MT4 Trading Tools | FX Trading - Abstract (ver. 05) · 2017. 4. 10. · discovered, was automated...

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© 2017 www.coensio.com Trading Stock Market and CFD’s carries considerable risk of capital loss 0 Abstract (ver. 05): My personal, unusual view on profitable stock and commodity trading

Transcript of MT4 Trading Tools | FX Trading - Abstract (ver. 05) · 2017. 4. 10. · discovered, was automated...

  • © 2017 www.coensio.com

    Trading Stock Market and CFD’s carries considerable risk of capital loss 0

    Abstract (ver. 05): My personal, unusual view on profitable stock and commodity trading

    http://www.coensio.com/

  • © 2017 www.coensio.com

    Trading Stock Market and CFD’s carries considerable risk of capital loss 1

    Table of Contents

    1. Disclaimer ..................................................................................................................................... 1

    2. Introduction .................................................................................................................................. 2

    3. Why to trade stocks (and commodities)? .............................................................................. 3

    4. Introduction to my trading strategy ....................................................................................... 3

    5. The fundaments of profitable trading .................................................................................... 4

    6. My daily fundamental analysis routine .................................................................................. 5

    7. The “common sense” strategy with an example .................................................................. 7

    8. Letter Grade Rating .................................................................................................................... 9

    9. Charts, charts, charts ................................................................................................................ 11

    10. The power of averaging ....................................................................................................... 12

    11. The power of dividend ......................................................................................................... 13

    12. The power of leverage ......................................................................................................... 15

    13. How to profit from ‘craze’ ................................................................................................... 17

    14. Spread your chances ............................................................................................................ 18

    15. When to exit the market? .................................................................................................... 19

    16. New trading opportunities ................................................................................................. 19

    17. My open trades (real-time overview) ............................................................................... 20

    18. Brokers ..................................................................................................................................... 20

    19. Conclusions ............................................................................................................................ 21

    20. Do you need help with trading? ........................................................................................ 22

    21. My track record (real money €1000 test account with 140% profit) ......................... 26

    1. Disclaimer Before you engage in transactions using an electronic system, you should carefully review the rules

    and regulations of the exchanges offering the system and/or listing the instruments you intend to

    trade. Online trading has inherent risk due to system response and access times that may vary due to

    market conditions, system performance, and other factors. You should understand these and

    additional risks before trading.

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    Trading Stock Market and CFD’s carries considerable risk of capital loss 2

    Leverage allows traders the ability to enter into a position worth many times the account value with a relatively small amount of money. This leverage can work with you as well as against you. Even though the Forex market offers traders the ability to use a high degree of leverage, trading with high leverage may increase the losses suffered. Please use caution when using leverage in trading or investing.

    All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, or individual’s trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.

    Any opinions, trading methods, research, analyses, prices, or other information offered by coensio.com is provided as general market commentary, and does not constitute investment advice. Coensio.com will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.

    Copyright: This document and the provided software are protected by the copyright of www.coensio.com and cannot be rewritten, re-published, STORED OR LINKED AT ANY FILE SHARING SITES or FORUMS or used for any other publications without the proper referencing and without author's permission. Copyright © 2016 www.coensio.com.

    2. Introduction

    This short eBook is meant as a general introduction to stock (and commodity)

    trading. It is based on my personal view on trading and should be used only as a

    good start point for your future education. This eBook covers the following

    items:

    • The reasons why to trade stock market and commodities

    • My own view on trading including the strategies and resources I use for

    my daily trading

    • Introduction to basic stock trading terms and concepts

    • Few examples of trading ideas and new trading opportunities

    So why I am in a position to teach you about trading? Several reasons:

    • I love to share my knowledge and insights with other traders

    • After 6 years of FX trading I can say I’m experienced currency trader, forex

    blog owner and strategy programmer, visit my blog at: www.coensio.com

    • In the last several months my test account (real money on a real broker)

    grew more than 140%. So, I must have been doing something right ;) An

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    Trading Stock Market and CFD’s carries considerable risk of capital loss 3

    example of my last trading results is here: see chapter 21. See also my

    newest update on my YouTube channel.

    You can always disagree with me on several points, this document is not meant

    to prove or disprove anything, it just summarizes all the things I do to trade

    stock market with a decent profitability. I hope you will enjoy this lecture. If you

    have any questions you can always contact me on my email address.

    I wish you all the best,

    Chris,

    [email protected]

    3. Why to trade stocks (and commodities)?

    There are several reasons for that, so for example I trade stocks because:

    • I love trading and everything about it

    • I want to grow my capital over time

    • I learned that it is much easier to become profitable in trading stocks than

    become profitable in Forex trading (I will explain it later)

    • I do understand the risk of trading and I trade very carefully

    • Most of the stocks come with a nice dividend, a simple concept that can

    boost my long term results

    4. Introduction to my trading strategy

    In my daily and professional life, I always adapt this one simple motto, which

    says:

    Keep it simple!

    And so far, it works quite well for me. Thus, also in case of trading, I do not make

    things too complicated. Since this eBook is only a very short introduction to

    stock trading, I will try to explain my strategy using a simple example:

    Imagine you are collecting stamps. You are a real “stamps” lover (philatelist) and

    you always wanted to have as many beautiful stamps as possible in your

    personal collection. Let’s say your favorite stamps are rare stamps from

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    Trading Stock Market and CFD’s carries considerable risk of capital loss 4

    Switzerland. You love everything about those small pieces of paper, their colors,

    beautiful designs and their diversity. You also know that:

    • there are many other people like you, that are collecting rare Swiss stamps

    • their value is fluctuating over time but in general it is expected that the

    value will rise due to low supply/demand ratio and many other factors

    • the chance that the value of rare Swiss stamps will drop to 0 is extremely

    low

    So what do you do it this case??? Here is what I would do:

    I WOULD BUY RARE SWISS STAMPS AT THE BEST POSSIBLE PRICE,

    AND I WOULD BUY AS MANY STAMPS AS I COULD GET!

    This kind of thinking, together with some basic trading knowledge, is the only

    thing you need to learn, in order to become successful in stock trading. And it is

    not based on some tool or indicator or some holy grail push button software to

    make you rich overnight. It is based on the best concept you can learn in your

    life:

    THE COMMON SENSE!

    I hope you will remember this simple advice, it can really transform your life…

    5. The fundaments of profitable trading

    Few years ago (in 2010) when I started my trading adventure I was completely

    focused on currency trading (Forex). Since I’m an engineer, the first thing I’ve

    discovered, was automated algorithmic trading. And I must admit, I had some

    successes in doing that (I still have!). However, there is a small problem with

    algorithmic trading: it is based only on chart indicators (technical analysis), and

    all these indicators are based on the past price action. In other words, like one

    wise trader used to say:

    “Trading using chart indicators, is like driving a car using rear-view

    mirror only”

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    Trading Stock Market and CFD’s carries considerable risk of capital loss 5

    So to be specific, at some point in time, I have discovered the concept of

    fundamental trading. This concept is more based on “price prediction” than on

    past “price action”. For example, when looking at my previous “stamps” analogy,

    I buy stamps only in case when I have a good fundamental reason to do so,

    examples:

    • I expect that a price will rise because of an upcoming (or present)

    economic event

    • I have few strong reasons (that are backed by some kind of investigation)

    to believe that this is a good investment and a right time to enter market

    • I can “jump in” and follow a confirmed trend

    • (optionally) I personally believe in something, e.g.: I believe that Swiss

    stamps are the best and most beautiful stamps in the whole world, and if

    their value will drop to 0, then the world will end ;)

    So how this all applies to my daily trading?

    I ALWAYS do my HOMEWORK before entering the market.

    6. My daily fundamental analysis routine

    It is all about doing some simple, basic internet research. In this case Google is

    our biggest friend!

    READING is 95% of success in trading!

    I read all the time and everywhere. While eating my lunch, while traveling or

    before going to bed. Reading is the key to success! It gives me an insight in

    current market moods, future market predictions and new trading ideas. It is

    also very important to keep it all limited in some way, otherwise there is a risk of

    information overload. In order to deal with this problem, I simply selected few

    places I like to visit online and I stick to them. Below a list of places, I visit on

    regular basis to do my trading research:

    http://www.coensio.com/http://www.investopedia.com/terms/f/fundamentalanalysis.asphttp://www.google.com/

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    Trading Stock Market and CFD’s carries considerable risk of capital loss 6

    TipRanks.com

    By far…the best place to find the best stocks to buy, simply by following the best

    professional traders out there. If you do not know how to select stocks, go and

    start there!

    Investorsplace.com

    The best source of free information, great trading ideas and reliable fundamental

    predictions. Very simple to read and understand.

    flipboard.com

    By far the best smartphone based magazine and free source of real time

    information (on any topic). Note: you need to subscribe to the following

    categories: News, Finance, Forbes, Investor, Business, Gold & Silver

    Investing.com

    The second best place to do your homework. Source of real-time market news.

    bullionvault.com

    http://www.coensio.com/https://padlock.link/TipRanksBookhttp://investorplace.com/category/trading/trading-advice/https://flipboard.com/http://www.investing.com/analysis/stock-marketshttps://www.bullionvault.com/gold-newshttp://investorplace.com/category/trading/trading-advice/https://flipboard.com/http://www.investing.com/analysis/stock-marketshttps://www.bullionvault.com/gold-news

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    Trading Stock Market and CFD’s carries considerable risk of capital loss 7

    A great place for gold and silver price predictions, news and analysis.

    bloomberg.com

    Tons of free market and commodities insights. Real time market news, also used

    by professionals.

    seekingalpha.com

    Tons of free market and commodities insights. Real time market news, also used

    by professionals. Free smartphone App.

    7. The “common sense” strategy with an example

    After reading I always summarize the information and I always ask myself few

    basic questions:

    • Did I read something interesting?

    • Do I need to investigate something in more detail?

    • Is there any possible trading opportunity?

    In the answer to all those question is ‘NO’. I do not trade, I close my laptop and I

    go and do other things, like enjoying my life ;) But, if the answer to one of those

    questions is ‘YES’, then I go back to my online research and I ‘dive’ deeper in to a

    specific topic.

    A real-life example:

    Few day ago, during my lunch I’ve read a nice article about upcoming “driverless

    car” technology. It was an article provided by Investor magazine on Flipboard.

    Since in my daily life I’m an engineer, I found this very interesting. The author of

    this article pointed out, that there are some strong evidences, that this

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    Trading Stock Market and CFD’s carries considerable risk of capital loss 8

    technology will soon become available (…a real sci-fi dream that will come true!).

    As we speak, all big international companies like: Tesla, Mercedes, Volkswagen,

    BWM are already investing billions in this new technology. Even the giants like

    Google and Apple (yes, yes the same guys that made the iPhone) are investing

    huge amount of cash to make this all happen.

    The wise conclusion of this article was: do not try to invest in car manufacturing

    companies, but rather in the companies that are pushing the limits of

    technology, that is required to make it all work. Obviously, the author of this

    article was promoting his own commercial newsletter with a nice monthly

    subscription of $99 ;) He did not disclose any more information about what kind

    of companies he meant. So, I could not sleep after that day, thinking about the

    future possibilities and gains this simple innovation can lead to. The very next

    day I spent on Google, and here is what I found:

    • It was all true…apparently in coming years we will have driverless cars!

    • Huge companies are investing huge amount of money in this technology!

    • It is the biggest technological innovation since smartphone!

    • It is a huge opportunity for traders!

    So here is why I’ve invested in company named NVIDIA Corporation (Ticker:

    NVDA). Apparently NVIDA is one of the fastest upcoming producers of the CPU

    units (the processors) that are needed for processing of huge amount of data

    inside of each ‘driverless’ car. Below a quote from an article I’ve found while

    googling on businessinsider.com:

    “The Nvidia's Tegra X1 processor, which powers its Drive CX cockpit visualization computer, is

    capable of delivering one trillion floating-point operations per second (flops) – the same amount of

    power as a 1,600 square foot supercomputer 15 years ago.”

    For people like me, who appreciate technological advancement, it sounds like

    music to my ears, it’s mind-blowing! And here are the latest gains of NVDA

    (September-2016):

    http://www.coensio.com/http://www.nvidia.com/http://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDAhttp://www.businessinsider.com/us-processor-company-the-car-of-the-future-is-the-most-powerful-computer-you-will-ever-own-2015-5http://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA

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    Trading Stock Market and CFD’s carries considerable risk of capital loss 9

    Figure 7-1: NVIDA stock price 09-2016

    So summarized:

    • Did I have a fundamental reason to think that investing money in

    company as NVIDIA will result in gains in the near future? YES!

    • Was there any possibility to follow a confirmed trend YES!

    • Do I have a strong believe this was a good investment decision? YES!

    8. Letter Grade Rating

    There are many different ways to get an additional confirmation w.r.t. the

    selected stock. Personally I use a simple “letter grade stock screener” provided

    by: thestreet.com. So let’s check if my NVIDIA stock was a right choice and what

    are the experts saying about this stock:

    Figure 8-1: Stock screener results of Nvidia company

    In this particular example I did a good choice! The letter rating equal to A = Buy

    signal! There are several different letter grades:

    http://www.coensio.com/http://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDAhttps://www.thestreet.com/r/ratings/reports/ir-screener.htmlhttp://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA

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    Trading Stock Market and CFD’s carries considerable risk of capital loss 10

    Table 8-1: The “next big thing” keywords

    A & B Ratings - Are considered to be ‘buy signal’ confirmation.

    B.T.W.: there are many more stock ratings, that you can use to validate if a given

    stock is worth investing your money. Two commonly used examples are: P/E

    ratio and asset class. So, if you really like to dive into advanced stock screening,

    the best tool I know is the finviz stock screener.

    Figure 8-1: Advanced stock screener

    However, do not fall into a trap of making your trading decision based on

    technical analysis/screening only. Your stock choice should always have a strong

    fundamental reasons.

    Letter Grade Definition (source: thestreet.com)

    A (Excellent) The stock has an excellent track record for maximizing performance while minimizing risk, thus delivering the best possible combination of total return on investment and reduced volatility.

    B (Good) The stock has a good track record for balancing performance with risk. Compared to other stocks, it has achieved above-average returns given the level of risk in its underlying investments.

    C (Fair) In the trade-off between performance and risk, the stock has a track record which is about average. It is neither significantly better nor significantly worse than most other stocks.

    D (Weak) The stock has underperformed the universe of other funds given the level of risk in its underlying investments, resulting in a weak risk-adjusted performance.

    E E (Very Weak) - The stock has significantly underperformed most other funds given the level of risk in its underlying investments, resulting in a very weak risk-adjusted performance.

    U (Unrated) - The stock is unrated because it is too new to make a reliable assessment of its risk-adjusted performance. Typically, a fund must be established for at least three years before it is eligible to receive an Investment Rating.

    http://www.coensio.com/http://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/price-earningsratio.asphttp://www.investopedia.com/terms/a/assetclasses.asphttp://www.finviz.com/screener.ashxhttps://www.thestreet.com/stock-market-news/10625974/about-thestreet-ratings-and-the-rating-methodologies/thestreet-ratings.html

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    9. Charts, charts, charts

    Note that in the majority of cases, I already know what to trade and why, before I

    look at my charts. The situation on the charts (with or without the indicators),

    only gives me an additional confirmation that my trading decision was right. In

    all cases, I use price charting to find a good entry where the price is relatively

    “cheap”. So what kind of magic indicators do I use for my decision making?

    • I use simple stochastic indicator (Setting 5,3,3) to see when a price of a

    given instrument is ‘oversold’ (70)

    • Moving average of 100 to determine the long term market trends

    • I use simple chart lines to determine resistance, support and trend

    breakouts.

    What is the best charting software? Honestly I do not know;) I’m using a free

    version of freestockcharts (Update 2017: freestockcharts does not work anymore

    on most browsers so I’ve switched to TradingView.com platform!). Furthermore, I

    only look at Daily (D1) & Weekly (W1) charts. For example:

    Figure 9-1: NVIDIA chart reading example

    SR line

    bounce

    RSI in mid-

    range, not

    ‘overbought’

    yet

    Strong

    up-trend

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    Trading Stock Market and CFD’s carries considerable risk of capital loss 12

    In this particular example: buying NVIDIA stock in September (2016) was a

    simple no brainer. The future will show us if I was right about this stock pick;)

    10. The power of averaging

    As already mentioned before I am a ‘buyer’. I always base my strategy on a

    bullish sentiment. I (almost) never ‘go short’. I think it is easier to believe in a

    success of a given company, than to wait for this company to ‘fail’. And moreover

    I only want to invest my money in big and healthy companies with proven

    positive stock gains. However, it does not always work out as planned…so what

    to do in that case?

    The power of AVERAGING.

    Entry point averaging is a very powerful, but also a risky concept. It can help you

    to double or triple your gains or recover your losses, however it needs to be

    done with some level carefulness. So for example let’s look at the Microsoft:

    Figure 10-1: Entry point averaging

    Let’s analyze what happened:

    A. After doing fundamental analysis, I decided to invest some of my money

    into Microsoft company. If you do your homework you will find out, there

    A

    B

    C

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    Trading Stock Market and CFD’s carries considerable risk of capital loss 13

    are many different reasons to be ‘bullish’ about this company. Point A was

    a reasonable entry point (at $54.52/share). I bought 4 shares.

    B. At this point in time the price ($52.78/share) went down and up again, but

    my position was still losing money! However:

    o When going back to the fundamental analysis there was no reason

    to think something has changed. The mid-term prediction of

    Microsoft stock price is still very positive. There was no reason for

    panic!

    o Analogically, thinking about my first example with Swiss stamps, at

    this moment in time I was able to purchase more stamps at a much

    lower better price! So I did! I purchased 4 Microsoft stocks again at

    a lower price.

    C. At this point the market price was $54.18/share and my average price was

    equal to: AveragePricePOINT_C =(A+B) / 2 = ($54.52+$52.78)/2 =

    $53.65/share. This still results in a $54.18 - $53.65 = ~$0.5/share in profit!

    One very important thing to mention, is that this trading technique is allowed

    only in case the fundamental picture has not changed and is still positive. In case

    you have doubts in fundamentals, always close your positions to minimize the

    total risk.

    If something you want to own drops in price = BUY IT!

    11. The power of dividend

    A great scientist Albert Einstein once said:

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    The nicest thing about trading stocks is the DIVIDEND. According to

    Investopedia:

    “A dividend is a distribution of a portion of a company's earnings, decided by

    the board of directors, to a class of its shareholders. Dividends can be issued as

    cash payments, as shares of stock, or other property.”

    This basically means that the fact of owning shares of a given company gives you

    right to receive a small piece of percentage of company’s earnings. So for

    example if I would have stocks of General Motors Company (Ticker: GM) I would

    receive a nice dividend yield of ~4%/share/year distributed over several dividend

    payout periods. Usually, this is determined quarterly after a company finalizes its

    income statement. We can easily calculate how this will impact our gains over

    time, using:

    RULE OF 72!

    Imagine you own $100 in shares of a company that pays out 10% dividend

    annually. Imagine you would re-invest this dividend each year in additional

    company shares. It that case we can apply a simple rule of 72. This simple rule

    allows us to estimate the period in which our initial investment will double. The

    calculation is as follow:

    Years to double initial investment = 72 / Interest Rate (or dividend)

    In this example the initial investment would double every ~7.2 years. Since

    72/10=7.2

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    Figure 11-1: Dividend based growth

    Assuming that the average price of a given share will only go up or in worst case

    will stay flat, the dividend based growth is a powerful way of growing wealth on

    the long term!

    12. The power of leverage

    The concept of leverage is a very powerful but also very dangerous thing. As

    great Archimedes said:

    “Give me a lever long enough and a place to stand and I will move the earth”

    Figure 12-1: Leverage

    In simple words, this mechanism allows you to invest a small amount of money

    and trade with the number multiplied by the leverage. For example, with a

    leverage of x100, you can invest $1000 and trade like you have $100000.

    Normally when a given instrument rises with 10% your profit is $100 (10% of

    $1000), but with a leverage of x100, the profit is calculated from the leveraged

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    amount thus 10% of $100000 = $10000! This can multiply your income, but also

    your losses! What the most people do not know, there are few brokers that

    allow to trade stock shares with a small leverage (so called: margin account).

    WARNING: In theory, while trading with a high leverage you can lose more

    funds than the initial deposit into your margin account!

    Few other brokers provide the possibility of trading leveraged financial

    instruments. Most of those instruments are provided by banks, and have many

    different names like: CFD’s, boosters, speeders, turbo’s. Those instruments are

    financially coupled to a given share or commodity and in most cases their price

    follow the market movements 1-on-1. An example of good broker that allows

    CFD trading is markets.com (Since begin 2017 I am also using this broker, it has a

    nice and simple web interface and also a MT4 platform!). Leveraged instruments

    come always with an implemented StopLoss mechanism, that helps in managing

    the risk of trading. However, it is still very risky and only meant for more

    experienced traders.

    Tip: I have learned, that it is much better to invest more money in an instrument

    with a smaller leverage (< x10) and a ‘wider’ StopLoss level, than invest less

    money in a trade with high leverage and StopLoss very close to the market price.

    The reason for that is obvious, wider StopLoss level give you more ‘room’ to

    survive volatile market events. This approach works very well for unpredictable

    and volatile commodities like gold. 1.Buy, 2. hold it for a while, 3. wait for profit

    and 4. cash out.

    An example of how to combine leverage with the common-sense strategy and

    minimize the total risk of trading. Let’s consider trading the gold market, using a

    leveraged instrument. So first we do our fundamental analysis by reading

    information we can find the internet and we can conclude the following:

    1. Gold price goes continuously up and down, it is very volatile and sensitive

    to all different market events like FED decisions, rate hikes, risk on/risk off

    market moods, etc.…

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    Trading Stock Market and CFD’s carries considerable risk of capital loss 17

    2. We can all agree on one thing: if the price of gold will drop to 0, the world

    as we know it will end ;) Note: gold has no intrinsic value (it is just a piece

    of metal) however it has stabilized and helped to rule human civilizations

    for last few thousands of years. People always will be interested in gold!

    3. We can also find out that the production price of 1 ounce of gold lies

    somewhere around $1000/oz. In the near future it is also very unlikely that

    the price of gold will drop below $1000/oz. Since this would mean that

    gold mining is not more profitable In that case, most of the gold mines

    would be forced to close this would impact supply/demand ratio

    gold price would rise again.

    4. So using a simple common logic we can conclude that the ‘FAIR PRICE’ of

    gold lies somewhere above $1000/oz … $1150/oz.

    This all gives us an imaginary range in which we can trade gold, while minimizing

    our risk as much as possible. In this particular example I would personally try buy

    leveraged gold shares with a small leverage of x10 and StopLoss level around

    $1150/oz. If the price of gold would significantly drop below $1150/oz, I would

    carefully buy more leveraged shares with a much lower StopLoss lever, while

    carefully monitoring the fundamental reasons behind the gold price decrease.

    That’s it, that’s my simple reasoning, this is how I trade.

    13. How to profit from ‘craze’

    Here is my little secret strategy I want to share with you. The most important

    thing about stock trading is to have your eyes wide open. What I mean is that

    the world around us gives us many different opportunities to profit from and the

    one I like the most is: craze. For this example, let’s look closely what happened

    recently with Nintendo (Ticker: NTDOY) stocks and how easy it was to detect the

    ‘Pokemon Go’ craze. You have probably heard about it on daily news, ‘Pokemon

    Go’ is a new computer game, that can be installed on every smartphone. The

    thing is, that in this case the game action takes place in the real world, and the

    game uses Augmented Reality based software. So let’s see what happened. Let’s

    align and compare two different graphs: Google Trends and Nintendo stock

    price.

    http://www.coensio.com/http://www.investopedia.com/articles/active-trading/091813/which-order-use-stoploss-or-stoplimit-orders.asp?ad=dirN&qo=investopediaSiteSearch&qsrc=0&o=40186http://www.investopedia.com/articles/active-trading/091813/which-order-use-stoploss-or-stoplimit-orders.asp?ad=dirN&qo=investopediaSiteSearch&qsrc=0&o=40186https://finance.yahoo.com/chart/NTDOYhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Augmented_realityhttps://www.google.com/trends/explore?date=today%203-m&q=pokemon%20gohttps://finance.yahoo.com/chart/NTDOY

  • © 2017 www.coensio.com

    Trading Stock Market and CFD’s carries considerable risk of capital loss 18

    Figure 13-1: Pokemon Go craze example

    This example shows how slow the market reacts to the new opportunities in

    some cases. After 6 July, every single trader could go on internet and check if

    there is a positive correlation between the new internet trend and the reaction of

    the stock market. Even after 2 days it would still be very interesting to follow that

    trend and make money from it!

    TREND is your friend! Learn how to detect new trends!

    14. Spread your chances

    This last rule is very simple:

    Never put your all eggs in one basket! Spread the risk over multiple trades!

    On 6 July Pokemon

    Go showed up in

    the news = internet

    exploded, it became

    a trending topic

    On 6 July still no

    one was interested

    in NTDOY shares =

    excellent

    opportunity to BUY!

    Even one or two

    days later, it would

    be still a great

    moment to enter!

    http://www.coensio.com/https://www.google.com/trends/explore?date=today%203-m&q=pokemon%20gohttps://finance.yahoo.com/chart/NTDOY

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    Trading Stock Market and CFD’s carries considerable risk of capital loss 19

    Figure 14-1: Eggs in the basket

    As a simple rule of thumb, I never invest more than 20% of my entire portfolio in

    one trade. I usually start with 2%...5% and scale it up to 20%, while averaging my

    entry price over a longer period of time. See chapter 10.

    15. When to exit the market?

    In general, I have only few rules for closing my trades:

    1. When the fundamental picture for given stock/commodity has changed or

    became unclear. Or when there is an upcoming earnings report event, the

    risk of holding given stock (especially when trading with a leverage) is too

    high.

    2. To pay yourself! In case you are happy with the current gain, close your

    position to cash your profit!

    3. When the market doesn’t move for a long time.

    4. When the current floating loss is too high and there is no reason to think

    the stock price will rise in the near future.

    Since I trade using small leverage, most of my trades are mid-term swing trades,

    ranging from few days to few weeks.

    16. New trading opportunities

    We are living in a fast changing world that is full of new opportunities we can

    profit from. In the past few months I did my own investigation and I already

    know where to invest my money. Because I personally think, that it is much

    better to “teach a man how to fish” instead of “give a man one fish”, I will live you

    here with a small homework. Below a list of “keywords” you can do your own

    http://www.coensio.com/

  • © 2017 www.coensio.com

    Trading Stock Market and CFD’s carries considerable risk of capital loss 20

    search on, using nothing else than Google. And I can promise you that behind

    every single keyword there is hidden path to wealth.

    Table 16-1: The “next big thing” keywords

    17. My open trades (overview)

    If you want to know where I’m investing my money at this specific moment, you

    can visit my blog here: My Open Stock Trades.

    18. Brokers

    Below a short selection of good and cost effective Stock (CFDs) and Forex brokers.

    For European residents: www.markets.com

    This broker has a simple web-based trading platform, but also allows trading using

    MT4 software (for more experienced traders). I am also using this broker for my

    daily trading so I can recommend this one.

    For other countries (US/Canada etc.): www.optionshouse.com

    I have no experience with this broker but this is one of the biggest online broker

    out there.

    # Keywords Companies

    1 autonomous cars Nvidia, Tesla, Mercedes, VW, TI, Qualcomm, Intel, Apple, BMW

    2 virtual reality Facebook, Google, Sony, Samsung, Microsoft, WorldViz

    3 augmented reality Microsoft, Google, Nintendo

    4 hololens Microsoft

    5 magic leap Google

    6 artificial intelligence Google, Amazon, Apple, Intel, IBM, Nvidia

    7 online shopping Amazon, Akamai Technologies, Digital River Inc

    8 internet of things Amazon, Microsoft

    9 cyber security Akamai Technologies

    10 robotics Yaskawa Electric, Google, ABB Ltd

    11 3D printing 3D Systems, Materialise, ExOne, Voxeljet

    12 biotech Acadia Pharmaceuticals, Abbvie Inc, China Biologic Products Inc

    13 digital content NetFlix, Disney, Cinemark Holdings

    http://www.coensio.com/http://www.google.com/http://www.coensio.com/wp/stocks-to-buy/http://9nl.it/Marketshttp://www.optionshouse.com/

  • © 2017 www.coensio.com

    Trading Stock Market and CFD’s carries considerable risk of capital loss 21

    19. Conclusions

    1. The following figure represent my decision making flow while trading

    stocks. You can use it as a guideline, change and improve. This is only an

    example of what I’m doing and what works for me in my daily trading.

    Figure 19-1: Stock trading decision flow diagram

    2. Fundamental stock/commodity trading is much more simple to

    understand and follow than forex trading. There is no need to fully

    understand and follow the logic behind the policy of central banks or

    understand complex world economics.

    3. Entry price averaging is a powerful tool to manage your losses and

    increase chances of profit, however it is risky and should be only used by

    experienced traders.

    http://www.coensio.com/

  • © 2017 www.coensio.com

    Trading Stock Market and CFD’s carries considerable risk of capital loss 22

    4. Dividend is a reliable and powerful tool for long term capital growth.

    5. Leverage (CFD trading) can boost your profits and minimize the amount

    of required trading capital. I do trade with leveraged instruments, since it

    gives me a possibility to trade with €100 and control €1000 in the markets.

    With only €2000 on my account and average leverage of x10, I can trade

    like I’ve invested €20000. However, I am aware of all risks involved in

    trading leveraged products, and I am accepting the possible losses.

    6. Always keep your eyes open, try to detect new trends and learn how to

    profit from them.

    7. There are many commercially available tools that can help you find a

    reliable market entry. One of the professional solutions that is worth

    mentioning is the: TradeMiner. Click HERE to find out more about this

    software.

    Other recommendations are the DailyInsider newsletter and TipRanks

    service. See the next chapter for more information about those solutions.

    8. Always spread your chances, and do not bet all your money on one stock!

    On average, a standard portfolio should have between 10 and 15 different

    stocks.

    9. Always keep educating yourself! This small eBook covers only the basics of

    stock trading…and there is so much more. Stock trading, if done properly,

    is a great hobby that pays very well;) Keep learning and be patient and you

    will get ‘there’.

    10. If you like my eBook, or just want to add a comment post your reply HERE.

    11. DO NOT FORGET to sign up to my special stock trading mailing list HERE.

    If you already downloaded this eBook from this link then you are already

    fine, if not then please subscribe to get my future updates and additional

    tips.

    20. Do you need help with trading?

    For some people the information from this eBook can be a little bit

    overwhelming and it will be not easy to get it all going. If you want to learn how

    http://www.coensio.com/http://34.gs/TradeMinerhttp://34.gs/TradeMinerhttps://padlock.link/DailyInsiderLinkhttps://padlock.link/TipRanksBookhttp://www.coensio.com/wp/stock-trading-strategy-ebook/http://www.coensio.com/wp/stock-trading-strategy-ebook/http://www.coensio.com/wp/stock-trading-strategy-ebook/

  • © 2017 www.coensio.com

    Trading Stock Market and CFD’s carries considerable risk of capital loss 23

    to buy only the best stocks that are selected by the best professional traders, I

    recommend you to visit my blog to see how:

    CLICK HERE TO GO TO MY WEBSITE

    Also, I can imagine that stock trading can be very confusing for a beginner. Or

    that there are many people with full-time job and families with small kids, that

    do not have time for continuous reading, watching market news and doing

    market analysis. Therefore, I have personally selected two options that you can

    use for your daily trading, when your trading time is very limited:

    The DailyInsider

    This is a professional, daily news letter which covers the best investing

    opportunities every single day.

    http://www.coensio.com/http://9nl.it/StocksToBuyhttps://padlock.link/DailyInsiderLinkhttps://padlock.link/DailyInsiderLinkhttps://padlock.link/DailyInsiderLink

  • © 2017 www.coensio.com

    Trading Stock Market and CFD’s carries considerable risk of capital loss 24

    Automated algorithmic stock recommendations:

    TipRanks

    This is a professional portal (a search engine like google) which evaluates public

    stock recommendations made by professional financial analysts and bloggers.

    The search results are ranked by experts based on their accuracy and

    performance from their past predictions. Below a simple example of how a

    typical TipRanks search result looks like:

    For each single stock you a considering to buy this great tool can tell you the

    following:

    • The current ‘buy/sell or hold’ recommendation of the best market analysts

    • The mid/long term price range prediction

    • The insider buy/sell actions (extremely strong buy or sell signals)

    • Financial bloggers recommendations

    • The current recommendation of all experts who have already successfully

    predicted price movement in the past for a given stock

    • Currently trending stocks

    • Many, many more….

    Get My Special 10% Discount: Use Coupon Code: COENSIO

    http://www.coensio.com/https://padlock.link/TipRanksBookhttps://padlock.link/TipRankshttps://padlock.link/TipRankshttps://padlock.link/TipRanksBookhttps://padlock.link/TipRanksBookhttps://padlock.link/TipRanksBook

  • © 2017 www.coensio.com

    Trading Stock Market and CFD’s carries considerable risk of capital loss 25

    http://www.coensio.com/https://padlock.link/TipRankshttps://padlock.link/TipRanks

  • 21. My track record (real money €1000 test account with 140% profit) See also my newest updates on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=petqAU30zF0&t=6s

    Date Product Symbol/ISIN Transaction ID Buy/Sell Amount Price Value Profit:

    11/17/2015 GOLD SL 971.00 HB 3.46 FN 951.62 R 10.00 BNP Paribas Turbo Long

    N034N / NL0006527392 62552280 Bought 7 13.77 -96.39

    02/11/2016 GOLD SL 971.00 HB 3.46 FN 951.62 R 10.00 BNP Paribas Turbo Long

    N034N / NL0006527392 65616948 Sold -7 23.91 167.37 70.98

    11/17/2015 GOLD SL 1010.68 HB 4.06 FN 1010.68 R 10.00 BNP Paribas Booster Long AP13B / NL0010897153 62552281 Bought 10 9.3 -93

    02/11/2016 GOLD SL 1010.68 HB 4.06 FN 1010.68 R 10.00 BNP Paribas Booster Long AP13B / NL0010897153 65616952 Sold -10 19.49 194.9 101.9

    12/14/2015 BNP Paribas Booster Long / WTI OIL / Stop Loss 34.400000 / Hefb. 19.201100 / Fin Niv. 34.400000 / Ratio 1.000000

    DU42B / NL0011266424 63502847 Bought 55 1.69 -92.95

    12/15/2015 BNP Paribas Booster Long / WTI OIL / Stop Loss 34.400000 / Hefb. 19.201100 / Fin Niv. 34.400000 / Ratio 1.000000

    DU42B / NL0011266424 63558068 Sold -55 2.45 134.75 41.8

    12/21/2015 MICROSOFT CORPORATION MSFT / US5949181045 63808701 Bought 1 54.6 -54.6

    12/21/2015 MICROSOFT CORPORATION MSFT / US5949181045 63808712 Bought 1 54.56 -54.56

    12/21/2015 MICROSOFT CORPORATION MSFT / US5949181045 63809048 Bought 1 54.52 -54.52

    12/21/2015 MICROSOFT CORPORATION MSFT / US5949181045 63809065 Bought 1 54.52 -54.52

    02/22/2016 MICROSOFT CORPORATION MSFT / US5949181045 66055876 Bought 4 52.78 -211.12

    07/18/2016 MICROSOFT CORPORATION MSFT / US5949181045 72058508 Sold -8 54.18 433.44 4.12

    02/08/2016 APPLE SL 86.91 HB 4.01 FN 86.91 R 1.00 BNP Paribas Booster Long DU99B / NL0011266994 65433136 Bought 22 8.27 -181.94

    04/27/2016 APPLE SL 86.91 HB 4.01 FN 86.91 R 1.00 BNP Paribas Booster Long DU99B / NL0011266994 68698323 Sold -22 9.93 218.46 36.52

    03/14/2016 BNP Paribas Turbo Long / AMAZON / Stop Loss 541.200000 / Hefb. 6.647400 / Fin Niv. 503.580000 / Ratio 10.000000

    HH61B / NL0011656665 66981829 Bought 17 5.58 -94.86

    03/29/2016 BNP Paribas Turbo Long / AMAZON / Stop Loss 541.200000 / Hefb. 6.647400 / Fin Niv. 503.580000 / Ratio 10.000000

    HH61B / NL0011656665 67564675 Sold -17 3.26 55.42 -39.44

    04/13/2016 AMAZON SL 532.78 HB 2.96 FN 532.78 R 100.00 Citi BEST Turbo Long U359C / DE000CX00PZ8 68108382 Bought 35 0.84 -29.4

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=petqAU30zF0&t=6s

  • © 2017 www.coensio.com

    Trading Stock Market and CFD’s carries considerable risk of capital loss 27

    04/13/2016 AMAZON SL 532.78 HB 2.96 FN 532.78 R 100.00 Citi BEST Turbo Long U359C / DE000CX00PZ8 68108406 Bought 15 0.84 -12.6

    04/13/2016 AMAZON SL 532.78 HB 2.96 FN 532.78 R 100.00 Citi BEST Turbo Long U359C / DE000CX00PZ8 68108430 Bought 5 0.84 -4.2

    05/10/2016 AMAZON SL 532.78 HB 2.96 FN 532.78 R 100.00 Citi BEST Turbo Long U359C / DE000CX00PZ8 69122133 Sold -55 1.43 78.65 32.45

    04/27/2016 DRAGONWAVE INC DRWI / CA26144M4002 68707397 Bought 10 6.67 -66.7

    04/28/2016 DRAGONWAVE INC DRWI / CA26144M4002 68773465 Bought 10 6.4 -64

    07/15/2016 DRAGONWAVE INC DRWI / CA26144M4002 71975048 Sold -20 4.85 97 -33.7

    04/18/2016 WTI OIL SL 33.63 HB 3.61 FN 33.63 R 1.00 BNP Paribas Booster Long

    GD01B / NL0011531124 68221602 Bought 19 9.39 -178.41

    05/17/2016 WTI OIL SL 33.63 HB 3.61 FN 33.63 R 1.00 BNP Paribas Booster Long

    GD01B / NL0011531124 69363569 Sold -19 16.68 316.92 138.51

    05/23/2016 MGT CAPITAL INVESTMENTS INC MGT / US55302P2020 69638575 Bought 30 3.1 -93

    05/24/2016 MGT CAPITAL INVESTMENTS INC MGT / US55302P2020 69699589 Sold -30 2.92 87.6 -5.4

    06/03/2016 GOLD SL 1194.56 HB 9.16 FN 1194.56 R 10.00 BNP Paribas Booster Long GZ04B / NL0011648092 70037869 Bought 40 2.83 -113.2

    06/27/2016 GOLD SL 1194.56 HB 9.16 FN 1194.56 R 10.00 BNP Paribas Booster Long GZ04B / NL0011648092 71054223 Sold -40 13.13 525.2 412

    05/02/2016 APPLE SL 86.91 HB 4.01 FN 86.91 R 1.00 BNP Paribas Booster Long DU99B / NL0011266994 68870352 Bought 20 6.8 -136

    05/26/2016 APPLE SL 86.91 HB 4.01 FN 86.91 R 1.00 BNP Paribas Booster Long DU99B / NL0011266994 69765001 Sold -20 12.48 249.6 113.6

    06/28/2016 MICROSOFT SL 41.89 HB 3.58 FN 41.89 R 1.00 BNP Paribas Booster Long FL52B / NL0011447529 71138098 Bought 20 6.99 -139.8

    04/25/2016 MICROSOFT SL 41.89 HB 3.58 FN 41.89 R 1.00 BNP Paribas Booster Long FL52B / NL0011447529 68557566 Bought 10 9.24 -92.4

    08/02/2016 MICROSOFT SL 41.89 HB 3.58 FN 41.89 R 1.00 BNP Paribas Booster Long FL52B / NL0011447529 72624427 Sold -30 13.51 405.3 173.1

    07/01/2016 GOOGLE SL 625.00 HB 5.36 FN 625.00 R 100.00 Citi Turbo Long 3240C / DE000CX093L2 71352205 Bought 400 0.66 -264

    08/08/2016 GOOGLE SL 625.00 HB 5.36 FN 625.00 R 100.00 Citi Turbo Long 3240C / DE000CX093L2 72908836 Sold -400 1.43 572 308

    05/10/2016 PARAGON SHIPPING INC-CLASS A PRGN / MHY6728Q1456 69164091 Bought 40 2.06 -82.4

    http://www.coensio.com/

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    Trading Stock Market and CFD’s carries considerable risk of capital loss 28

    08/24/2016 PARAGON SHIPPING INC-CLASS A PRGN / MHY6728Q1456 73496288 Sold -40 0.4731 18.92 -63.48

    08/24/2016 SILVER SL 17.88 HB 10.07 FN 17.88 R 1.00 ING BEST Sprinter Long IC71G / NL0011845607 73489653 Bought 200 0.97 -194

    09/22/2016 SILVER SL 17.88 HB 10.07 FN 17.88 R 1.00 ING BEST Sprinter Long IC71G / NL0011845607 74677799 Sold -100 1.77 177

    09/22/2016 SILVER SL 17.88 HB 10.07 FN 17.88 R 1.00 ING BEST Sprinter Long IC71G / NL0011845607 74696481 Sold -100 1.77 177 160

    03/14/2016 HP INC HPQ / US40434L1052 66981599 Bought 9 11.6 -104.4

    08/02/2016 HP INC HPQ / US40434L1052 72677779 Sold -9 13.96 125.64 21.24

    Total Profit

    €1472.2

    http://www.coensio.com/

    1. Disclaimer2. Introduction3. Why to trade stocks (and commodities)?4. Introduction to my trading strategy5. The fundaments of profitable trading6. My daily fundamental analysis routine7. The “common sense” strategy with an example8. Letter Grade Rating9. Charts, charts, charts10. The power of averaging11. The power of dividend12. The power of leverage13. How to profit from ‘craze’14. Spread your chances15. When to exit the market?16. New trading opportunities17. My open trades (overview)18. Brokers19. Conclusions20. Do you need help with trading?21. My track record (real money €1000 test account with 140% profit)