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Mega-Ships: still for the common good? Olaf Merk 2 June 2015 IAPH 29 th World Port Conference Hamburg, Germany
Transcript of Mega-Ships: still for the common good? - Global Maritime Hub · Mega-Ships: still for the common...
Mega-Ships: still for the common good?
Olaf Merk
2 June 2015
IAPH 29th World Port Conference
Hamburg, Germany
“The Impact of Mega-Ships” Report
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Mega-ships
• Where are we?
• How did we get here?
• What is the issue?
• Where are we heading?
• How to make this work?
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Where are we?
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How did we get here?
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What is the issue?
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Vessel cost savings are decreasing
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,100 $
,150 $
,200 $
,250 $
,300 $
,350 $
,400 $
,450 $
5,000 7,000 9,000 11,000 13,000 15,000 17,000 19,000
US
$/
TE
U
Nominal TEU size
cost at 16 knots
cost at 22 knots
old units at 22 knots, contains first ~15,000 TEU units and hypothetical fast 19,000 TEU ship
modern units at 22 knots
old units at 16 knots, contains first ~15,000 TEU units and hypothetical fast 19,000 TEU ship
modern units at 16 knots
Assumptions: Round trip: 21,000 nm, three weeks tied up for port operations Average cost of main engine fuel: US$ 600/ton
Utilization of nominal capacity: 85%
8,500 TEU vessel built ~ 2003
Can these ships be filled?
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Supply chain costs and risks increasing
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Peaks
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0
50000
100000
150000
200000
250000
300000
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
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30.7 19.8 8.9 28.9 18.10 7.11 27.11 17.12
GT
Yard
AVG DAYS
GT daily volume of container ships
moored over 50 000 GTGT daily volume of container ships
moored <= 50 000 GT
Back to the issue
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Where are we heading?
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How to make this work?
• More balanced decision-making
• Align incentives & costs to public interests
• Policy support for supply chain productivity
• Collaboration at regional and port-level
• Forum for liners, terminals, ports & others
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