NATIONAL POLL National Public Opinion Poll April 3-5, 2014 N = 1,804 Likely 2014 Voters #140401.
Transcript of NATIONAL POLL National Public Opinion Poll April 3-5, 2014 N = 1,804 Likely 2014 Voters #140401.
NATIONAL POLL
National Public Opinion PollApril 3-5, 2014
N = 1,804 Likely 2014 Voters#140401
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Total DEM(35%)
IND(34%)
GOP(31%)
Age 18-29
(16%)
Age 30-44
(25%)
Age 45-64
(38%)
Age 65+(21%)
33%
61%
25%
11%
42%35% 31% 30%
67%
39%
75%
89%
58%65% 69% 70%
RD
Now, generally speaking, would you say that things in the country are going in the right direction, or have they pretty seriously gotten off on
the wrong track?
NATION OFF ON WRONG TRACK
WT
Total By Party By Age
RD WT RD WT RD WT RD WT RD WT RD WT RD WT
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National
All Senate States Competitive Senate States*
41% 37% 35%
56% 59% 60%
Approve
And, do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as President?
OBAMA JOB APPROVAL INVERTED
Disapprove
Senate battlegrounds even less amicable to President.
ApproveDisapprov
e ApproveDisapprov
e
* “Competitive Senate States” based on all states considered Lean or Toss-up by Cook Political Report.
Disapprove +15 Disapprove +22 Disapprove +25
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Now, thinking about your vote in 2014 for federal offices such as U.S. Senate or Congress, what would you say is the top issue that is motivating
your vote?
FISCAL ISSUES DOMINATE
28%
17%
17%
15%
10%
4%
3%
2%
1%
Education
Immigration Reform
Health Care
Federal Budget Deficit and Debt
Jobs/Unemployment
The Economy
Medicare and Social Security
DEM(35%)
IND(34%)
GOP(31%)
18-29(16%)
30-44(25%)
45-64(38%)
65+(21%)
30% 28% 25% 31% 30% 29% 21%
17% 18% 14% 19% 15% 18% 13%
14% 17% 20% 15% 21% 16% 15%
8% 16% 23% 11% 13% 16% 19%
15% 7% 7% 4% 5% 9% 22%
8% 3% 1% 10% 7% 1% 2%
2% 3% 2% 3% 2% 3% 2%
3% 2% 1% 3% 3% 1% 1%
1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 0%
Foreign Policy
Energy Policy
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National All Senate States
Competitive Senate States*
INDies Suburban White
Female
Single White
Female
37% 34% 36%26% 30%
37%39% 42% 40%31%
40% 35%
DEM
And, when you think about the upcoming 2014 elections for U.S. Senate happening in some states, which is your preference for the outcome of
the election? Is it a…Senate Controlled by Democrats …or… Senate Controlled by
Republicans?
GENERIC ADVANTAGE TO GOP
GOP
* “Competitive Senate States” based on all states considered Lean or Toss-up by Cook Political Report.
DEM GOP DEM GOP DEM GOP DEM GOP DEM GOP
R+2 R+8 R+4 R+5 R+10 D+2
Totals Key Demographics
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National All Senate States
Competitive Senate States*
INDies Suburban White
Female
Single White
Female
29% 26% 26%17% 21%
30%41% 45% 46% 41% 41% 43%
30% 30% 28%
42% 38%27%
Sup
Will your vote this November for federal offices such as U.S. Senate and U.S. House be a vote to…
Send a signal of support for President Obama,Send a signal of opposition to President Obama, OR
Not send a signal either way about President Obama?
VOTERS WANT TO SIGNAL OPPOSITION TO OBAMA
Opp
* “Competitive Senate States” based on all states considered Lean or Toss-up by Cook Political Report.
NoSig. SupOpp
NoSig. SupOpp
NoSig. SupOpp
NoSig. SupOpp
NoSig. SupOpp
NoSig.
Totals Key Demographics
MINIMUM WAGE
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National All Senate States
Competitive Senate States*
DEM(35%)
IND(34%)
GOP(31%)
70% 69% 66%
88%
68%
52%
25% 27% 29%
9%
25%
42%
Supp
Would you support or oppose raising the national minimum wage, which is now $7.25 an hour?
SUPPORT FOR WAGE HIKE
Opp
* “Competitive Senate States” based on all states considered Lean or Toss-up by Cook Political Report.
Supp Opp
Supp Opp
Supp Opp
Supp Opp
Supp Opp
Totals By Party
Note majority of R’s support hike.
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Total DEM(35%)
IND(34%)
GOP(31%)
Age 18-29
(16%)
Age 30-44
(25%)
Age 45-64
(38%)
Age 65+(21%)
46%
29%
45%
66%
50% 45% 45% 47%36%
53%
33%20%
32% 34% 37% 38%
Yes
Do you think raising the national minimum wage would lead businesses to cut jobs and/or reduce new hiring?
PLURALITY SEE JOB CUTS AS LIKELY RESULT
No
Total By Party By Age
Yes No
Yes No
Yes No
Yes No
Yes No
Yes No
Yes No
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White Collar(47%)
Blue Collar(38%)
46% 48%40%
33%
Yes
Do you think raising the national minimum wage would lead businesses to cut jobs and/or reduce new hiring?
BLUE COLLAR MORE ACUTELY CONCERNED
No
By Self-Described White Collar/Blue Collar
Yes No
Yes +6
Yes +15
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Please indicate which statement comes closer to your opinion, even if neither is exactly right…
WHEN STATE V. FEDERAL ARGUMENT PRESENTED…
The minimum wage is a federal issue. It is the responsibility of Washington D.C. to ensure that everyone in the country is paid the same basic
minimum wage.
The minimum wage is a state issue. The states are best positioned to find the right balance between
business needs and wages in their local economies.
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Total DEM(35%)
IND(34%)
GOP(31%)
Men(47%)
Women(53%)
Sub WhtFem
(23%)
Sing WhtFem (6%)
44%
66%
36%28%
42% 46% 42% 44%56%
34%
64%72%
58% 54% 58% 56%
VOTERS PREFER IT BE STATE ISSUE
Fed.Stat
e Fed.Stat
e Fed.Stat
e Fed.Stat
e Fed.Stat
e Fed.Stat
e Fed.Stat
e Fed.Stat
e
The minimum wage is a federal issue.
The minimum wage is a state issue.
By Gender & SubgroupsBy PartyTotal