Mr Shirish Garud Potential of CSP in India

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    2929thth July 2009July 2009 ASSOCHAM South Asia Renewable Energy Conference, New Delhi

    Potential of CSP inPotential of CSP in

    IndiaIndiaShirish Garud,Shirish Garud,

    Fellow and Area Convenor,Fellow and Area Convenor,TERITERI

    http://www.renewableenergyaccess.com/assets/images/story/2004/3/26/SEGS_NREL.jpghttp://images.google.co.in/imgres?imgurl=http://www.newpowerindia.com/solar%2520thermal.jpg&imgrefurl=http://www.newpowerindia.com/pvcells.html&usg=__rznZ-07aFTC7TDcVOwoHFIX8_wk=&h=333&w=500&sz=36&hl=en&start=9&sig2=Y2-iCp1ozbK2tUoslKf75A&um=1&tbnid=NfaEx2qJkdBLaM:&tbnh=87&tbnw=130&prev=/images%3Fq%3Dsolar%2Bparabolic%2Btrough%26hl%3Den%26rlz%3D1T4ADBF_en___IN329%26sa%3DN%26um%3D1&ei=MuBvSsS4Ko2VkAWS7ej0BA
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    July 2009July 2009 ASSOCHAM South Asia Renewable Energy Conference, New DelhiASSOCHAM South Asia Renewable Energy Conference, New Delhi

    OutlineOutline

    Why India Needs CSPWhy India Needs CSP Indian Energy scenarioIndian Energy scenario

    Global trendsGlobal trends

    Climate Change Action PlanClimate Change Action Plan Solar ResourceSolar Resource Potential for CSP in IndiaPotential for CSP in India

    Grid Connected Large ScaleGrid Connected Large Scale DistributedDistributed

    Way ForwardWay Forward

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    July 2009July 2009 ASSOCHAM South Asia Renewable Energy Conference, New DelhiASSOCHAM South Asia Renewable Energy Conference, New Delhi

    Why India Needs CSPWhy India Needs CSP

    Indian Energy scenarioIndian Energy scenario

    Global trendsGlobal trends

    Climate Change Action PlanClimate Change Action Plan

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    July 2009July 2009 ASSOCHAM South Asia Renewable Energy Conference, New DelhiASSOCHAM South Asia Renewable Energy Conference, New Delhi

    Electricity fuel mixElectricity fuel mix

    71%

    7,231 MW

    29%

    2,944 MW

    Other RE

    WindTotal installed capacity as

    on 31.3.2009 is 148265.4

    78%

    90%

    9,755 MW

    10%

    1,141 MW

    Other RE

    Wind

    10,897 MW

    23%

    Hydro

    R E

    3 4

    Nucl ea

    3 %

    G a s

    1 0 %

    D i e s e

    1 %

    C o a

    5 2 %

    R E S G a s N uc le ar D ie s el C oa l

    39,222 MW

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    July 2009July 2009 ASSOCHAM South Asia Renewable Energy Conference, New DelhiASSOCHAM South Asia Renewable Energy Conference, New Delhi

    Energy supplyEnergy supply Coal

    Major energy source. Biomass

    Primary source of cooking energy in > 80%rural households.

    Electricity All India average shortage ~ 11.6 % Peak Load supply shortage ~ 15 % Base Load supply shortage ~ 9 %

    Energy security concern Around 75 % of the petroleum supply isimported

    Even coal is being imported

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    Energy supplyEnergy supply

    Poor electrification status

    78 million households (44%) in thecountry do not have access to electricity

    1,25,000 villages are un-electrified

    Electricity supply situation is generallypoor in even electrified villages

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    July 2009July 2009 ASSOCHAM South Asia Renewable Energy Conference, New DelhiASSOCHAM South Asia Renewable Energy Conference, New Delhi

    1010thth Plan (2002-2007)Plan (2002-2007)

    performanceperformance

    Achievement 51.5% of the target

    SECTORSECTOR THERMAL (MW)THERMAL (MW) HYDRO (MW)HYDRO (MW) NUCLEAR (MW)NUCLEAR (MW) TOTAL (MW)TOTAL (MW)

    TargetTarget AchievedAchieved TargetTarget AchievedAchieved TargetTarget AchievedAchieved TargetTarget AchievedAchieved

    CentralCentral 12790.0012790.00 6590.006590.00 8742.008742.00 4495.004495.00 13001300 1180.001180.00 22832.0022832.00 12265.0012265.00

    StateState 6676.006676.00 3553.643553.64 4481.004481.00 2691.002691.00 0.000.00 0.000.00 11157.0011157.00 6244.646244.64

    PrivatePrivate 5951.005951.00 1970.601970.60 1170.001170.00 700.00700.00 0.000.00 0.000.00 7121.007121.00 2670.602670.60

    TotalTotal 25417.0025417.00 12114.2412114.24 14393.0014393.00 7886.007886.00 1300.001300.00 1180.001180.00 41110.0041110.00 21180.2421180.24

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    Import dependenceImport dependence

    FuelFuel ScenarioScenario 2001/022001/02 2011/122011/12 2021/222021/22 2031/322031/32

    CoalCoal BAUBAU 4%4% 9%9% 49%49% 72%72%

    Energy efficientEnergy efficient 4%4% 10%10% 52%52% 64%64%

    OilOil BAUBAU 69%69% 65%65% 74%74% 88%88%

    Energy efficientEnergy efficient 69%69% 61%61% 48%48% 76%76%

    GasGas BAUBAU 0%0% 17%17% 34%34% 34%34%

    Energy efficientEnergy efficient 0%0% 22%22% 34%34% 34%34%

    Source: TERI study

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    Estimated growth in electricity generationEstimated growth in electricity generation

    capacity (2006-2031)capacity (2006-2031)

    0

    200000

    400000

    600000

    800000

    1000000

    1200000

    2006 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031

    Installed

    Capacity(

    7% GDP growth

    8% GDP growth

    Source: Planning Commission, 2005

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    Energy mix under alternativeEnergy mix under alternative

    scenariosscenariosPercentage distribution of primary commercial energy suppl2031

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    Reference Evolution Resolution Ambition

    Scenarios

    Coal Natural Gas Oil Hydro Nuclear Renewables

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    July 2009July 2009 ASSOCHAM South Asia Renewable Energy Conference, New DelhiASSOCHAM South Asia Renewable Energy Conference, New Delhi

    National Solar MissionNational Solar Mission

    Proposed targetsProposed targets

    20 GW by 202020 GW by 2020

    100 GW by 2030 or 10-12% of total100 GW by 2030 or 10-12% of total

    power generation capacity estimated forpower generation capacity estimated for

    that yearthat year

    4-5GW of installed solar manufacturing4-5GW of installed solar manufacturing

    capability by 2017capability by 2017

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    July 2009July 2009 ASSOCHAM South Asia Renewable Energy Conference, New DelhiASSOCHAM South Asia Renewable Energy Conference, New Delhi

    Global investments in renewable energyGlobal investments in renewable energy

    Source: REN21, 2009

    BillionD

    ollars

    Investments insolar PV 32%(US$38.4 billion)

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    Global scenario in REGlobal scenario in RE

    developmentdevelopment

    All countries taking bold action in promotingAll countries taking bold action in promotingand installing RE systemsand installing RE systems

    EU: target ofEU: target of20%20% energy from renewables byenergy from renewables by

    20202020

    Australia: target ofAustralia: target of20%20% energy (GWh ofenergy (GWh ofelectricity) from renewables by 2020electricity) from renewables by 2020

    China:China: 15%15% RE in energy mix by 2020,RE in energy mix by 2020, 30% or30% or

    moremore by 2050by 2050

    USA: in the process of finalising aUSA: in the process of finalising a 20%20% target totarget tobe achieved by 2020 - RE (15%) & EE (5%)be achieved by 2020 - RE (15%) & EE (5%)

    India needs to be ambitious in setting aIndia needs to be ambitious in setting a

    target (in terms of GWh, not GW)target (in terms of GWh, not GW)

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    July 2009July 2009 ASSOCHAM South Asia Renewable Energy Conference, New DelhiASSOCHAM South Asia Renewable Energy Conference, New Delhi

    Solar Resource in IndiaSolar Resource in India

    5 trillion kWh/year theoretical potential5 trillion kWh/year theoretical potential Sunny areasSunny areas

    Most of the country receives more thanMost of the country receives more than

    4kWh/m4kWh/m22

    /day/day

    More than 300 sunny days in the most part ofMore than 300 sunny days in the most part ofthe countrythe country

    Potential being mapped by IMD, and fewPotential being mapped by IMD, and fewother institutes.other institutes.

    IMD, MNRE has published solar energyIMD, MNRE has published solar energyresource handbookresource handbook

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    Solar radiation map of India

    If one percent of theland is used toharness solar energyfor electricitygeneration at anoverall efficiency of

    10%; 492 x 106MU/year electricitycan be generated

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    Government initiativesGovernment initiatives

    GBI (Generation Based incentives)GBI (Generation Based incentives)

    for Solar power projects (2008)for Solar power projects (2008)

    Solar Mission under National ActionSolar Mission under National Action

    Plan for Climate ChangePlan for Climate Change

    GBIs and incentive schemes fromGBIs and incentive schemes from

    state governmentsstate governments

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    July 2009July 2009 ASSOCHAM South Asia Renewable Energy Conference, New DelhiASSOCHAM South Asia Renewable Energy Conference, New Delhi

    CSP worldwideCSP worldwide

    More than 10 different technologyMore than 10 different technology

    combinationscombinations

    More than 400MW installed capacityMore than 400MW installed capacity

    More than 8GW installed capacity projectsMore than 8GW installed capacity projectsannouncedannounced

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    Role India can playRole India can play

    Global hub for manufacturing CSPGlobal hub for manufacturing CSP

    Global test facilitiesGlobal test facilities

    Different climatic conditionsDifferent climatic conditions

    Abundant sunlightAbundant sunlight

    Technical man powerTechnical man power

    Large scale Power plantsLarge scale Power plants

    4-5 GW by 2020 is easily possible4-5 GW by 2020 is easily possible Rajasthan, Gujarat, Maharashtra, Karnataka,Rajasthan, Gujarat, Maharashtra, Karnataka,

    MP, Haryana , Tamilnadu, AP potential statesMP, Haryana , Tamilnadu, AP potential states

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    July 2009July 2009 ASSOCHAM South Asia Renewable Energy Conference, New DelhiASSOCHAM South Asia Renewable Energy Conference, New Delhi

    What India should doWhat India should do

    GovernmentGovernment Back up the plans with realistic and strong policyBack up the plans with realistic and strong policypushpush Solar plants and manufacturing base developmentSolar plants and manufacturing base development Low cost financing and fiscal incentivesLow cost financing and fiscal incentives

    IndustryIndustry Move fast to develop manufacturing capabilityMove fast to develop manufacturing capability Develop R & D baseDevelop R & D base Appropriate technology adaptationAppropriate technology adaptation

    Financing and insurance institutionsFinancing and insurance institutions Low cost financingLow cost financing Risk mitigation instruments for solar plantsRisk mitigation instruments for solar plants

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    July 2009July 2009 ASSOCHAM South Asia Renewable Energy Conference, New DelhiASSOCHAM South Asia Renewable Energy Conference, New Delhi

    Suggestions to move forwardSuggestions to move forward

    Strong long term policy initiativeStrong long term policy initiative Support to various promising technologiesSupport to various promising technologies

    Cost should not be barrier in initial projectsCost should not be barrier in initial projects National Plan for large scale solr powerNational Plan for large scale solr power

    developmentdevelopment Solar Park conceptSolar Park concept Solar CSP test facilities in atleast two locationsSolar CSP test facilities in atleast two locations Incentives for industries to develop sub-Incentives for industries to develop sub-

    components (e.g.mirrors, Coatings,components (e.g.mirrors, Coatings,Structures)Structures) Indigenous technology developmentIndigenous technology development

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    Suggestions to move forwardSuggestions to move forward

    Long term low cost finance forLong term low cost finance for

    capital investmentscapital investments

    RE targets for Distribution agenciesRE targets for Distribution agencies

    can be enhancedcan be enhanced

    RE targets for industries, Gencos?RE targets for industries, Gencos?

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    July 2009July 2009 ASSOCHAM South Asia Renewable Energy Conference, New DelhiASSOCHAM South Asia Renewable Energy Conference, New Delhi

    TERIs activitiesTERIs activities

    Feasibility studies for solar power plantsFeasibility studies for solar power plants Two projects under finalisationTwo projects under finalisation

    Institutional Expertise inInstitutional Expertise in

    SimulationsSimulations

    Solar radiation analysisSolar radiation analysis

    Development of technologies,Development of technologies,

    Strong R & D capabilitiesStrong R & D capabilities

    Think tank for the GovernmentThink tank for the Government Working on solar park conceptWorking on solar park concept

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    July 2009July 2009 ASSOCHAM South Asia Renewable Energy Conference, New DelhiASSOCHAM South Asia Renewable Energy Conference, New Delhi

    Be the change you want to see in the world

    A technological society has two choices. First it can wait untilcatastrophic failures expose systemic deficiencies, distortion andself-deceptions

    Secondly, a culture can provide social checks and balances to

    correct for systemic distortion prior to catastrophic failures.

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    Thank you!!!Thank you!!!

    Contact:Contact: [email protected]@teri.res.in [email protected]@reeep.org Cell- 09811602069Cell- 09811602069 www.teriin.orgwww.teriin.org

    mailto:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]://www.teriin.org/http://www.teriin.org/http://www.teriin.org/mailto:[email protected]:[email protected]