Moodys IBRD Report 2013

CREDIT ANALYSIS

SOVEREIGN & SUPRANATIONAL JANUARY 11, 2013

Table of Contents:

SUMMARY RATING RATIONALE 1 ORGANIZATION STRUCTURE AND STRATEGY 2 ASSET/LIABILITY MANAGEMENT AND LIQUIDITY 4 CAPITAL ADEQUACY 4 ASSET QUALITY 6 PROFITABILITY 8 RATING HISTORY 9 ANNUAL STATISTICS 10 MOODY’S RELATED RESEARCH 14 RELATED WEBSITES 14

Analyst Contacts:

NEW YORK +1.212.553.1653

Steven A. Hess +1.212.553.4741 Senior Vice President [email protected]

Annette Swahla +1.212.553.4037 Analyst [email protected]

Bart Oosterveld +1.212.553.7914 Managing Director-Sovereign Risk [email protected]

This Analysis provides an in-depth discussion of credit rating(s) for IBRD (World Bank) and should be read in conjunction with Moody’s most recent Credit Opinion and rating information available on Moody's website.

IBRD (World Bank) Supranational

Summary Rating Rationale

Moody’s rates the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development (IBRD), more commonly known as the World Bank1, Aaa for long-term bond issues and Prime-1 for the short-term discount note program; the outlook is Stable. The key factors supporting the ratings are: (1) a strong capital base and support from its highly- rated shareholders; (2) its proven status as a preferred creditor; and (3) its sound financial management. Prudent financial policies—with the Bank having consistently remained well within its internal borrowing and lending limitations—are reflected in the IBRD’s healthy capital adequacy and liquidity ratios. As a result of its conservative practices and its preferred creditor status, the Bank has weathered relatively smoothly periods of global financial uncertainty and has maintained its fundamental strengths both in terms of its own historical record and in comparison to many other financial institutions.

The biggest risk to the Bank’s financial position would come if more than one large borrower were to enter into nonaccrual status. The Bank’s preferred creditor position provides substantial protection against such an event, and Moody’s believes it remains unlikely that there would be a significant number of large borrowers in nonaccrual at the same time. The Bank’s strong liquidity position, the ability to reduce lending activity if necessary, and the availability of other sources of funds, make a resort to a call on capital only the last line of defense. This is a highly unlikely scenario, even in the event of a major increase in nonaccruals. Still, in a worst case scenario, where a number of large borrowers are unable or unwilling to make payments, bondholders are ultimately protected by the large amount of callable capital available to the IBRD.

1 “IBRD”, the “World Bank” and the “Bank” are used interchangeably in this document.

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SOVEREIGN & SUPRANATIONAL

2 JANUARY 11, 2013 CREDIT ANALYSIS: IBRD (WORLD BANK)

The IBRD has never suffered any loss on principal in relation to loans made to borrowing countries and it did not experience any increase in loan arrears as a result of the last emerging markets crisis. This record was tested again during the global crisis but the Bank’s exceptional risk management policies and practices ensured that no loans entered nonaccrual status despite the unprecedented financial and economic turmoil during the FY2008-FY2010 period. Its preferred creditor status ensures that the sovereign debt owed to it is excluded from all debt restructuring efforts undertaken by official borrowers and that resources are made available to service the debt due to the Bank. As part owners of the IBRD, the borrowing countries recognize the importance of maintaining the Bank’s financial soundness and premier credit status in order to minimize its lending charges and to maximize the benefits that they ultimately reap from the organization. The support from the shareholders of the IBRD—be it in the form of timely loan repayment and/or capital contributions—confers tangible benefits to all member countries, and protects the Aaa rating.

The ongoing and protracted European sovereign debt crisis is unlikely to impact the strong financial standing of the IBRD. The top 11 shareholders, who as of June 30, 2012, subscribed 57.15% of total capital, are geographically diverse relative to other multilateral development banks (MDBs). Among them are only three euro area sovereigns (Germany, France, and Italy) and the rest includes the U.S., Canada, Japan, China, and Saudi Arabia. As such, recent sovereign downgrades in Europe have not substantially reduced the strength of member support that Moody’s incorporates in the IBRD’s Aaa rating.

In addition, the Bank’s lending activity is minimally exposed to Europe, with the top ten borrowing countries including only two Eastern European countries -- Poland and Romania, at 4.1% and 2.6% of the total portfolio, respectively. While there is a degree of concentration risk in the loan portfolio, it remains geographically diverse relative to other MDBs. The World Bank Group (including the IFC) is the only global MDB, the others having regionally-focused operations.

Lastly, the Bank’s financial strength, independent of member support, includes healthy capital and liquidity buffers against longer- and shorter-term adverse developments. Funding risks are minimal, as evidenced by the continued strong demand during 2012 for IBRD bonds as investors sought safety amid the sovereign turmoil (the US debt ceiling and fiscal uncertainty and European sovereign debt turmoil).

Organization Structure and Strategy

The IBRD is one part of the larger World Bank Group, which also includes: the International Development Association (IDA), the group’s soft-loan window; the International Finance Corporation (IFC), a vehicle for lending to or investing in private companies in emerging markets without the benefit of host country government guarantees; the Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency (MIGA), which insures certain investments against political risks in emerging markets; and the International Centre for Settlement of Investment Disputes. The United States is the single largest shareholder of the IBRD, with 16.5% of subscribed capital, followed by Japan with 9.7%, as of June 30, 2012.

The IBRD’s main functions are to supplement the domestic savings of borrowing countries with loans and to serve as a catalyst for additional external financial flows to those countries through co-financing arrangements. The Bank finances both investment projects and development policy programs in support of policy reforms alongside borrowing governments, official aid agencies, and private financial institutions. The IBRD lends exclusively to member countries that meet eligibility requirements, or to



borrowers in those jurisdictions under the guarantee of the member states. The Bank does not aim to maximize profits, although it earns a significant net income. The IBRD’s financial policies are comparable to—and are often more conservative than—accepted private sector practice.

During FY2012 the IBRD introduced a new lending instrument called Program-for-Results. The instrument links the disbursement of funds directly to the achievement of defined, verifiable results. One of the main goals of the new instrument is to help member countries improve the design and implementation of their development programs and increase accountability. During the fiscal year, $300 million in commitments were made under the new instrument.

Capital Increase Impacts Voting Power and Supports Growth in Lending Operations In March 2011, the Board of Governors approved the capital increase that had been proposed the previous year. The increase includes a general component as well as a selective component that together raised the total subscribed capital by $86.2 billion. The general component amounted to $58.4 billion, of which $3.5 billion will be paid-in and the remainder callable. The selective component amounted to $27.8 billion (of which $1.6 billion will be paid-in) and increased the voice and participation of developing and transition countries by 4.59% since FY2008 to a total voting power of 47.19%. Complementing the selective capital increase was the creation of a third chair on the Board of Executive Directors for Africa; this Voice Reform began in 2008 with the long-term goal of equitable voting power between developed and developing member countries.

As of June 30, 2012, subscriptions received and paid-in related to the general increase amounted to $15,278 million. For the selective increase, the amount was $917 million.

Overall, the capital increase supports the Bank’s elevated level of lending after the global crisis as it continues to serve as a counter-cyclical force and leaves it able to respond again should the European sovereign debt crisis spill over to the global real economy.

LTIP Liquidated During FY2012 to Support Elevated Lending Operations To increase its expected operating income over the long term, during FY2008 the IBRD approved a new investment portfolio called the Long-Term Income Portfolio (LTIP), which commenced in FY2009. $1 billion was invested in a diversified risk asset portfolio (developed market public equities and developed market fixed-income investments). The first three years of the program were very successful with annual returns of the LTIP between 10% and 13%, compared to roughly 1% annual returns on its liquid asset portfolio over the same period. LTIP returns during FY2012 were much lower at around 3% due to low equity returns.

The creation of the LTIP marked a shift in the Bank’s strategy with regard to deployment of its equity capital, which had previously been used only to support loans. After its creation, equity deemed in excess of what was required to support loans was used to support additional risk assets that the Bank acquired under the LTIP with the objective of enhancing income generation to further its development goals.

In April 2012, the Bank decided to liquidate the LTIP in order to maximize its lending capacity to borrowing members. As with many MDBs, the global crisis, and actions by the IBRD to act as a counter-cyclical force or fill in where private sector lenders had retrenched, reduced the amount of “excess” capital it was holding.



Asset/Liability Management and Liquidity

The aim of IBRD’s asset/liability management framework is to provide adequate funding for each loan and liquid asset at the lowest available cost and to manage the portfolio of liabilities supporting each loan and liquid asset within the prescribed risk guidelines. The liability portfolios are monitored and adjusted for currency composition, maturity profile and interest rate sensitivity as needed. To minimize exchange rate risk, IBRD matches borrowings in any one currency with assets in the same currency (as mandated by its Articles) and also undertakes currency conversions to match the currency composition of its equity to that of its outstanding loans.

Equity Duration Extension Strategy Reduces Interest Rate Sensitivity During FY2008 the Bank implemented an equity duration extension strategy with the goal of reducing the interest rate sensitivity of its operating income by taking a greater exposure to long-term interest rates. The need for this arose as the loan portfolio shifted from pool loans to floating LIBOR-based loans, which increased the sensitivity of IBRD’s operating income to changes in market interest rates. The strategy was executed by entering into interest rate swaps with a 10-year ladder repricing profile to extend the duration of equity from three months to roughly five years. The strategy has proven successful as interest income from the swaps has offset the fall in interest income from equity-funded loans.

Liquidity Position Historically Exceeds Strong Policy Requirements The goal of IBRD’s liquidity management is to ensure cash flows are available to meet all of the Bank’s financial commitments. In accordance with the Bank’s liquidity policy (which was last revised during FY1997), liquid assets must equal at least the highest consecutive six months of anticipated debt service plus one-half of the anticipated net loan disbursements over the coming fiscal year (if positive). The prudential minimum for FY2013 is $22 billion, which is $1 billion higher than for FY2012; in general, the liquid asset portfolio should not exceed 150% of the prudential minimum liquidity level2.

Historically, the Bank’s actual liquidity has tended to be comfortably above the minimum set by policy, and is conservatively managed to protect the principal amount of the investments while generating a reasonable return. At the end of the last financial year, liquidity was $34.2 billion, an increase of $6.0 billion from the previous year.

Capital Adequacy

The steady expansion of IBRD’s capital resources over the years, combined with strict lending limitations, means that the Bank has sufficient capital to cope with its above-average business risk. The Bank realizes that by having enough resources of its own to absorb risks it protects members from a possible capital call. The Bank judges its capital adequacy as the ability of its equity to generate future net income to support normal loan growth and respond to a potential crisis without having to resort to a call on capital.

There are various safeguards used to protect capital adequacy. The statutory lending limit is defined by the IBRD charter, which stipulates that the total amount outstanding of disbursed loans, participations in loans, and callable guarantees may not exceed the total value of subscribed capital, reserves, and surplus. As of June 30, 2012 the Bank’s total exposure to borrowing countries amounted to 59% of this limit, minimally changed from 60% the previous fiscal year (which was the highest level since the

2 The IBRD may exceed 150%, from time to time, to provide flexibility in timing its borrowing transactions and to meet working capital needs.



first half of the 1990’s). The Bank’s leverage has increased, but remains moderate, with borrowings through debt issuance accounting for about 62% of subscribed capital, reserves and surplus. The 10 percentage point increase in this ratio in both FY2010 and FY2009 (FY2008=40%) was to support higher lending needs to respond to the global crisis. Since the crisis has eased IBRD’s increased borrowing needs have eased as well, with this ratio posting only minimal increases since 2010.

Equity-to-Loans Ratio Falls to the Top of the Target Range The Bank also uses the equity-to-loans ratio (ETL) as one of its primary measures of risk-bearing capacity. The ETL ratio allows the Bank to monitor the adequacy of its risk-bearing capacity in relation to its predominant risk asset. In FY2012 it fell for the third year in a row, to 27.0% (net of relevant accumulated provisions and deferred loan income in the fiscal year), from 28.6% and 29.4% in FY2011 and FY2010, respectively. The fall over the past three years was primarily due to increased lending, although the most recent fiscal year also experienced a decrease in usable equity. The ratio is now at the top end of the 23-27% target risk coverage range. Before the Bank’s response to the global crisis, the ratio had climbed steadily from 29.4% in 2004 to 37.6% in 2008, well above the target.

IBRD Scores Well on Our Risk Asset Coverage Ratio Moody’s believes that reference to a more focused measure—the risk asset coverage ratio—may provide further value in assessing the strength of the IBRD’s capital base. At fiscal year-end 2012, the Bank’s usable capital (hard-currency paid-in capital plus reserves) plus the callable capital pledged by Aaa/Aa-rated member countries equaled 354% of what Moody’s regards as its high risk assets (i.e., loans outstanding to countries that Moody’s considers to be less than investment grade). This figure continues to grow even after reaching a historical high in FY2011, as a result of the capital increase, which offset some of the credit rating downgrades of euro area members (Italy, Slovenia, and Spain). Conversely, credit rating upgrades lowered the amount of loans qualifying as risky, the most notable of which was Indonesia’s upgrade to Baa3.

Strong Capital Position Allowed Aggressive Response to the Global Crisis… As a result of its large capital base, the IBRD was able to aggressively respond to the global crisis to help mitigate the negative impact on developing countries. New loan commitments increased by 5.0%, 144.4%, and 34.3% in FY2008, FY2009, and FY2010, respectively. In those same years, gross loans outstanding increased by 1.3%, 6.7%, and 13.6%, respectively (following a 5-year period of declining oustandings). The Bank’s initiatives were tailored to the specific circumstances of the borrowing country but in general helped to create jobs, ensured delivery of essential services and infrastructure, established safety net programs for the vulnerable, and restored confidence in financial markets. As the global crisis eased, the Bank started scaling back the significant increase in operations. In FY2012 new loan commitments decreased by 23.0% although gross loans outstanding increased by 2.9%.

…with No Adverse Impact on Financial Health The IBRD performed the above-detailed response by deploying its existing capital. While some capital adequacy ratios deteriorated, it was not significant, and there was no stress on its financial strength or the Aaa rating. Despite this, to ensure that its capital adequacy supports continued growth in outstanding loans, the Bank enhanced its financial capacity by increasing the capital base through a capital increase totaling $86.2 billion (of which $5.1 billion will be paid in). In addition, the Bank has



increased pricing, introduced premiums for longer maturity loans3, and worked with relevant member countries to convert existing but not fully usable capital into fully-usable paid-in capital.

Members’ Callable Capital Complements IBRD’s Own Resources If the Bank were unable to service its own debt—an event Moody’s considers as being extremely remote as reflected in its Aaa rating—it has the option of making capital calls on all member countries in proportion to their subscribed shares. About 62% of the Bank’s callable capital represents the obligations of Aaa/Aa-rated shareholders. The callable capital is an unconditional and full faith obligation of each member country, the fulfillment of which is independent of the action of other shareholders. Should one or more of the member countries fail to meet this obligation, successive calls on the other members would be made until the full amounts needed were obtained. However, no country would be required to pay more than its total callable subscription.

The United States has in place legislation (including the Bretton Woods Agreements Act) that allows the Secretary of Treasury to pay up to $7.7 billion of the $31.8 billion in callable capital pledged to the IBRD without any requirement of further congressional action.

The Bank has never made a capital call and is highly unlikely to need to resort to such an action in the future.

Asset Quality

Total assets at the end of FY2012 amounted to $338.2 billion, with net loans outstanding representing 39.7% of that total. The IBRD limits its exposure to individual borrowers based on its risk-bearing capacity. The single-borrower exposure limit for FY2012 was $17.5 billion for India and $16.5 billion for the other largest borrowing countries deemed to be the most creditworthy by the IBRD; the Board reviews and approves this figure every year and has left it unchanged for FY2013. There also is an equitable access limit of 10% of IBRD’s subscribed capital, reserves and unallocated surplus ($23 billion at end-FY2012). The overall country limit for the largest and most creditworthy borrowing countries is the lower of the single-borrower limit and the equitable access limit.

In FY2003 the IBRD instituted a policy whereby it could continue to lend to a country that had reached its concentration limit, provided arrangements were made so that IBRD’s net exposure to the borrower would not increase. As of June 30, 2012, China was the only country with which the Bank had such an arrangement, and since it was below the limit the agreement had not been activated.

3 In early FY2010, the IBRD increased the contractual interest spread for new loans by 20 basis points to 50 basis points. During FY2011, the Bank introduced a new

loan pricing structure by restoring the average maturity limits for new loans and guarantees to the pre-2008 level of 12 years and allowing borrowing members an option to extend the average loan maturity from 12 years to 18 years by paying an annual maturity premium of 10 to 20 basis points.



FIGURE 1

IBRD Top Ten Borrowers Ranked By Share Of Total Loans Outstanding

FY 2010 FY 2011 FY 2012

Country US$, bn. (%) Country US$, bn. (%) Country US$, bn. (%)

China 12.9 10.7 China 13.0 9.8 Mexico 13.6 10.0

Brazil 11.3 9.4 Turkey 12.9 9.8 China 13.1 9.6

India 10.8 9.0 Mexico 12.2 9.2 Turkey 12.7 9.3

Mexico 10.5 8.7 India 11.4 8.6 India 11.7 8.6

Turkey 10.2 8.5 Brazil 10.4 7.9 Brazil 10.1 7.4

Indonesia 7.6 6.3 Indonesia 8.9 6.8 Indonesia 9.9 7.3

Colombia 7.2 6.0 Colombia 7.5 5.6 Colombia 7.5 5.5

Argentina 5.3 4.4 Poland 5.6 4.2 Poland 5.6 4.1

Poland 3.8 3.2 Argentina 5.4 4.1 Argentina 5.6 4.1

Ukraine 3.2 2.7 Romania 3.3 2.5 Romania 3.6 2.6

Total 82.8 68.9 Total 90.5 68.4 Total 93.2 68.4

As is suggested by the table above, change in the composition of principal borrowers is a slow process. Seven of the top ten borrowers in FY2012 were among the top ten a decade earlier, and over that time the top ten borrowers have consistently accounted for approximately two-thirds of all loans outstanding. Thus, there is a degree of concentration risk in the portfolio.

Problem Loans Remain Miniscule… Since FY2008 when Cote D’Ivoire and Liberia cleared all of their overdue principal, interest, and charges due to IBRD, Zimbabwe has been the only country with loans in nonaccrual status.

The Bank does not reschedule its loans. It has never written off a loan and continues to seek recovery on all arrears. Loans in nonaccrual status (overdue by 180+ days) amount to approximately $462 million or 0.3% of total gross loan outstanding. This amounts to less a fifth of the $3.5 billion in nonaccrual loans recorded in FY2005.

…and More-than-Adequately Covered The loans in nonaccrual status are amply covered by accumulated loan loss provisions of $1.7 billion. Furthermore, general reserves total $26.3 billion, and were further increased with the addition of the $390 million allocation from the FY2012 net income. In the event of a major increase in nonaccruals, aside from the portfolio of liquid assets, the Bank also has the options of reducing lending activity, increasing borrowings from capital markets and conceivably also from member governments or their central banks. As a result of all these factors, Moody’s considers a resort to callable capital to be highly unlikely.

In order to minimize the risk that future large and protracted nonaccruals might disrupt normal lending operations, the IBRD uses an internal stress test of the equity-to-loans ratio to monitor and to evaluate its risk-bearing and financial capacities, resulting in an upward trend in general reserves in recent years. In keeping with its mission as a development organization, the Bank does not seek to maximize profits, and consequently shapes its financial policies to reduce risk while meeting its minimum profitability requirements.



Profitability

The IBRD’s profitability has been low relative to historical averages. However, for development-mandated institutions our primary consideration of profitability is not the magnitude, rather, that operating results do not contribute to the erosion of the capital base (via large and protracted losses).

Focus of Our Analysis is on Operating Income Rather than Net Income Starting in FY2009, the IBRD reports all instruments in the investments, borrowings, and asset/liability management portfolios as well as loans with embedded derivatives at fair value. As such, the Bank reports changes in fair value resulting from fluctuations in interest rates or the Bank’s credit spreads as net unrealized gains or losses which is reflected in net income. The Bank reported a net loss of $676 million in FY2012 (after also taking into account the effects of Board of Governors approved transfers), a return to loss after the previous fiscal year’s net income of $930 million.

However, since the instruments in these portfolios are held to maturity, Moody’s considers operating income to be a more relevant measure of the Bank’s financial health in that it better reflects underlying trends in the Bank’s core operations. Operating income has been positive every year since Moody’s first rated the Bank in 1993 and averaged approximately $1,264 million during the FY2006-12 period.

IBRD still reports its loan portfolio at amortized cost, creating an asymmetry that affects variations in net income.

FY2012 Operating Income Results… Operating income fell to $783 million in FY2012 from $1,023 million in FY2011, which is low compared to the historical average. Contributing to the results was higher net interest income, as loan income increased mildly4 while borrowing costs continued to fall. More significantly, there was a $189 provisioning charge compared to a $45 million release of provisions during the previous fiscal year; income from the LTIP was lower5; and administrative expenses rose.

Over the medium term, the outlook for the Bank’s profits is fundamentally positive. Growth in operating income will be supported by robust loan volume and pricing, and the equity duration extension that will reduce the sensitivity of the Bank’s operating income to changes in short-term market interest rates (discussed in more detail in the Assets/Liability Management and Liquidity section above).

…Support Build-Up of Reserves and Contribution to IDA Out of FY2012 net income, the Bank allocated $390 million toward increasing the general reserve in order to increase its risk-bearing capacity. In turn, the Bank’s build-up of reserves is expected to support earnings by growing the contribution of free funds to overall returns.

In December 2010, the Bank announced that it would once again participate in the IDA replenishment. For the IDA16 Replenishment (2011-2014) the IBRD has promised $1.825 billion, subject to adequacy of reserve retention, to help the 79 poorest countries in the world. In FY2012, the Bank recorded as an expense $650 million of transfers from FY2011 net income approved by the Board of Governors. The IDA received $520 million from unallocated net income and the Trust Fund

4 A result of the new loan pricing terms approved in FY2010 and an increase in loan volume. 5 Due to lower returns from the equity portfolio.



for Gaza and West Bank and the South Sudan Transition Trust Fund received $55 million and $75 million, respectively, from surplus.

Rating History

Issuer Rating Senior Unsecured Outlook Date

Long-term Short-term

Rating Assigned -- P-1 -- -- Aug-10

Outlook Assigned -- -- -- Stable March-97

Rating Assigned Aaa -- -- -- December-94

Rating Assigned -- -- Aaa -- March-93



Annual Statistics IBRD (World Bank)

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

ASSETS, LIABILITIES AND CAPITAL (US$ Mil.)

ASSETS

Total 222,008 212,326 207,900 233,311 275,420 281,835 314,211 338,178

Cash 1,177 758 765 890 3,044 1,803 2,462 5,806

o/w Unrestricted Cash 505 65 41 122 2,380 1,581 2,312 5,682

Investments 26,733 25,672 23,054 25,213 41,012 35,960 32,598 33,466

Derivative Assets 85,889 78,483 81,436 102,833 123,065 121,823 144,711 160,814

Gross Loans 138,145 137,942 133,245 137,226 156,823 183,677 196,894 199,241

Less Loans Approved But Not Yet Effective 9,822 9,082 10,566 11,779 21,558 20,796 19,430 13,372

Less Undisbursed Balance of Effective Loans 23,922 25,856 24,874 26,397 29,567 42,778 45,005 49,544

Equals Gross Loans Outstanding 104,401 103,004 97,805 99,050 105,698 120,103 132,459 136,325

Accumulated Loan Loss Provision 3,009 2,296 1,932 1,370 1,632 1,553 1,549 1,690

Deferred Loan Income 482 487 440 412 409 446 440 426

Net Loans Outstanding 100,910 100,221 95,433 97,268 103,657 118,104 130,470 134,209

Other Assets 7,299 7,192 7,212 7,107 4,642 4,145 3,970 3,883

LIABILITIES

Total 183,420 175,852 168,104 191,763 235,383 245,574 274,528 301,493

Total Borrowings 101,297 95,835 87,759 87,402 110,040 128,577 135,242 145,339

Derivative Liabilities 77,742 74,877 75,191 96,731 115,642 110,615 130,429 144,837

Other Liabilities 4,381 5,140 5,154 7,630 9,701 6,382 8,857 11,317

CAPITAL AND RESERVES

Total 38,588 36,474 39,796 41,548 40,037 36,261 39,683 36,685

Total Subscribed Capital 189,718 189,718 189,801 189,801 189,918 189,943 193,732 205,394

Less Total Callable Capital 178,235 178,235 178,315 178,315 178,427 178,451 182,012 192,976

(CC of Aaa/Aa members) [1] 103,735 103,735 105,628 105,796 105,652 111,507 118,751 118,883

(CC of IG members) [2] 140,242 140,834 141,288 141,288 141,288 145,503 149,811 159,599

(CC of members below IG) [3] 37,993 37,401 37,027 37,027 37,139 32,948 32,201 33,377

Equals Paid-in Capital 11,483 11,483 11,486 11,486 11,491 11,492 11,720 12,418

Less net amounts required to maintain value of

currency holdings under capital subscriptions -58 -102 -236 -853 -240 -150 -862 -488

Less amounts subject to restrictions 2,509 2,460 2,448 2,443 1,848 1,332 1,273 944

Equals Usable Paid-in Capital 9,032 9,125 9,274 9,896 9,883 10,310 11,309 11,962

Plus Total Reserves, incl. unallocated net income

and accumulated loan loss provision 29,355 23,762 26,990 28,754 31,447 27,277 29,235 28,308

o/w General Reserve 22,222 22,912 23,948 24,859 25,670 25,670 25,951 26,351

o/w Special Reserve 293 293 293 293 293 293 293 293

o/w Accumulated Net Income -- Unallocated 3,831 -1,739 817 2,232 3,852 -239 1,442 -26

Equals Usable Equity 38,387 32,887 36,264 38,650 41,330 37,587 40,544 40,270

Surplus 448 360 43 0 595 257 227 172

Other 311 3,165 3,209 2,678 -1,864 -1,212 50 -2,523

TOTAL LIABILITIES, CAPITAL AND RESERVES 222,008 212,326 207,900 233,311 275,420 281,835 314,211 338,178

[1] Member countries viewed by Moody's as having credit standing of Aaa/Aa.

[2] Member countries viewed by Moody's as having investment grade credit standing (Baa or above).

[3] Member countries viewed by Moody's as having below investment grade credit standing (below Baa).



IBRD (World Bank)

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

INCOME STATEMENT SUMMARY (US$ Mil.)

Total Gross Income 5,053 6,235 7,012 6,863 5,037 4,206 4,377 4,389

Income from Loans 4,155 4,864 5,467 5,497 3,835 2,491 2,470 2,585

Interest 4,084 4,791 5,391 5,426 3,789 2,458 2,449 2,572

Commitment Fees 71 73 76 71 46 33 21 13

Investment Income 627 1,107 1,281 1,066 603 367 367 219

Other 271 264 264 300 599 1,348 1,540 1,585

Total Gross Expenses 3,733 4,495 5,353 4,592 4,465 3,406 3,354 3,606

Borrowing Expenses 3,037 3,987 4,519 4,017 2,739 1,750 1,687 1,652

Interest on Borrowings 2,942 3,882 4,427 3,934 2,664 1,750 1,687 1,652

Other borrowing expenses 95 105 92 83 75 -- -- --

Administrative Expenses 1,021 1,059 1,066 1,082 1,244 1,519 1,564 1,631

Provision for Loan Losses -502 -724 -405 -684 284 -32 -45 189

Contribution to Special Programs 173 173 171 176 197 168 147 133

Other 4 0 2 1 1 1 1 1

Net Operating Income 1,320 1,740 1,659 2,271 572 800 1,023 783

Plus Board of Governors-approved transfers -642 -650 -957 -740 -738 -839 -513 -650

Plus net unrealized gains (losses) on non-trading portfolio 2,511 -3,479 -842 -40 3,280 -1,038 420 -809

Equals Net Income 3,189 -2,389 -140 1,491 3,114 -1,077 930 -676



IBRD (World Bank)

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

FINANCIAL RATIOS

Performance Statistics (%)

Return on Total Assets (operating income) 0.6 0.8 0.8 1.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2

Return on Earning Assets 1.0 1.3 1.3 1.8 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.5

Return on Equity 3.5 4.6 4.5 5.8 1.4 2.0 2.6 1.9

Return on Usable Equity 3.8 4.9 4.8 6.1 1.4 2.0 2.6 1.9

Interest on Loans/Loans Outstanding 3.9 4.7 5.4 5.6 3.7 2.2 2.0 1.9

Interest Coverage Ratio (x) 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.6 1.2 1.5 1.6 1.5

Capital Adequacy Ratios (%)

Usable Equity as % Risk Assets [1] 61.4 53.3 62.1 65.6 66.6 68.0 75.2 89.6

Usable Equity + CC of Aaa/Aa Members/Risk Assets [1] 227.5 221.4 243.2 245.0 236.8 269.6 295.4 354.3

Usable Equity + CC of IG Members/Risk Assets [1] 285.9 281.5 304.3 305.2 294.3 331.0 353.0 444.9

Liquidity Ratios (%)

Liquid Assets (less restricted cash)/Total Assets 12.3 12.1 11.1 10.9 15.8 13.3 11.1 11.6

Liquid Assets (less restricted cash)/Borrowings 26.9 26.9 26.3 29.0 39.4 29.2 25.8 26.9

Liquid Assets (less restricted cash) as % of

Principal Payments due next five years 46.5 50.2 43.5 46.4 61.8 43.4 36.4 36.3

Total Liquid Assets/Undisbursed Effective Loans 116.7 102.2 95.8 98.9 149.0 88.3 77.9 79.3

Maturity of Outstanding Borrowings (% of total)

One Year 15.9 16.5 25.4 28.1 28.4 26.4 19.6 15.2

Two to Five 43.6 41.3 33.5 31.9 35.4 40.8 51.3 59.0

More than Five 40.6 42.2 41.1 40.0 36.2 32.8 29.1 25.8

Reserves to Loans Ratio (%)

Total Reserves/Loans Outstanding 28.1 23.1 27.6 29.0 29.8 22.7 22.1 20.8

Loans To Usable Equity (X)

Loans Outstanding/Usable Equity 2.7 3.1 2.7 2.6 2.6 3.2 3.3 3.4

Lending Limitation (%) [2]

Loans and Callable Guarantees Outstanding/Subscribed

Capital and Reserves 47.4 47.0 44.0 45.0 49.0 55.0 60.0 59.0

[1] Risk assets defined as loans to countries considered by Moody's to be below investment grade.

[2] World Bank charter limits commitments on loans and guarantees to 100% of subscribed capital and reserves.



Capital Subscriptions and Voting Power (US$ Mil.) (as of June 30, 2012)

Per Cent of Total

Par Value of Shares Voting Power Per

Cent of Total Total Paid-in Callable

United States 16.51 33,921 2,116 31,805 15.63

Japan 9.72 19,958 1,222 18,736 9.21

Germany 4.84 9,946 616 9,331 4.60

France 4.33 8,890 552 8,339 4.12

United Kingdom 4.33 8,890 571 8,320 4.12

China, People's Republic 3.46 7,101 437 6,664 3.29

Russian Federation 2.63 5,404 334 5,070 2.51

Canada 3.10 6,359 392 5,966 2.95

India 2.97 6,098 375 5,723 2.83

Italy 2.63 5,404 335 5,069 2.51

Saudi Arabia 2.63 5,404 335 5,069 2.51

Others 42.85 88,019 5,134 82,885 45.72

Total 100.00 205,394 12,418 192,976 100.00



Moody’s Related Research

Credit Opinions:

» IBRD (WB)

» International Finance Corporation

Analysis:

» International Finance Corporation, November 2012 (146849)

To access any of these reports, click on the entry above. Note that these references are current as of the date of publication of this report and that more recent reports may be available. All research may not be available to all clients.

Related Websites

» IBRD (WB)

» International Finance Corporation

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Report Number: 148642

Authors Steven A. Hess Annette Swahla

Production Associate Steven Prudames

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Moodys IBRD Report 2013

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