Multiple Capital Accounting: A New Paradigm for Measurement and Reporting
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Transcript of Multiple Capital Accounting: A New Paradigm for Measurement and Reporting
Mark W. McElroy, Ph.D. Executive Director, Center for Sustainable Organizations
Co-Founding Principal, Thomas & McElroy LLC
Multiple Capital Accounting
New Metrics ’15 October 6, 2015 – Cambridge, MA
MultiCapital Accounting (MCA)
Copyright © 2015 by Mark W. McElroy, Ph.D.
What is MCA? • Arguably the most pervasive principle found in the
100+ year old literature on sustainability – That the performance of a society or organization is best
understood in terms of what its impacts on vital capitals are, and with specific reference to their limits
– Vital capitals: natural, human, social, constructed, intellectual and economic
1
“Only the second revolution in accounting since double-entry
bookkeeping began” and “of seismic proportions”
Jane Gleeson-White Six Capitals
Copyright © 2015 by Mark W. McElroy, Ph.D.
MCA now also standards-based • International Integrated Reporting Council (IIRC)
• Sustainability Accounting Standards Board (SASB)
• Global Initiative for Sustainability Ratings (GISR)
“Integrated thinking is the active consideration by an organization of the relationships between its various operating and functional units and the capitals that the organization uses or affects.” (12/13)
“Leading reporting initiatives such as IIRC and SASB include references to multiple, or ‘vital,’ capitals. GISR embraces the multiple capitals framework as well.” (12/13)
“Material sustainability issues arise in industries that rely on common capitals as a source of value creation, beyond financial or manufactured capital … Common capitals, as used in this Framework, include natural capital … and human capital.” (10/13)
Copyright © 2015 by Mark W. McElroy, Ph.D. 2
MCA: What does it do for us? • Provides us with a theory of performance that
addresses the subject in all of its dimensions in an integrated way – A basis for operationalizing the Triple Bottom Line!
• Applies common principles to measuring, managing and reporting financial and non-financial performance, both
• Makes meaningful Integrated Reporting possible (i.e., per the IIRC)
– A basis for quantifying and monetizing intangible asset elements of market value (now upwards of 80% of market caps)
• Treats intangibles as capitals • Interprets externalities as impacts on capitals
• Also provides a basis for making integrated materiality determinations (stakeholder capitals!)
3 Copyright © 2015 by Mark W. McElroy, Ph.D.
What is capital?
A stock of anything that yields a flow of valuable goods or services
Based upon Fisher, 1906; Boulding, 1949; Hicks, 1974; El Serafy, 1991; Ekins, 1992; Costanza and Daly, 1992; Porritt, 2005; and many others.
Copyright © 2015 by Mark W. McElroy, Ph.D. 4
What are the capitals? • In broad strokes, there are six of them:
– Natural – Human – Social (and Relationship) – Manufactured (or Constructed or Built) – Economic (or Financial) – Intellectual
• Since Intellectual Capital is embedded in many of the others, 5-capital models are also common
• How we slice and dice capitals is of less importance than that our accounting be capital based in the first instance!
Copyright © 2015 by Mark W. McElroy, Ph.D. 5
The IIRC’s 6-capital model
Copyright © 2015 by Mark W. McElroy, Ph.D. 6
Notable 5-capital models
SIGMA (2003) Forum for the Future (2005)
Copyright © 2015 by Mark W. McElroy, Ph.D. 7
How capitals relate to the TBL
Copyright © 2015 by Mark W. McElroy, Ph.D. 8
Source: Thomas & McElroy
Available flows of valuable goods
and services (carrying capacity)
Appropriations of stocks and flows by stakeholders who
need them
Resulting levels of stakeholder
well-being
Organizations can, do and/or should have impacts on vital capitals
Stocks of natural capital
Stocks of human capital
Stocks of social capital
Stocks of constructed capital
Stocks of economic capital
What makes MCA relevant?
Organizational impacts on carrying capacities of
capitals affect human well-being!
Organizational Performance Affects Them!
Copyright © 2015 by Mark W. McElroy, Ph.D. 9
How can MCA be done? • The standards are principles-based only, so we’re
left to our own devices when it comes to methods • There are arguably two schools of thought or broad
approaches as to how MCA should be done: 1. Market Value (MV) 2. Triple Bottom Line (TBL)
• MV school is about measuring and monetizing intangibles and externalities as a basis for explain-ing market caps and the ability to create $ value
• TBL school, by contrast, is about assessing impacts on vital capitals as a basis for determining the overall performance of organizations
Copyright © 2015 by Mark W. McElroy, Ph.D. 10
Are there any MCA methods? • Market Value School
– First, this is arguably the IIRC’s school of thought because it stresses measurement, management and reporting of capital impacts primarily for the benefit of shareholders
– Prominent illustrations of this approach include the EP&L method (pioneered at Puma); the TIMM method (proprietary PwC tool); and Ernst & Young’s approach to Integrated Reporting
– Forthcoming Natural Capital Protocol may also fit in here
• Triple Bottom Line School – So far only one method extant: the MultiCapital Scorecard*
• A capital-, context-based and open-source TBL system • Early users include Ben & Jerry’s, New Chapter and Cabot
Copyright © 2015 by Mark W. McElroy, Ph.D. 11
*Source: Thomas & McElroy LLC
The MultiCapital Scorecard • A context-based approach to TBL measurement
and reporting (defines company-specific standards of performance on a bottom-up basis)
• A three-step process: 1. Scoping and Materiality – Identify duties and
obligations for what an organization’s impacts on vital capitals must be in order to be sustainable; results in identification of related Areas of Impact (AOIs)
2. AOI Development – Define company-specific goals and standards of performance for each AOI, context-based metrics and associated data collection protocols
3. Scorecard Implementation – Operationalize Scorecard in order to measure, manage and report performance
Copyright © 2015 by Mark W. McElroy, Ph.D. 12
Reporting in the MultiCapital Scorecard • Performance is reported at 3 levels of analysis:
1. The individual Area of Impact (AOI) level 2. The Operating Unit level 3. The Consolidated Operations level
2019 – Company ABC
Bottom Li
ne
Areas o
f Impact/
(Cap
itals)
Progre
ssion Sco
re
Weight
Weighte
d Score
Fully Susta
inable Sco
re
Gap to Fu
lly Susta
inable
Area of I
mpact B
ottom
Line
Triple
Bottom Line
NotesA B C D
A x B B x 3 D - C C / D
Living Wage (H) 3 1 3 3 0 100%
Workplace Safety (H,S,C) 3 5 15 15 0 100%
Innovative Capacity (H,S,C) 1 2 2 6 4 33%
Equity (E:IF) 3 5 15 15 0 100%
Borrowings (E:IF) 2 1 2 3 1 67%
Competitive Practices (E:EF & ENF) 2 1 2 3 1 67%
Water Supplies (N) 3 3 9 9 0 100%
Solid Wastes (N) 2 2 4 6 2 67%
The Climate System (N) 2 5 10 15 5 67%
62 75 13 83%
Economic 90%
Environmental 77%
Overall Performance
Social 83%
Notes
Turnover (millions)
SizingMax Fully Sustainable
Score
Sized Fully Sustainable
ScoreABC 100$ 33.3% 75 25DEF 150$ 50.0% 75 37.5GHI 50$ 16.7% 75 12.5Group 300$ 100% 225 75
Bottom Line CompanyWeighted Score
Fully Sustainable
Score
Bottom line by company
SizingSized
Weighted Score
Sized Fully Sustainable
Score
Consolidated Sized Score
Consolidated Potential Score
Consolidated Bottom Line
ABC 20 24 83% 33.3% 6.7 8.0DEF 14 21 67% 50.0% 7.0 10.5GHI 14 21 67% 16.7% 2.3 3.5ABC 19 21 90% 33.3% 6.3 7.0DEF 16 24 67% 50.0% 8.0 12.0GHI 20 30 67% 16.7% 3.3 5.0ABC 23 30 77% 33.3% 7.7 10.0DEF 20 30 67% 50.0% 10.0 15.0GHI 16 24 67% 16.7% 2.7 4.0
83%67%67%
54.00 75.00 72%
Bottom Line CompanyWeighted Score
Fully Sustainable
Score
Bottom line by company
SizingSized
Weighted Score
Sized Fully Sustainable
Score
Consolidated Sized Score
Consolidated Potential Score
Consolidated Bottom Line
ABC 15 15 100% 33.3% 5.0 5DEF 10 15 67% 50.0% 5.0 7.5GHI 10 15 67% 16.7% 1.7 2.5ABC 10 15 67% 33.3% 3.3 5DEF 10 15 67% 50.0% 5.0 7.5GHI 10 15 67% 16.7% 1.7 2.5
Sizing
2019 -‐ Consolidated
Social 16.0 22.0 73%
Company TotalsABCDEFGHI
Consolidated Total
Economic 17.7 24.0 74%
Environmental 20.3 29.0 70%
Centrally
Determ
ined
Areas
of Im
pact Equity 11.7 15.0 78%
The Climate System
10.0 15.0 67%
13
Area of Impact Operating Unit Consolidated Operations
Copyright © 2015 by Mark W. McElroy, Ph.D.
Reporting at the Operating Unit Level: A MultiCapital Scorecard
Capitals: C = Constructed* EE = External Economic* H = Human* IE = Internal Economic* N = Natural S = Social & Relationship* *Usually includes embedded Intellectual Capital
2019 – Company ABC
Bottom Li
ne
Areas o
f Impact/
(Cap
itals)
Progre
ssion Sco
re
Weight
Weighte
d Score
Fully Susta
inable Sco
re
Gap to Fu
lly Susta
inable
Area of I
mpact B
ottom
Line
Triple
Bottom Line
NotesA B C D
A x B B x 3 D - C C / D
Living Wage (H) 3 1 3 3 0 100%
Workplace Safety (H,S,C) 3 5 15 15 0 100%
Innovative Capacity (H,S,C) 1 2 2 6 4 33%
Equity (E:IF) 3 5 15 15 0 100%
Borrowings (E:IF) 2 1 2 3 1 67%
Competitive Practices (E:EF & ENF) 2 1 2 3 1 67%
Water Supplies (N) 3 3 9 9 0 100%
Solid Wastes (N) 2 2 4 6 2 67%
The Climate System (N) 2 5 10 15 5 67%
62 75 13 83%
Economic 90%
Environmental 77%
Overall Performance
Social 83%
Notes
14
Note: The Areas of Impact shown here are purely illustrative and are otherwise always company-specific.
Copyright © 2015 by Mark W. McElroy, Ph.D.
The Business Case for MCA (and CSR)
Copyright © 2015 by Mark W. McElroy, Ph.D.
What’s the business case for MCA? • Two schools of thought:
1. You genuinely want your organization to be sustainable • Can’t manage it unless you measure it • No better way to do that than by measuring and managing
performance relative to impacts on vital capitals! 2. You want to reap the economic and business benefits of
operating sustainably in more conventional terms 1. Lower costs, higher revenue, more effective employee
recruiting and retention, lower risk, etc.) … i.e., operating benefits
2. While also reaping the benefits of CSR performance on market value – a powerful new business case! – A convergence of the MV and TBL schools – Whereby strong non-financial performance is material
to, and measurably drives, market capitalization
Copyright © 2015 by Mark W. McElroy, Ph.D. 16
1
The economic case for ‘good citizenship, CSR, ESG, and sustainability’ credentials ... uncovering the tangible side of the intangible
Simon Cole Founding Partner
October 6th, 2015
© Reputation Dividend
2
Over the next 40 minutes...
1. The seeds of the opportunity
2. Why the economic value of ‘corporate reputation’ matters
3. How we can measure it
4. How measurement informs better management...the implications for sustainability credentials
The tangible side of the intangible
© Reputation Dividend
3
...we are an independent consultancy
...we were founded in 2010
...we support corporate brand owners in their pursuit of more effective messaging
...we work in association with partners in capital markets advisory, consultancy and communications
Some words of introduction
© Reputation Dividend
4
Walmart aiming to save $3.5bn by reducing supplier packaging
DuPont cutting $2bn costs and reducing greenhouse gas emissions over 10 years by investing in energy efficiency
SRI assets under management c15% of 2015 total1
87% of consumers ‘concerned’ for environment, 54% ‘willing’ to pay a premium to act on it2
76% of CEOs consider that strong sustainability contributes positively to their business in the long term2
1: IFC/World Bank, The Business Case for Sustainability, 2: McKinsey, The business of sustainability (2011)
The business case is getting stronger and stronger
© Reputation Dividend
5
Top 3 reasons that respondents’ organisations address sustainability
2010 2011 2012 2014
Alignment
Align with company’s business goals, mission, or values
21%
31% 30%
43%
2010 2011 2012 2014
Reputation
Build, maintain, or improve corporate reputation
36% 32%
35% 36%
2010 2011 2012 2014
Cost cutting
Improve operational efficiency and lower costs
19%
33% 36%
26%
Company leaders are rallying to sustainability...it is (increasingly) seen to matter...the dots are connecting
Source: 2014 global survey on reputation risk
© Reputation Dividend
6
Increased efficiency of waste reduction • 88% of sustainability reporters reported
‘enhanced management decision making’1
Improved access to capital • Sustainability reporting linked to fewer capital
constraints2
Meeting employee expectations • 30%+ reported increased employee
loyalty...with implications for higher retention, lower turnover, recruitment costs etc3
Better reputation • 50%+ of sustainability reporters cited
‘improved corporate reputations’4
And the value of reporting is being recognised
1:BlackSun (2012), 2:Social Science Research Network (2011), 3:EY/Green Biz (2011), 4:Boston College Center for Corporate Citizenship/EY (2013)
© Reputation Dividend
7
“The sum of all the thoughts, feelings, associations and impressions that come to mind when thinking of the corporate entity”
Many and various
© Reputation Dividend
8
Leading
Profitable Trus
twor
thy
Innovative
Over bearing
Car
ing
Ethical...or not
Mea
sure
d
Cynical
Nim
ble Aggressive
Uncaring Nurturing
Fast
Ada
ptab
le
Une
xcitin
g
Domineering Considerate
Me-too
Led well
Clinical
Err??
...demanding measurement to underpin management
© Reputation Dividend
9
Tangible asset value as a % of market
capitalization across the S&P 500
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
1975 1985 1995 2005 2015
Intangible value Tangible value
17%
80% 68%
32%
83%
Why reputation measurement matters
Source: Ocean Tomo/Standard & Poor’s
1) The relentless rise in the value of intangibles…
© Reputation Dividend
10
Why reputation measurement matters
1) The relentless rise in the value of intangibles…
2) The rise of the referential consumer
© Reputation Dividend
11
... of executives rate reputation risk as more important than other strategic risks.
87% ... of companies that experienced a negative reputation event reported loss ... of revenue.
41% Reputation risk is a board and C-Suite issue... the responsibility of: The CEO – 36% The CRO – 21% The board – 12% The CFO – 11%
Why reputation measurement matters
1) The relentless rise in the value of intangibles…
2) The rise of the referential consumer
3) The c-suite is recognizing the downside
Source: 2014 global survey on reputation risk
© Reputation Dividend
12
“ ...reputation is now one of the most important factors in any assessment of a company’s value.
A good or bad reputation will be reflected in any share forecast we make
Reputation sits at the core of our investment principles. ”
Why reputation measurement matters
1) The relentless rise in the value of intangibles…
2) The rise of the referential consumer
3) The c-suite is recognizing the downside
4) Investors are appreciating the upside
Source: ‘How the people who value companies value reputation’
© Reputation Dividend
13
1) The relentless rise in the value of intangibles…
2) The rise of the referential consumer
3) The c-suite is recognizing the downside
4) Investors are appreciating the upside
5) Traditional metrics have come up short
‘Reputation value’ ...market confidence in expected economic returns
‘Brand value’... turning customer support into economic profit
‘Employee brand value’ ...leveraging employee engagement for economic advantage
Why reputation measurement matters
© Reputation Dividend
14
Underpinning investor confidence
Supporting and elevating share price –
the Reputation Contribution
REPUTATION BELIEF
EXPECTATIONS OF FUTURE BEHAVIORS BASED ON PAST PERFORMANCE
THE AGGREGATE “ANALYSIS” OF PAST BEHAVIOUR
Reputation builds ‘trust’…and, ultimately, tangible economic value
© Reputation Dividend
"We can afford to lose money — even a lot of money. But we can't
afford to lose reputation — even a shred of
reputation.”
15 © Reputation Dividend
16 16
So how do we measure it?
© Reputation Dividend
17
Profitability
Macro forces
Market perceptions
Product brand experience
News flow
Creating shareholder value
Underpinning
confidence in the ability to deliver economic return
Allocation of capital
Commercials e.g. marketing
Industry dynamics and networking
Perceptions of the management
‘reputation’
Investor behavior provides the foundation for understanding the impact of reputation
© Reputation Dividend
18
Ø Proprietary research Ø What is being said about the company Ø Mainstream business press
Media
Ø Sourced among ‘professional’ stakeholders Ø Collected ‘thoughts and feelings’ Ø Raw measures from Most Admired
Companies reports
Reputation
Ø Reported performance Ø Analysts consensus forecasts Ø Company and third-party sources
Financial
Three inputs…hard data
© Reputation Dividend
19
Stage 1 – The ‘general model’ of investor behaviour: o Inputs from three sources – news media, Fortune and Management Today’s
Most Admired Companies research, Factset/Bloomberg etc
o Regression analysis to test combinations of financial and reputational drivers of market cap
o Re-calibrated annually using 700+ of the world’s largest listed companies
o Trending and modelling data over eight years
…informing a two stage modeling process
© Reputation Dividend
20
Stage 1 – The ‘general model’ of investor behaviour: o Inputs from three sources – news media, Fortune and Management Today’s
Most Admired Companies research, Factset/Bloomberg etc
o Regression analysis to test combinations of financial and reputational drivers of market cap
o Re-calibrated annually using 700+ of the world’s largest listed companies
o Trending and modelling data over eight years
Stage 2 – Analysing company performance through the lens of the general model
o Isolate the economic contribution of company reputation assets ... as a whole and for individual components
o Calculate stock price implications of changes to the reputation profile
• Value lost through reputation degradation
• Value gained through reputation enhancement
o Identify implications for corporate communications and messaging
…informing a two stage modeling process
© Reputation Dividend
Statistical analysis of hard data
Informed by financial metrics and empirical reputation research data
Repeatable and stable
Objective...
21
…to make the link between corporate reputation and share price
© Reputation Dividend
/
22
Company DomicileReputation Contribution
Reputation Value (Dec 14/Jan 15)
UK 49.7% $61.3bn
US 49.5% $323.4bn
US 49.4% $78.4bn
US 48.6% $187.7bn
UK 48.4% $35.3bn
UK 48.2% $7.7bn
UK 47.3% $50.4bn
UK 47.3% $5.1bn
US 47.2% $166.9bn
UK 46.3% $4.8bn
Ten of the most potent reputations – US and UK – $921bn of shareholder value
© Reputation Dividend
23
Why measurement informs better management...the implications for sustainability credentials
© Reputation Dividend
24
Reputation Driver Interest The Return on Reputation Investment
Rel
ativ
e va
lue
impa
ct 1.6X
0.8X
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
1. Because investor side interest in reputational characteristics varies from factor to factor
© Reputation Dividend
25
Reputation Driver Interest The Return on Reputation Investment
Rel
ativ
e va
lue
impa
ct 1.6X
0.8X
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
1. Because investor side interest in reputational characteristics varies from factor to factor
© Reputation Dividend
26
Global competitiveness
Use of corporate assets
Financial soundness
Quality of management
Long term investment potential
People management 16%
14%
13%
13%
11%
1%
$3,329bn of shareholder value at Jan 2015 (17% of the combined market capitalization)
11%
10%
13%
Social responsibility
Innovation
Quality of products/services
2. Because ‘CSR’ credentials are already accounting for a substantial proportion of reputation value
© Reputation Dividend
27
Global competitiveness
Use of corporate assets
Financial soundness
Quality of management
Long term investment potential
People management 16%
14%
13%
13%
11%
1%
$3,329bn of shareholder value at Jan 2015 (17% of the combined market capitalization)
10.7%
10%
ð$356bn
13%
Social responsibility
Innovation
Quality of products/services
2. Because ‘CSR’ credentials are already accounting for a substantial proportion of reputation value
© Reputation Dividend
-‐6%
-‐4%
-‐2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
28
8.9%
8.1%
6.9%
6.7%
6.5%
-5.9%
-5.6%
-5.3%
-4.0%
-5.9%
3. Because generalizations fall short, the average hides a wide range of winners and losers
© Reputation Dividend
-‐
0.04
0.08
0.12
0.16
0% 5% 10% 15% 20%
29
Factor Contribu-on
Rela-ve Va
lue Grow
th Poten
-al
Value as a long term
investment
Quality of management
Use of corporate assets
Corporate & social
responsibility
Global compe::veness
Quality of products & services
People management
Innova:on
Value Growth Poten-al
Value Security
Financial soundness
4. Because companies need a compass for messaging …and behavior, to plan for value management
© Reputation Dividend
30
1. There is solid, objective evidence to be had as to the economic benefit of reputation credentials for sustainability
2. The implications for corporate strategy are clear and profound
3. The challenge is to integrate the case into the communications strategy
4. The benefits in terms of RoI can be substantial
In sum...the business case for sustainability credentials has just become even stronger
© Reputation Dividend
“...studies like this should focus the minds of all those in positions of corporate power”
31 © Reputation Dividend