Mobile Evolution to 5G - cisco.com · Mobile Evolution to 5G Business drivers and Technology...
Transcript of Mobile Evolution to 5G - cisco.com · Mobile Evolution to 5G Business drivers and Technology...
Mobile Evolution to 5G Business drivers and Technology enablers for 2020 networks
Dirk Wolter, Managing Director, Mobile Architecture, APAC
April, 2015
Internet of Everything
Digitize the World
Connecting:
• People
• Process
• Data
• Things
Introduction: The Evolution of the Internet
Intelligent Connections
Connectivity Digitize Access to
Information
• Web Browser
• Search
Immersive Experiences
Digitize Interactions
(Business & Social)
• Social
• Mobility
• Cloud
• Video
Networked Economy
Digitize Business
Process
• E-commerce
• Digital Supply
Chain
• Collaboration
Business and
Societal Impact
Introduction: The Evolution of Mobile Technology
1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Voice
Digital
Data
IP
IoE
4G – WiMAX. LTE/LTE Advanced
3G – WCDMA/HSPA. CDMA1x/EVDO
2G – GSM/GPRS/EDGE. DAMPS/CDMA
1G – TACS. AMPS
5G – …
R&D
R&D
R&D
R&D
R&D ?
Introduction: Business Transitions
Strategic Options: 1. Smart Utility 2. Platform provider/enabler 3. Diversified player
New
Business Models
• Flexible, usage-based
pricing
• Direct, In-direct and
Pass through
• IoT/IoE
New
Financials
• Faster RoI
• Predictable OpEx
• Start-up innovation
• Agile Dev-ops
New
Competitors
• Global market reach over
the top (OTT)
• Reduced barriers to entry
• Accelerating pace of
innovation
• Services
• Ubiquitous bandwidth (no more cell edge)
• HD video everywhere (up and down)
• Internet of Everything (M2M, M2P & P2P)
• Sensing, Presence and Ad-hoc networking
• Web eco-system of Apps and Services
5G 2020 Vision
1. Higher System Capacity
2. High Data Rates
3. Lower Latency
4. Mass Connectivity
5. Energy Efficient
• 1000x capacity/km2
• 10-100x current 4G rates
• Below 1ms
• 100x connected devices
• 10x Network and Device power savings
• 10x faster time-to-market
Technical Requirements
6. More Agile
Internet of Everything
5G: Pillars Technology Enablers
RAN Diversity
Virtualisation
Lower TCO
Increase Agility
“5 Bars” Service
By the most cost effective access
Provide Business
Solutions
• Cars/Trucks
• Roads
• Appliances sensors
• Digital billboards
• Vending
• Inventory (RFID)
• Office facilities
• Intelligent GPS
• Home security devices
• Home energy devices
• Automated customer notifications
• Auto-translation
• Sponsored data
• Connected Life
• Video cameras
• Television
• Digital signage
• Social media
• Contact center TelePresence as a
Service
Remote Site
Monitoring Service
Targeted
Advertising
2 for 1
Juice BUY
mHealth Order
Refills
Personalized
Traffic report
Smart Health
Internet of Everything Service Providers
M2M
Commerce
Collaboration as a
Service
Intelligent
Diagnostics
Hyper Location
Presence
Connections Impacts
M2M
M2P
P2P
Home Security
Energy Control
World Population (Billion)
6.3 6.8 7.2 7.6
Connected Devices (Billion)
0.5 12.5 25 50
Connected Devices per
Person 0.1 1.8 3.5 6.6
2003 2010 2015 2020
5G Enables the Internet of Everything
3G 4G 5G
More Devices than People
Korea: Mobile Device Growth by Type Smartphones already dominate share, M2M is growth driver
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
M2M (27%,60%)
Smartphones (53%,32%)
Featurephones (17%,4%)
Tablets (2%,2%)
Laptops (1%,0%)
Wearables (0%,1%)
Other Portables (0%,0%)
15% CAGR 2014–2019
Source: Cisco VNI Global Mobile Data Traffic Forecast, 2014–2019
Millions of
Devices
* Figures (n) refer to 2014, 2019 device share
2020:
• 165M Devices
• 230M Connections
• 46M Users
5G: Role of HetNet
Source: 5G Network Capacity, Key Elements and Technologies, Qian (Clara) Li, Huaning Niu, Apostolos (Tolis) Papathanassiou, and Geng Wu, Jan 2014
Last Decade Next Decade
Trends of Network Capacity Growth
Air Interface • Coordinated Multipoint Tx/Rx
• 3-D/Full-Dimensional MIMO
• New Modulation and/or Coding Schemes
Spectrum • More Licensed and Unlicensed Spectrum, Millimetre-
Wave Bands
• Licensed Shared Access
• Unlicensed Spectrum Sharing
Network Devices • Cell Densification
• Wireless Local Area Networks (WLAN) Offloading
• Integrated Multiple Radio Access Technology (RAT)
Operation
• Device-to-Device
• Joint Scheduling
• Information & Communication Technology Coupling
1000x 1000x b/s/m2
~20x
3x - 5x
5x-10x
~25x
1x - 2x
40x-50x
• 5G TCO and flexibility demands Orchestrated software-based virtualised network resources.
• Optimised virtual network functions (NFV) tailored to each application requirements, e.g.
• M2M Telemetry
• M2M Video
• Mobile Internet
• Enterprise Cloud Services
• Public Safety, etc.
• Each configured dynamically (SDN) using transport & compute resources from the same or different sources based on cost & availability.
• Centralised and/or distributed
• Private and/or Public Cloud
5G: The role of SDN and NFV
Service Orchestration
NFV SDN
TelCo Cloud
RAN Diversity
Virtualisation Internet of Things
LTE-M
LAA
Mobile/WiFi
Agg
dSON
cSON
802.11
ac/ad/af CRAN
eANDSF
802.11ah
IoT
Cloud Connect
Universal
Smallcells
eICIC
LoRa
M2M
Zigbee
LTE
Air Interface
Enh
Inter Cloud SDN
NFV
Orchestration
VNFs
VPC, vIMS, Gi-LAN
VoWiFi
Data Centre
Orchestration
Telco Cloud
VoLTE
Unified
Computing System
MANO
Heterogeneous Network
(HetNet) Low Power Wireless Access
(LPWA)
Borderless Networks
Analytics Security
Vertical Solutions
Collaboration
Management
Internet of Everything
GERAN
Enh
Network
Intelligence SaMOG
New
Spectrum
LTE D2D
5G: Technology Enablers from Various Sources
Connectivity
Intelligence & Optimization
Virtualize & Orchestrate
Dynamic Network
Knowledge Network
Mobile Network Evolution 5 Phase Strategy
4
5
1
2
3
Heterogeneous Networks
Analytics & Software Abstraction
Telco Cloud/NFV
Closed loop/SON
Predictive SW
Voice & Messaging Enterprise M2M
Cisco Mobile Internet Architecture
Macro Cells Any G / Any Vendor
Universal Small Cells
ASR5000 Series Packet Core 2G, 3G, LTE, WiFi, Femto, inline Services
ASR900 & 9000 Series Unified Mobile Backhaul TDM, ATM, IP, GE, 10 GE, L3VPN, etc
Wi-Fi APs, Femto, dSON
Universal Monetization Architecture Policy, Orchestration, Abstraction
vIMS Hosted Collaboration Suite
(HCS) IoT Cloud Connect
Access
Services
Network
Heterogeneous
Intelligent
Telco Cloud
Un
ifie
d D
ata
Ce
nte
r IP
/MP
LS
Ba
ckb
on
e
Universal RAN Orchestration Wi-Fi SON ANDSF 3G, LTE cSON
He
tNet
Virtual Packet Core (VPC)
Mobility IQ Analytics
NEW
NEW
NEW
NEW
• 5G is about Evolution not Revolution to a 2020 world
• Mobile first, Video by default, Internet of Everything, Web Apps & Services
• 5G networks will be built on 3 themes:
1. Internet of Everything Enablers
2. RAN Diversity
3. Virtualistion
• Cisco Mobile strategy builds on these to transform 4G networks of today
Summary