McDonald’s:A, LongWaytoGo - mbacasecomp.com · • Consistency* • Convenience* Weaknesses* ......

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McDonald’s: A Long Way to Go BRETT BURNS, ELLIE GARDNER, ASHLING GRIFFIN, ROSS HOGAN JANUARY, 4 2016

Transcript of McDonald’s:A, LongWaytoGo - mbacasecomp.com · • Consistency* • Convenience* Weaknesses* ......

McDonald’s:  A  Long  Way  to  Go BRETT  BURNS,  ELLIE  GARDNER,  ASHLING  GRIFFIN,  ROSS  HOGAN

JANUARY,  4  2016

Takeaways

Recommenda)on  

Implementa)on  Plan  

Risks  &  Mi)ga)on  

Agenda Company  Analysis  

Industry  Analysis  

Alterna)ves  

Recommenda)on  

Implementa)on  Plan  

Timeline  

Budget  

Risks  &  Mi)ga)on  

Problem  Statement

Due  to  a  bifurca)on  in  the  tradi)onal  customer  base  and  each  group’s  changing  preferences,  McDonald’s  needs  to  act  quickly  to  not  lose  themselves  and  not  lose  both  bases.  

Reality  Check

Our  customers  are  changing  in  a  way  we  can’t  completely  match  

However,  we  can  harness  what  we  do  well  and  ensure  we  don’t  lose  what  has  brought  success  for  

so  many  decades  

SWOT

Strengths  • Synonymous  with  Fast  Food  

• Consistency  • Convenience  

Weaknesses  • Synonymous  with  Fast  Food  

• Size  of  company  

Opportuni)es  • Changing  customer  palates  

• High  Growth  Markets    

Threats  • Rise  of  fast  casual  restaurants  

• Changing  demographics  

The  Changing  Customer

Middle  Class  

• Health  Conscious  

Upper  Middle  Class  

•  Price  and  Value  Lower  Middle  Class  

Millennials:  Image-­‐Conscious  

Fast-­‐Casual   Customizable   Quality  

Company  Image

Poor  Quality  

Unhealthy  Ingredients   McDonalds  

Previous  AUempts:  

Expanded  Menu  Offerings:  

• Healthy  • Premium  

Increased  Wait  Time  

Customers  Dubious  about  Quality  

Why  Easterbrook’s  Plan  Wasn’t  Enough

• USA  •  Interna)onal  Lead  

• Growth  • Founda)onal  

Structure  

Franchising  

Create  your  Own  Taste  

Target  Company  Rather  than  Customers  Further  Complicate  Menu  

We  S%ll  Must  Address  our  Image  Problem  and  Target  Customers  Effec%vely  

InternaTonal  SituaTon   Sales  Declining  Abroad  by  3.3%  

China   Quality  Problems  

India   Pulled  Best-­‐selling  Products  

Japan   Growth  in  Sales,  Legal  baUle  

Russia   Government  Backlash  

L.  Am   Economic  Crisis  decreases  sales  

Europe   Changing  Tastes  Erode  Sucess  

CompeTTve  PosiToning

•  Panera  •  Chipotle  •  Chick  Fil  A  

• McDonald’s  

•  Habit  Burger  •  In  and  Out  •  Shake  Shack  

• McDonald’s  • Wendys  •  Taco  Bell  

Cost   Taste  

Quality  Speed  

Perceptual  Map Quality  

Affordability  

McD  

Chick  Fil  A  

Habit  &  Five  Guys  

Panera  &  

Chipotle  

Yum  Brands  

Industry  Life  Cycle Mature  Stage:  •  Stable/Declining  Margins  •  Established  Players  •  Focus  on  Costs  and  

Efficiency  

Stakeholders

McDonalds  

Customers  

Franchisees  

Shareholders  

Employees  

Financial  Performance

1,849  

1,202  

0  

500  

1000  

1500  

2000  

2500  

Q2  2014   Q3  2014   Q4  2014   Q1  2015   Q2  2015  

Quarterly  Earnings  

Opera)ng  Income   Net  Income  

-­‐  5.9%   +  9.0%  

-­‐  9.3%  

-­‐  2.7%  +  7.2%  

%  Change  in  Revenue  

Financial  Performance

32%  

40%  

23%  

5%  Total  Revenues  by  Region  (2014)  

US  Europe  APMEA  Other  Countries  &  Corporate  

66%  

34%  

Revenues  (2014)  

Company-­‐Operated  

Franchised  Revenues  

Financial  Performance

-­‐7.00%  

-­‐6.00%  

-­‐5.00%  

-­‐4.00%  

-­‐3.00%  

-­‐2.00%  

-­‐1.00%  

0.00%  

US  

Europe  

APMEA  

Other  

Percent  Change  in  Revenues  from  Prior  Year  

-­‐5.00%  -­‐4.50%  -­‐4.00%  -­‐3.50%  -­‐3.00%  -­‐2.50%  -­‐2.00%  -­‐1.50%  -­‐1.00%  -­‐0.50%  0.00%  

US  

Europe  

APMEA  

Other  

Percent  Change  in  Guest  Count  from  Prior  Year  

Profit  Margin

16  

16.5  

17  

17.5  

18  

18.5  

19  

19.5  

20  

2012   2013   2014  

Net  Profit  Margin  (%)  

Net  Profit  Margin  (%)  

Cost  Control

67.5  68  

68.5  69  

69.5  70  

70.5  71  

71.5  

2012   2013   2014  

Opera)ng  Costs  as  %  of  Sales  

Opera)ng  Costs  as  %  of  Sales  

Analysis  Recap

Reduced  Profitability  

Increased  Costs  

Declining  Customer  visits  

Previous  Failed  Ac)ons  

Fast  Casual  Entry  

Changing  Customer  Preference

s  

CriTcal  Success  Factors Same  Stores  Sales  Growth  

Profits/Shareholder  Returns  

Brand  Image  

Customer  Service  

Franchisee  Sa)sfac)on  

AlternaTves

Return  to  Roots  Change  Value  Proposi)on  to  be  Healthier  

Integrated  Strategic  Plan  

Analysis  of  AlternaTves Return  to  Roots   Healthier  Value  

Proposi;on  Integrated  Strategic  Plan  

Sales  Growth  

Profits  

Brand  Image  

Customer  Service  

Franchisee  Sa)sfac)on  

Level  of  Risk  

ImplementaTon  Plan Streamline  Menu  

Improve  Customer  Service  

Ini)ate  a  Brand  &  Marke)ng  Campaign  

Strengthen  Supply  Chain  

Focus  on  Growth  Markets  

Effec)ve  Change  Management  

Streamline  Menu

Efficiency  is  crucial  for  QSRs  

Too  many  op)ons  &  too  much  customiza)on  hurts  this  

Have  taken  2  steps  forward  and  1  step  back  

Streamline  Menu

Rule  of  Thumb:  Limit  menu  size  

Allow  for  customiza)on,  but  don’t  focus  on  it  • Not  a  core  competency  

Use  ingredients  that  can  be  mul)purpose  

Menu

Accommoda)ng  everyone  is  not  feasible  and  sustainable  

Menu  will  have  staples  &  some  healthy  offerings  

Customer  SaTsfacTon

Long  Wait  Times   Mistakes   Poorly  Prepared  Food  

Employee  Engagement  •  Improve  Customer  Service  

Streamline  Prepara;on  Techniques  •  Improve  Efficiency  

Manager  Training  and  Selec;on  • Central  to  Change  •  Improve  Adaptability  

Employee  Engagement Training  •  Standardize  from  HQ    

Opportuni)es  for  Promo)on  • Employee  Value  Proposi)on  

Onboarding  Overhaul  •  Increase  reten)on  •  Improve  readiness  to  work  in  high  turnover  workforce  

Manager  Training  

Communica)on  Training  • Enable  effec)ve  management  of  employees  •  Improve  ability  to  connect  with  customers  

Business  Skills  •  Improve  Business  Acumen  •  Increased  Engagement  

Streamline  PreparaTon  Techniques Rearrange  Kitchens  •  Improve  speed  and  morale  

Evaluate  Equipment  

Make  Kiosks  Op)onal  • Dependent  on  manager  preference  

Standardize  Ingredients  

Brand  &  MarkeTng  Campaign

Emphasize  value  proposi)on  • Consistent  quality  • Affordability  • Convenience  and  availability  • Speed  and  service  

“Back  to  basics”  • Return  to  what  McDonald’s  does  best  

Brand  &  MarkeTng  Campaign •  TV  /  Radio  •  Social  Media  •  Internet  •  Print  

Channels  

•  Internal  marke)ng  team  • Outsourced  consul)ng  exper)se  Means  

• Market  research  and  analysis  • Data  aggrega)on    • Who  is  our  customer?  What  do  they  need?  Targets  

Brand  &  MarkeTng  Campaign

Middle  Class  

• Emphasize  price  point  

• Convenience  

Families  

• Family  themed  TV  commercials    

Millennials  

• Influencers  • Sponsors  • Use  of  technology  

Focus  on  Growth  Markets

Brand  Image  is  Changeable  

• Address  previous  issues  

•  Implement  changes  to  ensure  quality  

Growth  Poten)al  

• Capture  Customers  Earlier  in  the  Industry  Lifecycle  

• Establish  Image  Aggressively  

Focus  on  Growth  Markets •  Iden)fy  Customer  Base  • Ensure  Appropriate  Offerings  

Product  Offerings  

• Disposable  Income  • Large  Untapped  Popula)ons  • Rising  Middle  Class  

Loca)on  

• Ethical  Record  • Engage  Legal  Advice  

Careful  Selec)on  of  JV  Partners  

Supply  Chain

• No  surprises,  no  waste  • Quality  management  of  inputs  

Fully  Integrated  Supply  Chain  

• Source  responsibly  • High  quality  &  an)bio)c  free  meats  

Vet  Suppliers  for  Quality  

• Ties  in  with  Brand  &  Marke)ng  Allow  for  transparency  

Supply  Chain

Can’t  allow  issues  with  key  ingredients  • Develop  con)ngency  plans  for  shortages  

Reduc)on  of  ingredients  • Less  strain  on  SC  costs  

Change  Management Sure  fire  way  to  fail  is  to  mismanage  change  

Get  everyone  on  board  •  Communicate  Why’s  &  How’s  

Empower  Managers  &  Employees  •  Show  Execu)ves  are  sensi)ve  to  concerns  about  change  

Timeline Year  0  

Year  1  

Year  2  

Year  3  

Year  4+  

Brand  Image/Marke)ng  Campaign  

Customer  Service  Ini)a)ves  

Expansion  in  High  Growth  Markets  

Change  Management  

Assess  Success  of  Changes  

Supply  Chain  Revamp  

Expansion  of  Founda)onal  Markets  

Budget

0  –  2  Years   2  –  4  Years   5  +  Years  

Marke)ng  /  Brand  Campaign  

 20,000   10,000   10,000  

Focus  Market  Research  

15,000   5,000   -­‐  

Supply  Chain  Restructuring  

10,000   8,000   -­‐  

Staff  Training  /  HR   1,000   500   500  

Dollars  in  thousands  ($000)  

Pro  Forma  Income  Statement $  in  millions,  except  per  share  data

2014 2015 2016 2017Revenues 27,441                   28,813           30,254           31,766          Operating  Costs (19,492)                 (19,593)         (20,573)         (21,601)        Operating  Income 7,949                       48,406           50,826           53,368          

Net  Income 4,758                       5,763                 6,353                 6,671                

Net  Margin 0.17                             0.20                     0.21                     0.21                    Earnings  per  share  -­‐  Basic 4.85                             5.87                     6.48                     6.80                    

Key  Performance  Indicators •  Decreases  in  wait  )mes  •  Posi)ve  growth  in  guest  count  (+3%)  

Customer  Sa)sfac)on  

•  5%  increase  in  revenues    Same-­‐Store  Sales  Growth  

•  20%  net  margins  Profitability  

•  Favorable  recep)on  to  brand    and  marke)ng  campaign  Brand  Iden)ty  

•  Posi)ve  growth  in  store  traffic  Franchisee  Sa)sfac)on  

Risks  &  MiTgaTons

Risks  

•  Lack  of  response  to  menu  changes  or  brand  campaign  

•  Supplier  instability  • Compe))ve  pricing  pressure  

Mi)ga)ons  

• Undertake  adequate  research  in  customer  tastes  and  preferences    

• Reserve  suppliers  • Market  awareness  

Thank  You!

Q&A

Appendix   Takeaways     Problem  Statement  

  Reality  Check     SWOT  

  The  Changing  Customer  

  Company  Image  

  Interna)onal  Situa)on     Why  Easterbrook’s  Plan  Wasn’t  Enough  

  Compe))ve  Posi)oning  

  Perceptual  Map    

  Financial  Performance  

  Cri)cal  Success  Factors     Alterna)ves  

  Implementa)on  Plan  

  Focus  on  Growth  Markets  

  Streamline  Menu  

  Customer  Sa)sfac)on  

  Employee  Engagement  

  Supply  Chain       Brand  &  Marke)ng  Campaign  

  Change  Management  

  Timeline  

  Budget     Risks  &  Mi)ga)ons  

  Con)ngency  Plan     African  Expansion  

Pressing  Concerns

Q1  2015  vs.  Q1  2014  • Revenue  declined  11%  • Q1  2015  Profit  declined  32%  

• Same  Store  Sales  decline  2%  

ConTngency  Plan

Ancillary  Brand  

•  Acquire  a  premium  burger  restaurant  •  Acquire  a  fast  casual  restaurant  outside  of  burger  market  

Implement  delivery  services  where  necessary  and  where  feasible  

If  minimum  wage  increase  in  US  or  abroad,  ordering  kiosks  will  become  more  important.  

African  Expansion Currently,  not  the  highest  growth  poten)al  

•  By  2050  1/5  of  world  will  be  from  Africa  •  Over  2/3  of  this  popula)on  will  be  in  Urban  areas  •  Expanding  middle  class  

Fastest  growing  popula)on  

Heavy  investment  in  infrastructure  

African  Expansion  ConsideraTons Sourcing  always  a  concern  

Availability  of  food  in  Africa  will  become  an  issue  

Mi)ga)on  Plan  

Develop  rela)onships  with  farmers  

Invest  if  outlook  will  be  insufficient  for  needs