Measurement and Impact of Corruption Victimization

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The Measurement and Impact of Corruption Victimization: Survey Evidence from Latin America MITCHELL A. SELIGSON * Vanderbilt University, Nashville, TN, USA Summary. Does democracy suffer when corruption is high? Unfortunately, most studies of cor- ruption have been descriptive, making it difficult to develop a well-supported answer to this ques- tion. There are, of course, quantitative corruption measures, but the most popularly used of them are measures of corruption perception aggregated at the national level, rather than corruption expe- rience at the individual level. It is difficult to draw firm conclusions about the impact of corruption from such data. This paper proposes a corruption–victimization measure based on a survey re- search approach to the measurement problem, and discusses (in a non-technical fashion) its strengths and limitations. The paper then presents data from studies conducted by the Vanderbilt University Latin American Public Opinion Project (LAPOP), and demonstrates the impact of cor- ruption victimization on belief in the legitimacy of the political system, a critical element in dem- ocratic political stability. Ó 2005 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. Key words — corruption, Latin America, survey research, democracy 1. CORRUPTION AS A THREAT TO DEMOCRACY: IS THERE A LINK? Widespread corruption is increasingly seen as one of the most significant threats to deepening democratization in Latin America (and indeed much of the democratizing Third World). In a recent study, Weyland (1998) views that democ- racies in Latin America are threatened by an exponential growth in corruption that has oc- curred since the dictators of the past have left the scene. He argues forcefully that corruption has increased a great deal under democracy in Latin America, and points to several factors that are responsible for the increase. First, he argues that the dispersion of power in the hands of many (as has occurred as dictator- ships have been replaced by democracies) has widened the opportunity for bribery. In effect, there are many more ‘‘veto players’’ today than those under the military, and therefore, there has been an increase in the number of palms that need to be greased. Second, neoliberal re- forms have involved opening many areas of the economy to bribery, especially those involv- ing sales of public corporations. Third, the increasing numbers of neopopulist leaders, who win elections based on personal appeals through television, are driving aspiring politi- cians to corrupt practices in order to collect the funds needed to pay for TV time. How might corruption threaten democratiza- tion? This is the link that has not yet been spec- ified, but this paper attempts to do so. Many claims have been made that corruption is bad for democratization, but most of those are impressionistic. Case studies, especially that of Venezuela, are suggestive. In that country, the two mainstream political parties that had shared political power for decades were swept aside by a populist candidate (and former mili- tary man). It has been argued that the funda- mental cause was public outrage over the widely perceived corruption of the traditional party system (Canache, 2002; Canache & Kulis- heck, 1998). The upshot has been severe social * This is a revised version of a paper presented at the conference ‘‘Re/Constructing Corruption,’’ University of East Anglia, England, April 30–May 2, 2003. I would like to thank Nick Duncan for inviting me to that con- ference and his helpful remarks on an earlier version of this paper, as well as the many helpful suggestions of Indranil Dutta, Maria Barro ´ n, and Margaret Sarles. Final revision accepted: March 9, 2005. World Development Vol. 34, No. 2, pp. 381–404, 2006 Ó 2005 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved Printed in Great Britain 0305-750X/$ - see front matter doi:10.1016/j.worlddev.2005.03.012 www.elsevier.com/locate/worlddev 381

description

Summary. — Does democracy suffer when corruption is high? Unfortunately, most studies of corruptionhave been descriptive, making it difficult to develop a well-supported answer to this question.There are, of course, quantitative corruption measures, but the most popularly used of themare measures of corruption perception aggregated at the national level, rather than corruption experienceat the individual level. It is difficult to draw firm conclusions about the impact of corruptionfrom such data. This paper proposes a corruption–victimization measure based on a survey researchapproach to the measurement problem, and discusses (in a non-technical fashion) itsstrengths and limitations. The paper then presents data from studies conducted by the VanderbiltUniversity Latin American Public Opinion Project (LAPOP), and demonstrates the impact of corruptionvictimization on belief in the legitimacy of the political system, a critical element in democraticpolitical stability.

Transcript of Measurement and Impact of Corruption Victimization

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    1. CORRUPTION AS A THREAT TODE

    Wideone ofdemocrmuch orecent sraciesexponecurredthe scehas incLatin Athat ar

    widened the opportunity for bribery. In eect,

    the economy to bribery, especially those involv-ing sales of public corporations. Third, theincreasing numbers of neopopulist leaders,

    through television, are driving aspiring politi-collect

    Manyis badse arehat ofy, thet hadsweptr mili-funda-r the

    ference and his helpful remarks on an earlier version of

    this paper, as well as the many helpful suggestions of

    Indranil Dutta, Maria Barron, and Margaret Sarles.

    World Development Vol. 34, No. 2, pp. 381404, 2006 2005 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved

    Printed in Great Britain0305-750X/$ - see front matter

    lddev.2005.03.012there are many more veto players today thanthose under the military, and therefore, therehas been an increase in the number of palmsthat need to be greased. Second, neoliberal re-forms have involved opening many areas of

    * This is a revised version of a paper presented at the

    conference Re/Constructing Corruption, University

    of East Anglia, England, April 30May 2, 2003. I would

    like to thank Nick Duncan for inviting me to that con-argues that the dispersion of power in thehands of many (as has occurred as dictator-ships have been replaced by democracies) has

    widely perceived corruption of the traditionalparty system (Canache, 2002; Canache & Kulis-heck, 1998). The upshot has been severe socialwho wthe most signicant threats to deepeningatization in Latin America (and indeedf the democratizing Third World). In atudy, Weyland (1998) views that democ-in Latin America are threatened by anntial growth in corruption that has oc-since the dictators of the past have leftne. He argues forcefully that corruptionreased a great deal under democracy inmerica, and points to several factors

    e responsible for the increase. First, he

    tion? This is the link that has not yet beenied, but this paper attempts to do so.claims have been made that corruptionfor democratization, but most of thoimpressionistic. Case studies, especially tVenezuela, are suggestive. In that countrtwo mainstream political parties thashared political power for decades wereaside by a populist candidate (and formetary man). It has been argued that themental cause was public outrage ovespread corruption is increasingly seen as How might corruption threaten democratiza-spec-MOCRACY: IS THERE A LINK? cians to corrupt practices in order tothe funds needed to pay for TV time.The Measurement and

    Victimization: Survey Evi

    MITCHELL AVanderbilt University

    Summary. Does democracy suer when corruruption have been descriptive, making it diculttion. There are, of course, quantitative corruptioare measures of corruption perception aggregatedrience at the individual level. It is dicult to drawfrom such data. This paper proposes a corruptsearch approach to the measurement problemstrengths and limitations. The paper then presenUniversity Latin American Public Opinion Projeruption victimization on belief in the legitimacyocratic political stability. 2005 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

    Key words corruption, Latin America, survey

    doi:10.1016/j.worwww.elsevier.com/locate/worlddevin elections based on personal appeals

    381SELIGSON *

    Nashville, TN, USA

    ion is high? Unfortunately, most studies of cor-o develop a well-supported answer to this ques-measures, but the most popularly used of themt the national level, rather than corruption expe-rm conclusions about the impact of corruptionnvictimization measure based on a survey re-and discusses (in a non-technical fashion) itsdata from studies conducted by the Vanderbilt(LAPOP), and demonstrates the impact of cor-f the political system, a critical element in dem-

    esearch, democracyFinal revision accepted: March 9, 2005.

  • 382 WORLD DEVELOPMENTturmoil, an ephemeral coup detat, and, mostimportantly, a steady weakening of democraticguarantees (especially the separation of powers)in that country. At the same time, it is also truethat over a decade of abysmal economic perfor-mance also had weakened support for themainstream parties, so one cannot be certainif corruption played a central role in the declineof democracy in Venezuela. Moving beyondcase studies, there is limited cross-national re-search that links corruption and democracy,but the causal arrows have been reversed. Onekey study (Treisman, 2000), for example, hasshown that over the long run, democratic coun-tries become less corrupt, but the reverse hasnot been shown, namely, that highly corruptcountries experience weakened democratizationor even democratic breakdown.Perhaps the most extensive empirical study to

    date on the relationship between corruptionand democratization is the work of della Porta.In a series of papers focused on Europeancountries, corruption has been shown to de-crease satisfaction with democracy (della Porta,2000; della Porta & Meny, 1996). More recentwork, looking at Latin America, has alsopointed to weakening of democracy as a resultof corruption (Gingerich, 2004). In Japan,Pharr (2000) has shown that corruption bypublic ocials lowers public condence indemocracy. And in Italy, research has shownthat voters can punish corrupt politicians,although they do not always do so (Golden &Chang, 2001, 2004).These studies, while certainly suggestive of a

    link between corruption and democratic weak-ening, suer from a number of weaknesses, asthis paper discusses below. In particular, thereare two main diculties: First, the studies focuson the perception of corruption rather than actsof corruption themselves, thus leaving open thepossibility that even if corruption is at low lev-els, if perception is that it is high, democracycould be weakened. Second, and more impor-tant, the studies do not demonstrate the mech-anism by which corruption could impactdemocracy. This paper, by developing a cor-ruptionvictimization measure at the level ofthe individual and by showing how corruptionvictimization erodes belief in the legitimacy ofthe political system, hopes to draw the linkmore tightly.The specic argument made in this paper is

    that corruption weakens democracy by under-mining citizen trust in their regimes, in eect,

    delegitimizing them. Once that happens, citi-zens can seek alternatives to democracy,through support for the return of military rule,or through support for populist but anti-demo-cratic gures such as Hugo Chavez of Venezu-ela. Unlike dictatorships, that can employalmost unlimited coercion to stay in power,democracies rely on popular legitimacy to stayin power, as Lipset and others have argued(Easton, 1975; Kornberg & Clarke, 1992; Lip-set, 1961). If Weyland is right, and corruptionis on the rise, one can expect that the nascentdemocracies in Latin America, and by exten-sion the democratizing world, will have an evengreater diculty in establishing and retainingtheir right to govern. One of the major limita-tions that authoritarian regimes have in estab-lishing their own legitimacy is that more oftenthan not they operate as cleptocracies, in whichthe state is corrupt to its core, and citizensknow it. In a similar fashion, democracies,based as they are on expectations of account-ability, may weaken their own legitimacy whencorruption is rampant.Is there evidence for this linkage between cor-

    ruption and the erosion of legitimacy? In fact,the classic research in the eld, widely respectedfor many years, argued persuasively for pre-cisely the reverse relationship. From that pointof view, corruption serves a very constructivepurpose in developing countries by establishingfunctional clientelistic ties that bind constitu-ents to public ocials, allowing relatively low-cost circumvention of dysfunctional bureaucra-cies. In that way, corruption was seen as havinga positive impact on political systems. As Hun-tington (1968, p. 69) put it most succinctly inthis classic statement: the only thing worsethan a society with a rigid, over-centralized, dis-honest bureaucracy is one with a rigid, over-centralized honest bureaucracy. The view thatcorruption helps grease the wheels of dys-functional bureaucracies is prominent not onlyin the work of Huntington and classic workssuch as V.O. Keys Southern Politics publishedin 1949, but also in many more recent studies(Heidenheimer, Johnston, & LeVine, 1989). Inshort, according to this view, corruption is justwhat the doctor ordered for the Third World.Is this argument accurate and does corrup-

    tion help grease the wheels of the publicbureaucracy, thus making it more agile, func-tional, and most importantly more responsiveto public demands? If it does, then one wouldexpect that more corruption would lead togreater accountability and a public that is more

    satised with the political system.

  • to study it. In other areas of development, itis easy to have participants or outsiders list

    MEASUREMENT AND IMPACT OF CORRUPTION VICTIMIZATION 383More recent research, empirically based, takesthe opposite approach, one that is consistentwith international donor concerns that corrup-tion is not only unhelpful, but it can do seriousdamage to both economic growth and demo-cratic development (Rose-Ackerman, 1999).Unfortunately, there are few empirically basedstudies on the subject, and the ones that do exist,do not test corruption itself, but only percep-tions of corruption. One study on 10 Centraland Eastern European countries and Russiasupports the linkage, nding that greater per-ceived corruption relates to lower trust in demo-cratic institutions (Mishler & Rose, 2001). Amore recent study (Anderson & Tverdova,2003), based on 16 countries, including the Uni-ted States, Japan, New Zealand, and countriesin Western and Eastern Europe, concludes thatcorruption undermines citizens faith in theirgovernments. In the present paper, these nd-ings will be supported, but with a direct measureof corruption experienced by individuals wholive in the countries being studied rather thanwith an index of perception of the degree of cor-ruption constructed by external observers.In order to establish the linkage between cor-

    ruption and the erosion of support for democ-racy, the paper dwells on the issue of themeasurement of corruption. Early on in theinternational eorts to increase transparencyto ght corruption, it became evident that inorder to know precisely where to expend re-sources and how to measure the degree of pro-gram success, it was going to be very importantto be able to measure the magnitude of corrup-tion. However, unlike programs in otherareasfor example, health, where there areuniversally accepted objective indicators like in-fant mortality rates and life expectancythereis not as yet any universally accepted standardfor measuring corruption. But, unless it isknown how much corruption there is, whetherit is increasing or declining, little can be doneto target eorts to reduce it.In the absence of reliable data on corruption,

    it is dicult to target anti-corruption spending.More important, perhaps, it is that without reli-able and specic information on corruption,one cannot determine what impact, if any,anti-corruption eorts are having, which is,after all, the bottom line.Although constrained by the limited space

    available in the format dictated by these shortresearch notes, this paper will respond to thechallenge of developing better measures of cor-

    ruption in the following six sections:accomplishments. For example, health workerscan report on the number of vaccines adminis-tered or healthy babies delivered. We cannotask, however, for police ocers to report onthe number of bribes they take in a given weekor for customs ocials to report on how muchduty goes uncollected. The need to get somehandle on the level of corruption has led, overthe years, to pursuing dierent approaches tosolving this problem, but each approach hassuered from its own limitations.The early eorts were based on ocial police

    and court records. One simply counted thenumber of arrests and convictions for corrup-tion in a given country. The main diculty withthat approach, of course, was the spuriousnessof the measure; the more vigilant the authori-ties, the more arrests and convictions, produc-ing a corruption index that was almostcompletely independent of the corruption levelitself. For example, in highly corrupt countries,(1) a brief examination of the widespreaduse of corruption perception measure;(2) a discussion of an alternative measure ofcorruption experience;(3) an exploration into the level of corrup-tion detected by the corruptionvictimiza-tion series, using data from severalcountries drawn from the Vanderbilt Uni-versity Latin American Public Opinion Pro-ject (LAPOP);(4) an examination of the data to nd outwho the victims of corruption are;(5) a discussion of the research that hypoth-esizes about the positive and negative eectsof corruption on governance, providing evi-dence that shows just how dangerous cor-ruption is for democratic consolidation,that is, that corruption matters;(6) and nally, the paper will show how cor-ruption levels vary substantially withincountries.

    2. THE CHALLENGE: MEASURINGCORRUPTION 1

    It is not surprising that, until recently, cor-ruption research has been largely descriptiverather than empirical. Given its sub rosa nature,corruption is inherently an extremely dicultphenomenon to measurethus presenting alarge obstacle for those researchers attemptingthere may be virtually no enforcement, and

  • therefore, very little corruption is reported,while in squeaky clean countries, there maybe frequent arrests and convictions for evenminor infractions. For the most part, this ap-proach has been abandoned.In order to overcome the measurement prob-

    lem inherent in using ocial records, two newerapproaches have been takeneach with its ownlimitations, however. The rst is that carriedout by Berlin-based Transparency Interna-tional (TI) with its annual highly respectedand widely used corruptionperception index(CPI). TI is dedicated to generating publicsupport for anti-corruption programs andenhancing transparency and accountability ingovernment. In recent years, the index has beengreatly strengthened due to the use of multiplesources of data and multi-year averages, thusincreasing the reliability of the measure. 2 TheCPI remains the most widely used measure ofcorruption, akin to the Freedom House mea-sure of democracy. Most economists rely uponthe CPI when they examine the impact of cor-ruption on growth and investment.The results of the TI index for Latin America

    and nds 70 countriesincluding many of theworlds most poverty strickenthat score lessthan 5 out of a possible 10. For comparison,it is important to note that the countries witha score of higher than 9 are Finland, Denmark,New Zealand, Iceland, Singapore, and Sweden.As seen in Figure 1, no Latin American countryscores that high, with Chile scoring the highest,7.5. Only one other country scores above 5,Uruguay (at 5.1), while all other Latin Ameri-can countries do worse, placing them amongthe bottom 70 countries out of the 102 on thelist. It is obvious from this information thatcorruption in Latin America, at least as mea-sured by the TI perception index, is a seriousproblem.As illuminating as these results may seem to

    be, we need to consider their limitations. Thescores are based upon a series of surveys con-ducted by dierent organizations and includea measure from the Economist IntelligenceUnit, the Pricewaterhouse Coopers OpacityIndex, and data from Freedom House. Thesedata sources rely heavily upon the impressionsof international business people, who are rea-

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    384 WORLD DEVELOPMENTin 2002 are shown in Figure 1. The index rangesfrom a high of 10, in which the country is con-sidered to be highly clean to a 0, for coun-tries that are considered to be highlycorrupt. The 2002 report ranks 102 countries,

    0.00 2

    Score 10

    ParaguayBolivia

    EcuadorHaiti

    GuatemalaNicaraguaVenezuelaHondurasArgentina

    PanamaEl Salvador

    Dominican RepublicColombia

    MexicoBrazilPeru

    Costa RicaUruguay

    Chile

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    2.502.502.50

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    3Figure 1. Transparency international corruptiosonably good, albeit limited, sources of data.The great strength of these data sources is alsoa weaknessthey tap into the perceptions ofindividuals engaged in international businessand thus are good at evaluating business trans-

    4.00 6.00

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    03.403.503.603.60

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    7.50nperception index for Latin America, 2002.

  • MEASUREMENT AND IMPACT OF CORRUPTION VICTIMIZATION 385actions, but they are weak at tapping into thewhole range of activities pursued by the citizensof the countries being evaluated. These activi-ties are not business related and thus requirea dierent kind of data. Moreover, a problemwith data from such sources is that it is dicultto separate stereotyping from reality. Theseindexes do not attempt to report on how fre-quently bribery actually occurs in the countriesbeing studied but on how corrupt the respon-dents perceive the countries to be. Of course,this may be based on their own experience oron what they happened to have heard about aspecic country. Consider Paraguaylongconsidered by most experts on Latin Americato be an endemically corrupt country. It is alsoa country with very little foreign investmentand very few international business arrange-ments. According to the World Bank, forexample, net private capital inows for Para-guay in 2000 was a negative $16 million andtotal foreign direct investment was only $82million in an economy with a GDP of $6.9 bil-lion. Foreign direct investment in Paraguayamounts to only about 1% of the GDP, a levelonly one-sixth of that of its neighbor Brazil.How many of the respondents in the surveysof business people used by the data sourceswhose perceptions were incorporated into theCPI had actually conducted business in Para-guay? The chances are, not many. Rather it islikely that the ratings of Paraguay are basedlargely upon a stereotype which may or maynot be closely linked to reality. Furthermore,while TI draws on 15 dierent sources for itsdata, Paraguays results emerge from consult-ing only three sources because so few datasources have a large enough sampling of busi-ness people to enable Paraguay to be given ascore. Finland, on the other hand, with a pop-ulation nearly identical to that of Paraguay,was rated by eight sources. Indeed, an inspec-tion of the number of sources used for LatinAmerican countries as a whole reveals that,with the exception of the largest and richest,most were rated by only a handful of sources,raising doubts about the reliability of the infor-mation.A further complication with the CPI is that it

    may suer from an endogeneity problem.That is, the results of the CPI may be stronglyinuenced by factors other than direct observa-tion by participants. Consider the case ofArgentina. In 1995, when Argentina was thedarling of the development community, having

    progressed rapidly in its privatization pro-grams, it was scored at 5.2 on a 0-to-10 scaleby TI. By 2002, however, the Argentine econ-omy was in ruins, and its score had plummetedto 2.8. If Argentina had retained its 1995 cor-ruption score, it would have been ranked sec-ond in all of Latin America and near the topof the developing world. But by 2002, it hadfallen into the bottom half in Latin America.Was that precipitous fall in the index, reectinga putative increase in corruption, a function ofa sudden real increase in corruption or didthose who responded to the CPI surveys beginto note a discrepancy between low economicperformance and the TI score of reasonablylow levels of corruption? If so, it may well bethat corruption levels were, in reality, not muchdierent in 2002 than they had been in 1995 butthat respondents to the TI surveys felt the needto adjust their corruption scores to match thelevel of Argentinas economic performance. Inother words, it is likely that the TI corruptionmeasure on Argentina declined not becausecorruption increased, but because the poor per-formance of the economy told observers thatcorruption must be higher than they thoughtit had been. On the other hand, if we assumethat the TI index for Argentina was actuallypicking up on a sudden increase in corruptionover the period 19952002, then this would im-ply that decelerated growth actually increasedcorruption. However, the logic of the researchfrom the World Bank and others has been justthe opposite; namely, that high levels of corrup-tion retard growth. If poor economic perfor-mance is the cause of corruption rather thanthe other way around, then anti-corruptionprograms would be irrelevant since the xfor corruption would be to spur economicgrowth.In recent years, a very widely used alternative

    to the TI measure has emerged from the WorldBank Institute, which has been releasing a ser-ies of governance indicators that include ameasure of control of corruption. 3 Theseindicators are widely cited as the best availablemeasures of national governance. The resultsfor Latin America are shown in Figure 2. Dowe learn something new from these data thatwe did not know from the TI measure? It isobvious from comparison with the TI resultsshown in Figure 1 that the two scores corre-spond very closely. Indeed, the rankorder cor-relation (Spearmans rho) between the twomeasures is an almost perfect 0.96. Rarely dothe social sciences produce such consistent re-

    sults in indexes based on perception, and we

  • 0.26.3

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    386 WORLD DEVELOPMENTare left with the impression of great precision ofmeasurement in these two apparently indepen-dent sources. Careful examination of the twodata sources reveals, however, that they relyon most of the very same sources from whichthey derive their indexes, explaining why theyarrive at similar conclusions. The problemsnoted with the CPI, then, are also to be foundin the World Bank Institute control of corrup-tion measure.The lesson from this examination of TIs CPI

    coun

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    2.0

    EcuadorParaguay

    HaitiNicaragua

    BoliviaGuatemala

    HondurasVenezuela

    PanamaColombiaArgentina

    El SalvadorMexico

    Dominican RepublicPeru

    BrazilUruguay

    Costa RicaChile

    11

    2.082.392.582.77

    3.3

    Figure 2. World Bank Institute Cand the World Bank Institutes Corruption-Control Index is that one ought to interprettheir results with care, while recognizing thatthey are probably the best measures currentlyavailable for a worldwide ranking. If a generalnotion of the level of corruption in a country isneeded, these measures are, at least for the mo-ment, the best source. They allow internationalagencies to target the countries with the highestlevels of corruption and, of course, can providean important tool for investors who want toknow what they are likely to confront if they in-vest in a specic country. Unfortunately, how-ever, the measures are of limited utility formuch of what anti-corruption programs aretrying to accomplish in transparency and anti-corruption programs because they provide onlya national aggregate measure, with no break-downs by type or locus of corruption. These mea-sures do not reveal, for any of the countries,those who are most likely to be aected by cor-ruptionmaking it very dicult to design acost-eective anti-corruption strategy. Simi-larly, an aggregate measure for a country doesnot allow development practitioners to measurethe impact of specic anti-corruption pro-grams. Equally frustrating, the TI and WBImeasures are limited in that they are presentedas relative scores (i.e., ranks and percentiles). 4

    Consider the situation where the worldwidetrend is toward improvement, and an individ-ual country has done better from one year tothe next; if others have also improved, theimpression will be given that the country in

    4.00 6.00 8.00

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    ruption-Control Index, 2001/2002.question has stagnated. Moreover, the aggre-gate, nationwide measures make it impossibleto know if corruption does in fact erode con-dence in the political system, as the WorldBank argues, or if it has the positive impactsthat Huntington claimed for it. Moreover, na-tional aggregate measures of corruption donot allow for an examination of regions orgroupings within a country. It is risky to as-sume that corruption is uniform throughout acountry, and the data presented in this paperwill show that it is in fact not. If anti-corrup-tion programs want to target certain geo-graphic hot spots of corruption, for example,then national aggregate measures like the CPIare not helpful. If such programs want to targetcertain groups demographically, socioeconomi-cally, or occupationally, the CPI cannot help.How to solve the problem of nding a mea-

    sure of corruption that is both valid and sub-national? A new approach has been taken byHarvards Susan Pharr, who constructs anindex based on newspaper reports of corruption

  • able because of the likelihood that the datahave been manipulated. Police chiefs who want

    MEASUREMENT AND IMPACT OF CORRUPTION VICTIMIZATION 387new patrol cars from their local governmentshave a strong incentive to help justify the re-quest by providing evidence that a crimewave has hit the town. To develop this evi-dence, the police chief may tell his/her ocersto become especially aggressive when enforcingthe law, or it may be that the gures themselveshave been cooked. Alternatively, politicianswho want to take credit for successes in ghtingcrime have the incentive to make it appear thatcrime is on the wane, and salary raises for thepolice force might subtly be made contingentupon less aggressive policing.In order to overcome these intractable prob-

    lems, criminologists have increasingly come torely upon victimization surveys, which arewidely regarded as providing a more accuratetally of crime rates. 5 That approach is theinspiration for the current movement to usesurveys of national populations to estimate cor-(Pharr, 2000). One advantage of this method isthat the newspaper articles report where thecorruption occurred and who was involved.Unfortunately, this measure alone cannot over-come the problem of validity. The accusationsreported in the articles may be entirely theinvention of the newspaper sta, whose motiva-tions for making the accusation may vary froma desire to increase circulation to an eort toweaken one party or candidate and strengthenanother. Indeed, the newspaper may publishstories on alleged acts of corruption becausethe paper is on the take from some politicalor business group that wants to make its oppo-nents look bad. The classic example of thiscomes from Mexico, where Excelsior, for dec-ades regarded as the newspaper of recordin that country, was subsequently found tohave been on the payroll of the PRI (the rulingparty) for decades.

    3. MEASURING CORRUPTIONVICTIMIZATION

    Recently, a more promising method has beendeveloped that largely overcomes both of thelimitations of the previously mentioned meth-ods. The new approach has been inspired bycrime-victimization surveys, which have be-come the mainstay of sociological investigationinto crime. Criminologists have long recognizedthat ocial reports of crime are highly unreli-ruption levels. Internationally, this approachhas been spearheaded by the UN Center forInternational Crime Prevention. Implementedin 1987, the International Crime Victim Survey(ICVS) now includes 55 countries, with samplesof between 1,000 and 2,000 respondents percountry. In 1996, for the rst time, a questionwas included in the surveys on bribe victim-ization.The UN approach represented a good start,

    but a broader series of questions is to be pre-ferred since anti-corruption projects need muchmore detailed information about the natureand level of corruption than a single questioncould provide. That is precisely the reason be-hind the approach that the LAPOP beganapplying in 1996 and the World Bank beganusing in 1998. These eorts, which may alsoincidentally ask about perception of corruption,focus on actual citizen experience (i.e., victim-ization) with public sector corruption. A reviewof the approach used by the World Bank hasbeen presented as a conference paper (Kauf-mann, 1998). The World Bank studies havebeen carried out in Nicaragua, Honduras,and, more recently, Ecuador, and, by 2003,have been carried out in many other countriesaround the world. 6 The World Bank surveysgenerally include samples of the national pub-lic, but also include specialized samples of ser-vice users and of government ocials. In thatway, they are able to get at corruption from avariety of angles. Moreover, the World Bankhas made eorts to calculate the cost of corrup-tion by asking respondents to indicate the valueof the bribe solicited or paid. The World Banksurveys, however, do not include questions onattitudes toward democracy, thus making itimpossible to see how corruption might aectdemocracy.The eort has been to measure corruption

    and its impact. Corruption is measured by di-rect personal experience with it. In the courseof a public opinion survey of democratic valuesand behaviors, which is generally applied to aprobability sample (i.e., random sample) ofthe country being studied, a module of ques-tions on corruption experience has been devel-oped and rened since its rst application in1996. 7 In this approach, respondents are askeda series of questions recording their experiencewith corruption over the year immediatelyprior to the survey. A study of longer timeframes can be attempted, but not only is thereliability of memory over long periods prob-lematic, it is also especially important to

    limit the time frame so that the impact of

  • 388 WORLD DEVELOPMENTanti-corruption projects and programs can bepicked up in subsequent measurements. Thesesurveys, then, include both the key indepen-dent variable (i.e., corruption victimization)and the key dependent variable (i.e., trustin the system of government) so that the impactof the former on the latter can be measured,controlling for other factors (e.g., respondentincome, education, gender, region, party alia-tion, etc.).The forms of corruption measured were

    decided upon based on focus groups and wereones that were found to be most commonlyexperienced in Latin America. The items havevaried from questionnaire to questionnaire,but the following questions are common to anumber of them:

    being stopped by a police ocer for atrumped-up infraction of the law;being asked to pay a bribe 8 to a policeocer;observing a bribe being paid to a policeocer;observing a bribe being paid to a publicocial;being asked to pay a bribe to a publicocial;being asked to pay an illegal fee to expeditea transaction at the municipal government;being asked to pay a bribe at work;being asked to pay a bribe in the courtsystem;paying bribes to a public utility to avoidpaying the full bill;being asked to pay a bribe in the schoolsystem; andbeing asked to pay a bribe for services inthe public health/hospital system.The reader will note that most of the items in

    the series focus on corruption directly experi-enced by the respondents but that some of themfocus on the respondents observations whenbribes were being paid by others. We have la-beled this as indirect or vicarious corrup-tion. In each country where the survey hasbeen applied, it was found that direct, personalexperience with corruption is less frequent thanindirect or vicarious experiences. The reasonfor this could be that individuals may be und-erreporting their own experience with corrup-tion out of fear that reporting it could getthem into some sort of legal trouble. Focus-group research has shown that an underreport-ing problem exists but is surprisingly limited.On the other hand, saying that one observed

    someone else paying a bribe might be a wayof actually reporting ones own bribery experi-ence with the advantage of deniability. Yet, itmay be possible that these reports of observedacts of corruption could be inatedreportingmore on perception than reality. In analyzingthe data in this paper, the focus is almost en-tirely on the direct forms of corruption.A second observation about the series of

    questions relates to corruption in schools andin public health. Focus-group research demon-strated that users of these services tend to bevery well aware of the rules of the game. If,for example, primary education is supposed tobe free, many citizens consider it corruptbehavior if fees are demanded by the teachers,even if the purpose of the fee is to purchasebooks or supplies that ought to come fromthe state. For that reason, the original question-naire series referred to improper payments inthe schools or health clinics. However, somecritics of these questions suggested that thesepayments were not really signs of corruptionbut merely a reection of the poor state of pub-lic nancing of human services. In order to fo-cus directly on corruption itself, these itemshave been altered in the most recent adminis-trations of the questionnaire, and the term im-proper payments was dropped and bribessubstituted. This change resulted in a small de-cline in reported acts of corruption in the healthservice and a somewhat larger decline of re-ported acts of corruption in the school system.Yet, even with these adjustments the levels re-main distressingly high, as will be shown below.The analysis of the corruptionvictimization

    data has been carried out in two ways. First,when the particular form of corruption is thefocus (in order, perhaps, to develop an anti-cor-ruption campaign targeted to each specic formof corruption), individual items are chosen tobe analyzed so that the particular form of cor-ruption can be highlighted. The second ap-proach is to form an overall scale ofcorruption so that the total experiences can beexamined and linked to their impact on individ-ual variables, such as political legitimacy. Whenformed as a scale, the items have been found tobe reliable (Cronbach Alphas of around 0.75,depending on the country).In approach to corruption victimization pre-

    sented here, national samples have been used.The World Bank, however, which has also car-ried out national samples of corruption victim-ization, has included specialized samples ofindividuals in various sectors, such as the busi-

    ness world or various sectors of the state. The

  • MEASUREMENT AND IMPACT OF CORRUPTION VICTIMIZATION 389advantage of the World Bank approach is thatit allows an even ner-grained targeting of anti-corruption eorts; the disadvantage, of course,is cost.

    (a) Limitations of the corruptionvictimizationmeasure

    No system of measuring attitudes or behav-iors is without limitations, and the corrup-tionvictimization measure suers from twoof them, which will be pointed out here.

    Are all survey respondents who reporthaving paid a bribe really victims? Per-haps some bribe payers are not victims atall but in fact are willing participants inthe transaction, deliberately seeking to cir-cumvent rules and regulations in order toadvance their own objectives. Such individu-als, then, may not be victims but willingclients in a patron/client relationship withthe bribe taker. On the other hand, if thesystem were both fair and ecient, therewould be little reason for citizens to becomeclients. If the police did not regularly stopmotorists in Latin America who have donenothing wrong, then there would be no rea-son to oer to pay a bribe. Similarly, ininstances when the motorist actually com-mits a trac infraction and seeks to avoida ticket and the corresponding ne, an hon-est police ocer would not demand oraccept a bribe. If the public sector were bothfair and ecient, individuals could easilyobtain the service they are seeking (e.g., apermit from the local government) and therewould be no need to pay a bribe. Addition-ally, if one sought to avoid paying a large,legally established fee for a service and thepublic ocials were honest, no bribe wouldbe accepted. In short, while it is always pos-sible to view corruption victims as corrup-tion partners, bribery would be largelyfutile if not for the ineciency and complic-ity of a corrupt public sector.The survey approach is awed because itmeasures only low-level corruption, but isincapable of measuring much high-level cor-ruption. This critique is valid, but only to alimited degree. It is true that surveys of thepublic do not measurenor do they attemptto measurehigh-level corruption (e.g.,bribes paid to ministers or legislators). But,it would be a serious error to assume thatlow-level corruption is not strongly corre-

    lated with the degree of corruption at thetop. It is simply not reasonable to imaginethat a political system that is very corruptat the level of day-to-day transactions(police, local government, schools, banks,etc.) would be squeaky clean at the top. Sim-ilarly, it is dicult to imagine the reverse sit-uation with a highly corrupt senioradministration combined with an absenceof corruption down on the street. Since thereseems to be no reasonable way to directlymeasure high-level corruption (rather, onlythe perception of that corruption), the vic-timization approach used by the LatinAmerican Public Opinion may be the bestinstrument currently available.

    (b) Perception and corruption victimization:Are they linked?

    The corruptionvictimization surveys alwaysalso ask at least one question regarding therespondents perception of corruption andtherefore provide for a test of the putative link-age between corruption perception (the basis ofthe TI CPI) and the fact of corruption as expe-rienced by residents of the countries included inthe TI series. Are the two linked? Yes and no.By examining Figure 3, one can see that as cor-ruption victimization increases, there is a signif-icant increase in the perception of corruptionon the part of individuals in the countries in-cluded in this series. Yet, it is important notto overstate this nding because on a 0100scale, for all four countries in this sample, allaverages are in the 6070 range for respondentswho have not had any direct personal corrup-tion experiences within the 12 months prior totheir being surveyed. In other words, eventhough respondents to these surveys have notbeen personally aected by corruption, at leastin the year prior to the survey, they nonethelessgenerally view corruption as being extensive intheir countries. In contrast (with the exceptionof Paraguay), even among those who had beenvictimized two or more times in the past year,the increase in the level of perception of corrup-tion is quite small, generally fewer than 10points on a 100-point scale. More troubling stillfor those who wish to rely on corruption per-ception is the case of El Salvador, where thosewho had experienced the highest frequency ofcorruption had a somewhat lower perceptionof the degree of corruption than those whohad been victimized only one time.These ndings caution us to be very carefulwhen estimating corruption on the basis of

  • w

    m

    390 WORLD DEVELOPMENTperception rather than experience since the twomay not have a close t. Moreover, in countriesin which a major eort to reduce corruption hasbeen successful, it may well be that the cam-paign to do so heightens awareness of corrupt

    All sig. < .05

    Number of direct personal experiences

    OneNone

    Mea

    n pe

    rcep

    tion

    of c

    orru

    ptio

    n

    100

    90

    80

    70

    60

    50

    40

    30

    20

    10

    0

    Figure 3. Impact of corruption victipractices and therefore might produce an in-crease in the perception of corruption preciselyat the time when actual corruption is declining.The point becomes even more obvious in Fig-ure 4, where a direct eort was made to seehow a perception-based measure tracks withactual corruption experience. As is evidentfrom the results, although corruption variessubstantially from country to country in thesix-country sample, perception has only a weakrelationship to victimization levels. If one wereto use perception as the measure, for example,one would conclude that there is more corrup-tion in El Salvador than in Bolivia, when in factit is very clearly the other way around. The ac-tual TI ranking for these countries does cor-rectly show that Bolivia is worse than ElSalvador, but while Bolivia scores 2.2 on the110 scale (see Figure 4), El Salvador scoresonly slightly better at 3.4. The corruptionvic-timization scale in Figure 4 shows that Boliviahas a level of corruption more than four timesthat of El Salvador.However, these comparisons do not make the

    indexes generated by TI and the World Bankobsolete, as they are the only ones currentlyavailable for many countries. When using thesebroad measures for specic developmental pur-poses, however, considerable care must be ta-ken or these measures of perception couldbecome reied.

    ith corruption

    Two or more

    Paraguay

    El Salvador

    Nicaragua

    Bolivia

    ization on perception of corruption.(c) Corruption victimization in sixLatin American countries

    (i) How frequent is it?The surveys of Latin America reveal that cor-

    ruption is widespread and emerging in manydierent forms, some more frequently experi-enced than others. This paper, which can onlyhighlight a small portion of the data becauseof space limitations, focuses on direct corrup-tion victimization rather than observed corrup-tion.One very common way in which corruption

    aects Latin Americans is through the very o-cials who should be involved in controlling itnamely, the police force. The results shown inFigure 5 reveal that over one in four Bolivianshave been stopped annually by a police ocerand asked to pay a bribe. In contrast, this hap-pens to only 3% of the population of El Salva-dor. Respondents in these countries were alsoasked about being asked to pay a bribe by apublic ocial, and the comparative results areshown in Figure 6. Once again, consider the ex-tremesEl Salvador has a 4% corruptionvic-

  • 7MEASUREMENT AND IMPACT OF CORRUPTION VICTIMIZATION 391dex

    valu

    e

    100

    80

    60

    75

    696971timization rate and Bolivia has a 28% rate. Butalso consider the consistency with which thecountries are ordered; the only dierence be-tween bribes solicited by police and bribes solic-ited by the more generic public employees isthat in the later instance, data are availablefrom Paraguay, which is found to have corrup-tion levels somewhat lower than Bolivia buthigher than Ecuador. The overall pattern that

    Spearman's rho = .098, sig. < .001

    EcuadNicaragua

    Honduras

    El Salvador

    In 40

    20

    0

    1915

    95

    Figure 4. Do national level perceptions of corr

    Sig. < .001

    NicaHonduras

    El Salvador

    % s

    olici

    ted

    brib

    e

    30%

    20%

    10%

    0%

    6

    3

    Figure 5. Police oc64

    7emerges here is the large gap in corruption vic-timization between Central America and SouthAmerica, with the former being far lower thanthe latter.The survey also collected information on in-

    stances of corruption in specic settings. Forexample, respondents were asked questionsabout being asked to pay a bribe at work (Fig-ure 7). What is striking about these results is

    BoliviaParaguayor

    How commonare bribes?

    Index of corruptionvictimization

    27

    22

    uptioin track with corruption victimization?

    BoliviaEcuador

    ragua

    27

    14

    7

    er solicited a bribe.

  • 392 WORLD DEVELOPMENT30%how much lower they are than those of public-sector corruption (compare with gures above).It might be assumed that these low levels are afunction of the fact that signicant percentagesof respondents are not employed (i.e., students,

    NicaraguHonduras

    El Salvador

    % s

    olic

    ited

    20%

    10%

    0%

    8

    64

    Figure 6. Public emplo

    Bribe solicit

    NicEl Salvador

    Honduras

    % v

    ictim

    s

    14%

    12%

    10%

    8%

    6%

    4%

    2%

    0%

    43

    Figure 7. Bribe so26retired, unemployed) and thus did not have theopportunity to be subjected to work-placebribery. 9 If, however, the analysis is limitedto employed respondents, corruption levels doincrease, but not by much, leading to the con-

    BoliviaParaguay

    Ecuadora

    21

    19

    yee solicited a bribe.

    ed at work

    BoliviaEcuador

    aragua

    13

    11

    6

    licited at work.

  • Bo

    lic

    MEASUREMENT AND IMPACT OF CORRUPTION VICTIMIZATION 393clusion that corruption in the workplace is sim-ply not as common as it is in interactions withthe public sector (as shown in Figures 5 and 6).Bribery in the courts varies widely fromcountry to country (as shown in Figure 8). In

    Sig. < .001

    Honduras

    El Salvador

    % v

    ictim

    s

    30%

    20%

    10%

    0%

    7

    Figure 8. Bribe soplaces like El Salvador, it seems to be veryuncommon, whereas in Paraguay, it is veryfrequent. 10

    Recently, the World Bank Institute has beenfocusing on bribery at the level of users of ser-vices. In the questions analyzed thus far, all cit-izens are, at least in some fashion, users ofpolice services. But not all (or even most) citi-zens make use of the court system. In orderto focus on users of public services, the LAPOPhas recently been adding questions to itssurvey.The respondents are rst asked if they use the

    service, and then they are asked if they havehad to pay a bribe to use that service. Questionshave been asked regarding bribery when carry-ing out a transaction at the local municipalgovernment, using the court system, sendingchildren to public schools, and accessing a pub-lic health service (e.g., clinics and hospitals).The results for Ecuador are shown in Figure 9and are very disturbing. It should be kept inmind that Ecuador has already shown itself tobe a high-corruption country, at least whencompared to Central America, based on theLAPOP data and also when considered fromthe World Bank Institute perspective (Ecuadorranks last in Latin America on corruption con-trol in the World Bank data). The survey re-sults for Ecuador show that one-fth of itsadult citizens who carry out a transaction with

    Paraguay

    Nicaragua

    livia

    22

    18

    13

    ited in the courts.the local government pay bribes when doing so,over one-quarter of the users of courts havebeen asked to pay bribes, and over one-thirdwho use public health services and two-fthsof users of public education facilities pay bribesthere. 11 These results are disheartening as theyindicate that those who use a public service inLatin America need to expect to be asked topay a bribe.

    (d) Who are the victims? Variation withincountries

    Victimization by corruption is not uniformacross the populations of the countries in whichit occurs. On the whole, males are much morelikely to be victimized by corruption than fe-males. As shown in Figure 10, for the generalitem on having a public employee solicit abribe, in every country except Honduras, malesare signicantly more likely to be corruptionvictims than females. In El Salvador, althoughthe overall level of corruption is relativelylow, the gap is proportionately very wide. How-ever, this is largely because males make greateruse of many public services than females. As

  • 394 WORLD DEVELOPMENTvict

    imiz

    ed

    50%

    40%

    30%shown in Figure 11, in Ecuador, where the sur-vey data make it possible to focus on the subsetof service users, the gender gap is much nar-rower and males are not signicantly morelikely to be victimized than females in Ecuador(among users of the municipality, courts, andhealth services) but only somewhat more likelyto be victimized by the school system.Those seeking bribes know where to nd the

    deep pockets. Figure 12 shows that as in-

    All sig. except Honduras < .05

    EcNicaragua

    HondurasEl Salvador

    Mea

    n Pu

    blic

    em

    ploy

    ee b

    ribe

    40%

    30%

    20%

    10%

    0%

    65

    2

    2

    10

    66

    Figure 10. Impact of corruption on gender: si

    Sig. < .001

    Courts

    Municipality

    %

    20%

    10%

    27

    20

    Figure 9. Bribes solicited from41

    35come increases, the probability of being a cor-ruption victim increases sharply. Those withhigher incomes are two or three times morelikely to be victimized by corruption than thosewith low incomes. 12 Of course, those withhigher incomes invariably have more businessto transact, more permits and permissions torequest, and as a result, come into more fre-quent contact with the public bureaucracy. In-deed, they may be more likely to be seeking

    BoliviaParaguay

    uador

    Gender

    Male

    Female

    21

    1615

    30

    27

    3

    x countries, public employee solicited bribe.

    School

    Health service

    users of services: Ecuador.

  • MEASUREMENT AND IMPACT OF CORRUPTION VICTIMIZATION 395% v

    ictim

    s

    50%

    40%

    30%30ways to pay bribes in order to acquire a givenservice. At the highest income levels, victimiza-tion seems to taper o, at least in Ecuador andParaguay, perhaps because the individuals in-volved are wealthy enough to be able to usepolitical inuence to achieve what they needout of the system and do not have to confrontoutright bribery. It may also be that at thehighest level of income in the survey, respon-dents have more to hide, and therefore they re-duce their reporting of corruption. Since the

    Only school corruption sig.CourtsMunicipal

    20%

    10%

    24

    18

    21

    Figure 11. Impact of corruption on

    Sig. < .001Inco

    % v

    ictim

    s

    50%

    40%

    30%

    20%

    10%

    0%

    Figure 12. Respondent income and pu39

    32

    44

    37surveys do not measure the dollar value ofbribes, it may be that while the rich pay bribesmore frequently than the poor, that the relativecost to them is lower than it is for the poor,making bribery regressive. This has been a nd-ing of the World Bank.There is also a life-cycle eect that determines

    who the corruption victims are likely to be.Typically, the youngest respondents in the sur-veys are somewhat less likely to be corruptionvictims. Once they move out of their parents

    SchoolHealth

    Gender

    Male

    Female

    gender: service users in Ecuador.

    me

    COUNTRY

    Paraguay

    Ecuador

    blic employee solicitation of bribes.

  • homes and set up their own families, however,they have greater contact with the bureaucracy,and corruption victimization increases. On theother hand, once Latin Americans age and be-gin to withdraw from active engagement withthe larger society, corruption victimizationfalls. In El Salvador (Figure 13), corruption vic-timization peaks abruptly in the 2130 year agegroup, and then falls o sharply. In Bolivia

    (Figure 14), where there are much higher over-all levels of corruption than El Salvador, thepeak is also reached in the 20s but continueshigh until middle age, when it then fallssharply.Although there are many other demographic

    and socioeconomic patterns that corruptionvictimization followsa number of which arefound in the various country-focused reports

    Sig. < .001Age

    51-9541-5031-4021-3018-20

    Mea

    n ex

    perie

    nce

    with

    cor

    rupt

    ion

    7

    6

    5

    4

    3

    2

    National average

    Figure 13. Personal experience with corruption and age: El Salvador.

    % v

    ictim

    ized

    28%

    26%

    24%

    22%

    20%

    396 WORLD DEVELOPMENTSig. < .001

    36-4526-3518-25

    18%

    16%

    14%Figure 14. Corruption victimAge66+56-6546-55ization and age: Bolivia.

  • of the LAPOPonly one remaining key ndingwill be covered in this brief overview. Urbani-zation greatly increases exposure to corruption.In Bolivia, corruption is much higher in urbanareas than it is anywhere else in the country(Figure 15). In Honduras, the same pattern isfound, but in this case, the results comparethree dierent measures of corruption: hearingor observing corruption, being a victim, and a

    combined index. All three measures show thesame general pattern (Figure 16).The ndings from Honduras in the gure

    provide clear guidance to those who wish toexamine sub-national variation in corruption.Even though both Tegucigalpa and San PedroSula are the countrys only large urban areas,the corruption victimization in the Tegucigalpaarea, the seat of the central government, is far

    Sig. < .001Dispersed rural

    Rural 500-1,999

    Urban 2,000-20,000

    Urban >20,000

    Cor

    rupt

    ion

    inde

    x

    30%

    28%

    26%

    24%

    22%

    20%

    18%

    16%

    Figure 15. Corruption victimization and urbanization: Bolivia.

    f

    la

    % v

    ictim

    ized

    40%

    30%

    20%

    10%Heard/saw

    Total index

    MEASUREMENT AND IMPACT OF CORRUPTION VICTIMIZATION 397Sig. < .001Location o

    San Pedro Su

    Tegucigalpa

    Tegucigalpa

    0%Figure 16. Corruption victimizatiointerview

    Rural area

    Municipal capital

    Department capital

    Personal victimn and urbanization: Honduras.

  • higher than that found in San Pedro Sula. Theappropriate conclusion from this nding is thatit is not urbanization per se but the presence ofgovernment that has had the major impact oncorruption levels. But, it is important not tolose sight of other factors, including regionaltraditions that inuence the level of corruption.It has already been shown, for example, thatcorruption victimization varies by age and in-come, and other reports in the series haveshown that it varies by wealth as well. Whathappens when all of these factors are controlledfor, and corruption levels are examined net ofthem? Figure 17, which shows graphical varia-tion in corruption in Nicaragua, reveals thatthere is a hot spot that includes the countryscapital, Managua. But it is also clear that regio-nal traditions play a role; otherwise, it would beimpossible to explain the very low level of cor-ruption victimization in the department ofLeon, which borders on Managua, and the highlevel of corruption in the department of Chi-nandega on its other border. It is also clear thatregional traditions matter in Bolivia, where thedepartment of Oruro has higher corruption lev-els than the national capital, La Paz. The re-sults shown in Figure 18 are presented along

    really the margin of error produced by the sam-ple. This means that the average corruptionscore shown for each department, representedby the square box, is surrounded by a bandabove and below the point that represents therange in which, 95% of the time, the actualaverage would be found if the survey had inter-viewed the entire population. Condence inter-vals help distinguish dierences amongdepartments that are merely a function of thesample design and those that are true dier-ences. Thus, as Figure 18 demonstrates, forexample, Oruro and La Paz have signicantlymore corruption than El Beni, but Coc-habambas condence interval overlaps thatof La Paz, and therefore, the two should be as-sumed to be insignicantly dierent from eachother.An overall pattern emerges in these ndings;

    those who use the public sector more frequentlyare more likely to be victimized by it. Thisseems to be a trivial truism, until one pausesto think about the impact this has on the polit-ical systemthe more Latin Americans usetheir government the more likely they are tobe victimized by it. The implications for erod-ing public condence are obvious and will be

    nta

    398 WORLD DEVELOPMENTwith their condence intervals, which is

    Madriz

    Chinandega

    Len

    Managua

    Nueva Segovia

    Boaco

    Carazo

    Cho

    Estel

    Granada

    Jinotega

    Masaya

    Matagalpa

    RivasFigure 17. Corruption experience in Nicaragua: residuashown empirically below.

    Ri San Juan

    RAAS

    RAAN

    lesls controlled for age, income, education, and wealth.

  • ha

    co

    MEASUREMENT AND IMPACT OF CORRUPTION VICTIMIZATION 3994. CORRUPTION ERODES POLITICALLEGITIMACY

    One of the most frequently heard commentsis that corruption erodes trust and condencein the political system. Typical of those who de-cry the negative eects of corruption, the World

    397297402295N =Coc

    Potos

    La Paz

    Oruro

    % v

    ictim

    ized

    40%

    30%

    20%

    10%

    0%

    Figure 18. Public employee solicited bribe:Bank frequently argues the thesis, Corruptionviolates the public trust and corrodes socialcapital. . . Unchecked, the creeping accumula-tion of seemingly minor infractions can slowlyerode political legitimacy. (World Bank,1997, pp. 102104). Unfortunately, althoughthe Bank presented substantial evidence thatcorruption negatively aects the economy, itprovided no support for the claims that minorcorruption (or even major corruption) erodespolitical legitimacy. While the Bank has pre-sented a great deal of evidence on the level ofthe independent variable (corruption), it haspresented no corresponding evidence on thedependent variable (political legitimacy). Themore recent World Bank Institute studies, asreported above, use a multi-index measure ofgovernance, including perceptions of corrup-tion worldwide, and have found that per capitaincomes are lower and infant mortality andadult illiteracy are higher when governance ispoor (Kaufmann, Kraay, & Zoido-Lobaton,1999). Yet once again, there is no eort to linkcorruption on the one hand and political legit-imacy on the other.Corruption surveys, though embryonic, ap-pear to be the most promising of the eortsundertaken to date to test the corruption/ero-sion of the legitimacy thesis. As discussed inthis study, these surveys obtain corruptionexperience data at the level of the individualwhile simultaneously obtaining information

    300298294289400El Beni

    Chuquisaca

    TarijaPando

    Santa Cruzbamba

    ndence intervals by department in Bolivia.from those same individuals about their beliefin the legitimacy of their government. The ana-lytical task, then, becomes searching for theconnections between corruption experienceand legitimacy beliefs after appropriate controlvariables are introduced.Latin America, where currently there is

    extensive attention focused on corruption, is agood place to test the hypothesized relationshipbetween corruption and legitimacy for two rea-sons (Tulchin & Espach, 2000). First, as shownat the outset of this paper, this is a region of theworld frequently found to have high levels ofcorruption. Second, Latin America has longhad problems of political stability, suering aseemingly endless succession of coups throughmuch of its history (Seligson & Carrion,2002). If, as Easton (1975) and also Lipset(1994) and Lipset and Lenz (2000) have argued,legitimacy is a fundamental requisite for demo-cratic stability, then it is plausible that legiti-macy is questionable in many Latin Americancountries. From an empirical point of view,considerable evidence exists to show that legit-imacy levels remain low in many countries in

  • 400 WORLD DEVELOPMENTthe region despite 10 or more years of demo-cratic rule (Seligson, 2000).Legitimacy is measured in the surveys by a

    scale of diuse support attempting to tap intocondence in the key institutions of govern-ment (Muller, Jukam, & Seligson, 1982; Selig-son, 1983). The scale is based on ve items,each scored on a metric of 17. The items, ini-tially developed in studies of Germany and theUnited States and rened in several studies ofLatin America, sought to tap into generalizedsupport for the basic institutions of governmentrather than support for the incumbent govern-ment (Muller, Seligson, & Turan, 1987).Respondents were asked (1) To what extentdo the courts guarantee a fair trial? (2)How much respect do you have for the polit-ical institutions of the country? (3) Howmuch pride do you feel living under the politi-cal system of the country? (4) How muchsupport do you have for the political systemof the country? and (5) How much trust doyou have in the police? In order to make themetric consistent with the range of the corrup-tion-experience measure, the items weresummed into an overall scale and transformedinto a 0100 basis. The overall scale was reli-able for each country as well as for the pooleddata (Pooled standardized item CronbachsAlpha = 0.78; mean interitem r = 0.37).The rst task is to determine if corruption has

    a negative or positive impact on legitimacy.When a citizen pays a bribe to either receive apublic service or to avoid sanctions from an ac-cused violation of law, two reactions couldemerge depending upon how the bribery is per-ceived. On the one hand, the bribe could beviewed as a user fee, much like the fee onewould willingly pay to use a toll road or a camp-ground. Those who pay such fees might view theassessment and payment as an entirely legiti-mate transaction, implying no negative evalua-tion of the political system. Indeed, anindividual who pays a processing fee in orderto facilitate the granting of a drivers license, forexample, might be pleased with a system that al-lows the granting of such licenses even when therequisite requirements (vision test, driving skillstest, etc.) have not been met. Or the individualmay feel that the salaries paid to public ocialsare properly kept low so that overall taxes re-main low, but those who use the service oughtto legitimately pay these user fees so as to sup-plement the salaries of public ocials.Those asked to pay bribes may have an en-tirely dierent reaction to the experience, view-ing the bribe not as an appropriate user fee, butas what economists call a DUP, a directlyunproductive prot-seeking activity, otherwiseknown as rent seeking. When a municipal clerkasks for a payment above and beyond the o-cially established fee to process a birth certi-cate, the payment represents a surplus valueabove that of the established price, and hencecan be considered rent-seeking behavior. Rentseeking is possible only because those demand-ing the rent (in the form of a bribe) have beengiven state license (unocially) to do so. Wecan predict, therefore, that individuals whoview such fees as rent seeking are likely to formnegative views about the state.The empirical results to test these two possi-

    ble reactions are presented in detail in a study(Seligson, 2002) in which several countries fromthe data set are examined. For the purposes ofthis brief summary, the results of Nicaragua,which parallel those from the other countries,can be examined. The overall legitimacy scaledeclines steadily as corruption victimization in-creases, declining from above the nationalmean for those who had not been victimizedby corruption to one standard deviation belowthe national mean (Figure 19). One especiallyrelevant item from the legitimacy scale, the be-lief that people can get a fair trial, clearly dem-onstrates that corruption does erode condencein the system (Figure 20).These results show that those who experience

    corruption are less likely to believe in thelegitimacy of their political system, thus con-rming the World Bank speculation and refut-ing the Huntington hypothesis. Research withthese data sets have found that corruption vic-tims are also less likely to exhibit high levels ofinterpersonal trust, a possible important socialpsychological contributor to belief in legiti-macy. Interpersonal trust has been linked tosuccessful eorts to build civil society and, asPutnam (1993) terms it, to make democracywork.These ndings demonstrate that there are

    real costs to corruption overlooked by the func-tionalists who argued for the positive benetsof it and by those who believe the clientelisticties based on corruption can breed political sta-bility. They do not, of course, demonstrate thatgovernment operates less eciently as a resultof widespread corruption, for to do so wouldinvolve a study beyond the scope of publicopinion and take us back to the economic liter-ature. Some of the survey data do, however,

    allow us to determine respondent beliefs about

  • MEASUREMENT AND IMPACT OF CORRUPTION VICTIMIZATION 401egiti

    mac

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    40

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    20the ecacy of corruption and then to determinethe impact of that belief on system support.In the Nicaragua survey, we asked a straight-

    forward operationalization of the functionalistargument: Do you believe that the paymentof bribes facilitates getting things done withthe bureaucracy? Among the 85% of the sam-ple who responded to this question, 60% agreedwith it, indicating fairly strong support withinNicaragua for the belief that bribery works.Moreover, belief in the functionality of corrup-

    Sig. < .001Corruption vi

    3210

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    Figure 19. The impact of corruption vic

    Sig. < .001Total personal expe

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    3.4

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    2.8

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    Figure 20. Belief in ability to get a fair trial in NicarMean legitimacy

    1Std. Dev. tion is positively associated with our index ofvictimization by corruption (r = 0.21; sig.