Monthly Bulletin- December 2010 Modified 271210

8/3/2019 Monthly Bulletin- December 2010 Modified 271210

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Natural Rubber Trends & Statistics, Volume 2, No. 12, December 2010 Page 1

ANRPCANRPCANRPCANRPC Natural Rubber Trends &Natural Rubber Trends &Natural Rubber Trends &Natural Rubber Trends & StatisticsStatisticsStatisticsStatistics

A monthly bulletin of market trends and statistics published by

Association of Natural Rubber Producing Countries

7th Floor, Bangunan Getah Asli (Menara), 148 Jalan Ampang, 50450 Kuala Lumpur, MalaysiaTel: +603 2161 1900; Fax: +603 2161 3014; E-mail: [email protected]: www.anrpc.org

Members: Cambodia, China, India, Indonesia, Malaysia, Papua New Guinea,Philippine, Singapore, Sri Lanka, Thailand & Vietnam

Volume 2 No. 12 December 2010

C O N T E N T S

Foreword Page 2

Revised Outlook Points NR Supply Falling 6.3% in Q4 2010 Page 3 - 17

Table 1:Consolidated Statement of Production of NR from 2006 to 2011 Page 18

Table 2:Production of NR in Member Countries Pages 19-20

Table 3:Consumption of NR in Member Countries Pages 21-22

Table 4:Gross Export of NR from Member Countries Pages 23-24

Table 5:Gross Import of NR in Member Countries Pages 25-26

Table 6:Stock of NR with Member Countries Pages 27-28

Table 7:Supply-Demand Balance of NR in Member Countries during 2009 Page 29

Table 8: Area Planted during each Year in Member Countries Page 30

Table 9:Total Rubber Area and Tapped Area in Member Countries Page 31

Table 10: Average Annual Yield in Member Countries Page 32

Table 11:Import of NR-Rich Compound Rubber Grades in China and Vietnam Page 33

Table 12:Consumption of NR-Rich Compound Rubber in Member Countries Pages 34-35

Table 13:Export of NR-Rich Compound Rubber from Member Countries Pages 36-37

Table 14:Daily spot FOB prices of crude petroleum oil Page 38

Table 15: Weekly average physical prices of NR in key markets Page 39

Table 16:Daily settlement prices of RSS 3 in Shanghai Futures Exchange Page 40

Table 16:Daily closing price of RSS 3 in SICOM Page 41Table 18:Daily closing price of TSR 20 in SICOM Page 42

Table 19:Daily settlement price of RSS 3 in TOCOM Page 43

For subscribing this publication, please write [email protected] Prof. Djoko S. Damardjati [email protected] Tel: + 60 3 2161 1937Senior Economist Mr. Jom Jacob [email protected] Tel: + 60 3 2161 1935Research Officer Ms. Soon Jin Lam [email protected] Tel: + 60 3 2161 1900


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Foreword

ANRPC is pleased to release the Natural Rubber Trends & Statistics for December,2010 providing update of rubber markets and the outlook prepared on the basis of dataand estimates reported by the Member Governments on December 16, 2010.

As mentioned last month in this column, access to this publication from January 2011

onwards will be limited to paid subscribers only. Users are requested to get themselves

subscribed by paying RM1000 (approximately 325 USD) for 12 monthly issues. Please

send the request to the ANRPC Secretariat ([email protected] ;[email protected] ; Fax +60 3 2161 3014) for getting the invoice and further details

for making the payment before 25th January. We have already received a number ofrequests for invoice and this will be sent latest by 5th January.

While extending gratitude to statistical correspondents in Member Governments for the

support received in duly bringing out this issue, I take this opportunity to wish all users aprosperous new year and new decade as well.

Kuala Lumpur Prof. Djoko S. Damardjati24th December, 2010 Secretary-General

([email protected])


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Revised Outlook Points NR Supply Falling 6.3% in Q4 2010Price Advances Further on Supply-Demand, Crude Oil and Yen

Global supply of natural rubber (NR) is anticipated to fall 6.3% in the fourth quarter (October-December) this year as per the revised estimates officially reported on 16

thDecember by member

countries of the ANRPC which account for 92% of the commoditys global output. This further

downward revision, from the previously expected 3.8% fall during the quarter, originates from Thailand(Revised down from -28.4% to -33.4%), India (Revised down from -1.8% to -4.6%) and Vietnam

(Revised down from +3.8% to 2.8%).

Consequent to this revision, this years annual supply growth in the ANRPC region is likely to be slower

at 5.7% rate than the previously expected 6.6% rate reported last month. The supply grew at 17.9%,

2.8% and 12.3% respective rates during the first three quarters. The following table consolidatesquarterly changes in NR supply in all the countries:

Quarterly Growth in Production of NR during 2010

(% change from corresponding quarters in 2009)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4(1)

Year(1)

Thailand 24.5 2.8 5.4 -33.4 -2.9

Indonesia 17.0 2.5 31.3 18.6 16.5

Malaysia 34.5 0.0 0.3 19.3 13.2

India 6.2 4.3 10.3 -4.6 3.0

Vietnam -26.8 14.6 17.3 -2.8 3.6

China -28.3 -2.3 2.6 2.8 0.6

Sri Lanka 11.4 4.1 15.6 1.2 8.1

Philippine -8.2 -1.5 5.1 16.0 4.7

Cambodia 18.6 27.6 20.7 40.8 29.0

All 9 countries 17.9 2.8 12.3 -6.3 5.7

Growth rates computed on the basis of preliminary estimates for October & November and anticipated

figures for December.Note: 92% of global supply of NR during 2009 was from the above 9 countries. Papua New Guinea

produces only 8,000 tonnes per year. For detailed data, Table 1 (Page 18) and Table 2 (page 19-20) may

be referred to.


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Total supply from above nine countries during 2010 is now anticipated at 9.422 million tonnes and

which may rise 5.3% to 9.918 million tonnes during 2011 if climate takes its normal pattern. Key

developments within each country are summarised below:

(i) Thailand could produce only 167,000 tonnes in October 2010 as against 215,000 tonnesexpected earlier and 288,000 tonnes produced during the same month in the previous year.

Preliminary estimate for November indicates that production has fallen to 230,000 tonnes from335,000 tonnes during the same month in the year before. As harvesting continues to be

disrupted due to frequent rains, supply is anticipated to fall during December at 28.2% year-on-year rate.

(ii)Thailands annual supply is likely to fall at 2.9 rate to 3.072 million tonnes in 2010 from 3.164million tonnes in the previous year. Even if uprooting of aged trees (for replanting) continues at

the same rate of the previous two years, yielding area can expand in 2011 by about 75,000 ha,

thereby helping the supply to reach 3.247 million tonnes, at 5.7% rate.

(iii)The period from end of February until May is the leaf-shedding (wintering) season for rubber

trees in Thailand, the country from where a-third of the global supply comes from. Based on the pattern observed in the 2008 in 2009, NR supply from the country comes down during thisseason to 45-65% of that during flush season.

(iv)Indonesias NR supply grew at 16.7% annualised rate during January to November this year asper actual data available up to September and preliminary estimates for October and November.

The high growth largely reflects smallholders short-run repose to abnormally high NR prices.

Smallholders generally exploit maximum possible yield from their over-aged low yielding treesin the backdrop of high prices.

(v)Annual supply from the country is anticipated to post 16.5% growth to 2.843 million tonnesduring 2010. But, the momentum will not be carried forward as the yielding area may shrinkby an estimated 50,000 ha in 2011 if uprooting (for replanting) continues at the present pace.

Rubber trees were uprooted in 55,000 ha during 2009 and 57,000 ha during 2010 for replantingwith high yielding clones under an ongoing Estate Crops Revitalization Programme. As a

result, it will be a real challenge to attain even the marginal 3.3% increase in supply, to 2.938

million tonnes, targeted for 2011.

(vi)Geographically, Indonesia falls six degree latitude at north and 11 degree latitude at south, andthe equator passes at zero degree. As rubber area is spread into either side of the equator, leaf-

shedding (wintering) season is not uniform throughout the country. Wintering appears duringMarch-May at north of the equator whereas at the south, it is during July-September. Moreover,

the countrys rubber area is spread into 19 provinces having varying climate patterns.Therefore, NR supply from Indonesia does not exhibit any apparent seasonal pattern.

(vii)Malaysias NR supply reportedly rose at 14.9% annualised rate during January to November2010 as per an assessment made by the Malaysian Rubber Board, in mid-December, on the basisof actual data up to September and preliminary estimates for October and November. The

above assessment has accounted a 21.3% year-on-year rise during October and 47.4% year-on-

year rise during November despite more number of rainy days that might have disrupted tapping


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during the two months. A downward revision could be expected by the time actual data for

October and November become available.

(viii) Due to severe shortage of labourers and high labour cost in Malaysia, a section ofsmallholders harvests rubber trees only when price stays highly attractive. About 65,000 ha of

such dormant mature area is estimated to have harvested this year due to smallholders response

to the spike in NR price. If the favourable price stays, a further 45,000 ha of dormant area couldcome under harvesting helping the supply to grow at the targeted 8.2% rate to 1.05 million

tonnes during 2011.

(ix)NR supply from Malaysia usually takes a seasonal down during the period from end of Februaryuntil May every year coincident with leaf-shedding of trees during the summer. Supply duringthese months normally shrinks to 60 to 70% of that during peak supply season.

(x) India has further scaled down the countrys expectation on NR supply for 2010 to 845,000tonnes, at 3.0% rise from 2009, from the previously expected 853,000 tonnes (at 4.0% rate)

reported last month. The supply has been badly affected by unseasonal rains during the fourth

quarter (October to December) which falls in the countrys flush season of NR supply. NRsupply during the quarter is estimated to fall at 4.6% year-on-year rate.

(xi)Rubber Board of India anticipates that the countrys yielding area could expand by 14,000 haduring 2011 helping the supply to grow at 5.3% to 890,000 tonnes during the year.

(xii)Unlike other producing countries Indias NR supply is characterised by a much longer leanseason spanning for seven continuous months. While leaf-shedding (wintering) of trees takes thesupply to a seasonal dip during the summer from February to May every year, southwest

monsoon in the State of Kerala affects the supply from June to August. During the lean season,

the supply comes to the level of 50 to 60% of that during flush season.

(xiii) Vietnam has pegged down the countrys NR supply anticipated for Q4 this year. Therevised prognosis, arrived on the basis of preliminary estimates for October and November and

anticipate for December, shows the supply to fall during Q4 by 2.8% as compared to the 3.8%rise previously expected. Due to rains, production could not reach the expected level in

November and during the first half of December although farmers widely showed interest in

stimulating trees for enhancement in yield.

(xiv) The supply during 2010 is now anticipated to rise at a slower pace, at 3.6 % rate to750,000 tonnes, than the previously expected 6.4% rate to 770,000 tonnes. The countrysaverage annual yield is estimated to fall to 1685 kg per ha during 2010 from 1717 kg per ha

during the previous year. However, the resultant fall in supply could be partly offset by yieldingareas expansion by an estimated 23,000 ha this year. During 2011, supply is expected to rise4% to 780,000 tonnes on improvement average yield against a marginal expansion (5,000 ha) in

yielding area.

(xv)Vietnams NR supply exhibits much wider seasonal variations compared to other producingcountries. Wintering (leaf-shedding) season starts from February and lasts until May. Large

public sector plantations dominate the countrys NR supply and they normally practise lay-off

during this season. The countrys average monthly supply during this period comes to only


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about 15% of that during a month of peak supply. During February and March, the supply

comes down to negligible level or even nil.

(xvi) NR supply from China is expected to rise 6.6% to 690,000 tonnes during 2011 onyielding areas expansion by an estimated 19,000 ha during the year. During the current year,

supply is likely to grow only 0.6% to 647,000 although yielding area has expanded by 24,000

ha. The supply this year has been affected by unusually severe typhoons during October in theHainan province which accounts for 51% of the countrys supply of NR. Farmers are generally

judicious in adopting myopic approaches in harvesting and therefore intensive harvesting hasnot been reported in spite of spike in NR prices.

Updated trends in NR supply with reference to each country in the ANRPC are summarised below:


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Demand

About 48% of the global demand for NR comes from China, India and Malaysia which are three major NR consuming countries within the ANRPC. The following table consolidates quarterly growths in

consumption and import in the three countries:

Quarterly Growth in Consumption and Import during 2010(% change from corresponding quarters in 2009)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4(1) Year 2010(1)

China

Consumption of NR

(Including NR-rich compound rubber)22.5 13.6 0.4 2.2 8.6

Import of NR 33.2 -22.5 7.4 29.2 10.0

Import of NR-rich compound rubber 84.8 -21.6 -21.4 1.7 -2.0

India

Consumption of NR 12.2 6.9 -0.8 2.9 5.1Import of NR 124.3 -24.9 6.1 58.7 14.1

Malaysia

Consumption of NR 14.2 -4.0 -6.4 6.0 2.2

Import of NR 23.4 -20.5 4.8 -19.6 -5.3(1) Computed on the bass of preliminary estimates or October & November and anticipated data for December.Note: For detailed data, please refer to Table 3 (pages 21-22), Table 5 (pages 25-26) and Table 11 (page 33).

The following table compares the consumption and import during January to November, 2010 with the

same period in the previous year for China, India and Malaysia:

Consumption and Import up to November 2010

Jan. to

Nov.2009

Jan. to

Nov.2010 % change

(000 tonnes)China

Consumption of NR

(Including NR-rich compound rubber)2790 3025 8.4

Import of NR 1423 1600 12.4

Import of NR-rich compound rubber 934 912 -2.4

India

Consumption of NR 825 868 5.2

Import of NR 154 178 15.3

Malaysia

Consumption of NR 428 433 1.1

Import of NR 657 642 -2.3Note: For detailed data, please refer to Table 3 (pages 21-22), Table 5 (pages 25-26) and Table 11 (page 33).


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In China, the country from where a-third of the

global NR demand comes from, the

commoditys import resurged since thebeginning of Q4 this year. Import of NR sharply

rose at 58% rate during October and 65% rate

during November on year-on-year basis.

However, Chinese Academy of TropicalAgricultural Science anticipates a lower import

during December 2010 which would bring theaverage growth during Q4 to 29.2%. Total

import of NR during the current year is

anticipated to be 1.750 million tonnes as against1.591 million tonnes during 2009. For specific

grades of compound rubber, having NR-content

beyond 95%, import this year is anticipated at

1.002 million tonnes as against 1.023 milliontonnes during 2009.

Consumption of NR in India is anticipated toincrease by 5.1% to 905,000 tonnes during

2010. Rubber Board of India expects the same

pace to continue to the next year taking thecountrys demand to 1.0 million tonnes which

would be short of the domestic supply by

110,000 tonnes. India has amended importtariff for NR falling under HS 400121, 400122

& 400129, through notification No.128/2010-

Customs, dated December 22, 2010 of the

Ministry of Finance (Department of Revenue).While the basic tariff continues at 20%, a

ceiling of Indian rupees 20 per kg has been

newly introduced on the incidence of basicimport duty. The amendment also entitles

import of 40,000 tonnes, until March 2011, at

the reduced 7.5% basic rate.

Key Economic Developments

The U.S. economy grew slightly faster in Q3, at

2.6% rate, than previously expected 2.5% rate,as per data released by the CommerceDepartment on 22

ndDecember. A recent pick-

up in consumer spending, accounting for about

70% demand in the U.S., and tax cuts approved by Congress are seen boosting the growth

further in Q4 and 2011.

While commodities continue to advance on

Is Indias tilt towards SR caused by substitution?

Relative share of NR in Indias total consumption of rubber

(NR + SR) in the auto-tyre sector sharply came down by

10 percentage points, from 76% in 2003 to 66% in

September 2010 in spite of an increasing use of radial tyreswhich require more NR than that in conventional tyres.

This shift is widely attributed to substitution from NR to

SR in the backdrop of the prevailing higher price of NR

over SR. But, how far this view holds true?

In India, production of passenger car tyres is growing much

faster compared to truck & bus tyres. In 2003, passenger

car tyres accounted only 48% of total production of tyres

for truck & bus and passenger cars. From that level,

passenger cars relative share sharply increased to 58% by

2009; an increase by 10 percentage points in just six years.

This has important implication for the countrys relativeconsumption of NR and SR. While SR share (i.e., % of SR

in total rubber used) in truck radials ranges from 14 to 18%

only, in passenger car radials it comes to 57% to 73%.

Obviously, passenger car tyres are SR-rich. To be more

specific, a faster growth in production of passenger car

tyres (than that of truck tyres) implies a much faster growth

in consumption of SR than NR. Therefore, the ongoing

shift in Indias NR-SR consumption ratio is largely due to

the shift in composition of tyre production. The shift in

favour of SR is likely to continue as far as appetite for

passenger cars stays among Indian middle class.

This is further supported by the observation that general

rubber goods (GRG or non-tyre) sector has not witnessed

such a remarkable change with reference to relative NR-

share (Please see the table below):

Period

NR-share

in tyre

sector

(%)

NR-share

in GRG

sector (%)

Share of car tyres

in total

production of

tyres for car,

truck & bus (%)

2003 76 79 48

2004 76 79 52

2005 76 79 53

2006 73 78 54

2007 72 78 56

2008 73 77 56

2009 71 76 58

Jan.2010 69 74 Not available

Jun. 2010 67 74 Not availableSep. 2010 66 77 Not available


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expectations for U.S. economic growth in 2011, a threat to economic recovery could be oil price which

may surge as speculators, encouraged by the global economic recovery, increasingly turn to

commodities. Analysts are of the view that a 15 dollar per barrel rise in oil price may bring down U.S.economic growth by about half a percentage point in 2011. China, in spite of persistent concerns about

inflation, has raised petroleum prices by 3.8 to 4% effective from 22nd

December.

Japans exports rose 9.1% in November helped by solid demand from China providing a positive signfor the countrys export-dependent economy. According to forecasts released by Japans government on

22nd

December, the economy would grow 1.5% next year.

Global economic recovery and surplus money continue boosting commodity prices through speculative

investments. Although NR prices have been largely tracking the general commodity trends, factorsspecific to the industry have also been in play.

Developments in NR Markets

(i) Influence of Exporting Countries Currencies

Movements of Thai baht, Malaysian ringgit and Indonesian ruppiah vis--vis U.S. dollar are shown in

the following three graphs with reference to the period from 1st

September to 22nd

December, 2010 (The

dotted lines represent seven-day moving averages. A falling curve implies strengthening of currencyagainst the dollar and a rising phase represents weakening of currency).

Thai Baht equivalent to One US Dollar(1

stSep. to 22

ndDec.2010)


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Malaysian Ringgit Equivalent to One US Dollar

(1st

Sep. to 22nd

Dec.2010)

Indonesian Rupiah Equivalent to One US Dollar

(1st

Sep. to 22nd

Dec.2010)


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It is evident that the three currencies progressively weakened against U.S. dollar since mid-November

and this has been more pronounced in the case of Malaysian ringgit and Indonesian rupiah. A weak

currency of exporting country normally depresses prices of the commodities which are traded in U.S.dollar terms. Therefore, exporting countries currencies have been exerting downward pressure on NR

market from mid-November onwards. .

(ii) Influence of Japanese Yen on TOCOM NR Futures and Physical NR Prices

A weak Japanese yen makes yen-denominated TOCOM futures more appealing and thereby attractsinvestors and pushes commodity futures up. Therefore, a weak yen is expected to push up TOCOM

rubber futures. The following picture gives superimposed view of TOCOM rubber futures on Japanese

yen with reference to the period from 1st

September to 22nd

December 2010.

Trends in TOCOM Rubber Futures vis--vis Japanese Yen

(Period: 1st

Sep. to 22nd

Dec. 2010;Left Y-axis: TOCOM RSS 3 contracted for Dec.2010; Right Y-axis: Yen equivalent to 1 USD)

Japanese yen sharply depreciated (Rising phase represents currencys deprecation against the dollar)

from end of October until end of November. Thereafter it has been fluctuating without exhibiting anyapparent trend. When the yen depreciated during November, TOCOM rubber futures sharply rose

revealing the currencys positive influence on rubber futures. But, a striking point is that TOCOMrubber futures continued to rise, with a much higher momentum, during December even after yen

deviated from its weakening trajectory. This reveals the presence of other more influential factors

supporting rubber futures.


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Physical NR prices and TOCOM rubber futures normally follow the same trend. Although the two are

closely inter-related, it cannot be identified which one determines the other. While demand-supply

situation in physical market influences futures market, speculation, driven by factors other thanfundamentals, often gets reflected on physical market as well. Speculative investors and fund managers

increasingly turn from stock markets to commodity futures. A large section of such players in rubber

futures takes investment decision on the basis of general speculation in entire commodities, including

metals, without looking into demand-supply situation specific to NR market.

The following graph reveals that TOCOM NR futures and physical NR prices have been tracking almostthe same trend from September onwards.

Physical Prices vis--vis TOCOM Futures

(Period: 1st

Sep. to 22nd

Dec. 2010; Left Y-axis: Physical RSS prices in USD per 100 kg in Bangkok;

Right Y-axis: TOCOM RSS 3 Futures in yen per kg contracted for Dec. 2010)

(iii) Influence of Crude Oil Prices

The following picture explains the influence of crude oil price on NR market with reference to the

period from 1st

September to 22nd

December.


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Trends in NR Prices vis--vis Crude Oil Prices

(Period: 1st

Sept. to 22nd

Dec. 2010;Left Y-axis: STR 20 prices in USD per 100 kg; Right Y-axis: Crude oil prices in USD per barrel)

The WTI (West Texas Intermediate) crude oil price surged more than eight U.S. dollar per barrel, from

81.24 dollar to 89.33 dollar, within few days from 22nd November to 6th December and continued to stayhigh. The sharp rise in NR price, in tandem with the uptrend in oil price from 22

ndNovember, reveals

the role of the latter in fuelling the current bull-phase in NR market.

The outlook for oil indicates a further rise in the short-term, driven by speculative investments in oil

futures. Speculators encouraged by improved global economic outlook increasingly pile money into oil

futures. Concerns about possible inflationary effects of the Federal Reserves stimulus programmes alsomight have prompted investors in the U.S. to park their surplus money in oil futures.


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(iv) Trends in Natural Rubber Prices

The following graph shows the trends in daily prices of STR 20 (Bangkok) and SMR 20 (Kuala

Lumpur) during the period from 1st

September to 22nd

December, 2010.

Daily Prices of SMR 20 and STR 20(Period: 1

stSep. to 22

ndDec.2010;

Y-axis: Prices of STR 20 & SMR 20 in USD per 100 kg)

Prices in both the markets skyrocketed from the end of November reaching their historic highs. SMR 20

(Kuala Lumpur) peaked from 416.75 US dollar per 100 kg on 29th

November to 480.20 dollar per 100

kg on 22nd

December. STR 20 (Bangkok) rose during the same period from 429.40 dollar per 100 kg to484.75 dollar per 100 kg.

RSS markets have also exhibited almost similar trend as that of SMR and STR. The following graphdepicts the trends in prices of RSS 3 in Bangkok and RSS 4 in Kottayam (India) during 1

stSeptember to

22nd

December, 2010.


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Daily Prices of RSS in Bangkok and Kottayam

(Period: 1st

Sep. to 22nd

Dec.2010, Y-axis: Prices in Bangkok & Kottayam in USD per 100 kg)

An important observation from the above is the deviation of Kottayam market since end of November to

stay below the rates prevailing in Bangkok. The gap has progressively widened to reach 30 dollar per100 kg on 21

stDecember.

The following is a comparison between prices of STR 20 and RSS 3 in Bangkok with reference to the

period from 1st

September to 22nd

December, 2010. The two have moved in tandem although RSSenjoyed a thin premium over STR.


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Daily Prices of RSS Vis--vis TSR in Bangkok

(Period: 1st

September to 22nd

December; 2010; Y-axis: Prices of STR 20 & RSS 3 in USD per 100 kg)

Short Term Outlook on NR MarketSentiments in NR market continue to be dominated by uncertainly in the commoditys supply.

An already severe supply situation is likely to be aggravated further during the period from

February to May 2011coincident with annual leaf-shedding of trees.

The current spike in NR market has also been driven by an improved economic outlook coupled

with Chinas higher import demand which rose at 58% and 65% annualised rates during October

and November respectively. As consuming industry normally goes for large volume purchases

before the supply enters wintering lean season starting end of February, the demand is likely to

gain further momentum in January.

Surge in crude oil price has been another key driver of the present bull-phase in NR market.

Although authentic forecasts are not available, oil industry analysts indicate the possibility of oil

reaching 100 dollar per barrel by the beginning of next year (2011). NR market is not immune

to increasing influence of speculative investments in commodity markets which are capable of

taking commodity prices to any level.Jom Jacob

Senior Economist


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NaturalRubberTrends&Stati

stics,Volume2,

No.1

2,

December2010

Page18

T

able1:ConsolidatedStatementofProductionofNaturalRubberfrom2006to2011

Quantity(000tonnes

)

A

nnualRateofGrowth(%)

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

(1) 2011(1)

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010(1)

2011(1)

Thailand

3137

3056

3090

3164

30

72

3247

6.8

-2

.6

1.1

2.4

-2.9

5.7

Indonesia

2637

2755

2751

2440

28

43

2938

16.1

4

.5

-0.1

-11.3

16.5

3.3

Malaysia

1284

1200

1072

857

9

70

1050

14.0

-6

.5

-10.7

-20.1

13.2

8.2

India

853

811

881

820

8

45

890

10.5

-4

.9

8.6

-6.9

3.0

5.3

Vietnam

555

606

660

724

7

50

780

15.3

9

.1

8.9

9.7

3.6

4.0

China

538

588

548

643

6

47

690

-0.6

9

.3

-6.8

17.4

0.6

6.6

SriLanka

109

118

129

137

1

48

153(2)

4.6

7

.7

9.9

6.0

8.1

3.3

(2)

Philippines

88

101

103

98

1

02

107

11.4

14

.9

1.7

-4.9

4.7

4.6

Cambodia

21

19

19

34

45

63

4.4

-10

.8

0.0

81.1

28.8

42.0

Total

9222

9254

9253

8917

94

22

9918

10.7

0

.3

0.0

-3.6

5.7

5.3

Notes:

(1)Annualdatafor2010&

2011areanticipatedfiguresrepor

tedonbyrespectivegovernmentso

nDecember16

,2010unlessment

ionedotherwise.

(2)SriLankasfigurefor2

011isANRPCsanticipate

.

Source:

ReportedbyrespectivegovernmentsonDecember16

,2010

unlessmentionedotherwise.

CommodityDescription:

Theabov

edatacovercommoditiesunderthesix-d

igitHS400110

,400121

,4001

22&400129

.ThedataforThailan

dandVietnam

includeestimatedNR

contentinc

ompoundrubberfallingunderHS4

00510

,400520

,400591&400599.


19/43


stics,Volume2,

No.1

2,

December2010

Page19

Table2:ProductionofNaturalRubberinANRPCMemberCountries

(000tonnes)

Year

Cam

bodia

China

India

Indonesia

Malaysia

2004

2

5.9

573.0

743

2066

1169

2005

2

0.4

541.0

772

2271

1126

2006

2

1.3

538.0

853

2637

1284

2007

1

9.0

588.0

811

2755

1200

2008

1

9.0

547.8

881

2751

1072

2009

3

4.4

643.2

820

2440

857

2010(1)

4

4.5

647.0

845

2843

970

2011(1)

6

3.2

690.0

890

2938

1050

Months

2009

2010(2)2011(3)

2009

2010(2)

2011(3)

2009

2010(2)

2011

(3)

2009

2010(2)

2011(3)

20

09

2010(2)

2011(3)

January

3.6

3.8

4.0

1.8

2.4

1.5

92

97.5

97

.0

203

216

244

7

3.4

108.5

105.0

February

2.4

2.0

2.8

0.0

0.0

*

48

51.5

*

186

210

*

7

2.4

81.0

100.0

March

1.0

2.5

12.0

7.5

48

50.7

183

243

4

7.4

70.3

April

1.2

2.1

47.6

47.0

52

53.5

191

233

5

0.1

54.5

May

2.1

2.5

66.2

66.0

54

56.4

233

236

5

9.7

65.3

June

2.5

2.8

77.6

74.0

54

56.9

269

241

8

0.7

70.7

July

2.4

2.8

79.2

80.0

50

58.5

236

256

8

2.9

81.1

August

3.3

3.2

82.3

84.0

65

72.5

165

232

7

5.5

80.6

September

3.0

4.5

84.1

88.0

74

77.5

155

242

7

7.2

74.5

October

3.8

5.0

83.0

77.0

89

82.4

201

244

7

7.6

94.1

November

5.6

6.4

74.4

83.0

93

88.5

204

245

6

3.1

93.0

December

3.6

6.9

35.2

38.0

101

99.0

214

245

9

7.0

96.4

Notes:

(1)Annua

lda

tafor

2010&2011

arean

tic

ipa

tedfiguresasreporte

dbyrespec

tivegovernmen

tson

Decem

ber

16

,2010un

lessmen

tione

do

therw

ise

.

(2) Mon

thlyda

tafor

2010re

fer

toac

tua

lup

toSep

tem

ber;pre

lim

inaryestima

tes

for

Oc

tober

&Novem

beran

dan

ticip

ates

for

Decem

ber.

(3) Da

tafor

January

&Fe

bruary

2011arean

tic

ipa

tesasreporte

dbyrespe

ctivegovernmen

tson

Decem

ber

16

,2010

.

Source:

Reporte

dbyrespec

tivegovernm

en

tsinon

Decem

ber

16

,2010un

lessme

ntione

do

therw

ise

.*Indica

tesnon-a

va

ilab

ilityo

fo

fficialda

ta.


Thea

bove

da

tacovercommo

ditiesun

der

thes

ix-d

igitH

S400110

,400121

,400122&400129

.The

da

tafor

Tha

ilan

dan

dVietnam

inc

ludees

tima

tedNR

con

ten

t

incompoun

dru

bber

fallingun

der

HS400510

,400520

,400591&400599

.


20/43


21/43


stics,Volume2,

No.1

2,

December2010

Page21

Table3:Consumptionof

NaturalRubberinANRPCM

emberCountries

(000tonnes)

Year

Cam

bodia

China

India

Indonesia

Malaysia

2004

0.0

*

745

196

403.0

2005

0.0

*

789

221

386.0

2006

0.0

*

815

355

383.0

2007

0.0

2750

851

391

450.0

2008

0.0

2740

881

414

468.9

2009

0.0

3040

905

422

469.6

2010(1)

0.0

3300

951

439

480.0

2011(1)

0.0

3600

1000

*

490.0

Months

2009

2010(2)2011(3)

2009

2010(2)

2011(3)

2009

2010(2)

2011

(3)

2009

2010(2)

2011(3)

20

09

2010(2)

2011(3)

January

0.0

0.0

0.0

145

225

250

64

80.5

83.0

35

36

*

3

4.4

41.4

36.0

February

0.0

0.0

0.0

185

197

*

72

76.4

*

36

37

*

3

5.1

38.1

36.0

March

0.0

0.0

240

276

74

78.7

38

39

3

7.3

42.5

April

0.0

0.0

265

304

73

78.3

35

36

3

7.1

37.6

May

0.0

0.0

275

315

71

79.2

37

38

4

1.2

40.6

June

0.0

0.0

275

307

74

75.5

34

35

4

0.6

36.0

July

0.0

0.0

260

266

79

76.2

38

39

4

1.6

38.2

August

0.0

0.0

290

288

80

79.5

35

36

4

1.1

38.6

September

0.0

0.0

290

289

79

80.5

35

36

3

7.2

35.4

October

0.0

0.0

285

283

78

81.5

30

31

4

1.4

37.3

November

0.0

0.0

280

275

81

82.0

37

38

4

1.0

47.1

December

0.0

0.0

250

275

80

82.5

36

37

4

1.6

47.1

Notes:

(1)Annua

lda

tafor

2010&2011

arean

tic

ipa

tedfiguresasreporte

dbyresp

ec

tivegovernmen

tson

Decem

ber

16

,201

0un

lessmen

tione

do

therw

ise

.

(2)Mon

thlyda

tafor

2010re

ferto

ac

tua

lup

toSep

tem

ber;pre

lim

inaryes

tim

ates

for

Oc

tober

&Novem

beran

dan

tic

ipa

tes

for

Decem

ber.

(3) Mon

thlyda

tafor

January

&Fe

bruary

2011arean

tic

ipa

tesasreporte

dbyrespec

tivegovernmen

tson

Decem

ber

16

,2010

.

Source:

Reporte

dbyrespec

tivegovernm

en

tson

Decem

ber

16

,2010un

lessment

ione

do

therw

ise

.*Indica

tesnon-a

va

ila

bilityo

fo

fficialda

ta.


Thea

bove

da

tacovercommo

ditiesun

der

thes

ix-d

igitH

S400110

,400121

,400122&400129

.The

da

tafor

China

,Tha

ilan

dan

dVietnam

inc

ludees

tima

tedNR

con

ten

tincompoun

dru

bber

fallingun

de

rHS400510

,400520

,400591&400599.(Pleasere

fer

toTa

ble12forsepara

tedata

ofcompoun

dru

bberconsume

dinTha

ilan

dan

dVietnam

.The

separa

teda

tao

fcompoun

dru

bberconsume

dinChinaareno

tava

ila

ble).


22/43


stics,Volume2,

No.1

2,

December2010

Page22

Table3:ConsumptionofNaturalRubberinANRPCMemberCountries

[Continued]

(000tonnes)

Year

Phil

ippines

Singapore

SriLanka

Thailand

Vietnam

2004

34.5

Lessthan2.5

54.4

319

55.0

2005

37.8

Lessthan2.5

72.7

334

60.0

2006

54.0

Lessthan2.5

63.1

321

65.0

2007

70.2

Lessthan2.5

73.9

374

80.0

2008

66.3

Lessthan2.5

80.1

398

100.0

2009

72.6

Lessthan2.5

84.9

399

120.0

2010(1)

75.2

Lessthan2.5

100.6

420

140.0

2011(1)

78.0

Lessthan2.5

*

450

150.0

Months

2009

2010(2)2011(3)

2009

2010(2)

2011(3)

2009

2010(2)

2011

(3)

2009

2010(2)

2011(3)

20

09

2010(2)

2011(3)

January

5.2

0.2

2.8

Neg

lig

ible

Neg

lig

ible

Neg

lig

ible

7.4

7.5

7.2

31

35

*

10.0

11.0

12.0

February

3.1

3.5

*

Neg

lig

ible

Neg

lig

ible

Neg

lig

ible

7.3

8.7

*

28

35

*

10.0

9.0

12.0

March

2.1

1.8

Neg

lig

ible

Neg

lig

ible

4.4

9.4

27

35

9.0

11.0

April

3.1

3.3

Neg

lig

ible

Neg

lig

ible

6.5

8.8

27

35

9.0

12.0

May

7.4

6.4

Neg

lig

ible

Neg

lig

ible

5.5

7.6

35

35

9.0

12.0

June

9.4

9.3

Neg

lig

ible

Neg

lig

ible

8.1

8.2

36

35

9.0

12.0

July

3.7

5.0

Neg

lig

ible

Neg

lig

ible

6.9

7.7

37

35

9.0

12.0

August

5.7

6.2

Neg

lig

ible

Neg

lig

ible

6.1

10.2

38

35

11.0

12.0

September

5.2

5.8

Neg

lig

ible

Neg

lig

ible

8.0

9.4

37

35

11.0

12.5

October

8.7

1

0.6

Neg

lig

ible

Neg

lig

ible

8.2

11.4

34

35

11.0

12.5

November

9.4

1

3.0

Neg

lig

ible

Neg

lig

ible

8.9

5.7

36

*

11.0

12.0

December

9.7

1

0.1

Neg

lig

ible

Neg

lig

ible

7.8

6.0

33

*

11.0

12.0

Notes:

(1) Annua

lda

tafor

2010&2011

arean

tic

ipa

tedfiguresasreporte

dbyresp

ec

tivegovernmen

tson

Decem

ber

16

,201

0un

lessmen

tione

do

therw

ise

.

(2)Mon

thlyda

tafor

2010re

ferto

ac

tua

lup

toSep

tem

ber;pre

lim

inaryes

tim

ates

for

Oc

tober

&Novem

beran

dan

tic

ipa

tes

for

Decem

ber.

(3)Mon

thlyda

tafor

January

&Fe

bruary

2011arean

tic

ipa

tesasreporte

dbyrespec

tivegovernmen

tson

Decem

ber

16

,2010

.

Source:

Reporte

dbyrespec

tivegovernm

en

tson

Decem

ber

16

,2010un

lessment

ione

do

therw

ise

.*Indica

tesnon-a

va

ila

bilityo

fo

fficialda

ta.


Thea

bove

da

tacovercommo

ditiesun

der

thes

ix-d

igitH

S400110

,400121

,400122&400129

.The

da

tafor

China

,Tha

ilan

dan

dVietnam

inc

ludees

tima

tedNR

con

ten

tincompoun

dru

bber

fallingun

de

rHS400510

,400520

,400591&400599.(Pleasere

fer

toTa

ble12forsepara

tedata

ofcompoun

dru

bberconsume

dinTha

ilan

dan

dVietnam

.The

separa

teda

tao

fcompoun

dru

bberconsume

dinChinaareno

tava

ila

ble).


23/43


stics,Volume2,

No.1

2,

December2010

Page23

Table4:GrossExportofN

aturalRubberfromANRPC

MemberCountries

(000tonnes)

Year

Cam

bodia

China

India

Indonesia

Malaysia

2004

2

6.0

2.0

71

1874

1109

2005

2

1.1

5.0

60

2024

1128

2006

2

0.7

4.0

71

2287

1134

2007

1

9.3

4.0

29

2407

1018

2008

1

6.6

3.0

77

2295

917

2009

3

6.4

3.0

16

1991

703

2010(1)

4

5.0

24.6

20

2300

900

2011(1)

6

3.0

10.0

10

*

930

Months

2009

2010(2)2011(3)

2009

2010(2)

2011(3)

2009

2010(2)

2011

(3)

2009

2010(2)

2011(3)

20

09

2010(2)

2011(3)

January

5.2

4.2

4.0

Neg

lig

ible

1.1

0.1

1

2.9

0.5

118

.1

137

.8

142.0

4

9.5

69.6

75.0

February

3.5

2.0

2.7

Neg

lig

ible

0.2

*

2

5.6

*

137

.3

174

.4

*

5

9.2

65.3

70.0

March

1.0

2.5

Neg

lig

ible

0.5

2

6.0

184

.4

207

.7

4

8.8

91.7

April

1.2

2.2

Neg

lig

ible

4.9

1

2.2

172

.9

198

.2

4

5.7

68.5

May

1.2

2.4

Neg

lig

ible

11.3

Neg

lig

ible

1.5

185

.2

201

.0

4

7.4

64.2

June

3.3

3.2

Neg

lig

ible

3.6

Neg

lig

ible

0.6

165

.5

205

.4

5

7.7

71.3

July

2.1

3.5

Neg

lig

ible

0.7

Neg

lig

ible

Neg

lig

ible

195

.8

220

.4

6

1.6

75.5

August

2.6

3.0

Neg

lig

ible

1.0

Neg

lig

ible

Neg

lig

ible

169

.7

196

.6

6

8.5

85.6

September

3.2

4.5

Neg

lig

ible

0.5

1

0.2

159

.1

207

.0

4

7.3

68.8

October

3.6

5.0

Neg

lig

ible

0.4

2

0.2

182

.7

209

.0

8

2.2

77.9

November

4.5

6.0

Neg

lig

ible

0.2

4

Neg

lig

ible

148

.8

210

.0

6

5.0

80.8

December

5.0

6.5

Neg

lig

ible

0.2

2

0.5

171

.6

210

.0

7

0.4

80.8

Notes:

(1) Annua

lda

tafor

2010&2011

arean

tic

ipa

tedfiguresasreporte

dbyresp

ec

tivegovernmen

tson

Decem

ber

16

,201

0un

lessmen

tione

do

therw

ise

.

(2) Mon

thlyda

tafor

2010re

ferto

ac

tua

lup

toSep

tem

ber,pre

lim

inaryes

tim

ates

for

Oc

tober

&Novem

beran

dan

tic

ipa

tes

for

Decem

ber.

(3) Mon

thlyda

tafor

January

&Fe

bruary

2011arean

tic

ipa

tesasreporte

dbyrespec

tivegovernmen

tson

Decem

ber

16

,2010

.

Source:

Reporte

dbyrespec

tivegovernm

en

tson

Decem

ber

16

,2010un

lessment

ione

do

therw

ise

.*Indica

tesnon-a

va

ila

bilityo

fo

fficialda

ta.


Thea

bove

da

tacovercommo

ditiesun

der

thes

ix-d

igitH

S400110

,400121

,400122&400129

.The

da

tafor

Tha

ilan

dan

dVietnam

inc

ludees

tima

tedNR

con

ten

t

incompoun

dru

bber

fallingun

der

HS400510

,400520

,400591&400599

.(Pleasere

fer

toTa

ble13forsepara

teda

tao

fcompoun

dru

bberexporte

dfrom

Tha

ilan

dan

dVietnam

).


24/43


stics,Volume2,

No.1

2,

December2010

Page24

Table

4:GrossExportofNaturalR

ubberfromANRPCMember

Countries

[Continued]

(000tonnes)

Year

Phil

ippines

Singapor

e

SriLanka

Thailand

Vietnam

2004

4

3.3

201.6

40.3

2637

513.4

2005

4

1.1

231.2

31.6

2632

554.1

2006

3

3.9

238.4

46.3

2772

703.6

2007

3

0.8

153.0

51.4

2704

715.6

2008

3

6.4

138.2

48.6

2675

659.0

2009

2

5.1

106.3

56.0

2726

731.4

2010(1)

2

7.1

*

51.5

2683

770.0

2011(1)

2

8.9

*

*

2842

780.0

Months

2009

2010(2)2011(3)

2009

2010(2)

2011(3)

2009

2010(2)

2011

(3)

2009

2010(2)

2011(3)

20

09

2010(2)

2011(3)

January

1.1

5.5

3.2

3.5

8.6

*

4.8

6.3

5.1

214

288

*

34.8

54.3

60.0

February

2.4

1.5

*

11.5

8.5

*

5.5

7.9

*

210

249

*

39.7

22.0

30.0

March

2.0

2.1

12.0

12.7

7.7

5.4

202

253

50.6

46.9

April

2.5

2.2

13.7

7.8

4.6

3.9

190

164

24.4

34.7

May

2.2

3.1

9.7

12.8

5.6

3.0

184

186

51.1

23.3

June

2.0

1.8

10.5

12.8

2.8

1.4

218

176

71.5

57.9

July

3.0

2.0

11.3

11.5

2.8

1.5

249

228

86.0

88.6

August

1.8

1.6

5.7

9.9

4.3

2.8

228

248

79.1

103.7

September

2.1

1.9

3.9

11.2

3.7

5.2

236

279

69.0

81.6

October

2.1

1.9

9.1

*

4.0

5.4

240

182

68.9

79.2

November

1.8

0.0

6.6

*

4.4

4.4

273

200

79.4

89.8

December

2.1

3.6

8.8

*

5.8

4.3

282

230

76.9

88.0

Notes:

(1) Annua

lda

tafor

2010&2011

arean

tic

ipa

tedfiguresasreporte

dbyresp

ec

tivegovernmen

tson

Decem

ber

16

,201

0un

lessmen

tione

do

therw

ise

.

(2) Mon

thlyda

tafor

2010re

ferto

ac

tua

lup

toSep

tem

ber,pre

lim

inaryes

tim

ates

for

Oc

tober

&Novem

beran

dan

tic

ipa

tes

for

Decem

ber.

(3) Mon

thlyda

tafor

January

&Fe

bruary

2011arean

tic

ipa

tesasreporte

dbyrespec

tivegovernmen

tson

Decem

ber

16

,2010

.

Source:

Reporte

dbyrespec

tivegovernm

en

tson

Decem

ber

16

,2010un

lessment

ione

do

therw

ise

.*Indica

tesnon-a

va

ila

bilityo

fo

fficialda

ta.


Thea

bove

da

tacovercommo

ditiesun

der

thes

ix-d

igitH

S400110

,400121

,400122&400129

.The

da

tafor

Tha

ilan

dan

dVietnam

inc

ludees

tima

tedNR

con

ten

t

incompoun

dru

bber

fallingun

der

HS400510

,400520

,400591&400599

.(Pleasere

fer

toTa

ble13forsepara

teda

tao

fcompoun

dru

bberexporte

dfrom

Tha

ilan

dan

dVietnam

).


25/43


stics,Volume2,

No.1

2,

December2010

Page25

Table5:GrossImportof

NaturalRubberinANRPCM

emberCountries

(000tonnes)

Year

Cam

bodia

China

India

Indonesia

Malaysia

2004

0.0

1209

63

7.5

426

2005

0.0

1334

62

6.6

462

2006

0.0

1509

50

6.9

512

2007

0.0

1552

114

9.8

605

2008

0.0

1584

81

12.6

523

2009

0.0

1591

160

12.7

739

2010(1)

0.0

1750

182

8.0

700

2011(1)

0.0

1760

130

*

770

Months

2009

2010(2)2011(3)

2009

2010(2)

2011(3)

2009

2010(2)

2011

(3)

2009

2010(2)

2011(3)

20

09

2010(2)

2011(3)

January

0.0

0.0

0.0

53

157

150

5

7.1

3.0

0.5

1.5

*

4

3.4

73.1

65.0

February

0.0

0.0

0.0

111

117

*

2

12.3

*

0.5

2.1

*

5

2.0

50.4

60.0

March

0.0

0.0

179

183

7

12.0

0.8

2.0

4

7.6

52.9

April

0.0

0.0

170

133

10

10.9

0.7

1.6

5

1.4

49.3

May

0.0

0.0

135

89

18

15.4

0.7

1.1

5

9.0

49.8

June

0.0

0.0

127

113

23

12.0

1.0

1.8

7

6.7

49.7

July

0.0

0.0

156

144

30

18.0

0.7

1.5

6

8.8

57.0

August

0.0

0.0

140

151

23

22.3

0.8

1.1

5

9.7

74.6

September

0.0

0.0

147

181

19

36.1

1.3

0.5

5

9.8

65.8

October

0.0

0.0

93

147

10

18.1

1.7

*

7

4.6

61.1

November

0.0

0.0

112

185

7

13.4

1.6

*

6

3.9

58.1

December

0.0

0.0

168

150

6

5.0

2.5

*

8

2.0

58.1

Notes:

(1) Annua

lda

tafor

2010&2011

arean

tic

ipa

tedfiguresasreporte

dbyresp

ec

tivegovernmen

tson

Decem

ber

16

,201

0un

lessmen

tione

do

therw

ise

(2) Mon

thlyda

tafor

2010re

ferto

ac

tua

lup

toSep

tem

ber;pre

lim

inaryes

tim

ates

for

Oc

tober

&Novem

beran

dan

tic

ipa

tes

for

Decem

ber.

(3) Da

tafor

January

&Fe

bruary

2

011arean

tic

ipa

tesasreporte

dbyrespec

tivegovernmen

tson

Decem

ber

16

,2010.

Source:

Reporte

dbyrespec

tivegovernm

en

tson

Decem

ber

16

,2010un

lessment

ione

do

therw

ise

.*Indica

tesnon-a

va

ila

bilityo

fo

fficialda

ta.


Thea

bove

da

tacovercommo

ditiesun

der

thes

ix-d

igitH

S400110

,400121

,400122&400129

.The

da

tafor

Tha

ilan

dan

dVietnam

inc

ludees

tima

tedNR

con

ten

t

incompoun

dru

bber

fallingun

der

HS400510

,400520

,400591&400599

.(Da

taof

importo

fcompoun

dru

bber

inChinaan

dV

ietnam

areg

iven

inTa

ble11).


26/43


stics,Volume2,

No.1

2,

December2010

Page26

Table

5:GrossImportofNaturalR

ubberfromANRPCMember

Countries

[Continued]

(000tonnes)

Year

Philippines

Singapor

e

SriLanka

Thailand

Vietnam

2004

Ne

gligible

14.3

1.8

153.0

2005

Ne

gligible

10.3

1.6

141.5

2006

Ne

gligible

184

7.2

1.2

234.4

2007

Ne

gligible

158

9.1

1.9

194.8

2008

Ne

gligible

138

3.6

4.5

149.8

2009

Ne

gligible

113

5.2

3.2

144.2

2010(1)

0.1

*

11.2

*

120.0

2011(1)

Ne

gligible

*

*

*

130.0

Months

2009

2010(2)2011(3)

2009

2010(2)

2011(3)

2009

2010(2)

2011

(3)

2009

2010(2)

2011(3)

20

09

2010(2)

2011(3)

January

Negligible

Negligible

Negligible

9.4

9.4

*

0.4

0.1

0.

4

0.20

*

*

6.5

16.8

10.0

February

Negligible

Negligible

Negligible

12.5

12.6

*

0.2

0.2

0.18

*

*

12.5

6.9

7.0

March

Negligible

Negligible

12.8

13.8

0.1

1.2

0.17

*

16.1

11.8

April

Negligible

Negligible

10.4

10.0

0.0

0.0

0.23

*

13.2

8.8

May

Negligible

Negligible

7.5

10.5

0.1

0.1

0.22

*

15.4

8.8

June

Negligible

Negligible

8.9

10.1

0.5

1.1

0.32

*

9.0

9.0

July

Negligible

Negligible

9.3

10.6

0.4

2.3

0.26

*

13.2

8.3

August

Negligible

Negligible

7.3

10.4

0.2

3.1

0.22

*

12.0

8.8

September

Negligible

Negligible

5.9

7.7

0.9

1.8

0.28

*

9.9

8.9

October

Negligible

Negligible

10.5

*

0.4

0.5

0.47

*

11.5

8.3

November

Negligible

Negligible

7.9

*

0.8

0.5

0.32

*

10.3

12.6

December

Negligible

Negligible

10.4

*

1.2

0.2

0.30

*

14.6

10.9

Notes:

(1) Annua

lda

tafor

2010&2011

arean

tic

ipa

tedfiguresasreporte

dbyresp

ec

tivegovernmen

tson

Decem

ber

16

,201

0un

lessmen

tione

do

therw

ise

(2) Mon

thlyda

tafor

2010re

ferto

ac

tua

lup

toSep

tem

ber;pre

lim

inaryes

tim

ates

for

Oc

tober

&Novem

beran

dan

tic

ipa

tes

for

Decem

ber.

(3) Da

tafor

January

&Fe

bruary

2

011arean

tic

ipa

tesasreporte

dbyrespec

tivegovernmen

tson

Decem

ber

16

,2010.

Source:

Reporte

dbyrespec

tivegovernm

en

tson

Decem

ber

16

,2010un

lessment

ione

do

therw

ise

.*Indica

tesnon-a

va

ila

bilityo

fo

fficialda

ta.


Thea

bove

da

tacovercommo

ditiesun

der

thes

ix-d

igitH

S400110

,400121

,400122&400129

.The

da

tafor

Tha

ilan

dan

dVietnam

inc

ludees

tima

tedNR

con

ten

t

incompoun

dru

bber

fallingun

der

HS400510

,400520

,400591&400599

.(Da

taof

importo

fcompoun

dru

bber

inChinaan

dV

ietnam

areg

iven

inTa

ble11).


27/43


stics,Volume2,

No.1

2,

December2010

Page27

Table6:ClosingStockofNaturalRubberwithANRPC

MemberCountries

(000tonnes)

Year

Cam

bodia

China

India

Indonesia(4)

Malaysia

2004

1.3

*

123

25

195.0

2005

0.6

*

117

57

164.0

2006

1.2

169

142

60

188.0

2007

0.8

177

192

26

153.0

2008

2.8

250

208

80

156.4

2009

0.7

190

270

120

161.7

2010(1)

0.2

140

289

81

120.0

2011(1)

0.4

*

*

*

120.0

Months

2009

2010(2)2011(3)

2009

2010(2)

2011(3)

2009

2010(2)

2011

(3)

2009

2010(2)

2011(3)

20

09

2010(2)

2011(3)

January

1.2

0.2

0.2

*

*

*

240

291.5

*

*

*

*

167.7

195.0

120.0

February

0.1

0.7

0.3

*

*

*

217

274.6

*

*

*

*

160.9

193.7

120.0

March

0.0

0.6

*

*

196

211.3

*

*

126.8

166.7

April

0.0

0.4

*

*

184

196.0

*

*

102.5

138.5

May

1.0

0.5

*

*

186

187.7

*

*

106.0

120.8

June

0.1

0.1

*

*

186

180.7

*

*

128.1

117.2

July

0.3

0.4

109

*

185

181.0

*

*

140.6

118.8

August

1.1

0.6

135

*

190

196.2

*

*

138.9

119.7

September

0.8

0.4

*

*

205

229.1

*

*

143.6

124.2

October

1.0

0.4

*

*

223

*

*

*

145.6

138.6

November

2.2

0.3

*

*

239

*

*

*

134.0

120.0

December

0.7

0.2

190

140

264

*

120

81

161.7

120.0

Notes:

(1)Annua

lda

tafor

2010&2011

arean

tic

ipa

tedfiguresasreporte

dbyresp

ec

tivegovernmen

tson

Decem

ber

16

,201

0un

lessmen

tione

do

therw

ise

.

(2)Mon

thlyda

tafor

2010re

ferto

ac

tua

lup

toSep

tem

ber;pre

lim

inaryes

tim

ates

for

Oc

tober

&Novem

beran

dan

tic

ipa

tes

for

Decem

ber.

(3)Da

tafor

January

&Fe

bruary

2011arean

tic

ipa

tesasreporte

dbyrespec

tivegovernmen

tson

Decem

ber

16

,2010.

(4)Stoc

kda

tao

fIndones

iacover

Es

tateson

ly.

Source:

Reporte

dbyrespec

tivegovernm

en

tson

Decem

ber

16

,2010un

lessment

ione

do

therw

ise

.*Indica

tesnon-a

va

ila

bilityo

fo

fficialda

ta.


Thea

bove

da

tacovercommo

ditiesun

der

thes

ix-d

igitH

S400110

,400121

,400122&400129

.The

da

tafor

Tha

ilan

dan

dVietnam

inc

ludees

tima

tedNR

con

ten

t

incompoun

dru

bber

fallingun

der

HS400510

,400520

,400591&400599

.


28/43


stics,Volume2,

No.1

2,

December2010

Page28

Table

6:ClosingStockofNaturalR

ubberwithANRPCMember

Countries

[Continued]

(000tonnes)

Year

Philippines

Singapor

e

SriLanka

Thailand

Vietnam

2004

*

11.5

19.0

233

19.6

2005

*

12.4

19.0

204

28.6

2006

*

2.4

18.7

250

49.8

2007

*

2.8

11.0

230

54.8

2008

*

2.5

11.5

252

105.6

2009

*

3.6

7.4

294

122.1

2010(1)

*

*

3.4

*

82.4

2011(1)

*

*

*

*

72.1

Months

2009

2010(2)2011(3)

2009

2010(2)

2011(3)

2009

2010(2)

2011

(3)

2009

2010(2)

2011(3)

20

09

2010(2)

2011(3)

January

*

*

*

4.2

4.6

*

11.5

6.4

5.1

293

320

*

13

0.6

119.6

80.4

February

*

*

*

8.1

7.3

*

11.5

5.2

*

301

368

*

10

8.5

99.9

60.4

March

*

*

10.0

8.3

12.3

4.5

222

247

6

7.7

63.1

April

*

*

7.5

9.9

12.6

3.7

207

217

5

5.8

37.6

May

*

*

5.9

9.5

12.0

3.7

181

177

4

4.5

55.7

June

*

*

3.7

7.4

10.8

4.4

201

192

4

8.6

72.2

July

*

*

1.7

7.5

10.9

5.0

220

178

4

2.9

68.7

August

*

*

2.8

6.2

11.2

5.2

220

210

4

5.3

50.0

September

*

*

3.2

4.7

11.2

4.8

221

252

4

5.4

53.8

October

*

*

1.5

*

11.2

3.6

235

202

5

7.7

60.3

November

*

*

3.5

*

9.2

3.6

260

*

7

5.6

71.1

December

*

*

3.6

*

7.4

3.4

294

*

12

2.1

82.4

Notes:

(1)Annua

lda

tafor

2010&2011

arean

tic

ipa

tedfiguresasreporte

dbyresp

ec

tivegovernmen

tson

Decem

ber

16

,201

0un

lessmen

tione

do

therw

ise

.

(2)Mon

thlyda

tafor

2010re

ferto

ac

tua

lup

toSep

tem

ber;pre

lim

inaryes

tim

ates

for

Oc

tober

&Novem

beran

dan

tic

ipa

tes

for

Decem

ber.

(3)Da

tafor

January

&Fe

bruary

2011arean

tic

ipa

tesasreporte

dbyrespec

tivegovernmen

tson

Decem

ber

16

,2010.

(4)Stoc

kda

tao

fIndones

iacover

Es

tateson

ly.

Source:

Reporte

dbyrespec

tivegovernm

en

tson

Decem

ber

16

,2010un

lessment

ione

do

therw

ise

.*Indica

tesnon-a

va

ila

bilityo

fo

fficialda

ta.


Thea

bove

da

tacovercommo

ditiesun

der

thes

ix-d

igitH

S400110

,400121

,400122&400129

.The

da

tafor

Tha

ilan

dan

dVietnam

inc

ludees

tima

tedNR

con

ten

t

incompoun

dru

bber

fallingun

der

HS400510

,400520

,400591&400599

.


29/43


stics,Volume2,

No.1

2,

December2010

Page29

Table7:State

mentofSupply-DemandBala

nceofNaturalRubberinANR

PCMemberCountriesdurin

g2009

(000tonnes)

Supply(S)

De

mand(D)

Difference

(S-D)

Opening

stock

Import

Production

T

otal

su

pply

Consumption

Expo

rt

Closing

stock

Total

demand

Cambodia

2.8

0

34.4

37

0

36.4

0.7

37

0

China

250

1591

643.2

2484

3040

3

190

3233

-749(1)

India

208

160

820

1188

905

1

6

270

1191

-3

Indonesia

80

13

2440

2533

422

199

1

120

2533

0

Malaysia

156

739

857

1752

470

70

3

162

1335

417(2)

Philippines

*

Neg

lig

ible

97.7

98

72.6

25.1

*

98

0(3)

Singapore

2

113

0

115

3

10

6

4

113

2

SriLanka

11.5

5.2

136.9

154

84.9

5

6

7.4

148

6

Thailand

252

3.2

3164

3419

399

272

6

294

3419

0

Vietnam

106

144

724

974

120

73

1

122

973

1

Total

1068

2768

8917

12754

5517

639

4

1170

13080

-326

Notes

(1)Inthecaseo

fChina

,thesupp

lys

ide

doesno

tinc

lude

the

NR

-con

ten

tincom

poun

dru

bber

importe

dintothecoun

try

(P

leasere

fer

toTa

ble11for

the

de

taile

ddata).Bu

t,the

Deman

d

side

inc

ludescompoun

dru

bbercons

ume

dinthecoun

try

.Thispart

lyexp

lains

them

isma

tchbe

tween

the

twos

ides

.

(2) Ma

lays

iasDeman

ds

ide

doesno

tinc

lude

thequan

tityo

fNR

processe

dinto

compoun

dru

bberan

dexporte

dfrom

thecoun

try

(Pleasere

fer

toTa

ble13for

da

tao

fcompoun

dru

bber

exporte

d).There

fore

,the

twos

idesnee

dno

tma

tcheac

ho

ther.

(3)For

the

Philipp

ines

,thesupp

lys

ideaswe

llas

the

deman

ds

ide

doesno

tinclu

des

toc

kda

tadue

tonon-a

va

ila

bility

.

*Indica

tesnon-a

va

ila

bilityo

fthe

dataw

iththecorrespon

dinggovernmen

t.


30/43


stics,Volume2,

No.1

2,

December2010

Page30

Table8:AreaPlantedduringeachYearinANRPCM

emberCountries

(000hectares)

Year

Cambodia

China

India

Indonesia

Malaysia

Phili

ppines

SriLanka

Thailand

Vietnam

New-

plan

ted

Re-

plan

ted

New-

pla

nted

Re-

plan

ted

New-

plan

ted

Re-

plan

ted

New

-

plant

ed

Re-

plan

ted

New-

plan

ted

Re-

plan

ted

New-

plan

ted

Re-

plan

ted

New-

plan

ted

Re-

plan

ted

New-

plan

ted

Re-

plan

ted

New-

plan

ted

Re-

plan

ted

2003

(2)

1.5

36.3

(3)

7.0

7.4

0.0

5.0

0.0

19.1

0.2

*

0.5

1.1

32.9

52.0

12.0

2.7

2004

(2)

3.0

40.3

(3)

12.5

7.1

0.0

5.0

0.0

19.4

1.2

*

0.5

2.1

58.1

56.4

13.3

4.3

2005

(2)

3.7

44.2

(3)

16.8

7.5

17.1

5.0

0.0

20.6

1.6

*

1.0

2.5

122.6

50.4

29.6

4.7

2006

(2)

3.1

58.2

(3)

21.5

8.4

67.0

44.9

0.0

20.2

16.3

0.3

1.9

4.4

109.6

40.3

40.5

4.6

2007

(2)

2.6

65.1

(3)

22.8

8.5

67.3

50.0

0.0

23.1

22.0

0.4

2.0

5.2

161.4

35.2

35.1

7.0

2008

(2)

4.7

49.1

(3)

30.2

10.0

10.5

40.0

6.0

20.7

15.7

0.2

2.6

6.1

221.2

31.9

77.2

8.0

2009

67.3

(2)

5.5

48.5

(3)

25.5

11.0

10.5

55.0

0.0

20.4

7.9

0.6

3.1

3.6

50.0

39.1

51.4

9.0

2010(1)

12.0

2.0

51.5

(3)

25.0

9.0

10.5

57.3

5.0

25.0

3.8

0.7

*

*

25.0

40.1

40.8

10.0

2011(1)

14.0

1.0

50.0

(3)

25.0

10.0

*

*

5.0

25.0

15.0

0.7

*

*

*

*

30.0

11.0

Notes:

(1)Annua

lda

tafor

20

10&2011arean

tic

ipa

tedfiguresreported

byrespec

tivegovernmen

tson

Decem

ber

16

,2010un

lessmen

tione

do

therw

ise

.

(2) The

totalareanew

-plan

tedinCam

bo

diaduring

2003

-2009is

givenaga

ins

t2009

.Separa

teyearly

figu

resareno

tava

ila

ble

.

(3) China

sda

tare

fer

tothe

totalareanew-p

lan

tedorrep

lan

ted

duringeac

hyear.

Separa

teda

taareno

tava

ila

blew

iththe

Governmen

t.

*Indica

tesnon-a

vaila

bilityo

fo

fficialda

taw

iththegovernmentconcerne

d.

Source:

Reporte

dbyrespect

ivegovernmen

tson

Decem

ber

16

,2010un

lessmen

tione

do

therw

ise

.


31/43


stics,Volume2,

No.1

2,

December2010

Page31

Ta

ble9:TotalRubberAreaand

TappedRubberArea

(4)inAN

RPCMemberCountries

(000hectares)

Year

Cambodia

China

India

Indonesia

Malaysia

(2) Philippines

SriLanka

Thailand(3)

Vietnam

To

tal

area

Tappe

d

area

T

otal

a

rea

Tappe

d

area

To

tal

area

Tappe

d

area

Tota

l

are

a

Tappe

d

area

To

tal

area

Tappe

d

area

To

tal

area

Tappe

d

area

To

tal

area

Tappe

d

area

To

tal

area

Tappe

d

area

To

tal

area

Tappe

d

area

2003

*

26

.8

661

436

576

428

329

0

2344

1326

932

80.5

69

.7

114

.8

86

.2

2019

1601

440

.8

266

.7

2004

*

23

.7

696

452

584

440

326

2

2462

1279

900

80.7

71

.1

115

.3

89

.6

2072

1658

454

.1

300

.8

2005

*

20

.8

741

471

598

447

327

9

2634

1271

853

81.9

71

.2

116

.1

91

.2

2190

1692

482

.7

334

.2

2006

*

19

.6

776

495

615

454

334

6

2726

1264

828

94.3

69

.0

117

.7

96

.8

2297

1743

522

.2

356

.4

2007

*

17

.1

875

503

635

459

341

4

2776

1248

789

111.0

64

.4

119

.5

94

.3

2458

1774

556

.3

377

.8

2008

*

16

.1

932

520

662

463

342

4

2769

1247

750

123.3

65

.0

122

.1

93

.6

2675

1819

631

.5

399

.1

2009

*

35

.0

971

542

687

466

343

5

2709

1032

590

128.3

62

.1

124

.3

95

.2

2761

1856

674

.2

421

.6

2010(1)

143

.4

45

.0

1

002

566

712

477

344

5

2773

1029

655

129.5

60

.4

126

.0

95

.0

*

1900

715

.0

445

.0

2011(1)

158

.4

55

.0

1

030

585

737

491

*

*

1026

700

152.8

63

.3

*

*

*

*

743

.0

450

.0

Notes:

(1)Annua

lda

tafor

20

10&2011arean

tic

ipa

tedfiguresreporte

dbyrespec

tivegovernmen

tson

Decem

ber

16

,2010un

lessmen

tione

do

therw

ise

.

(2)InMa

lays

ia,

asec

tiono

fsma

llho

lderss

tayaway

from

tapp

ingun

lessru

bberprice

isno

ta

ttrac

tive

.The

reporte

dtappe

darea

doesno

tinc

lude

th

ema

ture

ho

ldings

whichareno

ttap

pe

d.

There

fore

,tappe

darea

c

hanges

in

relation

toru

bberpricean

dannua

lc

hanges

intappe

darea

nee

dno

tma

tchw

iththeacreagep

lan

ted

.

(3)Tha

ilan

dstapped

area

for

2010isANRPCses

tima

teprepare

don

the

bas

iso

freporte

dp

lan

ting

trends

.

(4)Due

todifferences

intheme

tho

do

logyuse

doro

therreasons

,theacreage

da

tanee

dno

ta

lwaysma

tch

withthe

da

tao

fnew-p

lan

ted/rep

lan

tedar

ea

.

*Indica

tesnon-a

vaila

bilityo

fo

fficialda

taw


d.

Source:

Reporte

dbyrespect

ivegovernmen

tson

Decem

ber

16

,2010

.


32/43


stics,Volume2,

No.1

2,

December2010

Page32

Table10:AverageAnnualYield

(Kg

perhectareofTappedArea)

Year

Cambodia

China

India

Indonesia

Malaysia

(2) Philippines

SriLanka

Thailand

Vietnam

2003

1207

1296

1654

765

1280

983

1067

179

6

1363

2004

1092

1268

1689

839

1300

10

94

1057

180

0

1393

2005

979

1082

1727

862

1320

11

08

1145

173

6

1441

2006

1086

1128

1879

967

1370

12

74

1128

180

0

1558

2007

1112

1168

1767

993

1420

15

67

1247

172

3

1603

2008

1181

1053

1903

994

1430

15

81

1382

169

8

1654

2009

982

1187

1760

901

1450

15

74

1437

170

4

1717

2010(1)

1100

1143

1771

1029

1480

16

95

1490

*

1685

2011(1)

1150

1162

1813

*

1500

16

88

*

*

1733

Notes:

(1)Annua

lda

tafor

20

10&2011arean

tic

ipa

tedfiguresreported

byrespec

tivegovernmen

tson

Decem

ber

16

,2010

.

(2) Ma

lays

iasda

tado

no

taccoun

tru

bber

fores

tsinSa

ba

han

dSarawa

kStates

.Alargeex

ten

to

fun

tappe

dma

turearea

inthecoun

try

isno

tacco

un

tedinthees

tima

tiono

faveragey

ield

.

*Indica

tesnon-a

vaila

bilityo

fo

fficialda

taw


d.

Source:

Reporte

dbyrespect

ivegovernmen

tson

Decem

ber

16

,2010

.


33/43


stics,Volume2,

No.1

2,

December2010

Page33

Table11:GrossImportofNR-richGradesofCompoundRubberinChinaandVietnam

(000tonnes)

Year

China

Vietnam

2004

*

3.5

20

Monthly Bulletin- December 2010 Modified 271210

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Transcript of Monthly Bulletin- December 2010 Modified 271210