METEOALARM Weather and natural hazards warnings Michael Staudinger
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Transcript of METEOALARM Weather and natural hazards warnings Michael Staudinger
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METEOALARM Weather and natural hazards warningsMichael Staudinger
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One dimensional situation
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Tourism - numbers
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Tourism - numbers
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Tourism - numbers
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METEOALARM operational maps for today + tomorrow
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METEOALARM operational maps for today + tomorrow
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METEOALARM operational maps for today + tomorrow
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METEOALARM operational maps for today + tomorrow
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3rd level information
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METEOALARM warning scheduleRedagno 2006
Damage / Impact What to do? Used how often?
(Area approx.
300 000 km2)
Meteo Treshholds
Rainarea + damage related
Green - - - usual phenomena Examples
yellow exposed objects
(avoidable)
caution with exposed activities
> 30 per year > 54 mm/12h
orange general damages
(not avoidable)
keep informed in detail, follow advice of authorities
1 to 30 per year > 80 mm/12h
red extreme damage and /or casualties
extreme damage (mostly) on large areas, threatning life and properties(not avoidable, even in otherwise safe places)
follow order of authorities under all circumstances
be prepared for extraordinary measures
less then 1 year
+ large (5000km2) scale phenomena
> 140 mm/12h
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METEOALARM warning scheduleRedagno 2006
Damage / Impact What to do? One word
Green - - - usual phenomena Weather reportyellow exposed objects
(avoidable)
caution with exposed activities
Be aware!
orange general damages
(not avoidable)
keep informed in detail, follow advice of authorities
Be prepared!
red extreme damage and /or casualties
extreme damage (mostly) on large areas, threatning life and properties(not avoidable, even in otherwise safe places)
follow order of authorities under all circumstances
be prepared for extraordinary measures
Take action!
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Access to the METEOALARM Website
Hits up to 12 Mio/day
(~1 billion since start)
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Statistics August 2007 – April 2008
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Feedback from users:
System well understandable both by professionals and public
Most common requests:
1 Extension of warned parametersFlood forecastsCoastal sea area forecasts
2 Direct input in other info systems RSS feeds, CAP etc.
3 More participating countries (Eastern Europe)
4 „Europe of regions“
5 Longer time periods for the warnings
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1.1 Flood forecasts Austria
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Combination of different input sources:
Numerical Models
Know How of the Forecasters
INCA – Nowcasting tool
Hydro model interface
Optimized Forecasts
Hydro model
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1.1 Decision team for „red“ (flood)
Senior forecaster (teamleader)
Hydrologist
Board of institution
Expert on climate conditions
Media expert
Civil protection
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1.1 Flood forecasts Austria
Flood warning for Carinthia: local floodings expected from the afternoon onwards
Rain and/or floods
Flood information:
<< link Meteo
<< link Hydro
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1.2 Coastal sea area warnings
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1.2 Coastal sea area warnings
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1.2 Coastal sea area warnings
Experiences:
High number of accidents of weekend sailors & limited experience
Warning products already existing, but not known across boarders
Simple colour code brings attention for further info
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1.2 Coastal sea area warnings - coastal zones
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1.2 Coastal sea area warnings - coastal zones
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1.2 Coastal sea area warnings: Warning scheme
Limits of wind speedDescription of wind condition In
lan
d/s
hel
tere
d s
ea
coas
ts
Op
en o
cean
co
asts
Beaufort scale Knots m/s
<6 <22 <10.8 Calm-Fresh breeze
6 22-27 10.8-13.8 Strong breeze
7 28-27 13.9.-17.1 Near Gale
8 34-40 17.2-20.7 Gale
9 41-47 20.8-24.4 Severe Gale
10 48-55- 24.5-28.4 Storm
11 56-63 28.5.-32.6 Violent storm
12 64 32.7 Hurricane
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2. Input in other Info systems:
RSS feeds
CAP
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2. Input in other Info systems:
RSS feeds
CAP
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2. More participating countries:
Joined after project start
Operational: In technical preparation:
Slovakia Malta Czech Republic Croatia Slovenia Serbia Poland Estonia Romania Latvia
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2. More participating countries:
Necessities for new partners:
EUMETNET Council agreement
Agreement with national Civil Protection
Quality control
Quality assurance
Cooperation with the MeteoAlarm forecasters / expert group
Technical abilities (GIS / XML etc.)
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4. Europe of regions
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Many thanks for your attention!