National Exercise Division (NED) National Exercise Progg ... · Objectives of the Presentation...
Transcript of National Exercise Division (NED) National Exercise Progg ... · Objectives of the Presentation...
Exercise Modeling & Simulation gBriefing
National Exercise Division (NED)National Exercise Program (NEP)g ( )National Exercise Simulation Center (NESC)
Dr. Keith HoltermannDirector, National Exercise DivisionMarch 4, 2010
Dr. Keith Holtermann February 18, 2010
Objectives of the Presentationj
NED NEP Overview NED-NEP Overview
NESC Mission and Objectives
NESC Business Model NESC Business Model
Introduce the M&S Value Proposition
E ercise Modeling and Sim lation Concepts Exercise Modeling and Simulation Concepts
Demonstrate How the NED/NEP/NESC are Instituting Exercise M&S
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NEP Componentsp NEP program components include:
National-Level Exercise (NLEs) (Annual NEP Tier I exercise) (national security and/or homeland security exercises centered on White House directed, USG-wide strategy and policy)
Principal-Level Exercise (PLEs) (Quarterly Presidential Cabinet levelPrincipal Level Exercise (PLEs) (Quarterly Presidential Cabinet level exercises focused on current USG-wide strategic issues)
NEP Five-Year Exercise Schedule of NLE/PLE and significant NEP Ti d i ith t t i USG id fTiered exercises with a strategic USG-wide focus
National Exercise Schedule (NEXS) (schedule of all Federal, Regional, State, and local exercises)
Corrective Action Program (CAP)
Homeland Security Exercise and Evaluation Program (HSEEP)
Dr. Keith Holtermann February 18, 2010
NESC Foundation & Organization References & Authorities: The Federal Response to Hurricane Katrina: Lessons Learned, page 119 Sec 664 DHS Appropriations Act 2007 Sec. 664, DHS Appropriations Act, 2007 Sec. 664, Post Katrina Emergency Management Reform Act of 2006
The NESC falls into the current organizational structure Department of Homeland Security (DHS)
Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA)
National Preparedness Directorate (NPD)
N ti l E i Di i i / N ti l E i P (NED NEP)
Th NESC f ll t bli h d 1/12/09 d i t f th
National Exercise Division / National Exercise Program (NED – NEP)National Exercise Simulation Center (NESC)
The NESC was formally established 1/12/09 and is a component of the National Exercise Division. NESC supports NED’s role as the executive agent for the National Exercise Program (NEP)
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NESC Mission & Objectives Mission: To enhance the Department’s all-hazards preparedness and
response mission through the promotion of effective and efficient large-scale exercises and the application of modeling and simulation to thesescale exercises and the application of modeling and simulation to these exercises.
The NESC’s primary objectives include providing a state-of-the-art control & simulation center to support national federal state local andcontrol & simulation center to support national, federal, state, local, and tribal exercises by: Acting as the central resource hub linking exercise personnel and operational
planning personnel to EXISTING modeling and simulation capabilitiesplanning personnel to EXISTING modeling and simulation capabilities Assist advanced operational planners by modeling what an evolving situation may
look like Assisting planners in testing their plans while they are being developed
#1 Challenge: Change the Culture of Exercises –introduce M&S as a way of increasing efficiency and creating higher yield metric based exercises (e.g.
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g g y ( grun/rerun)
NESC Integration into the P d C lPreparedness Cycle ExerciseExercise Computer-based Simulation Human-based Simulation
(SimCell)
Evaluate/Improve Control Cell
PREPAREDNESSPREPAREDNESS Quantitative Metrics Analysis
integrated into AARs, IPs, CAPs
Plan
PREPAREDNESS CYCLE
PREPAREDNESS CYCLE
Plan Support of Exercise Design and
Delivery
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NESC Simulation Categorization NESC Core
CustomerService Offerings
Computer Improvement Exercise Design & D li
Human/SME g
Single Participant Multi Participant
Human in the Loop
Modeling & Simulation Ops
Management & Exercise Eval Plans
& Delivery
LogOps
Modeling & Simulation
CDP IC Training
g p p
ninge CPR Mannequin CDP IC Training
Trai
n
on P
urpo
s CPR Mannequin
Flight Simulator
Exe
rcis
e
Sim
ulat
io
NESCE N SC
NESC = Multi-participant Exercise Simulations
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p p
NESC Business Model• Modeling and Simulation
Repository• SimCell
• Red Teaming• What If Analysis (Analysis
of Alternatives)CustomerTailored
Service Offerings
• SimCell• Exercise Control & Evaluation • Advanced Operational
Planning
of Alternatives)• Quantitative Analysis
Support• Others
Customer
NESC Core (State-of-the-Art Center)
g
C I E i D iComputer Modeling & Simulation
Human/SME Simulation
Improvement Management & Exercise Eval
Exercise Design & Delivery
LogOpsPlans
SMEs and Capabilities Available Through Contract Vehicles MOUs MOAs & IAAsSMEs and Capabilities Available Through Contract Vehicles, MOUs, MOAs, & IAAs
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NESC Core Capabilities F iliti Facilities Space in FEMA HQ capable of supporting Control and Simulation Cell activities Space to support up to 100 personnel in the main NESC space Be capable of efficiently surging into other FEMA space in the building
Audio/Visual Audio/Visual Conduct, monitor, and manage video teleconferencing (VTC) Display data or video from a variety of sources on networked screens within the NESC Ability to access audio from display screens at each workstation Access to the Virtual News Network (VNN) and champion its further virtual world build-out( ) p Ability to project audio selectively throughout the NESC, the Web, and other sources Integrated conference call system Access to information sharing capabilities
IT Access to a shared drive, Internet, and Email for
every workstation Ability to push content from any computer to any
other computer or large monitor screen Scanning copying and printing capabilities Scanning, copying, and printing capabilities
Security Ability to work in all security level environements Work in compliance with IT security protocol
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What types of simulation?yp The NESC is focused on utilizing decision support simulation to
increase exercise realism and immersion in lifelike scenarios
Computer BasedComputer BasedHuman Based SimulationHuman Based Simulation
Human Based Simulation (actors) Computer Based Simulation
Computer Based SimulationVirtual Worlds (Avatars)Plume Modeling
Computer Based SimulationVirtual Worlds (Avatars)Plume Modeling
Human Based SimulationVirtual News Network (VNN)SIMCELL role playersActors, Make-up
Human Based SimulationVirtual News Network (VNN)SIMCELL role playersActors, Make-up
Disease PropagationAgent Based SimulationDisease PropagationAgent Based Simulation
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Example Human SimulationVi l N N k (VNN)
NESC Core
CustomerService Offerings
Exercise Design Human/SME ImprovementComputerVirtual News Network (VNN)
All ll ti i t t i t
OpsPlans
g& Delivery
LogOps
Human/SME Modeling & Simulation
Improvement Management & Exercise Eval
Computer Modeling & Simulation
Allow all participants to view events and what is being communicated to the public;
Enable controllers to insert injects into exercise play;
Test public information officer’s ability Test public information officer s ability to deliver a coordinated message during a time of a threat;
Move the exercise forward by offering a way to introduce injects.
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Benefits of Utilizing Virtual Worlds such as:OnLine Interactive Virtual Environment (OLIVE) NESC Core
CustomerService Offerings
Computer Modeling & Simulation Ops
Improvement Management & Exercise Eval Plans
Exercise Design & Delivery
LogOps
Human/SME Modeling & Simulation
Key Features: Bring geographically disparate people together:
Geographically disparate community can participate
( )
Geographically disparate community can participate without requiring travel or incurring other costs
Face-to-face interaction & feeling of presence/connectednessp
Collaboration & communication as part of the decision-making process
Training & Exercise activities and Role-play scenarios
Replay decisions: Replay decision-making processes to review or validate the results with others
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NESC Simulation Hub and Spokes NESC Core
CustomerService Offerings
Computer Modeling &
Improvement Management &
Exercise Design & Delivery
Human/SME Modeling &
The Simulation Hub portion of the NESC will be developed to provide connectivity to experimentation, modeling, and
gSimulation Ops
gExercise Eval Plans LogOps
gSimulation
simulation capabilities distributed throughout the country
An inventory of existing and developmental capabilities will be conducted to identify networked means of providing access for use during exercises planning and real-world
Sandia
TEEX
exercises, planning, and real-world response
Support from the working group to identify additional tools assets andidentify additional tools, assets, and resources will enhance the available capabilities
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Benefits of Computer SimulationCustomer
Service Offeringsp Enhanced Realism – Increases the realism
participants experience throughout the exercise
Multiple Outcomes - Potential for efficient multiple
NESC Core
Computer Modeling & Simulation Ops
Improvement Management & Exercise Eval Plans
Exercise Design & Delivery
LogOps
Human/SME Modeling & Simulation
p pdynamically derived outcomes. Roll up performance metrics from multi-jurisdictional exercise into single location X = f (1,2,3,4)( , , , ) ROI & Cost-Benefit Analyses
Run & Re-run – Provides a mechanism to show the responder the downstream impact to his/her d i i P ti i t l lt tidecision. Participants can explore alternative courses of action in real-time and react to and go beyond their initial decisions (What ifs?)
Decision Timing – draws out collaborativeDecision Timing draws out collaborative opportunities and the appropriate timing for engagement in these opportunities
Challenge of Exercise Culture Change - expanding
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Challenge of Exercise Culture Change expanding the use and acceptance of computer simulation as a valuable exercise aid across the community
Comparison of Outcomes NESC Core
CustomerService Offerings
Computer Improvement Exercise Design & D li
Human/SME
PredictableControl Intervention
Time
Modeling & Simulation Ops
Management & Exercise Eval Plans
& Delivery
LogOps
Modeling & Simulation
Decision 1 Decision 2 Decision 3
PredictableExercise Outcome
CD i i 4
Time
A
FED Decision 4
Decision 3 Decision 5
Bounds
Decision 1 Impactsimulated
BDecision 2
FG
Impactsimulated
Decision 6 1B2G6 1B2F6 1B2E51B2F5 1A3D5 1A3C4
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simulatedthrough Model 1
simulatedthrough Model 2
1B2F5 1A3D5 1A3C4
Quantifiable Dynamic Outcomes
Impact of Time on Decisions (in simulation)
NESC Core
CustomerService Offerings
Computer Modeling &
Improvement Management &
Exercise Design & Delivery
Human/SME Modeling & (in simulation)
Within a given situation, the timing of a decision can have as much impact on the outcome as the actual decision itself
gSimulation Ops
gExercise Eval Plans LogOps
gSimulation
much impact on the outcome as the actual decision itself
Simulation allows for a more realistic timing component to be added it was previously unavailableadded it was previously unavailable
AD
Time
ADecision 3 Decision 5Decision 1
AD
AD
Decision 3 Decision 5Decision 1
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1A3D5 1A3D5 1A3D5Decision 3 Decision 5Decision 1
Early Successes NESC Core
CustomerService Offerings
Computer Modeling &
Improvement Management &
Exercise Design & Delivery
Human/SME Modeling &
y Goal is to operationalize 5-
6 models with limited inputs
Exercise M&Sg
Simulation Ops
gExercise Eval Plans LogOps
gSimulation
to provide greater degree of immersion to participants Model/Simulation will NOT drive
Decision Model
the exercise, but rather provide inputs to and impacts of decisions made during the course of the exercise.
MSELs
course of the exercise. Capability Model
on onDecision
Scenario Modelnf
orm
atio
nfor
mat
io
Decision Point
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In In
M&S Future Operating Model NESC Core
CustomerService Offeringsp g
Catalogue of Current
1. Create and Maintain a catalogue of available Models and Simulations
Computer Modeling & Simulation Ops
Improvement Management & Exercise Eval Plans
Exercise Design & Delivery
LogOps
Human/SME Modeling & Simulation
Models and Simulations
available Models and Simulations
2. Utilize a screening process for selection of simulation drivers
3 C t i M&S th h NESC3. Categorize M&S through NESC Construct
4. Facilitate linkage to exercise planners th h l tf
Screening Process
Construct for the Exercise Requirement
through common platform
Common Platform
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Standard Unified Modeling Mapping Integration Toolkit (SUMMIT)
NESC Core
CustomerService Offerings
Computer Modeling & Simulation Ops
Improvement Management & Exercise Eval Plans
Exercise Design & Delivery
LogOps
Human/SME Modeling & Simulation
Objective: Allow discovery of
models/data/expertise applicable to
g ( )
models/data/expertise applicable to specified hazard, region, and objective
Enable simulations that can be rapidly localized to a specified region bylocalized to a specified region by facilitating their connections to foundational data
Enable connection (federation) of ( )diverse modeling components
Enable integrated display of data and simulation results
Explore advanced collaboration, delivery and deployment mechanisms
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NESC M&S Technical Goals
E-
Le
DHS TELL SystemExercise Mgmt Sys
Virtual World OLIVE SUMMIT
Model 1Sandia
Model 2LLNL
NxM
SE
L
mail and C
Capabilit
ssons Lea
File Shari
DataData
Data
L Chat
ty arned
ng
P i i l B fit f C t St t Ch ll t O
Model 3DoE
Model 4DoT
Data
Increased efficiency Captures current investment by DHS S&T Enhanced exercise realism
Principal Benefits of Current Strategy Challenges to Overcome Culture Technology integration PolicyEnhanced exercise realism
Highlights impacts of decision timing Multiple outcomes option / run & rerun (useful for
planners) Supports the goal of incorporating M&S into the
Policy Security Training
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pp g p gculture of exercises
Example Hurricane User InterfaceSUMMIT used within OLIVE
NESC Core
CustomerService Offerings
Computer Improvement Exercise Design & D li
Human/SME SUMMIT used within OLIVE Modeling & Simulation Ops
Management & Exercise Eval Plans
& Delivery
LogOps
Modeling & Simulation
Virtual M&S ToolsVirtual M&S Tools utilized by
controllers and simulation team to interact with
the exercise as it is in progress
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General NESC Contact InformationGeneral NESC Contact Information Email: [email protected]@ g
Telephone: 202-212-4800
Questions?Questions?
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