Merrill Lynch Banking & Insurance CEO ... - Prudential plc/media/Files/P/... · Prudential is...

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Merrill Lynch Banking & Insurance CEO Conference Delivering Growth in a Riskier World Mark Tucker, Prudential plc, Group Chief Executive October 2007

Transcript of Merrill Lynch Banking & Insurance CEO ... - Prudential plc/media/Files/P/... · Prudential is...

Page 1: Merrill Lynch Banking & Insurance CEO ... - Prudential plc/media/Files/P/... · Prudential is well-positioned to capture the opportunity • A network of 350,000 agents in Asia; established

Merrill Lynch Banking & Insurance CEO Conference

Delivering Growth in a Riskier World

Mark Tucker, Prudential plc, Group Chief Executive

October 2007

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Agenda

• Overview of the Group

• The retirement opportunity

• Positioning ourselves for success

• Conclusions

DC Schemes

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Overview of the Group

DC Schemes

• Strong heritage from leadership in UK life insurance

• Building our global presence and Group capabilities

• Driving performance across an international Group

Where we have come from The Group today

AssetManagementInsurance

Asset ManagementAsset ManagementAsia

UK

US

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1. Constant exchange rates, continuing operations before tax 2. Excludes proceeds from the sale of Egg £527 million 4

Overview of the GroupContinued delivery and momentum

£34m2£(104)m£(298)mHolding Company operating cash flow inflow/(outflow)

+27%+15%+42%IFRS operating profit growth1

+39%+28%+36%EEV operating profit growth1

HY0720062005

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Overview of the GroupDriven by strong margins and returns in life businesses

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1,000

1,100

2004 2005 2006 HY07

Asia US UK

£m

CAGR 18%

Value added by new business

UK

US

Asia

Internal rate of return:

15%14%12%

18%15%12%

>20%>20%>20%

200620052004

42%41%40%Group average

200620052004

Margin:

15%

18%

>20%

HY 2007

40%

HY 2007

12% YOY growth

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Note: Data as at 31 December 2006 (excl Egg). Economic required capital – AA target confidence level6

Overview of the GroupSupported by real economic and operating benefits of the Group

Systematic risk and capital management

4.5

1.6

2.9

0

1

2

3

4

5

Available capital Required capital afterdiversif ication

Diversif ied surplus

£1.3 bn geographic diversification benefit

Other benefits

• Demand-side collaboration

• Exploiting the benefits of scale

• World-class standards & practices

£bn

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Source: Thomson Datastream (TSR Data)7

Overview of the GroupDelivering superior shareholder value

Total shareholder returns since May 2005Cash and dividends

• Group is now cashflowpositive, one year ahead of schedule

• Focus on delivering a growing dividend; growth 5% in 2006 and at interim 2007

• Two-times cover in medium-term

90

100

110

120

130

140

150

160

170

180

190

May-05

Sep-05

Jan-0

6

May-06

Sep-06

Jan-0

7

May-07

Sep-07

Prudential FTSE 100 MSCI World Insurance

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Population projection source: Global Demographics July 2007 Asia population data - estimates for Prudential's 12 markets8

0

5

10

15

20

25

2005 2010 2015 2020 2025

The global retirement opportunityThe largest wave of money-in-motion in history

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

2005 2010 2015 2020 2025

0

200

400

600

800

2005 2010 2015 2020 2025

• Estimated £7 trillion of assets in the UK and US moving in to the retirement market over the next five years

• Significant retirement opportunity in Asia

UK – Projection of population aged 55+Asia – projection of population aged 55+

US – Projection of population aged 55+Million

MillionMillion

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The global retirement opportunityMeeting the needs of the ‘retirement’ consumer

Need for more long term savings

Need for income and protection in retirement

Changing dynamics

1.Increased longevity

2.More active retirement

3.Drag in realignment of retirement date expectations

4.Underestimating the savings required for retirement – demise of defined benefit

5.Increased cost of long-term care

6.Reduction and withdrawal of state pension benefits

7.Protection of purchasing power

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The global retirement opportunityPrudential is well-positioned to capture the opportunity

• A network of 350,000 agents in Asia; established and fast growing non-agency distribution

• Powerful advice-based distribution in the US• Diversified distribution in the UK; segmentation of IFAs

Access

• Track record of delivering innovative solutions across the financial life cycle – accumulation, transition and decumulationProduct

• Risk management – longevity, mortality, investment• Asset allocation capability – strong returns with low volatility• Customer Management

Skills

• Trusted and well-established as a leader in retirement• Strong retail presence in both UK and Asia• Superior business reputation in US broker channel

Brand

Prudential’s advantaged positioningWhat it will take

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1) India: Share of Private Market 2) China: Share of foreign JV's11

Positioning ourselves for successAsia Insurance: A unique platform for doubling 2005 NBP by 2009

Asia new business by channel

433%35Japan

18%13Korea

78%10Thailand

103%9Taiwan

34%5Philippines

45%3Hong Kong

10%2Malaysia

57%2China2

6%1Vietnam

57%1Indonesia

27%1Singapore

54%1India1

APE Growth H12007

Position Market Share

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1000

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 HY07

Agency Non-Agency

CAGR 36% over 5 years

CAGR 18% over 5 years

APE£m

48% growthfrom HY06

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0

2

4

6

8

10

12

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

VAs FIAs FAs Life Curian

Positioning ourselves for successUS Insurance: Premier position to capture growth in the pre and post retirement market

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

Banks Regional Independent

Rapid growth in retail sales$bn

Variable annuity market share by channel

Variable annuityCAGR 45% over 5 years

JNL is a top-10 fixed indexed and fixed annuity provider

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1) Lipper Hindsight – ABI Life Funds: Money Sector Average, total return, net income reinvested; Fixed Interest Sector Average, total return, net income reinvested, Standard & Poor’s – Cautious Managed Sector, bid to bid, total return.

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Positioning ourselves for success UK Insurance: Delivering value by focusing on our strengths

Retirement income

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

2007 2012 2017 2022 2027 2032 2037 2042

CorporatePensions

Ex-ScottishAmicable

£bn

Ex-DirectSalesforce

Retirement savings1

38%

44%

23%

14%

41%

64%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80%

Prudential With-Profits Fund

FTSE 100

Average Cash Life Fund

Average Fixed InterestLife Fund

Average With-Profits Fund

Average CautiousManaged Unit Fund

• Narrow our focus• Utilise our multi-asset capability • Exit areas where returns are structurally low• Improve return in Corporate Pensions

• Build on proven strengths• Longevity expertise• Brand

Internal vestings

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Positioning ourselves for successAsset Management: Significant potential based on superior investment performance

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

M&G revenues2006: £471 million

Asia rapid growth in external FUM

Record net inflows in 2006 £6.1bn, + 58% Record net inflows in 2006 £2.5bn, + 91%

Fixed Income

Equities

Property

Private Equity Pru Finance

£bn

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Conclusion

Strong operating performance…

in individual Business Units and at the Group level…

are delivering superior shareholder value

Advantaged regional platforms and global capabilities…

place the Group in a unique position…

to capture a disproportionate share of the retirement opportunity