Modeling Earthquakes Faults and Statistics
description
Transcript of Modeling Earthquakes Faults and Statistics
![Page 1: Modeling Earthquakes Faults and Statistics](https://reader036.fdocuments.net/reader036/viewer/2022062423/56814ea4550346895dbc4e06/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
Modeling Earthquakes Faults and StatisticsM. O. Robbins & K. M. Salerno, Johns Hopkins University
C. Maloney, Carnegie Mellon UniversityExample of simulations where follow “particles” representing atoms or chunks of solid or fluid
Routine ~106 -107 particles for 107-108 time steps
Reduce long trajectories to a few forces or simple correlation functions
Must redo many times as develop analysis methods.
When do save data, slower to read back than to analyze.
Can’t step backwards because chaotic.
![Page 2: Modeling Earthquakes Faults and Statistics](https://reader036.fdocuments.net/reader036/viewer/2022062423/56814ea4550346895dbc4e06/html5/thumbnails/2.jpg)
Modeling Earthquakes Faults and StatisticsM. O. Robbins & K. M. Salerno, Johns Hopkins University
C. Maloney, Carnegie Mellon UniversityHow do microscopic displacements accommodate total global strain?
How are “earthquakes” distributed in energy, location and time?
What is geometry of fault and nature of sliding on rough faults?
Traditional approaches: Posit planar crack and follow dynamics
Use actual structure, but assume no stress
![Page 3: Modeling Earthquakes Faults and Statistics](https://reader036.fdocuments.net/reader036/viewer/2022062423/56814ea4550346895dbc4e06/html5/thumbnails/3.jpg)
MotivationTextbook picture
of brittle rock failure (from C. Scholz:
The Mechanics of Earthquakes and Faulting)
Vertical compression axis\\ \\
Compression axis
• Experiment: Uniaxial compression of rock
• Otsuki and Dilov JGR 2005
• Scale ~ 20 cm
situation of interest
![Page 4: Modeling Earthquakes Faults and Statistics](https://reader036.fdocuments.net/reader036/viewer/2022062423/56814ea4550346895dbc4e06/html5/thumbnails/4.jpg)
Using atoms to model formation, evolution of strike-slip faults
C.E. Maloney and M.O. RobbinsJohns Hopkins and KITPComputing: UCSB CNSI
![Page 5: Modeling Earthquakes Faults and Statistics](https://reader036.fdocuments.net/reader036/viewer/2022062423/56814ea4550346895dbc4e06/html5/thumbnails/5.jpg)
Motivation
From C. Scholz: The Mechanics of Earthquakes and Faulting
•Surface trace of earthquake in Iceland
•Scale ~ 1km
•From C. ScholzTensile fissures
Push-ups
![Page 6: Modeling Earthquakes Faults and Statistics](https://reader036.fdocuments.net/reader036/viewer/2022062423/56814ea4550346895dbc4e06/html5/thumbnails/6.jpg)
Motivation•San Andreas Fault Network
•Scale ~ 1000 km
SCEC inter-seismic velocity map (displacement since
1984)
![Page 7: Modeling Earthquakes Faults and Statistics](https://reader036.fdocuments.net/reader036/viewer/2022062423/56814ea4550346895dbc4e06/html5/thumbnails/7.jpg)
MethodUsually 2D Molecular Dynamics:•Binary Lennard-Jones Mean diameter •Quenched at pressure p=0•Relative velocity damping (Kelvin/DPD)•Periodic boundaries•Axial, fixed area strain or simple shear•Quasi-static limit, Controlled by not t •Make system brittle by making all initial bonds 4 times stronger
Prescribed Ly(t), Lx(t) to conserve
area
Ly(t)
Lx(t)
![Page 8: Modeling Earthquakes Faults and Statistics](https://reader036.fdocuments.net/reader036/viewer/2022062423/56814ea4550346895dbc4e06/html5/thumbnails/8.jpg)
Nonaffine Particle DisplacementsNon-affine displacement u = deviation from mean motion
Integrate affine displacement along trajectory rather than using value for initial position.
For each particle at each time step find distance moved relative to affine displacement at instantaneous position.
Eliminates terms analogous to Taylor diffusion in simple shear
Ly(t)
Lx(t)
![Page 9: Modeling Earthquakes Faults and Statistics](https://reader036.fdocuments.net/reader036/viewer/2022062423/56814ea4550346895dbc4e06/html5/thumbnails/9.jpg)
Local rotation, ω=uFind Delaunay triangulation for initial particle centers
For each triangle:
Invariants:
ω<0ω>0
“Right Strain” “Left Strain”
![Page 10: Modeling Earthquakes Faults and Statistics](https://reader036.fdocuments.net/reader036/viewer/2022062423/56814ea4550346895dbc4e06/html5/thumbnails/10.jpg)
Mechanism for brittleness
Ductile
Brittle
Str
ess
Strain
Brittle
Ductile
Brittle model: α=4. New bonds 4 times weaker.Ductile model: α=1. No “broken” bonds.
140 p
art
icle
s
patternsform
starts to fail
![Page 11: Modeling Earthquakes Faults and Statistics](https://reader036.fdocuments.net/reader036/viewer/2022062423/56814ea4550346895dbc4e06/html5/thumbnails/11.jpg)
Pressure Induced DuctilityLow pressure more brittle
High pressure more ductile
Strain
Str
ess
High pressure
Low pressure
![Page 12: Modeling Earthquakes Faults and Statistics](https://reader036.fdocuments.net/reader036/viewer/2022062423/56814ea4550346895dbc4e06/html5/thumbnails/12.jpg)
“Earthquakes” in Large Brittle Systems
10x10m AFM image of
clay
Total Shear Strain
Incremental shear
![Page 13: Modeling Earthquakes Faults and Statistics](https://reader036.fdocuments.net/reader036/viewer/2022062423/56814ea4550346895dbc4e06/html5/thumbnails/13.jpg)
![Page 14: Modeling Earthquakes Faults and Statistics](https://reader036.fdocuments.net/reader036/viewer/2022062423/56814ea4550346895dbc4e06/html5/thumbnails/14.jpg)
Shift to Study of Ductile SystemsS
tress
Strain
Brittle
Ductile
patternsform
starts to fail
Steady state strain accommodation
![Page 15: Modeling Earthquakes Faults and Statistics](https://reader036.fdocuments.net/reader036/viewer/2022062423/56814ea4550346895dbc4e06/html5/thumbnails/15.jpg)
Spatial Variation of Nonaffine Displacement u
uxuy
(ux+uy)/√2 (ux-uy)/√2
Components of u during 0.2% strain+ white, - blackStrain localizes in plastic bands → step in total displacement
Largest projection of u along bands ±45ºSign → rotation senseLength up to systemTypical a ~
![Page 16: Modeling Earthquakes Faults and Statistics](https://reader036.fdocuments.net/reader036/viewer/2022062423/56814ea4550346895dbc4e06/html5/thumbnails/16.jpg)
|r|
ω
Strain: 6.0% to 6.1%
6.0% to 6.2%
6.0% to 6.4%
Displacement and in steady stateMost analysis looks at magnitude r=| u | → smallest in plastic bandCurl sharply localized in plastic zone, +/- regions correlate along -/+45ºStrain accumulates to a~ in plastic bands through many avalanches →Displacement ~ allows all regions to find new metastable state Strain over intervals > ~/L occurs in uncorrelated locations
h~L/20
→
![Page 17: Modeling Earthquakes Faults and Statistics](https://reader036.fdocuments.net/reader036/viewer/2022062423/56814ea4550346895dbc4e06/html5/thumbnails/17.jpg)
Displacements Diffusive with DLPlastic band formed in each strain~a/L gives |r|<a/2, add incoherently r2~/(a/L) a2/12 ~ D → D ~ L a/12Consistent with observed D=572 for a=0.7 and for L down to 40
D=572
For , no L dependence
![Page 18: Modeling Earthquakes Faults and Statistics](https://reader036.fdocuments.net/reader036/viewer/2022062423/56814ea4550346895dbc4e06/html5/thumbnails/18.jpg)
Distribution of Vorticity Sharp elastic peak at small Exponential tails at large Weight in tails grows ~linearly with strain
Characteristic for decay ~0.1
Since ~ twice strain, * → 5% strain ~ yield strain
Plastic bands have ~10 sharper localized bands
![Page 19: Modeling Earthquakes Faults and Statistics](https://reader036.fdocuments.net/reader036/viewer/2022062423/56814ea4550346895dbc4e06/html5/thumbnails/19.jpg)
Vorticity Correlation FunctionMean of log S scales as power of wave vector.
Prefactor linear in →Incoherent addition of successive intervals
BUT scaling highly anisotropic
![Page 20: Modeling Earthquakes Faults and Statistics](https://reader036.fdocuments.net/reader036/viewer/2022062423/56814ea4550346895dbc4e06/html5/thumbnails/20.jpg)
Angle Dependence of Structure Factor, Δγ=0.1%
α = a+b cos(4)A = c+d cos(2)
θ=π/8
θ=3π/8
θ=π/8 and θ=3π/8 have same shear stress, different normal stress.Mohr-Coulomb predicts shift to /8
S(q;θ)=A(θ)q-α(θ) Α: broken shear symmetrybigger for planes with low normal loadas predicted by Mohr-Coulomb
![Page 21: Modeling Earthquakes Faults and Statistics](https://reader036.fdocuments.net/reader036/viewer/2022062423/56814ea4550346895dbc4e06/html5/thumbnails/21.jpg)
Angle Dependence of Structure Factor, Δγ=0.1%
α = a+b cos(4)A = c+d cos(2)
θ=π/8
θ=3π/8
θ=π/8 and θ=3π/8 have same shear stress, different normal stress.Mohr-Coulomb predicts shift to /8
S(q;θ)=A(θ)q-α(θ) Α: broken shear symmetrybigger for planes with low normal loadas predicted by Mohr-Coulomb
![Page 22: Modeling Earthquakes Faults and Statistics](https://reader036.fdocuments.net/reader036/viewer/2022062423/56814ea4550346895dbc4e06/html5/thumbnails/22.jpg)
Gutenberg-Richter Law
• Empirically determined scaling between earthquake number and magnitude– log(N) = C – bM
• M = log(E) • Magnitude is the log of the energy released
– Combined gives power law scaling:
• Experimentally verified across regions, magnitude range b ~ 1
N E b
![Page 23: Modeling Earthquakes Faults and Statistics](https://reader036.fdocuments.net/reader036/viewer/2022062423/56814ea4550346895dbc4e06/html5/thumbnails/23.jpg)
Avalanche Distribution
Deformation through series of avalanches
Find energy dissipated = change in potential energy - work done by system.
Drops have wide distribution, 0.03 to 20 here
Identify by sharp rises in dissipation rate.
Dissipation rate/Kinetic energy drops to constant as energy moves to longest wavelengths.
Ratio measures wavelength where have kinetic energy
׀
![Page 24: Modeling Earthquakes Faults and Statistics](https://reader036.fdocuments.net/reader036/viewer/2022062423/56814ea4550346895dbc4e06/html5/thumbnails/24.jpg)
P(E) = Number of Events per Unit Strain per E Reduce strain rate so quasi-static, only affects small events.Find power law P(E)~1/E over 5 decades.P(E) and maximum E increase with system size
P(E)
![Page 25: Modeling Earthquakes Faults and Statistics](https://reader036.fdocuments.net/reader036/viewer/2022062423/56814ea4550346895dbc4e06/html5/thumbnails/25.jpg)
Scaling Collapse of N(E) and E
E*(L/100)
Scale E by Emax ~ L . Find ~1.1N(E/Emax) must scale as L to maintain energy balance
N(E
) (L
/100
)1-
![Page 26: Modeling Earthquakes Faults and Statistics](https://reader036.fdocuments.net/reader036/viewer/2022062423/56814ea4550346895dbc4e06/html5/thumbnails/26.jpg)
Comparison to Scaling of P(E) in Other ModelsSame system but with energy
minimization, not dynamicsExponent ~0.5 for largest systemsLargest size ~3
Overdamped 2D Discrete dislocation model N(E)~E =1.8M.-C. Miguel, A. Vespignani, S. Zapperi, J. Weiss, and J.-R. Grasso, Mater. Sci. Eng., A 309–310, 324 2001.
Why is power law different than Gutenberg-Richter?
3D amorphous metal N(E)~Exp[-E/Lx] x=1.4N. P. Bailey, J. Schiøtz, A. Lemaître, and K. W. Jacobsen, PRL 98, 095501 (2007).
![Page 27: Modeling Earthquakes Faults and Statistics](https://reader036.fdocuments.net/reader036/viewer/2022062423/56814ea4550346895dbc4e06/html5/thumbnails/27.jpg)
Power Law Independent of Potential, Geometry and Thermostat
![Page 28: Modeling Earthquakes Faults and Statistics](https://reader036.fdocuments.net/reader036/viewer/2022062423/56814ea4550346895dbc4e06/html5/thumbnails/28.jpg)
Our Quakes Include Fore and After ShocksHow Does this Affect Statistics?
![Page 29: Modeling Earthquakes Faults and Statistics](https://reader036.fdocuments.net/reader036/viewer/2022062423/56814ea4550346895dbc4e06/html5/thumbnails/29.jpg)
Integrated Density of Quakes Based on Kinetic Energy Large events are broken up. Find integrated density ~ 1/E0.4
![Page 30: Modeling Earthquakes Faults and Statistics](https://reader036.fdocuments.net/reader036/viewer/2022062423/56814ea4550346895dbc4e06/html5/thumbnails/30.jpg)
Conclusions• Strain localizes in plastic bands that extend across system
Typical slip distance along band a~particle diameterTypical thickness h scales with system size ~L/20Several sharper features in h with strain ~5 – 10%
• Non-affine displacement r2~/(a/L) a2/12 ~ D , D~La/12• Strain over short intervals has anisotropic power law correlations
S(|q|,) ~ A() |q|-() where α = a+b cos(4), A = c+d cos(2)Breaking of symmetry for A → Mohr-Coulomb
• Inertial motion seems to lead to qualitative changes in deformation statistics.
• Earthquake probability P(E) ~ 1/E over ~ 5 decadesExponent independent of geometry, interactionsMay depend on how events are broken up