Misperception, Self-Deception and Information...

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CLAYTON SCHOOL OF INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY Misperception, Self-Deception and Information Warfare Lachlan Brumley, Carlo Kopp and Kevin Korb Clayton School of Information Technology, Monash University, Australia email: [email protected], [email protected], [email protected]

Transcript of Misperception, Self-Deception and Information...

Page 1: Misperception, Self-Deception and Information Warfareusers.monash.edu/~carlo/InfoWar/Lectures/IWAR-2005-LB-Slides.pdf · CLAYTON SCHOOL OF INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY Misperception, Self-Deception

CLAYTON SCHOOL OF INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY

Misperception, Self-Deception andInformation Warfare

Lachlan Brumley, Carlo Kopp and Kevin Korb

Clayton School of Information Technology,Monash University, Australiaemail: [email protected], [email protected],

[email protected]

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Overview

• Information Warfare strategies

• OODA loop model

• Misperception, Deception and Self-Deception explained in terms of

the OODA loop model and Information Warfare strategies

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Information Warfare Strategies

The canonical Information Warfare strategies are as follows:

1. Degradation or Destruction / Denial of Information

2. Corruption / Deception and Mimicry

3. Denial [1] / Disruption and Destruction

4. Denial [2] / Subversion

5. Exploitation

Exploitation is not considered to be an IW strategy, as it does not

manipulate the information channel. However it has been included here

for completeness.

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Decision - Action Models

• Information Warfare/Strategy - OODA Loop (Boyd)

• Psychology - Perception Action Cycle (Neisser)

• Psychology - Human Action Cycle (Norman)

• Artificial Intelligence, Robotics - Perception Action Loop (Russell

and Norvig)

Two things that these models all have in common:

1. Event Loop. In all these models, the individual gathers and analyses

information, then decides what to do and finally does it

2. Feedback. Actions from past decision cycles alter the world, the

results of which are observed in present and future decision cycles

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Boyd’s OODA Loop

World

Observation Orientation

DecisionAction

Model of the World

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Boyd’s OODA Loop

World

Observation Orientation

DecisionAction

Model of the World

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Boyd’s OODA Loop

World

Observation Orientation

DecisionAction

Model of the World

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Boyd’s OODA Loop

World

Observation Orientation

DecisionAction

Model of the World

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Boyd’s OODA Loop

World

Observation Orientation

DecisionAction

Model of the World

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Boyd’s OODA Loop

World

Observation Orientation

DecisionAction

Model of the World

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Boyd’s OODA Loop

World

Observation Orientation

DecisionAction

Model of the World

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Deception

• Deception is another label for the Corruption Information Warfare

strategy

• During a Deception attempt the Attacker corrupts information that

will be perceived by the Defender

• The corrupted information is intended to alter the Defender’s model

of the world

• If the deception succeeds the Defender integrates the new corrupted

information into their model of the world

• Decisions and Actions made by the Defender based on its corrupted

model of the world will benefit the Attacker

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Deception and the OODA loop

RoadrunnerCoyote

Action

Model of

Decision Action

World

ObservationOrientation

Observation Orientation

Model ofthe world

Decision

the world

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Deception and the OODA loop

RoadrunnerCoyote

Action

Model of

Decision Action

ObservationOrientation

World

Observation Orientation

Model ofthe world

Decision

the world

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Deception and the OODA loop

RoadrunnerCoyote

Action

Model of

Decision Action

World

ObservationOrientation

Observation Orientation

Model ofthe world

Decision

the world

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Deception and the OODA loop

RoadrunnerCoyote

Action

Model of

Decision Action

World

ObservationOrientation

Observation Orientation

Model ofthe world

Decision

the world

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Deception and the OODA loop

RoadrunnerCoyote World Model ofthe world

DecisionAction

Observation OrientationAction

Model of

Decision

Orientation Observation

the world

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Deception and the OODA loop

RoadrunnerCoyote

Observation

Model ofthe world

Orientation

Decision Action Observation Orientation

Decision

Model of

Action

Worldthe world

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Deception and the OODA loop

RoadrunnerCoyote

Observation

Model ofthe world

Orientation

Decision Action Observation Orientation

Decision

Model of

Action

Worldthe world

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MisperceptionThere are two potential causes of an individual’s misperception:

1. Malfunctioning information receiver

• Occurs during the Observation step of the OODA loop

• An information receiver could be eyes, ears, a radar receiver, a

video camera

• The malfunction could be due to an IW attack against the infor-

mation receiver (Denial [1] / Disruption and Destruction) or due

to other causes

2. Existing bias or flawed analysis methods

• Occurs during the Orientation step of the OODA loop

• Prevents the correct interpretation or integration of the new in-

formation

Page 21: Misperception, Self-Deception and Information Warfareusers.monash.edu/~carlo/InfoWar/Lectures/IWAR-2005-LB-Slides.pdf · CLAYTON SCHOOL OF INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY Misperception, Self-Deception

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Misperception and the OODA loop

CoyoteWorld

Observation Orientation

DecisionAction

Model of the World

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Misperception and the OODA loop

CoyoteWorld

Observation Orientation

DecisionAction

Model of the World

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Misperception and the OODA loop

CoyoteWorld

Observation Orientation

DecisionAction

Model of the World

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Misperception and the OODA loop

CoyoteWorld

Observation Orientation

DecisionAction

Model of the World

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Misperception and the OODA loop

CoyoteWorld

Observation Orientation

DecisionAction

Model of the World

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Misperception and the OODA loop

CoyoteWorld

Observation Orientation

DecisionAction

Model of the World

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Self-Deception• Self-Deception is a special type of Deception where the Attacker and

the Defender are the same entity

• There are two different proposals for how self-deception may aid the

self-deceiver

1. Self-Deception used to aid Deception (Trivers)

2. Self-Deception used to hide information that will be harmful if

perceived (Ramachandran)

• It is not necessary that a Self-Deceiver benefits from their Self-

Deception. An individual may use Self-Deception to create a model

of the world that is greatly different from reality. Decisions and Ac-

tions made based upon this model will not have the effects intended

by the Self-Deceiver

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Self-Deception (1)

Self-Deception aiding deception

• The Attacker (Self-Deceiver) intentionally adds corrupted informa-

tion to their perceived model of the world

• The Attacker then allows the Defender (Deception Victim) to per-

ceive the corrupted information, as in normal Deception

• The Defender will also perceive the Attacker’s behaviour, which will

indicate that they believe the corrupted information. This will in-

crease the chance that the Defender will be deceived by the corrupted

information

• The Attacker can later remove the corrupted information from their

world model and then take advantage of the Defender’s actions

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Self-Deception and the OODA loop

Roadrunner Coyote

Action

Worldthe world

ObservationOrientation

the world

Decision Action

Model of Model of

Observation Orientation

Decision

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Self-Deception and the OODA loop

Roadrunner Coyote

Decision

Model of

Decision Action

World

ObservationOrientation Action

Observation Orientation

Model ofthe worldthe world

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Self-Deception and the OODA loop

Roadrunner Coyotethe world

Model of

Decision Action

ObservationOrientation

World

Observation

Action Decision

Orientation

Model ofthe world

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Self-Deception and the OODA loop

Roadrunner Coyote Model ofModel of

Decision Action

World

ObservationOrientation Action

Observation Orientation

Decision

the worldthe world

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Self-Deception and the OODA loop

Roadrunner Coyote

Action

the world

Decision Action

ObservationOrientation

World

Observation Orientation

Model ofthe world

Decision

Model of

Page 34: Misperception, Self-Deception and Information Warfareusers.monash.edu/~carlo/InfoWar/Lectures/IWAR-2005-LB-Slides.pdf · CLAYTON SCHOOL OF INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY Misperception, Self-Deception

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Self-Deception and the OODA loop

Roadrunner Coyote

Action

Model of

Decision Action

ObservationOrientation

World

Observation Orientation

Model ofthe world

Decision

the world

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Self-Deception and the OODA loop

Roadrunner Coyote

Action

Model of

Decision Action

Orientation Observation

World

Observation Orientation

Model ofthe world

Decision

the world

Page 36: Misperception, Self-Deception and Information Warfareusers.monash.edu/~carlo/InfoWar/Lectures/IWAR-2005-LB-Slides.pdf · CLAYTON SCHOOL OF INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY Misperception, Self-Deception

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Self-Deception and the OODA loop

Roadrunner Coyote

Decision

Model of

Decision Action

World

ObservationOrientation Action

Observation Orientation

Model ofthe worldthe world

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Self-Deception and the OODA loop

Roadrunner Coyote

Action

Model of

Decision Action

ObservationOrientation

World

Observation Orientation

Model ofthe world

Decision

the world

Page 38: Misperception, Self-Deception and Information Warfareusers.monash.edu/~carlo/InfoWar/Lectures/IWAR-2005-LB-Slides.pdf · CLAYTON SCHOOL OF INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY Misperception, Self-Deception

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Self-Deception and the OODA loop

Roadrunner CoyoteWorldthe worldModel of

Decision Action

Observation Action Decision

the worldModel of

OrientationObservation

Orientation

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Self-Deception and the OODA loop

Roadrunner Coyote

Decision

the worldModel of

Decision Action

World

Observation Action

Observation Orientation

Model ofthe world

Orientation

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Self-Deception and the OODA loop

Roadrunner Coyote

Decision

the worldModel of

Decision Action

World

Observation Action

Observation Orientation

Model ofthe world

Orientation

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Self-Deception (2)

Self-Deception used to hide information that will be harmful if per-

ceived

• The Self-Deceiver is unable to integrate or process this information,

as it is incompatible with their perceived model of the world

• The Self-Deceiver is then forced to Corrupt the new information and

their own model of the world until the two are compatible. Then

the new information can be successfully integrated

• The danger of using this behaviour is that the Self-Deceiver’s model

of the world becomes more inaccurate, increasing the chance of

future Misperception

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Self-Deception and the OODA loop

Coyotethe World

Observation Orientation

WorldModel of

DecisionAction

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Self-Deception and the OODA loop

Coyote Model of

Observation Orientation

World the World

DecisionAction

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Self-Deception and the OODA loop

Coyote Model of

Observation Orientation

World the World

DecisionAction

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Self-Deception and the OODA loop

Coyote Model of

Observation Orientation

World the World

DecisionAction

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Self-Deception and the OODA loop

Coyote Model of

Observation Orientation

World the World

DecisionAction

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Self-Deception and the OODA loop

Coyote Model of

Observation Orientation

World the World

DecisionAction

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Summary

• Demonstrated how Misperception, Deception and Self-Deception

can be modelled in terms of the OODA loop

• Misperception, Deception and Self-Deception each may be caused

by the use of an Information Warfare attack

• Cyclic Decision - Action models with feedback demonstrate how

information used in previous decision iterations can affect present

and future decisions

• Information Warfare strategies allow individuals to affect their own

perceived world state and that of their opponents

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Questions?