Medical Product Sector 2015 Roadmap/TIG Plan...
Transcript of Medical Product Sector 2015 Roadmap/TIG Plan...
Medical Product Sector 2015 Roadmap/TIG Plan Highlights
Fred Sporon-Fiedler, MSE, ChairChuck Richardson, iNEMI, Presenter
2015 Medical SymposiumSeptember 17, 2015Marylhurst University Portland, Oregon
Overview
• 2015 Medical PEG Chapter Highlights
– Product types
– Demographic impacts
– Market analysis
– Technology focal points
– Summary
Product Types
2015 Product Emulator Descriptions
Emulator Characteristics
Wireless / Portable
Produced in high volumes, cost is the primary
driver, hand held battery powered products are also
driven by size and weight reduction
Consumer / Office Systems Driven by the need for maximum performance over
a wide range of cost targets
Automotive ProductsProducts that must operate in an automotive
environment
High-End Systems (Cloud)
Products that serve the high performance
computing, networking, datacom and telecom
markets and cover a wide range of cost and
performance targets
Medical ProductsProducts that must operate with high reliability and,
in some cases, support life critical applications
Aerospace / DefenseProducts that must operate reliably in extreme
environments
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MEDICAL PRODUCTS PARTIONING
Implanted products • Strict regulatory procedures
• Driven by battery life (low power loss)
• Validation and traceability
• Long term reliability (>10-15yrs)
• Long development cycles, primary assembly and design by OEMs
Portable products (those devices that are easily transported) • Cost parity with consumer / portables
• Dynamic market, 9 to 24 month product cycle time
• Mixed regulatory environment
• Mostly outsourced assembly and design
Diagnostic imaging devices and large scale equipment, e.g., MR, CT• Larger scale
• Thermal management and heat sinking requirements
• Utilizes commercial off-the-shelf components, when available
• Development cycle is shorter than implantables
• EMS compatible manufacturing
• Often does not require clean room or sterile assembly floor
Categories:
Demographic Impacts
Situation Analysis: Demographics
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All Regions
experiencing increased
longevity
Aging populations will
drive increased
demand for Medical
Products of all types.
Life
Sp
an
(ye
ars
)
Situation Analysis: Demographics
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Doubling of people >65 yrs
of age in next 20 yrs.
Bulk from China, India,
developing countries
Average income levels also
increasing outside
Americas/EU
Turn to Asia strategy: Build
close to patients,
physicians, payers,
regulatory agencies
Market Analysis
MEDICAL ELECTRONICS MARKET- 2014 IHS Update
27 largest Medical OEM companies captured
>100B$ market by 2025
Medical Electronics: MedTech growth outside Americas/EU
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Example: China
~20% per annum growth rate
Far exceeds overall 5.4% forecast
“China will continue to outpace other countries and reach near
parity with the developed nations of Europe by 2020” 1G
row
th R
ate
(Y
/Y
%)
1: Source: PwC China
Technology Focal Points
Roadmap of Key Attributes
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>200 parameters in 2015 roadmap
Divergent needs across Implantable, Large System,
Consumer Portable
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Emulator Spreadsheet Recommendations
• New Rows / Columns for 2017:• Recommend addition of stretchable substrates (1-2 layer)
• Roll-Roll Glass processing is missing, should this be
included?
Cardiac Balloon Catheter with EKG & LED with stretchable interconnect1
1: Rogers et. al, University of Illinois at Urbana-
Champaign.
Convergence in Class III Medical Therapy Devices
Smart, Connected Medical Microelectronics Miniaturized Connected Delivering therapy
Larg
e s
yste
ms fo
r Thera
py, D
iagnostic
s,
Sto
rage a
nd C
om
munic
atio
ns
Port
able
, patient
sid
e,
dia
gnostic a
nd
monitoring
Cochlear
Vagus Nerve & Spinal
Urinary
Implant
Gastric
Retinal
Cardiac
Brain
MEDICAL DEVICE CONNECTIVITY
Bubble Chart Ref: IBM Institute for Business Value,” The future of connected health devices”
http://www-935.ibm.com/services/us/gbs/thoughtleadership/ibv-connected-health-devices.html
>THREE BILLION POTENTIAL CUSTOMERS FOR CONNECTED HEALTH DEVICES
Analytics challenge: Who is at other end of connection? What will they do with the
data?
Consumer/Portable Medical Electronics
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• Real-time diaper wetness
sensor & notification
• Impedance measurement
• RF connection
• University of Tokyo work
Source: www.medgadget.com
Breadth of applications of bio-
medical sensing & connectedness
will grow into unforeseen places.
Smartphone connected health
appliances growing for diagnostics,
monitoring
Even diapers are becoming smart…
We’ll need 1.375B units/day world-
wide (40M/day in US alone)1.
1:http://disposablediaper.net/faq/how-
many-diapers-are-required-every-day-to-
satisfy-the-world-consumption/
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Areas of Focus for 2017 Chapter
• Business Issues:• Increased globalization- Rise of Asia
• RoHS impact on Class III supply chains ->Mixed Assembly
challenges
• Refreshed market forecasts
• Technical Issues:• Miniaturization- 3D packaging, Wired/Wireless connectivity
• Alternative discrete technologies (e.g. Capacitors)
• Flexible/wearable medical applications
Summary
Roadmap Executive Summary
Demographics/Market:
Medical electronics demand increasing due to worldwide demographic and lifestyle
changes.
Additional demand acceleration fueled by improved detection methods (e.g. cancer)
New market survey/analysis by IHS Technology shows the medical electronics market is
expected to grow at a ~ 5-6% year-year rate.
The market is forecast to exceed 100B$ in the forecast timeframe.
Globalization:
Increased influence of Asia as a hub for development and manufacturing of medical
devices/electronics.
Great opportunity for medical electronics companies
Technology front – Tactical:
Introduction of stretchable electronics substrates is a paradigm shift in the business.
Emphasis is needed on development of a universal 3D SiP technology and improved
Capacitor technology.
Improved battery/power scavenging systems
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Roadmap Executive Summary
Technology front – Strategic:
The need for protocols to enable refurbishment/reuse of medical electronics was raised.
Materials for electrodes used in Neurostimulation devices is a major need, with
demonstrations of electrode arrays on flexible/expandable substrates as well as high I/O
count arrays made using Silicon process technology.
Research efforts in Nanomaterials or systems that can be configured for diagnostic or
therapy purposes is expected to potentially be game-changing.
In the implant product arena, the traditional device paradigm has been to have an
electronics module and power source hermetically sealed with electrical therapy
delivered via leads connected to an interconnect block. Opportunities for miniaturization
exist with more research into methods by which electronic modules can be made fully
biocompatible while reducing the volume overhead associated with large interconnect
blocks to a can.
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Thank You!
Each Panelist has 5
minutes to present his
views on a critical need
and then Q & A from
attendees.