NATIONAL CONFIDENTIAL INQUIRY INTO SUICIDE AND …

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Annual Report: England, Northern Ireland, Scotland and Wales July 2015 NATIONAL CONFIDENTIAL INQUIRY INT O SUICIDE AND HOMICIDE BY PE OPLE WITH MENTAL ILLNESS

Transcript of NATIONAL CONFIDENTIAL INQUIRY INTO SUICIDE AND …

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Annual Report: England, Northern Ireland, Scotland and WalesJuly 2015

NATIONALCONFIDENTIAL

INQUIRY INTOSUICIDE AND

HOMICIDE BYPEOPLE WITHMENTAL ILLNESS

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CONTENTS

ENGLAND

NORTHERN IRELAND

SCOTLAND

WALES

UK-WIDE DATA AND UK COMPARISONS

RECENT PUBLICATIONS FROM THE INQUIRY

REFERENCES

CONTENTS

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Annual Report – July 2015

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PLEASE CITE THIS REPORT AS

CONTRIBUTORS

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS

LIST OF TABLES 04LIST OF FIGURES 04KEY FINDINGS 08CLINICAL MESSAGES 10PRESENTATION OF FINDINGS AND METHODOLOGY 12

SUICIDE 15SUICIDE IN THE GENERAL POPULATION 15PATIENT SUICIDE 19HOMICIDE 30HOMICIDE IN THE GENERAL POPULATION 30PATIENT HOMICIDE 32HOMICIDE FOLLOWED BY SUICIDE 35

SUICIDE 36SUICIDE IN THE GENERAL POPULATION 36PATIENT SUICIDE 38HOMICIDE 46HOMICIDE IN THE GENERAL POPULATION 46PATIENT HOMICIDE 47

SUICIDE 48SUICIDE IN THE GENERAL POPULATION 48PATIENT SUICIDE 52HOMICIDE 63HOMICIDE IN THE GENERAL POPULATION 63PATIENT HOMICIDE 63

SUICIDE 66SUICIDE IN THE GENERAL POPULATION 66PATIENT SUICIDE 69HOMICIDE 77HOMICIDE IN THE GENERAL POPULATION 77PATIENT HOMICIDE 78

SUICIDE IN THE GENERAL POPULATION 80PATIENT SUICIDE 81PATIENT HOMICIDE 82SUDDEN UNEXPLAINED DEATH (SUD) IN MENTAL HEALTH IN-PATIENTS 84SUICIDE BY SELF-POISONING USING OPIATES 86SUICIDE IN PEOPLE WITH A PHYSICAL ILLNESS 87HOMICIDE BY STRANGERS 89

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The National Confidential Inquiry into Suicide and Homicide by People with Mental Illness Annual Report 2015: England, Northern Ireland, Scotland and Wales July 2015. University of Manchester.

Louis Appleby, FRCPsych Director

Nav Kapur, FRCPsych Head of Suicide Research

Jenny Shaw, FRCPsych Head of Homicide Research

Kirsten Windfuhr, PhD Senior Project Manager and Senior Research Fellow

Isabelle M Hunt, PhD Research Fellow

Sandra Flynn, PhD Research Fellow

David While, PhD Research Fellow

Alison Roscoe, MSc Research Associate

Cathryn Rodway, MA Research Associate

Saied Ibrahim, PhD Research Associate

Su-Gwan Tham, BSc Research Assistant

and all staff at the Inquiry: Rebecca Lowe, James Burns, Philip Stones, Julie Hall, Thabiso Nyathi, and Huma Daud

The Inquiry is commissioned by the Healthcare Quality Improvement Partnership (HQIP)

The Mental Health Clinical Outcome Review Programme, delivered by NCISH, is commissioned by the Healthcare Quality Improvement Partnership (HQIP) on behalf of NHS England, NHS Wales, the Scottish Government Health and Social Care Directorate, the Northern Ireland Department of Health, Social Services and Public Safety (DHSSPS), the States of Guernsey and the States of Jersey.

Sudden Unexplained Death (SUD) in mental health in-patientsCopyright © 2015, Re-used with the permission of the Health and Social Care Information Centre. All rights reserved.

INFORMATION The National Confidential Inquiry into Suicide and Homicide by People with Mental Illness

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LIST OF TABLES & FIGURES LIST OF TABLES & FIGURES

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Table 1: Number of suicides in the general population in England, by gender 15

Table 2: Number of suicides in the general population in Northern Ireland, by gender 36

Table 3: Number of suicides in the general population in Scotland, by gender 48

Table 4: Number of suicides in the general population in Wales, by gender 66

Table 5: Male suicide deaths and those aged 45-54 in the general population, by UK country 80

Table 6: Patient suicide: numbers by year and UK country (2003-2013) 81

Table 7: Patient suicide: male suicide deaths and those aged 45-54, by UK country 82

Table 8: Patient homicide: numbers by year and UK country (2003-2013) 83

Table 9: Patient suicide: number by self-poisoning of opiates by yearand UK country 86

Table 10: Patient suicide: number with a physical illness by year and UK country 87

Table 11: Patient suicide: family contact by UK country 88

Table 12: Stranger homicide by UK country (2003-2013) 89

ENGLANDFigure 1: Rates of suicide in the general population, by gender 16

Figure 2: Male suicide rates in the general population in those aged 25-34, 45-54 and 55-64 16

Figure 3: Rates of suicide per 100,000 population, by NHS area of residence (average rate 2011-2013) 17

Figure 4: Suicide in the general population: main causes of death 18

Figure 5: Suicide in the general population: other causes of death 18

Figure 6: Number of patient suicides 19

Figure 7: Number of patient suicides, by gender 20

Figure 8: Patient suicide: number of male suicides in those aged 25-34, 45-54 and 55-64 20

Figure 9: Rates of suicide per 100,000 mental health service users 20

Figure 10: Patient suicide: main causes of death 21

Figure 11: Patient suicide: main substances used in deaths by self-poisoning 22

Figure 12: Number of general population and patient suicidesin those aged under 25 22

Figure 13: Patient suicide: number with a primary diagnosis of schizophrenia and other delusional disorders 23

Figure 14: Patient suicide: number with a primary diagnosisof personality disorder 23

Figure 15: Patient suicide: number with a history of alcoholor drug misuse 24

Figure 16: Patient suicide: number of mental health in-patients; number who died by hanging and strangulation on the ward 25

Figure 17: Patient suicide: number under crisis resolution/home treatment services and mental health in-patients 26

Figure 18: Patient suicide: number who died within 3 monthsof in-patient discharge 27

Figure 19: Patient suicide: number per week following discharge (2003-2013) 28

Figure 20: Patient suicide: number non-adherent with drug treatment or missed contact 29

Figure 21: Number of homicide convictions in the general population,by gender of offender 30

Figure 22: Rates of homicide convictions per 100,000 populationby NHS area of residence (average rate 2011-2013) 31

Figure 23: Number of patient homicides 32

Figure 24: Number of patient homicides, by year of offenceand year of conviction 32

Figure 25: Number of patient homicides, by gender of offender 33

Figure 26: Patient homicide: number non-adherent with drugtreatment or missed contact 34

Figure 27: Offenders with a primary diagnosis of schizophreniaand other delusional disorders 34

Figure 28: Patient homicide: number with a history of alcohol or drug misuse 35

NORTHERN IRELAND

Figure 29: Rates of suicide in the general population, by gender 37

Figure 30: Rates of suicide per 100,000 population, by Health andSocial Care Trust of residence (average rate 2011-2013) 37

Figure 31: Suicide in the general population: main causes of death 38

Figure 32: Number of patient suicides 39

Figure 33: Number of patient suicides, by gender 39

Figure 34: Rates of patient suicide, by gender 39

Figure 35: Patient suicide: main causes of death 40

Figure 36: General population and patient suicides in those aged under 25 41

Figure 37: Patient suicide: number with a primary diagnosis of schizophrenia and other delusional disorders 41

Figure 38: Patient suicide: number with a primary diagnosis of personality disorder 42

Figure 39: Patient suicide: number with a history of alcohol or drug misuse 43

Figure 40: Patient suicide: number of mental health in-patients 43

Figure 41: Patient suicide: number who died within 3 months of in-patient discharge 44

Figure 42: Patient suicide: number non-adherent with drug treatmentor missed last contact 45

Figure 43: Number of homicide convictions in the general population,by gender of offender 46

LIST OF TABLES

LIST OF FIGURES

Contents

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LIST OF TABLES & FIGURES LIST OF TABLES & FIGURES

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SCOTLAND

Figure 44: Rates of suicide in the general population, by gender 49

Figure 45: Male suicide rates in the general population in those aged 25-34, 45-54 and 65+ 49

Figure 46: Rates of suicide per 100,000 population, by NHS Health Board of residence (average rate 2011-2013) 50

Figure 47: Suicide in the general population: main causes of death 51

Figure 48: Suicide in the general population: other causes of death 51

Figure 49: Number of patient suicides 52

Figure 50: Number of patient suicides, by gender 53

Figure 51: Rates of patient suicide, by gender 53

Figure 52: Patient suicide: number of male suicides in those aged <25, 35-44 and 45-64 53

Figure 53: Patient suicide: main causes of death 54

Figure 54: Patient suicide: main substances used in deaths by self-poisoning 55

Figure 55: Number of general population and patient suicides in those aged under 25 55

Figure 56: Patient suicide: number with a primary diagnosis of schizophrenia and other delusional disorders 56

Figure 57: Patient suicide: number with a primary diagnosis of personality disorder 56

Figure 58: Patient suicide: number with a history of alcohol misuse 57

Figure 59: Patient suicide: number with a history of drug misuse 58

Figure 60: Patient suicide: number of mental health in-patients 59

Figure 61: Patient suicide: number under crisis resolution/ home treatment services 60

Figure 62: Patient suicide: number who died within 3 months of in-patient discharge 60

Figure 63: Patient suicide: number of suicides per week following discharge (2003-2013) 61

Figure 64: Patient suicide: number non-adherent with drug treatment or missed contact 62

Figure 65: Number of homicide convictions in the general population, by gender of offender 63

Figure 66: Number of patient homicides 64

Figure 67: Number of patient homicides, by gender of offender 64

WALES

Figure 68: Rates of suicide in the general population, by gender 67

Figure 69: Male suicide rates in the general population in those aged 25-34, 45-54 and 55-64 67

Figure 70: Rates of suicide per 100,000 population, by Health Board of residence (average rate 2011-2013) 68

Figure 71: Suicide in the general population: main causes of death 69

Figure 72: Number of patient suicides 69

Figure 73: Number of patient suicides, by gender 70

Figure 74: Rates of patient suicide, by gender 70

Figure 75: Patient suicide: main causes of death 71

Figure 76: General population and patient suicides in those aged under 25 71

Figure 77: Patient suicide: number with a primary diagnosis of schizophrenia and other delusional disorders 72

Figure 78: Patient suicide: number with a primary diagnosis of personality disorder 72

Figure 79: Patient suicide: number with a history of alcohol or drug misuse 73

Figure 80: Patient suicide: number of mental health in-patients 74

Figure 81: Patient suicide: number under crisis resolution/ home treatment services 75

Figure 82: Patient suicide: number who died within 3 months of in-patient discharge 75

Figure 83: Patient suicide: number non-adherent with drug treatment or missed last contact 76

Figure 84: Number of homicide convictions in the general population, by gender of offender 77

UK-WIDE DATA

Figure 85: Suicide rates in the general population, by UK country 80

Figure 86: Number of patient suicides in the UK 81

Figure 87: Number of patient homicides in the UK 82

Figure 88: Number of patient homicides by primary diagnosis and UK country (2003-2013) 83

Figure 89: Number of sudden unexplained deaths, by gender 84

Figure 90: Patient suicide: number by self-poisoning of opiates 86Figure 91: Patient suicide: number with a physical illness at the time of death 87

Figure 92: Number of stranger homicides by patients in the UK, by year of conviction 89

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KEY FINDINGS KEY FINDINGS

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1. We collected information on all suicides in the UK between 2003-2013. Suicide figures show different patterns across the UK countries. In the general population suicide rates are higher in Scotland and Northern Ireland but recent rises have occurred mainly in England and Wales - the rate in Scotland has fallen over the last decade.

2. The general population suicide rate also varies by NHS area. In England the lowest rates are in London and the south-east, with higher rates in the north and south-west. In Wales the highest rates are in the south-west.

3. In general patient suicides in the UK have become substantially more common since 2009 - 1,876 in 2013 - but this rise is mainly the result of a rise in England where patient numbers overall have also increased. As a proportion of all suicides, patient suicides have increased from 27% in 2003 to 30% in 2013 - this may similarly reflect a rise in patient numbers, though safety problems in care may contribute. A higher proportion of patients could also occur if services improve access and long-term contact for people at high risk.

4. There were 4,799 male suicides in the general population in 2013. Suicide in men has risen in the UK since 2006-2008, although the pattern varies between UK countries - in Scotland the overall male rate has fallen. In general the rise, since low figures in 2006, is most marked in men aged 45-54: 37% in England, 20% in Scotland, 32% in Wales.

5. Similar but generally larger increases are seen in the number of male patient suicides, the rise in the UK overall being 29%. The rise in male patients aged 45-54 since 2006 is very large, the UK rise being 73%. It is important to stress that these figures are numbers rather than rates and are strongly influenced by numbers of patient suicides in England, where the number of patients overall has risen.

6. Suicide in men is sometimes blamed on a reluctance to ask for help but the figures we are reporting are for men who are receiving mental health care. Our findings suggest the drivers of these increases may be risk factors such as (a) alcohol – alcohol misuse is a common antecedent but most patients are not in contact with alcohol services, (b) economic pressures – unemployment having become a more frequent antecedent of patient suicide in most UK countries. It may also result from increased use of hanging, an especially dangerous method.

7. We have looked for evidence of changing risk in acute settings, following recent reports of financial pressures affecting acute care. The pattern is most apparent in England where suicides by in-patients and patients recently discharged from hospital have fallen, although suicides following discharge from a non-local ward have increased.

8. Suicides by patients under crisis resolution/home treatment (CR/HT), however, have increased. In England there are now three times as many suicides under CR/HT as in in-patient care; in 37% the patient has been under CR/HT for less than a week.

9. These findings together may reflect reduced availability of local in-patient beds, with increasing reliance on home treatment as an alternative to admission, and on beds that are out of the local area.

10. The most common type of drug taken in fatal overdose by mental health patients is now opiates - 141 deaths in 2013 across the UK, with proportionately higher numbers in Scotland and Northern Ireland, and a total of 1,215 suicides over the study period.

11. In this year’s report we have presented figures showing that in nearly half of these deaths, the source of opiates is prescription, mainly for the patient, though sometimes for someone else. People who die after taking prescribed opiates are more often older, female, with physical illness and affective disorder. We do not yet have comprehensive data on the type of prescribed drug.

12. Our findings make it clear that working more closely with families could improve suicide prevention. Staff told us that greater involvement of the family by the service would have reduced the risk in 14% of cases, a total of 2,338 deaths over the whole study period. The figure is slightly higher, at 16%, in England where it has also risen in recent years - this may reflect a growing need to consult families or a greater awareness of their potential role. The equivalent figure for reducing homicide risk is higher at 28%.

13. One example of how services can improve contact with families is shown in our figures on how services respond when a patient does not attend an appointment. In only 22% the service contacted the family when the patient missed the final appointment before the suicide occurred.

14. Physical illness is known to be a risk factor for suicide. We have found that around a quarter of patients who die by suicide have a major physical illness - 3,410 deaths over 2005-2013 - and the figure rises to 44% in patients aged 65 and over. In most cases the illness has been present for over 12 months.

15. In 2013 there were 445 mental health patients who were reported to have major physical illness and who died by suicide - this figure has risen since 2008, though the rise may reflect a greater awareness of physical illness among staff.

16. We collected information on sudden unexplained death (SUD) in England and Wales between 2003-2013. The number of SUD cases on mental health wards is unchanged. In this report we are highlighting SUD cases in which the patient was under 45. There were 96 cases in the report period, around 9 per year.

17. Most younger patients who die suddenly on mental health wards have a lower rate of known physical illness, compared to older patients in whom SUD occurs. They also have a higher rate of polypharmacy - although this is still found in a minority at 16%, it is a possible causal factor that clinical staff can address.

18. We collected information on all homicides in the UK between 2003-2013. Lower patient homicide figures since 2008 have been maintained, mainly because of lower figures in England. However, the report presents only confirmed convictions and patient figures will increase as we receive confirmation from Trusts and Health Boards. In particular the 2013 figure for England is higher than at the equivalent stage in recent years and it is possible that the final figure may be comparatively high.

19. Homicides in which the perpetrator and victim are unknown to each other (stranger homicides) are important in mental health because, when the perpetrator is a mental health patient, they are thought to increase public opposition to patients living in the community. Our findings show that only 7% of stranger homicides are committed by mental health patients and that the figure has fallen since a peak in 2006. However, the total figure in 2003-2013 is 117 and mental health care continues to have an important role in improving public safety.

Suicide numbers and rates

Suicide in males

Pressure on acute mental health care

Suicide by opiate overdose

Working with families

Physical illness

Sudden unexplained death

Homicide

Stranger homicide

KEY FINDINGS

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20. This report, which presents findings from 2003 to 2013, highlights areas of health care where safety should be strengthened. Responsibility for this is shared between mental health providers, partner agencies, commissioners (in England), education and training bodies and professional organisations. Although the data are from specialist mental health services, several clinical messages - on male patients, opiate prescribing, working with families and physical illness - are also applicable to primary care. The findings and recommendations in this section emphasise common areas across the UK countries but country-specific findings may also require actions by services.

21. Our findings show that recent concerns over the risk of suicide in middle-aged men are equally relevant in mental health - in fact, the rise in male patient suicide appears to be greater than in the general population. This should now be seen as a suicide prevention priority, specifically:

— Services should ensure that they and partner agencies address factors that add to risk in male patients - especially alcohol misuse, isolation and economic problems such as debt and unemployment.

— It is important that male patients have access to psychological as well as drug treatments within the service, that contact is not easily lost and risk is monitored, and that courses of treatment are completed.

22. Our findings suggest that it is in the safety of crisis resolution/home treatment (CR/HT) that current bed pressures are being felt. CR/HT has brought a number of benefits to patients, but the safe use of these services should be monitored. Commissioners (in England) and providers should review their acute care:

— CR/HT should not be used by default for patients who are at high risk or who lack other social supports.

— CR/HT should be an intensive community-based alternative to in-patient care; skills and contact time should reflect this specialised role.

— Acute admissions out of area should end - they are likely to make care planning more difficult and to add to suicide risk at the time of discharge.

23. Clinicians should be aware of the potential risks from opiate-containing painkillers and should enquire about patients’ access to these drugs when assessing suicide risk.

24. Prescribers of these drugs should limit the duration of prescription of opiates, as they do with antidepressants, to reduce the risk of accumulating a lethal quantity. This is primarily a role for primary care but pharmacists can play a part in encouraging safe prescribing.

25. Families and carers are a vital but under-used resource in mental health care. Our findings suggest that closer working with families would have safety benefits:

— Services should consult with families from first contact, throughout the care pathway and when preparing plans for hospital discharge and crisis plans.

— Staff should make it easier for families to pass on concerns about suicide risk and be prepared to share their own concerns.

CLINICAL MESSAGES CLINICAL MESSAGES

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26. Our findings suggest that good physical health care may help reduce suicide risk in mental health patients:

— Physical health needs, especially long-term needs, should be reflected in mental health care plans.

— Mental health staff should regularly review care with GPs or specialist clinics.

27. A number of sudden and unexplained deaths in younger in-patients continue to occur. We intend to study these deaths more closely for possible antecedents and background risk.

28. These deaths should always be subject to investigation and reporting by the mental health trust, and to coroner referral.

29. Wards should take precautionary measures including physical health assessment as soon as practicable after admission, and avoidance where possible of high drug dosage and polypharmacy.

Suicide in male patients

Pressures on acute care

Suicide by opiate overdose

Working with families

Physical illness

Sudden unexplained death

CLINICAL MESSAGES

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Definitions

30. General population suicides are defined as deaths by intentional self-harm and deaths of undetermined intent by individuals aged 10 and over. Patient suicides are those that occur within 12 months of mental health service contact.

31. General population homicides are defined as convictions for murder, manslaughter, (culpable homicide in Scotland), infanticide, and verdicts of not guilty by reason of insanity and unfit to plead and are presented by year of conviction. Patient homicides are those that are committed by people who have had mental health service contact within 12 months before the offence. Identification of mental illness in non-patients relies on information from psychiatric reports prepared by psychiatrists for the court.

32. A sudden unexplained death is defined as a death in which a person dies a) from an unknown, uncertain or cardiac cause (other than confirmed myocardial infarction), b) within 1 hour of symptom onset.

Changes to suicide death coding

33. Following an update to the International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems (ICD-10) in 2011, new rules for coding drug misuse deaths were introduced. Some drug-related deaths previously coded as due to ‘mental and behavioural disorders due to psychoactive substance use’ are now coded as suicide or undetermined deaths. Analysis by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) has shown these new coding rules have had no significant impact on the suicide figures in England.1 However, they have affected numbers in Scotland and therefore the overall numbers of suicides in Scotland in 2011, 2012 and 2013 are not directly comparable with previous years. For Scotland, the number of suicides using the new coding rules is reported and we also estimate what the figures for 2011-2013 would have been following the old coding rules. In some of the figures of longitudinal trends, we show data using both old and new rules.

Report period

34. In this report, findings are presented for England, Northern Ireland, Scotland, and Wales for:

— Suicide (based on date of death - this differs from the ONS who present figures by date of death registration).

— Homicide (based on year of conviction).

— SUD (this data collection takes place in England and Wales only and is based on date of death).

— Homicide-suicide (based on date of offence, England and Wales only).

35. Findings are presented for the baseline year of 2003 and the subsequent10 years including the most recent year (2013).

PRESENTATION OF FINDINGS AND METHODOLOGY

PRESENTATION OF FINDINGS AND METHODOLOGY

PRESENTATION OF FINDINGS AND METHODOLOGY

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Method of data collection

36.The Inquiry method of data collection is similar across all UK countries. Briefly, to identify patients (i.e. individuals in contact with mental health service within 12 months of suicide or homicide) national data are used to identify the individuals’ addresses. Data are then sent to mental health services in each individual’s district of residence. Detailed clinical data are obtained for these individuals via questionnaires sent to the consultant psychiatrist. A full explanation is provided in the FAQ section of our website or in our previous national reports: Annual Report (2009, 2010) 2,3, and Avoidable Deaths (2006) 4 Suicide and Homicide in Northern Ireland 5 Lessons for Mental Health Care in Scotland, 6 which are accessible on our website at:www.bbmh.manchester.ac.uk/cmhs/research/centreforsuicideprevention/nci Data completeness

37. For the period 2003-2012 overall data completeness for patient suicide is 96% in England, 97% in Wales, and 98% in Northern Ireland and Scotland. Completeness is lower in the more recent years reported, reflecting the time required to process the data. For example, in 2012 and 2013 completeness for England is 91% and 63% respectively. For the five most recent years (2009-2013) of the patient suicide analysis completeness is below 98% and we have, therefore, uplifted the number of cases based on the expected final return of Inquiry questionnaires for the previous six years (2003-2008).

38. For the period 2003-2013 we have presented patient homicide numbers notified to the Inquiry plus additional cases for 2007-2013 which account for questionnaires sent to Trusts/Health Boards but had not been returned at the time of analysis. For example, for 2013, we have received notification confirming 36 patient homicides, 27 questionnaires have been returned with a further 9 currently outstanding.

39. We are aware that data on homicide convictions for Scotland previously provided to us may be incomplete, therefore the figures presented may be an underestimate. Offender data relating to previous convictions were less complete due to a delay in the renewal of the data sharing agreement with the Scottish Police Service.

Psychiatric reports

40. Our figures for patient homicide are based on Trust records only. In addition we obtain psychiatric reports and use these for our figures on symptoms of psychosis at the time of the offence, diagnosis history of schizophrenia, and history of alcohol and drug misuse, whether the offender was a patient or not. The number of psychiatric reports undertaken and disclosed in court has fallen over the report period. We assume that those with serious mental illness, particularly psychosis, are more likely to have been assessed, but there is no direct way of confirming this. However, of the people we know to have serious mental illness (i.e. patients with schizophrenia) nearly all had a psychiatric report (94%). We therefore think it is probable that non-patients with serious mental illness will also have a psychiatric report. We acknowledge that these figures may be underestimated.

Suicide

Homicide

Sudden unexplained death (SUD)Suicide

Homicide

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PRESENTATION OF FINDINGS AND METHODOLOGY

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Analysis

41. To examine for statistically significant time trends, trend tests were carried out using categorical data methods in Stata v13.7 Poisson models were fitted with the number of suicides or homicides per year as the outcome and year as a linear predictor. For rates, general population per year was the exposure. Within the patient sample, the exposure was the total number of suicides or homicides per year. Tests for trends over time were calculated excluding the final year which was least complete (i.e. 2013) for suicide and homicide, for both general population and patients. For each model, the likelihood-ratio-test p-value and the predictor (and 95% confidence intervals) for year were examined.

42. General population and patient rates for suicide were calculated using mid-year population estimates revised in light of the 2011 census (age 10 and over) as denominators obtained from ONS and National Records of Scotland (NRS). These were also used to calculate rates for suicide by NHS England Area Team (England) and Health Boards (Northern Ireland, Scotland, and Wales). Discrepancies may arise between Inquiry national numbers and rates and those presented by the ONS, the Department of Health8, the Scottish Public Health Observatory website9, and the Northern Ireland Statistics and Research Agency (NISRA) website10 due to differences in measurement described in Avoidable Deaths4, Suicide and Homicide in Northern Ireland5 and Lessons for Mental Health Care in Scotland6. Our website FAQs summarises how discrepancies may be explained.

One important difference in comparison to ONS figures is that our suicide figures are presented by date of death, not date of registration.

43. Estimated numbers in the final year (2013) are presented as dotted lines inthe figures or in a different shade in the bar diagrams. Changes in annual figures will occur subject to further information received.

ENGLAND

SUICIDE44. Between 2003-2013, the Inquiry was notified of 49,251 deaths in the general population that were registered as suicide or “undetermined”, an averageof 4,477 per year. These are referred to as suicides throughout the report.

45. Our suicide rates differ from ONS rates because Inquiry rates are based on date of death in those aged 10 or over and are not adjusted for age - ONS rates are based on date of death registration in those aged 15 or over and are age-standardised.

46. Some deaths are not registered for several months or longer which means that our figures for the most recent years underestimate the final figures. We therefore calculate figures that take this delay into account for 2012 and 2013 (Table 1).

47. Figures for the report period show a range of 4,227 (2006) to an estimated 4,840 (2012) suicides, with a male to female ratio of 3:1 overall, currently 3.4:1 (Table 1).

48. The changing pattern of suicide since 2003 is complex. There has been little overall change in the suicide rate but figures for 2012 and 2013 are comparatively high and there was a peak in 2008 after a historical low in 2006-2007 (Table 1; Figure 1). This pattern largely reflects male rates: in females there has been a fall in the rate and number of suicides since 2003, though no further fall has occurred in 2011-2013.

49. Higher figures after 2007 are thought to reflect financial pressures leading to unemployment and debt. The rise may have been partly offset by narrative coroner verdicts that were not officially recorded as suicides.

Trends over time

Rates of suicide

Suicide in the general population

Table 1: Number of suicides in the general population, by gender

† indicates the estimated final number based on delays recorded in previous years, i.e. a 9% increase in 2013 and 1% increase in 2012

Male

Female

Total

2003

3430

1228

4658

2004

3428

1241

4669

2005

3312

1151

4463

2006

3202

1025

4227

2007

3232

1017

4249

2008

3474

1147

4621

2009

3304

1044

4348

2010

3292

1096

4388

2011

3442

1031

4473

2012

37283765†

10641075†

47924840†

2013

33713674†

9921081†

43634756†

England

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Variation in suicide rates by area of residence (NHS England Area Teams)

50. The pattern of male suicide rates during the report period varied by age-group (Figure 2). Since 2003, there has been a fall in male suicide rates in those aged 25-34 and 65 and over; an increase in those aged 45-54 and 55-64; and no change in those aged under 25 or 35-44. In females, rates fell in those aged under 25, 25-34 and 65 and over.

51. These changes have been substantial and largely maintained year on year.The rise in suicide in men aged 45-54 since 2006 is 37%, in men aged 55-64 it has been 29%. The fall in men aged 25-34 from 2003 to 2011 was 28%.

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2003

Total Male Female

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

Year

Suic

ide

rate

per

100

,000

po

pula

tio

n

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

16.0 15.9 15.915.2

14.6 14.615.6

14.7 14.515.0

16.4

10.6 10.510.0

9.4 9.410.1

9.4 9.69.510.3 10.1

5.4 5.5 5.04.4 4.4

4.94.4 4.6 4.3 4.5 4.5

2003

Aged 55-64Aged 45-54Aged 25-34

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

Year

Suic

ide

rate

per

100

,000

po

pula

tio

n

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

19.6

20.9

13.9

19.3

14.3

20.3

15.7

19.4

24.5

20.5

17.6

15.3

17.9

16.317.2 17.2

15.0

19.1

15.4

19.3

16.615.8

15.8

20.4 20.4

16.2

15.3

15.3

15.1

22.0

24.6

17.7

15.9

Figure 1: Rates of suicide in the general population, by gender

Figure 3: Rates of suicide per 100,000 population, by NHS area of residence (average rate 2011-2013)

Figure 2: Male suicide rates in the general population in those aged 25-34, 45-54 and 55-64

Note: rates in 2012 and 2013 are estimated to take into account delays in data collection.

Note: rates in 2012 and 2013 are estimated to take into account delays in data collection.

Cumbria, Northumberland,

Tyne & Wear

Derbyshire & Nottinghamshire

North Yorkshire& the Humber

Leicestershire& Lincolnshire

East Anglia

Kent & Medway

Surrey & Sussex

ThamesValley

NE London

NW London

S London

Wessex

Hertfordshire& the South

Midlands

Essex

WestYorkshire

SouthYorkshire

& Bassetlaw

GreaterManchester

Cheshire, Warrington

& Wirral

Shropshire& Staffordshire

Arden, Hereforshire& Worcestershire

Bristol, N Somerset & S Gloucestershire

Devon, Cornwall& Isles of

Scilly

Bath,Gloucestershire,

Swindon & Wiltshire

Durham, Darlington & Tees

Lancashire

Merseyside

Birmingham &the Black Coutry

Area RateNorth West London 7.2South London 7.5Hertfordshire & the South Midlands 7.7North East London 7.8Birmingham & the Black Country 8.1Essex 9.0Thames Valley 9.0

Derbyshire & Nottinghamshire 9.3South Yorkshire & Bassetlaw 9.4Cheshire, Warrington & Wirral 9.7Bristol, N Somerset & S Gloucestershire 9.8East Anglia 9.9West Yorkshire 9.9Kent & Medway 9.9

Wessex 10.0Leicestershire & Lincolnshire 10.1Bath, Gloucestershire, Swindon & Wiltshire 10.2Surrey & Sussex 10.2Shropshire & Staffordshire 10.4Arden, Hereforshire & Worcestershire 10.4Merseyside 10.8

Greater Manchester 10.9Cumbria, Northumberland, Tyne & Wear 10.9Durham, Darlington & Tees 11.3Devon, Cornwall & Isles of Scilly 11.3North Yorshire & the Humber 11.4Lancashire 11.8

Note: rates have been colour coded by approximate quartile

SUICIDE RATES IN MEN AGED 45-54 HAVE RISEN BY 37% SINCE 2006. RATES HAVE RISEN BY 29% IN MEN AGED 55-64.

52. Suicide rates varied by area of residence (by NHS England Area Team) at the time of death. Average rates for 2011-2013 are shown in Figure 3. The highest rate of suicide was in Lancashire, at 11.8 per 100,000 population and the lowest in North West London, at 7.2 per 100,000 population.In general the highest rates were in the north and south-west, with the lowest rates in London and the south-east.

53. ONS suicide rates mapped to English local authorities can be found on the Public Health England website at: http://fingertips.phe.org.uk/search/suicide

England

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54. The most common methods of suicide were hanging and strangulation (referred to as hanging in the remainder of this report) (22,724, 46%), self-poisoning (overdose) (10,845, 22%), and jumping and multiple injuries (mainly jumping from a height or being struck by a train) (5,148, 10%). Less frequent methods were drowning (2,244, 5%), carbon monoxide (CO) poisoning (1,697, 3%), cutting and stabbing (1,381, 3%), and firearms (1,009, 2%).

55. Deaths by hanging have increased since 2003 (Figure 4). Deaths by self-poisoningdecreased, and those by jumping and multiple injuries did not change. Of the less common methods, deaths by drowning and CO poisoning decreased (Figure 5).

56. The increase in hanging may be related to restrictions on the availability of other methods, e.g. drugs used in overdose, and to a misconception that hanging is a quick and painless method.11 The fall in CO poisoning deaths since the 1990s is related to the introduction of catalytic converters in 1993.12

PATIENT SUICIDE

57. During 2003-2013, 13,972 deaths (28% of general population suicides) were identified as patient suicides, i.e. the person had been in contact with mental health services in the 12 months prior to death. This represents an average of 1,270 patient suicides per year.

58. There was an overall increase between 2003 and 2012 in the number ofpatient suicides (Figure 6). Our figure for suicide by patients shows an estimated increase in 2013. The figure for 2013 should be interpreted cautiously as it is a provisional figure based on incomplete data. However, we are estimating a higher number of patient suicides than in the rest of the report period.

59. The annual number of suicides in male patients has been increasing since 2006 (Figure 7), while for females the number has fallen between 2003-2012. The rise in male patients since 2006 is 34%, whereas the general population rise in males is 15%.

60. There was an increase in the number of male suicides in those aged 45-54, 55-64 (Figure 8) and 65+. The annual number of suicides in male patients aged 25-34 has fallen in the report period (Figure 8) and there has also been a fall in female patients aged 65+. The rise in male patients aged 45-54 has been particularly striking, around 90% since 2006 (Figure 8).

61. Higher numbers of suicide may reflect rising numbers of people under mental health care. We have calculated patient suicide rates with figures from the Mental Health Learning Disabilities Data Set (MHLDDS)13 † as the denominator (Figure 9). Falling rates are seen from 2004 but changes in MHLDDS methodology14 mean that rates from year 2011 onwards are not directly comparable to earlier years. Patient suicide rates measured in this way show no increase after 2011.

62. In 4,031 (33%) the suicide occurred within a year of mental health service contact; in 4,746 (39%) it was over 5 years.† formerly known as the Mental Health Minimum Dataset (MHMDS).

Method of suicide

Patient suicide: numbers and rates

2003

Self-poisoningJumping/multiple injuriesHanging/strangulation

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

Year

Num

ber o

f sui

cide

s

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

468 453 486457 498 447 455 477 458 459 490

1190 1176

896

1091933 900 953 915 888 969 934

17761928

2167

19221802

1989

2298

20382148 2172

2484

2003

CO poisoning Cutting/stabbingFirearmsDrowning

0

50

100

150

200

300

250

350

Year

Num

ber o

f sui

cide

s

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

289

236

158

217 215203

221

197

171 177

203

105 9778

103 9481

93102

125

83

121

8192

127137

118

118128

114 121

120103 110

120

246

209

132

182

158142 146

134124

Figure 4: Suicide in the general population: main causes of death

Figure 5: Suicide in the general population: other causes of death

Figure 6: Number of patient suicides

England

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63. The most common methods of suicide by patients were hanging (5,807, 42%), self-poisoning (3,604, 26%), and jumping/multiple injuries (2,154, 15%).

64. Hangings increased in number during 2003-2012, and we are estimating a further rise in 2013 (Figure 10). The number of self-poisoning deaths fell after 2004 but there has been an increase since 2006 (Figure 10). The number of suicides by CO poisoning and drowning decreased over the report period.

65. Opiates were the most common type of drug in self-poisoning (767, 24%; Figure 11). The number of deaths by opiates increased over the report period.†

These deaths are discussed in more detail in the UK-wide data section on page 86.

66. The next most common substances used in deaths by self-poisoning were tricyclic antidepressants (416, 13%), anti-psychotic drugs (357, 11%), and paracetamol/opiate compounds (301, 9%). Paracetamol was used in 213 (7%) patient suicides.

67. The annual number of self-poisoning deaths by tricyclic antidepressants fell after 2003 but there has been no further fall since 2006 (Figure 11). There has been an increase in paracetamol deaths since 2009, with the highest number over the whole report period estimated in 2013. The number of deaths by SSRI/SNRI antidepressant self-poisoning increased over the report period.

68. There were 243 deaths by suicide in the general population which followed inhalation of helium gas, increasing from an average of 7 per year in 2003-2008 to 41 per year in 2009-2013. Of these, 67 (28%) were patients, similar to the proportion for all suicides. Though this is less than 1% of all patient suicides during the report period, there has been a rise in deaths by this method in line with the general population pattern. For example, there were 10 deaths from helium in 2003-2008 and 20 in 2013 alone.

† The increase in the number of deaths by opiates may partly reflect the coding change in the cause of death since 2011.

Method of suicide by patients

2003

Male Female

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1000

Year

Num

ber o

f pat

ient

s

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

800

866

993

795742 763

805 790834

917

984

456 451482

382 380 406376

428 434 413476

2003

Aged 55-64Aged 45-54Aged 25-34

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

Year

Num

ber o

f pat

ient

s

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

187

89102

180

132

163

264

182

115

146

107

160

132

167

131 125

213198

133 133

225

278

135

160

180

147 117135 147 137 134 134

147

20040

80

60

40

20

100

120

140

160

180

200

Year

Rate

per

100

,000

MH

ser

vice

use

rs

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Total Male Female

73.2 76.5

60.5 58.3 60.453.8

60.152.1 47.2 50.8

117.7111.5

97.7 96.8 99.792.6

98.589.0 88.4 87.0

174.0

156.3

143.9 145.2 149.3141.7

146.5138.3 141.5

132.3

20030

50

100

150

200

300

250

350

Year

Num

ber o

f pat

ient

s

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

54 39 3340 23 29 25 22 14 13 20

456

515

654

487456

473

538

453

564 575

636

76 79 6388

60 55 72 59 60 62 69

210182

226192 206 200 195 203

179 173 188

345379

351339

273 281 283306 313

380354

Jumping/multiple injuries Self -poisoningDrowningCO poisoningHanging/strangulation

Figure 7: Number of patient suicides, by gender

Figure 8: Patient suicide: number of male suicides in those aged 25-34, 45-54 and 55-64

Figure 9: Rates of suicide per 100,000 mental health service users†

Figure 10: Patient suicide: main causes of death

THERE HAS BEEN A 34% INCREASE IN MALE PATIENT SUICIDES SINCE 2006. THE INCREASE IS PARTICULARLY IN MALES AGED 45-54.

Note: some figures do not tally with the total figures in Figure 6 due to rounding

† The Mental Health Learning Disabilities Data Set (MHLDDS) was used to calculate rates for the available years (2004-2013). Changes in MHLDDS methodology 14 means rates between 2004-2010 and 2011-2013 are not directly comparable. Rates in 2011-2013 are based on 1,517,613 service users in 2011, 1,578,409 in 2012 and 1,688,955 in 2013.

England

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69. During 2003-2013, there were 4,708 suicides in the general population in people aged under 25, 10% of all suicides, an average of 428 per year. 1,504 were aged under 20, an average of 137 per year, and 658 were aged under 18,an average of 60 per year.

70. 993 of those under 25 were patients, 7% of patient suicides and 21% of all suicides in this age-group. This represents an average of 90 deaths per year. 262 were aged under 20, an average of 24 per year, and 104 were aged under 18, an average of 9 per year.

71. Patient suicides in under 25s decreased until 2007 after which there has been an increase (Figure 12). The peak number was in 2012.

72. We are currently establishing a national investigation of suicides in this age group and will be publishing preliminary findings in 2016.

73. There were 2,378 suicides in patients with a primary diagnosis of schizophrenia (includes other delusional disorders), 17% of the total sample, an average of 216 deaths per year.

74. The number of suicides in patients with schizophrenia fell after 2004 but there has been a gradual rise since 2008 (Figure 13).

75. There were 1,243 suicides in patients with a primary diagnosis of personality disorder, 9% of the total sample, an average of 113 deaths per year (Figure 14).The number has increased since 2009.

76. We are currently carrying out a detailed study investigating suicide in patients with personality disorder which will be published in 2017. We have also studied suicide in personality disorder in primary care and will be publishing this study soon.

Suicides in people aged under 25

Patients with schizophrenia

Patients with personality disorder

2003

PatientGeneral population

0

100

50

150

250

200

300

350

400

450

500

Year

Num

ber o

f sui

cide

s

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

109

6080 72

100 96 88 82111

78

117

384387

461

406

471 464

420399

451

415

450

2003

Tricyclics SSRI/SNRIs ParacetomolAntipsychoticsOpiates

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

90

70

80

100

Year

Num

ber o

f pat

ient

s

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

30

32

55

55

20

39

66

68

29

4741

54

18

33

61

19

31

68

24

26

59

26 27

24

31

55

2828

2827

32

69

34

36

42

97

3438

33

96

87

2731

33

16 17

2926

139

15

611

21 20

Figure 12: Number of general population and patient suicides in those aged under 25

Figure 11: Patient suicide: main substances used in deaths by self-poisoning

20030

50

100

150

200

250

300

Year

Num

ber o

f pat

ient

s

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

221

198187

203

228

259243

209 205 210 215

20030

40

20

60

80

100

120

140

Year

Num

ber o

f pat

ient

s

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

132

102 103 101105

117 115

102

120 117

129

Figure 13: Patient suicide: number with a primary diagnosis of schizophrenia and other delusional disorders

Figure 14: Patient suicide: number with a primary diagnosis of personality disorder

England

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77. There were 6,124 suicides in patients with a history of alcohol misuse, 45% of the total sample, an average of 557 deaths per year (Figure 15).

78. 4,345 had a history of drug misuse, 32% of the total sample, an average of 395 deaths per year (Figure 15).

79. 7,381 had a history of either alcohol or drug misuse or both, 54% of patient suicides, an average of 671 deaths per year.

80. The number of suicides in patients with a history of alcohol misuse has increased. The number with drug misuse has followed a similar pattern, but the overall rise does not reach statistical significance (Figure 15).

81. Between 2011-2013, 249 (7%) patients were under drug services and 268 (7%) were under alcohol services.

82. In 2012 and 2013 there were 283 (18% excluding unknowns) suicides in patients who had experienced serious financial difficulties in the 3 months before death.

83. In 2008-2012, a higher proportion of patients were unemployed (2,784, 46%) compared to the pre-recession years of 2003-2007 (2,405, 41%). 919 (7%) patients were in unstable housing, i.e. homeless or living in bed and breakfast or a hostel. This proportion did not change over the report period.

84. In 2011-2013 there were 94 patients who died by suicide after visiting a “pro-suicide” internet site, i.e. providing information on methods or encouraging suicide. This represents an average of 31 per year, 2% of all patient suicides during this period. This proportion increased to 6% (18 patients) in patients aged under 25. As these figures are based on clinical reports, they may underestimate how often this occurs.

85. In 2011-2013, 171 patients died on a date that carried significance (e.g. birthday), an average of 57 per year, 4% of all patient suicides. Again, this may be an underestimate.

MENTAL HEALTH CARE

86. There were 1,295 in-patient deaths by suicide in 2003-2013, 9% of patient suicides.

87. From 2003 to 2012, there was a 61% fall (112 cases) in the number of in-patient suicides (Figure 16). We are estimating a continuation of this trend in 2013 but in-patient deaths are more often subject to late notification and our estimated figure should be viewed with caution. A reduction in the rate of in-patient suicide has previously been found (i.e. taking into account admission figures and time under in-patient care). 15, 16

88. Deaths by hanging on the ward are usually from low-lying ligature points (i.e. strangulation). The number of deaths by this method fell by 57% (26 cases) from 2003 to 2012 (Figure 16).

89. There were 351 suicides in detained in-patients, 27% of all in-patient suicides, an average of 32 per year. The number of these deaths decreased annually over the report period.

90. 282 in-patients died after absconding from the ward, 22% of all in-patient suicides, an average of 26 deaths per year. There was an overall fall in the annual number of suicides after absconding.

Patients with alcohol and drug misuse

Socio-economic factors

Websites promoting suicide

Significant dates

In-patient suicide

20030

200

100

300

400

500

600

700

Year

Num

ber o

f pat

ient

s

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

630

500

561522526

604

544

465

554

627591

460

336

390351

385427

375 356373

467425

Drug misuseAlcohol misuse

Figure 15: Patient suicide: number with a history of alcohol or drug misuse

20030

100

20

40

80

60

120

140

160

180

200

Year

Num

ber o

f pat

ient

s

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

67

122

104 100

183

162155

142

9099

71

1320 20

28

4634

28 3125 21 20

Hanging/strangulation on the wardIn-patient suicide

Figure 16: Patient suicide: number of mental health in-patients; number who died by hanging and strangulation on the ward

England

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91. There were 1,852 suicides in patients under crisis resolution/home treatment (CR/HT) teams, 14% of the total sample, an average of 168 deaths per year.

92. Overall, the annual number of suicides under CR/HT increased over the report period, reflecting its introduction in 2004-06. The number changed little from 2008 to 2012 but we are estimating a rise in 2013 (Figure 17).

93. Since 2005 there have been more patient suicides under CR/HT than in in-patient care, reflecting a change in the nature of acute care. Our estimates for 2013 mean there are now three times as many patient suicides under CR/HT (Figure 17).

94. In 578 (33%) the patient had been discharged from in-patient care in the preceding 3 months; 132 (24%) died within a week of discharge.

95. We have collected data on length of time under CR/HT since 2012. 109 (37%) patients who died had been under CR/HT services for less than a week, 24 (22%) of whom died within 3 months of discharge from in-patient care.

96. In 795 (43%) the patient lived alone. In 169 (56% excluding unknowns) the care planincluded additional social support at home, e.g. from a relative, friend or neighbour. However, those living alone were less likely to receive additional support (52, 41%).

97. There were 2,368 suicides within 3 months of discharge from in-patient care, 17% of all patient suicides and 19% of suicides in community patients,an average of 215 deaths per year.

98. There was an overall fall in the annual number of post-discharge suicides between 2003-2012, and we are estimating a continued fall in 2013 to the lowest figure over the report period (Figure 18).

99. Post-discharge suicides were most frequent in the first week after leaving hospital when 343 deaths occurred, an average of 31 per year, 15% of all suicides within 3 months of hospital discharge (Figure 19). The number and proportion who died in the first week after discharge has not changed over the report period. Of all patients who died in the first week after discharge, the highest number occurred on day 3 (22%).

100. Deaths in the first week were more common in those who discharged themselves from hospital, 45 of 168 (27%).

101. 306 (14%) died before the first follow-up appointment. Between 2003 and 2012, there has been a decrease in the number and proportion of patients who died before first follow-up, though figures have remained stable since 2006.

102. 182 (8%) died after being discharged from a non-local in-patient unit. This proportion increased to 11% (66 cases) of those who died within 2 weeks of discharge. The number of suicides after discharge from a non-local unit has increased from 68 (6%) in 2003-2007 to 109 (11%) in 2008-2012.

Crisis Resolution/Home Treatment

Patients recently discharged from hospital

THERE ARE NOW 3 TIMES AS MANY SUICIDES UNDER CR/HT AS IN IN-PATIENT CARE.

20030

50

100

150

200

250

Year

Num

ber o

f pat

ient

s

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

67

122

104 100

71

153142

9099

71

226

177187

207

183

162 155 156

179193 195

In-patientCR/HT

108

Figure 17: Patient suicide: number under crisis resolution/home treatment services and mental health in-patients

20030

100

50

150

200

250

300

Year

Num

ber o

f pat

ient

s

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

259

217

165

211 214 217203 196

227216

243

Figure 18: Patient suicide: number who died within 3 months of in-patient discharge

England

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103. In 2012-2013, 45 (3%) community patients had been conveyed to a hospital-based place of safety under Section 136 of the Mental Health Act within the preceding 3 months; 24 (2%) had been conveyed to a custody-based place of safety under this section.

104. In 2012-2013, 273 (18%) community patients had been referred urgently to mental health services by a GP in the 3 months prior to death, an average of 137 per year.

105. In 2011-2013, clinicians indicated a number of factors related to acute care that in their view would have made the suicide less likely. These included: less frequent use of agency/locum staff (69, 2% of all patients; 14 (6%) of in-patient suicides); better out-of-hours care (197, 5%); more psychiatric beds (197, 5%); and better crisis facilities (308, 8%).

106. There were 42 suicides in patients subject to a community treatment order (CTO) in 2009-2013, less than 1% of all patient suicides in this time period, an average of 8 per year. 37 patients who died had previously been on a CTO but were not on a CTO at the time of suicide. The rate of suicide in patients under CTO was 2.0 per 1,000 CTOs in 2009-2013.

107. 19 of the 42 deaths under CTO (45%) occurred within 3 months of hospital discharge.

108. 6 patients who died while subject to a CTO had been non-adherent with drug treatment in the month before death and 9 had missed the last appointment with services; 2 had both refused treatment and missed the last appointment. Therefore 31% of those who died were not receiving care as intended despite CTO powers.

109. There were 98 suicides in patients under IAPT services in the years 2011-2013, 3% of all patient suicides in this time period, an average of 33 per year.

110. 1,737 (14%) patients had been non-adherent with drug treatment in the month before death, an average of 158 deaths per year.

111. 3,193 (26%) patients missed their final service contact before death, an average of 290 deaths per year.

112. There was no overall change in 2003-2012 in the annual number of patient suicides following non-adherence or missed contact. However, there has been an increase in those following missed contact since a low figure in 2009 and we are estimating a further rise in 2013 (Figure 20).

Section 136 of the Mental Health Act

Urgent referral

Clinicians’ views on prevention

Community Treatment Orders

IAPT

Non-adherence and missed contact

10

100

50

150

200

250

350

300

400

Weeks between discharge and suicide (week 1 = first week following discharge)

Num

ber o

f pat

ient

s

2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13

343

297

255

215191

156131 129 128

109 114 116 117

Figure 19: Patient suicide: number per week following discharge (2003-2013)

20030

100

50

150

200

250

300

350

Year

Num

ber o

f pat

ient

s

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

147

124

168

140

178 182163 159 164 156 156

333

271 275

209

314326 321

240

287310 307

Missed contactNon-adherent

Figure 20: Patient suicide: number non-adherent with drug treatment or missed contact

England

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HOMICIDE113. In 2003-2013, the Inquiry was notified of 5,835 homicide convictions, an average of 530 per year. There were 6,141 victims, an average of 558 per year.

114. The annual number of convictions in the general population is shown in Figure 21. More recent statistics have been published for England and Wales by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) based on the number of offences recorded annually.17

115. There has been a decrease in the number of people convicted of homicide annually since a peak in 2008 (Figure 21).

116. The most common method was the use of a sharp instrument (2,259, 41% of cases) and hitting and kicking (1,083, 20%).

117. Homicide conviction rates varied by area of residence (by NHS England Area Team) (average rate 2011-2013). The highest rate was in Birmingham and the Black Country at 2.20 per 100,000 population, and the lowest in North West London at 0.38 per 100,000 (Figure 22).

Homicide in the general population

Variation in homicide convictions by area of residence (NHS England Area Teams)

Total Male Female

20030

100

200

300

400

700

500

600

800

Year of conviction

Num

ber o

f ho

mic

ides

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

545

648 631602

517

680

585

472

391370

394493

597568 563

473

622

536

439

354326

360

52 51 6339 44 58 49 33 37 44 34

Figure 21: Number of homicide convictions in the general population, by gender of offender

Figure 22: Rates of homicide convictions per 100,000 population by NHS area of residence (average rate 2011-2013)

Cumbria, Northumberland,

Tyne & Wear

Derbyshire & Nottinghamshire

North Yorkshire& the Humber

Leicestershire& Lincolnshire

East Anglia

Kent & Medway

Surrey & Sussex

ThamesValley

NE London

NW London

S London

Wessex

Hertfordshire& the South

Midlands

Essex

WestYorkshire

SouthYorkshire

& Bassetlaw

GreaterManchester

Cheshire, Warrington

& Wirral

Shropshire& Staffordshire

Arden, Hereforshire& Worcestershire

Bristol, N Somerset & S Gloucestershire

Devon, Cornwall& Isles of

Scilly

Bath,Gloucestershire,

Swindon & Wiltshire

Durham, Darlington & Tees

Lancashire

Merseyside

Birmingham &the Black Coutry

Area RateNorth West London 0.38Merseyside 0.41Essex 0.43Wessex 0.47Bath, Gloucestershire, Swindon & Wiltshire 0.51North East London 0.52

Thames Valley 0.56Surrey & Sussex 0.57Devon, Cornwall & Isles of Scilly 0.57Cheshire, Warrington & Wirral 0.58Kent & Medway 0.59North Yorshire & the Humber 0.70South London 0.70

East Anglia 0.75Arden, Hereforshire & Worcestershire 0.79Hertfordshire & the South Midlands 0.80Shropshire & Staffordshire 0.81Leicestershire & Lincolnshire 0.93Cumbria, Northumberland, Tyne & Wear 0.95

West Yorkshire 0.97Bristol, N Somerset & S Gloucestershire 0.97Lancashire 0.98Durham, Darlington & Tees 0.99Greater Manchester 1.18Derbyshire & Nottinghamshire 1.20South Yorkshire & Bassetlaw 1.47Birmingham & the Black Country 2.20

Note: rates have been colour coded by approximate quartile

England

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PATIENT HOMICIDE

118. The following analysis is based on the patient cases notified for 2003-2013 plus additional confirmed cases for 2007-2013 to take account of cases for whom questionnaires have yet to be returned, a total of 630 (Figure 23). This represents an average of 57 homicides per year. There were 668 victims, an average of 61 per year.

119. There was a fall in the number of patient homicides over the whole report period when examined by year of conviction, and by year of offence (Figure 24 and Figure 25).

120. However, this fall has not continued after 2009 and there may have been an increase in 2013, as our current confirmed figure is higher than at the same point in data collection in previous years.

121. 17 (3%) were in-patients at the time of the offence. There were 42 homicides within 3 months of discharge from in-patient care, 7% of all patient homicides. 25 (6%) patients in 2005-2013 were under crisis resolution/home treatment (CR/HT) teams at the time of the homicide.

122. 1 homicide was committed by a patient subject to a community treatment order (CTO) at the time of the offence. 3 patients had previously been on a CTO at the time of their discharge from in-patient care but this has subsequently been rescinded.

123. 314 (51%) patients had been convicted of a previous violent offence, 266 (48%) had previously been in prison.

124. 34 (6%) had a history of admission to a high, medium or regional secure unit. 151 (26%) patients had previously been involuntarily detained under mental health legislation. The number of previously detained patients has decreased over the report period.

125. 85 (17%) patients had been non-adherent with drug treatment in the month before the homicide, an average of 8 per year. The numbers fell after 2008 (Figure 26).

126. 221 (39%) patients missed their final service contact before the homicide occurred, an average of 20 per year. The number has fallen since 2008.

127. In total, 261 (49%) were either non-adherent or had missed final contact with services and were therefore not in receipt of planned treatment just prior to the homicide.

Mental health care

Forensic and clinical history

Non-adherence and missed contact

20030

20

10

30

40

50

70

60

80

Year of conviction

Num

ber o

f pat

ient

s

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

4347

7064

36

72 74

55

68

51 50

Figure 23: Number of patient homicides

20030

40

30

20

10

50

60

70

80

Year

Num

ber o

f pat

ient

s

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Patient homicide (year of conviction)Patient homicide (year of offence)

70

64

70

64

65

46

39

4651

41

7268

7274

55

68

4347

51

50

Figure 24: Number of patient homicides, by year of offence and year of conviction

Total Male Female

20030

10

20

30

40

70

50

60

80

Year of conviction

Num

ber o

f pa

tien

ts

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

70

64

72 74

55

68

4347

51 50

36

58

52

64 65

44

58

3540

4542

33

12 128 9

11 108 7 6 8

3

Figure 25: Number of patient homicides, by gender of offender

England

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128. There were 346 homicides by people with a history of schizophrenia (includes other delusional disorders) over 2003-2013, 6% of the total sample, an average of 31 per year. Of these, 280 (81%) had symptoms of psychosis (delusions and/or hallucinations) at the time of the offence. 203 (59%) of those with schizophrenia were patients, an average of 18 per year (Figure 27).The figure for 2013 may rise as we receive further cases (see paragraph 118).

129. 50 (29%) patients with schizophrenia had been non-adherent with drug treatment in the month before the homicide, an average of 5 per year. 68 (39%) patients with schizophrenia missed their final service contact before the homicide,an average of 6 per year. In total 98 (57%) were either non-adherent or missed their final contact with services.

130. There were 253 homicides by people with personality disorder, 4% of the sample, an average of 23 per year. Of these, 90 (36%) were patients.

131. We are currently undertaking a new study to further our understandingof patients with personality disorder who commit homicide or die by suicide. Our findings will be published in 2017.

132. 444 (75%) patients had a history of alcohol misuse, an average of 40 per year (Figure 28). 469 (78%) patients had a history of drug misuse, an average of 43 per year (Figure 28). 536 (89%, excluding unknowns) had a history of either alcohol or drug misuse or both, an average of 49 homicides per year.

HOMICIDE FOLLOWED BY SUICIDE

133. Homicide followed by suicide is defined here as when the offender dies by suicide within 3 days of committing homicide. As there is no conviction for homicide, they are not included in the previous analysis.

134. We were notified of 194 offences between 2003 and 2013, an average of 18 per year. There were 290 victims in total. 32 (16%) incidents involved multiple victims.

135. Most were male (176, 91%). The median age of offenders was 45 (range 16-93).

136. The relationship of victim to offender (as a principal victim if there was more than one victim) was: spouse/partner (current/ex) (128, 67%); son/daughter including stepchild (30, 16%); other family member (14, 7%); acquaintance (12, 6%) and stranger (7, 4%). In 3 cases the relationship was not known.

137. 15 (8%) homicide-suicides were by patients under the care of mental health services prior to the offence, i.e. 1-2 per year.

Homicide and schizophrenia

Homicide and personality disorder

Patients with alcohol and drug misuse

Missed contactNon-adherent

20030

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

Year of conviction

Num

ber o

f pa

tien

ts

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

6 6

1112

11 11

8

4

7

45

24

2728

31

19

27

1516

14 14

6

PatientsDiagnosis of schizophrenia

20030

20

15

10

5

25

30

35

40

45

50

Year of conviction

Num

ber o

f ho

mic

ide

conv

icti

ons

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

2118

27 26

2219

10

15 1614 15

37

46

41

37

33 3230

27

21 21 21

Figure 26: Patient homicide: number non-adherent with drug treatment or missed contact

Figure 27: Offenders with a primary diagnosis of schizophrenia and other delusional disorders

Alcohol misuse Drug misuse

20030

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Year of conviction

Num

ber o

f pa

tien

ts

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

54

47

58 58

45

52

33

3840

32

23

5046

57

50

40

47

30 3134

29

19

Figure 28: Patient homicide: number with a history of alcohol or drug misuse

England

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NORTHERN IRELAND

SUICIDE138. In 2003-2013, the Inquiry was notified of 2,701 deaths in the general population that were registered as suicide or “undetermined”, an average of 246 per year. These are referred to as suicides throughout the report.

139. There was an increase in the number and rate of suicides in 2003-2012. Figures reached a peak in 2010 and then fell but we are estimating a further rise in 2013 (Table 2, Figure 29).

140. Some deaths are not registered for several months or longer which means that our figures for the most recent years underestimate the final figures. We therefore calculate figures that take this delay into account for 2012 and 2013 (Table 2).

141. The increase in numbers and rates in 2003-2012 was observed in males only (Figure 29). The increase was mainly found in men aged 25-34 who have the highest suicide rate in recent years. Numbers (but not rates) also increased in men aged 55-64 and 65 and over. There has been no increase in any age-group in women.

142. There were only small variations by area of residence (by Health and Social Care Trust) at the time of death (average rate 2011-2013). The highest rate of suicide was in the Southern Area, at 16.9 per 100,000 population, and the lowest in the Western Area, at 15.8 per 100,000 population (Figure 30).

Suicide in the general population

Variation in suicide rates by area of residence(Health and Social Care Trust)

Table 2: Number of suicides in the general population, by gender

†indicates the estimated final number based on delays recorded in previous years, i.e. a 5% increase in 2013 and 2% increase in 2012

Male

Female

Total

2003

123

41

164

2004

175

62

237

2005

180

51

231

2006

174

53

227

2007

195

66

261

2008

204

55

259

2009

174

58

232

2010

233

67

300

2011

191

62

253

2012

197201†

5960†

256261†

2013

213224†

6871†

281295†

SUICIDE RATES IN MEN HAVE INCREASED,PARTICULARLY IN THOSE AGED 25-34

Total Male Female

20030

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

Year

Suic

ide

rate

per

100

,000

po

pula

tio

n

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

17.2

24.3 24.7 23.6

26.227.1

22.9

30.5

24.926.1

29.0

11.1

15.9 15.4 15.017.0 16.7

14.9

19.1

16.0 16.518.6

5.4

8.16.6 6.8

8.46.9 7.2

8.3 7.7 7.48.7

Figure 29: Rates of suicide in the general population, by gender

Note: rates in 2012 and 2013 are estimated to take into account delays in data collection

Figure 30: Rates of suicide per 100,000 population, by Health and Social Care Trust of residence (average rate 2011-2013)

Southern Area

Northern Area

Western Area

Eastern Area(Belfast & South

Eastern)

Area RateWestern Area 15.8Northern Area 16.1Eastern Area 16.7Southern Area 16.9

Northern Ireland

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143. The most common methods of suicide were hanging and strangulation (referred to as hanging in the remainder of this report) (1,537, 57%), self-poisoning (overdose) (646, 24%), and drowning (218, 8%). Less frequent methods were firearms (101, 4%), carbon monoxide (CO) poisoning (61, 2%), jumping and multiple injuries (mainly jumping from a height or being struck by a train) (48, 2%), and cutting and stabbing (33, 1%).

144. Deaths by hanging have increased since 2003, with a peak in 2010 (Figure 31). Deaths by self-poisoning increased overall and in 2013 rose to the highest number during the report period. Of the less common methods, deaths by CO poisoning and firearms decreased.

PATIENT SUICIDE

145. During 2003-2013, 741 suicides (27% of general population suicides) were identified as patient suicides, i.e. the person had been in contact with mental health services in the 12 months prior to death. This represents an average of 67 patient suicides per year.

146. There was no overall change between 2003 and 2012 in the number of patient suicides overall or by gender (Figures 32 and 33), or in the rate of suicide (using a general population denominator) (Figure 34).

147. The annual number of patient suicides increased in females aged 45-64 but did not change in any other age-group or gender over the report period.

148. In 187 (28%) the suicide occurred within a year of mental health service contact; in 308 (46%) it was over 5 years.

Method of suicide

Patient suicide: numbers and rates

Hanging/strangulation Drowning Self-poisoning

20030

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

Year

Num

ber o

f sui

cide

s

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

85

118131

116

149161

146

181

150 145155

31

6957

5162

4954

66 64 6677

2012 16

26 22 2312

25 21 1823

Figure 31: Suicide in the general population: main causes of death 2003

Estimated Confirmed

0

20

10

30

40

50

70

60

80

Year

Num

ber o

f pat

ient

s

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

74

6867

73

64

73

45

73

48

6461

76 76

6367

Male Female

20030

20

10

30

40

50

60

Year

Num

ber o

f pa

tien

ts

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

33

4749

44

4951

43

52

47 4648

12

26

1517

2725

21 2220

27

20

Total Male Female

20030

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

Year

Suic

ide

rate

per

100

,000

gen

eral

po

pula

tio

n

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

4.6

6.56.7

6.0

6.6 6.8

5.7

6.8

6.1 6.06.2

3.1

4.9

4.34.0

5.0 4.9

4.1

4.74.3

4.64.3

1.6

3.4

1.92.2

3.43.1

2.6 2.72.5

3.3

2.5

Figure 32: Number of patient suicides

Figure 33: Number of patient suicides, by gender

Figure 34: Rates of patient suicide, by gender

Northern Ireland

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149. The most common methods of suicide by patients were hanging (383, 52%), self-poisoning (216, 29%) and drowning (78, 11%).

150. The number of suicides by hanging increased between 2003 and 2008 but there has been no increase since then (Figure 35).

151. The most common substances used in self-poisoning were opiates (58, 31%), anti-psychotic drugs (20, 11%) and benzodiazepines/hypnotics (18, 10%). The number of deaths by opiates and anti-psychotics increased over the report period.

152. Over the report period, there were 4 deaths by suicide, including 1 patient, which followed inhalation of helium gas.

153. During 2003-2013, there were 472 suicides in the general population in people aged under 25, 17% of all suicides, an average of 43 per year. 199 were aged under 20, an average of 18 per year, and 96 were aged under 18, an average of 9 per year.

154. 66 of those under 25 were patients, 9% of patient suicides and 14% of all suicides in this age-group, an average of 6 per year. 15 were aged under 20 and 4 were aged under 18.

155. The number of general population suicides in people under 25 increased from 2003 and reached a peak in 2010 with lower (though possibly incomplete) numbers in 2011-2013 (Figure 36). However, there has been no change in the annual number of suicides in patients under 25 over the report period – numbers are small, with a peak in 2006 (Figure 36).

156. We are currently establishing a national investigation of suicides in this age group and will be publishing preliminary findings in 2017.

157. There were 108 suicides in patients with a primary diagnosis of schizophrenia (includes other delusional disorders), 15% of the total sample, an average of 10 deaths per year.

158. There has been no overall trend in the annual number of suicides in patients with schizophrenia - numbers have been lower since a peak in 2007 (Figure 37).

Method of suicide by patients

Suicides in people aged under 25

Patients with schizophrenia

Hanging/strangulation Drowning Self-poisoning

20030

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

Year

Num

ber o

f pat

ient

s

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

9 57

9 9 9

5 5 69

4

10

30

1715

2123

18

25

22

18 18

23

30

36

32

39 38

35

40

33

39 38

Figure 35: Patient suicide: main causes of death

General population Patient

20030

10

20

30

40

50

60

Year

Num

ber o

f su

icid

es

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

37 36

42

47 4743

45

56

41

35

43

3 4

912

36

97 6

4 3

20030

10

8

6

4

2

12

14

16

18

Year

Num

ber o

f pat

ient

s

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

11

4

11

16

12

9

13

10

5

11

6

Figure 36: General population and patient suicides in those aged under 25

Figure 37: Patient suicide: number with a primary diagnosis of schizophrenia and other delusional disorders

Northern Ireland

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159. There were 59 suicides in patients with a primary diagnosis of personality disorder, 8% of the total sample, an average of 5 deaths per year.

160. The annual number of suicides in patients with personality disorder has fluctuated over the report period but there has been no overall trend (Figure 38).

161. We are currently carrying out a detailed study investigating suicide in patients with personality disorder which will be published in 2017. We have studied suicide in personality disorder in primary care and will be publishing this study soon.

162. There were 459 suicides in patients with a history of alcohol misuse, 63% of the total sample, an average of 42 deaths per year (Figure 39).

163. 270 had a history of drug misuse, 38% of the total sample, an average of 25 deaths per year (Figure 39).

164. 501 had a history of either alcohol or drug misuse or both, 69% of patient suicides, an average of 46 deaths per year.

165. Between 2003 and 2012, there was no overall trend in the annual number of patient suicides with a history of alcohol or drug misuse, though we are estimating higher figures in 2013.

166. Between 2011-2013, 20 (11%) patients were under drug services and41 (21%) were under alcohol services.

167. In 2008-2012, a higher proportion of patients were unemployed (173, 50%) compared to the pre-recession years of 2003-2007 (131, 43%). 35 (5%) patients were in unstable housing, i.e. homeless or living in bed and breakfast or a hostel. This proportion did not change over the report period.

MENTAL HEALTH CARE

168. There were 28 in-patient deaths by suicide between 2003-2013, 4% of patient suicides. The highest number of in-patient suicides was in 2009 (5 deaths) (Figure 40).

169. 4 patients died on the ward by hanging over the report period. There were 3 suicides in detained in-patients, 11% of all in-patient suicides. 10 in-patients died after absconding from the ward, 36% of all in-patient suicides.

Patients with personality disorder

Patients with alcohol and drug misuse

Socio-economic factors

In-patient suicide

20030

6

4

2

8

10

12

Year

Num

ber o

f pat

ient

s

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

5

9

1

7

5

4

3 3

10

4

8

Figure 38: Patient suicide: number with a primary diagnosis of personality disorder

Alcohol misuse Drug misuse

20030

10

20

30

40

50

60

Year

Num

ber o

f pa

tien

ts

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

26

47

3639

41

51

37

47 46

41

48

10

28

22 21

26

30

2628

2325

31

20030

1

2

3

4

5

6

Year

Num

ber o

f pa

tien

ts

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

4

3 3

1

3 3

5

2 2 2

Figure 39: Patient suicide: number with a history of alcohol or drug misuse

Figure 40: Patient suicide: number of mental health in-patients

Note: there are currently no in-patient suicides in 2013 and therefore we are unable to estimate a figure for this year

Northern Ireland

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170. There were 38 suicides in patients under crisis resolution/home treatment (CR/HT) teams, 5% of all deaths.

171. There was no overall trend in the number of suicides under CR/HT, but the highest figures were in 2007 (7 deaths) and 2012 (7 deaths). From 2005 there have been 35 suicides in patients under CR/HT compared to 21 in in-patient care.

172. There were 146 suicides within 3 months of discharge from in-patient care, 20% of all patient suicides and 21% of suicides in community patients, an average of 13 deaths per year.

173. The annual number of post-discharge suicides peaked in 2004 but otherwise there was no trend over the report period (Figure 41).

174. Post-discharge suicides were most frequent in the first week after leaving hospital when 30 deaths occurred, an average of 3 per year. Of these, the highest number occurred on the first day after discharge (9, 30%).

175. In 2012-2013, 4 (6%) community patients had been referred urgently to mental health services by a GP in the 3 months prior to death.

176. In 2011-2013, clinicians indicated a number of factors related to acute care that in their view could have made the suicide less likely. These included: better crisis facilities (15, 8%), better out-of-hours care (5, 3%) and more psychiatric beds (1, 1%).

177. 76 (12%) patients had been non-adherent with drug treatment in the month before death, an average of 7 deaths per year. 220 (32%) patients missed their final service contact before death, an average of 20 deaths per year.

178. There has been no overall trend in the number of patient suicides following non-adherence (Figure 42). There has been an overall increase inthe number of patient suicides following missed contact (Figure 42).

Crisis Resolution/Home Treatment

Patients recently discharged from hospital

Urgent referral

Clinicians’ views on prevention

Non-adherence and missed contact

20030

5

10

15

20

25

30

Year

Num

ber o

f pa

tien

ts

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

13

24

1112

15

1112

11

14

9

14

Figure 41: Patient suicide: number who died within 3 months of in-patient dischargeNon-adherent Missed contact

20030

5

10

15

20

25

30

Year

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

4

78

9

11

9

67

4

7

4

12

16 1618 17

23 22

25

20

2526

Num

ber o

f pat

ient

s

Figure 42: Patient suicide: number non-adherent with drug treatment or missed last contact

Northern Ireland

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HOMICIDE

179. In 2003-2013, the Inquiry was notified of 217 homicide convictions, an average of 20 a year. There were 224 victims, an average of 20 per year.

180. The annual number of homicide convictions in the general population is shown in Figure 43. More recent homicide statistics are published by the Police Service of Northern Ireland.18

181. There has been a rise in homicide convictions up to 2007, but there has been no further increase since then (Figure 43).

182. The most common method of homicide was the use of a sharp instrument (73, 36%) followed by hitting and kicking (56, 27%).

PATIENT HOMICIDE

183. During 2003-2013, 27 people convicted of homicide (12% of the total sample), were confirmed as patients, i.e. the person had been in contact with mental health services in the 12 months prior to the offence, an average of 2 per year. There were 28 victims. The numbers fluctuated over the report period but were too small to examine trends over time.

184. There were no homicides committed by in-patients or patients under crisis resolution/home treatment teams. There were 5 homicides within 3 months of discharge from in-patient care, 20% of all patient homicides.

185. 15 (68%) had been convicted of a previous violent offence. 10 (48%) had previously been in prison. 1 patient had a history of admission to a high, medium or regional secure unit. 1 patient had previously been involuntarily detained under mental health legislation.

186. 4 (20%) patients were known to have been non-adherent with drug treatment in the month before the homicide. 9 (41%) patients had missed their final service contact before the homicide. In total, 12 (57%) were either non-adherent or had missed final contact with services and were therefore not in receipt of planned treatment just prior to the homicide.

187. 8 people had a history of schizophrenia (includes other delusional disorders), 4% of the total number of homicides. Of these, 7 (88%) had symptoms of psychosis (delusions and/or hallucinations) at the time of the offence. 5 (63%) were patients.

188. 13 people had a history of personality disorders over the report period, 6% of all homicides. 6 (46%) were patients.

189. 25 (100% excluding unknowns) patients had a history of alcohol misuse. 19 (76%) patients had a history of drug misuse.

Homicide in the general population

Mental health care

Forensic and clinical history

Non-adherence and missed contact

Homicide and schizophrenia

Homicide and personality disorder

Patients with alcohol and drug misuse

Total Male Female

20030

5

10

15

20

25

30

Year of conviction

Num

ber o

f ho

mic

ides

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

13

19

14

17

25

2224

19

25

17

22

12

18

13

17

23

21 21

15

22

16

21

1 1 10

21

34

31 1

Figure 43: Number of homicide convictions in the general population, by gender of offender

Northern Ireland

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SCOTLAND

SUICIDE190. In 2003-2013, the Inquiry was notified of 8,928 deaths in the general population that were registered as suicide or “undetermined”, an average of 812 per year. These are referred to as suicides throughout the report.

191. Table 3 and Figure 44 show trends in general population suicide. An apparent increase in 2011 occurred due to the introduction of new death coding rules for drug misuse deaths in the International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems (ICD-10). This meant deaths which would previously have been coded as due to ‘mental and behavioural disorders due to psychoactive substance use’ are in some cases now coded as suicide or deaths of undetermined deaths. We therefore show figures based both on old and new coding to enable comparison with earlier years.

192. Using the old coding rules, there has been a fall in male rates since 2003 (Figure 44). The fall has occurred in males aged 25-34 and 65 and over but there has been an increase in the number and rate in those aged 45-54 (Figure 45). In women, there has been a fall in the rate in those aged 65 and over.

Suicide in the general population

Table 3: Number of suicides in the general population, by gender

‡ indicates the number of suicides using the old death coding rules; see also the methods section on page 12.

Male

Female

Total

2003

576

218

794

2004

620

224

844

2005

560

220

780

2006

594

174

768

2007

622

214

836

2008

628

213

841

2009

558

205

763

2010

581

201

782

2011

552 ‡

641

217‡

252

769‡

893

2012

553‡

609

199‡

222

752‡

831

2013

558‡

614

171‡

182

729‡

796

Total Male Female

20030

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

Year

Suic

ide

rate

per

100

,000

po

pula

tio

n

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

26.828.7

25.727.1 28.1 28.1

24.8 25.7

28.126.7 26.8

24.2 24.2 24.3

17.618.6

17.1 16.818.1 18.1

16.3 16.618.9

17.5 16.8

16.2 15.9 15.3

9.2 9.5 9.27.3

8.9 8.8 8.4 8.210.3

9.07.4

8.2 8.17.0

Aged 25-34 Aged 45-54 Aged 65+

20030

20

15

10

5

25

30

35

40

45

50

Year

Suic

ide

rate

per

100

,000

po

pula

tio

n

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

21.218.5 18.8

15.217.7

19.9

9.4

14.3 13.214.9 15.9

39.2

35.9 36.038.9

40.1

45.4

32.5

36.9

31.5 33.8 34.4

29.3 30.8

25.528.5

33.7

29.531.1

33.633.0

27.829.7

Figure 44: Rates of suicide in the general population, by gender

Figure 45: Male suicide rates in the general population in those aged 25-34, 45-54 and 65+

THERE HAS BEEN A FALL IN SUICIDE RATES IN MEN OVERALL BUT AN INCREASE IN MALES AGED 45-54.

Scotland

Note: the unfilled markers in 2011-2013 indicate rates using the old death coding rules

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193. Suicide rates varied by area of residence (by NHS Health Board) at the time of death (average rate 2011-2013). The highest rate of suicide was in Lothian, at 21.3 per 100,000 population, and the lowest rate was in Ayrshire and Arran, at 12.9 per 100,000 population (Figure 46).

194. The most common methods of suicide were hanging and strangulation (referred to as hanging in the remainder of this report) (3,422, 38%), self-poisoning (overdose) (2,918, 33%), jumping and multiple injuries (mainly jumping from a height or being struck by a train) (887, 10%) and drowning (708, 8%). Less frequent methods were cutting and stabbing (194, 2%), carbon monoxide (CO) poisoning (181, 2%), and firearms (118, 1%).

195. Deaths by hanging increased over the whole report period, though the number has not changed since 2008 (Figure 47). The apparent increase in suicides by self-poisoning in 2011-2012 is the result of the death coding rule change described above. Using the old coding rules, we estimate the number of self-poisonings in 2013 would drop from 236 to 169, the lowest figure for self-poisoning over the report period. Deaths by drowning and CO poisoning decreased (Figures 47 and 48).

Variation in suicide rates by area of residence(NHS Health Board)

Method of suicide

Highland

Grampian

Tayside

Fife

Lothian

Lanarkshire

Borders

Dumfries & Galloway

Shetland, Orkney & Western Isles

Ayrshire & Arran

Greater Glasgow& Clyde

Forth Valley

Area RateAyrshire & Arran 12.9Grampian 13.9Tayside 14.5

Forth Valley 16.5Dumfries & Galloway 16.7Lanarkshire 17.7

Greater Glasgow & Clyde 18.2Highland 18.3Fife 19.3

Shetlands, Orkney & Western Isles 19.6Borders 19.9Lothian 21.3

20030

50

100

150

200

300

350

250

400

Year

Num

ber o

f sui

cide

s

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

267

325346

259285 291

339326 328

329

369

327

236

278

234

275

169

244 236

277 288

241 240 245

199

80 72 7997

7498

75 85 84 75 73

79 7150

8571

82

50 47 50 58 60

Jumping/multiple injuries Self-poisoningDrowningHanging/strangulation

CO poisoning Firearms Cutting/stabbing

20030

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

Year

Num

ber o

f sui

cide

s

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

1011

1210 9

1210

13

8

11

8

1617

18

24

15 1510

17

10 11 10

30

16

24

28

15 16 1618

1415

24

Figure 47: Suicide in the general population: main causes of death

Figure 48: Suicide in the general population: other causes of death

Figure 46: Rates of suicide per 100,000 population, by NHS Health Board of residence (average rate 2011-2013)

Note: rates have been colour coded by approximate quartile

Scotland

Note: the unfilled markers in 2011-2013 indicate rates using the old death coding rules

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PATIENT SUICIDE

196. During 2003-2013, 2,701 suicides (30% of general population suicides) were identified as patient suicides, i.e. the person had been in contact with mental health services in the 12 months prior to death. This represents an average of 246 patient suicides per year.

197. The increase in suicide figures in 2011-2013 for the general population resulting from a death coding change, is also reflected in the figures for patient suicides in these years (Figure 49). Based on the old coding rules, we calculate there would have been 32 fewer suicides in 2013, making the total 227 (Figure 50).

198. There was no overall change in the number or rate (using a general population denominator) of patient suicides in 2003-2012 (Figures 49-51). Figures for male patients are generally lower since a peak in 2007.

199. There was an increase in the annual number of male suicides in those aged 45-54 (Figure 52). Younger males showed a decrease. There was no change in females in any age-group.

200. In 558 (23%) the suicide occurred within a year of mental health service contact; in 1,314 (54%) it was over 5 years.

Patient suicide: numbers and rates

2003

Estimated Confirmed

0

50

100

150

250

200

300

Year

Num

ber o

f pat

ient

s

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

221

239246

251 249

218209

282

230

284

260

259262

Figure 49: Number of patient suicides

THERE HAS BEEN AN INCREASE IN MALE PATIENT SUICIDES AGED 45-54.

Male Female

20030

60

40

20

80

100

120

160

140

200

180

220

Year

Num

ber o

f pat

ient

s

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

164 161

135 136

181

161

131

153

186

160

180

151

133

154

8290

8373

101

69

90 8698 102

79

8091

73

Total Male Female

20030

4

3

2

1

5

6

7

8

9

10

Year

Suic

ide

rate

per

100

,000

gen

eral

po

pula

tio

n

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

3.53.8

3.53.1

4.2

2.9

3.7 3.54.0

4.9

6.6

8.2

4.23.2

4.8

6.7

7.9

5.5 5.5

7.6 7.4

4.8

6.2

4.6

6.2 6.1

8.2

4.9

7.2

4.7

5.8

5.1

6.8

6.0 5.8

7.0

3.33.0

3.7

5.55.5

4.7

Aged <25 Aged 35-44 Aged 45-54

20030

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Year

Num

ber o

f pat

ient

s

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

45

60

40

4946

43

33

44

61

38

56

28

23 2226

44

37

26

34

44

37

52

18 16 16

11

22

13

20 18 16

10

5

Figure 50: Number of patient suicides, by gender

Figure 51: Rates of patient suicide, by gender

Note: unfilled markers in 2011-2013 indicate the number of suicides using the old death coding rules.

Note: unfilled markers in 2011-2013 indicate the rate of suicides using the old death coding rules

Figure 52: Patient suicide: number of male suicides in those aged <25, 35-44 and 45-54

Scotland

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201. The most common methods of suicide by patients were self-poisoning (1,019, 38%) and hanging (921, 34%). The increase in deaths by self-poisoning from 2011 was the result of the coding rule change described above – recent figures are comparatively low (Figure 53). The annual number of deaths by hanging has fluctuated over the report period and we are estimating an increase in 2013 to the highest figure since 2007.

202. The most common substances used in deaths by self-poisoning were opiates (346, 37%), tricyclic antidepressants (103, 11%), anti-psychotics (93, 10%) and paracetamol/opiate compounds (90, 10%).

203. The increase in suicides by overdose of opiates in 2011-2013 reflects the change in coding rules (see above) (Figure 54). Using the old rules, there was no change in the annual number of opiate suicides over the report period. There has been a decrease in suicide by tricyclic antidepressants (Figure 54) and paracetamol/opiate compounds over the report period.

204. Since 2005, there were 45 deaths by suicide in the general population which followed inhalation of helium, increasing from an average of 3 per year in 2005-2008 to 7 per year in 2009-2013. Of these, 8 (18%) were patients. 205. During 2003-2013, there were 1,070 suicides in the general population

in those aged under 25, 12% of all suicides, an average of 97 per year. 38were aged under 20, an average of 35 per year, and 174 were aged under 18,an average of 16 per year.

206. 244 of those under 25 were patients, 9% of patient suicides and 23%of all suicides in this age-group. This represents an average of 22 deaths per year. 80 were aged under 20, an average of 7 per year, and 36 were agedunder 18, an average of 3 per year.

207. Figures for 2012 and 2013 have fallen, though it is too early to saywhether this will be a sustained change (Figure 55).

208. We are currently carrying out a detailed study investigating suicide inthis age group and will be publishing preliminary findings in 2017.

Method of suicide by patients

Suicides in people aged under 25

20030

40

20

60

80

100

140

120

160

Year

Num

ber o

f pat

ient

s

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

106 12 6 4 4 3 3 1 3

23 20 1925 16

1917 12 19 25 21

25 27 2926 25

39

2836

25 29 30

7988

92

6761

101

8474

82 80

8488

6063

87 90

101

7584

103

87 8593

137

102

Jumping/multiple injuries Self-poisoningDrowningCO poisoningHanging/strangulation

Figure 53: Patient suicide: main causes of death

Note: unfilled markers in 2011-2013 indicate the number of self-poisonings using the old death coding rules

Opiates Tricyclics

20030

40

30

20

10

50

60

70

80

Year

Num

ber o

f pa

tien

ts

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

2320

26

18

27 28

20 27

26 24

16

70

49

38

1712 10

1310 11

6 710

6 1

General population Patient

20030

60

40

20

80

100

120

140

160

Year

Num

ber o

f su

icid

es

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

100 102109

89

120

96102 98 100

88

66

26 26 26

12

3021

27 2719 20

10

Figure 54: Patient suicide: main substances used in deaths by self-poisoning

Figure 55: Number of general population and patient suicides in those aged under 25

Note: unfilled markers in 2011-2013 indicate the number of deaths by opiates using the old death coding rules

Scotland

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209. There were 450 suicides in patients with a primary diagnosis of schizophrenia (includes other delusional disorders), 17% of the total sample, an average of 41 deaths per year. There has been no overall trend in the number of suicides in patients with schizophrenia (Figure 56). The estimated increase from 2011 is the result of death coding changes.

210. There were 240 suicides in patients with a primary diagnosis of personality disorder, 9% of the total sample, an average of 22 deaths per year. There has been no overall change during the report period (Figure 57).

211. We are currently carrying out a detailed study investigating suicide in patients with personality disorder which will be published in 2017. We have studied suicidein personality disorder in primary care and will be publishing this study soon.

212. There were 1,549 patients with a history of alcohol misuse, 59% of the total sample, an average of 141 deaths per year.

213. 1,166 had a history of drug misuse, 44% of the total sample, an average of 106 deaths per year.

214. 1,848 had a history of either alcohol or drug misuse or both, 69% of patient suicides, an average of 168 deaths per year.

215. Since 2007, the number of suicides in patients with a history of alcohol misuse has fallen (using old coding rules) though we are estimating a rise in 2013 (Figure 58). The apparent rise in the number with a history of drug misuse is the result of the change in coding rules (Figure 59).

216. Between 2012-2013, 81 (18%) patients were under drug services and 60 (13%) were under alcohol services.

Patients with schizophrenia

Patients with personality disorder

Patients with alcohol and drug misuse

20030

10

20

30

40

50

60

Year

Num

ber o

f pa

tien

ts

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

35

4138 37

43 43

35

40

4946

43

39 3836

20030

5

10

15

20

25

30

Year

Num

ber o

f pa

tien

ts

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

22

16

22

18

24

27

21

19

27

21

23

23

19

23

Figure 56: Patient suicide: number with a primary diagnosis of schizophrenia and other delusional disorders

Figure 57: Patient suicide: number with a primary diagnosis of personality disorder

Note: unfilled markers in 2011-2013 indicate the number of self-poisonings using the old death coding rules

Note: unfilled markers in 2011-2013 indicate the number of suicides using the old death coding rules

Note: unfilled markers in 2011-2013 indicate the number of suicides using the old death coding rules

20030

80

60

40

20

100

120

140

160

180

Year

Num

ber o

f pa

tien

ts

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

155

142

115124

160

146

121

133

164

134

155

125

108

131

Figure 58: Patient suicide: number with a history of alcohol misuse

Scotland

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217. In 2012-2013, there were 11 (13% excluding unknowns) suicides in patients who had experienced serious financial difficulties in the 3 months before death.

218. In 2008-2012, a higher proportion of patients were unemployed (616, 53%) compared to the pre-recession years of 2003-2007 (492, 43%). 156 (6%) patients were in unstable housing, i.e. homeless or living in bed and breakfast or a hostel. This proportion did not change over the report period.

219. In 2011-2013 there were 7 (2%) patients who died by suicide after visiting a “pro-suicide” internet site, i.e. providing information on methods or encouraging suicide. As these figures are based on clinical reports, they may underestimatehow often this occurs.

220. In 2011-2013, 18 patients died on a date that carried significance (e.g. birthday), an average of 6 per year, 5% of all patient suicides. Again, this may be an underestimate.

Note: unfilled markers in 2011-2013 indicate the number of suicides using the old death coding rules

20030

80

60

40

20

100

120

140

160

180

Year

Num

ber o

f pa

tien

ts

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

93 94 9182

108102

86

101

153

103

128 128

94 96

Figure 59: Patient suicide: number with a history of drug misuse

SCOTLAND SCOTLAND

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MENTAL HEALTH CARE

221. There were 190 in-patient suicide deaths between 2003-2013, 7% of patient suicides, an average of 17 deaths per year. The annual number of in-patient suicides has fluctuated with no overall trend since 2003 (Figure 60).

222. Over the report period, there were 37 patients who died on the ward by hanging; this number fluctuated from 1 to 7 per year. There were 52 suicides in detained in-patients, 28% of all in-patient suicides, an average of 5 per year. 51 in-patients died after absconding from the ward, 27% of all in-patient suicides, an average of 5 per year.

223. There were 194 suicides in patients under crisis resolution/home treatment (CR/HT) teams, 8% of the total sample, an average of 18 deaths per year.

224. Suicides under CR/HT rose in the early part of the report period, reflecting increasing services of this kind. There has been no overall change since 2005 though we estimate an increase in 2013 after a low figure in 2012 (Figure 61).

225. Since 2005 there has been a similar number of patient suicides under CR/HT as in in-patient care, reflecting a change in the nature of acute care.Our estimates for 2013 mean there are now more patient suicides under CR/HT compared to in-patients.

226. 67 (36%) CR/HT patients died within 3 months of hospital discharge, 26 (21%) within 2 weeks. In 107 (56%) the patient lived alone.

Socio-economic factors

Websites promoting suicide

Significant dates

In-patient suicide

Crisis Resolution/Home Treatment

20030

5

10

15

20

25

30

Year

Num

ber o

f pa

tien

ts

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

22

11

22

15

27

15

11 11

2019

17

Figure 60: Patient suicide: number of mental health in-patients

Scotland

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227. There were 450 suicides within 3 months of discharge from in-patient care, 17% of all patient suicides and 18% of suicides in community patients, an average of 41 deaths per year. Despite fluctuations, there has been a downward trend since a peak in 2007 (Figure 62).

228. Post-discharge suicides were most frequent in the first week after leaving hospital when 82 deaths occurred, an average of 7 per year, 18% of all suicides within 3 months of hospital discharge (Figure 63). Of those who died in the first week after discharge, the highest number occurred on the second day after discharge (18, 22%). 79 (20%) died before the first follow-up appointment.

229. Deaths in the first week were more common in those who discharged themselves from hospital, 17 of 62 (27%).

230. 29 (7%) patients died by suicide after being discharged from a non-local in-patient unit. This increased to 13 (10%) of those who died within 2 weeks of discharge.

231. In 2012-2013, 10 (10%) community patients had been referred urgently to mental health services by a GP in the 3 months prior to death.

232. In 2011-2013, clinicians indicated a number of factors related to acute care that in their view would have made suicide less likely. These included: less frequent use of agency/locum staff (3, 1% of all patients; 1 (3%) of in-patient suicides); better out-of-hours care (8, 2%); more psychiatric beds (20, 3%); and better crisis facilities (26, 5%).

233. There were 28 suicides in patients subject to a compulsory treatment order in the community between 2007-2013, 2% of all patient suicides, an average of 4 deaths per year. The highest number was in 2008 (8 patients).

234. 8 patients subject to a compulsory treatment order had been non-adherent with drug treatment in the month before death and 5 had missed the last appointment with services; 1 had been both non-adherent and missed the last appointment. Therefore, 43% of those who died were not receiving care as intended despite compulsory treatment order powers. 11 deaths under a compulsory treatment order occurred within 3 months of hospital discharge.

Patients recently discharged from hospital

Urgent referral

Clinicians’ views on prevention

Compulsory TreatmentOrders in the community

20030

5

10

15

20

25

30

Year

Num

ber o

f pat

ient

s

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

9

16

25

13

23

16

19

22

19

9

23

20030

10

20

30

40

50

60

Year

Num

ber o

f pa

tien

ts

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

51

46

3941

54

36

48

33

49

26

27

Figure 61: Patient suicide: number under crisis resolution/home treatment services

Figure 62: Patient suicide: number who died within 3 months of in-patient discharge

IN 2013, WE ARE ESTIMATING MORE SUICIDES UNDER CR/HT THAN IN IN-PATIENT CARE. 1

0

40

30

20

10

50

60

70

90

80

100

Weeks between discharge and suicide (week 1 = first week following discharge)

Num

ber o

f pat

ient

s

2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13

82

48 49

28

52

25

16

23

30 31

2116

23

Figure 63: Patient suicide: number of suicides per week following discharge (2003-2013)

Scotland

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235. 269 (12%) patients had been non-adherent with drug treatment in the month before death, an average of 24 deaths per year.

236. 715 (29%) patients missed their final service contact before death, an average of 65 deaths per year.

237. There were fluctuations in the annual number of suicides in patients following non-adherence or missed last appointment, with no clear trends (Figure 64).

HOMICIDE

238. In 2003-2013 the Inquiry was notified of 942 homicide convictions, an average of 86 per year. There were 966 victims, an average of 88 per year.

239. The annual number of homicide convictions in the general population is shown in Figure 65. These figures are provided as context for our data on homicides by people with mental illness. More recent homicide statistics are published by the Scottish Government based on the number of offences recorded annually.19

240. There has been a fall in the number of homicide convictions over the report period since a peak in 2004 (Figure 65).

241. The most common method of homicide was the use of a sharp instrument (498, 56% of all homicides) followed by hitting and kicking (155, 17%).

PATIENT HOMICIDE

242. The following analysis is based on the confirmed patient cases for 2003-2013 plus additional cases for 2010-2013 to take account of questionnaires not yet returned, a total of 142 (15% of all homicide convictions). This represents an average of 13 patient homicides per year. There were 146 victims, an average of 13 per year.

243. The numbers fluctuated over the period of the report, with no overall trend (Figures 66 and Figure 67).

Non-adherence and missed contact

Homicide in the general population

Non-adherent Missed contact

20030

40

30

20

10

50

60

70

80

90

Year

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

33

27

17 16

28

20 19

3631

24

18

66

79

50

55

71

52

77

61

6864

72

Num

ber o

f pat

ient

s

Figure 64: Patient suicide: number non-adherent with drug treatment or missed contact

Total Male Female

20030

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

Year of conviction

Num

ber o

f ho

mic

ide

conv

icti

ons

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

81

66

91

127

106

74

87

64

81

93

72

65

56

84

120

98

69

84

58

70

79

68

16107 7 8 5 3 6

11 14

4

Figure 65: Number of homicide convictions in the general population, by gender of offender

Scotland

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244. 2 were in-patients at the time of the homicide. There were 14 homicides within 3 months of discharge from in-patient care, 10% of all patient homicides.5 (4%) patients had been under crisis resolution/home treatment teams (CR/HT) at the time of the homicide.

245. No patients were subject to a compulsory treatment order at last discharge or at the time of the offence.

246. Between 2003-2011, 55 (58%) had been convicted of a previous violent offence.† 68 (55%) had previously been in prison.

247.3 had a history of admission to a high, medium or regional secure unit. 8 (6%) patients had previously been involuntarily detained under mental health legislation.

†Note: Data on previous convictions were not available for 2012 and 2013, see paragraph 39.

248. 14 (11%) patients had been non-adherent with drug treatment in the month before the homicide.

249. 48 (36%) patients missed their final service contact before the homicide, an average of 4 per year.

250. In total, 56 (44%) were either non-adherent or had missed final contact with services and were therefore not in receipt of planned treatment just prior to the homicide.

251. There were 29 homicides by people with a history of schizophrenia (includes other delusional disorders), 3% of the total sample, an average of 3 per year.

252. Of these, 17 (77% excluding unknowns) had symptoms of psychosis (delusions and/or hallucinations) at the time of the offence.

253. 19 (66%) were patients.

254. 3 (17%) patients had been non-adherent with drug treatment in the month before the homicide. 5 (31%) patients with schizophrenia missed their final service contact before the homicide.

255. There were 36 homicides by people with a history of personality disorder in 2003-2013, 4% of all homicide convictions, an average of 3 per year. 12 (33%) offenders with personality disorder were patients.

256. 110 (87%) patients had a history of alcohol misuse. This was an average of 10 patient homicides per year. 115 (88%) patients had a history of drug misuse, an average of 10 per year. There were 127 patients who had a history of either alcohol or drug misuse or both, 94% of patients, an average of 12 homicides per year.

Mental health care

Forensic and clinical history

Non-adherence and missed contact

Homicide and schizophrenia

Homicide and personality disorder

Patients with alcohol and drug misuse

*Note: numbers for 2010 are an underestimate and will be revised when data become available

12

18

14

10

8

15

17

7

*

14

17

10

20030

8

6

4

2

10

12

14

18

16

20

Year of conviction

Num

ber o

f pat

ient

s

2004 2005 5006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Total Male Female

20030

8

6

4

2

10

12

14

16

18

20

Year of conviction

Num

ber o

f pat

ient

s

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

14

10

12

18

14

10

8

15

17

7

17

10

8

10

16

13

10

7

13

14

3

17

4

22 21

01

23

4

0

Figure 66: Number of patient homicides

Figure 67: Number of patient homicides, by gender of offender

Scotland

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WALES

SUICIDE257. Between 2003-2013, the Inquiry was notified of 3,508 deaths in the general population that were registered as suicide or “undetermined”, an average of 319 per year.These are referred to as suicides throughout the report.

258. The number and rate of suicide in the general population have risen since 2009 and are now at the highest level since 2003 (Table 4; Figure 68). Similarly the male numbers and rates have risen since 2008 (Figure 68). In 2013, the male: female ratio was 4.2:1.

259. Some deaths are not registered for several months or longer which means that our figures for the most recent years underestimate the true (final) figures. We therefore calculate figures that take this delay into account for 2013 (Table 4). However, improvements in registration delays may have contributed to increased rates in Wales in 2013.20

260. The rate in men aged 25-34 has fallen since 2003 (Figure 69). Rates have risen from 2007 in men aged 45-54 and 55-64. The rise in suicide in men aged 45-54 since 2007 is 74%, in men aged 55-64 it has been 75%. The fall in men aged 25-34 from 2003 to 2011 was 48%. There has been no change in the suicide rate in any age-group in women.

Suicide in the general population

Table 4: Number of suicides in the general population, by gender

† indicates the estimated final number based on delays recorded in previous years, i.e. a 2% increase in 2013.

Male

Female

Total

2003

291

82

373

2004

239

75

314

2005

247

70

317

2006

228

65

293

2007

236

60

296

2008

225

79

304

2009

227

58

285

2010

237

67

304

2011

252

67

319

2012

284

71

355

2013

281287†

6768†

348355†

Total Male Female

20030

10

5

15

20

25

Year

Suic

ide

rate

per

100

,000

po

pula

tio

n

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

19.0

21.5

23.3

18.9 19.417.8 18.2

17.2 17.3 17.9

21.3

11.713.0

14.4

12.0 12.011.1 11.1 11.3

10.511.2

13.0

4.8 4.96.1 5.5 5.2 4.8 4.4

5.74.2 4.8 5.1

Aged 25-34 Aged 45-54 Aged 55-64

20030

10

5

15

20

25

30

35

40

Year

Suic

ide

rate

per

100

,000

po

pula

tio

n

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

20.2

16.4 17.1

20.5

15.7

10.9

16.6

22.8 22.5

16.1

19.7

38.0

28.1 27.625.8

28.526.3

25.4 25.7

33.2

26.928.9

24.425.5 24.5

22.5

19.1 22.4 19.2

24.6

27.4

22.419.8

Figure 68: Rates of suicide in the general population, by gender

Figure 69: Male suicide rates in the general population in those aged 25-34, 45-54 and 55-64

Note: rates in 2012 and 2013 are estimated to take into account delays in data collection

THERE HAS BEEN AN INCREASE IN THE RATE OF MALE SUICIDE SINCE 2007, PARTICULARLY IN THOSE AGED 45-54 AND 55-64.

Wales

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261. There was some variation in suicide rates by area of residence (by Health Board) at the time of death (average rate 2011-2013). The highest rate of suicide was in Cwm Taf, at 14.1 per 100,000 population, and the lowest in Betsi Cadwaladr University, at 10.7 per 100,000 population (Figure 70).

262. The most common methods of suicide were hanging and strangulation (referred to as hanging in the remainder of this report) (1,823, 52%) and self-poisoning (overdose) (728, 21%). Less frequent methods were jumping and multiple injuries (mainly jumping from a height or being struck by a train) (238, 7%), drowning (183, 5%), carbon monoxide (CO) poisoning (132, 4%), cutting and stabbing (97, 3%), and firearms (75, 2%).

263. Deaths by hanging have increased while deaths by self-poisoning have decreased overall, despite a rise since 2008 (Figure 71). Of the less common methods, deaths by CO poisoning, drowning, and firearms decreased.

PATIENT SUICIDE

264. During 2003-2013, 806 deaths (23% of general population suicides) were identified as patient suicides, i.e. the person had been in contact with mental health services in the 12 months prior to death. This represents an average of 73 patient suicides per year.

265. There was no overall change between 2003 and 2012 in the number (Figure 72 and 73) or the rate of patient suicide (using a general population denominator; Figure 74). However, the number has risen since a low figure in 2008.

266. Similarly, the number and rate of male suicides have increased since 2008 (Figures 73 and 74). The rate of female suicide has fallen in 2003-2012.

267. Numbers and rates for individual age-groups by gender fluctuated with no overall trend. However, there has been a 27% increase in the number of male suicides in those aged 55-64 since 2011.

268. In 232 (32%) the suicide occurred within a year of mental health service contact; in 318 (44%) it was over 5 years.

Variation in suicide rates by area of residence (Health Board)

Method of suicide

Patient suicide: numbers and rates

Powys Teaching

Hywel Dda

Betsi Cadwaladr University

Abertawe Bro Morgannwg

University Cardiff and Vale University

Aneurin Bevan

Cwm Taf

Area RateBetsi Cadwaladr University 10.7Aneurin Bevan 10.9

Cardiff and Vale University 11.6Powys Teaching 12.0

Hywel Dda 13.1Abertawe Bro Morgannwg University 13.6Cwm Taf 14.1

Figure 70: Rates of suicide per 100,000 population, by Health Board of residence (average rate 2011-2013)

Note: rates have been colour coded by approximate tertile

20030

50

150

200

100

250

Year

Num

ber o

f sui

cide

s

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

22 20 272921 23 23 22 17 20 22

9183

7166 66 6150

60 60 59 61

167

131

188

144 145156

173

151

168

185

215

20 19 1325

11 19 16 11 10 14 17

Jumping/multiple injuries Self-poisoningDrowningHanging/strangulation

2003

Estimated Confirmed

0

50

40

30

20

10

60

70

90

80

100

Year

Num

ber o

f pat

ient

s

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

70 71

84

7268

89

59

71

55

66

67

87 80

88

Figure 71: Suicide in the general population: main causes of death

Figure 72: Number of patient suicides

Wales

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269. The most common methods of suicide by patients were hanging (373, 46%), self-poisoning (192, 24%) and jumping (83, 10%).

270. Hanging has increased since 2003 (Figure 75). Deaths by other methods have not changed.

271. The most common substances used in deaths by self-poisoning were opiates (43, 25%), anti-psychotics (21, 12%) and tricyclic antidepressants (20, 11%).

272. Since 2009, there have been 15 deaths, including 1 patient death, which followed inhalation of helium gas, 3 of which occurred in 2009-2010 and 12 in 2011-2013.

273. During 2003-2013, there were 373 suicides in the general populationin those aged under 25, 11% of all suicides, an average of 34 per year. 134 were aged under 20 and 64 were aged under 18.

274. 55 of those under 25 were patients, 7% of patient suicides and 15% of all suicides in this age-group. This represents an average of 5 deaths per year. 18 were aged under 20 and 13 were aged under 18.

275. There has been no overall change in the number of general population or patient suicides aged under 25 over the report period since a peak in 2003 (Figure 76).

276. We are currently carrying out a detailed study investigating suicide in this age group and will be publishing preliminary findings in 2017.

Method of suicide by patients

Suicides in people aged under 25

Male Female

20030

10

20

30

50

40

70

60

80

Year

Num

ber o

f pat

ient

s

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

54

45

59

38

49

37

48

55

49

62

55

3027

30

21 2218

22

1618

26 25

Total Male Female

20030

3

1

2

4

5

6

Year

Suic

ide

rate

per

100

,000

gen

eral

po

pula

tio

n

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

3.7

4.14.3

3.6

4.6

3.0

3.8

2.8

3.6

4.2

4.7

2.5

2.93.2

2.7

3.4

2.2

2.7

2.0

2.6 2.6

3.2

1.3

1.8

2.22.0 2.2

1.5 1.61.3

1.6

1.2

1.9

Figure 73: Number of patient suicides, by gender

Figure 74: Rates of patient suicide, by gender

MALE PATIENT SUICIDES HAVE INCREASED SINCE 2008. THERE HAS BEEN A 27% INCREASE IN THOSE AGED 55-64 SINCE 2011.

20030

10

20

40

50

30

60

Year

Num

ber o

f pat

ient

s

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

36

31

41

33

23

30

21

31

39 39

49

106

1111

6 7 6 75

7 7

18 19 1923

18 1715

1915

1316

Jumping/multiple injuriesSelf-poisoningHanging/strangulation

General population Patient

20030

10

20

30

40

50

60

Year

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

55

35

29

21

39 39

25

31

35 36

28

86 7

2

7

1

7

3 46

4

Num

ber o

f sui

cide

s

Figure 75: Patient suicide: main causes of death

Figure 76: General population and patient suicides in those aged under 25

Wales

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277. There were 130 suicides in patients with a primary diagnosis of schizophrenia (includes other delusional disorders), 16% of the total sample, an average of 12 deaths per year.

278. Following a peak in 2005, there has been no change though we estimate an increase in 2013 (Figure 77).

279. There were 62 suicides in patients with a primary diagnosis of personality disorder, 8% of the total sample, an average of 6 deaths per year. The number has fallen since a peak in 2005 (Figure 78).

280. There were 375 patients with a history of alcohol misuse, 48% of the total sample, an average of 34 deaths per year (Figure 79).

281. 274 had a history of drug misuse, 35% of the total sample, an average of 25 deaths per year (Figure 79).

282. 453 patients had a history of either alcohol or drug misuse or both, 57% of patient suicides, an average of 41 deaths per year.

283. Numbers have risen since low points in 2008, though we estimate falls in 2013.

284. Between 2011-2013, 20 (10%) patients were under drug services and 16 (8%) were under alcohol services.

285. Between 2012-2013, there were 17 (25% excluding unknowns) suicides in patients who had experienced serious financial difficulties in the 3 months before death.

286. In 2008-2012, a similar proportion of patients were unemployed (140, 41%) compared to the pre-recession years of 2003-2007 (139, 38%). 37 (5%) patients were homeless, living in bed and breakfast, or hostels, i.e. ‘unstable housing’. This proportion did not change over the report period.

287. Between 2011-2013 there were 4 (2%) patients who died by suicide after visiting a “pro-suicide” internet site, i.e. providing information on methods or encouraging suicide. As these figures are based on clinical reports, they may underestimate how often this occurs.

288. According to clinician knowledge, in 7 the suicide occurred on a significant date, representing 3% of all suicides during 2011-2013.

Patients with schizophrenia

Patients with personality disorder

Patients with alcohol and drug misuse

Socio-economic factors

Websites promoting suicide

Significant dates

20030

5

10

15

20

25

Year

Num

ber o

f pa

tien

ts

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

16

10

22

10

8

10 1011

8

10

15

20030

4

2

6

8

10

12

Year

Num

ber o

f pa

tien

ts

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

3

8

10

5

8

7

2

5

4

5 5

Figure 77: Patient suicide: number with a primary diagnosis of schizophrenia and other delusional disorders

Figure 78: Patient suicide: number with a primary diagnosis of personality disorder

Alcohol misuse Drug misuse

20030

10

5

20

15

25

35

30

45

40

50

Year

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

34

30

44

2932

23

3437 38

40

34

13

26

35

23

26

14

20

27

21

38

31

Num

ber o

f pat

ient

s

Figure 79: Patient suicide: number with a history of alcohol or drug misuse

Wales

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MENTAL HEALTH CARE

289. There were 72 in-patient deaths by suicide between 2003-2013, 9% of patient suicides, an average of 7 per year.

290. Figures have fluctuated with no overall trend, and have been low since a peak in 2010 (Figure 80).

291. There were 17 patients who died on the ward by hanging over the 11-year period. There were 13 suicides in detained in-patients, 19% of all in-patient suicides. 15 in-patients died after absconding from the ward, 21% of all in-patient suicides. The number has fallen since 2003.

292. There were 60 suicides in patients under crisis resolution/home treatment (CR/HT) teams, 8% of the total sample, an average of 5 deaths per year.

293. There has been an increase in the number of suicides under CR/HT, with a peak in 2010 (Figure 81). Since 2007 there have been more patient suicides under CR/HT than in in-patient care, reflecting a change in the nature of acute care.

294. In 26 (43%) the patient lived alone.

295. There were 153 suicides within 3 months of discharge from in-patient care, 19% of all patient suicides and 21% of suicides in community patients, an average of 14 deaths per year.

296. The number of post-discharge suicides fell after a peak in 2005 but there has been no change since 2006 (Figure 82).

297. Post-discharge suicides were most frequent in the 2 weeks after leaving hospital when 53 deaths occurred, 37% of all suicides within 3 months of hospital discharge, an average of 5 deaths per year. There were 21 patients who died in the first week after discharge.

In-patient suicide

Crisis Resolution/Home Treatment

Patients recently discharged from hospital

20030

4

2

6

8

10

12

Year

Num

ber o

f pa

tien

ts

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

10

8

10

8

4

3

7

10

3

5

4

Figure 80: Patient suicide: number of mental health in-patients

20030

4

2

6

8

10

12

14

Year

Num

ber o

f pa

tien

ts

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

1

3

4

6

5 5

8

12

2

7 7

20030

5

10

15

20

25

30

Year

Num

ber o

f pa

tien

ts

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

1819

24

11

12

7

14

9 9

16

14

Figure 81: Patient suicide: number under crisis resolution/home treatment services

Figure 82: Patient suicide: number who died within 3 months of in-patient discharge

THERE HAS BEEN AN INCREASE IN THE NUMBER OF SUICIDES UNDER CR/HT.

Wales

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298. In 2012-2013, 6 (9%) community patients had been conveyed to a hospital-based place of safety under Section 136 of the Mental Health Act within the preceding 3 months; 2 (3%) had been conveyed to a custody-based place of safety under this section.

299. In 2012-2013, 6 (9%) community patients had been referred urgently to mental health services by a GP in the 3 months prior to death.

300. In 2011-2013, clinicians indicated a number of factors related to acute care that in their view would have made the suicide less likely. These included: better crisis facilities (11, 5%); better out-of-hours care (10, 5%); more psychiatric beds (7, 3%); and less frequent use of agency/locum staff (3, 1% of all patients; 1 (9%) of in-patient suicides).

301. There were 6 suicides in patients subject to a community treatment order in 2009-2013, 2% of all patient suicides in this time period.

302. 85 (12%) patients had been non-adherent with drug treatment in the month before death, an average of 8 deaths per year.

303. 203 (28%) patients had missed their final service contact before death, an average of 18 deaths per year.

304. There was no overall change in 2003-2012 in the annual number of patient suicides following non-adherence or missed contact (Figure 83). However, figures for suicide following missed contact have risen since a low point in 2008.

HOMICIDE

305. In 2003-2013 the Inquiry was notified of 271 homicide convictions, an average of 25 per year. There were 285 victims, an average of 26 per year.

306. The annual number of homicide convictions in the general population is shown in Figure 84. More recent data are published for England and Wales by the Office for National Statistics.17

307. The number of homicide convictions has fallen since a peak in 2008.

308. The most common method of homicide is the use of a sharp instrument (93, 35% of all homicides) followed by hitting and kicking (60, 23%).

Section 136 of the Mental Health Act

Urgent referral

Clinicians’ views on prevention

Community Treatment Orders

Non-adherence and missed contact

Homicide in the general population

Non-adherent Missed contact

20030

5

10

15

20

25

Year

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

23

21

23

14

20

1415 15

17

2120

9

11

78

4

98

9

65

9

Num

ber o

f pat

ient

s

Figure 83: Patient suicide: number non-adherent with drug treatment or missed last contact

Total Male Female

20030

25

15

5

10

20

30

35

40

Year of conviction

Num

ber o

f ho

mic

ide

conv

icti

ons

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

11 1 1

16 1615 15

30

18

29 29

23

26

2220

17

20

16

33

21

30

35

27 2725

453 3

64 3

Figure 84: Number of homicide convictions in the general population, by gender of offender

Wales

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PATIENT HOMICIDE

309. During 2003-2013, 31 people convicted of homicide (11% of the total sample) were confirmed as patients, i.e. the person had been in contact with mental health services in the 12 months prior to the offence, an average of 3 per year. There were 37 victims, an average of 3 per year.

310. There were no homicides committed by in-patients. There were 3 homicides within 3 months of discharge from in-patient care, 11% of all patient homicides. 1 patient was under crisis resolution/home treatment care (CR/HT) at the time of the homicide.

311. 14 (45%) had been convicted of a previous violent offence. 11 (44%) had previously been in prison. 2 people had a history of admission to a high, medium or regional secure unit. 8 patients had previously been involuntarily detained under mental health legislation.

312. 4 (17%) patients had been non-adherent with drug treatment in the month before the homicide. 5 (18%) missed their final service contact before the homicide. In total, 8 (32%) were either non-adherent or had missed final contact with services and were therefore not in receipt of planned treatment just prior to the homicide.

313. Of the total number of homicides, 22 were by people with schizophrenia (includes other delusional disorders) 8% of the total sample, an average of 2 homicides annually.

314. Of these, 20 (95%) had symptoms of psychosis (delusions and/or hallucinations) at the time of the offence. 11 (50%) people with schizophrenia were patients.

315. 14 had a diagnosis of personality disorder, 5% of all homicide convictions. 5 (36%) were patients.

316. 25 patients had a history of alcohol misuse, 83% of the patient sample. This was an average of 2 patient homicides per year. 23 patients had a history of drug misuse, 77% of the patient sample, an average of 2 per year. There were 28 (93%) patients who had a history of either alcohol or drug misuse or both, an average of 2 homicides per year.

HOMICIDE FOLLOWED BY SUICIDE

317. Homicide followed by suicide is defined here as when the offender dies by suicide within 3 days of committing homicide. As there is no conviction for homicide in these cases, they are not included in the previous analysis.

318. We were notified of 12 offences between 2003 and 2013. There were 14 victims in total. Two incidents involved 2 victims, in both of these cases all the victims were family members.

319. Most of the offenders were male (10, 83%), with a median age of 44 (range 29-81).

320. The relationship of victim to offender (as a principal victim if there was more than one victim) was most commonly spouse/partner (current/ex) (7, 58%); parent or step parent (2, 17%); son or daughter (1, 8%); other family member (1, 8%) and acquaintance (1, 8%).

321. 2 cases of homicide-suicide involved patients under the care of mental health services prior to the offence.

Acute care

Forensic and clinical history

Non-adherence and missed contact

Homicide and schizophrenia

Homicide and personality disorder

Patients with alcohol and drug misuse

Wales

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UK-WIDE DATA ANDUK COMPARISONS

UK-WIDE DATA ANDUK COMPARISONS

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UK-WIDE DATA AND UK COMPARISONS

SUICIDE IN THE GENERAL POPULATION

322. Suicide rates for each UK country are shown in Figure 85. Scotland and Northern Ireland continue to have the highest general population suicide rates, though the rate in Scotland has fallen.

323. There has been an increase in the rate of suicide in men since relativelylow figures for 2006 in England, Northern Ireland and Wales but a fall in Scotland (Table 5). Rates have increased in all countries in males aged 45-54 (Table 5) and have also increased in males aged 55-64 in England and Wales.

PATIENT SUICIDE

324. There were 18,220 suicides by patients in the UK in 2003-2013. We were also notified of 10 patients in Jersey, of a general population total of 21 in 2012-2013. UK figures show a rise in the annual number of patient suicides since 2006 (Figure 86 and Table 6). The number of patient suicides is influenced by the number of people under mental health care which has also risen, and by changes to death coding (see page 12).

325. The number of male patient suicides in all UK countries has risen since comparatively low figures in 2006 (Table 7), particularly in England and Wales where the increase is much greater than the corresponding rise in the general population. There has been a 73% increase in suicides in male patients aged 45-54 in the UK since 2006 (Table 7), as well as rises in those aged 55-64 in England and (since 2011) Wales.

20030

5

15

20

10

25

Year

Suic

ide

rate

per

100

,000

po

pula

tio

n

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

17.618.6 18.6

17.1 16.818.1 18.1

16.3

19.1 18.917.5

14.4

15.916.8

15.315.4 15.0

17.0 16.7

14.9

16.616.0 15.9

16.516.2

10.110.6 10.5 10.0 9.4 9.4

10.19.4 9.5 9.6

10.3

13.011.112.0 12.0

11.1 11.1 11.310.5

11.2 11.713.0

WalesScotlandNorthern IrelandEngland

Figure 85: Suicide rates in the general population, by UK country

Table 5: Male suicide deaths and those aged 45-54 in the general population, by UK country

‡Average rate in 2012-2013; †percentage change between the rate in 2006 and the average rate in 2012-2013; Figures in Scotland are based on the new death coding rules

ENGLAND

16.1

10%

24.6

37%

N. IRELAND

26.6

13%

33.0

9%

SCOTLAND

26.7

-10%

37.8

20%

WALES

21.4

20%

29.7

32%

Note: unfilled markers in 2011-2013 indicate rates using the old death coding rules in Scotland

Males Suicide rate (per 100,000 population)‡

Change post-2006†

Males aged 45-54 Suicide rate (per 100,000 population)

Change post-2006†

SUICIDE IN MEN HAS RISEN IN THE UK SINCE 2006-2008. THE RISE IS MOST MARKED IN MEN AGED 45-54.

THERE HAS BEEN A RISE IN THE UK IN PATIENT SUICIDE SINCE 2006. WITH THE EXCEPTION OF NORTHERN IRELAND, THE NUMBER OF MALE PATIENT SUICIDES HAS INCREASED.

20030

1100

1300

1500

1700

1900

2100

Year

Num

ber o

f pa

tien

ts

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

16311713

1648

1453

1572 15721520

1647

17691819

1876

Figure 86: Number of patient suicides in the UK

Table 6: Patient suicide: numbers by year and UK country (2003-2013)

Note: Figures from 2009 include estimates based on late notifications. † indicates the number of suicides in Scotland using the old death coding rules

2003

1256

45

246

84

2004

1317

73

251

72

2005

1277

64

218

89

2006

1124

61

209

59

2007

1143

76

282

71

2008

1211

76

230

55

2009

1165

64

221

70

2010

1263

74

239

71

2011

1351

67

284†231

67

2012

1396

73

262†224

88

2013

1469

68

259†227

80

England

N. Ireland

Scotland

Wales

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ide Data and

UK

Com

parisons

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Table 7: Patient suicide: male suicide deaths and those aged 45-54, by UK country

‡Average number in 2012-2013; †percentage change between the number in 2006 and the average number in 2012-2013; *No calculation due to the small number of suicide deaths; Figures in Scotland are based on the new death coding rules

Males Number of suicides‡

Change post-2006†

Males aged 45-54 Number of suicides

Change post-2006†

UK-WIDE DATA ANDUK COMPARISONS

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PATIENT HOMICIDE

326. In 2003-2013 there were 830 (11%) homicides by patients in the UK, an average of 75 per year. The figure of 51 in 2013 is incomplete (and further cases, especially in England, are expected).

327. Patient homicide numbers in the UK have fallen over the report period (Figure 87 and Table 8), though there has been no continued fall after 2010.

328. The primary diagnoses for patients convicted of homicide varied by UK country (Figure 88). Many patients did not have severe mental illness and had a primary diagnosis of personality disorder or alcohol or drug dependence or misuse. The commonest diagnosis in England and Wales was schizophrenia. A primary diagnosis of alcohol dependence or misuse was more common in Northern Ireland while a primary diagnosis of drug dependence or misuse was more common in Scotland.

ENGLAND

989

33%

271

86%

N. IRELAND

47

7%

11

*

SCOTLAND

170

6%

47

*

WALES

59

55%

12

*

UK

1,239

29%

333

73%

20030

50

40

30

20

10

60

70

80

90

100

Year of conviction

Num

ber o

f pa

tien

ts

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

87 8792 90

68

87

67

58

6974

51

Figure 87: Number of patient homicides in the UK

Table 8: Patient homicide: numbers by year and UK country (2003-2013)

2003

70

4

12

1

2004

64

4

18

1

2005

72

1

14

5

2006

74

2

10

4

2007

55

2

8

3

2008

68

2

15

2

2009

43

3

17

4

2010

47

1

7

3

2011

51

1

14

3

2012

50

4

17

3

2013

36

3

10

2

England

N. Ireland

Scotland

Wales

England0

15

10

5

20

25

30

35

40

Perc

enta

ge o

f pat

ient

ho

mic

ides

Northern Ireland Scotland Wales

32

1214

11

16

19

12

22

33

7

14

9 9

18

30

35

13

16

13

6

Schizophrenia and other delusional disorders Personality disorder Affective disorder

Alcohol dependence/misuse Drug dependence/misuse

Figure 88: Number of patient homicides by primary diagnosis and UK country (2003-2013)

UK-W

ide Data and

UK

Com

parisons

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SUDDEN UNEXPLAINED DEATH (SUD) IN MENTAL HEALTH IN-PATIENTS (ENGLAND AND WALES)

329. During 2003-2013, there were 358 SUD cases in England and Wales, an average of 33 per year (Figure 89). There was an overall fall in the reported annual number of SUDs over the study period. However, due to a change in data provider, recent numbers are not comparable with previous data. There has been no change since 2007, the average number being 24 per year.

330. 163 (49%) had a history of cardiovascular disease; 89 (27%) had a history of respiratory disease; 43 (13%) had a history of cerebrovascular disease, and 27 (8%) had a history of epilepsy. 219 (66%) had a history of any physical illness.

331. 26 (8%) were receiving 2 or more anti-psychotic drugs (i.e. polypharmacy).

332. There were 44 (12%) SUD cases in patients from black and minority ethnic (BME) groups over the report period. The number of these deaths varied from 1-8 per year and showed no trend over time.

333. There were 5 deaths within 1 hour of restraint in 2003-2013. We do not know whether restraint caused these deaths.

334. There were 22 deaths within 24 hours of restraint in 2003-2013, ranging from 0-4 per year. The number of post-restraint deaths is too small to identify a trend. There were 7 deaths within 24 hours of restraint in BME patients, one of which was within 1 hour.

335. There were 96 (26%) patients under 45 years, an average of 9 per year. The annual number of these cases did not change over the report period.

336. 20 (24%) had a history of cardiovascular disease; 17 (20%) had a history of respiratory disease and 11 (13%) had a history of epilepsy. 48 (56%) had no history of these physical illnesses.

337. 14 (16%) patients were receiving 2 or more anti-psychotic drugs (i.e. polypharmacy).

338. Patients aged under 45 were more likely to be from a BME group (26 cases, 27% v. 17 cases, 6%).

Restraint

Patients aged under 45

2003 20040

10

20

30

40

50

60

Year

Num

ber o

f SU

Ds

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Total Male Female

48 48

42

51

31

7

23 23

34

26

19

25

30 31

27

1713

18 1719

1513

23

18

11

24

14

6 5

15

6

11

6

Figure 89: Number of sudden unexplained deaths, by gender

Note: between 2006 and 2007 data providers changed from the NHS-Wide Clearing Service (NWCS) to Hospital Episode Statistics (HES), therefore the numbers before and after 2006 are not strictly comparable.

AROUND 9 SUDDEN UNEXPLAINED DEATHS OCCUR EACH YEAR IN ENGLAND & WALESIN PATIENTS AGED UNDER 45

UK-W

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parisons

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SUICIDE BY SELF-POISONING USING OPIATES

339. 1,215 deaths by opiate self-poisoning occurred in the UK during 2003-2013, an increase during the report period (Figure 90). There have been proportionately higher numbers in Scotland and Northern Ireland in recent years (Table 9).

340. We have collected data on the type of opiates used in self-poisoning deaths since 2012. The most common types identified were heroin/morphine (58, 38%), methadone (33, 21%) and tramadol (31, 20%). Methadone was more common in opiate overdose in Scotland than other UK countries (39% v. 15%). This is likely to reflect the increased availability of methadone and other opiate substitution therapies in Scotland.

341. In 194 (36% excluding unknowns) the opiates had been prescribed for the patient, in 42 (8%) they had been prescribed for someone else, and in 305 (56%) they had not been prescribed.

342. Those who died by self-poisoning using opiates obtained by prescription were older (median age 45 v. 36). They were also more likely to be female (103, 54% v. 102, 29%), have a major physical illness (103, 59% v. 64, 21%) and a primary diagnosis of affective disorder (63, 33% v. 68, 20%).

SUICIDE IN PEOPLE WITH A PHYSICAL ILLNESS

343. There were 3,410 suicides in 2005-2013 by patients with a major physical illness, as recorded by clinicians (2005 was the first year we collected data on physical illness). This represents 24% of the total sample during this period, an average of 379 deaths per year.

344. Overall in the UK the annual number of these deaths has been rising (Figure 91 and Table 10), though this is mainly because of a rise in England.

345. In 2,876 (88%) cases, the illness was chronic, i.e. had lasted over 12 months. The most common categories of physical illness were neurological (629, 20%), endocrine (546, 17%) and rheumatological/orthopaedic (524, 16%). 789 (44%) of those aged 65 and over had a major physical illness. In 664 (87%) cases, the illness was chronic.

346. We are supporting a study by NCEPOD on the mental health care of physically ill patients (see www.ncepod.org).

Note: unfilled markers in 2011-2013 indicate the number of suicides using the old death coding rules in Scotland.

20030

100

80

60

40

20

120

140

160

180

200

Year

Num

ber o

f pa

tien

ts

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

8293 91 87

99 9588

103133

177

134

119

159

141

Figure 90: Patient suicide: number by self-poisoning of opiates

Table 9: Patient suicide: number by self-poisoning of opiates by year and UK country

† indicates the number of suicides in Scotland using the old death coding rules

2003

55

1

23

3

2004

66

3

20

4

2005

54

6

26

5

2006

61

3

18

5

2007

68

2

27

2

2008

59

5

28

3

2009

55

7

20

6

2010

69

4

27

3

2011

97

8

70†26

2

2012

96

9

49†24

5

2013

87

10

38†16

6

England

N. Ireland

Scotland

Wales

0

250

200

150

100

50

300

350

400

450

500

Year

Num

ber o

f pa

tien

ts

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

382349

333 327355

384409

426445

Figure 91: Patient suicide: number with a physical illness at the time of death

Table 10: Patient suicide: number with a physical illness by year and UK country

2005

294

17

45

26

2006

266

10

53

20

2007

235

14

63

21

2008

262

20

30

15

2009

292

13

36

14

2010

284

20

30

20

2011

322

18

56

13

2012

345

18

48

15

2013

353

13

63

16

England

N. Ireland

Scotland

Wales

AROUND A QUARTER OF PATIENTS WHO DIE BY SUICIDE HAVE A MAJOR PHYSICAL ILLNESS.

OPIATES ARE THE MOST COMMON DRUG TAKEN IN FATAL OVERDOSE BY MENTAL HEALTH PATIENTS. THERE WERE 141 DEATHS USING OPIATES IN THE UK IN 2013.

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ide Data and

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parisons

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WORKING WITH FAMILIES

347. Closer contact with the patient’s family was viewed by the mental health team as a factor that would have reduced the likelihood of suicide in 2,338 cases, 14% of all suicides, an average of 213 per year (Table 11). This number increased over the report period to 244 in 2011-2013.

348. The reason for the last contact was an urgent request by the patient or family in 1,001, 6% of all patient suicides (Table 11).

349. In 866 patients who missed their last appointment with services, the patient’s family was contacted. This represents 22% of all patient suicides, an average of 79 per year (Table 11).

350. Following the patient’s death, members of the mental health team made contact with relatives in 10,743 (66%). This number has increased over the report period, from 2,832 (63%) in 2003-2005 to 3,321 (68%) in 2011-2013. The contact was most often a face-to-face discussion (59%) or a telephone call (27%).

351. In patient homicides, 122 (18%) members of the mental health team considered the homicide would have been less likely if there had been closer contact with the patient’s family.

HOMICIDE BY STRANGERS

352. There were 1,563 convictions for homicide in the UK in which the victim and perpetrator did not know each other (stranger homicides), 25% of cases where the relationship was known, an average of 142 per year. The figure for 2013 was 109.

353. 7% of those convicted were mental health patients, 11 per year (Table 12). This is lower than the percentage of homicides overall that are committed by mental health patients (11%).

354. The number of stranger homicides by patients has fallen over the report period, especially after a peak in 2006 (Figure 92).

355. Most (88%) of these patients had a history of alcohol or drug misuse.

Table 11: Patient suicide: family contact by UK country

Contacted family after missed appointment

Contact would have reduced risk

Urgent request by patient/family

Contact for review

UK ENGLAND N. IRELAND SCOTLAND WALES

866

2,338

1,001

10,743

(22%)

(14%)

(6%)

(66%)

708

1,979

822

8,563

(24%)

(16%)

(6%)

(69%)

22

62

28

429

(11%)

(9%)

(4%)

(67%)

94

197

112

1,325

(14%)

(8%)

(4%)

(53%)

42

100

39

426

(22%)

(13%)

(5%)

(58%)

N % N % N % N % N %

Table 12: Stranger homicide by UK country (2003-2013)

Stranger homicide: general population

Stranger homicide as a % of all homicides*

Number of stranger homicide patient offenders

Patient stranger homicide as a % of all stranger homicides*

Patient stranger homicide with a history of alcohol and/or drug misuse*

UK ENGLAND N. IRELAND SCOTLAND WALES

1,563

25%

117

7%

103

1,264

26%

91

7%

79

74

35%

3

4%

3

178

20%

19

11%

18

47

20%

4

9%

3

Number = 7,265

Number = 5,835

Number = 217

Number = 942

Number = 271

SERVICE CONTACT WITH FAMILIES COULD PLAY A GREATER PART IN SUICIDE PREVENTION. STAFF TOLD US THAT CLOSER CONTACT BETWEEN THE STAFF AND THE PATIENT’S FAMILY WOULD HAVE REDUCED SUICIDE RISK IN 14% OF CASES.

20030

10

5

15

20

25

Year of conviction

Num

ber o

f pa

tien

ts

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

14

11

17

21

78

12

56

9

7

Figure 92: Number of stranger homicides by patients in the UK, by year of conviction

* The denominator includes only cases where the relationship between the victim and offender was known (i.e. this is a “valid” percent).

THE NUMBER OF STRANGER HOMICIDES BY PATIENTS HAS FALLEN OVER THE REPORT PERIOD

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RECENT PUBLICATIONSFROM THE INQUIRY

REFERENCES

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RECENT PUBLICATIONS FROM THE INQUIRY

A full list of Inquiry reports and publications can be found on the Inquiry website: www.bbmh.manchester.ac.uk/cmhs/research/centreforsuicideprevention/ nci - Publications

Flynn S, Gask L, Shaw J (2015) Newspaper reporting of homicide-suicide and mental illness. BJPsych Bulletin, doi:10.1192/pb.bp.114.049676

Saini P, Chantler K, Kapur N (2015) General practitioners’ perspectives on primary care consultations for suicidal patients. Health & Social Care in the Community, DOI: 10.1111/hsc.12198.

Oude Voshaar RC, van der Veen DC, Kapur N, Hunt IM, Williams A, Pachana NA (2015) Suicide in patients suffering from late-life anxiety disorders; a comparison with younger patients. International Psychogeriatrics, DOI: 10.1017/S1041610215000125.

National Confidential Inquiry into Suicide and Homicide by People with Mental Illness (NCISH). Manchester: University of Manchester (2015) In-patient suicide under observation. http://www.bbmh.manchester.ac.uk/cmhs/research/centreforsuicideprevention/nci/reports/ipobsreport.pdf

National Confidential Inquiry into Suicide and Homicide by People with Mental Illness (NCISH). Manchester: University of Manchester (2015) Healthy services and safer patients: links between patient suicide and features of mental health care providers. http://www.bbmh.manchester.ac.uk/cmhs/research/centreforsuicideprevention/nci/reports/serv_features.pdf

National Confidential Inquiry into Suicide and Homicide by People with MentalIllness (NCISH). Manchester: University of Manchester (2014). Suicide in primary care in England: 2002-2011.http://www.bbmh.manchester.ac.uk/cmhs/research/centreforsuicideprevention/nci/reports/SuicideinPrimaryCare2014.pdf

Rahman M & Kapur N (2014) Quality of risk assessment prior to suicide and homicide. Psychiatric Bulletin, 38, 46-7. DOI: 10.1192/pb.38.1.46b.

Saini P, While S, Chantler K, Windfuhr K, Kapur N (2014) Assessment and management of suicide risk in primary care. Crisis, 35, 415-25. DOI: 10.1027/0227-5910/a000277.

Appleby L (2014). What will the Francis Inquiry mean for mental health research? Lancet Psychiatry, DOI: 10.1016/S2215-0366(14)70242-1

Hunt IM, Rahman MS, While D, Windfuhr K, Shaw J, Appleby L, Kapur N (2014) Safety in crisis resolution home treatment services in England: an investigation of suicide trends 2003-2011. Lancet Psychiatry, DOI: 10.1016/S2215-0366(14)70250-0

Rodway C, Flynn S, While D, Rahman MS, Kapur N, Appleby L, Shaw J (2014) Mental health patients as victims of homicide: a national clinical survey. Lancet Psychiatry, DOI: 10.1016/S2215-0366(14)70221-4

Flynn S, Rodway R, Appleby L and Shaw J (2014) Serious Violence by People with Mental Illness: National Clinical Survey. Journal of Interpersonal Violence, 29(8):1438-1458.

REFERENCES

1 Office for National Statistics (2011) Statistical bulletin: Suicides in the United Kingdom, 2011. http://www.ons.gov.uk/ons/rel/subnational-health4/suicides-in-the-united-kingdom/2011/stb-suicide-bulletin.html#tab-Coding-changes

2 Appleby L, Kapur N, Shaw J et al (2009). National Confidential Inquiry into Suicide and Homicide by People with Mental Illness. Annual Report: England and Wales. www.bbmh.manchester.ac.uk/cmhs/research/centreforsuicideprevention/nci/reports/

3 Appleby L, Kapur N, Shaw J et al (2010). National Confidential Inquiry into Suicide and Homicide by People with Mental Illness. Annual Report: England and Wales. www.bbmh.manchester.ac.uk/cmhs/research/centreforsuicideprevention/nci/reports/

4 Appleby L, Kapur N, Shaw J et al (2006). Avoidable Deaths: Five year report of the National Confidential Inquiry into Suicide and Homicide by People with Mental Illness. www.bbmh.manchester.ac.uk/cmhs/research/centreforsuicideprevention/nci/reports/

5 Appleby L, Kapur N, Shaw J et al (2011). Suicide and Homicide in Northern Ireland, June 2011. www.bbmh.manchester.ac.uk/cmhs/research/centreforsuicideprevention/nci/reports/

6 Appleby L, Kapur N, Shaw J et al (2008). Lessons for Mental Health Care in Scotland. www.bbmh.manchester.ac.uk/cmhs/research/centreforsuicideprevention/nci/reports/

7 Statacorp Statistical Software: Release 13.0. College Stations, TX: Stata Corporation, 2009.

8 Department of Health (2012). Preventing suicide in England: a cross-government outcome strategy to save lives. https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/216928/Preventing-Suicide-in-England-A-cross-government-outcomes-strategy-to-save-lives.pdf

9 Scottish Public Health Observatory: Health, well-being and disease. http://www.scotpho.org.uk/health-wellbeing-and-disease/suicide/key-points

10 Northern Ireland Statistics and Research Agency. http://www.nisra.gov.uk

11 Biddle L, Donovan J, Owen-Smith A, Potokar J, Longson D, Hawton K, Kapur N, Gunnell D (2010) Factors influencing the decision to use hanging as a method of suicide: qualitative study. British Journal of Psychiatry, 197: 320-325.

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REFERENCES

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12 Amos T, Appleby L, Kiernan K (2001). Changes in rates of suicide by car exhaust asphyxiation in England and Wales. Psychological Medicine, 31: 935-939.

13 Mental Health and Learning Disabilities Data Set. http://www.hscic.gov.uk

14 Health and Social Care Information Centre (2012). Mental Health Bulletin: Annual report from MHMDS returns – England 2011-12, initial national figures. February, 2012.

15 Kapur N, Hunt IM, Webb R, Bickley H, Windfuhr K, Shaw J, Appleby L (2006). Suicide in psychiatric in-patients in England, 1997-2003. Psychological Medicine, 36:1485-1492.

16 Kapur N, Hunt IM, Windfuhr K, Rodway C, Webb R, Rahman MS, Shaw J, Appleby L (2012). Psychiatric in-patient care and suicide in England, 1997 to 2008: a longitudinal study. Psychological Medicine, 43: 61-71.

17 Office for National Statistics. Statistical Bulletin: Focus on: Violent Crime and Sexual Offences, 2013/2014. http://www.ons.gov.uk/ons/rel/crime-stats/crime-statistics/focus-on-violent-and-sexual-offences--2013-14/rpt-about-this-release.html

18 Police Service of Northern Ireland. Trends in police recorded crime in Northern Ireland, 1998/99 to 2012/13. www.psni.police.uk/police_recorded_crime_in_northern_ireland_1998-99_to_2012-13.pdf

19 The Scottish Government. Statistical Release Crime and Justice Series: Homicide in Scotland, 2013-14. http://www.gov.scot/Publications/2014/12/6792

20 Office for National Statistics (2013) Statistical bulletin: Suicides in the United Kingdom, 2013 registrations. http://www.ons.gov.uk/ons/dcp171778_395145.pdf

MEMBERSHIP OF THE INQUIRY INDEPENDENT ADvISOry GrOUP (IAG)

Ben Thomas (Chair), Director of Mental Health and Learning Disability Nursing, Department of Health, England

Richard Bunn Consultant Forensic Psychiatrist, Belfast Trust, Shannon Clinic, Northern Ireland

Jeremy Butler (Lay representative), former non-executive Director at the National Patient Safety Agency and the Berkshire Healthcare NHS Trust, retired pilot and General Manager for British Airways, advisor to Boeing on aircraft accidents

Jonathan Campion Visiting Professor of Population Mental Health, University College London; Director of Population Mental Health, UCL Partners; Director for Public Mental Health and Consultant Psychiatrist, South London and Maudsley NHS Foundation Trust

Carolyn Chew-Graham Professor of General Practice Research and General Practitioner, Keele University

Mick Dennis Professor of Psychiatry for Older People & Honorary Consultant Psychiatrist, Swansea University and Abertawe Bro Morgannwg University Health Board, Swansea (now stepped down)

Caroline Dollery Clinical Director, East of England Strategic Clinical Network for Mental Health Neurology and Learning Disability

Vanessa Gordon Head of Mental Health, Patient Safety, NHS England

Michael Holland Consultant Psychiatrist and Associate Medical Director for Revalidation and Quality at South London and Maudsley NHS Foundation Trust

Ann John Clinical Associate Professor, College of Medicine, Swansea University, and honorary consultant in Public Health Medicine, Public Health Wales

Sarah Markham (Lay representative), Visiting Researcher and Service User, Mental Health Clinical Outcome Review Programme, England

Ian McMaster Medical Advisor, Department of Social Services and Public Safety (DHSSPS), Northern Ireland

John Mitchell Principal Medical Officer for Mental Health, Mental Health and Protection of Rights Division, Scottish Government

Jenny Mooney Director of Operations, National Clinical Audit and Patient Outcome Programmes, HQIP

John Morgan Consultant General Adult Psychiatrist, Leeds and York Partnership Foundation Trust

Sian Rees Interim Director, University of Oxford Health Experiences Institute, Department of Primary Care Health Sciences

Tina Strack Associate Director, Clinical Outcome Review Programme, HQIP

Geraldine Strathdee National Clinical Director for Mental Health, NHS England, Consultant Psychiatrist

Sarah Watkins Senior Medical Officer, Department for Health and Social Services and Children (DHSSC) and Department of Public Health and Health Professions (DPHHP), Welsh Government

Recent Publications from

the Inquiry and R

eferences

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CONTACT US:National Confidential Inquiry into Suicide and Homicide by People with Mental Illness, Centre for Mental Health and Safety, Jean McFarlane Building, University of Manchester, Oxford Road, Manchester, M13 9PL

E-mail:[email protected] Visit us on our website: www.bbmh.manchester.ac.uk/cmhs

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