Mr Shirish Garud Potential of CSP in India
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8/9/2019 Mr Shirish Garud Potential of CSP in India
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2929thth July 2009July 2009 ASSOCHAM South Asia Renewable Energy Conference, New Delhi
Potential of CSP inPotential of CSP in
IndiaIndiaShirish Garud,Shirish Garud,
Fellow and Area Convenor,Fellow and Area Convenor,TERITERI
http://www.renewableenergyaccess.com/assets/images/story/2004/3/26/SEGS_NREL.jpghttp://images.google.co.in/imgres?imgurl=http://www.newpowerindia.com/solar%2520thermal.jpg&imgrefurl=http://www.newpowerindia.com/pvcells.html&usg=__rznZ-07aFTC7TDcVOwoHFIX8_wk=&h=333&w=500&sz=36&hl=en&start=9&sig2=Y2-iCp1ozbK2tUoslKf75A&um=1&tbnid=NfaEx2qJkdBLaM:&tbnh=87&tbnw=130&prev=/images%3Fq%3Dsolar%2Bparabolic%2Btrough%26hl%3Den%26rlz%3D1T4ADBF_en___IN329%26sa%3DN%26um%3D1&ei=MuBvSsS4Ko2VkAWS7ej0BA -
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July 2009July 2009 ASSOCHAM South Asia Renewable Energy Conference, New DelhiASSOCHAM South Asia Renewable Energy Conference, New Delhi
OutlineOutline
Why India Needs CSPWhy India Needs CSP Indian Energy scenarioIndian Energy scenario
Global trendsGlobal trends
Climate Change Action PlanClimate Change Action Plan Solar ResourceSolar Resource Potential for CSP in IndiaPotential for CSP in India
Grid Connected Large ScaleGrid Connected Large Scale DistributedDistributed
Way ForwardWay Forward
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July 2009July 2009 ASSOCHAM South Asia Renewable Energy Conference, New DelhiASSOCHAM South Asia Renewable Energy Conference, New Delhi
Why India Needs CSPWhy India Needs CSP
Indian Energy scenarioIndian Energy scenario
Global trendsGlobal trends
Climate Change Action PlanClimate Change Action Plan
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July 2009July 2009 ASSOCHAM South Asia Renewable Energy Conference, New DelhiASSOCHAM South Asia Renewable Energy Conference, New Delhi
Electricity fuel mixElectricity fuel mix
71%
7,231 MW
29%
2,944 MW
Other RE
WindTotal installed capacity as
on 31.3.2009 is 148265.4
78%
90%
9,755 MW
10%
1,141 MW
Other RE
Wind
10,897 MW
23%
Hydro
R E
3 4
Nucl ea
3 %
G a s
1 0 %
D i e s e
1 %
C o a
5 2 %
R E S G a s N uc le ar D ie s el C oa l
39,222 MW
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July 2009July 2009 ASSOCHAM South Asia Renewable Energy Conference, New DelhiASSOCHAM South Asia Renewable Energy Conference, New Delhi
Energy supplyEnergy supply Coal
Major energy source. Biomass
Primary source of cooking energy in > 80%rural households.
Electricity All India average shortage ~ 11.6 % Peak Load supply shortage ~ 15 % Base Load supply shortage ~ 9 %
Energy security concern Around 75 % of the petroleum supply isimported
Even coal is being imported
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July 2009July 2009 ASSOCHAM South Asia Renewable Energy Conference, New DelhiASSOCHAM South Asia Renewable Energy Conference, New Delhi
Energy supplyEnergy supply
Poor electrification status
78 million households (44%) in thecountry do not have access to electricity
1,25,000 villages are un-electrified
Electricity supply situation is generallypoor in even electrified villages
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July 2009July 2009 ASSOCHAM South Asia Renewable Energy Conference, New DelhiASSOCHAM South Asia Renewable Energy Conference, New Delhi
1010thth Plan (2002-2007)Plan (2002-2007)
performanceperformance
Achievement 51.5% of the target
SECTORSECTOR THERMAL (MW)THERMAL (MW) HYDRO (MW)HYDRO (MW) NUCLEAR (MW)NUCLEAR (MW) TOTAL (MW)TOTAL (MW)
TargetTarget AchievedAchieved TargetTarget AchievedAchieved TargetTarget AchievedAchieved TargetTarget AchievedAchieved
CentralCentral 12790.0012790.00 6590.006590.00 8742.008742.00 4495.004495.00 13001300 1180.001180.00 22832.0022832.00 12265.0012265.00
StateState 6676.006676.00 3553.643553.64 4481.004481.00 2691.002691.00 0.000.00 0.000.00 11157.0011157.00 6244.646244.64
PrivatePrivate 5951.005951.00 1970.601970.60 1170.001170.00 700.00700.00 0.000.00 0.000.00 7121.007121.00 2670.602670.60
TotalTotal 25417.0025417.00 12114.2412114.24 14393.0014393.00 7886.007886.00 1300.001300.00 1180.001180.00 41110.0041110.00 21180.2421180.24
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Import dependenceImport dependence
FuelFuel ScenarioScenario 2001/022001/02 2011/122011/12 2021/222021/22 2031/322031/32
CoalCoal BAUBAU 4%4% 9%9% 49%49% 72%72%
Energy efficientEnergy efficient 4%4% 10%10% 52%52% 64%64%
OilOil BAUBAU 69%69% 65%65% 74%74% 88%88%
Energy efficientEnergy efficient 69%69% 61%61% 48%48% 76%76%
GasGas BAUBAU 0%0% 17%17% 34%34% 34%34%
Energy efficientEnergy efficient 0%0% 22%22% 34%34% 34%34%
Source: TERI study
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Estimated growth in electricity generationEstimated growth in electricity generation
capacity (2006-2031)capacity (2006-2031)
0
200000
400000
600000
800000
1000000
1200000
2006 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031
Installed
Capacity(
7% GDP growth
8% GDP growth
Source: Planning Commission, 2005
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July 2009July 2009 ASSOCHAM South Asia Renewable Energy Conference, New DelhiASSOCHAM South Asia Renewable Energy Conference, New Delhi
Energy mix under alternativeEnergy mix under alternative
scenariosscenariosPercentage distribution of primary commercial energy suppl2031
0
20
40
60
80
100
Reference Evolution Resolution Ambition
Scenarios
Coal Natural Gas Oil Hydro Nuclear Renewables
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July 2009July 2009 ASSOCHAM South Asia Renewable Energy Conference, New DelhiASSOCHAM South Asia Renewable Energy Conference, New Delhi
National Solar MissionNational Solar Mission
Proposed targetsProposed targets
20 GW by 202020 GW by 2020
100 GW by 2030 or 10-12% of total100 GW by 2030 or 10-12% of total
power generation capacity estimated forpower generation capacity estimated for
that yearthat year
4-5GW of installed solar manufacturing4-5GW of installed solar manufacturing
capability by 2017capability by 2017
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July 2009July 2009 ASSOCHAM South Asia Renewable Energy Conference, New DelhiASSOCHAM South Asia Renewable Energy Conference, New Delhi
Global investments in renewable energyGlobal investments in renewable energy
Source: REN21, 2009
BillionD
ollars
Investments insolar PV 32%(US$38.4 billion)
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July 2009July 2009 ASSOCHAM South Asia Renewable Energy Conference, New DelhiASSOCHAM South Asia Renewable Energy Conference, New Delhi
Global scenario in REGlobal scenario in RE
developmentdevelopment
All countries taking bold action in promotingAll countries taking bold action in promotingand installing RE systemsand installing RE systems
EU: target ofEU: target of20%20% energy from renewables byenergy from renewables by
20202020
Australia: target ofAustralia: target of20%20% energy (GWh ofenergy (GWh ofelectricity) from renewables by 2020electricity) from renewables by 2020
China:China: 15%15% RE in energy mix by 2020,RE in energy mix by 2020, 30% or30% or
moremore by 2050by 2050
USA: in the process of finalising aUSA: in the process of finalising a 20%20% target totarget tobe achieved by 2020 - RE (15%) & EE (5%)be achieved by 2020 - RE (15%) & EE (5%)
India needs to be ambitious in setting aIndia needs to be ambitious in setting a
target (in terms of GWh, not GW)target (in terms of GWh, not GW)
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July 2009July 2009 ASSOCHAM South Asia Renewable Energy Conference, New DelhiASSOCHAM South Asia Renewable Energy Conference, New Delhi
Solar Resource in IndiaSolar Resource in India
5 trillion kWh/year theoretical potential5 trillion kWh/year theoretical potential Sunny areasSunny areas
Most of the country receives more thanMost of the country receives more than
4kWh/m4kWh/m22
/day/day
More than 300 sunny days in the most part ofMore than 300 sunny days in the most part ofthe countrythe country
Potential being mapped by IMD, and fewPotential being mapped by IMD, and fewother institutes.other institutes.
IMD, MNRE has published solar energyIMD, MNRE has published solar energyresource handbookresource handbook
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July 2009July 2009 ASSOCHAM South Asia Renewable Energy Conference, New DelhiASSOCHAM South Asia Renewable Energy Conference, New Delhi
Solar radiation map of India
If one percent of theland is used toharness solar energyfor electricitygeneration at anoverall efficiency of
10%; 492 x 106MU/year electricitycan be generated
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July 2009July 2009 ASSOCHAM South Asia Renewable Energy Conference, New DelhiASSOCHAM South Asia Renewable Energy Conference, New Delhi
Government initiativesGovernment initiatives
GBI (Generation Based incentives)GBI (Generation Based incentives)
for Solar power projects (2008)for Solar power projects (2008)
Solar Mission under National ActionSolar Mission under National Action
Plan for Climate ChangePlan for Climate Change
GBIs and incentive schemes fromGBIs and incentive schemes from
state governmentsstate governments
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CSP worldwideCSP worldwide
More than 10 different technologyMore than 10 different technology
combinationscombinations
More than 400MW installed capacityMore than 400MW installed capacity
More than 8GW installed capacity projectsMore than 8GW installed capacity projectsannouncedannounced
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Role India can playRole India can play
Global hub for manufacturing CSPGlobal hub for manufacturing CSP
Global test facilitiesGlobal test facilities
Different climatic conditionsDifferent climatic conditions
Abundant sunlightAbundant sunlight
Technical man powerTechnical man power
Large scale Power plantsLarge scale Power plants
4-5 GW by 2020 is easily possible4-5 GW by 2020 is easily possible Rajasthan, Gujarat, Maharashtra, Karnataka,Rajasthan, Gujarat, Maharashtra, Karnataka,
MP, Haryana , Tamilnadu, AP potential statesMP, Haryana , Tamilnadu, AP potential states
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July 2009July 2009 ASSOCHAM South Asia Renewable Energy Conference, New DelhiASSOCHAM South Asia Renewable Energy Conference, New Delhi
What India should doWhat India should do
GovernmentGovernment Back up the plans with realistic and strong policyBack up the plans with realistic and strong policypushpush Solar plants and manufacturing base developmentSolar plants and manufacturing base development Low cost financing and fiscal incentivesLow cost financing and fiscal incentives
IndustryIndustry Move fast to develop manufacturing capabilityMove fast to develop manufacturing capability Develop R & D baseDevelop R & D base Appropriate technology adaptationAppropriate technology adaptation
Financing and insurance institutionsFinancing and insurance institutions Low cost financingLow cost financing Risk mitigation instruments for solar plantsRisk mitigation instruments for solar plants
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July 2009July 2009 ASSOCHAM South Asia Renewable Energy Conference, New DelhiASSOCHAM South Asia Renewable Energy Conference, New Delhi
Suggestions to move forwardSuggestions to move forward
Strong long term policy initiativeStrong long term policy initiative Support to various promising technologiesSupport to various promising technologies
Cost should not be barrier in initial projectsCost should not be barrier in initial projects National Plan for large scale solr powerNational Plan for large scale solr power
developmentdevelopment Solar Park conceptSolar Park concept Solar CSP test facilities in atleast two locationsSolar CSP test facilities in atleast two locations Incentives for industries to develop sub-Incentives for industries to develop sub-
components (e.g.mirrors, Coatings,components (e.g.mirrors, Coatings,Structures)Structures) Indigenous technology developmentIndigenous technology development
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July 2009July 2009 ASSOCHAM South Asia Renewable Energy Conference, New DelhiASSOCHAM South Asia Renewable Energy Conference, New Delhi
Suggestions to move forwardSuggestions to move forward
Long term low cost finance forLong term low cost finance for
capital investmentscapital investments
RE targets for Distribution agenciesRE targets for Distribution agencies
can be enhancedcan be enhanced
RE targets for industries, Gencos?RE targets for industries, Gencos?
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July 2009July 2009 ASSOCHAM South Asia Renewable Energy Conference, New DelhiASSOCHAM South Asia Renewable Energy Conference, New Delhi
TERIs activitiesTERIs activities
Feasibility studies for solar power plantsFeasibility studies for solar power plants Two projects under finalisationTwo projects under finalisation
Institutional Expertise inInstitutional Expertise in
SimulationsSimulations
Solar radiation analysisSolar radiation analysis
Development of technologies,Development of technologies,
Strong R & D capabilitiesStrong R & D capabilities
Think tank for the GovernmentThink tank for the Government Working on solar park conceptWorking on solar park concept
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July 2009July 2009 ASSOCHAM South Asia Renewable Energy Conference, New DelhiASSOCHAM South Asia Renewable Energy Conference, New Delhi
Be the change you want to see in the world
A technological society has two choices. First it can wait untilcatastrophic failures expose systemic deficiencies, distortion andself-deceptions
Secondly, a culture can provide social checks and balances to
correct for systemic distortion prior to catastrophic failures.
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July 2009July 2009 ASSOCHAM South Asia Renewable Energy Conference, New DelhiASSOCHAM South Asia Renewable Energy Conference, New Delhi
Thank you!!!Thank you!!!
Contact:Contact: [email protected]@teri.res.in [email protected]@reeep.org Cell- 09811602069Cell- 09811602069 www.teriin.orgwww.teriin.org
mailto:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]://www.teriin.org/http://www.teriin.org/http://www.teriin.org/mailto:[email protected]:[email protected]