M&M:$ Roadmap$to$2018 - mbacasecomp.com · gorural&s emiu rban$:opportunities$$ period’’...

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M&M: Roadmap to 2018 JMSB Consulting Presented to Board Members of Mahindra Samie L.S. Ly Nadim Shamseddine Catherine Sumague Rachel Abourbih

Transcript of M&M:$ Roadmap$to$2018 - mbacasecomp.com · gorural&s emiu rban$:opportunities$$ period’’...

Page 1: M&M:$ Roadmap$to$2018 - mbacasecomp.com · gorural&s emiu rban$:opportunities$$ period’’ agrigdp (rs) workers’ employed’ (million)’ share’of’ agriculture’ gdp’(%)’

M&M:    Roadmap  to  2018  

JMSB  Consulting  Presented  to  Board  Members  of  Mahindra      

Samie  L.S.  Ly    Nadim  Shamseddine    Catherine  Sumague    Rachel  Abourbih  

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How  can  M  &  M  Financial  Services  continue  it’s  growth  in  the  Indian  

market?    

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RECOMMENDATION     ANALYSIS   FINANCIALS   ALTERNATIVES   ACTION  PLAN    

STRATEGIC  RECOMMENDATION    

REMAIN  THE  LEADER  IN  THE  RURAL  AND  SEMI-­‐URBAN  MARKETS    

• Not  saturated  with  market  knowledge    • Lack  of  compeEEon-­‐Stay  in  India      

Focus  on  Rural  and  Semi-­‐Urban    

• Payment  Banks  •  Infrastructure,  home,  crops,  educaEon      

M&M’s  Products    

• Mobility  plaMorms  (APP)      • Online  payment,  Direct  deposits    Technology    

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RECOMMENDATION     ANALYSIS   FINANCIALS   ALTERNATIVES   ACTION  PLAN    

STRATEGIC  RECOMMENDATION    

• Not  saturated  with  market  knowledge    • Lack  of  compeEEon-­‐Stay  in  India      

Focus  on  Rural  and  Semi-­‐Urban    

• Payment  Banks  •  Infrastructure,  home,  crops,  educaEon      

M&M’s  Products    

• Mobility  plaMorms  (APP)      • Online  payment,  Direct  deposits    Technology    

REMAIN  THE  LEADER  IN  THE  RURAL  AND  SEMI-­‐URBAN  MARKETS    

Cost  :  10  Billion  Rs    46  Billion  Rs    by  2018  

Profit  Margin  23%    3Years    

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Analysis  

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RECOMMENDATION     ANALYSIS   FINANCIALS   ALTERNATIVES   ACTION  PLAN    

GO  RURAL  &  SEMI-­‐URBAN  :  OPPORTUNITIES  

URBAN  IS  HIGHLY  COMPETITION  WITH  NO  VALUE  PROPOSITION:    STAY  RURAL  &  SEMI  URBAN    

0  

200  

400  

600  

800  

1000  

1200  

1400  

2001   2011  

Rural     Urban    

PopulaEon  Divide  

Rural     Urban    

833  Million    

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RECOMMENDATION     ANALYSIS   FINANCIALS   ALTERNATIVES   ACTION  PLAN    

GO  RURAL  &  SEMI-­‐URBAN  :OPPORTUNITIES    

PERIOD     AGRI  -­‐  GDP    (RS)  

WORKERS  EMPLOYED  (MILLION)    

SHARE  OF  AGRICULTURE  GDP  (%)  

SHARE  OF  WORKERS  

ENGAGED  IN  AGRI  (%)  

1952-­‐53   162,112   97   56.5   69.8  

1972-­‐73   258,070   126   43.5   68.7  

1992-­‐93   406,404   185   29.3   64.8  

2012-­‐13   745,385   263   14.3   54.6  

WORKERS  EARN  MORE  ,  BUT  OPPORTUNITIES  ARE  RISING  

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RECOMMENDATION     ANALYSIS   FINANCIALS   ALTERNATIVES   ACTION  PLAN    

GO  RURAL:  OPPORTUNITIES  

IT  IS  NOT  TIME  TO  SPREAD  YOURSELF,  THERE  IS  STILL  A  LOT  TO  CAPTURE  

250,000  villages  are  sEll  available  (50%  of  the  market)    

Low  compeEEon  

Good  Understanding  of  the  Market    

Growing  Middle  Class  in  Rural  India  

High  Debt  Countries  (GDP)  South  Korea,  China,  South  Africa    

Highly  leverage  ,  strong  compeEEon    

Lack  of  Understanding  of  the  market    

Plan  for  long  term  ,  not  now    

STAY  IN  INDIA     INTERNATIONAL  –  NOT  NOW    

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RECOMMENDATION     ANALYSIS   FINANCIALS   ALTERNATIVES   ACTION  PLAN    

THE  CUSTOMER  PROFILE    

BUSINESS  PRODUCTS  TOWARD  SEGMENT    

Live  in  widely  scaFered  villages    

Seasonal  Income    

Cash-­‐Based  Economy    

Under  30  Years  Old    EducaPon    

Payment  Bank    

No  Future  Investment  Plan  

Technology  Oriented  

Working  Class  

Family  Businesses  –  Farming  crops    

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RECOMMENDATION     ANALYSIS   FINANCIALS   ALTERNATIVES   ACTION  PLAN    

PAYMENT  BANK  IS  IS  THE  FUTURE  

PRODUCTS  CAN  USE  PAYMENT  BANKING    

Vehicle  Financing    

SME  Financing    

Pre-­‐Owned  Vehicles  

Rural  Personal  Loans  –  

EducaPon    

Technology  Focused    

Housing  Finance  

Mobile  Money  

10  potenPal  compePtors    received  Licenses      

FIRST  MOVER  ADVANTAGE  

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RECOMMENDATION     ANALYSIS   FINANCIALS   ALTERNATIVES   ACTION  PLAN    

STRATEGIC  OVERVIEW    

THESE  ARE  ELEMENTS  THAT  WILL  ENSURE  YOUR  SUCCESS  

Focus  on    Rural  and  Semi-­‐

Urban    M&M  Products   Technology    

Unsaturated  Market  that  you  understand    

EducaEon,  Home,  Crops  Payment  Banks      

Mobility    Work  Force    

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Financial  Analysis  

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RECOMMENDATION     ANALYSIS   FINANCIALS   ALTERNATIVES   ACTION  PLAN    

FINANCIAL  OVERVIEW    

Current  Market  SaturaEon    

Increasing  cost    

Declining  Profit  margins  

Profit  has  been  steadily  declining  

Profit  margin  has  decreased  to  15%  in  2015  

Employee  expense  and  finance  cost  has  outpaced  revenue  growth    

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RECOMMENDATION     ANALYSIS   FINANCIALS   ALTERNATIVES   ACTION  PLAN    

29%  CAGR  REVENUE  GROWTH  OVER  LAST  10  YEARS  

41  46  

13   14  

28  

42   41  

29  

14  

0  

5  

10  

15  

20  

25  

30  

35  

40  

45  

50  

2008   2009   2010   2011   2012   2012   2013   2014   2015  

Annual  Revenue  Growth  

REVENUE  GROWTH  HAS  DECLINED  STEADLIY  OVER  LAST  COUPLE  OF  YEARS  

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RECOMMENDATION     ANALYSIS   FINANCIALS   ALTERNATIVES   ACTION  PLAN    

PROFIT  MARGINS  HAVE  BEEN  DECLINING  

YOU  NEED  TO  REINVENT  YOURSELF  WITH  A  NEW  STRATEGY  

18  16   15   15.6  

22  24  

22   22  

18  15  

0  

5  

10  

15  

20  

25  

30  

2006   2007   2008   2009   2010   2011   2012   2013   2014   2015  

Net  Profit  Margins  

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RECOMMENDATION     ANALYSIS   FINANCIALS   ALTERNATIVES   ACTION  PLAN    

EMPLOYEE  EXPENSES  &  FINANCE  COST  HAVE  OUTPACED  REVENUE  GROWTH  

YOUR  MARGINS  ARE  BEING  SQUEEZED,  TIME  TO  RETHINK  YOUR  STRATEGY  

29  

33  

31  

27  

28  

29  

30  

31  

32  

33  

34  

CAGR  over  last  10  years  

RENEVUE   EMPLOYEE  EXPENSES   FINANCE  COSTS  

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RECOMMENDATION     ANALYSIS   FINANCIALS   ALTERNATIVES   ACTION  PLAN    

CURRENT  RATIO  HAS  BECOME  CRITICALLY  LOW  

NEED  TO  MOVE  BEYOND  CURRENT  MARKET  TO  LOOK  FOR  GOOD  LOAN  OPPORTUNITIES  

1  

1.1  

1.2  

1.3  

1.4  

1.5  

1.6  

1.7  

2011   2012   2013   2014   2015  

CURRENT  RATIO  

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RECOMMENDATION     ANALYSIS   FINANCIALS   ALTERNATIVES   ACTION  PLAN    

HIGH  NUMBER  OF  EMPLOYEES  COMPARED  TO  COMPETITORS  

YOU  HAVE  AN  OPPORTUNITY  TO  IMPROVE  THROUGH  THE  USE  OF  TECHNOLOGY  

0  

2  

4  

6  

8  

10  

12  

BAJAJ  FINANCE   SUNDARAM  FINANCE   SHRIRAM  TRANS.   RELIANCE  CAPITAL   MAHINDRA  FINANCE  

REVENUE  PER  EMPLOYEE  -­‐  M  Rs  -­‐  2015  

BAJAJ  FINANCE   SUNDARAM  FINANCE   SHRIRAM  TRANS.   RELIANCE  CAPITAL   MAHINDRA  FINANCE  

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Alternatives  

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RECOMMENDATION     ANALYSIS   FINANCIALS   ALTERNATIVES   ACTION  PLAN    

STRATEGIC  POSITIONING  ASSESSMENT  

RURAL  &  SEMI-­‐URBAN  MARKETS    

Not  saturated   Market  knowledge   Under  30  

CONTINUE  TO  GROW!  

Explosion  of  digital  technology   Payment  bank  iniEaEve   Rural  &  semi-­‐urban  areas  

COMPETITIVE  ADVANTAGES  

Geographic  penetraPon   Pioneer  &  leader   Trusted  brand   Current  customer  

profile  saturated  

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RECOMMENDATION     ANALYSIS   FINANCIALS   ALTERNATIVES   ACTION  PLAN    

STRATEGIC  POSITIONING  ASSESSMENT  

RURAL  &  SEMI-­‐URBAN  MARKETS    

Not  saturated   Market  knowledge   Under  30  

CONTINUE  TO  GROW!  

Explosion  of  digital  technology   Payment  bank  iniPaPve   Rural  &  semi-­‐urban  areas  

COMPETITIVE  ADVANTAGES  

Geographic  penetraPon   Pioneer  &  leader   Trusted  brand   Current  customer  

profile  saturated  

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RECOMMENDATION     ANALYSIS   FINANCIALS   ALTERNATIVES   ACTION  PLAN    

STRATEGIC  POSITIONING  ASSESSMENT  

ROOM  TO  GROW!  

RURAL  &  SEMI-­‐URBAN  MARKETS    

Not  saturated   Market  knowledge   Under  30  

CONTINUE  TO  GROW!  

Explosion  of  digital  technology   Payment  bank  iniPaPve   Rural  &  semi-­‐urban  areas  

COMPETITIVE  ADVANTAGES  

Geographic  penetraPon   Pioneer  &  leader   Trusted  brand   Current  customer  

profile  saturated  

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RECOMMENDATION     ANALYSIS   FINANCIALS   ALTERNATIVES   ACTION  PLAN    

OPTIONS    OpEon  1:  

Leverage  technology,  push  payment  bank  &  penetrate  urban  areas  

 

Med  

Med  

High  

Difficult  

 OpEon  2:  

Leverage  technology,  push  payment  bank  &  penetrate  internaEonal  

markets      

High  

Low  

High  

Difficult  

 OpEon  3:  

Leverage  technology,  push  payment  bank  &  conEnue  focus  in  rural  &  semi-­‐urban  areas  

   Low  

High  

Low  

Accessible  

Capital  Expenditure  

Market  Knowledge  

CompeEEon  

Market  PenetraEon  

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RECOMMENDATION     ANALYSIS   FINANCIALS   ALTERNATIVES   ACTION  PLAN    

OPTIONS    OpEon  1:  

Leverage  technology,  push  payment  bank  &  penetrate  urban  areas  

 

Med  

Med  

High  

Difficult  

 OpEon  2:  

Leverage  technology,  push  payment  bank  &  penetrate  internaEonal  

markets      

High  

Low  

High  

Difficult  

 OpEon  3:  

Leverage  technology,  push  payment  bank  &  conEnue  focus  in  rural  &  semi-­‐urban  areas  

   Low  

High  

Low  

Accessible  

Capital  Expenditure  

Market  Knowledge  

CompeEEon  

Market  PenetraEon  

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RECOMMENDATION     ANALYSIS   FINANCIALS   ALTERNATIVES   ACTION  PLAN    

OPTIONS  OpEon  1:  

Leverage  technology,  push  payment  bank  &  penetrate  urban  areas  

 

Med  

Med  

High  

Difficult  

 OpEon  2:  

Leverage  technology,  push  payment  bank  &  penetrate  internaEonal  

markets      

High  

Low  

High  

Difficult  

 OpEon  3:  

Leverage  technology,  push  payment  bank  &  conEnue  focus  in  rural  &  semi-­‐urban  areas  

   Low  

High  

Low  

Accessible  

THE  RIGHT  FOCUS  &  LEVERAGING  TECHNOLOGY  IS  KEY    

Capital  Expenditure  

Market  Knowledge  

CompeEEon  

Market  PenetraEon  

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RECOMMENDATION     ANALYSIS   FINANCIALS   ALTERNATIVES   ACTION  PLAN    

RISK  &  MITIGATION  STRATEGIES  

CompeEEon  moves  in    

Protect  market  by  conEnuing  to  

customize  products    

Strong  markeEng  push    

Seasonality  (ex.  dry  season)  

Seasonal  contracts  for  employees  

Employee  Eme-­‐share  

Revenue  growth  misses  projecEon  

Lower  loan  rates  

Look  for  internaEonal  opportuniEes  

RISKS   MITIGATION   CONTINGENCY    

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RECOMMENDATION     ANALYSIS   FINANCIALS   ALTERNATIVES   ACTION  PLAN    

STRATEGIC  RECOMMENDATION    

• Not  saturated  with  market  knowledge    • Lack  of  compeEEon-­‐Stay  in  India      

Focus  on  Rural  and  Semi-­‐Urban    

• Payment  Banks  •  Infrastructure,  home,  crops,  educaEon      

M&M’s  Products    

• Mobility  plaMorms  (APP)      • Online  payment,  Direct  deposits    Technology    

REMAIN  THE  LEADER  IN  THE  RURAL  AND  SEMI-­‐URBAN  MARKETS    

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Action  Plan    

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RECOMMENDATION     ANALYSIS   FINANCIALS   ALTERNATIVES   ACTION  PLAN    

TIMELINE  AT  A  GLANCE  SHORT  TERM  (1  YEAR)  

MEDIUM  TERM  (2  YEAR)  

LONG  TERM  (3  YEAR)    

MAHINDRA’S  PATH  TO  CONTINUED  GROWTH  

Mahindra  Payment  

Mobile  Technology  

MarkeEng  Campaign  

Rural  Market  PenetraEon  

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RECOMMENDATION     ANALYSIS   FINANCIALS   ALTERNATIVES   ACTION  PLAN    

M&M  ORGANIZATIONAL  STRUCTURE  

M&M  Mahindra  Finance   Mahindra  IT  

Mahindra  Automobile  

Mahindra  Aerospace  

CAPITALIZE  ON  NEW  OPPORTUNITIES  IN  PAYMENT  BANK  MARKET  

Mahindra  Payment  

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RECOMMENDATION     ANALYSIS   FINANCIALS   ALTERNATIVES   ACTION  PLAN    

NEW  MARKETS  THROUGH  TECHNOLOGY  

Mahindra  Payment  

Mobile  App  

MoboMoney  

Tap  N  Pay  

Direct  Deposit  

LEVERAGE  M&M  GROUP  SYNERGIES  AND  LEAD  THE  CHARGE  OF  DIGITAL  INDIA  

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RECOMMENDATION     ANALYSIS   FINANCIALS   ALTERNATIVES   ACTION  PLAN    

MAHINDRA  PAYMENT  TARGET  CUSTOMER  Average  age  under  30  

Access  to  communicaEons  technology  

No  access  to  financial  products  

Present  on  social  media  

Rural  or  semi-­‐urban  dweller  

UNDERSTAND  YOUR  CUSTOMER  TO  ANTICIPATE  THEIR  DEMANDS  

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RECOMMENDATION     ANALYSIS   FINANCIALS   ALTERNATIVES   ACTION  PLAN    

REACHING  YOUR  TARGET  CUSTOMER  

•  Celebrity  influencers  (eg.  Star  cricket  player)  •  Sponsor  sports  teams  •  Instagram,  Twioer,  Facebook  

Social  Media  

•  Sports  and  news  apps  •  Gaming  devices  

Web    Ads  

•  University  events  •  Favorable  rates  for  educaEon  loans  

EducaEonal  InsEtuEons  

WORD  OF  MOUTH  IS  KEY  TO  REACHING  TARGET  CUSTOMER  

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RECOMMENDATION     ANALYSIS   FINANCIALS   ALTERNATIVES   ACTION  PLAN    

MAHINDRA  PAYMENT  FINANCIAL  SERVICES  

SATISFY  THE  NEEDS  OF  YOUR  RURAL  CUSTOMERS  

Direct  Deposit  

Agricultural  loans  &  subsidies  

EducaEon  loans  

Bill  Payment  

TuiEon    Fees  

Mobile  Fees  

Mahindra  Loan  

Repayments  

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RECOMMENDATION     ANALYSIS   FINANCIALS   ALTERNATIVES   ACTION  PLAN    

CHANGES  TO  ENABLE  MAHINDRA’S  DIGITAL  INDIA  

• CreaEon,  development  and  maintenance  •  Training  • Cultural  changes  

InformaEon  Technology  

• ReducEon  in  manpower  •  Part-­‐Eme  employee  for  seasonality  

Human  Capital  

• Uniform  technology  plaMorm  •  Knowledge  sharing  •  Technology  Taskforce  integraEng  Mahindra  Finance  &  Mahindra  Payment  

Corporate  Governance  

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RECOMMENDATION     ANALYSIS   FINANCIALS   ALTERNATIVES   ACTION  PLAN    

RURAL  VILLAGE  PENETRATION  

PENETRATE  THE  RURAL  MARKET  THROUGH  TECHNOLOGY    

250,000  Villages  

Current  Year  1:    

40,000  villages  

Year  2:    65,000  villages  

Year  3:    105,000  villages  

Goal  

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RECOMMENDATION     ANALYSIS   FINANCIALS   ALTERNATIVES   ACTION  PLAN    

MAHINDRA  FINANCE  FUTURE  OPPORTUNITIES  

Infrastructure  Loans  

Home  Loans  

Crop  Insurance  

EducaEon  Loans  

GOVERNMENT  INVESTMENT  PRESENTS  SIGNIFICANT  MARKET  OPPERTUNITIES  

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Financial  Projections  

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RECOMMENDATION     ANALYSIS   FINANCIALS   ALTERNATIVES   ACTION  PLAN    

FINANCIAL  OVERVIEW    

Market  PenetraEon  

Cost    Improvement  

Profit  OpEmizaEon  

210,000  villages  in  3  years  

Profit  to  reach  Rs.  46B  in  2018  Profit  Margin  has  been  improved  

to  23%    

Revenue  growth  to  outpace  employee  expenses  and  finance  

costs    

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RECOMMENDATION     ANALYSIS   FINANCIALS   ALTERNATIVES   ACTION  PLAN    

COST  ANALYSIS  Cost   Item  

Year  1:    CreaEon  of  Mahindra  Payment  Mobile  App  MarkeEng  Training  

 1.5B  1.5B  0.5B  0.5B  

Year  2:    Mobile  App  New  Markets  MarkeEng  

 1B  2B  0.5B  

Year  3:  Technology  New  markets  MarkeEng  

 1B  1B  0.5B  

TOTAL  COST  10  BILLION  INVESTMENT  OVER  3  YEARS    

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RECOMMENDATION     ANALYSIS   FINANCIALS   ALTERNATIVES   ACTION  PLAN    

ADDITIONAL  REVENUE  SOURCES  ADD  TO  TOP-­‐LINE  

SAVINGS  IN  EMPLOYEES  AND  FINANCIAL  COSTS  IMPROVE  BOTTOM  LINE  

Year   2015   2016   2017   2018  Revenue  From  Current  OperaEons   60211   66232   72855   80140  

Revenue  from  new  villages   -­‐   166082   43575   87150  

Revenue  from  new  services   -­‐   10000   15000   20000  

Total  Revenue   60211   92840   131430   187351  

Employee  Expenses   5671   7071   9000   11585  

Finance  Cost   26430   34359   45000   58066  

All  other  cost   14509   18613   24260   31292  

Total  Expenses   46610   60043   78260   100943  

Profit  before  tax   13999   32797   53170   86340  

Tax   4750   10823   21170   40349  

Profit   9129   21974   32000   46000  

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RECOMMENDATION     ANALYSIS   FINANCIALS   ALTERNATIVES   ACTION  PLAN    

REVENUE  GROWTH  OUTPACE  EXPENSES  

POWERFUL  OPPORTUNITY  TO  IMPROVE  BOTTOM  LINE  

40  

28  30  

0  

5  

10  

15  

20  

25  

30  

35  

40  

45  

CAGR  over  next  3  years  

RENEVUE   EMPLOYEE  EXPENSES   FINANCE  COSTS  

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Question  &  Answers  Thank  you!