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Molten Salt Solar Tower: The Possible Way Towards Competitiveness · 2011-08-23 · Consequently,...
Transcript of Molten Salt Solar Tower: The Possible Way Towards Competitiveness · 2011-08-23 · Consequently,...
Molten Salt Solar Tower:
The Possible Way Towards
Competitiveness
Salzturm: Der machbare Weg zur
signifikanten Kostenreduktion
Kai Wieghardt
14. Kölner Sonnenkolloquium
Jülich, 13.07.2011
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Contents
1. Introduction: Solar Millennium
2. Criteria for Competitiveness
3. Competitiveness of Molten Salt Solar Tower Technology
4. Summary & Outlook
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Contents
1. Introduction: Solar Millennium
2. Criteria for Competitiveness
3. Molten Salt Solar Tower Technology: Pros & Cons
4. Summary & Outlook
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The specialist for solar-thermal power plants
Solar Millennium AG
... is a successful pioneer with a long track-record thanks to the early entry
into the market (1998)
… developed the first parabolic trough power plants in Europe
... pursues projects globally with an overall capacity of more than 2,000 MW
... has an experienced management and invests in R&D with the aim of
achieving and securing sustainable technology leadership
… is developing its own solar tower technology in addition to parabolic trough
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Project Development
Project Financing
Technology
Power plant investment
Construction
Solar Millennium gains revenues from each step of the value chain for solar-thermal power plants
Entry of business partners in power
plant projects: project entrance fee
Financial Closure: payments for
successful project development
Sales of stakes in
power plant projects
Supply of engineering
and components
Turn-key construction of
solar-thermal power plants
Revenues from
plants in operation
Power plant
investment &
Others
Technology
and
Construction
Project
development
and financing
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Contents
1. Introduction: Solar Millennium
2. Criteria for Competitiveness
3. Molten Salt Solar Tower Technology: Pros & Cons
4. Summary & Outlook
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Levelized Costs of Electricity (LCOE)
Parity
Rate
[€/kW] LCOE
[€ct/kWh]
Investment Costs
Efficiency
Operating Time
… per day
… per year
… during lifetime
LCOE is criterion for CSP competitiveness.
Exclusive focus on cost or parity rate is not sufficient.
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LCOE of CSP and Competitive Technologies
1) STE: Solar Thermal Electricity; Source: A.T. Kearney (2010), DNI Values for Spain
Costs-by-cause principle needed for conventional sources:
Significant costs & risks are still taken by society!
CSP must
reduce LCOE
or will fail!
Fierce competition by PV and wind!
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Power generation from renewable energies
Gross power consumption
Share of renewable energies in gross electricity
consumption in Germany until 2020 The share of renewable energies might reach 47% by 2020 Terrawatthours/year
Source: Bundesverband Erneuerbare Energie e. V., 2009
Prognosis
BEE: 47%
Obligation by
government:
30%
Increased Share of Renewables in the Grid …
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Example: Germany 2007: Power Generation vs. Load with 15% renewables
… Today and …
Source: Simulation by Fraunhofer IWES (Kassel)
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Example: Germany 2020: Power Generation vs. Load with 47% renewables
… in the Future
Source: Simulation by Fraunhofer IWES (Kassel)
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Investment Costs
Efficiency
Operating Time
Dispatchability
Dispatchability (the ability to provide energy on demand due to storage system)
… is a main benefit of CSP technology. No dispatchability = direct competition with PV!
Simplest solution available today: Molten salt as HTF and storage medium.
Storage is cost beneficial and pays off through higher utilization of the power block.
Criteria for Evaluation of Competitiveness
Parity
Rate
[€/kW] LCOE
[€ct/kWh] LCOE + Dispatchability
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Contents
1. Introduction: Solar Millennium
2. Criteria for Competitiveness
3. Molten Salt Solar Tower Technology: Pros & Cons
4. Summary & Outlook
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Efficiency Dispatchability Operating
Time (/d, /a, Σ)
Investment
Costs
Molten Salt Solar Tower: Pros & Cons
565C
540C
540C
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Efficiency Dispatchability Operating
Time (/d, /a, Σ)
Investment
Costs
Central
Receiver
HTF = Storage.
No thermo oil
2-axial mirror
tracing
High number of
simple heliostats
High allowable
ground slope,
Retention of
natural grounds
Molten Salt Solar Tower: Pros & Cons
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Molten Salt Solar Tower: Pros & Cons
Efficiency Dispatchability Operating
Time (/d, /a, Σ)
Investment
Costs
Central
Receiver
HTF = Storage.
No thermo oil
2-axial mirror
tracing
High number of
simple heliostats
High allowable
ground slope,
Retention of
natural grounds
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Efficiency Dispatchability Operating
Time (/d, /a, Σ)
Investment
Costs
Central
Receiver
Reduction of
specific storage
High Process
Temperatures
Molten Salt Solar Tower: Pros
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Efficiency Dispatchability Operating
Time (/d, /a, Σ)
Investment
Costs
2-axial mirror
tracing
Homogenization
of operation
(/d, /a, Σ)
Molten Salt Solar Tower: Pros
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Efficiency
Large Optimum
Solar Multiple:
Storage Capacity
12-16h
Dispatchability Operating
Time (/d, /a, Σ)
Investment
Costs
Reduction of
specific storage
Homogenization
of operation
(/d, /a, Σ)
Molten Salt Solar Tower: Pros
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Efficiency Dispatchability Operating
Time (/d, /a, Σ)
Investment
Costs
HTF = Storage.
No thermo oil
Simplification
of systems
Molten Salt Solar Tower: Pros
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Efficiency Dispatchability Operating
Time (/d, /a, Σ)
Investment
Costs
HTF = Storage.
No thermo oil
Reduction of
Risks
Simplification
of systems
Molten Salt Solar Tower: Pros
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Efficiency Dispatchability Operating
Time (/d, /a, Σ)
Investment
Costs
Reduction of
Risks
Industrialized
production
High number of
simple heliostats
High allowable
ground slope,
Retention of
natural grounds
Molten Salt Solar Tower: Pros
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Efficiency
Large Optimum
Solar Multiple:
Storage Capacity
12-16h
Dispatchability Operating
Time (/d, /a, Σ)
Investment
Costs
Central
Receiver
HTF = Storage.
No thermo oil
Reduction of
Risks
Reduction of
specific storage
Simplification
of systems
Industrialized
production
2-axial mirror
tracing
High number of
simple heliostats
High Process
Temperatures
High allowable
ground slope,
Retention of
natural grounds
Homogenization
of operation
(/d, /a, Σ)
Molten Salt Solar Tower: Pros (Summary)
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Efficiency
Molten Salt Solar Tower: Pros & Cons
Large Optimum
Solar Multiple:
Storage Capacity
12-16h
Dispatchability Operating
Time (/d, /a, Σ)
Investment
Costs
Central
Receiver
HTF = Storage.
No thermo oil
Reduction of
Risks
Reduction of
specific storage
Simplification
of systems
Industrialized
production
2-axial mirror
tracing
High number of
simple heliostats
High Process
Temperatures
High Complexity.
No Modularity.
High allowable
ground slope,
Retention of
natural grounds
Homogenization
of operation
(/d, /a, Σ)
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Efficiency
Molten Salt Solar Tower: Pros & Cons
Large Optimum
Solar Multiple:
Storage Capacity
12-16h
Dispatchability Operating
Time (/d, /a, Σ)
Investment
Costs
Central
Receiver
HTF = Storage.
No thermo oil
Reduction of
Risks
Effort & Time for
Development,
Validation &
Scale-up
Reduction of
specific storage
Simplification
of systems
Industrialized
production
2-axial mirror
tracing
High number of
simple heliostats
High Process
Temperatures
High Complexity.
No Modularity.
Increase of
Risk Level
High allowable
ground slope,
Retention of
natural grounds
Homogenization
of operation
(/d, /a, Σ)
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Contents
1. Introduction: Solar Millennium
2. Criteria for Competitiveness
3. Molten Salt Solar Tower Technology: Pros & Cons
4. Summary & Outlook
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1
10
100
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016CESA-1/PSA (1983)
KAM: AlSol
Solar Tower Projects >1MWel
Abengoa:
PS20
Abengoa: PS10
Sener@PSA
Bright Source:
SEDC
Bright Source:
Ivenpah 1-3
Bright Source:
Coyote Springs 1-2, ff.
eSolar:
Sierra Sun Tower
Solar Reserve:
Crossroads
Solar Reserve: Rice
Sener/Masdar:
Gemasolar
Start Production
Electric
Output
(Peak)
[MW] Technology:
• Direct Steam
• Molten Salt
• Air
Filled: Commercial
KAM: Jülich
eSolar: Gaskell I + II
Solar Reserve:
Crescent Dunes
ACME:
Bikaner Phase 1
Themis (1982)
SPP-5 (1985)
Solar
One
(1982)
Abengoa:
Eureka
Solar Two
(1997) ACME:
Bikaner
Sener/Masdar: Abu Dhabi
ESKOM
Solar Reserve:
Alcázar
Solar Towers turning from pilots
to large-scale commercialization.
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Summary
CSP will provide dispatchable power at it’s lowest LCOE possible or
will fail.
Consequently, Solar Millennium’s technology portfolio focuses on
Parabolic troughs with molten salt storage,
Molten salt solar tower,
PV, if no dispatchability is required.
Molten salt solar tower technology has high potential, but also risks.
Solar Millennium’s molten salt solar tower technology is under
development.
DLR is a close partner with outstanding competence.
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Welcome to the Solar Millennium!