Merger Valutation Report
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Transcript of Merger Valutation Report
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To
The Board of Directors, The Board of Directors,
Santecure Limited Sunshine Life Sciences Limited
Re: Recommendation of Fair Share Exchange Ratio for the purpose of proposed
merger of Sunshine Life Sciences Limited with Santecure Limited
Dear Sirs,
1. As requested by the managements of Sunshine Life Sciences Limited and
Santecure Limited, we have undertaken the valuation exercise of the shares of
Sunshine Life Sciences Limited and Santecure Limited, to recommend a fair
exchange ratio of shares for the proposed merger.
2. Content and Purpose
2.1 We have been informed that Board of Directors of the Companies are
considering a proposal for the merger of Sunshine Life Sciences Limited and
Santecure Limited, pursuant to the provisions of sections 391 to 394 of the
Companies Act, 1956 (now Companies Act 2013). Subject to necessary
approvals, Sunshine Life Sciences Limited will merge with Santecure
Limited, with effect from April 1, 2015. As per the draft scheme of merger,
equity shareholders of Sunshine Life Sciences Limited would, in consideration
for the merger, receive equity shares of Santecure Limited.
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2.2 In this connection, we have been requested by the management of the
companies, to submit a report, on our recommendation of the fair share
exchange ratio, for the proposed merger, for the consideration of the Boards of
the respective Companies. This report recommends, what in our opinion, is
fair and equitable share exchange ratio for the proposed merger.
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3.1 History and Overview Santecure limited is a Closely Held company that has been operational since April
2008. The main aim of the company is to Produce and Supply Generic medicines for
the common people in India, The Company owns Some Brand names for leading
over the counter drugs. it has its head office in Ahemdabad, Gujrat.
The Company is owned by a group of Medical and Lab professional and is a closely
held company. The company aims at producing quality medicines at affordable
rates to benefit the mass. Company s having a dedicated research team and
company holds two patents for its research work in the field of medicine.
The company, in its Seventh year of operations (FY 2014-15), achieved a turnover of
₹2788.95 Lakhs. It also increased the number of distributors and C&F agents and
showed 30% growth in its profits over the previous financial year.
3.2 Share Holding and Share Trading Santecure is public limited company with a share capital of 80000 shares out of
which a major portion is held by Medical Professional associated with the
Company. There is also some shareholding held by the Directors and employees of
the Company.
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3.3 Company Products, Development Initiatives and Supplier Network Santecure limited started as a Pharmaceutical company. Engaged in manufacturing
However, in the past two years company has expanded its reached all over India.
The company has also registered some new patents for its research work in
medicine. The company is engaged in large scale production of medicines.
Santecure Limited has been constantly innovating and adding value to existing
product line. with dedicated workforce the company has been able to produce at a
relatively less cost as compared to its competitors. The company is transferring this
benefit to the consumers by providing the drugs at cheaper rate and increasing its
sales and leaving the competition behind. The company has also increased its
production capacity to meet the expected demand.
3.4 LIST OF DIRECTORS
1. Mr. Om Kumar
2. Mr. Satyam Kumar
3. Mr. Manish Kumar
4. Mr. Bhagat Singh
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4.1 History and Overview
Sunshine Life Sciences Limited is a public company that has been operational
since April 2008. The main aim of the company is to expand its network to whole
of India and reach every City & Village of India. The Company has its head office at
Chennai
The company is a closely held company having formed by young entrepreneurs
and medical as well as sale professionals. The company is having few brands on its
name and has a huge sales Network, reaching almost every big city in inda.
Sunshine Life Sciences Limited in its seventh year of operations (FY2014-2015),
achieved a turnover of ₹ 544.74 lakhs. It also increased the number of its
agents and distributors.
4.2 Share Holding Sunshine Life Sciences is a public limited company with a share capital of
90000 shares out of which a major portion is held by the founders of the company.
There is also some shareholding held by the Directors and employees of the
Company.
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4.3 Company Products, Development Initiatives and Supplier Network
Sunshine Life Sciences Limited is a Pharmaceutical company, engaged in small
scale production of drugs as well as trading of drugs manufactured by other under
its own name..
Sunshine Life Sciences have a dedicated sales team and its has expanded its reach
significantly in the past few year and has been constantly growing.
The company has worked on developing its sales network and increasing its
production capacity through management .
During the year 2009-2010 the company has fetched many awards for its research
work. The Managing Director has fetched many nomination for its excellent
management work in the year 2011-12.
4.4 LIST OF DIRECTORS 1. Ms. Yukti Kumari 2. Mr. Ram 3. Mr. Ranbir Singh 4. Mr. Vikram Singh 5. Mr. Suraj Kumar
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5. Valuation Date Valuation for the purposes of determining Fair Exchange Ratio for proposed merger
is carried out as on 1st April, 2015. This Report is to be considered only in respect of
financial position of companies as on 31/03/2015 and all the closing balances as on
31.03.2015 have been taken as opening balance as on 01.04.2015.
6. BUSINESS VALUATION METHODS: The following are some of the business
valuation methods:
6.1 Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Method
The Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology expresses the present value
of a business as a function of its future cash earnings capacity. This
methodology works on the premise that the value of a business is
measured in terms of future cash flow streams, discounted to the present
time at an appropriate discount rate.
This method is used to determine the present value of a business on a
going concern assumption. It recognizes that money has a time value by
discounting future cash flows at an appropriate discount factor. The DCF
methodology depends on the projection of the future cash flows and the
selection of an appropriate discount factor.
When valuing a business on a DCF basis, the objective is to determine a net
present value of the cash flows ("CF") arising from the business over a
future period of time (say 5 years), which period is called the explicit
forecast period. Free cash flows are defined to include all inflows and
outflows associated with the project prior to debt service, such as taxes,
amount invested in working capital and capital expenditure. Under the
DCF methodology, value must be placed both on the explicit cash flows as
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stated above, and the ongoing cash flows a company will generate after the
explicit forecast period. The latter value, also known as terminal value, is
also to be estimated.
The further the cash flows can be projected, the less sensitive the valuation
is to inaccuracies in the assumed terminal value. Therefore, the longer the
period covered by the projection, the less reliable the projections are likely
to be. For this reason, the approach is used to value businesses, where the
future cash flows can be projected with a reasonable degree of reliability.
For example, in a fast changing market like telecom or even automobile,
the explicit period typically cannot be more than at least 5 years. Any
projection beyond that would be mostly speculation.
6.2 Balance Sheet Method or the Net Asset Value Method
The Balance sheet or Net Asset Value (NAV) methodology values a
business on the basis of the value of its underlying assets. This is relevant
where the value of the business is fairly represented by its underlying
assets. NAV method is normally used to determine the minimum price a
seller would be willing to accept and, thus serves to establish the floor for
the value of the business. This method is pertinent where:
· The value of intangibles is not significant;
· The business has been recently set up.
This method takes into account the net value of the assets of a business or
the capital employed as represented in the financial statements. Hence,
this method takes into account the amount that is historically spent and
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earned from the business. This method does not, however, consider the
earnings potential of the assets and is, therefore, seldom used for valuing
a going concern. The above method is not considered appropriate,
particularly in the following cases:
· When the financial statement sheets do not reflect the true value of
assets, being either too high on account of possible losses not
reflected in the balance sheet or too low because of initial losses
which may not continue in future;
· Where intangibles such as brand, goodwill, marketing infrastructure,
and product development capabilities, etc., form a major part of the
value of the company;
· Where due to the changes in industry, market or business
environment, the assets of the company have become redundant and
their ability to create net positive cash flows in future is limited.
6.3 Market Multiple Method
This method takes into account the traded or transaction value of
comparable companies in the industry and benchmarks it against certain
parameters, like earnings, sales, etc. Some commonly used parameters
are:
Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation & Amortizations
(EBITDA).
Sales
Price Earning
Although the Market Multiples method captures most value elements of a
business, it is based on the past/current transactions or traded values and
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does not reflect the possible changes in future of the trend of cash flows
being generated by a business, neither takes into account the time value of
money adequately. At the same time it is a reflection of the current view of
the market and hence is considered as a useful rule of thumb, providing
reasonableness checks to valuations arrived at from other approaches.
Accordingly, one may have to review a series of comparable transactions to
determine a range of appropriate capitalization factors to value a company as
per this methodology.
Practically this method becomes very difficult to use
because it becomes difficult to collect market value of comparable companies
So we have applied Price Earning (P/E) multiple, For this we have relied
upon the Index i.e. CNX Nifty P/E ratio due to the lack similar listed
companies, keeping in mind that the long term returns of the company will
be at par with the economy and given comparatively lesser weight to this
method .
6.4 We have used above Three methods for determining fair exchange ratio as
only one method cannot be relied. Followings are the two methods which
are used for determining fair exchange ratio:
1. Exchange ratio based on Net Assets Value (NAV)
2. Exchange ratio based on Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)
3. Market Multiple Method
Below weights have been assigned to different methods. Weights assigned are
our personal judgments.
1. Exchange ratio based on Net Assets Value (NAV) 40 %
2. Exchange ratio based on Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) 40 %
3. Market Multiple Method 20 %
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7.1 Our report is subject to the scope , limitations detailed hereinafter as
such the report is to be read in totality and not in conjunction with the
relevant documents referred therein.
7.2 Our work does not constitute an audit or certification of the historical
financial statements including the working results of the companies
referred to in this report accordingly we are unable to express an opinion
on the fairness or accuracy of any financial information referred to in this
report. Valuation analysis and results are specific to the purpose of valuation
and the valuation date mentioned in the report. Report is as per agreed
terms of our engagement, it may not be valid if done on behalf of any other
entity.
A valuation of this nature involves consideration of various factors including
those impacted by prevailing market trends in general and industry trends
in particular. This report is issued on the understanding that the companies
have drawn our attention to all the matters which they are aware of
concerning the financial position of the companies and any other matter
which may have an impact on our opinion on the fair equity share
exchange ratio for the proposed merger including any significant
changes that have taken place or are likely to take place in the
financial position of the companies subsequent to the proposed
appointed date for events and circumstances occurring after the date of
this report
In the course of the valuation we were provided with both written and
verbal information we have however , evaluated the information provided
to us by the companies through broad inquiry analysis and review but
have not carried out a due diligence or audit of the information
provided for the purpose of this engagement our conclusions are based
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on the assumptions and other information given by/on behalf of the
companies we assume no responsibility for any errors in the above
information furnished by the companies and consequential impact on the
present exercise.
Our report is not, nor should it be construed as our opinion or
certification, the compliance of the proposed merger with the provisions
of any law including companies taxation and capital market related
laws or as regards. Any legal implications or issues form such proposed
marker.
This report is prepared only in connection with the propose of
amalgamation exclusively for the use of the companies and for
submission to any regulatory/ statutory authority as may be required
under any law.
8. Distribution of Report
The information contained herein and our report is confidential. It is intended only
for the sole use and information of the companies, and only in connection with the
proposed merger as aforesaid including for the purpose of obtaining requisite
approvals. Any person /party intending to provide finance/ invest in the
shares/businesses of any of the Companies, shall do so, after seeking their own
professional advice and after carrying out their own due diligence. This report
shall not be distributed to anyone else without prior permission of XYZ &
Associates. Report is strictly personal and confidential.
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RECOMMENDATION OF FAIR EXCHANGE RATIO
9.1 It is important to note that in case of merger valuation the attempt
is not to arrive at the absolute values of the shares of each company. Our
exercise is to work out relative values of shares of the companies .
9.2 In the ultimate analysis , valuation will have to involve the
exercise of judicious discretion and judgment taking into account all
the relevant factors. There will always be several factors e.g. present and
prospective competition, yield on comparable securities and market
sentiments etc. which are not evident from the face of the balance
sheets but which will strongly influence the worth of a share. This concept
is also recognized in judicial decisions.
"If the asset takes the form of fully paid shares, the valuation will take into account
not only the terms of the agreement but a number of other factors, such as
prospective yield, marketability, the general outlook for the type of business of the
company which has allotted the shares, the result of a contemporary prospectus
offering similar shares for subscription, the capital position of the company, so
forth. There may also be an element of value in the fact that holding of the shares
gives control of the company. If the asset is difficult to value, but is nonetheless of a
money value, the best valuation possible must be made. Valuation is an art, not an
exact science. Mathematical certainly is not demanded, nor indeed is it possible."
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9.3 In the light of the above and a consideration of all the relevant
factors and circumstances as discussed and outlined hereinabove
referred to earlier in this report in our opinion a ratio of fair
exchange in the event of merger of Sunshine Life Sciences Limited with
Santecure Limited would be
2 (Two) equity shares of Santecure Limited of ₹ 100 each fully paid for
every 9 (Nine) equity shares of Sunshine Life Sciences Limited of ₹ 100
each fully paid.
Thank You,
Yours Faithfully
ABC & Associates
Chartered Accountants
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SANTECURE LIMITED
CASH FLOWS
Amount in ₹ lakhs
S.No. Particulars 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20
Audited Projected Projected Projected Projected Projected
1 Revenue
Sales (Net of Excise Duty) 2,788.95 3,625.64 4,640.82 5,847.43 7,133.87 8,417.96
Other Income 2.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Total Income 2,791.24 3,625.64 4,640.82 5,847.43 7,133.87 8,417.96
YoY Growth 30% 30% 28% 26% 22% 18%
2 COGS 2,318.84 3,014.49 3,858.55 4,861.77 5,931.36 6,999.01
3 Gross Profits (1-2) 472.40 611.15 782.27 985.66 1,202.50 1,418.96
4 Indirect Expenses 336.51 437.46 559.95 705.54 860.76 1,015.70
a) Man Power Cost 51.19 66.54 85.18 107.32 130.93 154.50
b) Selling, Administrative & Other
Cost 285.32 370.92 474.78 598.22 729.83 861.19
5 EBIDTA 135.89 173.69 222.32 280.12 341.75 403.26
6 Interest on Borrowed Funds 43.58 56.66 72.52 91.38 111.48 131.54
7 EBDTA 92.30 117.03 149.80 188.74 230.27 271.72
8 Depreciation 3.14 2.83 2.54 2.29 2.06 1.85
9 PBT 89.16 114.20 147.25 186.45 228.21 269.86
10 TAX 28.84 35.29 45.50 57.61 70.52 83.39
11 PAT 60.32 78.91 101.75 128.84 157.69 186.47
Add
12 DEPRICIATION 3.14 2.83 2.54 2.29 2.06 1.85
13 NET CASH FLOW 63.46 81.74 104.30 131.13 159.75 188.33
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SUNSHINE LIFE SCIENCES S LIMITED CASH FLOWS
Amount in Lakhs
S.No. Particulars 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20
Audited Projected Projected Projected Projected Projected
1 Revenue
Sales (Net of Excise Duty) 544.74 708.16 906.45 1,142.12 1,393.39 1,644.20
Other Income 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Total Income 544.78 708.16 906.45 1,142.12 1,393.39 1,644.20
YoY Growth 30% 30% 28% 26% 22% 18%
2 COGS 502.14 652.78 835.56 1,052.81 1,284.42 1,515.62
3 Gross Profits (1-2) 42.64 55.38 70.89 89.32 108.97 128.58
4 Indirect Expenses 21.28 27.66 35.41 44.62 54.43 64.23
a) Man Power Cost 5.44 7.07 9.05 11.41 13.91 16.42
b) Selling, Administrative & Other
Cost 15.84 20.59 26.36 33.21 40.52 47.81
5 EBIDTA 21.36 27.72 35.48 44.70 54.53 64.35
6 Interest on Borrowed Funds 3.24 4.21 5.39 6.79 8.29 9.78
7 EBDTA 18.12 23.50 30.09 37.91 46.25 54.57
8 Depreciation 3.44 3.10 2.79 2.51 2.26 2.03
9 PBT 14.68 20.41 27.30 35.40 43.99 52.54
10 TAX 4.50 6.31 8.44 10.94 13.59 16.23
11 PAT 10.18 14.10 18.86 24.46 30.40 36.31
Add
12 DEPRICIATION 3.44 3.10 2.79 2.51 2.26 2.03
13 NET CASH FLOW 13.62 17.20 21.65 26.97 32.65 38.34
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Terminal Value The terminal value (continuing value or horizon value) of a security is the present value at a future point in time of all future cash flows when we expect stable growth rate forever. Considering the Industry Type and the nature of business to which companies pertains, we assume a Business cycle of 18 year. Both the companies are established in 2008 and have been doing the very simililar business. In the initial phase of Business Cycle the companies has shown increasing growth rate, due to increasing rate of returns and now having constant returns, we expect that the at the end of business cycle the returns would settle down to at par with the Economy, which is expected to be 6.6% as the GDP growth rate Forecast for the year 2026. Refer to Annexure - 1 for GDP Forecast.
As the inflated growth rate is expected to settle down to the economic growth rate at end of the business cycle, we have considered the Inflows of 2025-26 for the calculation of Terminal Value.
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Calculation of Terminal Value Terminal Value = Cash Flows of 2025 -26 Expected Rate of Return - Growth
Terminal Value for Santecure Limited Expected Cash Flow for the year 2025 - 26 = 310.12 Expected Rate of Return = 19.17% Growth Rate = 6.6% Terminal Value = 310.12 19.17%-6.6% Terminal Value = 2467.174
Terminal Value for Sunshine Life Sciences Limited Expected Cash Flow for the year 2025 - 26 = 63.13 Expected Rate of Return = 19.17% Growth Rate = 6.6% Terminal Value = 63.60 19.17%-6.6% Terminal Value = 502.222
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As per Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) the Expected rate of return can be derived as - Expected Rate of Return = Rf + β (Rm - Rf) Where - Rf = Risk Free Rate β = Beta Rm = Return on Market Hence Expected Rate of Return = 7.67 + 1.25 (16.87-7.67) = 19.17 % For the Above Calculation we have Considered - Risk Free Rate (Rf) = 7.67% The risk-free rate represents the interest an investor would expect from an absolutely risk-free investment over a specified period of time. It is the minimum return an investor expects for any investment because he or she will not accept additional risk unless the potential rate of return is greater than the risk-free rate. We consider Government Bonds and Securities as risk free and hence, The ZCYC rate as on 31st March, 2015 as published by The Clearing Corporation of India Limited. Refer to Annexure - 2 Beta (β) = 1.25 Beta is a measure of the volatility, or systematic risk, of a security or a portfolio in comparison to the market as a whole. Considering the Risk Factor and Industry to which the company belong, Beta has been determined at 1.25, Return on Market (Rm) = 16.87 Market Return refers to the return on a Market Portfolio. For Market Rate of Return we have considered the Five Years Return of CNX Nifty computed as per Compounded Annual Growth Rate (CAGR), Refer to Annexure - 3
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SANTECURE LIMITED Discounted Cash Flow Per Share
Year Particulars Cash Flow P.V. Factor P.V.
Cash Flow
2015-16 Annual Cash Flow 81.74 0.839 68.59
2016-17 Annual Cash Flow 104.30 0.704 73.44
2017-18 Annual Cash Flow 131.13 0.591 77.48
2018-19 Annual Cash Flow 159.75 0.496 79.21
2019-20 Annual Cash Flow 188.33 0.416 78.36
2025-26 Terminal Value 2467.17 0.145 358.40
TOTAL CASH FLOW
735.48
NO. of Shares
80000 0.8
CASH FLOW / SHARE 919.34
SUNSHINE LIFE SCIENCES S LIMITED Discounted Cash Flow Per Share
Year Particular Cash Flow P.V. Factor P.V.
Cash Flow
2015-16 Annual Cash Flow 17.20 0.839 14.43
2016-17 Annual Cash Flow 21.65 0.704 15.24
2017-18 Annual Cash Flow 26.97 0.591 15.94
2018-19 Annual Cash Flow 32.65 0.496 16.19
2019-20 Annual Cash Flow 38.34 0.416 15.95
2025-26 Terminal Value 502.22 0.145 72.96
TOTAL CASH FLOW
150.71
NO. of Shares
90000 0.9
CASH FLOW / SHARE 167.45
Calculation of Expected Rate of Return DDDIIISSSCCCOOOUUUNNNTTTEEEDDD CCCAAASSSHHH FFFLLLOOOWWW PPPEEERRR SSSHHHAAARRREEE
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SANTECURE LIMITED NAV PER SHARE
S.No. Particulars Amount in Lakhs
1 Fixed Assets 13.58
2 Current Assets 1033.46
3 Deffered Tax Assets 0
4 TOTAL ASSETS A=(1+2+3) 1047.04
5 Loan Funds 329.22
6 Current Liabilities 552.38
7 TOTAL LIABILITIES B=(5+6) 881.60
8 Net Assets Value (A-B) 165.44
9 No. of shares 80000 0.8
10 NAV PER SHARE 206.80
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SUNSHINE LIFE SCIENCES LIMITED NAV PER SHARE
S.No. Particulars Amount in Lakhs
1 Fixed Assets 15.76
2 Current Assets 253.58
3 Deffered tax assets 7.99
4 TOTAL ASSETS(1+2+3) A 277.32
5 Secured Loans 49.06
6 Current Liabilities & Provisions 151.41
7 TOTAL LIABILITIES(5+6) B 200.47
8 Net Assets Value A-B 76.85
9 No. of Shares 90000 0.9
10 NAV PER SHARE 85.39
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SANTECURE LIMITED
Earning Per Share 75.40625
Price Earning Ratio 22.7
Market Price Per Share 1711.72
SUNSHINE LIFE SCIENCES S LIMITED
Earning Per Share 11.31
Price Earning Ratio 22.7
Market Price Per Share 256.66
For the Above Calculation P/E ration of Index - CNX Nifty has been considered as base as the P/E of similar listed entity is not available. For the Index P/E we have relied upon the report published by Indian Index Service & Products Limited. Refer to Annexure - 3
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DETERMINATION OF EXCHANGE RATIO
S.No. PARTICULARS
EXCHANGE
RATIO
1 BASED ON NAV 2.42
NAV per share of Santecure Limited 206.80 NAV per share of Sunshine Life
Sciences s Limited
85.39 2 BASED ON CASH FLOW 5.49
Cash Flow per share of Santecure Limited 919.34
Cash Flow per share of Sunshine Life Sciences s Limited 167.45
3 Market Multiple Method 6.67 MPS Santecure Limited 1711.72
MPS Sunshine Life Sciences s Limited 256.66
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WEIGHTS ASSIGNED TO ABOVE METHODS
S.No. PARTICULARS WEIGHT
1 NAV 40%
2 CASH FLOW 40%
3 MARKET MULTIPLE 20%
FINAL SHARE EXCHANGE RATIO
S.No. BASIS OF
EXCHANGE RATIO
Exchange Weight
Weighted
Ratio Exchange Ratio
1 NAV
2.42 40% 0.97
2 CASH FLOW 5.49 40% 2.20
3 MARKET MULTIPLE 6.67 20% 1.33
TOTAL 1.00 4.50
The Fair exchange ratio should be 2 shares of Santecure Limited for every 9 Shares held in Sunshine Life Sciences Limited.
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ZCYC as per The Clearing Corporation of India Limited.
31/Mar/15
Beta 0 7.6737
Beta 1 0.1276
Beta 2 -0.4406
Tau 1 0.5686
Beta 3 0.0410
Tau 2 1.0000
Maturity (Yrs) 31/Mar/15
30.0 7.67
Source : - https://www.ccilindia.com
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