NATIONAL POLL National Public Opinion Poll April 3-5, 2014 N = 1,804 Likely 2014 Voters #140401.

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NATIONAL POLL National Public Opinion Poll April 3-5, 2014 N = 1,804 Likely 2014 Voters #140401

Transcript of NATIONAL POLL National Public Opinion Poll April 3-5, 2014 N = 1,804 Likely 2014 Voters #140401.

Page 1: NATIONAL POLL National Public Opinion Poll April 3-5, 2014 N = 1,804 Likely 2014 Voters #140401.

NATIONAL POLL

National Public Opinion PollApril 3-5, 2014

N = 1,804 Likely 2014 Voters#140401

Page 2: NATIONAL POLL National Public Opinion Poll April 3-5, 2014 N = 1,804 Likely 2014 Voters #140401.

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Total DEM(35%)

IND(34%)

GOP(31%)

Age 18-29

(16%)

Age 30-44

(25%)

Age 45-64

(38%)

Age 65+(21%)

33%

61%

25%

11%

42%35% 31% 30%

67%

39%

75%

89%

58%65% 69% 70%

RD

Now, generally speaking, would you say that things in the country are going in the right direction, or have they pretty seriously gotten off on

the wrong track?

NATION OFF ON WRONG TRACK

WT

Total By Party By Age

RD WT RD WT RD WT RD WT RD WT RD WT RD WT

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National

All Senate States Competitive Senate States*

41% 37% 35%

56% 59% 60%

Approve

And, do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as President?

OBAMA JOB APPROVAL INVERTED

Disapprove

Senate battlegrounds even less amicable to President.

ApproveDisapprov

e ApproveDisapprov

e

* “Competitive Senate States” based on all states considered Lean or Toss-up by Cook Political Report.

Disapprove +15 Disapprove +22 Disapprove +25

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Now, thinking about your vote in 2014 for federal offices such as U.S. Senate or Congress, what would you say is the top issue that is motivating

your vote?

FISCAL ISSUES DOMINATE

28%

17%

17%

15%

10%

4%

3%

2%

1%

Education

Immigration Reform

Health Care

Federal Budget Deficit and Debt

Jobs/Unemployment

The Economy

Medicare and Social Security

DEM(35%)

IND(34%)

GOP(31%)

18-29(16%)

30-44(25%)

45-64(38%)

65+(21%)

30% 28% 25% 31% 30% 29% 21%

17% 18% 14% 19% 15% 18% 13%

14% 17% 20% 15% 21% 16% 15%

8% 16% 23% 11% 13% 16% 19%

15% 7% 7% 4% 5% 9% 22%

8% 3% 1% 10% 7% 1% 2%

2% 3% 2% 3% 2% 3% 2%

3% 2% 1% 3% 3% 1% 1%

1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 0%

Foreign Policy

Energy Policy

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National All Senate States

Competitive Senate States*

INDies Suburban White

Female

Single White

Female

37% 34% 36%26% 30%

37%39% 42% 40%31%

40% 35%

DEM

And, when you think about the upcoming 2014 elections for U.S. Senate happening in some states, which is your preference for the outcome of

the election? Is it a…Senate Controlled by Democrats …or… Senate Controlled by

Republicans?

GENERIC ADVANTAGE TO GOP

GOP

* “Competitive Senate States” based on all states considered Lean or Toss-up by Cook Political Report.

DEM GOP DEM GOP DEM GOP DEM GOP DEM GOP

R+2 R+8 R+4 R+5 R+10 D+2

Totals Key Demographics

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National All Senate States

Competitive Senate States*

INDies Suburban White

Female

Single White

Female

29% 26% 26%17% 21%

30%41% 45% 46% 41% 41% 43%

30% 30% 28%

42% 38%27%

Sup

Will your vote this November for federal offices such as U.S. Senate and U.S. House be a vote to…

Send a signal of support for President Obama,Send a signal of opposition to President Obama, OR

Not send a signal either way about President Obama?

VOTERS WANT TO SIGNAL OPPOSITION TO OBAMA

Opp

* “Competitive Senate States” based on all states considered Lean or Toss-up by Cook Political Report.

NoSig. SupOpp

NoSig. SupOpp

NoSig. SupOpp

NoSig. SupOpp

NoSig. SupOpp

NoSig.

Totals Key Demographics

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MINIMUM WAGE

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National All Senate States

Competitive Senate States*

DEM(35%)

IND(34%)

GOP(31%)

70% 69% 66%

88%

68%

52%

25% 27% 29%

9%

25%

42%

Supp

Would you support or oppose raising the national minimum wage, which is now $7.25 an hour?

SUPPORT FOR WAGE HIKE

Opp

* “Competitive Senate States” based on all states considered Lean or Toss-up by Cook Political Report.

Supp Opp

Supp Opp

Supp Opp

Supp Opp

Supp Opp

Totals By Party

Note majority of R’s support hike.

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Total DEM(35%)

IND(34%)

GOP(31%)

Age 18-29

(16%)

Age 30-44

(25%)

Age 45-64

(38%)

Age 65+(21%)

46%

29%

45%

66%

50% 45% 45% 47%36%

53%

33%20%

32% 34% 37% 38%

Yes

Do you think raising the national minimum wage would lead businesses to cut jobs and/or reduce new hiring?

PLURALITY SEE JOB CUTS AS LIKELY RESULT

No

Total By Party By Age

Yes No

Yes No

Yes No

Yes No

Yes No

Yes No

Yes No

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White Collar(47%)

Blue Collar(38%)

46% 48%40%

33%

Yes

Do you think raising the national minimum wage would lead businesses to cut jobs and/or reduce new hiring?

BLUE COLLAR MORE ACUTELY CONCERNED

No

By Self-Described White Collar/Blue Collar

Yes No

Yes +6

Yes +15

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Please indicate which statement comes closer to your opinion, even if neither is exactly right…

WHEN STATE V. FEDERAL ARGUMENT PRESENTED…

The minimum wage is a federal issue. It is the responsibility of Washington D.C. to ensure that everyone in the country is paid the same basic

minimum wage.

The minimum wage is a state issue. The states are best positioned to find the right balance between

business needs and wages in their local economies.

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Total DEM(35%)

IND(34%)

GOP(31%)

Men(47%)

Women(53%)

Sub WhtFem

(23%)

Sing WhtFem (6%)

44%

66%

36%28%

42% 46% 42% 44%56%

34%

64%72%

58% 54% 58% 56%

VOTERS PREFER IT BE STATE ISSUE

Fed.Stat

e Fed.Stat

e Fed.Stat

e Fed.Stat

e Fed.Stat

e Fed.Stat

e Fed.Stat

e Fed.Stat

e

The minimum wage is a federal issue.

The minimum wage is a state issue.

By Gender & SubgroupsBy PartyTotal

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