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    Social Thought &Commentary: The Harder Path: Shifting GearsAuthor(s): Laura NaderSource: Anthropological Quarterly, Vol. 77, No. 4 (Autumn, 2004), pp. 771-791Published by: The George Washington University Institute for Ethnographic ResearchStable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/4150857 .

    Accessed: 07/11/2014 05:49

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  • 8/16/2019 NADER_The Harder Path-Shifting Gears

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    SOCIAL

    HOUGHT

    COMMENTARY

    h e

    a r d e r

    Path Shifting

    e a r s

    LauraNader

    Universityf California, erkeley

    Introduction

    This

    essay

    deals

    withold

    science

    practices

    nd the

    development

    f innovative

    practices

    hat are a

    mixture

    f

    theory,

    research,

    nd

    practicality.

    mericans

    have an

    extraordinary

    ecord

    n

    starting

    up

    projects,

    but

    they

    have trouble

    shiftinggears.

    Some

    say

    we havecreateda worldwhere

    everything

    hanges,

    but

    nothing

    moves. Professional

    mind-sets, rises,

    ncremental

    hange,

    and

    leapfrogging

    re

    part

    of the

    story.

    So too is culture-science

    culture,

    political

    cultureand the

    production

    f

    knowledge.

    In

    a

    book

    about

    he

    biological

    onstraintsn the human

    pirit, nthropolo-

    gist

    MelKonner

    1982:xii)

    opened

    withthe

    following

    bservation:

    The

    prob-

    lem is not thatwe knowmore

    about ess

    and

    ess.

    The

    problem

    s

    that

    we

    know

    more

    and more

    about

    more

    and

    more,

    and

    although

    we

    will

    neverknow

    very-

    thing

    about

    everything

    he time will come

    when

    we know o

    much

    aboutso

    manyhings

    hatno one

    person

    an

    hope

    o

    grasp

    ll

    the

    essential

    acts...need-

    ed to makea

    single

    wise decision.

    Knowledge

    ecomes ollective

    n the

    weak-

    *An

    earlierversion of

    this

    paper

    was

    presented

    as the 6th Annual

    Lecture

    n

    Energy

    nd

    the

    Environment,

    University

    f

    California,

    Berkeley,

    n

    1998.

    771

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  • 8/16/2019 NADER_The Harder Path-Shifting Gears

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    The

    Harder

    ath-Shifting

    Gears

    est senseandsciencebecomes ikemenandwomen

    n

    a

    crowd,

    ooking

    orone

    another,

    ach

    holding

    single

    piece

    of

    a

    veryexpensive

    adio."

    A. L.

    Kroeber

    aid much he sameabout

    ust plain

    people

    n

    1948

    (p.291):

    "As

    he total

    culture

    s

    thereby

    ariedand

    enriched,

    t

    also becomesmore

    dif-

    ficult

    or each member f the

    societyreally

    o

    participate

    n most

    of its

    activ-

    ities. He

    begins

    o be an

    onlookerat most

    of

    it,

    then a

    by-stander,

    nd

    may

    end

    up

    with indifferenceo the welfareof his

    society

    and

    the

    values

    of his

    culture.He alls

    back

    upon

    he immediate

    roblems

    f his livelihood nd he

    narrowingange

    of

    enjoyments

    till

    open

    to

    him,

    because

    he

    senses hat his

    society

    and

    his

    culturehavebecome ndifferento

    him."

    SuchKroeberianbservationstem froman anthropologicalrameof ref-

    erence hat reaches

    deep

    into the human

    past

    in

    order o

    comprehend

    he

    moment

    n

    which

    we

    live.

    A

    long

    time

    perspective

    ncludes

    recognition

    f

    cumulative

    knowledge,knowledges

    athered

    n

    real

    life

    conditions

    Nader

    1996).

    As

    others

    have

    noted,

    he inventors f

    myth

    also

    invented

    fire,

    and

    the

    meansof

    keeping

    t.

    They

    domesticated

    nimals,

    bred

    new

    types

    of

    plants,

    kept

    varieties

    eparate

    o an extentthat exceeds

    what is

    possible

    n

    today's

    scientific

    griculture.

    hey

    nventedrotation f

    fields and

    developed

    an

    art

    now soughtafteron thewesternmarket.They rossed ceans nvesselsmore

    seaworthy

    han

    modern

    vessels

    of

    comparable

    ize,

    and demonstrated

    sophisticated

    knowledge

    f

    navigation.

    Native

    Americansmaintained

    con-

    tinuity

    of

    occupation

    n

    Californiand

    Nevada or

    over8000

    years,

    andas

    my

    colleague

    Robert

    Heizer

    reminded

    me,

    no

    complex

    civilization an make

    such

    a

    boast,

    not

    yet

    anyways.

    Anthropologists

    ave

    earned

    hat

    civilizationsre

    fragile.

    We

    haveachieved

    an

    individualife

    expectancy,

    utsocial

    ife

    expectancy-that

    s a

    moreelusive

    accomplishment.

    nthropologists

    nderstandhatcivilizationsiseand

    collapse

    which

    ndicates

    f

    course hat sciences oo wax and

    wane.

    The

    evolutionists

    know

    that in

    the

    history

    f humanexistencewe are but a

    tinyspeck

    n

    time.

    However,

    e also

    live in an

    era

    in

    which he

    technological

    apacity

    o

    obliter-

    ate the whole chain

    of

    humanevolution

    by

    catastrophe

    r

    by

    cumulative

    action s a

    possibility.

    et,

    f

    we lookaround

    s,

    there

    eems

    o be little

    urgency.

    When

    long

    ime

    perspective

    s

    absent,

    humility

    s often n short

    upply.

    The

    capacity

    of the

    human

    species

    to

    change

    the entire

    globe

    in

    irre-

    versible

    ways

    was

    limited

    until

    recently,

    nd

    decisions

    mpacting

    n

    group

    survivalmust have been shared for most of our existence. Weevolved and

    survived as hunters

    and

    gatherers

    for

    some 1.5

    million

    years;

    there's not

    much

    hierarchyamong

    hunters and

    gatherers.

    Those

    who

    think

    about this

    772

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    LAURA ADER

    long

    past

    wonder,

    will

    civilizational

    ociety

    be able to

    survive or 1.5 million

    years?

    Throughout

    most of humanexistencewhen

    people

    made disastrous

    environmental

    ecisions he scaleof destructionwas

    relatively

    mall,

    even

    if

    at times

    overwhelming

    or

    individual

    groups.

    The future will

    not be an

    extrapolation

    f the

    past

    because herehas been

    a

    qualitative

    ransformation

    of the humanworld.

    Human

    echnology

    has movedat

    breakneck

    peed,

    and

    in modern ultures

    people

    do not

    have

    the

    necessary

    ultural

    knowledge

    o

    routinelyparticipate

    n

    choosing technologies hough

    they may

    want to.

    It

    follows hat as a

    species

    we are

    unprepared

    o deal

    with

    events unrelated o

    first-hand

    xperience.

    nsteadwe

    depend

    on

    experts.

    Thecultural imensionnthe fieldof anthropologyomplementsrecogni-

    tion of the

    global,

    he unrestrictedime

    perspective

    nd

    movesus to exam-

    ine unexamined

    ssumptions

    f the

    modern

    period.

    Along

    with

    othercritical

    thinkers,

    we

    subject

    o

    inquiry

    he dominant

    hinking-that

    large

    scale

    sys-

    tem-centered

    omplex

    echnologies

    are more

    likely

    o

    spread

    he

    good

    life

    than small scale

    man-centered

    impler

    echnologies.

    Rooted

    n

    the belief

    that

    more

    s

    always

    better ies a

    system,

    an

    ideology,

    n

    expertise,

    hubris,

    perhaps,

    hat needs

    to be

    subjected

    o critical

    nalysis,

    ne that

    needs

    to be

    recognizedsa controllingprocesshat normalizesuchbeliefs, eadingus to

    accept

    hem

    as

    natural.

    This

    paper

    reflectson old concernsabout dilemmas

    nherent

    n

    expert

    knowledge

    and

    compartmentalization-dilemmas

    hat

    are

    in

    the

    case

    of

    energy

    associatedwith

    stagnation

    n

    high

    places,

    unscientific ttitudes

    n

    sci-

    entific

    places,

    insecuritieshat

    produce

    new and

    powerful

    Luddites

    ho stick

    to old

    technologies

    or fear of

    displacement,

    ith the

    production

    f indiffer-

    ence

    in

    scientific

    aboratories,

    nd towardsworkon new

    technologies

    Braun

    1995).

    My

    research eals with old science

    practice

    ndthe

    development

    f

    new

    practices

    which

    n

    the

    energy

    ield s a

    mix

    of

    theory,

    esearch,

    and

    prac-

    ticality,

    what

    French

    nthropologist

    ClaudeLevi-Straussn

    anothercontext

    describes s

    "bricolage,"nlightened inkering

    one

    by

    people

    who can see

    with

    different

    yes

    and utilizewhatexists.

    I

    first

    began

    to

    workon

    energy

    n

    the mid-1970s s

    part

    of the National

    Academy

    f

    SciencesCONAES

    rojectNader 980).

    I

    founda

    strange

    ield,

    one

    characterized

    y

    innocenceand

    ignorance,by

    idealists

    and

    impresarios, y

    pessimists

    nd

    optimists,

    ysecrecy

    nd

    wild

    predictions,

    y

    an ethicof waste

    and

    recklessness,

    and across the

    board

    by

    a truncated

    time

    perspective.

    The

    strangeness

    was

    undoubtedly

    exacerbated

    by my

    being

    the

    only anthropolo-

    gist

    of the 300 or

    so

    participants,

    as well

    as

    the

    only

    woman.

    773

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  • 8/16/2019 NADER_The Harder Path-Shifting Gears

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    The Harder

    Path-Shifting

    Gears

    Also

    n

    the mid-1970s omeonesent me a

    prepublicationopy

    of

    Amory

    Lovins'samous

    potboiler

    ThePathNotTaken"

    hat later

    appeared

    n

    Foreign

    Affairs

    1976).

    Lovins ontrasted oft

    paths

    and

    hard

    paths

    n

    energy

    policy.

    For Lovins he soft

    energy

    path

    was one full

    of alternative

    possibilities

    nd

    central

    among

    them were renewable

    nergy

    sources.The soft

    path

    would

    makeuse of the

    potential

    n

    various olar

    echnologies;

    mall s beautiful

    n

    the soft

    path.

    Thehard

    path

    wouldbe a continuation

    r elaboration f tech-

    nologies

    uch

    as

    nuclear,

    which wouldbe

    centralized,

    uthoritarian,

    ontrol-

    ling

    and not

    friendly

    o the democratic

    process-such

    distinctions

    eing

    ver-

    sions of

    LewisMumford's

    1970)

    earlier

    dichotomy

    between man-centered

    andsystem-centeredechnologies.Lovinswas seen as an ecofreak, n ideal-

    ist,

    a tree

    hugger,

    r an

    impractical

    reamer aston the

    calculator.

    n

    a

    word,

    "ThePathNotTaken" as

    heresy.

    At

    the time

    I

    did not understand

    hy

    his

    workcaused

    controversy.

    oran

    anthropologist

    t

    was obvious hereweredifferent

    possibilities.

    t

    was

    equally

    obvious hat

    all

    energy

    choiceswouldbe linkedwith if

    not determinativef

    other

    socio-political

    hoices;

    ifestyles

    wasa favoredword.

    learned ater hat

    Margaret

    Meadhad cautioned

    youngAmory

    never o use the word"soft"

    f

    you'retryingto persuadeAmericans o take seriouslya differentpath,

    because

    soft has feminine connotationswhile

    hard s masculine nd indica-

    tive of

    powerfulpossibilities;

    oft

    paths...well,

    "cavesand

    candles." n

    the

    1970s

    every

    new alternativedeawas

    dubbed"caves nd

    candles,"

    meaning

    that

    it

    was backwards

    hinking.

    Experience

    as to

    prove

    Margaret

    Mead

    correct.Soft

    energy

    paths

    were

    considered eminineand weak

    by

    leadingenergy

    experts,

    while hard

    nergy

    paths

    with heir

    accompanyingigh

    risk

    possibilities

    ere

    perceived

    s intel-

    lectually

    challenging,

    test of the mettleof scientificman.On

    hindsight,my

    advice to

    Amory

    Lovinswould have been of a

    different ort than

    Mead's,

    although

    t would not have

    changed

    he substanceof

    his

    argument.

    The

    harder

    path

    is the soft

    path,

    because t is

    the

    path

    that

    changes

    he

    status

    quo.

    It

    requires

    ew

    institutions,

    ew

    technologies,

    cience

    statesmen ather

    than technician

    cientists,

    nd

    engineers

    who

    rememberhe first

    principle

    f

    engineering-keep

    it

    simple. Creativity,

    rive,

    and a dramatic

    ealignment

    and

    disaggregation

    f scientists nd their

    publics

    re also

    necessaryngredi-

    ents for Lovins' arder r moredifficult

    path.

    The harder

    path

    is

    what

    I

    wish to call attention to in what follows. I

    chose

    this

    focus because over the

    years

    I

    notice serious

    students

    anxiouslytrying

    to

    understand how

    to

    change

    what does not

    change.

    I

    also call attention to the

    774

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  • 8/16/2019 NADER_The Harder Path-Shifting Gears

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    LAURA

    ADER

    harder

    path

    because it

    appears

    that while Americans

    have a clear and

    extraordinary

    ecord

    n

    starting arge-scale

    rojects-witness

    he Manhattan

    Project-once

    we have

    started

    up

    we have trouble

    shiftinggears.

    We have

    created,

    as David Noble

    (1977 xvii)

    puts

    it,

    "a world

    where

    everything

    changes,

    yet nothing

    moves."

    Thereare also

    interesting

    nd

    opposing

    heoriesof

    change

    hat need to

    be

    addressed.There

    are those who

    argue

    hat

    change

    n American ulture

    only

    accompanies

    rises-like

    war or

    depression,

    he Araboil

    embargo

    or some

    sort of

    catastrophe

    ike

    the Greenhouse ffect-while others

    document he

    incremental

    processes

    f

    change

    hat

    transformed merican

    ociety

    roman

    agriculturalo an industrializedociety Noble1977).Othermodelsof change

    may

    also need to

    be examined-the

    leapfrog pproach

    a

    term

    I

    believe irst

    coined

    by

    Brazilian

    hysicist

    ose

    Goldemburg)

    hereby

    hirdworldcountries

    jump

    the first

    world nto new

    technology

    rather han

    following

    linearevo-

    lutionarypath

    of

    wood,

    coal

    oil,

    nuclear o the new

    technologies,

    or

    the

    absenceof

    leapfrogging.

    ndof

    course,

    haos

    heory

    has

    generated

    till

    other

    models.More bout

    models ater.

    First

    Contact-Discovering

    Science Practice

    As I mentioned t the

    outset,

    in

    the mid-1970s

    nterdisciplinary

    esearch n

    energy

    was often characterized

    y

    ignorance

    and innocence.

    I

    myself

    was

    both innocent nd

    ignorant,

    nnocentof howso-calledhard cience

    works n

    practice,

    and

    ignorant

    f

    the relevant

    workings

    f

    energy

    echnologies,

    heir

    economic

    justifications,

    nd above all how an

    anthropologist

    might

    con-

    tributeto

    "solving

    he

    energy

    problem."

    Permitme

    a brief

    reviewof

    my

    socializationnto the cultureof

    energy

    experts.

    When

    anthropologists

    re in

    strange

    ands

    and

    amongst

    people

    whose cul-

    tures

    hey

    do not

    yet

    understand

    hey

    often make

    mistakes,

    y

    which

    I

    mean

    they

    violate ultural ules.Part f our

    methodology

    equires

    hat

    we review uch

    mistakes

    s

    a

    way

    o

    begin

    o

    profile

    he cultureunder

    tudy.

    While

    doing

    he

    energy

    work

    recorded

    n

    my

    notebooknstances f suchrule

    violation,

    nd

    my

    responses.

    Wordshat

    frequently ppeared

    n

    my

    journal

    were

    bizarre,

    ut of

    touch, mpervious

    o

    evidence,unscientific,rapped.

    twasculture

    hock.

    I cameto realize

    hat

    energy

    discourseswereoftenone of

    "no

    option."

    The

    inevitablity syndrome

    I called it. Whatever

    path

    was

    being

    proposed

    was a

    "haveto

    path."

    For

    example,

    "we have to

    push

    nuclearbecause there are no

    alternatives."Such a coercive frame was

    limiting

    to

    say

    the

    least,

    especially

    775

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  • 8/16/2019 NADER_The Harder Path-Shifting Gears

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    TheHarder

    ath-Shifting

    Gears

    since

    other

    options

    were

    whatwas

    being

    examined.Methodwas also

    part

    of

    the

    problem.

    For

    example,

    growth

    models-that took for

    granted ncreasing

    percapita

    nergy

    onsumption-were

    disabling

    wheneconomists

    even

    Nobel

    economists)

    were

    examining

    ess is more

    options.

    Also

    striking

    was the

    omnipresent

    modelof

    unilinear

    evelopment

    a concept

    hat

    anthropologists

    had

    left

    in the dust

    decades

    earlier),

    with

    little

    general

    understanding

    f

    macro-processes.

    or

    example,

    he

    recognition

    hat civilizations

    risebut

    that

    they

    also

    collapse

    was

    missing

    rom he

    thinking

    bout he

    present.

    Prevalent

    was

    the

    nineteenth

    entury

    beliefthat

    technological rogress

    was

    equivalent

    to social

    progress.

    n

    such

    a

    progressivistvolutionary

    rame cience oo could

    onlyriseand not fall orwane.Furthermore,he possibilityhatexpertsmight

    be

    part

    of the

    problem

    was novel o the

    expert

    who

    thought

    hat

    he

    stood

    out-

    side of

    the

    problem.

    The

    idea that the

    energyproblem

    had humandimen-

    sions,

    that it was

    a human

    problem,

    lowly

    began

    o sink

    in,

    although

    uch

    realizationwas

    rarely

    ttributedo socialsciencesources.

    Many

    f

    my

    com-

    mentarieswere

    adamantly

    pposed

    n those

    years,

    o

    put

    it

    mildly.

    Colleagues

    rejected

    he ideathat the science

    bureaucraciesada

    limiting

    ffect

    on defi-

    nitions

    and

    solutions,

    nd

    also a

    framing

    ffect

    on cultural utlook.This iew

    wasadamantly pposedbydirectors t Lawrence ivermoreaboratory,ndby

    those

    who believe hat

    science s

    autonomous

    nd culture ree.

    In

    his

    thoughtful

    book

    on

    the

    SocialProduction

    f Indifference

    Michael

    Herzfeld

    1992)

    xplores

    he

    symbolic

    oots

    of

    Western

    ureaucracy.

    erzfeld

    cautionsus not to dismiss

    bureaucracyimply,

    s inhumane r

    inefficient,

    s

    did Weber nd Marx.

    Lumping

    ll bureaucracies

    ogether

    means

    accepting

    kindof

    determinism.He

    callsfor more

    utopian

    consideration-critical on-

    siderations,

    what he called a

    "productive

    iscomfort o the

    certainties f

    bureaucraticlassification." erzfeld nderstands

    nly

    oo well

    that,

    "thereal

    danger

    of indifferences not that it

    grows

    out

    of the barrel f a

    gun,

    butthat

    it too

    easily

    becomeshabitual.

    ibid:184)."

    It

    was that

    habituation

    mongenergy

    cientists hat

    pushed

    me

    even

    fur-

    ther to

    suggest

    hat

    Americancientistswere

    not as free as

    they

    thought.

    t

    followedthat standardizationnd

    conformity

    were

    incompatible

    with

    the

    possibility

    orexcellent

    deas

    n

    science o

    flourish.

    The

    most

    shocking

    ealiza-

    tion

    was that the most

    conformist

    f

    these

    energyexperts xhibitedprofiles

    of

    reckless

    experimentation.

    istanced s

    they

    were from the

    social

    fabric,

    they

    could

    easily speak

    of mass deaths in

    percentages.

    Their

    utterances

    of

    disdain,

    totally

    unselfconscious

    utterances,

    were

    indicatorsof the

    prevalence

    of

    group

    think,

    and a

    deep

    disregard

    or

    human

    life.

    776

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  • 8/16/2019 NADER_The Harder Path-Shifting Gears

    8/22

    LAURA ADER

    To

    my

    surprise,

    fter he

    publication

    n

    PhysicsToday

    f

    my

    essay

    "Barriers

    to

    Thinking

    ew

    About

    Energy"

    Nader 981),

    an

    avalanche

    f

    responses

    rom

    scientists nd

    engineersworking

    n

    energy

    questions greed

    with

    many

    of

    my

    critical

    bservations

    nd

    even

    expanded

    on them.

    They

    commentedon

    cen-

    sorship,

    he

    predominance

    f

    group

    hink,

    he

    educational

    rocess

    n

    science

    that

    does little o enhance

    original hought

    anda

    great

    deal

    to

    stop

    t,

    the

    irra-

    tionality

    amongenergy

    pecialists.They

    oo noted

    positions

    hat were

    value

    laden, macho,

    unimaginative,

    elf-serving,

    nd

    unscientific. uchreflections

    from

    some of

    the

    leaders

    n the

    science

    and

    engineering

    ields

    argued

    or

    hope

    and

    for

    disaggregation.

    ot all scientistsand

    engineers

    were alike.

    Therewerevarieties f them. Letme lista few:the scientistwho has retained

    a

    capacity

    or

    critical

    hinking,

    he technician cientistwho

    does what

    he

    is

    told without

    thinking,

    he

    impresario,

    he

    lobbyist,

    he

    propagandist,

    he

    conformist,

    he

    creative

    problem-solver.

    he

    standard

    scientific

    extbook

    does

    not

    describe arieties.Onthe

    contrary-the

    ideal

    science

    performer

    s

    idealized,

    ssentialized.

    Of

    course,

    here

    s

    a

    function,

    o

    making

    ifferences

    etween cientists

    dis-

    appear.

    t

    serves

    o contrast cientistswith

    non-scientists. he

    light

    and

    the

    darkof suchcontrast reprofiled egularlynthe pagesof Sciencemagazine,

    thereby

    ignoring

    eriousdifferences f

    opinionamong

    scientists,

    differences

    which

    may

    be as

    great

    or

    greater

    hanthat between he

    scientist

    and

    the

    lay

    person.

    Chemists nd

    physicists

    avedifferent

    profiles,

    s

    scientists;

    nd each

    of

    them

    from

    the

    biologists,

    he

    evolutionary

    cientists,

    etc.

    The idea

    that

    there

    is a standard

    way

    of

    thinkingscientifically

    as

    been

    questionedby

    sci-

    entists

    hemselves.One

    need

    only

    read Richard

    eynman,

    or

    instance.

    Yeta

    recent

    Science

    ssay

    (Augustine,998)

    continues he

    unenlightened

    radition

    of

    essentializing

    cienceto

    expose

    the

    problems

    cientistshave in

    dealing

    with

    "ignorant"ay

    people.

    On

    the other

    hand,

    such

    formulation

    uggests

    that scientists re not that

    different

    rom

    anybody

    lse

    in

    that

    they

    observe,

    make

    decisions,

    nd

    ask

    questions

    on

    the

    basis

    of cherishedvalues.

    Although

    had

    not startedout to look

    at science

    practice,

    hat

    was

    what I

    was

    doing.

    The more

    I

    lookedat

    science

    practice

    he

    more it

    becameclear

    that differentactors

    were

    caught

    n

    differentnets.

    First,

    he

    workplace

    f sci-

    entists-the

    institutions nd

    bureaucracies

    hat hire

    scientists nd

    organize

    science

    work-seemed to

    expect

    creativity

    ut

    to

    require

    onformity,

    tan-

    dardized

    hinking

    and

    compartmentalizedexpertise,

    all within

    a

    well

    defined

    level of

    permissible

    dissent. Behavior s selected

    for, learned,

    structurally

    and

    culturally

    transmitted.

    Beyond

    the

    workplace

    there are the

    technological

    777

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  • 8/16/2019 NADER_The Harder Path-Shifting Gears

    9/22

    TheHarder

    ath-Shifting

    Gears

    imperatives

    hat

    drive he

    actors,

    mperatives

    hat are enmeshed

    n

    particu-

    lar

    echnologies.

    A

    physics

    olleague

    ecently

    eferred o LosAlamos cientists

    as

    "high

    price,high

    tech,

    not

    good

    at

    practical

    hings-shiny

    and

    high

    ech"

    he

    repeated.

    To understand

    what

    anthropologists

    ould

    contribute o

    the

    energy

    debates

    I

    had to

    understand

    cience

    practice.

    This work has since

    taken

    anthropologists

    ike Sharon

    Traweek

    1987)

    and

    Hugh

    Gusterson

    1996)

    and

    others into U.S.national

    aboratories

    o

    study

    he science

    culture hat

    C.P.

    Snow

    1964)

    had

    written

    about

    earlier

    n

    his

    Two

    Cultures ook.Suchwork

    also involves

    knowledge

    f

    science

    networking

    utside of

    laboratories ith

    industry ndgovernment gencies as in Schwartzn Nader1996); t exam-

    ines the

    symbolic mportance

    f science

    exhibits

    denied or

    modifiedat

    the

    Smithsonian

    Vackimes

    996),

    and includes

    nterviewing

    nterested

    parties,

    e.g.

    aboutradioactive asteon NativeAmericaneservations

    Ou1996).

    n

    all

    this

    work there

    seems to

    be

    a

    disparity

    etween he

    ideal

    scientific

    method

    and its use

    in

    ordinary

    ife,

    between he scientific

    pirit

    of

    free

    inquiry

    nd

    censorship.

    he

    deal

    scientific

    nterprise

    hows

    ess than

    perfect ongruence

    with

    actual

    practice

    because

    of

    so

    many

    ntervening

    ariables ike

    funding

    andbureaucraciesn bothcivilianandmilitaryontexts, r the needsof pri-

    vate

    industry.

    Howelse can we

    explain

    he

    diffusion f civiliannuclear ner-

    gy

    before

    nergy

    xperts

    hadwritten ven

    one

    articleor

    report

    n decommis-

    sioning

    a nuclear

    plant,

    and

    before

    hey

    knew

    what

    they

    were

    going

    to do

    with nuclearwastes?

    Wehad

    to know

    all

    of

    this

    if we

    were

    to

    understand

    why

    so

    many

    energy

    scientistswere

    unable o

    shift

    gears,

    o

    even

    imagine

    new

    technologies

    ther

    than the same

    old ones

    they

    were

    elaborating

    nd

    calling

    "new."Was t

    their

    workplace,

    asit the

    laboratory

    cience

    culture,

    wasit bureaucraticndiffer-

    ence,

    was

    t

    lack

    of

    imagination

    r

    creativity,

    as

    t

    censorship,

    as

    t

    the

    gov-

    ernment'swelfare

    program

    or

    science,

    or

    all

    of

    these

    things?

    The

    Energy

    Decade-What

    Happened?

    The1970swas

    he

    energy

    decade.Since

    henand

    even

    with

    he end

    of

    the Cold

    War he issue s

    once

    again

    nuclear

    weapons

    s

    indicated

    y

    the

    yearly

    billion

    dollar

    budgets

    argeted

    or Livermore

    nd

    LosAlamos or

    "new"

    weapons.

    n

    the

    Reagan,

    Bush,

    and Clinton

    years

    the focus has not been on nuclear

    energy

    but

    on nuclear

    weapons.

    Under Clinton/Gore here

    was not

    one

    major

    talk

    about civilian

    energy

    policies.

    After

    he

    dissolution of

    the

    Soviet

    Union

    there

    778

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  • 8/16/2019 NADER_The Harder Path-Shifting Gears

    10/22

    LAURA ADER

    was

    a

    possibility

    hat

    peacetime

    onversion

    might

    alter the directionof the

    national aboratories. here

    was at least

    alk that national aboratories

    might

    move

    ahead

    on

    new

    energy

    research uch

    as

    solar,

    hydrogen,

    r

    photovoltaic.

    Alas,

    the

    laboratory

    eadership

    ouldnot

    shift

    gears,

    and

    although

    herewere

    some innovators

    aliantly

    working

    or

    conversion nside the national

    abs,

    peacetime

    onversion

    ailed,

    and we

    were back o

    business s usual.

    Philosopher

    f sciencePaul

    Feyerabend,

    imself

    rained

    n

    physics,

    pub-

    lishedan irreverent ook

    n

    1978 n which

    he asked

    "What'so

    great

    aboutsci-

    ence?"He asked

    this

    question

    o

    point

    out that

    today

    sciencestands

    unop-

    posed,

    and

    for

    Feyerabend

    hat

    is

    one of the

    problems.

    n

    the 19th

    century

    therewerefiercedebates about he worthof sciencebetweenproponents f

    religion

    nd

    proponents

    f

    science,

    but in the

    20th

    century, articularly

    n

    the

    latter

    part

    of the

    century,

    o

    criticize cientific

    practice xposes

    one

    to

    Gross

    and Levitt

    1990)

    ype

    silencing

    ccusations. here

    s a

    difference etweenanti-

    science

    positions

    nd

    anti-bad

    cience and

    technology ritiques.

    Public

    opin-

    ion on scienceas

    if

    people

    mattered,

    r an

    interest

    n

    howscience s

    practiced

    is

    necessary

    or the nourishment

    f an

    unopposed

    cience.

    Physicians,

    ike

    John

    Gofman

    who is

    also a

    physicist,

    ave

    spoken

    out

    against

    he

    "expose

    he

    people irst, earn heeffects ater"yndrome.Gofmanwasthought o be an

    extremist

    y

    some,

    while

    public

    utterancesike

    Sigvard

    Eklund ho

    was

    gen-

    eral director f

    the

    International tomic

    EnergyAgency,

    were

    apparently

    ot

    extremist.As noted

    in

    Brownand

    Brutoco

    1997:25).

    Eklund

    ays

    that "the

    problem

    of

    the

    nuclear

    power

    ndustry

    s that we

    have had

    too few

    acci-

    dents...It's

    xpensive,

    but that's

    how

    you

    gain

    experience."

    Whenstatements

    like hat

    pass

    or "normal"t

    makes

    one

    think hat

    Feyerabend

    s on the

    right

    track-science s

    being

    reated ike he

    religious henomena

    t

    fought

    a centu-

    ry

    earlier,

    mpervious

    o

    doubt,

    and reckless s well.

    Some

    Recent

    History

    After

    he

    Cold

    War,

    ustification

    or

    nuclear

    esearchwas

    replacedby

    new

    jus-

    tification-the

    rogue

    tatesof

    Iraq,

    North

    Korea,

    Libya,

    tc. Business s usual

    continues. ince

    he

    1990s,

    n the

    UnitedStatesnuclear

    power

    s

    being

    revived

    and

    described s

    a new

    generation

    f

    safe,

    clean

    plants,

    and we still

    do

    not

    know much about

    decomissioning

    r

    what

    to do with nuclear waste.

    Bureaucratic

    ntermingling

    f civilian

    energy

    needs

    and national

    security

    needs at the DOEweakens

    possibility

    or conversions t the labs. As

    David

    Noble

    ays"everythinghanges

    and

    nothing

    moves,"

    eemingly

    t. least.

    779

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  • 8/16/2019 NADER_The Harder Path-Shifting Gears

    11/22

    TheHarder

    ath-Shifting

    Gears

    After

    dropping

    he

    atomicbombson Hiroshimand

    Nagasaki

    n

    1945,

    he

    public

    debatewas about nuclear

    militarypower.

    Later en.

    McCarthy

    rand-

    ed scientific issidents

    n

    the

    subjectguilty

    of treason.

    n

    1962 Linus

    auling

    won the

    Nobel

    Peace

    Prize

    or his work

    o

    stop

    the

    atmospheric

    esting

    of

    nuclear

    weapons.

    Scientific issentabout he

    health,

    afety

    andenvironmen-

    tal

    impact

    of nuclear

    energy

    urfaced

    n the

    late 1960s

    with the

    research

    f

    Gofman,

    nd

    Tamplin,

    nd

    Sternglass.

    n

    1971,

    nuclear

    ngineers

    nd

    physi-

    cists

    of

    the Union

    of

    Concerned cientists

    uestioned

    he

    safety

    of

    nuclear

    power laiming rrogance,xpert

    litism,

    and

    stacked

    AEC

    roceedings.

    here

    was a

    national

    movement

    against

    nuclear.

    At the same

    time,

    however.

    PresidentNixonexpanded upport or nuclearenergy,which was in some

    small measurereversed

    by

    President

    Carter. or

    some Carter

    had

    authority;

    he was

    after

    all a nuclear

    ngineer.

    In

    the Carter

    ears

    herewasan

    expansion

    f

    coal,

    synthetic

    uels,

    alterna-

    tive

    energy

    and

    conservation.

    n

    the same

    period,

    anti-nuclearctivistKaren

    Silkwoodwas killed

    n

    a caraccident

    eavingpeoplewondering

    boutstake-

    holders.

    Therewas

    the

    1975

    fireat the Browns

    erry

    uclear

    lant.

    Four

    eac-

    tor

    engineers

    defectedfrom the

    industry

    o

    speak

    out.

    1977

    brought

    anti-

    nuclearprotestsat the Seabrook nd DiabloCanyonplants.In 1979 the

    accidentat 3 Mile

    Island

    happened

    and

    in

    1986,

    Chernobyl.

    ut

    it

    was the

    Reagan

    revolution

    hat

    decisively

    nded the

    energy

    decade

    and shifted he

    discourse

    once

    again

    from

    nuclear

    power

    to nuclear

    war

    and

    weapons.

    President

    Reagan

    branded

    anti-nuclear ctivistsas

    modern-day

    Luddites.

    With

    Presidents

    Reagan

    nd

    Bush,

    downwent

    credits or

    renewables,

    own

    went

    the Solar

    Energy

    Research

    nstitute

    SERI)

    nd

    solar

    energy

    subsidies,

    down

    went

    government

    esearch

    nd

    development

    nd on

    energy

    options.

    President

    Reagan

    ook PresidentCarter's

    ymbolic

    olar

    panels

    off the White

    House,

    discontinued

    olar

    energy

    ax

    credits,

    and had the

    safe

    efficiency

    ar

    model

    that

    had been

    developedby

    a

    fatherand son team

    in

    Santa

    Barbara

    with tax dollars and which ran

    over 55

    miles on the

    gallon

    physically

    destroyed,hereby

    adumbrating

    he

    real

    Luddites.

    Shifting

    Gears-New Alliances

    It

    is

    worth

    paralleling

    hese

    politicalhappenings

    with

    other

    happenings

    hat

    were

    not

    making big

    headlines.

    An

    alternative

    energy paradigm

    of the sort

    that

    Amory

    Lovins

    had

    written

    about in 1976 was

    moving

    forward.A

    coalition

    of business

    executives,

    consumers,

    environmentalists, scientists,

    labor lead-

    780

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  • 8/16/2019 NADER_The Harder Path-Shifting Gears

    12/22

    LAURA ADER

    ers

    and

    legislators

    brought

    bout a conservation evolution n some of the

    nation's

    argest

    electric

    utilitycompanies.

    The conservation evolution

    was

    an

    alternative

    o

    building

    new base-loadnuclearor

    coal

    plants.

    Atthe same

    time a

    generation

    f

    energy entrepreneurs

    nd solarscientistswere demon-

    strating

    iable

    alternatives. merican

    ngenuity

    was

    creating

    ew

    echnologies

    that

    challenged

    he old

    technologies.

    They

    demonstratedhe

    potential

    o

    transformhe

    energy

    ystem

    through

    renewables

    uch as

    solar,

    ight

    weight

    electric

    cars,

    super

    efficient

    ight

    bulbs,

    giant

    wind farms-

    showing

    hat a

    handful f

    innovators,

    rivate

    itizens,

    and

    business xecutives an effectan

    un-official

    ublicenergypolicy

    hrough

    organizational

    work,

    and activism.

    Peoplebegan o remember istory nd an expandedime horizon.Those

    living

    during

    he 20th

    century

    will

    be

    seen

    as

    having

    been

    on

    a drunken

    il

    binge.

    From

    geological

    ime

    perspective,

    il

    took

    millions f

    years

    o

    create;

    spending

    t

    was

    a brief

    aberration

    n world

    nergy

    history.

    Oil

    andcoal uels

    are

    sunset

    industries,

    utthe

    society

    s

    still

    a

    hydrocarbon

    ociety.

    Thenation

    hat

    used railroadso

    forge

    a

    political

    ntity

    s

    the leastadvanced f

    any

    industrial

    nation

    n

    the use

    of

    long

    distancerains.

    Even

    t the turn

    of the

    nineteenth en-

    tury

    we

    had

    automobiles

    unning

    n

    electricity,

    nd steam

    power,

    s

    well as

    gasoline Montaguend Bird1971).In 1902,the President f the American

    Chemical

    ociety,HarveyWiley

    1902)

    who

    was both

    chemist

    and

    physician,

    predicted

    hatthe United

    States

    wouldbe

    running

    n

    solar

    by

    the 1970s.

    A

    few

    examples

    of how

    an un-official

    nergy

    policy

    was

    chartered

    would

    include

    breakthroughs

    obilized

    by

    green

    utility

    xecutives,

    ree market

    eg-

    ulators,

    independent

    power

    producers,

    demand-side

    efficiency experts,

    renewable

    nergy

    innovators nd solar

    entrepreneurs.

    n

    California,

    everal

    of

    these

    people

    have

    becomewell-known

    ublic

    igures.

    They

    ookthe

    hard-

    er

    path

    and came

    up

    with some

    interesting

    esults.

    ohn

    Schaeffer,

    ho was

    inspired

    by

    the 1970 Earth

    Day,

    graduated

    rom

    the

    BerkeleyAnthropology

    Department

    n 1971.He

    got

    intothe rural

    evitalization

    nd

    independent

    iv-

    ing

    movements,

    developed

    a business

    n

    renewables

    espite

    the miserable

    level of

    federal

    nvestment n renewable

    esearch

    and

    development.

    While

    new

    energy echnologies

    were

    being

    mothballed

    n

    Washington,

    chaffer's

    RealGoodswas

    operating

    successful

    etail

    tores

    plugging

    nto

    the sun

    (see

    also Berman nd O'Connor

    996).

    The anti-nuclear nd environmental

    movements

    were

    making

    alliances

    with

    progressive

    utilities,

    once seen as the

    enemy.

    Unusual

    people

    like David

    Freeman,

    author of

    Energy:

    The New

    Era

    (1974)

    which

    brought

    him

    to

    the

    attention of President

    Carter,

    energized

    the Sacramento

    Municipal Utility

    781

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    TheHarder

    ath-Shifting

    Gears

    District

    SMUD).

    Freeman

    claims

    to have been educated

    by

    a

    group

    of

    activistswho were

    fighting

    a nuclear

    powerplant

    n New

    England,

    nd

    was

    inspired

    o

    join

    the race

    or

    survival

    f our

    high

    energy

    civilization. t

    SMUD

    he rana

    tight

    ship

    strictly

    n

    economiccriteria.As

    Freeman

    xplains,

    t

    was

    a

    competition

    with

    Japan

    as

    a

    high

    tech leader n the solarand

    hydrogen

    energy

    and

    transportation

    ields.

    He

    recognized

    obstacles

    o

    the

    great

    ndus-

    trial

    opportunity

    f the

    future

    o

    capture

    he

    automobileand

    energy

    mar-

    kets:

    the

    nuclear

    power industry

    discredited n the

    grounds

    of economic

    malpractice

    s well as

    safety problems,

    he

    Exxons,

    he

    Texacos,

    he

    anti-

    Progress

    tatus

    quo

    which

    ncludes

    he federal

    government.

    he rulesof the

    presentenergyeconomywereestablished o favor ystemsn place.There s

    an obvious

    inconsistency

    etween ree-market

    olicies

    or

    the

    economy,

    nd

    the state

    supportedpolicies

    or science

    of an

    industrial elevance.But

    hat

    did not

    stop

    DavidFreeman.

    The

    Sacramento

    Municipal

    Utility

    District

    SMUD)egan moving

    n 1984

    whenSacramento

    esidents oted o closeRancho

    eco,

    a nuclear

    owerplant

    plagued

    withtechnical

    problems.

    MUD

    moved

    quickly

    nto renewable

    ner-

    gy.

    They

    builttwo

    of the

    world's

    argest,utility-owned hotovoltaic ower

    plants-twentyacresworth-that surroundedhe defunctRancho ecoPlant.

    Not

    much,

    but a start.

    In

    1994 SMUD

    pened

    its

    Hedge

    SolarStation.

    Solar

    collectorswere mounted on customer's

    rooftops

    and the

    rooftops

    of 5

    churches.SMUD

    s

    harvesting

    wind

    and

    a host

    of

    other initiatives

    uch

    as

    mini-power lants

    and

    co-generation;

    nd

    using

    rees

    n

    lieu

    of air

    condition-

    ing.

    Currently

    MUD

    roduces

    ver

    half of its

    energy

    rom renewables

    nd

    conservation

    n

    such itemsas

    refrigerators,

    nd

    has

    even

    developed

    lectric

    transportation.

    reeman imed

    to createa new

    federal

    industrial

    olicy.

    n

    1994 he was

    appointed

    president

    and chief executiveofficerof New York

    StatePower

    Authority,

    aking

    with him the

    view

    that

    we areawash

    n

    power

    and don'tneedthe

    large

    dams

    planned

    or

    Quebec.

    Freeman eferredo

    him-

    self

    as

    an

    electric

    repairman.

    he ecofreaks f the 1970s

    were

    innovating,

    while

    those

    backing

    he

    sunset

    technologies

    re the new

    Luddites,

    ureau-

    cratic echnicians

    fraid

    of

    being

    work

    displaced

    r downsized.

    The

    alliances

    and

    cross-linkages

    ave

    been

    extraordinary.

    ould

    we have

    imagined

    n the seventies he

    Royal

    Dutch/Shell

    roupbuying

    nto Lovins'

    "Road

    Not

    Taken"? he nuclear

    cycle

    is a

    nightmare-from

    the uranium

    mines,

    to the

    dumping

    of

    tailings,

    to

    the

    transportation

    of

    radioactive

    mate-

    rials,

    to

    the

    spent

    fuel

    rods,

    to the

    plants

    as national

    security problems,

    the

    ambiguously

    labeled low level waste

    and

    high

    level waste. There are

    also

    782

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    LAURA ADER

    worries boutthe Greenhouse

    ffects.

    John

    Brown f

    British

    Petroleum nd

    European

    nsurance xecutives

    re

    takingglobal

    warming eriously.

    As

    Amory

    Lovins

    ut

    it-before

    buying bigger

    bathtubbecause he

    water

    keepsrunning

    ut,

    go get

    a

    plug

    Bricolage

    s attractive.

    outhern

    California

    Edison's

    ohn

    Bryson

    Lerner

    997)

    pointed

    out

    there'sno need to mention

    nuclear,

    nvironmental

    hreats,

    tc. Small

    s

    beautiful

    and

    profitable...noth-

    ing

    futuristic,

    nothing

    experimental, othing

    technically aulty, hey

    made

    more

    moneyby

    saving.

    A

    smallamount

    of

    leverage

    an

    produce

    powerful

    effect. Conservationnd

    alternative

    nergy,

    Bryson

    noted,

    could

    replace

    at

    least9

    out of

    10

    big

    plants

    he

    company

    has on the

    drawing

    boards.

    n the

    meantimehe nuclear nd oil industries ontinued o argue hat renewable

    energy echnologies

    re

    idealistic nd

    futuristic,

    ut

    they

    were

    speaking

    ess

    and less

    about

    Luddites,

    r

    anti-progress

    co extremists.

    Consideration

    f the

    past

    25

    years

    in

    energy

    is

    instructive.

    Mundane

    changes

    were a

    reality

    by

    the

    time the National

    Academy

    CONAES

    eport

    was

    published

    n

    1980,

    even

    though

    he mainstream

    xpert

    avants aid

    it could-

    n't

    happen

    by

    the

    year

    2010.

    They

    were

    way

    off

    in their

    predictions,

    0 to 40

    years

    off. We haveautomobiles

    hat runmore

    miles

    per

    gallon

    of

    gas (albeit

    alongsidegasguzzlingutilityvehicles), nd refrigeratorshatuse lessenergy

    without

    reduced

    unctionality. efrigerators

    arketed

    n

    1972 consumed

    14

    watts

    per

    cubic

    foot,

    compared

    o 6 watts

    for the

    average

    refrigerator

    old

    between1925 and 1950.

    Wasting

    owerreplaced

    prudent

    use.

    In

    1978

    the

    average efrigerator

    sed

    1,

    663

    kilowatthours

    per

    year

    as

    compared

    o 819

    kilowatt ours

    peryear

    n

    1994.

    The

    energy

    avings

    rom

    refigerator

    fficien-

    cy

    alone

    roughly

    quals

    36,000

    coal-bed

    methanewells

    (see

    Hawken,

    Lovins

    and Lovins

    000).

    The

    Europeans

    ave moved

    even

    faster.Denmark's

    ramm

    is overtwice as efficientas the best American uilt

    refrigerator.

    orhomes

    without

    air

    conditioning,

    efrigerators

    se

    20 to 50

    percent

    of electric

    power

    consumed. t hastaken

    about50

    years

    o

    surpass

    he

    performance

    f the aver-

    age

    refrigerator

    old

    between1925

    and 1950.

    Efficient

    ompact

    luorescent

    lamps

    consume

    only

    one fourth

    he

    energy

    of common ncandescent

    amps.

    It is

    important

    o remember

    hat the

    U.S. s the

    world

    eader

    n

    energy

    con-

    sumption

    nd

    production

    f Greenhouse

    ases.

    The

    economists

    who

    coupled

    economic

    growth

    and

    energyconsumption

    were

    wrong

    about

    he futures

    hey

    predicted.

    t

    is

    possible

    o haveeconomic

    growth

    with reduced

    energy

    consumption.

    Brazil

    taught

    us about

    the

    prob-

    lems of

    producing

    alternative

    fuels like

    ethanol,

    but

    they

    continue

    to move

    ahead.

    Russia

    provides

    a

    dismal

    example

    of an undiversified

    energy policy

    783

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  • 8/16/2019 NADER_The Harder Path-Shifting Gears

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    The Harder

    Path-Shifting

    Gears

    dependent

    on

    nuclear

    power.

    The

    coupling

    of

    technological

    progress

    with

    social

    progress

    s held as erroneous t

    leastsince

    Jefferson's

    ime.

    Evolution

    s

    not

    necessarily

    inearnor

    built

    on

    technological rogress.

    But he

    irony

    of

    the last

    25

    years

    s also

    in

    our

    headlines.

    Although

    here

    has not beena new

    nuclear

    plant

    ordered orwell

    over

    a

    decade n thiscoun-

    try,

    he USnuclear

    ndustry

    as

    produced

    uclear

    plants

    or Asia

    Cole 998).

    Asian

    waste,

    as

    part

    of the sales

    agreement,

    ow n

    the

    form

    of

    spent

    uel

    rods

    is sent to the

    UnitedStates.

    The

    waste fromother

    countries

    was not

    part

    of

    the

    civilian cenariobut

    rather

    part

    of

    the

    military

    non-proliferation

    gree-

    ments.

    Nevertheless,

    he

    reality

    s that the

    beautiful

    tates of

    Idaho,

    South

    Carolina,Kentuckyndelsewhere,orthe mostpartnotknown o the gener-

    al

    public,

    are

    becomingdumpinggrounds

    or nuclear

    uel rods and

    other

    formsof

    waste,

    romothercountries.

    Washington

    Will

    Be the Last o

    Know-Why?

    The

    phrase

    "Washington

    ill be the last o

    know"

    ppears

    requently

    n

    the lit-

    erature n

    un-official

    nergy

    directions. here s

    little

    question

    hat environ-

    mentalpolicyhas beenaffectedbythe oil, coal,andchemical ompanies, y

    the

    power

    of the

    automobile

    ompanies, y

    national

    ecurity

    nterests.

    Energy

    involves

    echnology

    nd

    profit

    making,

    s wellas a number

    f other

    hings

    hat

    are

    subject

    o

    fierce

    bidding

    uch

    as the formsof

    energy

    echnology

    nd

    who

    should

    profit.

    Whenas

    part

    of

    the 1980

    National

    Academy

    CONAES'

    tudy,

    mathematical

    ociologist

    Otis

    Dudley

    Duncan

    sked,

    "How

    id we

    get

    into

    his

    mess

    anyway,

    nd arethe

    people

    who

    got

    us

    intothis mess

    still

    n

    charge?"

    e

    was

    referring

    o a

    legacy

    of

    corporate

    nd

    government

    odies

    hatdecidedon

    the modesof

    technology

    ndthe

    energy

    hoices,

    and on theeconomic

    rgan-

    ization

    urrounding

    hese modes.The

    gravity

    f

    the

    issues, .e.,

    safety,

    enewa-

    bility, carcity,

    ntermittency,

    nternational

    risis,

    civil

    liberties nd

    inflation,

    make

    it

    all the more

    strange

    hat

    energy policy

    was treated

    as

    if it were

    estranged

    rom

    ts environment

    f

    political

    ndeconomic

    power.

    The act hat

    the

    phenomenon

    of

    power,corporate

    and

    governmentpower,

    has been

    excluded rommost

    analyses

    f

    energy

    policies

    has made t

    difficult o under-

    stand the conflicting ositions f the groups nvolved ndthe contradictory

    nature f official

    nergy

    eports.

    he

    pretense

    f

    objectivityequires

    hatsocial

    power

    discussions not

    be included. The most recent

    study

    on Greenhouse

    gas

    projections provides

    an

    example.

    One

    might

    argue

    that

    we don't

    need

    more

    reports

    o tell us what

    government

    needs to

    do.

    784

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    LAURA

    ADER

    On the other

    hand,

    these

    reports

    erve as

    ritual

    ace-saving

    evices,

    or

    sometimesas forms of non-violent

    dueling

    or

    status

    quo

    maintenance. n

    preparation

    or

    meetings

    n

    reducing

    missions

    f Greenhouse

    ases,

    Clinton

    Administration

    conomistswere

    arguing

    hat

    complying

    with

    any

    internation-

    al

    agreement

    n Greenhousemissions

    was too

    expensive,

    hereby

    ndanger-

    ing

    U.S.

    cooperation.

    A 5

    lab

    report

    Chen 998)

    examined arbon-reduction

    strategies.

    The

    report

    erved o counter he

    position

    of the market

    conomists

    therebyallowing

    he U.S. o move

    slightly

    n the direction f

    reducing

    arbon

    dioxide

    output

    in the

    United

    Statesbefore he

    meeting

    n

    Kyoto

    n

    spite

    of

    Administrationconomists

    predicting

    hat suchaction

    might

    harm he econ-

    omyas muchas the oil shocksof the 1970's. ncredible s it might eem,the

    choicewas between he chance

    of a recession

    n

    the nextfew

    years

    and the

    near

    certainty

    f drastic nvironmental

    hange

    within 50

    years

    (McKibben,

    New YorkTimes:8 March

    1997,

    p.

    A19).

    In

    Washington

    he economists

    disagree

    with the

    imperatives

    of

    the

    Greenhouse

    cientists;

    he

    physicists

    lame

    the economists or market

    para-

    digm myopia.

    And

    reports

    re the means of

    argument.

    The

    reports

    are not

    contaminated

    y political

    ontent,

    nor

    are

    they

    contaminated

    y

    paradigm

    assessment, ndtakenliterallyhey produceunrealassessments.Aformof

    denial. Meanwhilehe

    unofficial

    nergy

    effortsare

    proceeding

    nabetted

    n

    the

    style

    of

    bricolage,

    while

    n

    othercountries

    overnments

    re

    achieving

    ra-

    maticsuccess.

    Germany

    nd

    Japan

    are two success

    stories.

    Germany assed

    the United

    States o become

    the world's

    eading

    wind

    energy

    producer

    n

    1997.

    In

    less than a

    decade,

    Germany

    chieved10%

    of its total

    electricity

    demand

    hrough

    wind

    power. apan's xperience

    with

    photovoltaic

    lso in

    the

    90s

    decade moved he

    country

    o

    become

    the world's

    argest

    producer

    nd

    user.

    Japan

    has three times as much

    photovoltaic

    apacity

    as the United

    States.

    Andas others have

    noted,

    "It

    s

    difficult o claim that

    something

    s

    impossible

    nce it has

    already

    ccurred"

    Swain

    004).

    Crisis,

    Bricolage

    and Models of

    Change

    People

    who

    operate

    with he crisis

    heory

    of

    change

    usually

    model

    change

    as

    a seriesof

    punctuated

    vents.

    A

    period

    of

    stability

    s

    interrupted y

    a

    period

    of

    rapid

    hange,

    ollowed

    by

    another

    period

    of

    stability.

    his

    parallels

    model

    in

    biology

    of

    change operating

    in

    a nonmonotonic

    manner and

    suggests

    that

    cultural

    change

    may

    often

    operate

    in this

    manner,

    rather than

    in

    a

    steady

    monotonic drift.

    Energy

    scientists and

    government

    commissions

    commonly

    785

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  • 8/16/2019 NADER_The Harder Path-Shifting Gears

    17/22

    TheHarder

    ath-Shifting

    Gears

    operate

    with

    the

    crisis

    heory

    of

    change.

    Things

    nly

    change

    when

    there s a

    crisis.

    Theypoint

    o the 1971 crisis n

    oil,

    the 1973 oil

    embargo,

    he

    hot

    sum-

    merof 1988

    which

    stimulated he

    interest

    n

    Greenhouseffectsnow

    viewed

    as a crisis. n

    this

    model

    crisesare what

    make

    hings

    move,

    and one

    does not

    worry

    about

    things

    not

    moving

    while

    waiting

    or the next

    crisis,

    or

    the third

    flood

    as one

    scientist

    predicts.

    Those

    who work

    withthe incrementalmodelof

    change

    visualize

    hange

    s

    happening

    it

    by

    bit,

    even

    if it

    is two

    steps

    forward nd one

    step

    back,

    onfi-

    dent that

    things

    are

    quasi-reversible.

    eople

    working

    n the

    bricolage

    mode

    press

    on

    from one

    pioneering

    ask to another.The

    eco-pioneers

    ee them-

    selvesas preparingorthe future n thismanner, nd so do manyenergy on-

    servationists. he

    Germans nd the

    Japanese

    ee the incremental

    model

    as a

    win/win

    olution

    o

    jobs,

    environment,

    nd

    energy

    ndependence.

    Yet

    others work

    with

    linear models

    of

    development

    or

    whatever

    hey

    defineas

    progress,

    modelswhich

    postulate

    hat

    anything

    hat

    might

    nter-

    rupt

    unilinealmovement

    s eithernot

    feasible,

    or

    anti-progress. hey

    arethe

    "can't

    urn

    back

    people."

    For hem

    things

    are not even

    quasi-reversible.hey

    are the

    expertsworking

    n nuclear

    power,

    he new Ludditesome

    call

    them,

    scienceworkerswho feardisplacement, nd thereforeearthe newenergy

    technologies.

    Their

    whole life work s threatened.Those

    who

    think

    unilineal

    development

    s

    inevitable

    might

    read Noel Perrini's

    1979)

    wonderfulbook

    Giving p

    the Gun:

    apan's

    Reversion

    o

    the

    Sword

    ndicating

    hat

    "progress"

    s

    not an

    inexorable

    orce

    outsideof human

    ontrol.

    The

    crisismodel

    is usefulfor

    governments

    nd

    corporations.

    rises erve

    as

    justification

    or

    shifting gears

    and

    shafting people.

    The

    incremental

    model

    is used

    by

    people

    and

    groups

    with

    more

    flexibility,

    more slack.

    They

    makealliances n

    unexpected

    places.

    Thosewho

    espouse

    the linearmodel

    perceive

    hemselves

    in

    one lane.

    They

    look

    for shortcuts

    o

    maintain

    or

    extend

    heir

    power.

    In

    1984,

    a business

    executive,

    Harold

    Willens,

    wrote a book titled The

    Trimtab

    actor-HowBusinessExecutives

    an

    Help

    Solve he Nuclear

    Weapons

    Crisis.

    Hestartsout:

    "In

    he worldof

    business,

    unexamined

    ssumptions,us-

    tifications,

    and

    self-deception

    can become

    prescriptions

    or

    bankruptcy.

    Successful

    xecutives,managers

    nd

    entrepreneurs

    must be

    objective, pen

    minded,

    and flexible.

    They

    mustknowwhen it is time

    to cut lossesand move

    in

    a new

    direction

    (ibid:23)."

    Willens hen introduces

    architect R. Buckminister

    Fuller's

    notion of

    the "trimtab."Fuller made use of the

    analogy

    with

    large

    ships

    that

    in

    days past

    had a

    second,

    smaller

    rudder-the

    trimtab.

    By

    exerting

    786

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    18/22

    LAURA ADER

    a

    small amountof

    pressure,

    ne

    person

    could

    easily

    turn the trimtab.

    The

    trimtab hen turned he

    rudder,

    nd the rudder urnedthe

    ship.

    Thus,

    he

    trimtab actordemonstrates owthe

    application

    f a smallamountof lever-

    age

    can

    produce

    powerful

    ffect.Willens awthe trimtab

    actor,

    n

    this case

    the

    leverage

    f business

    eadership,

    s

    changing

    ur direction

    n

    the nuclear-

    weapons

    risis.

    think t

    significant

    hat

    a business

    man,

    a

    sane and sensitive

    business

    man,

    profiled

    he trimtab actor

    n

    relation o businessmobilization

    on issuesof nuclearwar.Hiscriteria

    or

    whata

    good

    business

    man

    might

    do

    wouldhave

    been

    good

    advice orthe nuclear

    ndustry

    o

    heed,

    had

    hey

    been

    subject

    o market

    principles

    ather han welfare

    principles

    f the federal

    gov-

    ernment.Furthermore,hinking bout how trimtabs ctuallywork ensitizes

    us to the likelihood

    hat,

    like almost

    any

    control

    mechanisms,

    rimtabs re

    double

    edged.

    Witness

    utility

    deregulation

    n

    California nd

    the

    disastrous

    resultsbetween2000 and 2001.

    MachiavellianPower

    I

    notedearlier hat mostof the discussion nd

    reports

    n

    energy

    needsdo not

    contextualizehe issues ntermsof anotherkindof power-corporate ower.

    I

    concludewith reference o the

    utility

    deregulation

    hat

    started

    n California

    with

    the unanimous

    passage

    of

    AB1890

    n the California

    egislature

    n

    1996.

    The

    bill demonstrates

    he

    complexity

    f cross-interests hichbuilt nto a cri-

    sis that not all

    energy

    players

    were

    prepared

    o deal

    with-the

    restructuring

    of the

    $212

    billion-a-year ower ndustry.

    Willenswas

    right-business

    has

    clout

    n

    the

    government;

    n contributionso state

    legislators

    he

    utility obby-

    ists are second

    o

    none.

    Although

    AB1890

    passedunanimously

    ome

    legisla-

    tors

    certainly

    ad second

    houghts

    by

    the

    year

    2000.

    Those or

    deregulation

    dvertised,

    n the March

    2

    Sunday

    Chronicle nd

    Examiner

    upplement

    n

    "Energy

    fter

    Deregulation"1998),

    hat

    deregula-

    tion

    increases

    hoice,

    a choiceof

    powercompanies, uggesting

    hat

    competi-

    tion

    of electric ervicewill

    provide

    arge

    dividends,

    better

    service,

    and more

    innovation

    responsive

    to consumer needs.

    They

    described the CTC

    r

    Competitive

    ransition

    hange

    s "the means

    by

    which

    state

    law allows he

    electric

    utilities o recover he reasonable osts

    of their uneconomic

    power

    plants

    and

    high-costpurchasedpower

    contracts" nd reminded

    he reader

    not to

    be

    "misled

    by

    those

    with

    political agendas."

    The headlines were meant

    to

    call attention to

    novelty:

    "PG&Eo offer'Green

    Power,"'

    New EntrantsNow

    Free

    to

    Compete,"

    "FuelCells

    Have Potential as

    Important Electricity

    ource."

    787

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  • 8/16/2019 NADER_The Harder Path-Shifting Gears

    19/22

    The

    Harder

    ath-Shifting

    Gears

    As

    hey

    indicated,

    he

    supplement

    wasan advertisement.

    ivision

    nddouble

    talk

    are

    the themes.

    The

    other side

    of the

    picture

    ooked a bit different.Consumer

    roups

    warned

    hat

    deregulation

    ill

    drive

    prices

    down

    or

    big

    ndustrial

    sers,

    up

    for

    homeowners,

    enters,

    ndsmall

    businesses.

    Unions laimed hat

    deregulation

    was

    a

    thinly

    veiled

    move to de-unionize

    he

    utility ndustry.

    Environmental

    groups

    hat

    originally

    houghtderegulation

    might

    be the

    way

    to

    shut

    down

    nuclear

    eactors

    weredividedwithNRDC

    nd

    utilities n

    one side

    and

    the

    rest

    who

    thoughtderegulation

    will

    prop

    up

    dying

    nuclear

    plants

    while diminish-

    ing

    advances

    n

    renewables, onservation,

    nd

    pollution

    ontrol.

    We

    were

    n

    an oil andgas glut,at thatmoment.Furthermoreherewas the outragehat

    state

    legislatures

    re

    helping

    utilitieswith a "strainedost"

    of

    $135

    billion n

    bad

    reactor,

    nvestments-stranded

    osts ranslates s

    imprudent

    nvestment

    and

    the

    gift

    of utilities

    s

    corporate

    welfare.

    Asone

    public

    itizen

    advocate

    ut

    it

    "What

    aliforniaasdefinedas

    deregulation

    means hat

    he

    big

    utilitieswill

    get

    the

    public

    o

    pay

    or

    theirnuclear

    plants,

    and then

    establish

    network f

    nonunion

    unregulated

    monopolies."

    ndeed heredoes

    appear

    o

    be a

    merg-

    er

    frenzy

    Wasserman998).

    TheNRDClaimed hatAB1890 rovidedome$872million or conserva-

    tion

    and

    another

    $540

    million

    n

    subsidies

    or

    renewable

    nergy

    ndustries-

    merely

    drops

    n billion

    dollar

    buckets.

    Therewas

    a referendum

    rewing

    n

    California.

    he

    challenge

    was

    howto

    explain

    he

    complexity

    n

    a soundbite.

    A

    senioradvisor

    o

    GreenpeaceWasserman

    998)

    put

    his

    finger

    on

    the

    ulti-

    mate hreat

    o

    private

    tility

    iants-the

    idea

    of

    publicpower:

    "Thosemunic-

    ipalities

    hat

    fought hrough

    mountains

    f

    legal

    red

    ape

    o

    win

    their

    own

    util-

    ities have

    enjoyed

    ar

    cheaper

    rates

    and better

    service."

    He continues:"In

    1989 Sacramento's

    Municipal

    tility

    District ecame he first o voteto close

    a

    reactor

    nd

    replace

    t

    largely

    with

    solar

    and wind

    power

    o increase fficien-

    cy,

    a transition

    hat has

    brought

    worldwide

    ttention."

    AB1890

    wasa

    happening,

    n

    event,

    what

    anthropologists

    ight

    refer

    o as

    a

    social

    drama.

    Therewas no

    pretense-the players

    nd

    their nterests re

    all

    out there.

    All

    he

    powers-raw corporate ower,

    ocial

    power,

    nvironmental

    power,

    nd the

    power

    of

    renewables-all

    therefor us to see. The

    agenda

    was

    a

    broad

    one. Some

    ay

    t

    was

    about

    reforming

    ur

    argest

    ndustrial

    ector,

    n

    issue

    which akes

    us back

    o

    the real

    reason

    whyAmory

    Lovins's 976

    paper

    was considered

    heresy-democratic

    control. Human-centered

    or

    system

    cen-

    tered

    was

    the

    issue,

    and

    as

    such was not an issue for

    experts-unless

    the

    expert

    is the

    person

    downwind from

    a

    nuclear

    reactor.

    This was an issue

    for

    788

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  • 8/16/2019 NADER_The Harder Path-Shifting Gears

    20/22

    LAURA ADER

    citizens.

    By

    2004,

    the California

    nergy

    risisof

    2000-2001 s

    being

    ought

    out

    in

    the courtsas an

    energyconspiracy, conspiracy

    y

    meansof a series of

    schemesknownwithin

    Enron s Death

    Star,

    Get

    Shorty,

    Ricochet,

    nd others

    (Corporate

    rime

    Reporter,

    ol.

    18,

    No.

    32,

    Aug.

    2004).

    Concluding

    Comments:

    A

    Blind

    Eye

    Inthe

    1950s

    James

    D.

    Conant,

    ne of the

    2

    overseers f the

    Manhattan

    roject

    and

    president

    f

    Harvard

    niversity,

    hought

    hat

    by

    the

    end of the

    century

    solar

    energy

    would

    be "the

    dominating

    actor

    n

    the

    production

    f industrial

    power"Hershberg963:595).He had in mind a vast technicalundertaking

    modeled fter he

    Manhattan

    roject.

    Conanthe chemist

    also referredo "our

    friends he atomic

    physicists"

    s the modern

    lchemists.Casks

    hat are inches

    thick

    won't

    leak,

    but

    they

    do. Hanfords

    leaking

    nto the

    Columbia iver.

    Nuclearwaste is

    being

    transported

    ack o

    the US

    hrough

    he

    Bay

    Area or

    national

    ecurity

    easons,

    utthere s a

    security roblem

    n that

    very ransport.

    The

    Titanic ouldn't

    be

    sunk,

    butthe

    unsinkable

    ank.

    The

    nability

    o see

    past

    a

    short

    pan

    of time

    meanswe can't ee what

    kindof a worldwe have

    created.

    Anewworldhasspawnedmultigenerationalechnologieswhosevery ntercon-

    nectedness

    enerates

    ost and

    security

    problems

    s a break n

    the

    chainwill

    reverberate

    hroughout

    he

    society.

    Weneed

    an answer o Otis

    Dudley's ues-

    tion,

    "Are

    he

    people

    who

    got

    us intothis messstill in

    charge?

    f

    so,

    why?"

    nd

    how is

    it

    thatthe

    Germans nd the

    Japanese

    an

    accomplish

    n a

    decadewhat

    the

    United tateshasnot

    beenableto achieve n

    severaldecades? f

    knowledge

    is

    power,

    nthropologists

    ave heirwork ut out

    forthemselves.

    REFERENCES

    Augustine,

    Norman.

    1998.

    "What

    We Don't KnowDoes Hurt

    Us. How Scientific

    Illiteracy

    Hobbles

    Society."

    n

    Science,

    ol. 279.

    Mar.

    3,

    1998.

    Berman,

    DanielM.and

    John

    T.

    O'Connor.

    996. Who

    Owns he Sun?

    People,

    Politics,

    and the

    Struggleor

    a Solar

    Economy.

    White

    River

    unction,

    Vermont:Chelsea

    Green

    Publishing

    Company.

    Braun,Ernest. 995. Resistanceo a NewTechnology:uclearPower, nformation echnology

    and

    Biotechnology.

    Brown,

    erry

    nd Rinaldo

    Brutoco. 997.

    Profiles

    n

    Power-The

    Anti-Nudclear

    ovement nd

    the Dawnof the SolarAge.NewYork:Twayne

    Publishers.

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    http://www.jstor.org/page/info/about/policies/terms.jsphttp://www.jstor.org/page/info/about/policies/terms.jsphttp://www.jstor.org/page/info/about/policies/terms.jsphttp://www.jstor.org/page/info/about/policies/terms.jsp

  • 8/16/2019 NADER_The Harder Path-Shifting Gears

    21/22

    TheHarder

    ath-Shifting

    Gears

    Chen,

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