Namibia International Oil & Gas Conference 2019 · The information contained in this presentation...
Transcript of Namibia International Oil & Gas Conference 2019 · The information contained in this presentation...
Namibia International Oil & Gas Conference 2019Uaapi Utjavari
Legal Disclaimer
2
The information contained in this presentation (hereinafter, this “Presentation”) has been prepared by Azimuth Limited and its affiliated group companies
(hereinafter, together, the “Company”). This Presentation does not constitute or form part of, and should not be construed as, an offer or invitation to sell or issue
or any solicitation of an offer to purchase or subscribe for any securities in the Company in any jurisdiction. The Presentation, its contents, references and its
distribution, should in no way form the basis of, or be relied upon in any connection with, or act as an inducement in relation to, a decision to purchase, subscribe for
or enter into any contract or make any other commitment whatsoever in relation to any such securities. In particular, details included in this Presentation are subject
to updating, revision, further verification and amendment and refer to events as having occurred which may not have occurred at the date of this Presentation, but
which are expected to happen in the future.
Reliance on this Presentation for the purposes of engaging in any investment activity may expose an individual to a significant risk of losing all the property or assets
invested. The contents of this Presentation are confidential and may not be copied, published or reproduced in whole or in part, or disclosed or distributed by
recipients to any other person. No reliance may be placed for any purpose whatsoever on the information or opinions contained in the Presentation or on its
completeness, accuracy or fairness. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made or given by or on behalf of the Company or any of its directors,
officers, employees, agents or advisers as to the accuracy, completeness or fairness of the information or opinions contained in the Presentation and no
responsibility or liability is accepted by any of them for any such information or opinions. In particular, no representation or warranty is given as to the achievement
or reasonableness of, and no reliance should be placed on, any projections, targets, estimates or forecasts and nothing in this Presentation is or should be relied
upon as a promise or representation as to the future. The information contained in this Presentation is not for publication, distribution or redistribution.
This Presentation includes forward-looking statements. The words “believe”, “anticipate”, “expect”, “intend”, “aim”, “plan”, “predict”, “continue”, “assume”,
“positioned”, “may”, “will”, “should”, “shall”, “risk” and any other similar expressions that are predictions of, or indicate, future events and future trends identify
forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements include all matters that are not historical facts. Attendees of this Presentation should not place
undue reliance on forward-looking statements because they involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that are in many cases beyond the
Company’s control. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that
may or may not occur in the future. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and the Company’s actual results of operations, financial
condition and liquidity, and the development of the industry in which it operates may differ materially from that made in or suggested by the forward-looking
statements contained in this Presentation. The cautionary statements set forth in this disclaimer should be considered in connection with any subsequent written or
oral forward-looking statements that the Company, or persons acting on its behalf, may issue. These forward-looking statements are made as of the date of this
Presentation and are not intended to give any assurances as to future results. The Company undertakes no obligation to update the forward-looking statements
contained in this Presentation.
Introduction to Azinam, a PE backed E&P company
3
Uniquely positioned in Namibia & South Africa – the new industry hot spot
Focused niche explorer
Large offshore acreage position across Namibia and
South Africa
Portfolio with Basin and Petroleum system diversity
Additional value creation for Azinam yielded from third
party activity and success, and opening of new multi-
billion barrel basins
Azinam’s strategy is to participate in a drilling
programme over the next three years, benefitting from
cyclical lows in drilling cost
Launched by Seacrest & PGS in 2012 with seismic data advantage
4
2012 2013 2014-17 2018
1. Anchor position – “seismic for equity”
• Basin screening
with PGS and
other data sources
• Azinam footprint
established
• Early identification
of key high impact
play types and
prospects
• Azinam increased
equity in licenses
• Managed license
timelines and
invested in seismic
• Increasing pace of
farm-in activity
following industry
recognition
• Third party wells and
new seismic
• Azinam entry into South
Africa
• CPR completed
• First well drilled in
October
• Subsequent 8 well
program planned
3. Cementing Namibia acreage dominance position
2. Position strengthened ahead of drilling 4. South Africa entry and Azinam drilling
• 2013 HRT wells
recovered oil and
proved working
source rock
• Tullow and Galp
led independents’
investments in area
Hydrocarbons
proven – Majors
start moving in
HRT Drills Wingat and
Murombe wells
Sample of light
(41° API) oil from
the Wingat-1
exploration well
1 3
2 4
Cormorant
Prospect S
Target 5 and
Target 6 being
negotiated
Industry has already confirmed significant potential in Namibia & South Africa
5
1) Key elements of working petroleum
systems proven and in place
• Extensive broadband 3D seismic data
• High quality oil source proven in Basins
• Structural/Stratigraphic play types
2) Attractive operating environment
• Stable investment environment
• Low government take in Namibia and
South Africa (50% and 30%,
respectively)
• Low operating costs in the Offshore
areas
3) Cyclical drivers
• High cash flow
• Low drilling costs
Key attractions Low government take
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
South Africa
Guinea Bissau
Morocco
Namibia
Mauritania
Côte d'Ivoire
Senegal
Kenya
Equatorial Guinea
Cameroon
Benin
Congo
Angola
DRC
Gabon
Tanzania
Government take1
6
Namibia Exploration History
Largely unexplored region with only 17 exploration wells drilled over 48 years
10 year hiatus for
international O&G
1974First well drilled
(Kudu 9A-1)
encountered
gas
1994/954 wells drilled
in the Walvis
basin
19982 wells drilled
in the Luderitz
basin
1) Source: Macrotrends with data from EIA, NAMCOR; 2) Graph displayed using logarithmic scale and historical prices inflation adjusted
20081 well drilled
in the Namibe
Basin
2012-146 wells drilled.
Wingat-1 recovered 41
API Oil
20182 wells drilled
as activity
picks up
Phase 1:
1968-1976UN Sanctions
Phase 2:
1990-1997
Oil price
drop
Phase 3:
2011-2014
Phase 4:
2018+
$20
$40
$60
$80
$100
$120
$140
$160
1970 1980 1990 2000 2010
Oil price
drop
Prices dropped ~58% from
start of 1997 to end of 1998
89m
97m
91m
110m
28m
17m
$0
$20
$40
$60
$80
$100
$120
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
USDm
Opportunity generated by current drilling costs vs. potential discoveries
7
Exploiting the weak rig market to access portfolio of high value opportunities
1) Source: NAMCOR and Azinam
> 70% fall in well
costs since 2014
Drilling cost of cycle lows1 Significant resources & robust CoS
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%
Gro
ss U
nrisked R
esourc
es (
mm
boe)
COS
Osprey Channel 2 Prospect W Wolf Marula Target 5 Target 6 Fan 7
Namibia Walvis Basin: Multiple Distinct Play Types
8
Albian Deep-water Fan play
SR: Proven Aptian ‘Kudu’ Shale
Cenomanian-Turonian Deep-
water Channel play
SR: Proven Aptian ‘Kudu’ Shale
Barremian-Aptian syn-rift
carbonate play
SR: conceptual syn-rift lacustrine
3 Key Play Types:
Prospect SCormorant
Namibia PEL 30: Osprey Overview
9
Large Basin Floor fan clearly imaged on excellent quality 3D seismic data
Regional and seismic evidence for reservoir development in the Albian
• Fan shape bodies
• Channel forms – feeder & distributary channels
• Ondongo Sand at this level in Murombe-1 well in similar basinal position relative
to Wingat carbonate shelf
Namibia PEL 44: Channel 2 Overview
10
Analogue to Lisa discovery – unlocking huge potential
• Clearly defined channel sand complex correlated with proven equivalent
sands in the Murombe-1 well to the north and overlying proven mature
source rock
South Africa Block 3B/4B: Wolf Overview
11
Total license potential of 14.3bnboe1 gross unrisked resources
Two key targets:
• Wolf four way dip closed carbonate prospect surrounded by mature
Aptian source
• Marula four way dip closed clastic play supported by AVO
Wolf prospect
All petroleum systems fundamentals in place offshore NAM & RSA
12
All the elements of a proven petroleum province have been encountered; no change post wells
Source:
• Three exploration wells have proven two sources (Aptian and
CT) & one highly likely additional synrift source
Reservoir:
• Proven in Murombe-1 well and two most recent wells
(Cormorant and Prospect S). Visible with confidence on modern
3D Broadband seismic
Seal:
• All pervasive thick shales are present along the margin
providing excellent seal potential
Charge:
• 3D seismic reveals multiple faults providing feasible conduit
from source to prospect
Plays:
• Great variety of structural and stratigraphic plays along the
entire margin
Cormorant
Wingat-1Murombe-1
Norsk Hydro(1995) Norsk Hydro(1994)
Prospect S
AJ-1 Discovery
Summary
13
Walvis & Orange Basins lies within a zone which contains proven mature lacustrine and
marine oil prone source rock systems
Prospectivity of the area has improved as more 3D seismic and well data has become
available
Proven Aptian – Albian and Cenomanian – Turonian deep water clastic systems are currently
the key plays in both basins focusing on stratigraphic and structural traps
1
2
3
In addition to the attractive geology, both basins are located within a country which has a
highly attractive fiscal regime combined with a very pragmatic and supportive regulatory
regime.
4