116) 1130Trump Job Strongly Approve 22% (103) 9% (43) 3% (16) 9% (44) 1% (3) 56% (266) 476Trump Job Somewhat Approve 35% (122) 9% (29) 3% (9) 19% (66) 2% (8) 32% (109) 344Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove 38% (97) 10% (26) 1% (3) 28% (71) 3% (8) 19% (48) 252Trump Job Strongly Disapprove 53% (468) 9% (77) 1% (5) 24% (212) 6% (48) 8% (68) 878Favorable of Trump 28% (226) 9% (75) 3% (21) 13% (104) 1% (9) 47% (381) 816Unfavorable of Trump 50% (557) 9% (99) 1% (11) 25% (284) 5% (58) 10% (107) 1117



91

Table PI6



BloombergTulsi


ElizabethWarren


Registered Voters 40% (793) 9% (176) 2% (35) 20% (400) 3% (69) 26% (518) 1990Very Favorable of Trump 21% (103) 10% (47) 3% (17) 9% (44) 1% (4) 56% (270) 483Somewhat Favorable of Trump 37% (123) 9% (28) 1% (5) 18% (60) 1% (5) 33% (111) 333Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump 35% (60) 11% (19) 3% (4) 26% (44) 5% (9) 20% (34) 170Very Unfavorable of Trump 53% (498) 8% (80) 1% (7) 25% (240) 5% (49) 8% (73) 947#1 Issue: Economy 34% (168) 12% (57) 2% (9) 20% (99) 3% (14) 29% (142) 488#1 Issue: Security 28% (102) 7% (27) 4% (15) 12% (43) 2% (8) 46% (169) 363#1 Issue: Health Care 46% (194) 6% (25) 1% (5) 27% (117) 4% (16) 16% (69) 425#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 52% (181) 10% (36) 1% (2) 10% (34) 2% (8) 24% (85) 346#1 Issue: Women’s Issues 29% (26) 7% (6) 1% (1) 42% (37) 8% (7) 13% (12) 89#1 Issue: Education 38% (35) 10% (9) 1% (1) 33% (30) 4% (3) 15% (13) 91#1 Issue: Energy 46% (53) 9% (11) 2% (2) 24% (27) 7% (8) 12% (14) 115#1 Issue: Other 49% (35) 7% (5) 1% (1) 18% (13) 5% (3) 21% (15) 722018 House Vote: Democrat 53% (442) 9% (72) 1% (5) 26% (214) 5% (43) 7% (57) 8322018 House Vote: Republican 30% (199) 9% (60) 2% (15) 10% (67) 1% (9) 47% (314) 6642018 House Vote: Someone else 33% (24) 7% (5) 5% (4) 19% (14) 2% (2) 33% (24) 732016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 56% (403) 9% (62) 1% (8) 22% (157) 6% (42) 6% (43) 7152016 Vote: Donald Trump 30% (212) 8% (59) 3% (18) 11% (79) 2% (11) 46% (326) 7052016 Vote: Other 35% (60) 11% (18) 1% (2) 28% (48) 2% (3) 24% (41) 1732016 Vote: Didn’t Vote 30% (116) 9% (36) 1% (6) 29% (115) 3% (13) 27% (105) 391Voted in 2014: Yes 44% (595) 9% (127) 2% (23) 17% (227) 4% (50) 25% (345) 1367Voted in 2014: No 32% (197) 8% (50) 2% (11) 28% (173) 3% (19) 28% (173) 6232012 Vote: Barack Obama 53% (458) 8% (72) 1% (11) 23% (195) 5% (43) 10% (85) 8642012 Vote: Mitt Romney 31% (170) 9% (51) 3% (14) 10% (55) 2% (10) 45% (243) 5422012 Vote: Other 29% (24) 11% (9) 4% (3) 11% (9) 1% (1) 44% (36) 822012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 28% (140) 9% (44) 1% (7) 28% (141) 3% (14) 31% (152) 4974-Region: Northeast 43% (152) 10% (34) 2% (6) 20% (69) 3% (11) 23% (82) 3554-Region: Midwest 37% (170) 9% (40) 2% (11) 21% (97) 3% (15) 27% (125) 4574-Region: South 42% (312) 9% (65) 2% (16) 17% (129) 2% (15) 28% (206) 7434-Region: West 36% (158) 8% (37) — (2) 24% (105) 6% (28) 24% (105) 435DPV 51% (497) 9% (91) 1% (9) 28% (271) 5% (48) 7% (67) 982DPV Already Voted 51% (29) 4% (2) 2% (1) 32% (18) 4% (2) 7% (4) 57


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Registered Voters 40% (793) 9% (176) 2% (35) 20% (400) 3% (69) 26% (518) 1990DPV Likely to Vote 51% (467) 10% (89) 1% (8) 27% (253) 5% (46) 7% (62) 925Vote for Joe Biden 94% (384) 2% (8) — (0) 1% (3) — (0) 3% (12) 408Vote for Michael Bloomberg 22% (20) 69% (61) 2% (1) 4% (3) 2% (2) 1% (1) 88Vote for Bernie Sanders 15% (47) 4% (12) 1% (2) 76% (245) 1% (5) 4% (13) 323Vote for Elizabeth Warren 34% (37) 5% (6) 1% (1) 13% (14) 38% (42) 9% (10) 110Note: Row proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. For more information visit MorningConsultIntelligence.com.



93

Table PI7

Table PI7: Generally speaking, how surprised, if at all, were you by the results of Super Tuesday?

Demographic Very surprisedSomewhatsurprised

Somewhatunsurprised

Veryunsurprised


Registered Voters 12% (248) 35% (697) 20% (407) 13% (255) 19% (383) 1990Gender: Male 15% (138) 37% (347) 21% (199) 15% (136) 12% (111) 931Gender: Female 10% (110) 33% (350) 20% (208) 11% (120) 26% (272) 1059Age: 18-29 14% (43) 30% (92) 18% (54) 8% (24) 31% (94) 306Age: 30-44 15% (73) 33% (164) 16% (78) 11% (54) 25% (126) 496Age: 45-54 11% (32) 31% (92) 25% (72) 15% (45) 18% (52) 293Age: 55-64 9% (40) 38% (165) 22% (96) 16% (68) 14% (62) 432Age: 65+ 13% (59) 40% (183) 23% (107) 14% (64) 11% (49) 463Generation Z: 18-22 14% (15) 37% (41) 15% (16) 5% (6) 29% (32) 110Millennial: Age 23-38 14% (74) 30% (153) 16% (85) 10% (52) 30% (152) 516Generation X: Age 39-54 12% (58) 33% (154) 22% (103) 14% (65) 19% (87) 468Boomers: Age 55-73 10% (80) 38% (296) 23% (181) 15% (115) 13% (103) 775PID: Dem (no lean) 17% (145) 41% (339) 17% (141) 8% (67) 16% (136) 829PID: Ind (no lean) 11% (54) 30% (147) 22% (109) 14% (68) 24% (117) 495PID: Rep (no lean) 7% (49) 32% (210) 24% (157) 18% (120) 19% (129) 666PID/Gender: DemMen 21% (77) 42% (151) 17% (62) 9% (32) 10% (37) 359PID/Gender: DemWomen 14% (68) 40% (188) 17% (79) 8% (36) 21% (99) 470PID/Gender: Ind Men 13% (34) 32% (85) 25% (65) 16% (41) 15% (39) 263PID/Gender: Ind Women 9% (21) 27% (63) 19% (44) 11% (26) 34% (78) 232PID/Gender: Rep Men 9% (28) 36% (111) 24% (73) 20% (63) 11% (35) 309PID/Gender: Rep Women 6% (21) 28% (99) 24% (84) 16% (58) 26% (94) 356Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 16% (94) 44% (252) 20% (114) 8% (46) 13% (73) 578Ideo: Moderate (4) 14% (81) 34% (199) 20% (118) 11% (63) 21% (123) 585Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 9% (65) 32% (228) 23% (166) 19% (138) 16% (116) 713Educ: < College 12% (148) 31% (392) 20% (250) 13% (163) 24% (298) 1252Educ: Bachelors degree 14% (66) 40% (190) 21% (98) 12% (55) 13% (61) 471Educ: Post-grad 13% (34) 43% (115) 22% (59) 14% (37) 9% (23) 268Income: Under 50k 11% (113) 31% (303) 20% (197) 13% (128) 25% (243) 983Income: 50k-100k 13% (86) 37% (251) 21% (144) 12% (83) 16% (108) 672Income: 100k+ 15% (49) 43% (143) 20% (66) 13% (45) 9% (32) 335Ethnicity: White 11% (184) 36% (581) 21% (340) 13% (206) 19% (299) 1610Ethnicity: Hispanic 14% (28) 39% (75) 14% (28) 15% (28) 18% (34) 193


94




Somewhatunsurprised

Veryunsurprised


Registered Voters 12% (248) 35% (697) 20% (407) 13% (255) 19% (383) 1990Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 19% (48) 28% (70) 17% (43) 12% (31) 24% (60) 252Ethnicity: Other 12% (16) 36% (46) 19% (24) 15% (19) 19% (24) 128All Christian 12% (119) 36% (363) 21% (210) 16% (157) 15% (150) 1000All Non-Christian 18% (17) 42% (40) 19% (18) 7% (7) 13% (12) 95Atheist 17% (16) 39% (38) 26% (25) 7% (6) 11% (11) 97Agnostic/Nothing in particular 12% (95) 32% (256) 19% (153) 11% (85) 26% (209) 798Religious Non-Protestant/Catholic 16% (20) 41% (51) 20% (25) 8% (10) 15% (18) 124Evangelical 11% (57) 30% (149) 21% (107) 15% (77) 22% (110) 500Non-Evangelical 12% (91) 38% (297) 19% (148) 14% (112) 17% (130) 779Community: Urban 13% (64) 36% (177) 18% (91) 12% (58) 21% (105) 495Community: Suburban 12% (117) 39% (371) 22% (208) 13% (124) 15% (142) 962Community: Rural 13% (67) 28% (149) 20% (108) 14% (73) 25% (135) 533Employ: Private Sector 12% (78) 39% (246) 21% (135) 12% (76) 16% (99) 634Employ: Government 15% (15) 34% (34) 17% (17) 18% (18) 16% (16) 101Employ: Self-Employed 13% (23) 30% (52) 20% (34) 15% (25) 22% (38) 171Employ: Homemaker 9% (16) 32% (56) 12% (22) 11% (19) 36% (64) 176Employ: Retired 11% (65) 38% (218) 24% (136) 15% (86) 11% (64) 569Employ: Unemployed 15% (23) 23% (34) 18% (27) 4% (6) 40% (60) 150Employ: Other 13% (15) 29% (32) 20% (22) 14% (16) 24% (27) 113Military HH: Yes 12% (42) 33% (116) 22% (77) 15% (54) 19% (68) 356Military HH: No 13% (206) 36% (581) 20% (330) 12% (202) 19% (314) 1634RD/WT: Right Direction 12% (92) 28% (222) 23% (182) 18% (147) 19% (156) 799RD/WT: Wrong Track 13% (156) 40% (475) 19% (225) 9% (109) 19% (227) 1191Trump Job Approve 10% (79) 29% (236) 23% (192) 19% (153) 19% (159) 820Trump Job Disapprove 15% (165) 41% (459) 19% (214) 9% (98) 17% (194) 1130Trump Job Strongly Approve 10% (46) 26% (123) 21% (102) 23% (109) 20% (96) 476Trump Job Somewhat Approve 10% (33) 33% (113) 26% (91) 13% (45) 18% (64) 344Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove 11% (27) 37% (93) 19% (47) 7% (17) 27% (68) 252Trump Job Strongly Disapprove 16% (138) 42% (366) 19% (167) 9% (81) 14% (127) 878Favorable of Trump 10% (78) 28% (228) 24% (195) 19% (153) 20% (162) 816Unfavorable of Trump 15% (163) 41% (459) 18% (205) 9% (101) 17% (189) 1117



95

Table PI7



Somewhatunsurprised

Veryunsurprised


Registered Voters 12% (248) 35% (697) 20% (407) 13% (255) 19% (383) 1990Very Favorable of Trump 8% (39) 26% (127) 23% (110) 23% (110) 20% (97) 483Somewhat Favorable of Trump 12% (39) 30% (101) 26% (85) 13% (43) 19% (65) 333Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump 13% (23) 41% (70) 13% (23) 10% (17) 22% (38) 170Very Unfavorable of Trump 15% (140) 41% (389) 19% (183) 9% (84) 16% (151) 947#1 Issue: Economy 10% (51) 32% (158) 22% (109) 11% (54) 24% (115) 488#1 Issue: Security 8% (30) 29% (107) 21% (75) 23% (82) 19% (69) 363#1 Issue: Health Care 16% (69) 39% (167) 20% (83) 8% (32) 18% (75) 425#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 13% (46) 39% (133) 19% (66) 14% (49) 15% (52) 346#1 Issue: Women’s Issues 8% (7) 34% (30) 22% (20) 7% (7) 28% (25) 89#1 Issue: Education 18% (16) 35% (32) 17% (16) 11% (10) 19% (17) 91#1 Issue: Energy 18% (21) 41% (47) 17% (19) 9% (10) 16% (18) 115#1 Issue: Other 11% (8) 31% (22) 27% (20) 16% (11) 15% (11) 722018 House Vote: Democrat 16% (135) 43% (360) 20% (165) 9% (71) 12% (102) 8322018 House Vote: Republican 9% (57) 32% (210) 24% (162) 21% (139) 14% (96) 6642018 House Vote: Someone else 7% (5) 27% (20) 20% (14) 11% (8) 36% (26) 732016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 17% (122) 44% (311) 19% (137) 8% (55) 12% (89) 7152016 Vote: Donald Trump 9% (61) 31% (219) 25% (174) 20% (143) 15% (108) 7052016 Vote: Other 9% (16) 33% (56) 24% (42) 11% (19) 23% (39) 1732016 Vote: Didn’t Vote 12% (48) 28% (109) 13% (51) 10% (38) 37% (145) 391Voted in 2014: Yes 13% (182) 38% (515) 23% (315) 13% (184) 13% (172) 1367Voted in 2014: No 11% (66) 29% (183) 15% (92) 12% (72) 34% (211) 6232012 Vote: Barack Obama 17% (151) 41% (352) 20% (175) 9% (75) 13% (111) 8642012 Vote: Mitt Romney 7% (39) 34% (183) 25% (137) 19% (105) 14% (78) 5422012 Vote: Other 9% (8) 21% (17) 26% (21) 21% (17) 23% (19) 822012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 10% (50) 29% (143) 15% (73) 12% (59) 35% (172) 4974-Region: Northeast 14% (49) 36% (129) 21% (76) 13% (45) 16% (56) 3554-Region: Midwest 12% (53) 36% (163) 20% (93) 13% (61) 19% (87) 4574-Region: South 14% (101) 31% (227) 19% (145) 14% (102) 23% (169) 7434-Region: West 10% (45) 41% (178) 21% (93) 11% (47) 16% (71) 435DPV 17% (166) 41% (407) 19% (185) 9% (89) 14% (135) 982DPV Already Voted 12% (7) 51% (29) 19% (11) 8% (5) 9% (5) 57


96




Somewhatunsurprised

Veryunsurprised


Registered Voters 12% (248) 35% (697) 20% (407) 13% (255) 19% (383) 1990DPV Likely to Vote 17% (159) 41% (377) 19% (174) 9% (84) 14% (130) 925Vote for Joe Biden 16% (65) 43% (176) 22% (89) 12% (47) 8% (31) 408Vote for Michael Bloomberg 19% (17) 44% (39) 15% (13) 8% (7) 14% (12) 88Vote for Bernie Sanders 19% (60) 40% (130) 16% (52) 7% (23) 18% (59) 323Vote for Elizabeth Warren 12% (13) 46% (51) 21% (23) 8% (8) 13% (15) 110Note: Row proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. For more information visit MorningConsultIntelligence.com.



97

Table PI8

Table PI8: Based on what you’ve seen, read, or heard which of the following Democratic candidates performed best on Super Tuesday?


BloombergTulsi


ElizabethWarren


Registered Voters 63% (1246) 4% (74) — (10) 12% (244) 2% (38) 19% (379) 1990Gender: Male 70% (653) 4% (34) 1% (6) 12% (112) 1% (13) 12% (113) 931Gender: Female 56% (593) 4% (39) — (4) 12% (131) 2% (25) 25% (266) 1059Age: 18-29 43% (133) 6% (18) — (1) 21% (64) 5% (15) 25% (76) 306Age: 30-44 51% (251) 6% (28) — (2) 17% (87) 3% (16) 23% (112) 496Age: 45-54 61% (178) 4% (11) 1% (2) 14% (42) 2% (6) 19% (54) 293Age: 55-64 71% (305) 2% (9) 1% (3) 8% (33) — (0) 19% (82) 432Age: 65+ 82% (380) 2% (8) — (1) 4% (19) — (1) 12% (55) 463Generation Z: 18-22 38% (42) 5% (5) — (0) 27% (30) 5% (5) 25% (28) 110Millennial: Age 23-38 49% (254) 6% (31) — (2) 17% (87) 4% (20) 24% (122) 516Generation X: Age 39-54 57% (266) 4% (21) 1% (3) 16% (76) 2% (11) 20% (92) 468Boomers: Age 55-73 75% (583) 2% (13) 1% (5) 6% (47) — (1) 16% (127) 775PID: Dem (no lean) 66% (547) 4% (33) — (1) 14% (114) 3% (26) 13% (108) 829PID: Ind (no lean) 58% (288) 4% (20) 1% (5) 15% (73) 1% (4) 21% (105) 495PID: Rep (no lean) 62% (411) 3% (21) 1% (4) 9% (57) 1% (8) 25% (166) 666PID/Gender: DemMen 70% (252) 4% (16) — (1) 15% (54) 3% (10) 7% (27) 359PID/Gender: DemWomen 63% (295) 4% (17) — (0) 13% (61) 3% (16) 17% (81) 470PID/Gender: Ind Men 68% (179) 4% (9) 1% (2) 14% (36) 1% (1) 14% (36) 263PID/Gender: Ind Women 47% (109) 4% (10) 1% (2) 16% (37) 1% (3) 30% (70) 232PID/Gender: Rep Men 72% (222) 3% (9) 1% (3) 7% (23) 1% (2) 16% (50) 309PID/Gender: Rep Women 53% (188) 3% (12) — (1) 9% (34) 2% (6) 32% (115) 356Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 68% (391) 3% (18) — (1) 16% (92) 2% (13) 11% (63) 578Ideo: Moderate (4) 59% (344) 6% (35) 1% (3) 14% (80) 3% (17) 18% (105) 585Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 67% (476) 3% (19) 1% (5) 8% (59) 1% (6) 21% (149) 713Educ: < College 56% (697) 4% (50) — (5) 14% (176) 2% (26) 24% (298) 1252Educ: Bachelors degree 72% (340) 4% (18) — (1) 10% (49) 1% (3) 13% (60) 471Educ: Post-grad 78% (209) 2% (6) 1% (4) 7% (19) 3% (8) 8% (21) 268Income: Under 50k 57% (561) 3% (31) — (2) 15% (143) 2% (22) 23% (224) 983Income: 50k-100k 65% (435) 4% (26) 1% (4) 12% (80) 2% (11) 17% (116) 672Income: 100k+ 75% (251) 5% (16) 1% (4) 6% (20) 1% (5) 12% (39) 335Ethnicity: White 64% (1038) 3% (53) — (8) 11% (178) 1% (22) 19% (309) 1610Ethnicity: Hispanic 52% (101) 8% (16) 1% (1) 19% (36) 7% (13) 14% (26) 193


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BloombergTulsi


ElizabethWarren


Registered Voters 63% (1246) 4% (74) — (10) 12% (244) 2% (38) 19% (379) 1990Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 54% (135) 5% (14) — (1) 17% (42) 5% (12) 19% (49) 252Ethnicity: Other 57% (73) 5% (7) — (1) 19% (24) 3% (3) 16% (21) 128All Christian 69% (694) 3% (29) 1% (6) 9% (90) 1% (15) 17% (167) 1000All Non-Christian 74% (70) 2% (2) — (0) 14% (14) 1% (1) 8% (8) 95Atheist 69% (67) 1% (1) — (0) 16% (15) 3% (3) 11% (11) 97Agnostic/Nothing in particular 52% (416) 5% (42) — (4) 16% (125) 2% (19) 24% (193) 798Religious Non-Protestant/Catholic 73% (91) 3% (4) — (0) 14% (18) 1% (1) 9% (11) 124Evangelical 58% (291) 4% (19) 1% (5) 10% (51) 2% (8) 25% (125) 500Non-Evangelical 67% (520) 3% (23) — (3) 10% (81) 2% (15) 18% (137) 779Community: Urban 57% (281) 5% (27) — (2) 15% (75) 3% (13) 20% (97) 495Community: Suburban 69% (660) 3% (26) — (4) 11% (110) 2% (15) 15% (146) 962Community: Rural 57% (305) 4% (20) 1% (4) 11% (59) 2% (9) 25% (135) 533Employ: Private Sector 63% (398) 6% (37) 1% (5) 15% (93) 2% (16) 13% (85) 634Employ: Government 64% (64) 2% (2) 1% (1) 15% (15) 1% (1) 16% (16) 101Employ: Self-Employed 56% (96) 5% (9) — (1) 19% (33) 3% (5) 17% (29) 171Employ: Homemaker 37% (65) 2% (4) — (0) 17% (31) 4% (7) 39% (69) 176Employ: Retired 79% (451) 2% (10) — (1) 5% (29) — (2) 13% (77) 569Employ: Unemployed 47% (71) 3% (4) 1% (2) 8% (12) — (0) 41% (62) 150Employ: Other 51% (57) 4% (4) — (0) 16% (18) 4% (4) 26% (30) 113Military HH: Yes 62% (219) 4% (15) 1% (2) 9% (33) 2% (8) 22% (79) 356Military HH: No 63% (1027) 4% (59) — (8) 13% (211) 2% (29) 18% (300) 1634RD/WT: Right Direction 59% (475) 5% (39) 1% (5) 11% (86) 1% (9) 23% (184) 799RD/WT: Wrong Track 65% (771) 3% (34) — (5) 13% (157) 2% (29) 16% (194) 1191Trump Job Approve 60% (488) 4% (34) 1% (6) 10% (85) 1% (8) 24% (198) 820Trump Job Disapprove 66% (750) 3% (39) — (4) 14% (157) 3% (29) 13% (150) 1130Trump Job Strongly Approve 60% (286) 4% (18) 1% (3) 8% (40) — (2) 27% (126) 476Trump Job Somewhat Approve 59% (202) 5% (16) 1% (3) 13% (45) 2% (6) 21% (72) 344Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove 53% (134) 6% (14) 2% (4) 16% (41) 2% (5) 21% (53) 252Trump Job Strongly Disapprove 70% (616) 3% (25) — (0) 13% (115) 3% (24) 11% (98) 878Favorable of Trump 59% (485) 4% (32) 1% (6) 10% (81) 1% (8) 25% (204) 816Unfavorable of Trump 67% (748) 4% (40) — (4) 14% (155) 3% (29) 13% (141) 1117



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Registered Voters 63% (1246) 4% (74) — (10) 12% (244) 2% (38) 19% (379) 1990Very Favorable of Trump 59% (286) 4% (20) 1% (3) 8% (40) 1% (3) 27% (131) 483Somewhat Favorable of Trump 60% (199) 4% (13) 1% (3) 12% (41) 2% (5) 22% (73) 333Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump 59% (100) 8% (13) 2% (3) 16% (27) 2% (4) 13% (23) 170Very Unfavorable of Trump 68% (649) 3% (27) — (1) 13% (128) 3% (25) 12% (118) 947#1 Issue: Economy 54% (261) 5% (26) 1% (4) 18% (87) 3% (12) 20% (96) 488#1 Issue: Security 62% (225) 3% (13) 1% (4) 8% (30) 1% (2) 25% (89) 363#1 Issue: Health Care 65% (278) 3% (11) — (1) 12% (53) 2% (7) 18% (75) 425#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 76% (262) 2% (8) — (0) 6% (20) — (0) 16% (56) 346#1 Issue: Women’s Issues 57% (51) 2% (1) — (0) 21% (19) 2% (2) 17% (15) 89#1 Issue: Education 44% (41) 8% (7) 1% (1) 25% (22) 8% (7) 15% (14) 91#1 Issue: Energy 63% (73) 6% (7) — (0) 9% (10) 4% (5) 18% (21) 115#1 Issue: Other 76% (55) — (0) — (0) 3% (2) 3% (2) 18% (13) 722018 House Vote: Democrat 70% (583) 4% (30) — (1) 14% (113) 3% (21) 10% (84) 8322018 House Vote: Republican 66% (441) 3% (22) 1% (7) 9% (59) 1% (4) 20% (131) 6642018 House Vote: Someone else 51% (37) 1% (1) — (0) 12% (9) — (0) 36% (26) 732016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 71% (509) 4% (30) — (1) 12% (82) 3% (21) 10% (72) 7152016 Vote: Donald Trump 64% (454) 3% (18) 1% (5) 9% (65) 1% (6) 22% (156) 7052016 Vote: Other 64% (110) 3% (6) 1% (2) 15% (26) — (1) 16% (27) 1732016 Vote: Didn’t Vote 43% (170) 5% (19) — (2) 18% (70) 2% (9) 31% (122) 391Voted in 2014: Yes 70% (951) 3% (46) 1% (8) 10% (136) 2% (26) 15% (198) 1367Voted in 2014: No 47% (295) 4% (27) — (2) 17% (107) 2% (11) 29% (180) 6232012 Vote: Barack Obama 69% (600) 4% (34) 1% (4) 13% (109) 2% (20) 11% (98) 8642012 Vote: Mitt Romney 70% (380) 2% (13) 1% (3) 7% (37) 1% (3) 20% (106) 5422012 Vote: Other 56% (45) 1% (1) 1% (1) 13% (11) — (0) 29% (24) 822012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 44% (220) 5% (26) — (1) 17% (86) 2% (12) 30% (151) 4974-Region: Northeast 69% (245) 3% (10) — (1) 11% (39) 2% (6) 15% (54) 3554-Region: Midwest 61% (279) 3% (13) 1% (5) 11% (52) 2% (11) 21% (97) 4574-Region: South 61% (456) 4% (26) — (3) 11% (85) 1% (10) 22% (163) 7434-Region: West 61% (266) 6% (25) — (0) 16% (68) 3% (11) 15% (64) 435DPV 68% (668) 4% (37) — (4) 14% (141) 2% (24) 11% (108) 982DPV Already Voted 76% (43) — (0) — (0) 16% (9) — (0) 9% (5) 57


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Registered Voters 63% (1246) 4% (74) — (10) 12% (244) 2% (38) 19% (379) 1990DPV Likely to Vote 68% (625) 4% (37) — (4) 14% (132) 3% (24) 11% (103) 925Vote for Joe Biden 91% (370) 1% (5) — (0) 3% (13) 1% (3) 4% (17) 408Vote for Michael Bloomberg 51% (45) 28% (25) — (0) 5% (5) 3% (2) 13% (12) 88Vote for Bernie Sanders 52% (167) 1% (2) — (1) 33% (106) 2% (6) 13% (41) 323Vote for Elizabeth Warren 60% (66) 4% (5) — (0) 11% (12) 9% (10) 15% (16) 110Note: Row proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. For more information visit MorningConsultIntelligence.com.



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Table PI9

Table PI9: To the best of your knowledge, which of the following Democratic candidates won the most delegates on Super Tuesday?


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Registered Voters 64% (1271) 3% (59) — (3) 12% (244) 1% (15) 20% (397) 1990Gender: Male 70% (653) 4% (34) — (1) 14% (134) 1% (9) 11% (101) 931Gender: Female 58% (618) 2% (25) — (2) 10% (110) 1% (7) 28% (297) 1059Age: 18-29 45% (138) 7% (20) — (0) 17% (52) 1% (4) 30% (93) 306Age: 30-44 52% (258) 3% (17) 1% (3) 20% (98) 1% (7) 23% (112) 496Age: 45-54 61% (180) 4% (13) — (0) 11% (33) 1% (3) 22% (65) 293Age: 55-64 75% (322) 1% (4) — (0) 7% (31) — (1) 17% (74) 432Age: 65+ 81% (374) 1% (5) — (0) 7% (30) — (0) 12% (53) 463Generation Z: 18-22 45% (50) 5% (6) — (0) 21% (23) — (0) 29% (32) 110Millennial: Age 23-38 49% (255) 4% (21) — (2) 18% (92) 2% (9) 26% (137) 516Generation X: Age 39-54 58% (270) 5% (22) — (1) 14% (67) 1% (5) 22% (102) 468Boomers: Age 55-73 77% (596) 1% (8) — (0) 7% (52) — (1) 15% (118) 775PID: Dem (no lean) 67% (558) 3% (25) — (3) 14% (113) 1% (7) 15% (122) 829PID: Ind (no lean) 61% (304) 2% (9) — (1) 12% (58) 1% (3) 24% (121) 495PID: Rep (no lean) 61% (408) 4% (25) — (0) 11% (73) 1% (5) 23% (154) 666PID/Gender: DemMen 71% (253) 4% (15) — (1) 16% (58) 1% (5) 7% (26) 359PID/Gender: DemWomen 65% (305) 2% (10) — (2) 12% (55) — (2) 20% (96) 470PID/Gender: Ind Men 69% (183) 2% (6) — (1) 14% (37) — (0) 14% (37) 263PID/Gender: Ind Women 52% (121) 1% (2) — (0) 9% (21) 1% (3) 36% (84) 232PID/Gender: Rep Men 70% (217) 4% (12) — (0) 13% (39) 1% (4) 12% (38) 309PID/Gender: Rep Women 54% (192) 4% (13) — (0) 10% (34) — (1) 33% (116) 356Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 71% (410) 2% (11) — (0) 13% (78) 1% (3) 13% (76) 578Ideo: Moderate (4) 58% (342) 5% (27) 1% (3) 14% (81) 1% (6) 22% (127) 585Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 68% (484) 3% (20) — (0) 10% (72) 1% (5) 19% (132) 713Educ: < College 57% (718) 3% (40) — (3) 14% (171) 1% (10) 25% (310) 1252Educ: Bachelors degree 73% (345) 3% (13) — (0) 10% (47) 1% (4) 13% (62) 471Educ: Post-grad 78% (208) 3% (7) — (1) 10% (26) — (1) 9% (25) 268Income: Under 50k 58% (572) 3% (31) — (3) 13% (128) 1% (9) 24% (241) 983Income: 50k-100k 66% (446) 3% (17) — (1) 13% (85) 1% (4) 18% (120) 672Income: 100k+ 76% (254) 3% (11) — (0) 9% (31) 1% (2) 11% (37) 335Ethnicity: White 66% (1063) 3% (40) — (1) 11% (179) 1% (12) 20% (315) 1610Ethnicity: Hispanic 53% (101) 7% (13) 1% (2) 22% (43) — (0) 17% (33) 193


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Registered Voters 64% (1271) 3% (59) — (3) 12% (244) 1% (15) 20% (397) 1990Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 54% (135) 5% (12) 1% (3) 18% (46) — (1) 22% (56) 252Ethnicity: Other 57% (73) 5% (6) — (0) 16% (20) 2% (2) 21% (27) 128All Christian 70% (698) 2% (19) — (1) 11% (106) 1% (6) 17% (170) 1000All Non-Christian 78% (74) 4% (4) — (0) 8% (8) 2% (2) 7% (7) 95Atheist 68% (66) — (0) — (0) 18% (17) 2% (2) 12% (12) 97Agnostic/Nothing in particular 54% (432) 4% (36) — (3) 14% (113) 1% (5) 26% (209) 798Religious Non-Protestant/Catholic 74% (92) 5% (6) — (0) 10% (12) 2% (2) 10% (12) 124Evangelical 60% (301) 2% (12) 1% (3) 12% (60) 1% (3) 24% (121) 500Non-Evangelical 68% (533) 2% (14) — (0) 11% (84) 1% (7) 18% (141) 779Community: Urban 60% (298) 4% (18) — (1) 15% (74) 1% (7) 19% (97) 495Community: Suburban 70% (671) 3% (26) — (2) 11% (104) — (5) 16% (154) 962Community: Rural 57% (301) 3% (16) — (0) 12% (66) 1% (3) 28% (147) 533Employ: Private Sector 63% (400) 4% (27) — (1) 16% (99) 1% (8) 16% (99) 634Employ: Government 60% (61) 4% (4) — (0) 18% (18) 1% (1) 16% (16) 101Employ: Self-Employed 60% (104) 6% (10) — (0) 15% (25) 1% (2) 18% (31) 171Employ: Homemaker 42% (74) 1% (1) — (0) 11% (20) 1% (2) 45% (79) 176Employ: Retired 80% (455) 1% (5) — (0) 7% (41) — (0) 12% (68) 569Employ: Unemployed 46% (70) 3% (5) — (0) 11% (17) — (1) 39% (58) 150Employ: Other 55% (62) 3% (3) 2% (2) 13% (15) 1% (1) 27% (31) 113Military HH: Yes 63% (224) 5% (18) — (0) 11% (41) 1% (3) 20% (70) 356Military HH: No 64% (1047) 3% (41) — (3) 12% (203) 1% (12) 20% (327) 1634RD/WT: Right Direction 61% (488) 4% (33) — (1) 12% (96) 1% (7) 22% (175) 799RD/WT: Wrong Track 66% (783) 2% (26) — (3) 12% (148) 1% (8) 19% (222) 1191Trump Job Approve 61% (502) 4% (29) — (0) 11% (94) 1% (6) 23% (188) 820Trump Job Disapprove 67% (761) 3% (30) — (3) 13% (145) 1% (9) 16% (181) 1130Trump Job Strongly Approve 62% (295) 4% (19) — (0) 11% (55) — (1) 22% (106) 476Trump Job Somewhat Approve 60% (207) 3% (10) — (0) 12% (40) 2% (5) 24% (82) 344Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove 56% (140) 4% (10) — (1) 15% (37) 1% (3) 24% (61) 252Trump Job Strongly Disapprove 71% (621) 2% (20) — (3) 12% (108) 1% (7) 14% (120) 878Favorable of Trump 62% (503) 3% (27) — (0) 11% (86) 1% (8) 23% (191) 816Unfavorable of Trump 67% (754) 3% (32) — (3) 13% (150) 1% (6) 15% (172) 1117



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Table PI9



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Registered Voters 64% (1271) 3% (59) — (3) 12% (244) 1% (15) 20% (397) 1990Very Favorable of Trump 62% (299) 4% (22) — (0) 11% (52) — (2) 22% (108) 483Somewhat Favorable of Trump 61% (205) 2% (6) — (0) 10% (34) 2% (6) 25% (83) 333Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump 57% (98) 6% (11) — (1) 19% (32) 1% (1) 16% (28) 170Very Unfavorable of Trump 69% (656) 2% (21) — (3) 12% (118) 1% (5) 15% (144) 947#1 Issue: Economy 55% (269) 4% (20) — (0) 19% (91) 1% (4) 21% (104) 488#1 Issue: Security 65% (235) 3% (11) — (0) 9% (34) — (1) 23% (82) 363#1 Issue: Health Care 67% (287) 3% (11) — (0) 11% (48) 1% (4) 18% (74) 425#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 75% (258) 2% (6) — (0) 6% (22) — (1) 17% (59) 346#1 Issue: Women’s Issues 57% (51) 1% (1) — (0) 18% (16) 2% (2) 22% (20) 89#1 Issue: Education 47% (42) 8% (7) 1% (1) 18% (17) 4% (3) 23% (21) 91#1 Issue: Energy 68% (78) 2% (2) 2% (3) 9% (10) — (0) 19% (22) 115#1 Issue: Other 71% (51) 1% (1) — (0) 8% (6) — (0) 20% (15) 722018 House Vote: Democrat 70% (586) 3% (24) — (2) 13% (112) 1% (6) 12% (103) 8322018 House Vote: Republican 67% (446) 3% (18) — (1) 10% (65) 1% (5) 19% (129) 6642018 House Vote: Someone else 52% (38) 1% (1) — (0) 15% (11) — (0) 32% (23) 732016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 73% (524) 3% (18) — (2) 12% (84) 1% (5) 11% (81) 7152016 Vote: Donald Trump 67% (473) 3% (18) — (1) 10% (71) 1% (6) 19% (136) 7052016 Vote: Other 57% (98) 3% (5) — (0) 17% (30) — (0) 23% (40) 1732016 Vote: Didn’t Vote 44% (171) 4% (17) — (1) 15% (59) 1% (5) 35% (139) 391Voted in 2014: Yes 71% (964) 3% (36) — (3) 11% (151) 1% (12) 15% (201) 1367Voted in 2014: No 49% (307) 4% (23) — (1) 15% (93) 1% (3) 31% (196) 6232012 Vote: Barack Obama 71% (616) 3% (24) — (2) 12% (103) 1% (8) 13% (111) 8642012 Vote: Mitt Romney 71% (384) 2% (13) — (0) 9% (51) 1% (4) 17% (91) 5422012 Vote: Other 57% (47) 1% (1) 1% (1) 16% (13) — (0) 25% (21) 822012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 45% (224) 4% (21) — (1) 15% (76) 1% (3) 35% (172) 4974-Region: Northeast 70% (247) 2% (9) — (0) 11% (38) 1% (4) 16% (57) 3554-Region: Midwest 61% (277) 3% (14) — (1) 12% (53) 1% (3) 24% (109) 4574-Region: South 63% (465) 3% (20) — (2) 13% (94) 1% (4) 21% (158) 7434-Region: West 65% (281) 4% (17) — (0) 14% (59) 1% (4) 17% (74) 435DPV 70% (691) 3% (28) — (3) 14% (137) 1% (7) 12% (116) 982DPV Already Voted 90% (51) — (0) — (0) 4% (3) — (0) 6% (4) 57


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Registered Voters 64% (1271) 3% (59) — (3) 12% (244) 1% (15) 20% (397) 1990DPV Likely to Vote 69% (640) 3% (28) — (3) 15% (134) 1% (7) 12% (113) 925Vote for Joe Biden 88% (360) 1% (3) — (0) 5% (21) — (0) 6% (23) 408Vote for Michael Bloomberg 59% (52) 19% (17) 1% (1) 13% (12) 1% (1) 6% (5) 88Vote for Bernie Sanders 58% (188) 1% (5) 1% (2) 26% (84) — (1) 14% (44) 323Vote for Elizabeth Warren 63% (69) 1% (1) — (0) 15% (16) 4% (4) 17% (19) 110Note: Row proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. For more information visit MorningConsultIntelligence.com.



105

Table PI10

Table PI10: Lastly, following Super Tuesday, which of the following Democratic candidates if any would you say should drop out of the race to be theDemocratic presidential nominee?


BloombergTulsi


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Registered Voters 5% (91) 26% (518) 20% (405) 8% (169) 23% (460) 18% (348) 1990Gender: Male 5% (47) 29% (266) 19% (173) 9% (86) 27% (248) 12% (112) 931Gender: Female 4% (44) 24% (252) 22% (232) 8% (83) 20% (212) 22% (236) 1059Age: 18-29 11% (34) 23% (70) 11% (32) 9% (26) 18% (55) 29% (89) 306Age: 30-44 7% (33) 24% (121) 17% (84) 12% (61) 18% (91) 21% (106) 496Age: 45-54 3% (8) 27% (79) 21% (62) 6% (17) 24% (71) 19% (57) 293Age: 55-64 2% (10) 26% (113) 26% (111) 8% (35) 24% (104) 14% (58) 432Age: 65+ 1% (5) 29% (136) 25% (116) 6% (29) 30% (140) 8% (37) 463Generation Z: 18-22 14% (16) 18% (20) 9% (10) 15% (16) 16% (17) 29% (32) 110Millennial: Age 23-38 7% (36) 25% (127) 14% (74) 10% (53) 19% (97) 25% (129) 516Generation X: Age 39-54 5% (23) 26% (123) 20% (94) 7% (35) 22% (101) 20% (92) 468Boomers: Age 55-73 2% (16) 26% (203) 26% (198) 7% (55) 28% (217) 11% (87) 775PID: Dem (no lean) 6% (50) 27% (227) 26% (218) 9% (71) 18% (153) 13% (110) 829PID: Ind (no lean) 5% (24) 25% (125) 21% (102) 6% (30) 22% (109) 21% (105) 495PID: Rep (no lean) 3% (17) 25% (166) 13% (85) 10% (67) 30% (197) 20% (133) 666PID/Gender: DemMen 7% (25) 28% (101) 26% (92) 10% (35) 20% (70) 10% (36) 359PID/Gender: DemWomen 5% (25) 27% (126) 27% (126) 8% (36) 18% (83) 16% (73) 470PID/Gender: Ind Men 5% (12) 27% (71) 19% (50) 7% (19) 28% (74) 14% (37) 263PID/Gender: Ind Women 5% (12) 24% (55) 22% (52) 5% (11) 15% (35) 29% (68) 232PID/Gender: Rep Men 3% (10) 30% (94) 10% (31) 10% (32) 33% (104) 12% (38) 309PID/Gender: Rep Women 2% (7) 20% (72) 15% (54) 10% (35) 26% (94) 27% (95) 356Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 6% (37) 27% (159) 29% (166) 7% (43) 18% (104) 12% (69) 578Ideo: Moderate (4) 5% (29) 28% (166) 22% (126) 8% (46) 21% (124) 16% (94) 585Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 2% (18) 26% (182) 15% (105) 10% (69) 31% (222) 16% (117) 713Educ: < College 5% (62) 24% (306) 18% (223) 10% (121) 21% (265) 22% (274) 1252Educ: Bachelors degree 4% (18) 29% (138) 24% (114) 6% (29) 25% (116) 12% (55) 471Educ: Post-grad 4% (11) 28% (74) 25% (67) 7% (18) 30% (79) 7% (19) 268Income: Under 50k 6% (57) 23% (223) 19% (187) 10% (96) 21% (208) 22% (212) 983Income: 50k-100k 4% (24) 30% (200) 20% (137) 7% (50) 23% (152) 16% (108) 672Income: 100k+ 3% (10) 28% (95) 24% (80) 7% (23) 30% (100) 8% (28) 335Ethnicity: White 3% (56) 26% (419) 20% (328) 8% (130) 25% (408) 17% (267) 1610


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BloombergTulsi


ElizabethWarren


Registered Voters 5% (91) 26% (518) 20% (405) 8% (169) 23% (460) 18% (348) 1990Ethnicity: Hispanic 8% (15) 26% (51) 16% (30) 11% (21) 23% (45) 16% (30) 193Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 9% (22) 24% (62) 21% (52) 11% (29) 12% (30) 23% (58) 252Ethnicity: Other 10% (12) 29% (37) 19% (24) 7% (10) 16% (21) 19% (24) 128All Christian 4% (38) 27% (270) 22% (217) 7% (70) 27% (270) 13% (134) 1000All Non-Christian 3% (3) 38% (36) 20% (19) 4% (4) 24% (22) 11% (10) 95Atheist 4% (4) 24% (23) 24% (23) 18% (18) 21% (20) 9% (8) 97Agnostic/Nothing in particular 6% (45) 24% (189) 18% (146) 10% (77) 18% (147) 25% (196) 798Religious Non-Protestant/Catholic 5% (6) 36% (45) 18% (23) 4% (5) 22% (28) 14% (17) 124Evangelical 4% (19) 21% (104) 19% (96) 11% (57) 24% (119) 21% (105) 500Non-Evangelical 4% (34) 28% (220) 22% (172) 7% (51) 24% (191) 14% (110) 779Community: Urban 7% (34) 24% (120) 21% (103) 9% (43) 20% (101) 19% (94) 495Community: Suburban 5% (44) 28% (270) 20% (195) 7% (68) 25% (240) 15% (145) 962Community: Rural 2% (13) 24% (129) 20% (107) 11% (57) 22% (118) 21% (109) 533Employ: Private Sector 4% (26) 30% (192) 18% (116) 9% (55) 24% (151) 15% (95) 634Employ: Government 9% (9) 25% (25) 25% (26) 5% (5) 18% (18) 18% (18) 101Employ: Self-Employed 5% (9) 26% (44) 16% (28) 12% (20) 22% (37) 19% (32) 171Employ: Homemaker 6% (11) 16% (28) 16% (27) 7% (12) 22% (40) 33% (59) 176Employ: Retired 1% (7) 29% (165) 26% (151) 7% (42) 27% (152) 9% (52) 569Employ: Unemployed 6% (8) 17% (26) 14% (20) 12% (17) 15% (23) 36% (55) 150Employ: Other 6% (7) 19% (22) 20% (23) 10% (12) 23% (26) 22% (24) 113Military HH: Yes 2% (8) 28% (100) 17% (62) 9% (31) 27% (95) 17% (60) 356Military HH: No 5% (83) 26% (418) 21% (343) 8% (137) 22% (365) 18% (288) 1634RD/WT: Right Direction 4% (28) 25% (201) 14% (114) 9% (74) 29% (229) 19% (153) 799RD/WT: Wrong Track 5% (62) 27% (317) 24% (290) 8% (95) 19% (231) 16% (195) 1191Trump Job Approve 3% (26) 25% (209) 13% (109) 10% (78) 30% (243) 19% (155) 820Trump Job Disapprove 6% (63) 27% (306) 26% (294) 8% (87) 19% (213) 15% (166) 1130Trump Job Strongly Approve 4% (17) 26% (122) 12% (59) 11% (51) 30% (141) 18% (85) 476Trump Job Somewhat Approve 2% (8) 25% (86) 15% (50) 8% (27) 30% (103) 20% (70) 344Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove 4% (10) 24% (60) 22% (55) 7% (19) 19% (48) 23% (59) 252Trump Job Strongly Disapprove 6% (53) 28% (246) 27% (239) 8% (68) 19% (165) 12% (107) 878



107

Table PI10



BloombergTulsi


ElizabethWarren


Registered Voters 5% (91) 26% (518) 20% (405) 8% (169) 23% (460) 18% (348) 1990Favorable of Trump 3% (23) 26% (211) 14% (112) 9% (75) 29% (240) 19% (154) 816Unfavorable of Trump 6% (66) 27% (300) 26% (290) 8% (87) 19% (213) 14% (161) 1117Very Favorable of Trump 3% (14) 24% (117) 13% (62) 11% (51) 31% (149) 19% (90) 483Somewhat Favorable of Trump 3% (9) 28% (94) 15% (50) 7% (24) 27% (91) 19% (64) 333Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump 3% (5) 23% (39) 23% (38) 9% (15) 24% (41) 19% (32) 170Very Unfavorable of Trump 6% (61) 28% (261) 27% (252) 8% (72) 18% (173) 14% (128) 947#1 Issue: Economy 4% (19) 25% (122) 17% (84) 10% (51) 23% (113) 20% (98) 488#1 Issue: Security 3% (11) 27% (98) 14% (50) 10% (35) 27% (96) 20% (72) 363#1 Issue: Health Care 4% (19) 29% (121) 23% (97) 6% (25) 21% (91) 17% (72) 425#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 4% (14) 24% (82) 26% (88) 8% (27) 26% (91) 13% (43) 346#1 Issue: Women’s Issues 12% (11) 30% (27) 20% (18) 2% (2) 12% (11) 23% (21) 89#1 Issue: Education 3% (3) 28% (25) 25% (23) 9% (9) 18% (16) 17% (15) 91#1 Issue: Energy 7% (8) 26% (30) 22% (26) 11% (13) 18% (21) 15% (17) 115#1 Issue: Other 7% (5) 17% (13) 26% (19) 10% (7) 27% (20) 12% (9) 722018 House Vote: Democrat 6% (50) 30% (248) 28% (234) 8% (68) 18% (151) 10% (81) 8322018 House Vote: Republican 3% (18) 26% (172) 14% (91) 9% (62) 32% (214) 16% (107) 6642018 House Vote: Someone else 3% (2) 12% (9) 19% (14) 4% (3) 28% (20) 34% (25) 732016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 5% (33) 30% (215) 30% (216) 7% (51) 17% (124) 11% (75) 7152016 Vote: Donald Trump 3% (20) 26% (184) 13% (93) 9% (64) 32% (228) 16% (116) 7052016 Vote: Other 7% (12) 22% (38) 22% (38) 7% (12) 24% (42) 18% (30) 1732016 Vote: Didn’t Vote 6% (25) 21% (80) 14% (55) 10% (40) 17% (65) 32% (126) 391Voted in 2014: Yes 4% (54) 28% (378) 22% (299) 9% (121) 25% (336) 13% (178) 1367Voted in 2014: No 6% (37) 22% (140) 17% (106) 8% (48) 20% (123) 27% (170) 6232012 Vote: Barack Obama 5% (39) 28% (246) 29% (247) 8% (70) 19% (164) 11% (98) 8642012 Vote: Mitt Romney 3% (14) 27% (147) 14% (78) 9% (50) 33% (177) 14% (77) 5422012 Vote: Other 6% (5) 15% (13) 24% (19) 5% (4) 27% (22) 23% (19) 822012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 7% (33) 23% (113) 12% (60) 9% (44) 19% (96) 31% (152) 497


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BloombergTulsi


ElizabethWarren


Registered Voters 5% (91) 26% (518) 20% (405) 8% (169) 23% (460) 18% (348) 19904-Region: Northeast 5% (18) 30% (108) 18% (62) 7% (24) 25% (89) 15% (54) 3554-Region: Midwest 4% (17) 24% (108) 25% (113) 10% (44) 20% (90) 19% (85) 4574-Region: South 4% (30) 26% (190) 19% (139) 8% (61) 23% (172) 20% (150) 7434-Region: West 6% (25) 26% (112) 21% (90) 9% (39) 25% (109) 14% (59) 435DPV 6% (59) 29% (282) 27% (261) 8% (80) 20% (195) 11% (106) 982DPV Already Voted 5% (3) 28% (16) 25% (14) 1% (1) 33% (19) 9% (5) 57DPV Likely to Vote 6% (56) 29% (266) 27% (246) 9% (80) 19% (176) 11% (101) 925Vote for Joe Biden 6% (26) 32% (131) 28% (115) 6% (26) 21% (88) 6% (23) 408Vote for Michael Bloomberg 1% (1) 19% (17) 37% (33) 9% (8) 24% (21) 11% (10) 88Vote for Bernie Sanders 7% (24) 28% (89) 18% (59) 13% (41) 21% (69) 12% (40) 323Vote for Elizabeth Warren 7% (8) 33% (36) 38% (42) 3% (3) 7% (8) 12% (14) 110Note: Row proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. For more information visit MorningConsultIntelligence.com.



109

Table PI11_1

Table PI11_1: As a result of Super Tuesday, would you say you are more or less likely to vote foreach of the following candidates in your state’s primaryor caucus?Joe Biden

DemographicMuch more

likelySomewhatmore likely

Somewhat lesslikely Much less likely


Registered Voters 41% (404) 25% (249) 9% (86) 14% (142) 10% (101) 982Gender: Male 43% (200) 23% (109) 9% (40) 15% (69) 10% (48) 467Gender: Female 40% (204) 27% (139) 9% (46) 14% (73) 10% (53) 515Age: 18-29 20% (39) 26% (50) 17% (33) 21% (40) 15% (29) 191Age: 30-44 29% (77) 30% (79) 12% (31) 15% (40) 13% (35) 262Age: 45-54 46% (54) 22% (25) 7% (9) 14% (17) 11% (13) 118Age: 55-64 53% (111) 23% (48) 5% (9) 13% (28) 6% (13) 209Age: 65+ 61% (123) 23% (47) 2% (3) 8% (17) 5% (11) 201Generation Z: 18-22 19% (14) 24% (18) 20% (15) 25% (19) 12% (9) 74Millennial: Age 23-38 24% (71) 31% (91) 14% (40) 15% (46) 16% (47) 295Generation X: Age 39-54 42% (86) 23% (46) 9% (18) 16% (33) 10% (21) 203Boomers: Age 55-73 54% (197) 24% (86) 3% (12) 12% (44) 6% (23) 362PID: Dem (no lean) 43% (333) 26% (201) 8% (65) 12% (95) 11% (84) 779PID: Ind (no lean) 33% (58) 24% (41) 11% (20) 23% (40) 8% (14) 173PID/Gender: DemMen 45% (154) 24% (80) 9% (31) 11% (37) 11% (37) 339PID/Gender: DemWomen 41% (180) 27% (121) 8% (35) 13% (58) 11% (47) 440PID/Gender: Ind Men 35% (38) 22% (24) 9% (10) 27% (28) 7% (8) 107PID/Gender: Ind Women 30% (20) 27% (18) 15% (10) 18% (12) 10% (7) 66Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 37% (191) 28% (141) 10% (50) 14% (72) 11% (59) 512Ideo: Moderate (4) 47% (153) 24% (77) 7% (21) 13% (43) 9% (29) 323Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 41% (44) 24% (26) 10% (11) 18% (20) 8% (8) 109Educ: < College 42% (252) 23% (138) 9% (55) 15% (89) 11% (65) 599Educ: Bachelors degree 38% (93) 29% (71) 10% (23) 12% (29) 11% (25) 241Educ: Post-grad 42% (60) 28% (39) 5% (8) 17% (24) 8% (11) 142Income: Under 50k 40% (200) 25% (124) 8% (43) 15% (77) 12% (61) 505Income: 50k-100k 38% (116) 25% (77) 12% (36) 15% (46) 9% (29) 304Income: 100k+ 51% (89) 28% (48) 4% (7) 10% (18) 7% (12) 173Ethnicity: White 41% (283) 25% (178) 9% (62) 14% (101) 11% (75) 698Ethnicity: Hispanic 32% (38) 29% (34) 12% (14) 13% (15) 15% (18) 118Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 47% (97) 22% (45) 9% (19) 14% (29) 8% (16) 205


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Registered Voters 41% (404) 25% (249) 9% (86) 14% (142) 10% (101) 982Ethnicity: Other 31% (25) 34% (26) 7% (5) 15% (12) 13% (10) 78All Christian 50% (208) 26% (106) 6% (23) 11% (45) 8% (32) 415All Non-Christian 46% (28) 23% (14) 6% (3) 21% (13) 4% (3) 61Atheist 29% (21) 25% (18) 11% (8) 23% (17) 13% (10) 73Agnostic/Nothing in particular 34% (148) 25% (110) 12% (52) 15% (66) 13% (57) 433Religious Non-Protestant/Catholic 43% (31) 24% (17) 8% (5) 21% (15) 4% (3) 71Evangelical 54% (97) 17% (31) 8% (14) 11% (20) 10% (18) 181Non-Evangelical 44% (167) 26% (99) 7% (27) 13% (50) 9% (35) 379Community: Urban 37% (110) 23% (68) 9% (27) 18% (53) 13% (38) 297Community: Suburban 43% (202) 28% (131) 8% (38) 13% (60) 8% (38) 470Community: Rural 43% (92) 23% (49) 10% (21) 14% (29) 12% (25) 216Employ: Private Sector 35% (110) 27% (86) 12% (39) 15% (48) 11% (35) 317Employ: Government 38% (21) 30% (16) 7% (4) 16% (9) 9% (5) 55Employ: Self-Employed 31% (28) 36% (32) 4% (4) 18% (16) 11% (10) 90Employ: Homemaker 32% (23) 26% (18) 7% (5) 22% (16) 14% (10) 72Employ: Retired 61% (154) 20% (52) 4% (11) 9% (24) 5% (14) 255Employ: Unemployed 37% (31) 17% (14) 11% (9) 17% (14) 18% (15) 84Employ: Other 37% (23) 31% (19) 7% (5) 11% (7) 14% (9) 62Military HH: Yes 43% (60) 24% (34) 12% (16) 12% (17) 10% (14) 141Military HH: No 41% (344) 26% (215) 8% (70) 15% (125) 10% (88) 841RD/WT: Right Direction 33% (45) 32% (43) 8% (10) 19% (26) 8% (11) 135RD/WT: Wrong Track 42% (360) 24% (206) 9% (76) 14% (116) 11% (90) 847Trump Job Approve 23% (23) 27% (27) 13% (13) 31% (31) 6% (6) 99Trump Job Disapprove 44% (381) 25% (220) 8% (73) 12% (107) 11% (94) 875Trump Job Somewhat Approve 20% (14) 26% (18) 17% (11) 30% (20) 8% (5) 69Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove 31% (40) 26% (34) 15% (20) 15% (20) 13% (17) 132Trump Job Strongly Disapprove 46% (341) 25% (186) 7% (53) 12% (87) 10% (76) 744



111

Table PI11_1






Registered Voters 41% (404) 25% (249) 9% (86) 14% (142) 10% (101) 982Favorable of Trump 23% (22) 31% (29) 10% (9) 28% (26) 8% (7) 94Unfavorable of Trump 43% (378) 25% (219) 9% (75) 13% (110) 10% (90) 873Somewhat Favorable of Trump 27% (20) 28% (20) 10% (7) 27% (20) 7% (5) 72Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump 26% (21) 25% (20) 12% (10) 26% (22) 11% (9) 83Very Unfavorable of Trump 45% (357) 25% (199) 8% (65) 11% (88) 10% (81) 790#1 Issue: Economy 35% (72) 28% (56) 11% (22) 15% (30) 12% (24) 205#1 Issue: Security 36% (26) 38% (27) 6% (4) 10% (7) 10% (7) 72#1 Issue: Health Care 41% (120) 24% (70) 10% (28) 14% (41) 10% (30) 290#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 60% (102) 19% (33) 2% (4) 10% (17) 8% (15) 171#1 Issue: Women’s Issues 19% (11) 27% (16) 26% (15) 18% (11) 10% (6) 60#1 Issue: Education 23% (14) 30% (18) 10% (6) 27% (16) 9% (6) 59#1 Issue: Energy 44% (39) 24% (21) 6% (5) 16% (14) 10% (9) 872018 House Vote: Democrat 45% (332) 27% (196) 8% (56) 11% (85) 10% (70) 7392016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 48% (305) 27% (169) 7% (46) 9% (57) 9% (59) 6352016 Vote: Donald Trump 30% (23) 26% (20) 5% (4) 30% (23) 9% (7) 782016 Vote: Other 29% (25) 27% (24) 10% (9) 25% (22) 9% (7) 882016 Vote: Didn’t Vote 28% (51) 19% (34) 15% (27) 22% (40) 16% (28) 180Voted in 2014: Yes 47% (322) 26% (181) 7% (51) 12% (80) 8% (58) 692Voted in 2014: No 28% (82) 23% (67) 12% (35) 21% (62) 15% (43) 2902012 Vote: Barack Obama 46% (312) 25% (168) 8% (51) 12% (79) 9% (62) 6722012 Vote: Mitt Romney 40% (28) 28% (20) 8% (5) 20% (14) 5% (4) 722012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 26% (57) 24% (54) 13% (28) 20% (45) 16% (36) 2194-Region: Northeast 36% (69) 29% (55) 8% (16) 13% (25) 14% (27) 1924-Region: Midwest 41% (95) 24% (55) 11% (25) 14% (32) 11% (24) 2324-Region: South 48% (170) 22% (77) 6% (22) 14% (49) 9% (33) 3524-Region: West 34% (70) 29% (61) 11% (23) 18% (36) 8% (17) 206DPV 41% (404) 25% (249) 9% (86) 14% (142) 10% (101) 982DPV Already Voted 33% (19) 19% (11) 12% (7) 30% (17) 7% (4) 57DPV Likely to Vote 42% (386) 26% (238) 9% (79) 13% (125) 11% (98) 925


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Registered Voters 41% (404) 25% (249) 9% (86) 14% (142) 10% (101) 982Vote for Joe Biden 78% (318) 18% (73) 1% (2) 1% (6) 2% (8) 408Vote for Michael Bloomberg 30% (26) 38% (34) 10% (9) 14% (13) 8% (7) 88Vote for Bernie Sanders 12% (38) 25% (81) 15% (50) 29% (95) 18% (59) 323Vote for Elizabeth Warren 16% (18) 42% (46) 16% (17) 13% (14) 13% (15) 110Note: Row proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. For more information visit MorningConsultIntelligence.com.



113

Table PI11_2

Table PI11_2: As a result of Super Tuesday, would you say you are more or less likely to vote foreach of the following candidates in your state’s primaryor caucus?Michael Bloomberg







114










115

Table PI11_2








116










117

Table PI11_3

Table PI11_3: As a result of Super Tuesday, would you say you are more or less likely to vote foreach of the following candidates in your state’s primaryor caucus?Tulsi Gabbard





Registered Voters 2% (20) 5% (46) 11% (104) 54% (532) 29% (281) 982Gender: Male 2% (9) 6% (29) 12% (56) 57% (264) 23% (109) 467Gender: Female 2% (11) 3% (16) 9% (48) 52% (268) 33% (172) 515Age: 18-29 1% (2) 7% (13) 11% (20) 37% (71) 44% (85) 191Age: 30-44 3% (8) 5% (13) 15% (40) 40% (105) 37% (97) 262Age: 45-54 4% (4) 6% (7) 5% (6) 59% (70) 26% (31) 118Age: 55-64 2% (4) 4% (9) 11% (23) 65% (135) 18% (37) 209Age: 65+ 1% (1) 2% (4) 7% (14) 75% (151) 16% (31) 201Generation Z: 18-22 — (0) 11% (8) 11% (8) 36% (26) 42% (31) 74Millennial: Age 23-38 2% (7) 5% (16) 14% (41) 35% (104) 43% (127) 295Generation X: Age 39-54 4% (8) 4% (8) 9% (18) 57% (116) 27% (54) 203Boomers: Age 55-73 2% (6) 3% (12) 9% (34) 69% (249) 17% (62) 362PID: Dem (no lean) 2% (12) 5% (36) 11% (82) 53% (414) 30% (235) 779PID: Ind (no lean) 4% (7) 5% (8) 10% (18) 56% (97) 25% (43) 173PID/Gender: DemMen 1% (4) 7% (23) 12% (41) 55% (186) 25% (85) 339PID/Gender: DemWomen 2% (8) 3% (14) 9% (41) 52% (228) 34% (150) 440PID/Gender: Ind Men 3% (4) 5% (6) 11% (12) 60% (64) 20% (22) 107PID/Gender: Ind Women 5% (3) 4% (2) 9% (6) 50% (33) 32% (21) 66Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 1% (5) 4% (23) 12% (61) 57% (294) 25% (129) 512Ideo: Moderate (4) 4% (13) 5% (17) 9% (29) 52% (168) 30% (97) 323Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 1% (1) 5% (5) 13% (14) 57% (62) 24% (26) 109Educ: < College 2% (11) 6% (33) 10% (58) 52% (312) 31% (186) 599Educ: Bachelors degree 3% (7) 4% (9) 12% (30) 51% (122) 30% (73) 241Educ: Post-grad 1% (2) 2% (3) 11% (16) 70% (99) 16% (22) 142Income: Under 50k 2% (11) 6% (32) 10% (50) 49% (250) 32% (163) 505Income: 50k-100k 2% (5) 3% (9) 15% (46) 54% (164) 26% (80) 304Income: 100k+ 2% (4) 3% (5) 4% (8) 69% (119) 22% (38) 173Ethnicity: White 2% (15) 4% (25) 10% (70) 59% (410) 26% (179) 698Ethnicity: Hispanic 3% (3) 9% (10) 9% (11) 41% (49) 38% (45) 118Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 2% (4) 7% (14) 12% (24) 42% (87) 37% (76) 205


118







Registered Voters 2% (20) 5% (46) 11% (104) 54% (532) 29% (281) 982Ethnicity: Other 1% (1) 9% (7) 12% (10) 46% (36) 32% (25) 78All Christian 2% (8) 5% (22) 10% (40) 59% (245) 24% (100) 415All Non-Christian 1% (1) 5% (3) 5% (3) 74% (45) 15% (9) 61Atheist — (0) 7% (5) 9% (7) 65% (47) 19% (14) 73Agnostic/Nothing in particular 3% (11) 3% (15) 13% (54) 45% (195) 36% (157) 433Religious Non-Protestant/Catholic 1% (1) 5% (4) 5% (4) 68% (49) 19% (14) 71Evangelical 3% (5) 7% (12) 15% (26) 43% (77) 34% (61) 181Non-Evangelical 3% (10) 4% (15) 9% (35) 58% (221) 26% (97) 379Community: Urban 1% (4) 6% (18) 10% (30) 49% (144) 34% (100) 297Community: Suburban 2% (9) 4% (17) 11% (52) 58% (271) 25% (120) 470Community: Rural 3% (6) 5% (11) 10% (21) 54% (117) 28% (61) 216Employ: Private Sector 3% (8) 6% (18) 11% (35) 51% (162) 29% (93) 317Employ: Government 3% (2) 6% (3) 16% (9) 41% (22) 35% (19) 55Employ: Self-Employed 1% (1) 6% (5) 10% (9) 51% (46) 33% (29) 90Employ: Homemaker 2% (1) 4% (3) 10% (7) 53% (38) 31% (22) 72Employ: Retired 1% (3) 3% (7) 7% (18) 72% (183) 17% (44) 255Employ: Unemployed 3% (2) 4% (3) 10% (9) 39% (33) 44% (36) 84Employ: Other 3% (2) 4% (2) 15% (10) 37% (23) 41% (25) 62Military HH: Yes 1% (1) 5% (7) 14% (20) 59% (83) 21% (30) 141Military HH: No 2% (19) 5% (38) 10% (84) 53% (450) 30% (251) 841RD/WT: Right Direction 4% (6) 8% (11) 8% (11) 54% (73) 25% (34) 135RD/WT: Wrong Track 2% (14) 4% (34) 11% (93) 54% (459) 29% (247) 847Trump Job Approve 4% (4) 7% (7) 10% (9) 57% (56) 22% (22) 99Trump Job Disapprove 2% (14) 4% (38) 11% (94) 54% (475) 29% (254) 875Trump Job Somewhat Approve 4% (3) 6% (4) 8% (6) 56% (38) 25% (17) 69Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove 6% (7) 3% (3) 13% (17) 44% (58) 35% (46) 132Trump Job Strongly Disapprove 1% (7) 5% (35) 10% (77) 56% (417) 28% (208) 744



119

Table PI11_3






Registered Voters 2% (20) 5% (46) 11% (104) 54% (532) 29% (281) 982Favorable of Trump 5% (5) 7% (7) 11% (10) 54% (50) 23% (21) 94Unfavorable of Trump 2% (13) 4% (38) 11% (93) 55% (476) 29% (252) 873Somewhat Favorable of Trump 3% (2) 6% (4) 12% (9) 56% (40) 24% (17) 72Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump 8% (6) 2% (1) 10% (8) 49% (40) 32% (27) 83Very Unfavorable of Trump 1% (7) 5% (37) 11% (85) 55% (436) 29% (226) 790#1 Issue: Economy 2% (4) 6% (11) 13% (27) 44% (89) 35% (72) 205#1 Issue: Security 8% (6) 8% (6) 11% (8) 43% (31) 29% (21) 72#1 Issue: Health Care 1% (4) 3% (8) 9% (25) 62% (179) 26% (75) 290#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 1% (2) 2% (4) 6% (11) 68% (116) 22% (38) 171#1 Issue: Women’s Issues — (0) 7% (4) 10% (6) 39% (23) 43% (26) 60#1 Issue: Education — (0) 3% (2) 15% (9) 44% (26) 37% (22) 59#1 Issue: Energy 2% (2) 10% (9) 16% (14) 50% (44) 22% (19) 872018 House Vote: Democrat 2% (11) 4% (33) 10% (75) 57% (422) 27% (198) 7392016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 2% (10) 5% (29) 11% (67) 58% (369) 25% (161) 6352016 Vote: Donald Trump 3% (3) 5% (4) 7% (6) 61% (47) 24% (19) 782016 Vote: Other 7% (6) 4% (4) 12% (11) 44% (38) 33% (29) 882016 Vote: Didn’t Vote 1% (1) 5% (9) 11% (20) 43% (78) 40% (72) 180Voted in 2014: Yes 2% (14) 4% (27) 11% (76) 59% (411) 24% (164) 692Voted in 2014: No 2% (6) 6% (19) 10% (28) 42% (121) 40% (117) 2902012 Vote: Barack Obama 2% (16) 4% (27) 11% (76) 57% (385) 25% (167) 6722012 Vote: Mitt Romney 1% (1) 3% (2) 6% (5) 70% (50) 19% (14) 722012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 1% (2) 6% (14) 9% (20) 40% (88) 43% (95) 2194-Region: Northeast 3% (5) 4% (8) 12% (23) 48% (93) 33% (63) 1924-Region: Midwest 2% (5) 4% (10) 11% (24) 56% (130) 27% (62) 2324-Region: South 2% (7) 6% (20) 10% (35) 53% (187) 29% (103) 3524-Region: West 2% (3) 4% (7) 10% (21) 59% (122) 25% (53) 206DPV 2% (20) 5% (46) 11% (104) 54% (532) 29% (281) 982DPV Already Voted 6% (3) 1% (0) 7% (4) 67% (39) 19% (11) 57DPV Likely to Vote 2% (17) 5% (45) 11% (100) 53% (494) 29% (270) 925


120







Registered Voters 2% (20) 5% (46) 11% (104) 54% (532) 29% (281) 982Vote for Joe Biden — (1) 3% (13) 9% (37) 66% (268) 22% (88) 408Vote for Michael Bloomberg 1% (1) 8% (7) 11% (10) 46% (41) 33% (29) 88Vote for Bernie Sanders 2% (5) 5% (18) 11% (37) 48% (156) 33% (107) 323Vote for Elizabeth Warren — (0) 6% (6) 16% (17) 50% (55) 29% (31) 110Note: Row proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. For more information visit MorningConsultIntelligence.com.



121

Table PI11_4

Table PI11_4: As a result of Super Tuesday, would you say you are more or less likely to vote foreach of the following candidates in your state’s primaryor caucus?Bernie Sanders







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123

Table PI11_4








124










125

Table PI11_5

Table PI11_5: As a result of Super Tuesday, would you say you are more or less likely to vote foreach of the following candidates in your state’s primaryor caucus?Elizabeth Warren







126










127

Table PI11_5






Registered Voters 9% (87) 16% (161) 19% (190) 39% (379) 17% (165) 982Favorable of Trump 1% (1) 16% (15) 14% (13) 60% (56) 10% (9) 94Unfavorable of Trump 10% (85) 17% (145) 20% (176) 36% (317) 17% (150) 873Somewhat Favorable of Trump 1% (1) 17% (12) 14% (10) 59% (42) 10% (7) 72Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump 5% (4) 13% (10) 19% (16) 43% (36) 20% (17) 83Very Unfavorable of Trump 10% (81) 17% (135) 20% (160) 36% (281) 17% (134) 790#1 Issue: Economy 9% (19) 19% (40) 17% (35) 34% (70) 20% (41) 205#1 Issue: Security 8% (6) 21% (15) 12% (8) 38% (28) 21% (15) 72#1 Issue: Health Care 7% (21) 16% (45) 23% (67) 39% (114) 15% (42) 290#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 9% (15) 12% (21) 18% (30) 50% (86) 12% (20) 171#1 Issue: Women’s Issues 10% (6) 17% (10) 25% (15) 27% (16) 22% (13) 60#1 Issue: Education 11% (6) 22% (13) 16% (10) 35% (21) 16% (10) 59#1 Issue: Energy 13% (12) 14% (12) 19% (16) 36% (31) 18% (16) 872018 House Vote: Democrat 10% (75) 17% (125) 20% (146) 38% (283) 15% (110) 7392016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 12% (73) 16% (102) 21% (130) 37% (236) 15% (93) 6352016 Vote: Donald Trump — (0) 10% (8) 9% (7) 67% (52) 14% (10) 782016 Vote: Other 4% (3) 15% (13) 21% (18) 44% (39) 17% (15) 882016 Vote: Didn’t Vote 6% (10) 21% (37) 19% (34) 29% (52) 26% (47) 180Voted in 2014: Yes 10% (68) 15% (106) 19% (133) 42% (290) 14% (95) 692Voted in 2014: No 6% (19) 19% (55) 19% (56) 31% (89) 24% (70) 2902012 Vote: Barack Obama 11% (77) 17% (111) 19% (128) 38% (255) 15% (101) 6722012 Vote: Mitt Romney 4% (3) 6% (5) 20% (14) 61% (44) 9% (6) 722012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 3% (7) 20% (44) 21% (45) 31% (68) 25% (55) 2194-Region: Northeast 10% (19) 15% (29) 16% (30) 39% (74) 21% (40) 1924-Region: Midwest 8% (19) 14% (34) 24% (56) 39% (91) 14% (32) 2324-Region: South 8% (27) 18% (64) 19% (65) 37% (129) 19% (66) 3524-Region: West 11% (22) 17% (35) 19% (39) 41% (84) 13% (27) 206DPV 9% (87) 16% (161) 19% (190) 39% (379) 17% (165) 982DPV Already Voted 17% (10) 8% (4) 19% (11) 47% (27) 9% (5) 57DPV Likely to Vote 8% (77) 17% (157) 19% (179) 38% (352) 17% (160) 925


128










129

Table PI12_1

Table PI12_1: To what extent do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements?The candidate who won the most delegates on Super Tuesday will be the Democratic nominee

Demographic Strongly agreeSomewhatagree

Somewhatdisagree

Stronglydisagree




130




Somewhatdisagree

Stronglydisagree


Registered Voters 16% (322) 37% (733) 14% (269) 5% (94) 29% (572) 1990Ethnicity: Hispanic 20% (39) 36% (70) 12% (24) 6% (12) 25% (48) 193Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 28% (71) 30% (76) 11% (27) 5% (12) 26% (66) 252Ethnicity: Other 19% (25) 38% (49) 14% (18) 3% (4) 26% (33) 128All Christian 18% (180) 40% (396) 12% (124) 5% (52) 25% (249) 1000All Non-Christian 24% (23) 35% (34) 10% (10) 1% (1) 30% (28) 95Atheist 18% (18) 30% (29) 17% (16) 7% (7) 27% (27) 97Agnostic/Nothing in particular 13% (102) 34% (274) 15% (119) 4% (35) 34% (268) 798Religious Non-Protestant/Catholic 18% (23) 41% (50) 11% (14) — (1) 30% (37) 124Evangelical 16% (82) 37% (183) 15% (73) 5% (24) 28% (138) 500Non-Evangelical 19% (148) 37% (291) 12% (94) 5% (38) 26% (206) 779Community: Urban 18% (89) 33% (166) 14% (68) 5% (27) 29% (146) 495Community: Suburban 16% (153) 38% (364) 15% (140) 5% (44) 27% (260) 962Community: Rural 15% (80) 38% (203) 11% (60) 4% (24) 31% (165) 533Employ: Private Sector 17% (106) 39% (248) 16% (98) 4% (26) 25% (155) 634Employ: Government 13% (13) 40% (40) 17% (17) 4% (4) 26% (26) 101Employ: Self-Employed 18% (31) 34% (58) 17% (29) 5% (9) 26% (45) 171Employ: Homemaker 8% (14) 34% (59) 10% (18) 4% (7) 44% (78) 176Employ: Retired 19% (108) 37% (213) 11% (65) 4% (25) 28% (158) 569Employ: Unemployed 12% (18) 33% (49) 11% (16) 7% (10) 38% (57) 150Employ: Other 19% (21) 32% (36) 10% (11) 7% (8) 33% (38) 113Military HH: Yes 16% (59) 33% (119) 11% (40) 7% (24) 32% (115) 356Military HH: No 16% (264) 38% (614) 14% (229) 4% (71) 28% (456) 1634RD/WT: Right Direction 13% (103) 36% (292) 14% (113) 7% (54) 30% (238) 799RD/WT: Wrong Track 18% (220) 37% (441) 13% (156) 3% (40) 28% (334) 1191Trump Job Approve 11% (93) 36% (298) 15% (120) 8% (62) 30% (247) 820Trump Job Disapprove 20% (228) 38% (431) 13% (147) 3% (29) 26% (295) 1130Trump Job Strongly Approve 12% (59) 35% (166) 12% (58) 10% (46) 31% (146) 476Trump Job Somewhat Approve 10% (33) 38% (132) 18% (62) 5% (16) 29% (101) 344Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove 12% (30) 42% (105) 15% (37) 2% (5) 30% (74) 252Trump Job Strongly Disapprove 23% (198) 37% (326) 13% (110) 3% (24) 25% (221) 878



131

Table PI12_1



Somewhatdisagree

Stronglydisagree




132




Somewhatdisagree

Stronglydisagree


Registered Voters 16% (322) 37% (733) 14% (269) 5% (94) 29% (572) 19904-Region: Northeast 19% (68) 33% (118) 15% (54) 6% (22) 26% (93) 3554-Region: Midwest 14% (63) 38% (172) 15% (70) 5% (21) 29% (131) 4574-Region: South 18% (137) 34% (254) 12% (88) 5% (36) 31% (228) 7434-Region: West 12% (54) 43% (188) 13% (57) 4% (16) 28% (120) 435DPV 22% (219) 38% (377) 14% (137) 3% (30) 22% (219) 982DPV Already Voted 19% (11) 41% (24) 23% (13) 1% (1) 15% (9) 57DPV Likely to Vote 23% (208) 38% (353) 13% (124) 3% (29) 23% (210) 925Vote for Joe Biden 33% (135) 42% (171) 6% (26) 2% (9) 16% (67) 408Vote for Michael Bloomberg 27% (24) 39% (35) 11% (9) — (0) 23% (20) 88Vote for Bernie Sanders 14% (46) 32% (104) 23% (75) 6% (18) 25% (80) 323Vote for Elizabeth Warren 8% (9) 49% (53) 16% (18) 1% (1) 26% (29) 110Note: Row proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. For more information visit MorningConsultIntelligence.com.



133

Table PI12_2

Table PI12_2: To what extent do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements?The candidate who won the most delegates on Super Tuesday can beat President Trump


Somewhatdisagree

Stronglydisagree




134




Somewhatdisagree

Stronglydisagree





135

Table PI12_2



Somewhatdisagree

Stronglydisagree




136




Somewhatdisagree

Stronglydisagree





137

Table PI12_3

Table PI12_3: To what extent do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements?The results of Super Tuesday are re ective of the Democratic Party


Somewhatdisagree

Stronglydisagree




138




Somewhatdisagree

Stronglydisagree





139

Table PI12_3



Somewhatdisagree

Stronglydisagree




140




Somewhatdisagree

Stronglydisagree





141

Table PI12_4

Table PI12_4: To what extent do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements?I am happy with the results of Super Tuesday


Somewhatdisagree

Stronglydisagree




142




Somewhatdisagree

Stronglydisagree





143

Table PI12_4



Somewhatdisagree

Stronglydisagree




144




Somewhatdisagree

Stronglydisagree





145

Table PI12_5

Table PI12_5: To what extent do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements?The Democratic Party is heading in the right direction


Somewhatdisagree

Stronglydisagree




146




Somewhatdisagree

Stronglydisagree





147

Table PI12_5



Somewhatdisagree

Stronglydisagree




148




Somewhatdisagree

Stronglydisagree





149

Table PI12_6

Table PI12_6: To what extent do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements?The Democratic Party should eliminate caucuses as part of the nomination process


Somewhatdisagree

Stronglydisagree




150




Somewhatdisagree

Stronglydisagree





151

Table PI12_6



Somewhatdisagree

Stronglydisagree




152




Somewhatdisagree

Stronglydisagree




National Tracking Poll #200306, March, 2020Respondent Demographics Summary

Respondent Demographics Summary

Summary Statistics of Survey Respondent DemographicsDemographic Group Frequency Percentage

xdemAll Registered Voters 1990 100%

xdemGender Gender: Male 931 47%Gender: Female 1059 53%

N 1990

age5 Age: 18-29 306 15%Age: 30-44 496 25%Age: 45-54 293 15%Age: 55-64 432 22%Age: 65+ 463 23%

N 1990

demAgeGeneration Generation Z: 18-22 110 6%Millennial: Age 23-38 516 26%

Generation X: Age 39-54 468 24%Boomers: Age 55-73 775 39%

N 1870

xpid3 PID: Dem (no lean) 829 42%PID: Ind (no lean) 495 25%PID: Rep (no lean) 666 33%

N 1990

xpidGender PID/Gender: DemMen 359 18%PID/Gender: DemWomen 470 24%

PID/Gender: Ind Men 263 13%PID/Gender: Ind Women 232 12%

PID/Gender: Rep Men 309 16%PID/Gender: Rep Women 356 18%

N 1990

xdemIdeo3 Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 578 29%Ideo: Moderate (4) 585 29%

Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 713 36%N 1877

xeduc3 Educ: < College 1252 63%Educ: Bachelors degree 471 24%

Educ: Post-grad 268 13%N 1990


153

Morning ConsultRespondent Demographics Summary


xdemInc3 Income: Under 50k 983 49%Income: 50k-100k 672 34%

Income: 100k+ 335 17%N 1990

xdemWhite Ethnicity: White 1610 81%

xdemHispBin Ethnicity: Hispanic 193 10%

demBlackBin Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 252 13%

demRaceOther Ethnicity: Other 128 6%

xdemReligion All Christian 1000 50%All Non-Christian 95 5%

Atheist 97 5%Agnostic/Nothing in particular 798 40%

N 1990

xdemReligOther Religious Non-Protestant/Catholic 124 6%

xdemEvang Evangelical 500 25%Non-Evangelical 779 39%

N 1278

xdemUsr Community: Urban 495 25%Community: Suburban 962 48%

Community: Rural 533 27%N 1990

xdemEmploy Employ: Private Sector 634 32%Employ: Government 101 5%

Employ: Self-Employed 171 9%Employ: Homemaker 176 9%

Employ: Retired 569 29%Employ: Unemployed 150 8%

Employ: Other 113 6%N 1915

xdemMilHH1 Military HH: Yes 356 18%Military HH: No 1634 82%

N 1990

xnr1 RD/WT: Right Direction 799 40%RD/WT: Wrong Track 1191 60%

N 1990


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National Tracking Poll #200306, March, 2020Respondent Demographics Summary


Trump_Approve Trump Job Approve 820 41%Trump Job Disapprove 1130 57%

N 1950

Trump_Approve2 Trump Job Strongly Approve 476 24%Trump Job Somewhat Approve 344 17%

Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove 252 13%Trump Job Strongly Disapprove 878 44%

N 1950

Trump_Fav Favorable of Trump 816 41%Unfavorable of Trump 1117 56%

N 1933

Trump_Fav_FULL Very Favorable of Trump 483 24%Somewhat Favorable of Trump 333 17%

Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump 170 9%Very Unfavorable of Trump 947 48%

N 1933

xnr3 #1 Issue: Economy 488 25%#1 Issue: Security 363 18%

#1 Issue: Health Care 425 21%#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 346 17%

#1 Issue: Women’s Issues 89 4%#1 Issue: Education 91 5%

#1 Issue: Energy 115 6%#1 Issue: Other 72 4%

N 1990

xsubVote18O 2018 House Vote: Democrat 832 42%2018 House Vote: Republican 664 33%

2018 House Vote: Someone else 73 4%N 1569

xsubVote16O 2016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 715 36%2016 Vote: Donald Trump 705 35%

2016 Vote: Other 173 9%2016 Vote: Didn’t Vote 391 20%

N 1985

xsubVote14O Voted in 2014: Yes 1367 69%Voted in 2014: No 623 31%

N 1990


155

Morning ConsultRespondent Demographics Summary


xsubVote12O 2012 Vote: Barack Obama 864 43%2012 Vote: Mitt Romney 542 27%

2012 Vote: Other 82 4%2012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 497 25%

N 1986

xreg4 4-Region: Northeast 355 18%4-Region: Midwest 457 23%

4-Region: South 743 37%4-Region: West 435 22%

N 1990

PIdem1 DPV 982 49%

PIdem2 DPV Already Voted 57 3%

PIdem3 DPV Likely to Vote 925 46%

PIdem4 Vote for Joe Biden 408 20%Vote for Michael Bloomberg 88 4%

Vote for Tulsi Gabbard 14 1%Vote for Bernie Sanders 323 16%

Vote for Elizabeth Warren 110 6%N 942

Note: Group proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. All statistics are calcu-lated with demographic post-stratification weights applied.

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National Tracking Poll #200306, March, 2020 157

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