#MP2013 Presentation of the Minister of National Planning Commission

by

Dr. Shamsuddeen Usman, CON HONOURABLE MINISTER OF NATIONAL PLANNING

PRESENTED AT THE

MINISTERIAL PLATFORM ON JUNE 24, 2013

(May 2011 – May 2013)

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NATIONAL PLANNING COMMISSION BUILDING

OUTLINE…

1.0: INTRODUCTION

2.0: The NPC Mandate

3.0: State of the Nigerian Economy

4.0: Key Achievements of the National

Planning Commission, May 2011 to Date

- Major Reform Initiatives and Outcomes

- Achievements on Core Mandates

5.0: Outlook and Prospects of the National

Planning Commission, May 2013 - 2015

6.0: Conclusion

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INTRODUCTION

SECTION 1

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1.0 Introduction

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• Ensuring effective realisation of the objectives of NV20:2020 -

Has reinforced the need for institutionalising strategic planning in Nigeria

during May 2011 to date

• The strategic planning framework of the country is anchored on Nigeria’s Vision

(NV) 20:2020

• Overarching objective of NV20:2020 is for Nigeria to become one of the 20

largest economies in the world by year 2020

• To be actualised through implementation of three medium term strategic plans

1st NIP, 2010 - 2013

2nd NIP, 2014 - 2017

3rd NIP, 2018 - 2020

And the Transformation Agenda (TA) 2011-2015

• The Commission is responsible for the coordination of strategic planning process

of the country

Including monitoring and evaluation of policies, programmes and projects

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1.0 Introduction (Cont’d)

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• NPC is established by Act No 12 of 1992

- Subsequently amended by Act No 71 of 1993

To determine and advise on policies that will best promote growth and

development of Nigeria

Dr. Shamsuddeen Usman, CON

Honourable Minister/Deputy Chairman

National Planning Commission

• Supported by three parastatals in actualising the objective:

- National Bureau of Statistics (NBS)

- Centre for Management Development (CMD)

- Nigerian Institute for Social and Economic Research (NISER)

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1.0 Introduction (Cont’d)

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NBS is the apex statistical agency for all the three

tiers of Government and

is the coordinator of the National

Statistical System

CMD co-ordinates the activities of, and gives proper direction to, institutions engaged in training and retraining of managerial

personnel in Nigeria.

It stimulates, promotes and coordinates management

development for the achievement of management excellence in

every state of Nigeria and beyond

NISER was established to consistently generate credible

knowledge through quality research, conduct specialised

training and consultancy services

while interacting with relevant segments of Nigerian society in

the task of national development

S.G (NBS) D-G (CMD) D-G (NISER)

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The NPC Mandate

SECTION 2

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2.0 The NPC MANDATE

Policy research and advice to national and sub-national governments

Formulation and coordination of national development plans

- Including oversight of the implementation of TA and the

NV20:2020

Monitoring and evaluation of policies, programmes and projects

Managing multi-lateral, bi-lateral and regional economic co-operation

- Including development aid and technical assistance

Carry out surveillance on the economy

Coordinating and production of official statistics & managing the

National Statistical System

Capacity development for efficient and effective utilization of

resources

Generation of credible knowledge for national development

Serves as secretariat to the National Economic Council

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State of the Nigerian Economy

SECTION 3

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3.0: STATE OF THE NIGERIAN ECONOMY

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The NPC has been actively involved in the economic management process of the

country during May 2011 to date

- Role undertaken through the implementation of core mandate

Coordinated effective development and implementation of the TA and

NV20:2020

Projects monitoring and evaluation

HMNP is key member of the National Economic Management Team (NEMT)

and the Economic Management Implementation Team (EMIT)

• The Nigerian economy recorded remarkable progress in the implementation of

the TA and NV20:2020 in the last two years

- The various macroeconomic polices implemented have broadly yielded

positive outcomes

3.0: STATE OF THE NIGERIAN ECONOMY Cont’d)

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Average growth 2011 &2012 • Robust average GDP growth of 7.01% was recorded in 2011 and 2012; •- Despite the continued slow down in the global economy

•GDP growth rate stood at 6.56 percent at the end of the Q1 2013;

•Eight out of the fourteen broad sectors surpassed their growth targets in the TA • Solid minerals • Financial Institution & Insurance • Building & Construction • Transport • Education • Roads, Estate • Public Administration • Other Services

•Growth driven largely by the non-oil sector of the economy • Agriculture - 27.64% • Wholesale and retail trade – 28.4% • Telecommunications - 24.38%

GDP Performance

3.0: STATE OF THE NIGERIAN ECONOMY (Cont’d)

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NV20:2020 on course:

- Nigeria moved eight positions in the past three years in global ranking

on GDP basis (World Bank/IMF ranking)

Moved from 44th in 2010 to 36th position in 2012

• Recorded highest FDI inflow of $7.01 billion in 2012 overtaking South Africa for

the first time

- After a remarkable rise of $8.9 billion in 2011

• Performance is expected to be sustained in the medium term

• Given the massive reform measures being implemented

3.1: STATE OF THE NIGERIAN ECONOMY -

Development in Price Level

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M1

M3

M5

M7

M9

M1

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M1

M3

M5

M7

M9

M1

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M3

2011 2012 2013

Pe

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HeadlineCore

Food

Inflation Rate May, 2011 to May 2013

•Through single digit inflation target yet to be achieved

• - Significant success was recorded over the review period

High but Stable

Inflation rate

•Headline Inflation (Y-on-y) decelerated to 12.0% in 2012 from 12.4% in May 2011, .

•As at March, April and May 2013, Headline Inflation (y-on-y) stood at 8.6 and 9.1 percent respectively.

Inflation within the single digit bracket

3.2: STATE OF THE NIGERIAN ECONOMY –

The Capital Market

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•Market capitalization rose to 8.98

trillion in 2012 from N6.55 trillion in

2011 (37.3% increase).

- Stood at N12.07 trillion as at end May

2013.

- Bond market expanded significantly

by 55.61 percent to N5.82 trillion in

2012 from N3.74 trillion in 2011.

- All-Share Index rose by 35% from

20,773.98 in 2011 to 28,078.81 in 2012.

•Over 37,794 as at end May 2013

3.3: State of the Nigerian Economy –

The External Sector

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32.34 32.64

43.83

48.57

146

148

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152

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2010 2011 2012 2013 Q1

External Reserves (US$’ Billion)

Exchange Rate (N/$)

Growth in non-oil exports averaged 29.57% in 2011 and 2012, surpassing TA target of 25.92%;

Growth in the Balance of Trade was 13.01%,

- 1.52% short of the TA target of 14.53%

FDI averaged US$7.97 billion par annual in 2011 and 2012 from US$6.10 billion in 2010. Still the highest in Africa;

Home remittances increased from US$19.20 billion in 2009 to US$20.61 billion in 2011 and US$21.89 billion in 2012;

Gross external reserves improved from US$32.34 billion in 2010, to US$48.8 billion as at April 26, 2013.

3.3: State of the Nigerian Economy –

The External Sector (Cont’d)

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While much progress has been made, especially with the macroeconomy

- There remains some challenges

Translating the robust growth rates to jobs

Issue of security

Addressing the issue of unemployment/under employment

• Good news is that the TA focuses at addressing the issues

- Through the following key initiatives:

SURE-P

YouWin

Agric Transformation Agenda

Quarterly job survey/mapping

- Massive infrastructure development in the Roads, Rail, Aviation and Power

• Other sectoral reforms

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Key Achievements of the National Planning

Commission, May 2011 to Date

SECTION 4

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4.0: Key Achievements of the National Planning

Commission, May 2011 - Date

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Over the last two years, NPC has championed

various strategic initiatives

- At the Federal

- And State levels

- Implemented several reforms and initiatives

Leading to improved outcomes

4.1 Major Reform Initiatives and Outcomes

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Institutionalization of Strategic Planning Process at the Federal level

- Cascading the strategic planning to subnational levels and MDAs

- Professionalization of DPRs at the federal level

- Conducting Needs Assessment of States’ Planning and Statistical Agencies for

enhanced service delivery

Improvement in human and infrastructural capacity of the institutions

- MDAs and States are encouraged to develop the culture of strategic planning

- To align budgetary submissions of MDAs to the plan provisions

Institutionalisation of Performance Management System & Contracting

- Aimed at measuring ministerial and individual officers’ performance, against

negotiated performance targets

With the introduction of the PMS, the public service has recorded improvement &

clarity in the alignment of institutional & individual performance

4.1 Major Reform Initiatives and Outcomes (Cont’d)

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Progress made under PMS are:

Establishment of specialised M&E Department in NPC and M&E units in the

MDAs

Development of KPIs for tracking service delivery of MDAs

Development of performance agreements for Ministers & key government

officials

Signing of 2012 Performance Contract Agreement between the Ministers and

Mr. President

Led to regular ministerial performance reporting at the FEC

4.1 Major Reforms Initiatives and Outcomes (Cont’d)

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• Reform of Data Generating Process spearheaded by NBS

• Encouraged the establishment of States’ Statistical Bureaux

Number of States’ Statistical Bureaux increased from 2 in 2010 to 8 in 2013:

Embarked on States’ GDP Computation programme

- This involves the disaggregation of economic activities by States

- SGDP computation process is to be implemented in 2 phases

Phase 1 is ongoing in 7 States

Results from the 7 Pilot States are expected to be ready by end July/Aug 2013

• NBS has began the process for rebasing GDP in line with global best practice

• Development Assistance Database (DAD) currently being developed at NPC

- 1st phase of the programme is completed

- To facilitate the tracking of ODA inflows into the country

4.2 Achievements in Core Mandate- Policy

Research and Advice to National Government

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Conducted several policy based Research & Studies

• - Educational Manpower Supply Study in Nigeria, Phase 1

• - The Scrutinized Elite: A Deconstruction of “Cabals” in the Nigerian Political Economy

• - Social Protection Policy & Bill Preparation Processes in Nigeria

• - Study on Effective ness of Expatriate Quota Utilization in manufacturing Industries in Nigeria

• - Scalable Model for Demand-Led Sanitation Approaches in Africa

• - Agent-Based Modeling of Herders’ Vulnerability and Adaptation Strategies Regarding Water Resources in the Context of Climate Change

• Informal sector study is ongoing

• Underlook Policy Dialogues

• - 1st Annual NISER Policy Dialogue on Social-Economic Development

• - Review of the Performance of the Economy in six geopolitical zones

• - Assessment of impact of flood on the economy

Picture A Picture B

Picture C

Picture A: Workshop on Development of

Sugar and Wheat Value Chains in Nigeria –

Lagos 23 February 2012

Picture B: The First Annual NISER National

Policy Dialogue on Socio- Economic

Development held on 28th – 29 November

2012, Abuja

Picture C: Participants at the NISER Research

Seminar Series “Rural poverty reduction under

a changing climate: Is Agriculture still the Key in

Nigeria?” – 12 February 2013, Ibadan

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4.2 Achievement on Core Mandates - Policy Research and

Advice to National Governments (Cont’d)

4.3 Ensuring Effective Formulation and Coordination

of National Development Plans

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Transformation Agenda (2011-2015)

Transformation Agenda

Mid-term Review of the Transformation Agenda

•Coordinated the production of the TA

-Key policies, programmes and projects to be

implemented by the Federal Government,

2011-2015

Guides annual budgetary allocation to MDAs

-To speed up actualisation of NV20:2020

•Production of the mid term review of the TA

- Review provides comprehensive appraisal of

the first two years of this Administration

Allows for a reflection on progress made to

chart a way forward

Consistent with global best practice and

principle of accountability

- Detailed edition of the mid term review of

the TA is on NPC’s website-www.npc.gov.ng


of National Development Plan (Cont’d)

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1st National Implementation

Plan (NIP

(2010 – 2013)

National Integrated Infrastructure Master

Plan

(2014 – 2043)

•NPC is responsible for the development of a

30- year National Integrated Infrastructure

Masterplan (NIIMP) (2014-2043)

-Working closely with all the relevant

stakeholders, including the Development

Partners

•The final NIIMP document to be ready by

August 2013

-Interim NIIMP has been produced to harvest

quick win infrastructure projects

To feed into the 2014 budget

•1st NIP, 2010-13 is currently being

implemented

•A Mid Term Review of 1st NIP been carried

out

-In line with international best practice

-Report to be presented to FEC

-Outcome of the review to serve as critical

input for development of 2nd NIP, 2014-2017

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of National Development Plan (Cont’d)

•Improving capacity of MDAs to deliver on plan formulation and implementation

- NPC organises conferences and technical sessions for Directors & Senior

officials of Department of PRS in MDAs

- 2012 edition held in Katsina

- 2013 conference planning is ongoing

- To be held in Ibadan

4.4 Institutionalising, Monitoring and Evaluation

(M&E) System for Enhanced Performance

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Joint development of KPI with MDAs

Performance agreements signed and

cascaded

Data Verification Process for 2011

M&E Performance Report

Production of 2011 Annual M&E

Performance Report

Production of Annual and 1st Year 2011 and

2012 Economic Performance Reports

M&E Capacity Building/Training Events

•NPC spearheaded the institutionalisation of the M&E system for enhanced

service delivery

•The key activities undertaken from May 2011 to date are highlighted in the

matrix below

4.4 Institutionalising, Monitoring and Evaluation

(M&E) System for Enhanced Performance (Cont’d)

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National and sub-national health

projects

2006-2011 Tertiary Education Trust Fund

Projects

Federal Government water projects in the

State

Special Intervention Fund for Agriculture

(SIFA) projects

Community-based Agricultural Rural

Development projects

DFID Education sector support programme in

Nigeria (ESSPIN)

Partnership for transforming health

systems programmes (PATH2)

UNDFA projects in eleven States

•Undertakinge Joint Monitoring and Evaluation of National and Subnational

programmes

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4.4 Institutionalising Monitoring and Evaluation (M&E) for Enhanced

Performance (Cont’d)

Picture on Inter-ministerial inspection of national water projects –

South East Zone February 2012

The team with Contractor @ the Greater Onitsha water supply scheme

Dilapidated office block of Water pumping station

Anambra River inlet for water pumping station, Feb 2012

Headrace canal inspection, Feb 2012

444.4: Institutionalising Monitoring and Evaluation (M&E) System for

Enhanced Delivery Service (Cont’d)

Picture on Projects – Tertiary Education Trust Fund Monitoring,

April 2012

TETF ICT funded projects 34

Vehicle donated by TETF TETF funded classroom

4.5: Enhancing Development Assistance Coordination

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Review of 488 joint/bi-National agreements (bi-lateral cooperation)

Review of ODA policy 2012 - 2015

Producing operational manual for Development Assistance Database (DAD)

Development of a competencies DAD framework

Regular Donor Coordination meetings held under the coordination of HMNP

Official Engagements with INGOs, WAMI,UNDP, World Bank and other donor agencies

•Improving Donor Coordination in Nigeria

•Through active participation in innovative financing initiatives

- Nigeria emerged Presidency of the Leading Group on Innovative Financing for Development

- With HMNP as focal person

- Nigeria is leading the group to propose innovative financing resolution at the upcoming UN General

Aassembly in September 2013


(Cont’d)

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GTZ - 15 people on Performance Management (Malaysia)

China, Korea, India training programmes

IDPs focal persons trained on DAD

•Enhanced Capacity building programme for officials through bi-lateral

agreements

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(Cont’d)

Africa Human Development Report, 21 May, 2012

Dialogue with Development Partners – May 2012

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(Cont’d)

Signing of 10th EDF Agreement with the EU, 29 October, 2012

Signing of Bi-lateral Agreement with the Democratic Republic of Germany, 2012

• Improving data generation at national and

subnational levels

•NBS has developed a framework for improved

and better coordination of the national statistical

system

•Timely production of regular statistical series

- CPI and Inflation report (Monthly)

- Economic Review / Outlook (Annually)

- General Household Survey (Annually)

- GDP Report (Quarterly/Annually)

- Foreign Trade News (Quarterly/Annually)

- Access to ICT Report (Annually)

- Sectoral Wages & Emoluments (Annually)

- Unemployment (Annually,>> Quarterly)

- Gender Statistics Newsletter (Quarterly)

- National Literacy Survey (Annually)

-Consumption Pattern in Nigeria (Annually)

•NBS has strengthened its ICT infrastructure

- Over 20 States’ statistical agencies have been

linked to the National Data Centre

4.6: Improving Data Generation and Coordination of Statistical Systems

4.7: Capacity development and Training for efficient and effective utilization of resources

• The Centre for Management Development delivered several training and capacity building programmes for public and private sector officials during the last 2 years

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Conducted over 8000 management training programmes during 2011-2013

Undertook accreditation visits to management trainers and institutions

Training manuals developed for several specialised courses

Carried out training needs assessment of all MDAs and States’ DPRS’

Undertook trainers and training Institutions’ awareness raising seminars

Conducted train the trainers workshops

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Capacity building programme for the police, 2012

PPP capacity building programme for ICRC , 27 – 30 August 2012

4.7: Capacity development and training for efficient

and effective utilization of resources (Cont’d)

4.8: Strengthening the Plan-Budget Link

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• Ensuring capital budgetary proposals of Federal MDAs are aligned with priorities

of TA and V20:2020:

- Transformation Agenda as basis for 2012 and 2013 budgets

Also to guide 2014 -2015 budgets

Budget outcomes and economic performance to be enhanced in 2013 and beyond

4.9: Improving Economic Management at Subnational Level

• Critical Role of NPC in facilitating improved economic management at the sub-

national level

- NPC as secretariat for monthly National Economic Council meetings

- Monitoring and evaluation of specific FGN projects

-Water Resources Projects

-TET Fund projects

-Other projects

4.9: Improving Economic Management at the

Subnational Level (Cont’d)

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• Coordinating activities of Joint Planning Board and National Council on

Development Planning

- Assisting State Governments to establish and strengthen their State

Planning Commissions and State Bureaux of Statistics for enhanced

planning and quality data production.

- Positive results in virtually all zones of the Federation, with many States’

planning and statistical offices now up and running

4.10: Economic Performance Tracking

• To enhance tracking of implementation of our plans:

- Revived production of Nigeria’s Economic Performance Report

- Economic reports produced on bi-annual and annual basis

- Stocktaking of macroeconomic and sectoral performance

4.10: Economic Performance Tracking (Cont’d)

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• Four reports published in the last one year

- Annual report for 2010

- Half year report for 2011



- Performance monitoring report of Federal MDAs for 2010 and

2011

• Reports received commendation by all stakeholders in the Nigerian

economy, including the media

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4.11 Enhancing Public Private Partnership in Nigeria

•Deepening relations with the private sector, in particular the Nigerian Economic Summit

Group (NESG)

17th – 18th Nigerian Economic Summit (NES17) organised by NESG in close

collaboration with NPC

-NES#17 November 2011

-NES#18 – December 2012

The Summit, as platform for key stakeholders from public and private sectors

to discuss and articulate strategies for development

•Planning for NES#19 in progress

- Expected to take place in September 2013

4.12: Reforming the NPC to Deliver its Mandate

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• In pursuit of its reform mantra of becoming a pace setting agency, NPC has:

- Enhanced staff capacity for improved service delivery

• Improved IT infrastructure , e.g.

Enhanced public access to all reports, including the NV20:2020, 1st NIP,

Transformation Agenda, Economic reports, M&E reports and key policy

outputs of the NPC available via website

Increased ICT use by all staff

Intranet and Internet access for all staff

4.12: Reforming the NPC to Deliver its Mandate (Cont’d)

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• Regular Management meetings, chaired by the HMNP to enhance decision

making

• Encouraging needs-driven training and capacity building

• Streamlining Knowledge Management into our processes

• Encouraging transformational management in the organisation

5.0 Outlook and Prospects of The National Planning Commission

May 2013-2015

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•Outlook and prospects in the medium term very bright

• Key benchmarks and targets for May 2013 – 2015, to:

-Consolidate gains made in the last two years

-Deepen the institutionalisation of strategic planning process at

the Federal and subnational levels

Facilitate the realisation of the goals and objectives of TA and

NV20:2020

-Deepen performance management system in the country

-Coordinating the implementation of the 30 year National

Integrated Infrastructure Master Plan (NIIMP)

-Development and effective implementation of the 2nd National

Implementation Plan (NIP 2014-2017

Strengthening the link between the annual budgets and the

National plans

5.0 Outlook and Prospects of The National Planning Commission

May 2013-2015 (Cont’d)

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•Other key targets are:

-Ensuring effective coordination of Official Development

Assistance inflow to the country

-Professionalisation of the planning cadre

And the repositioning of PRS Departments in the MDAs for

enhanced service delivery

-Complete the computation of States’ GDP

Institutionalise process for computation at the State level on

annual basis

6.0 Conclusion

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• NPC has succeeded in achieving significant aspects of its mandate

- Especially with respect to output and outcome targets for May 2011 to Date

• NPC’s outlook and prospects in the short and medium term remain very bright

• The outlook to be shaped by the following key targets

- Institutionalisation of the strategic planning process at all levels

- Deepening performance management system in the country

- Ensuring evidence based polices and decision making

- Strengthening effective link between annual budgets and National plan

THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION!

421, Constitution Avenue,

Central Business District, Abuja.

Website: www.npc.gov.ng


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#MP2013 Presentation of the Minister of National Planning Commission

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