Multinational Planning Augmentation Team (MPAT) (MPAT) Mission Analysis Purpos e Discuss techniques...

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Multinational Planning Augmentation Team Multinational Planning Augmentation Team (MPAT) (MPAT) Mission Analysis Mission Analysis Purpos Purpos e e Discuss techniques and Discuss techniques and procedures for conducting an procedures for conducting an operational level mission operational level mission analysis for multinational analysis for multinational operations operations References References Joint Publication 3-0, Doctrine for Joint Publication 3-0, Doctrine for Joint Operations, 1 Feb 1995 Joint Operations, 1 Feb 1995 JP 3-07.6, Joint Tactics, Techniques, and Procedures for Foreign Humanitarian Assistance, 12 Dec 2000 JP 3-16, Joint Doctrine for Multinational JP 3-16, Joint Doctrine for Multinational Operations, 5 April 2000 Operations, 5 April 2000 JP 5-00.2, Joint Task Force Planning JP 5-00.2, Joint Task Force Planning Guidance and Procedures, 13 Jan 1999 Guidance and Procedures, 13 Jan 1999 Chairman, Joint Chiefs of Staff Manual Chairman, Joint Chiefs of Staff Manual 3500.05, JTF Headquarters Master Training 3500.05, JTF Headquarters Master Training Guide, 15 Apr 1997 Guide, 15 Apr 1997 US-Thailand HQ and Staff Planning US-Thailand HQ and Staff Planning -First step of Commander’s -First step of Commander’s timate timate process process -Operational level (includes -Operational level (includes strategic strategic military and military and politico-military politico-military objectives) objectives)

Transcript of Multinational Planning Augmentation Team (MPAT) (MPAT) Mission Analysis Purpos e Discuss techniques...

Page 1: Multinational Planning Augmentation Team (MPAT) (MPAT) Mission Analysis Purpos e Discuss techniques and procedures for conducting an operational level.

Multinational Planning Augmentation TeamMultinational Planning Augmentation Team(MPAT)(MPAT)

Multinational Planning Augmentation TeamMultinational Planning Augmentation Team(MPAT)(MPAT)

Mission AnalysisMission AnalysisMission AnalysisMission AnalysisPurposPurpos

eePurposPurpos

eeDiscuss techniques and procedures Discuss techniques and procedures for conducting an operational level for conducting an operational level mission analysis for multinational mission analysis for multinational operationsoperations

Discuss techniques and procedures Discuss techniques and procedures for conducting an operational level for conducting an operational level mission analysis for multinational mission analysis for multinational operationsoperations

ReferencesReferencesReferencesReferences Joint Publication 3-0, Doctrine for Joint Operations, Joint Publication 3-0, Doctrine for Joint Operations,

1 Feb 19951 Feb 1995

JP 3-07.6, Joint Tactics, Techniques, and Procedures

for Foreign Humanitarian Assistance, 12 Dec 2000

JP 3-16, Joint Doctrine for Multinational Operations, JP 3-16, Joint Doctrine for Multinational Operations,

5 April 20005 April 2000

JP 5-00.2, Joint Task Force Planning Guidance and JP 5-00.2, Joint Task Force Planning Guidance and Procedures, 13 Jan 1999Procedures, 13 Jan 1999

Chairman, Joint Chiefs of Staff Manual 3500.05, JTF Chairman, Joint Chiefs of Staff Manual 3500.05, JTF

Headquarters Master Training Guide, 15 Apr 1997Headquarters Master Training Guide, 15 Apr 1997

US-Thailand HQ and Staff Planning Standing US-Thailand HQ and Staff Planning Standing

Operating Procedures (SOP), 17 February 1998Operating Procedures (SOP), 17 February 1998

Joint Publication 3-0, Doctrine for Joint Operations, Joint Publication 3-0, Doctrine for Joint Operations,

1 Feb 19951 Feb 1995

JP 3-07.6, Joint Tactics, Techniques, and Procedures

for Foreign Humanitarian Assistance, 12 Dec 2000

JP 3-16, Joint Doctrine for Multinational Operations, JP 3-16, Joint Doctrine for Multinational Operations,

5 April 20005 April 2000

JP 5-00.2, Joint Task Force Planning Guidance and JP 5-00.2, Joint Task Force Planning Guidance and Procedures, 13 Jan 1999Procedures, 13 Jan 1999

Chairman, Joint Chiefs of Staff Manual 3500.05, JTF Chairman, Joint Chiefs of Staff Manual 3500.05, JTF

Headquarters Master Training Guide, 15 Apr 1997Headquarters Master Training Guide, 15 Apr 1997

US-Thailand HQ and Staff Planning Standing US-Thailand HQ and Staff Planning Standing

Operating Procedures (SOP), 17 February 1998Operating Procedures (SOP), 17 February 1998

-First step of Commander’s Estimate -First step of Commander’s Estimate process process

-Operational level (includes -Operational level (includes strategic strategic military and politico- military and politico-military military objectives) objectives)

-First step of Commander’s Estimate -First step of Commander’s Estimate process process

-Operational level (includes -Operational level (includes strategic strategic military and politico- military and politico-military military objectives) objectives)

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Crisis Action Planning ProcessCrisis Action Planning ProcessCrisis Action Planning ProcessCrisis Action Planning Process

I I Mission AnalysisMission Analysis

I I Mission AnalysisMission Analysis

CCRRIISSIISS

CCRRIISSIISS

IISituationSituation

DevelopmentDevelopment

IISituationSituation

DevelopmentDevelopment

IIIICrisisCrisis

AssessmentAssessment

IIIICrisisCrisis

AssessmentAssessment

IVIVCourse of Course of

ActionActionSelectionSelection

IVIVCourse of Course of

ActionActionSelectionSelection

VVExecutionExecutionPlanningPlanning

VVExecutionExecutionPlanningPlanning

WarningWarningOrderOrder

WarningWarningOrderOrder

PlanningPlanningOrderOrder

PlanningPlanningOrderOrder

AlertAlertOrderOrderAlertAlertOrderOrder

ExecuteExecuteOrderOrder

ExecuteExecuteOrderOrder

OPORD OPORD & &

Deployment Deployment Data BaseData Base

OPORD OPORD & &

Deployment Deployment Data BaseData Base

VIVIExecutionExecution

VIVIExecutionExecution

And/orAnd/orAnd/orAnd/or

IIICourse of

ActionDevelopment

IIIICourse of ActionCourse of Action

DevelopmentDevelopmentIIIIII

Analysis of OpposingAnalysis of OpposingCourses of ActionCourses of Action

IIIIIIAnalysis of OpposingAnalysis of Opposing

Courses of ActionCourses of ActionIVIV

Comparison of OwnComparison of OwnCourses of ActionCourses of Action

IVIVComparison of OwnComparison of OwnCourses of ActionCourses of Action VV

Commander’sCommander’sDecisionDecision

VVCommander’sCommander’s

DecisionDecision

Commander’s Estimate ProcessCommander’s Estimate ProcessCommander’s Estimate ProcessCommander’s Estimate Process

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Mission Analysis ObjectivesMission Analysis ObjectivesMission Analysis ObjectivesMission Analysis Objectives

Common understanding of the problemCommon understanding of the problem

Multinational force (MNF) or CTF restated Multinational force (MNF) or CTF restated

missionmission

Most probable & most challenging or Most probable & most challenging or

dangerous potential change in the situation / dangerous potential change in the situation /

Enemy COA (ECOA)Enemy COA (ECOA)

Commander’s intent and guidanceCommander’s intent and guidance

Common understanding of the problemCommon understanding of the problem

Multinational force (MNF) or CTF restated Multinational force (MNF) or CTF restated

missionmission

Most probable & most challenging or Most probable & most challenging or

dangerous potential change in the situation / dangerous potential change in the situation /

Enemy COA (ECOA)Enemy COA (ECOA)

Commander’s intent and guidanceCommander’s intent and guidance

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Mission AnalysisMission AnalysisJoint Planning GroupJoint Planning GroupMission AnalysisMission Analysis

Joint Planning GroupJoint Planning Group

Core planningCore planninggroupgroup

Core planningCore planninggroupgroup

Joint Joint IntelligenceIntelligence

CenterCenter

Joint Joint IntelligenceIntelligence

CenterCenter

InformationInformationOperationsOperationsInformationInformationOperationsOperations

Special Special OperationsOperations

ForcesForces

Special Special OperationsOperations

ForcesForces

ComponentComponentLiaison Liaison OfficersOfficers

Air/Sea Air/Sea LiftLift

Air/Sea Air/Sea LiftLift

LogisticsLogistics

EngineerEngineer

FiresFires

CommsCommsCommsComms

PersonnelPersonnelPersonnelPersonnel

LegalLegalLegalLegal

PsychologicalPsychologicalOperationsOperations

PsychologicalPsychologicalOperationsOperations CivilCivil

AffairsAffairsCivilCivil

AffairsAffairsPublicPublicAffairsAffairs

TimeTimePhased ForcePhased ForceDeploymentDeployment

DataData

TimeTimePhased ForcePhased ForceDeploymentDeployment

DataData

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Identify Tasks to be Performed

Initial Force Structure Analysis

Initial Risk Assessment

Determine the End State

Develop Mission Statement

Task StepsTask StepsTask StepsTask Steps Determine the Facts

Develop Assumptions

Analyze Mission & Intent

Determine Limitations

Determine Centers of Gravity

Mission AnalysisMission AnalysisMission AnalysisMission Analysis Mission Analysis Brief

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Determine Known Facts, Current Status, Determine Known Facts, Current Status, or Conditionsor Conditions

Determine Known Facts, Current Status, Determine Known Facts, Current Status, or Conditionsor Conditions

Tasking from the national strategic Tasking from the national strategic command of the lead nation (HHQ) will command of the lead nation (HHQ) will normally include the following:normally include the following:

– Situation updateSituation update– Forces available for planningForces available for planning– Time constraints Time constraints – Command relationshipsCommand relationships

Can come in the form of a Can come in the form of a WARNING WARNING ORDER, ALERT ORDER, ORDER, ALERT ORDER, oror PLANNING PLANNING ORDERORDER

Tasking from the national strategic Tasking from the national strategic command of the lead nation (HHQ) will command of the lead nation (HHQ) will normally include the following:normally include the following:

– Situation updateSituation update– Forces available for planningForces available for planning– Time constraints Time constraints – Command relationshipsCommand relationships

Can come in the form of a Can come in the form of a WARNING WARNING ORDER, ALERT ORDER, ORDER, ALERT ORDER, oror PLANNING PLANNING ORDERORDER

Determine the Facts

Develop Assumptions

Analyze Mission & Intent

Determine Limitations

Determine Centers of GravityDetermine Centers of Gravity

Identify Tasks to be PerformedIdentify Tasks to be Performed

Initial Force Structure AnalysisInitial Force Structure Analysis

Mission Analysis BriefMission Analysis Brief

Develop Mission StatementDevelop Mission Statement

Initial Risk Assessment Initial Risk Assessment

Determine the End StateDetermine the End State

Mission AnalysisMission AnalysisMission AnalysisMission Analysis

Initial Risk Assessment

Determine the Facts

Develop Assumptions

Analyze Mission & Intent

Determine Limitations

Initial RiskAssessment

Analysis

Determine Centers of Gravity

Identify Tasks to be Performed

Initial Force Structure Analysis

Mission Analysis Brief

Develop Mission Statement

Determine the End State

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Determine FactsDetermine FactsDetermine FactsDetermine Facts

Using all sources, identify significant and militarily relevant aspects of Using all sources, identify significant and militarily relevant aspects of the environment and the situationthe environment and the situation

Staff sections determine:Staff sections determine:– Current status or condition Current status or condition – Other known factsOther known facts

Monitor joint planning group (CPG) outputsMonitor joint planning group (CPG) outputs

Using all sources, identify significant and militarily relevant aspects of Using all sources, identify significant and militarily relevant aspects of the environment and the situationthe environment and the situation

Staff sections determine:Staff sections determine:– Current status or condition Current status or condition – Other known factsOther known facts

Monitor joint planning group (CPG) outputsMonitor joint planning group (CPG) outputs

CTF StaffCTF Staff

Example: Known Facts, Status, ConditionsExample: Known Facts, Status, ConditionsExample: Known Facts, Status, ConditionsExample: Known Facts, Status, Conditions

Mt Canlaon Volcanic Activity–Last event 3 Nov

–3 plumes 15 km high; ash blowing west 300 km

–97,000 people evacuated from Canloan & La Carlota

–Safe haven camp vicinity San Carlos f/ 100,000

Super Typhoon Julie–Hit southern Philippines 10 Nov (Visayas, N. Mindanao)

–Negros - San Carlos camp (100K) loss of shelter

–454,499 homeless

–38 evacuation centers

Mt Canlaon Volcanic Activity–Last event 3 Nov

–3 plumes 15 km high; ash blowing west 300 km

–97,000 people evacuated from Canloan & La Carlota

–Safe haven camp vicinity San Carlos f/ 100,000

Super Typhoon Julie–Hit southern Philippines 10 Nov (Visayas, N. Mindanao)

–Negros - San Carlos camp (100K) loss of shelter

–454,499 homeless

–38 evacuation centers

Status as of 12 Nov 00–Dead 326

–Injured 464

–Missing 206

–Affected 3M

–Homeless 460K

Status as of 12 Nov 00–Dead 326

–Injured 464

–Missing 206

–Affected 3M

–Homeless 460K

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Determine FactsDetermine FactsDetermine FactsDetermine Facts

HHQ mission, intent, concepts Forces available, readiness status

Review lift priority and allocation

Other organizations available

Host nation’s / coalition governments’ political situation

Host nation ability to respond

Time analysis

HHQ mission, intent, concepts Forces available, readiness status

Review lift priority and allocation

Other organizations available

Host nation’s / coalition governments’ political situation

Host nation ability to respond

Time analysis

CPGCPGCPGCPG Logistical readiness of the forceLogistical readiness of the force

Availability of support and infrastructure Availability of support and infrastructure in operations areain operations area

Deployment estimatesDeployment estimates

Host nation support (HNS)Host nation support (HNS)

Logistical readiness of the forceLogistical readiness of the force

Availability of support and infrastructure Availability of support and infrastructure in operations areain operations area

Deployment estimatesDeployment estimates

Host nation support (HNS)Host nation support (HNS)

C4-LogisticsC4-LogisticsC4-LogisticsC4-Logistics

Page 9: Multinational Planning Augmentation Team (MPAT) (MPAT) Mission Analysis Purpos e Discuss techniques and procedures for conducting an operational level.

Aerial Ports of Debarkation (APODs)

APOD Runway Maximum Fuel On-Site Capability on ground Storage Maintenance

Palawan C-141 a/c 2 a/c 30,000 gal. No

Cebu C-5 a/c 6 a/c 200,000 gal. Yes

City X

City Y

City Z

Page 10: Multinational Planning Augmentation Team (MPAT) (MPAT) Mission Analysis Purpos e Discuss techniques and procedures for conducting an operational level.

Over flight / basing rightsOver flight / basing rights Transient personnel stagingTransient personnel staging Logistics support (facilities and HNS)Logistics support (facilities and HNS) Agreements in force (status of forces, treaties, etc.)Agreements in force (status of forces, treaties, etc.)

Determine FactsDetermine Facts

C5-Plans and PolicyC5-Plans and Policy Political considerations:Political considerations:

C6-CommunicationsC6-CommunicationsC6-CommunicationsC6-Communications Available communications resourcesAvailable communications resources

Communications readiness of Communications readiness of available forcesavailable forces

Communications requirementsCommunications requirements

Available communications resourcesAvailable communications resources

Communications readiness of Communications readiness of available forcesavailable forces

Communications requirementsCommunications requirements

Page 11: Multinational Planning Augmentation Team (MPAT) (MPAT) Mission Analysis Purpos e Discuss techniques and procedures for conducting an operational level.

A supposition on the current situation, A supposition on the current situation, or a presupposition on the future course or a presupposition on the future course of events, either or both of events, either or both assumed to be assumed to be true in the absence of positive prooftrue in the absence of positive proof, , necessarynecessary to enable the commander, in to enable the commander, in the process of planning, to the process of planning, to complete an complete an estimateestimate of the situation and of the situation and make a make a decisiondecision on the course of action. on the course of action.

A supposition on the current situation, A supposition on the current situation, or a presupposition on the future course or a presupposition on the future course of events, either or both of events, either or both assumed to be assumed to be true in the absence of positive prooftrue in the absence of positive proof, , necessarynecessary to enable the commander, in to enable the commander, in the process of planning, to the process of planning, to complete an complete an estimateestimate of the situation and of the situation and make a make a decisiondecision on the course of action. on the course of action.

AssumptionAssumptionAssumptionAssumption

Mission AnalysisMission AnalysisMission AnalysisMission Analysis

Initial Risk Assessment Initial Risk Assessment

Determine the Facts

Develop Assumptions

Analyze Mission & Intent

Determine Limitations

Determine Centers of GravityDetermine Centers of Gravity

Identify Tasks to be PerformedIdentify Tasks to be Performed

Initial Force Structure AnalysisInitial Force Structure Analysis

Mission Analysis BriefMission Analysis Brief

Develop Mission StatementDevelop Mission Statement

Determine the End StateDetermine the End State

Initial Risk Assessment

Determine the Facts

Develop Assumptions

Analyze Mission & Intent

Determine Limitations

Initial RiskAssessment

Analysis

Determine Centers of Gravity

Identify Tasks to be Performed

Initial Force Structure Analysis

Mission Analysis Brief

Develop Mission Statement

Determine the End State

Page 12: Multinational Planning Augmentation Team (MPAT) (MPAT) Mission Analysis Purpos e Discuss techniques and procedures for conducting an operational level.

Develop AssumptionsDevelop AssumptionsDevelop AssumptionsDevelop Assumptions Replace missing or unknown facts in planning May cover

– Belligerent Situation

– Friendly Situation

– Success of supporting operations

– Environment

Must be logical, realistic, and essential for planning to continue Never assume away belligerent capabilities

Replace missing or unknown facts in planning May cover

– Belligerent Situation

– Friendly Situation

– Success of supporting operations

– Environment

Must be logical, realistic, and essential for planning to continue Never assume away belligerent capabilities

Example: Planning AssumptionsExample: Planning Assumptions Host country will allow temporary basing of Troop Contributing Nations (TCNs)

APODs and sea ports of debarkation (SPODs) are operational

TCNs are self-sustaining for first 72 hours

Weather will remain favorable for duration of mission

No other contingencies for USPACOM for duration of mission

Host nation will be the CTF lead nation

Host country will allow temporary basing of Troop Contributing Nations (TCNs)

APODs and sea ports of debarkation (SPODs) are operational

TCNs are self-sustaining for first 72 hours

Weather will remain favorable for duration of mission

No other contingencies for USPACOM for duration of mission

Host nation will be the CTF lead nation

Page 13: Multinational Planning Augmentation Team (MPAT) (MPAT) Mission Analysis Purpos e Discuss techniques and procedures for conducting an operational level.

Analyze HHQ Mission and IntentAnalyze HHQ Mission and IntentAnalyze HHQ Mission and IntentAnalyze HHQ Mission and Intent Political end statePolitical end state HHQ mission, intent, and HHQ mission, intent, and strategicstrategic military military

end stateend state Define and analyze the operations areaDefine and analyze the operations area Identify tasks from outside the military Identify tasks from outside the military

– National public statements National public statements

– National political influence: are there any National political influence: are there any limitations?limitations?

– International organizations (IO), non-International organizations (IO), non-governmental organizations (NGO), & regional governmental organizations (NGO), & regional organizations involvedorganizations involved

– Contracts with private businessesContracts with private businesses

Political end statePolitical end state HHQ mission, intent, and HHQ mission, intent, and strategicstrategic military military

end stateend state Define and analyze the operations areaDefine and analyze the operations area Identify tasks from outside the military Identify tasks from outside the military

– National public statements National public statements

– National political influence: are there any National political influence: are there any limitations?limitations?

– International organizations (IO), non-International organizations (IO), non-governmental organizations (NGO), & regional governmental organizations (NGO), & regional organizations involvedorganizations involved

– Contracts with private businessesContracts with private businesses

Mission AnalysisMission AnalysisMission AnalysisMission Analysis

Determine the Facts

Develop Assumptions

Analyze Mission & Intent

Determine Limitations

Initial Risk Assessment

Determine Centers of GravityDetermine Centers of Gravity

Identify Tasks to be PerformedIdentify Tasks to be Performed

Initial Force StructureAnalysisInitial Force StructureAnalysis

Mission Analysis BriefMission Analysis Brief

Develop Mission StatementDevelop Mission Statement

Determine the End StateDetermine the End State

Initial Risk Assessment

Determine the Facts

Develop Assumptions

Analyze Mission & Intent

Determine Limitations

Initial RiskAssessment

Analysis

Determine Centers of Gravity

Identify Tasks to be Performed

Initial Force Structure Analysis

Mission Analysis Brief

Develop Mission Statement

Determine the End State

Page 14: Multinational Planning Augmentation Team (MPAT) (MPAT) Mission Analysis Purpos e Discuss techniques and procedures for conducting an operational level.

Determine LimitationsDetermine LimitationsDetermine LimitationsDetermine Limitations

Limitations placed on the CTFLimitations placed on the CTF

– Constraints: Things the CTF Constraints: Things the CTF

must domust do

– Restraints: Things the CTF Restraints: Things the CTF

cannot docannot do

Imposed by higher headquartersImposed by higher headquarters

Implied by conditions, Implied by conditions,

circumstancescircumstances

Limitations placed on the CTFLimitations placed on the CTF

– Constraints: Things the CTF Constraints: Things the CTF

must domust do

– Restraints: Things the CTF Restraints: Things the CTF

cannot docannot do

Imposed by higher headquartersImposed by higher headquarters

Implied by conditions, Implied by conditions,

circumstancescircumstances

Mission AnalysisMission AnalysisMission AnalysisMission Analysis

Determine the Facts

Develop Assumptions

Analyze Mission & Intent

Determine Limitations

Determine Centers of GravityDetermine Centers of Gravity

Identify Tasks to be PerformedIdentify Tasks to be Performed

Initial Force Structure AnalysisInitial Force Structure Analysis

Mission Analysis BriefMission Analysis Brief

Develop Mission StatementDevelop Mission Statement

Determine the End StateDetermine the End State

Initial Risk Assessment

Determine the Facts

Develop Assumptions

Analyze Mission & Intent

Determine Limitations

Initial RiskAssessment

Analysis

Determine Centers of Gravity

Identify Tasks to be Performed

Initial Force Structure Analysis

Mission Analysis Brief

Develop Mission Statement

Determine the End State

Page 15: Multinational Planning Augmentation Team (MPAT) (MPAT) Mission Analysis Purpos e Discuss techniques and procedures for conducting an operational level.

Determine Centers of GravityDetermine Centers of GravityDetermine Centers of GravityDetermine Centers of Gravity

Definition: Those characteristics, capabilities, or localities from which a military force derives its freedom of action, physical strength or will to fight.

Analyze both threat and friendly centers of gravity – Used as a tool to help determine strengths and

weaknesses

Some examples of friendly centers of gravity for HA / DR include:

– Airlift, speed of response, coalition cohesion

Definition: Those characteristics, capabilities, or localities from which a military force derives its freedom of action, physical strength or will to fight.

Analyze both threat and friendly centers of gravity – Used as a tool to help determine strengths and

weaknesses

Some examples of friendly centers of gravity for HA / DR include:

– Airlift, speed of response, coalition cohesion

Mission AnalysisMission AnalysisMission AnalysisMission Analysis

Determine the Facts

Develop Assumptions

Analyze Mission & Intent

Determine Limitations

Determine Centers Of Gravity

Identify Tasks to be PerformedIdentify Tasks to be Performed

Initial Force Structure AnalysisInitial Force Structure Analysis

Mission Analysis BriefMission Analysis Brief

Develop Mission StatementDevelop Mission Statement

Conduct Initial Risk AssessmentConduct Initial Risk Assessment

Determine the End StateDetermine the End State

Initial Risk Assessment

Determine the Facts

Develop Assumptions

Analyze Mission & Intent

Determine Limitations

Initial RiskAssessment

Analysis

Identify Tasks to be Performed

Initial Force Structure Analysis

Mission Analysis Brief

Develop Mission Statement

Determine the End State

Page 16: Multinational Planning Augmentation Team (MPAT) (MPAT) Mission Analysis Purpos e Discuss techniques and procedures for conducting an operational level.

Identify TasksIdentify TasksIdentify TasksIdentify Tasks

SpecifiedSpecified -- Stated in the HHQ -- Stated in the HHQ directivedirective

ImpliedImplied -- Not stated, but -- Not stated, but necessary to do the missionnecessary to do the mission

EssentialEssential -- Of the above, those -- Of the above, those which must be done to achieve which must be done to achieve successsuccess

SpecifiedSpecified -- Stated in the HHQ -- Stated in the HHQ directivedirective

ImpliedImplied -- Not stated, but -- Not stated, but necessary to do the missionnecessary to do the mission

EssentialEssential -- Of the above, those -- Of the above, those which must be done to achieve which must be done to achieve successsuccess

Mission AnalysisMission AnalysisMission AnalysisMission Analysis

Determine Centers of GravityDetermine Centers of Gravity

Determine the Facts

Develop Assumptions

Analyze Mission & Intent

Determine Limitations

Identify Tasks to be Performed

Initial Force Structure AnalysisInitial Force Structure Analysis

Mission Analysis BriefMission Analysis Brief

Develop Mission StatementDevelop Mission Statement

Conduct Initial Risk AssessmentConduct Initial Risk Assessment

Determine the End StateDetermine the End State

Determine Centers of Gravity Determine Centers of Gravity

Initial Risk Assessment

Determine the Facts

Develop Assumptions

Analyze Mission & Intent

Determine Limitations

Initial RiskAssessment

Analysis

Determine Centers of Gravity

Identify Tasks to be Performed

Initial Force Structure Analysis

Mission Analysis Brief

Develop Mission Statement

Determine the End State

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Mission Analysis WorksheetMission Analysis Worksheet

TasksTasks

Specified

Implied

Essential

(1) Conduct needs assessment(2) Deploy forces(3) Provide HA/DR support to host nation

(1) Coordinate with NGOs & IOs(2) Provide force protection

(1) Deploy forces(2) Provide HA/DR support to host nation(3) Provide force protection

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Specified & Implied TasksSpecified & Implied TasksSpecified & Implied TasksSpecified & Implied Tasks

x

x

x

xx

x

x

x

x

x

TASK Army Navy AF USMC SOF

1. Initial Assessment

2. Coordinate w/ NGOs

3. Port security

4. Provide security for camps5. Provide temporary shelter

6. Provide ground transport

7. Distribute food & water

8. Provide air traffic control

All specified and implied All specified and implied tasks should be assigned to tasks should be assigned to

a CTF componenta CTF component

All specified and implied All specified and implied tasks should be assigned to tasks should be assigned to

a CTF componenta CTF component

Page 19: Multinational Planning Augmentation Team (MPAT) (MPAT) Mission Analysis Purpos e Discuss techniques and procedures for conducting an operational level.

Initial Force Structure AnalysisInitial Force Structure AnalysisInitial Force Structure AnalysisInitial Force Structure Analysis

Capabilities required to Capabilities required to accomplish tasks? accomplish tasks?

What non-traditional / non-What non-traditional / non-military tasks can be performed military tasks can be performed by military forces? by military forces?

What coalition forces do we What coalition forces do we already have?already have?

What are the shortfalls?What are the shortfalls?

Capabilities required to Capabilities required to accomplish tasks? accomplish tasks?

What non-traditional / non-What non-traditional / non-military tasks can be performed military tasks can be performed by military forces? by military forces?

What coalition forces do we What coalition forces do we already have?already have?

What are the shortfalls?What are the shortfalls?

Mission AnalysisMission AnalysisMission AnalysisMission Analysis

Determine Centers of GravityDetermine Centers of Gravity

Determine the Facts

Develop Assumptions

Analyze Mission & Intent

Determine Limitations

Identify Tasks to be Performed

Initial Force Structure Analysis

Mission Analysis BriefMission Analysis Brief

Develop Mission StatementDevelop Mission Statement

Conduct Initial Risk AssessmentConduct Initial Risk Assessment

Determine the End StateDetermine the End State

Determine Centers of Gravity Determine Centers of Gravity

Initial Risk Assessment

Determine the Facts

Develop Assumptions

Analyze Mission & Intent

Determine Limitations

Initial RiskAssessment

Analysis

Determine Centers of Gravity

Identify Tasks to be Performed

Initial Force Structure Analysis

Mission Analysis Brief

Develop Mission Statement

Determine the End State

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Initial Risk AssessmentInitial Risk AssessmentInitial Risk AssessmentInitial Risk Assessment

What are the risks associated with What are the risks associated with the mission assigned by HHQ the mission assigned by HHQ (looting, mission creep)?(looting, mission creep)?

Do limitations, assigned tasks or Do limitations, assigned tasks or assumptions create risk? assumptions create risk?

What degree of risk is HHQ willing What degree of risk is HHQ willing to accept?to accept?

What can we do to minimize risk?What can we do to minimize risk?

What are the risks associated with What are the risks associated with the mission assigned by HHQ the mission assigned by HHQ (looting, mission creep)?(looting, mission creep)?

Do limitations, assigned tasks or Do limitations, assigned tasks or assumptions create risk? assumptions create risk?

What degree of risk is HHQ willing What degree of risk is HHQ willing to accept?to accept?

What can we do to minimize risk?What can we do to minimize risk?

Mission AnalysisMission AnalysisMission AnalysisMission Analysis

Determine Centers of GravityDetermine Centers of Gravity

Determine the Facts

Develop Assumptions

Analyze Mission & Intent

Determine Limitations

Identify Tasks to be Performed

Initial Force Structure Analysis

Conduct Initial RiskAssessment

Mission Analysis BriefMission Analysis Brief

Develop Mission StatementDevelop Mission Statement

Determine the End StateDetermine the End State

Determine Centers of Gravity Determine Centers of Gravity

Initial Risk Assessment

Determine the Facts

Develop Assumptions

Analyze Mission & Intent

Determine Limitations

Initial RiskAssessment

Analysis

Determine Centers of Gravity

Identify Tasks to be Performed

Initial Force Structure Analysis

Mission Analysis Brief

Develop Mission Statement

Determine the End State

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Operational End StateOperational End StateOperational End StateOperational End StateAchieving the desired end state seldom, if ever, ends Achieving the desired end state seldom, if ever, ends

international efforts to protect interests in a situation. international efforts to protect interests in a situation.

The term The term end state simply represents the set of end state simply represents the set of

conditions necessary to resolve a crisis and transition conditions necessary to resolve a crisis and transition

from predominant use of the military instrument of from predominant use of the military instrument of

national power to other instruments.national power to other instruments.

Achieving the desired end state seldom, if ever, ends Achieving the desired end state seldom, if ever, ends

international efforts to protect interests in a situation. international efforts to protect interests in a situation.

The term The term end state simply represents the set of end state simply represents the set of

conditions necessary to resolve a crisis and transition conditions necessary to resolve a crisis and transition

from predominant use of the military instrument of from predominant use of the military instrument of

national power to other instruments.national power to other instruments.

Determine End StateDetermine End StateDetermine End StateDetermine End State Review HHQ guidanceReview HHQ guidance Consider conditions for transition of the mission to Consider conditions for transition of the mission to

nonmilitary organizationsnonmilitary organizations Consider conditions necessary to support the population Consider conditions necessary to support the population

once military operations terminateonce military operations terminate Specifically describe and record end state conditions Specifically describe and record end state conditions

– Example HA / DR end state conditions: food Example HA / DR end state conditions: food distribution reestablished, refugee camps established, distribution reestablished, refugee camps established, basic infrastructure restoredbasic infrastructure restored

Review HHQ guidanceReview HHQ guidance Consider conditions for transition of the mission to Consider conditions for transition of the mission to

nonmilitary organizationsnonmilitary organizations Consider conditions necessary to support the population Consider conditions necessary to support the population

once military operations terminateonce military operations terminate Specifically describe and record end state conditions Specifically describe and record end state conditions

– Example HA / DR end state conditions: food Example HA / DR end state conditions: food distribution reestablished, refugee camps established, distribution reestablished, refugee camps established, basic infrastructure restoredbasic infrastructure restored

Mission AnalysisMission AnalysisMission AnalysisMission Analysis

Determine Centers of GravityDetermine Centers of Gravity

Determine the Facts

Develop Assumptions

Analyze Mission & Intent

Determine Limitations

Identify Tasks to be Performed

Initial Force Structure Analysis

Conduct Initial RiskAssessmentDetermining the EndState

Mission Analysis BriefMission Analysis Brief

Develop Mission StatementDevelop Mission Statement

Determine Centers of Gravity Determine Centers of Gravity

Initial Risk Assessment

Determine the Facts

Develop Assumptions

Analyze Mission & Intent

Determine Limitations

Initial RiskAssessment

Analysis

Determine Centers of Gravity

Identify Tasks to be Performed

Initial Force Structure Analysis

Mission Analysis Brief

Develop Mission Statement

Determine the End State

Page 22: Multinational Planning Augmentation Team (MPAT) (MPAT) Mission Analysis Purpos e Discuss techniques and procedures for conducting an operational level.

Restated MissionRestated MissionRestated MissionRestated Mission Who: CTF BAYANIHANWho: CTF BAYANIHAN

What: Essential tasksWhat: Essential tasks

When: When directed by HHQWhen: When directed by HHQ

Where: Combined operations areaWhere: Combined operations area

Why: Operational end stateWhy: Operational end state

Who: CTF BAYANIHANWho: CTF BAYANIHAN

What: Essential tasksWhat: Essential tasks

When: When directed by HHQWhen: When directed by HHQ

Where: Combined operations areaWhere: Combined operations area

Why: Operational end stateWhy: Operational end state

When directedWhen directed, CTF BAYANIHAN, CTF BAYANIHAN conducts conducts humanitarian assistance operationshumanitarian assistance operations in support of in support of the Armed Forces of the Philippines in the affected the Armed Forces of the Philippines in the affected areas of the central Philippines in order to areas of the central Philippines in order to alleviate alleviate human suffering human suffering andand restore critical infrastructure restore critical infrastructure..

When directedWhen directed, CTF BAYANIHAN, CTF BAYANIHAN conducts conducts humanitarian assistance operationshumanitarian assistance operations in support of in support of the Armed Forces of the Philippines in the affected the Armed Forces of the Philippines in the affected areas of the central Philippines in order to areas of the central Philippines in order to alleviate alleviate human suffering human suffering andand restore critical infrastructure restore critical infrastructure..

Example CTF Mission StatementExample CTF Mission StatementExample CTF Mission StatementExample CTF Mission Statement

Mission AnalysisMission AnalysisMission AnalysisMission Analysis

Determine Centers of GravityDetermine Centers of Gravity

Determine the Facts

Develop Assumptions

Analyze Mission & Intent

Determine Limitations

Identify Tasks to be Performed

Initial Force Structure Analysis

Conduct Initial RiskAssessmentDetermining the EndState

Develop Mission Statement

Mission Analysis BriefMission Analysis Brief

Determine Centers of Gravity Determine Centers of Gravity

Initial Risk Assessment

Determine the Facts

Develop Assumptions

Analyze Mission & Intent

Determine Limitations

Initial RiskAssessment

Analysis

Determine Centers of Gravity

Identify Tasks to be Performed

Initial Force Structure Analysis

Mission Analysis Brief

Develop Mission Statement

Determine the End State

Page 23: Multinational Planning Augmentation Team (MPAT) (MPAT) Mission Analysis Purpos e Discuss techniques and procedures for conducting an operational level.

Mission Analysis BriefMission Analysis BriefMission Analysis BriefMission Analysis Brief

Purpose and agendaPurpose and agenda Area of operations (Combined Area of operations (Combined

Operations Area)Operations Area)

C2C2 Initial intelligence estimate Initial intelligence estimate Most probable future situationMost probable future situation Most challenging / dangerous Most challenging / dangerous

future situationfuture situation Center of Gravity AnalysisCenter of Gravity Analysis

Purpose and agendaPurpose and agenda Area of operations (Combined Area of operations (Combined

Operations Area)Operations Area)

C2C2 Initial intelligence estimate Initial intelligence estimate Most probable future situationMost probable future situation Most challenging / dangerous Most challenging / dangerous

future situationfuture situation Center of Gravity AnalysisCenter of Gravity Analysis

Chief of Staff or C3 / C5Chief of Staff or C3 / C5Chief of Staff or C3 / C5Chief of Staff or C3 / C5

Determine Centers of GravityDetermine Centers of Gravity

Determine the Facts

Develop Assumptions

Analyze Mission & Intent

Determine Limitations

Identify Tasks to be Performed

Initial Force Structure Analysis

Mission AnalysisBrief

Conduct Initial RiskAssessmentDetermining the EndState

Develop Mission Statement

Determine Centers of Gravity Determine Centers of Gravity

Mission AnalysisMission AnalysisMission AnalysisMission Analysis

Initial Risk Assessment

Determine the Facts

Develop Assumptions

Analyze Mission & Intent

Determine Limitations

Initial RiskAssessment

Analysis

Determine Centers of Gravity

Identify Tasks to be Performed

Initial Force Structure Analysis

Mission Analysis Brief

Develop Mission Statement

Determine the End State

Page 24: Multinational Planning Augmentation Team (MPAT) (MPAT) Mission Analysis Purpos e Discuss techniques and procedures for conducting an operational level.

COS / C3 / C5COS / C3 / C5COS / C3 / C5COS / C3 / C5

HHQ mission, intent & concept HHQ mission, intent & concept of operationsof operations

Forces currently available (from Forces currently available (from all troop contributing nations)all troop contributing nations)

AssumptionsAssumptions Limitations - must do & cannot Limitations - must do & cannot

dodo Centers of gravity / decisive Centers of gravity / decisive

points - belligerent and friendlypoints - belligerent and friendly

HHQ mission, intent & concept HHQ mission, intent & concept of operationsof operations

Forces currently available (from Forces currently available (from all troop contributing nations)all troop contributing nations)

AssumptionsAssumptions Limitations - must do & cannot Limitations - must do & cannot

dodo Centers of gravity / decisive Centers of gravity / decisive

points - belligerent and friendlypoints - belligerent and friendly

Mission Analysis BriefMission Analysis BriefMission Analysis BriefMission Analysis Brief

Tasks to be performed:Tasks to be performed:

–SpecifiedSpecified

–ImpliedImplied

–EssentialEssential

Initial CTF force structure analysisInitial CTF force structure analysis

Risk assessmentRisk assessment

End stateEnd state

Proposed mission statementProposed mission statement

Time analysis - including projected Time analysis - including projected planning milestonesplanning milestones

Tasks to be performed:Tasks to be performed:

–SpecifiedSpecified

–ImpliedImplied

–EssentialEssential

Initial CTF force structure analysisInitial CTF force structure analysis

Risk assessmentRisk assessment

End stateEnd state

Proposed mission statementProposed mission statement

Time analysis - including projected Time analysis - including projected planning milestonesplanning milestones

Page 25: Multinational Planning Augmentation Team (MPAT) (MPAT) Mission Analysis Purpos e Discuss techniques and procedures for conducting an operational level.

Mission Analysis BriefC1 C1

C4C4

OthersOthers

C1 C1

C4C4

OthersOthers

Facts, assumptions, conclusionsFacts, assumptions, conclusions– Personnel actionsPersonnel actions– Personnel servicesPersonnel services– Other personnel related supportOther personnel related support

Facts, assumptions, conclusionsFacts, assumptions, conclusions– SupplySupply– ServicesServices– Health servicesHealth services– TransportationTransportation– OtherOther

Others as appropriate to the Others as appropriate to the missionmission

Facts, assumptions, conclusionsFacts, assumptions, conclusions– Personnel actionsPersonnel actions– Personnel servicesPersonnel services– Other personnel related supportOther personnel related support

Facts, assumptions, conclusionsFacts, assumptions, conclusions– SupplySupply– ServicesServices– Health servicesHealth services– TransportationTransportation– OtherOther

Others as appropriate to the Others as appropriate to the missionmission

Page 26: Multinational Planning Augmentation Team (MPAT) (MPAT) Mission Analysis Purpos e Discuss techniques and procedures for conducting an operational level.

Crisis Action Planning ProcessCrisis Action Planning ProcessCrisis Action Planning ProcessCrisis Action Planning Process

I I Mission AnalysisMission Analysis

I I Mission AnalysisMission Analysis

CCRRIISSIISS

CCRRIISSIISS

IISituationSituation

DevelopmentDevelopment

IISituationSituation

DevelopmentDevelopment

IIIICrisisCrisis

AssessmentAssessment

IIIICrisisCrisis

AssessmentAssessment

IVIVCourse of Course of

ActionActionSelectionSelection

IVIVCourse of Course of

ActionActionSelectionSelection

VVExecutionExecutionPlanningPlanning

VVExecutionExecutionPlanningPlanning

WarningWarningOrderOrder

WarningWarningOrderOrder

PlanningPlanningOrderOrder

PlanningPlanningOrderOrder

AlertAlertOrderOrderAlertAlertOrderOrder

ExecuteExecuteOrderOrder

ExecuteExecuteOrderOrder

OPORD OPORD & &

Deployment Deployment Data BaseData Base

OPORD OPORD & &

Deployment Deployment Data BaseData Base

VIVIExecutionExecution

VIVIExecutionExecution

And/orAnd/orAnd/orAnd/or

IIICourse of

ActionDevelopment

IIIICourse of ActionCourse of Action

DevelopmentDevelopmentIIIIII

Analysis of OpposingAnalysis of OpposingCourses of ActionCourses of Action

IIIIIIAnalysis of OpposingAnalysis of Opposing

Courses of ActionCourses of ActionIVIV

Comparison of OwnComparison of OwnCourses of ActionCourses of Action

IVIVComparison of OwnComparison of OwnCourses of ActionCourses of Action VV

Commander’sCommander’sDecisionDecision

VVCommander’sCommander’s

DecisionDecision

Commander’s Estimate ProcessCommander’s Estimate ProcessCommander’s Estimate ProcessCommander’s Estimate Process

Page 27: Multinational Planning Augmentation Team (MPAT) (MPAT) Mission Analysis Purpos e Discuss techniques and procedures for conducting an operational level.

Identify Tasks to be Performed

Initial Force Structure Analysis

Initial Risk Assessment

Determine the End State

Develop Mission Statement

Task StepsTask StepsTask StepsTask Steps Determine the Facts

Develop Assumptions

Analyze Mission & Intent

Determine Limitations

Determine Centers of Gravity

Mission AnalysisMission AnalysisMission AnalysisMission Analysis Mission Analysis Brief