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    BE 300 MANUFACTURINGPROCESS LABORATORY

    REFERENCE

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    General Instruction

    Students should pass safety test

    Students should be familiar with equipments

    and machines before to use themWe have a long tradition to make agyroscope.

    We will measure the length and diameter ofthe screws as well as the diameter of washersto simulate a statistical process control

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    Rules

    Students must submit the laboratoryform to Mr. James Altop before they

    start the work at the laboratory.The collected Laboratory forms will bethe basis of your grade for attendance

    and achievements. Any safety violationwill heavily affect your grade.

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    ME 300L MANUFACTURING PROCESS LABATTENDANCE SHEET

    This sheet will be a basis for your final grade. Please turn in this sheet every time youvisit the laboratory, otherwise it will be recorded as absences. Please submit to Mr.James Altop before you leave.

    Date____________________Your Name__________________________Signature________________Time in ___________________ Time out ____________________Team members name that are working with you today. Identify who are missing today.

    Describe the task you planned to do today

    What did you achieve today? Are there any remarks and suggestions?

    Official Notes (signed by Mr. James altop)

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    Observed safety rules? Poor Moderate GoodBehaved well? Followed instructions? Poor

    Moderate GoodCleaned and reorganized after work? Poormoderate GoodWorked efficiently? Poor moderate GoodWork quality Poor moderate GoodAny remarks?

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    How to Write the Report

    Students must write the laboratoryreports in a professional way. Please

    think that the reader of your report is anon-engineering person, maybe yourboss in marketing department, or a

    lawyer investigating an accident.

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    Due Date of the Laboratory Reports

    The statistical process control report isdue by July 26.

    The report for the manufacturing of thegyroscope is due by August 2.

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    Remarks on Notebook

    The lab notebook starts with the introductionof elementary statistics. I will teach you later.

    Your laboratory reports must contain graphs,tables, and theoretical backgrounds.

    The first lab on the notebook is the measuring

    Brinell hardness before and after rollingprocess and heat treatments. I believe you dida Brinell test at GE 206 Lab. I will skip thistest.

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    Remarks on Notebook, Continued

    The second lab is about quality and processcontrol/measurements. We will do this lab.

    Your report must be a fully written report(not a laboratory sheet, which is nothing buta raw data). Please write the followings;

    introduction, scope of the work, theoreticalbackground, your results (not raw data, butprocessed data; attach raw data as areference), analysis, conclusion, suggestions,

    references.

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    Remarks on Notebook, Continued

    The next one is about Hardenability(Jominy test). We will skip this. During

    class, I will cover this.The mechanical properties test , Ibelieve, was done at GE 206 Lab.

    We will do the Gyroscope project.

    No welding project for the summersemester

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    Remarks on Notebook, Continued

    The forging and sheet metal processwill be skipped. I recommend you a

    field trip to see the process.CNC machine; we will not do this as theproject. But I believe you will learn to

    use it before you graduate.

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    Safety

    1. Report any injury to Mr. James Altop or to Dr.Jung

    2. When in doubt about the use of machines,equipment or instrumentation, check with Mr.Altop. Many accidents are caused byimproper use

    3. Know where your first aid equipment islocated.

    4. Know where your fire extinguishers arelocated and how to use them.

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    Safety; cont

    5. Never work alone in the laboratory.

    6. Emergency number is 911.

    7. Wear your safety glasses or eye shieldswhen you are producing metal chips,using machine tools or hand tools, or arein the vicinity of such a hazard.

    8. Report all broken, damaged, or missingtools.

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    Safety; cont

    12.Do not wear neckties or other loosefitting clothes that could become

    entangled in a running machine.13.Always clean your machine and working

    area when you are finished.

    14.If a classmate is in danger by improperuse of equipment, be a buddy, and

    provide assistance.

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    Statistics

    Dealing With Uncertainty

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    Objectives

    Describe the difference between a sample and apopulation

    Learn to use descriptive statistics (data sorting,central tendency, etc.)

    Learn how to prepare and interpret histograms

    State what is meant by normal distribution and

    standard normal distribution.

    Use Z-tables to compute probability.

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    Statistics

    There are lies, d#$& lies,and then theresstatistics.

    Mark Twain

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    Statistics is...

    a standard method for...

    - collecting, organizing, summarizing,

    presenting, and analyzing data- drawing conclusions

    - making decisions based upon the

    analyses of these data.used extensively by engineers (e.g.,quality control)

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    Populations and Samples

    Population - complete set of all of thepossible instances of a particular object

    e.g., the entire class

    Sample - subset of the population

    e.g., a team

    We use samples to draw conclusionsabout the parent population.

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    Why use samples?

    The population may be large

    all people on earth, all stars in the sky.

    The population may be dangerous to observe automobile wrecks, explosions, etc.

    The population may be difficult to measure

    subatomic particles.Measurement may destroy sample

    bolt strength

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    Measurements

    Measurements are frequently made inengineering and science. Thesemeasurements are made to quantify

    characteristics of the system being studied.If the measurement can be reduced to asingle value that we are 100% certain is thetrue value, we do not need statistical methods

    For most measurements, we are not 100%certain; thus, statistical techniques need to beused.

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    Team Exercise: Sample Bias

    To three significant figures, estimatethe average age of the class based

    upon your team.

    When would a team not be a

    representative sample of the class?

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    Measures of Central Tendency

    If you wish to describe a population (or asample) with a single number, what do youuse?

    Mean - the arithmetic average

    Mode - most likely (most common) value.

    Median -middle of the data set.

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    What is the Mean?

    The mean is the sum of all data valuesdivided by the number of values.

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    Sample Mean

    Where:

    is the sample mean

    xiare the data points

    n is the sample size

    n

    i

    ix

    nx

    1

    1

    x

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    Population Mean

    Where:

    is the population mean

    xiare the data points

    Nis thetotal number of observations in thepopulation

    N

    i

    ix

    N1

    1

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    Mode continued

    Example of a grade distribution withmean C, mode B

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    F D C B A

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    What Is the Range?

    Range - the difference between thelowest and highest values in the set.

    Example, driving time to Portland is 2hours +/- 15 minutes. Therefore...

    Minimum = 105 min

    Maximum = 135 minutesRange = 30 minutes

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    Standard Deviation

    Gives a unique and unbiasedestimate of the scatter in the data.

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    Standard Deviation

    Population

    Sample

    2

    1

    )(1

    N

    i

    ixN

    2

    1

    )()1(

    1xx

    ns

    n

    i

    i

    Deviation

    Variance = 2

    Variance = s2

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    The Subtle DifferenceBetween and s

    N versus n-1

    n-1 is needed to get a better estimate of

    the population from the sample s.

    Note: for large n, the difference is trivial.

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    Team Exercise

    In your teams bag of M&M candies,count

    the number of candies for each color the total number of candies in the bag

    When you are done counting, have arepresentative from your team enteryour data on the board

    Using Excel or calculators, enter thedata gathered by the entire classMore

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    Team Exercise (cont)

    For each color, and the total number ofcandies, determine the following:

    maximum mode

    minimum median

    range standard deviationmean variance

    I di id l E i

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    Individual Exercise:Histograms

    Flip a coin EXACTLY ten times. Count thenumber of heads YOU get.

    Report your result to the instructor who will

    post all the results on the boardOpen Excel

    Using the data from the entire class, create

    bar graphs showing the number ofclassmates who get one head, two heads,three heads, etc.

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    The Normal Distribution

    The normal distribution is sometimescalled the Gauss curve.

    22 /2

    1

    2

    1RF

    x

    e

    mean

    x

    RF

    RelativeFrequency

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    Standard Normal Distribution

    Define:

    Then

    / xz

    2RF

    2

    2

    1z

    e

    0.0

    0.1

    0.2

    0.3

    0.4

    0.5

    -4.0 -3.0 -2.0 -1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0

    Area = 1.00

    z

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    The area under the probability density

    function equals 1 meaning that the probabilitythat x has a value between the lower andupper limit is certain.

    Therefore, the shaded area under the curve

    defines a probability of 0.6827 that x has avalue between 2 and + 2

    Mathematically, this probability is defined as

    2

    2

    )(]22[ dxxfxP

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    Summary Table

    SampleStatistics

    PopulationParameters

    Mean

    Variance S2 2

    Standarddeviation

    S=(S2)1/2 =( 2)1/2

    x

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    Confidence IntervalsConfidence intervals are calculated usingsample data and define a probable range fora population parameter at a given confidencelevel.

    For example, a 95% confidence interval willdefine and upper and lower limit for aparameter and implies that we are 95%certain based on the sample used that the

    parameter is between these limits. We willonly consider confidence intervals for thepopulation mean,

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    Large Sample Method

    When the sample is large enough we canassume that sx

    2 = 2 ; thus, three commonconfidence intervals are:

    99%

    95%

    90%

    n

    sx x58.2

    n

    s

    xx

    96.1

    n

    sx x64.1

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    Small Sample Method

    For small samples, the sample variancehas not stabilized and the assumption,

    sx2

    = 2

    cannot be made. Theconfidence interval now is defined as:

    n

    stx x

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    Using Confidence Intervals

    When conducting experiments, it is best toreplicate (repeat) tests or measurements ofvalues on a test part. The sequence of values

    that represent the characteristic of interestare used to make a decision regarding thepopulation that the sequence of values (thesample) are supposed to represent.

    The average value of the characteristic is themost natural way to condense these samplevalues and it is hoped that this average isclose to the true average for the population.

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    The confidence interval is used toprovide a measure of how close. The

    smaller the confidence interval, thecloser the sample mean is to thepopulation mean.

    Another way to use the confidenceinterval is to make comparisons amongmultiple samples.

    Using Confidence Intervals

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    Let' say you have two samples consisting ofmeasurements of the same characteristicssuch as a material's hardness. One sample

    was taken from a batch of material that washeat treated at one temperature and thesecond sample from a batch heat treated at adifferent temperature

    The average sample hardness for thesebatches differ. Does this mean thetemperature difference has affectedhardness? Not necessarily.

    Using Confidence Intervals

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    A confidence interval for these averagevalues should be computed. If the

    lower bound of one confidence intervalis greater than the upper bound of thesecond confidence interval, we can bemore confident that the temperaturehas affected hardness.

    Using Confidence Intervals

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    STATISTICAL QUALITYCONTROL

    See Quality Control Chapter

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    Using Z Tables

    Question: Find the area between z= -1.0and z= 2.0

    From table, for z = 1.0, area = 0.3413 By symmetry, for z = -1.0, area = 0.3413

    From table, for z= 2.0, area = 0.4772

    Total area = 0.3413 + 0.4772 = 0.8185

    Tails area = 1.0 - 0.8185 = 0.1815

    Quick and Dirty Estimates of

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    Quick and Dirty Estimates of and

    @ (lowest + 4*mode + highest)/6

    For a standard normal curve, 99.7% of

    the area is contained within 3 fromthe mean.

    Define highest = 3

    Define lowest = 3 Therefore, @ (highest - lowest)/6

    Example:

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    Example:Drive time to Everette

    Lowest = 1 h

    Most likely = 2 h

    Highest = 4 h (including a flat tire, etc.) = (1+4*2+4)/6 = 2.16 (2 h 12 min)

    = (4 - 1)/6= 0.5 h

    This technique (Delphi) was used toplan the moon flights.

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    Review

    Central tendency mean

    mode

    median

    Scatter range

    variance

    standard deviation

    Normal Distribution

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    Data Analysis in Excel

    Analysis of Uncertainty

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    Learning Objectives

    Learn to use statistical Excel functions:

    average, median, min, max, stdev, var, varp,

    standardize, normdist, norminv, normsinv

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    General Excel Behavior

    - Analyzes the range of cells youspecify

    - Skips blank cells

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    Mean

    Excel

    =AVERAGE(cellrange)=AVERAGE(B72:B81)

    Example:

    n

    i

    ix

    n

    x

    1

    1

    N

    i

    ix

    N 1

    1

    Sample Population

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    Mode

    Value that occurs most often indiscretized data

    Excel Example:=MODE(cellrange) =MODE(B2:B81)

    If tie, reports first value in list

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    Example - Exam Grades

    Data set: grades.xls

    78 students, 1 did not take exam

    Verify the following:

    Mean is 79.41

    Mode is 79 - occurs 6 times

    Median is 79.5

    median close to mean suggests no major outliersRemember, student who did not take exam is notincluded in data

    More

    http://grades.xls/http://grades.xls/
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    Example Cont.

    Verify

    max is 99

    min is 60Range is 99-60 = 39

    Population variance is 60.7

    Population std. dev. is 7.79

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    Team Exercise - 15 min

    Collect ages (in months) of teammembers and members of teams

    around you (at least 15 values)Enter as a column in Excel

    Compute mean, mode, median, max,

    min, range, samplevariance and std.dev. using Excel commands

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    Z-transform

    Excel

    =STANDARDIZE(x,mean,stddev)

    Example:

    =STANDARDIZE(85,75,10) gives 1.0

    / xz

    Standard Normal Cumulative

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    Standard Normal CumulativeDistribution

    Excel Example:

    =NORMSDIST(z) =NORMSDIST(1.0)

    =0.8413

    0.0

    0.1

    0.2

    0.3

    0.4

    0.5

    -4.0 -3.0 -2.0 -1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0

    area from minus

    infinity to z

    NOT

    0 to z, like Z-table

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    Exam Grade Histogram

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100

    Score Bins

    Frequency

    Actual Scores

    Normal Approx

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    Excel Example

    Normal distribution with =5, =0.2

    Find area from 4.8 to 5.4

    Solution 1:=STANDARDIZE(4.8,5,0.2) Gives -1

    =STANDARDIZE(5.4,5,0.2) Gives 2

    =NORMSDIST(2)-NORMSDIST(-1) = 0.8186

    Solution 2:=NORMDIST(5.4,5,0.2,TRUE)-

    NORMDIST(4.8,5,0.2,TRUE) = 0.8186

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    Inverse Problem:

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    Example 2

    A batch of bolts have length =5.00 mm, =0.20mm. The bolt length is specified as 5.00 mm tolerance. What is the value of the tolerance

    such that 99% of the bolts are encompassed?Solution:

    =NORMINV(0.995,5,0.2) = 5.52 mm

    =NORMINV(0.005,5,0.2) = 4.48 mmTolerance = 5.52 - 5.00 = 0.52 mm

    Note: It is symmetrical; therefore 0.5% on either side

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    Think-Pair-Share

    In the next 1 minute, as an individual

    list threespecific things that you dont understandabout todays topic

    Now take 2 minutesto merge your list with the person sitting next to youAND add 1 new item to the list

    In the next 5 minutes

    share the results with the other half of your team,delete questions that you can answer for eachother, AND prioritize the remaining questions yourlist