€¦ · ME Water & Sustainability Conference Meyer et al. – Maine Futures Community Mapper April...

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Maine Futures Community Mapper: From Models to the Real World Spencer Meyer Stephen Engle, Michelle Johnson, Rob Lilieholm, Chris Cronan, Dave Owen, and Thomas Parr www.MaineLandUseFutures.org

Transcript of €¦ · ME Water & Sustainability Conference Meyer et al. – Maine Futures Community Mapper April...

Page 1: €¦ · ME Water & Sustainability Conference Meyer et al. – Maine Futures Community Mapper April 1, 2014 . Modeling with the Experts ] Land Use Sectors: ] Forestry ] Conservation

Maine Futures Community Mapper: From Models to the Real World

Spencer Meyer

Stephen Engle, Michelle Johnson, Rob

Lilieholm, Chris Cronan, Dave Owen, and

Thomas Parr

www.MaineLandUseFutures.org

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ME Water & Sustainability Conference Meyer et al. – Maine Futures Community Mapper April 1, 2014

Land Use

Transitions

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ME Water & Sustainability Conference Meyer et al. – Maine Futures Community Mapper April 1, 2014

Modeling with the Experts

] Land Use Sectors:

] Forestry

] Conservation

] Agriculture

] Development

] 75 participants in 8

focus groups &

2 all-stakeholder

workshops

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ME Water & Sustainability Conference Meyer et al. – Maine Futures Community Mapper April 1, 2014

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ME Water & Sustainability Conference Meyer et al. – Maine Futures Community Mapper April 1, 2014

Modeling Framework

Conservation

Lands

Working

Forests

Working Ag

Lands

Development

Land Uses

Bayesian

Network Model

Bayesian

Network Model

Bayesian

Network Model

Bayesian

Network Model

Stakeholder

Model

Development

Land Use

Suitability Map

Land Use

Suitability Map

Land Use

Suitability Map

Land Use

Suitability Map

NeticaTM &

Land Use

Maps

Scenario-Based Socioeconomic and

Biophysical Changes

Run models

for scenarios

Low Pop. /

Econ. Focus

Low Pop. /

Environ. Focus

High Pop. /

Environ. Focus

High Pop. /

Econ. Focus

Alternative

Land Use

Futures

Continued

Trends

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ME Water & Sustainability Conference Meyer et al. – Maine Futures Community Mapper April 1, 2014

From Models…

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ME Water & Sustainability Conference Meyer et al. – Maine Futures Community Mapper April 1, 2014

… to the Real World

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ME Water & Sustainability Conference Meyer et al. – Maine Futures Community Mapper April 1, 2014

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ME Water & Sustainability Conference Meyer et al. – Maine Futures Community Mapper April 1, 2014

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ME Water & Sustainability Conference Meyer et al. – Maine Futures Community Mapper April 1, 2014

MDOT

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ME Water & Sustainability Conference Meyer et al. – Maine Futures Community Mapper April 1, 2014

Aerial photos by Pam Wells

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ME Water & Sustainability Conference Meyer et al. – Maine Futures Community Mapper April 1, 2014

www.MaineLandUseFutures.org

• Meant to complement other planning resources

• Spans multiple types of land uses

• Stakeholder-based results

• Community or regional scale

• Simple to use

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ME Water & Sustainability Conference Meyer et al. – Maine Futures Community Mapper April 1, 2014

[email protected]


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