Model Validation & Application for Significant Growth Areas in Florida
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Model Validation & Application for Significant Growth Areas in FloridaPresented by: Myung-Hak Sung
Thursday, May 12, 2011TRB Planning Applications Conference
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State 2000 2030 Percent Change
California 33,872 46,445 37.1Texas 20,852 33,318 59.8New York 18,976 19,477 2.6Florida 15,982 28,686 79.5Illinois 12,419 13,433 8.2Pennsylvania 12,281 12,768 4.0Ohio 11,353 11,551 1.7Michigan 9,938 10,694 7.6New Jersey 8,414 9,802 16.5Georgia 8,186 12,018 46.8United States 281,422 363,584 29.2
Population Projections by State
(In Thousands)
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Florida Population Growth by County
Source: Bureau of Economic and Business Research
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Percent of 2035 Florida Population by County
Source: Bureau of Economic and Business Research
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Tampa Bay Area Workers Per Household
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A Transit Corridor Study Area
Wesley Chapel
VA Hospital
USF
Downtown Tampa
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Gravity Model
Friction Factor
Trip Length
Trip
Pro
babili
ty
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2035 Peak Period Travel Time
Wesley Chapel to Hillsborough
Tim
e (
Min
ute
s)
Number of TAZs in Hillsborough
Congested Time Free Flow Time
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Orientation Ratio - DowntownCTPP Data Model (Original) Model (Updated)
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Orientation Ratio - VA HospitalSurvey Data Model (Original) Model (Updated)
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Orientation Ratio - University of S. Florida
CTPP Data Model (Original) Model (Updated)
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2035 Population Southern Pasco County
Original
Updated
0-500501-3,0003,001-60006,001-9,0009,000+
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2035 Employment Southern Pasco County
Original
Updated
0-500501-2,0002,001-4,0004,001-8,0008,000+
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2035 Daily Work Trips
Wesley Chapel
Downtown Tampa
Wesley Chapel
Downtown Tampa
Original Updated
5,550 1,930
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Questions….?
Good Luck Modeling!!!