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MBAD6241 2013
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Transcript of MBAD6241 2013
Session 1:
Introduction to Globalization
MBAD 6241
Global Perspectives
Srividya Jandhyala
Why develop a global perspective?
• Appreciation of the globalized arena for your organization
– Firm, NGO, International development agency….
• Understanding of globalized arena critical whether you
operate overseas or not
– Competition for resources and markets from overseas firms
– Interlinked economy makes events in the global arena relevant
• Variety of industries affected by global forces
– Telecom, eCommerce, financial services, global sports, oil,
government, consulting, aerospace, IT…
The phenomenon of globalization
• Process by which national economies merge into interdependent, integrated systems
– Economic: Trade and other economic interactions
– Cultural: Systems of symbols and meanings
– Social: social relationships and organizations
– Political: dispersion and concentration of authority and power, popular representation, etc
Economic globalization
Economic globalization
Exports of goods and services as % of GDP, 1960-2011
Source: WDI
Country 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2011
China 2.6 10.6 16.1 23.3 30.6 31.4
Germany 16.4 20.2 24.8 33.4 47.0 50.2
Spain 8.4 12.4 14.7 16.1 29.1 27.2 30.3
France 14.4 16.0 21.4 21.5 28.8 25.6 27.0
UK 20.2 22.3 27.1 24.0 27.7 30.5 32.5
India 4.4 3.7 6.0 6.9 12.8 22.8 24.6
Japan 10.7 10.6 13.4 10.3 10.9 15.2 15.2
Mexico 8.5 7.7 10.7 18.6 30.9 30.3 31.7
Netherlands 48.9 44.8 52.3 56.5 70.1 78.2 83.0
US 5.2 5.8 10.1 9.6 11.0 12.8 14.0
Economic Globalization
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
4.5
1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2011
Word FDI, net inflows (% of GDP)
Cultural globalization
Opening day, Wednesday, Jan 31 1990
AP Photo
Cultural globalization
Most liked YouTube video (Guinness Record)
Dominates itunes store in US, Europe, Asia, Australia
Source: www.cnn.com
Social globalization
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
Percent foreign born labor force in the US
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Political globalization
0
50
100
150
19
89
19
91
19
93
19
95
19
97
19
99
20
01
20
03
20
05
20
07Number of democracies
Source: Freedom House
Arab Spring, 2010-2011
Measuring globalization 1980-2010
• Trade in goods (% GDP) ×1.5
• Foreign direct investment (% GDP) ×4.5
• International tourists (% population) ×3.9
• Int’l gov’t organizations (number) ×1.5
• Books on globalization ×67.5
Source: Mauro F. Guillén, “Is Globalization Civilizing, Destructive or Feeble?”
Annual Review of Sociology 27 (2001):235-260; Mauro’s Guillen’s Indicators of
Globalization (2010)
Facilitators of globalization (1)
• Declining trade and investment barriers; economic
liberalization
Average Tariff Rates on Manufactured Products as % of Value
1913 1950 1990 2005
France 21 18 5.9 3.9
Germany 20 26 5.9 3.9
Italy 18 25 5.9 3.9
Japan 30 - 5.3 2.3
Holland 5 11 5.9 3.9
Sweden 20 9 4.4 3.9
Great Britain - 23 5.9 3.9
United States 44 14 4.8 3.2
Facilitators of globalization (2)
• Technological changes
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
19
89
19
90
19
91
19
92
19
93
19
94
19
95
19
96
19
97
19
98
19
99
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
People with access to the internet (billions)
Source: International Telecommunication Union
Emergence of global institutions
• Emergence of global institutions to manage, regulate, and
police the globalized world
Lower tariff and
other barriers to
world trade, enable
free flow of goods,
services, capital
Maintain order in
international
economic system,
lender of last resort,
conditionality
controversy
Promote economic
development by
providing loans for
infrastructural
development
Keep international
peace, develop
cooperation and
promote human rights
Growth of multinationals
• Growth of firms with activities in two or more countries
– More than 80,000 MNCs today
• Emergence of non-U.S. multinationals
• Growth of small and medium-sized multinationals
Number
of
MNCs
(in ‘000)
Source:
WIR, 2010
Globalization of markets
• Merging of some historically distinct and separate national
markets into one huge global marketplace
– Convergence of preferences
– Standardized product offerings
• What are the most global markets? Least global?
Champs-Elysées, Paris
Source: What the new Champs-Elysees says
about France, The Economist, April 28, 2011;
‘Angry Birds Spreads Wings’, 10 Aug 2011, WSJ
Globalization of production
• Sourcing of goods and services from around the globe
– Take advantage of national differences in cost and quality of factors of
production (eg, labor, energy, land and capital)
– Global web of suppliers (eg, Apple’s iPhone)
• Effect of Japan Earthquake?
Source: ‘Apple’s parts grab’, NY Post, 26 April 2011; ‘Infosys
China Plans to Triple Staff to 10,000’, 17 May 2011, WSJ; ‘Stress
Test for the Global Supply Chain’, 19 March 2011, NY Times
Silicon Wafer -> Chips -> Consumer pdts
First wave of globalization
1914 1938 1960 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2003
France 21 28 7 3 6 9 12 34 37
Germany 11 1 1 5 10 9 11 26 26
Japan 1 10 1 2 3 7 5 6 8
UK 52 39 15 15 22 24 28 62 63
US 7 9 6 8 6 8 10 13 19
World 9 n.a. 4 5 6 9 10 19 23
Source: G. Jones, The Evolution of International Business, 1996; L. Alfaro, Foreign Direct
Investment, 2002
Outward FDI stock as % GDP
First wave of globalization
Period Immigration (% world population)
1880-1914 3.0
1965 2.2
2000 2.9
Global Immigration
First wave of globalization
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
0.00%
5.00%
10.00%
15.00%
20.00%
25.00%
Percent foreign born labor force in the US
What about globaloney?
• What is Ghemawat’s argument?
Source: “The case against globaloney”, The Economist,
20 April 2011
A note of caution
• Globalization goes in reverse?
• Globalization cannot be taken for granted; there have been
reversals in the past
• Not uniform across the globe, varies in degree, pace,
dimensions, industries, social classes…
Tinker toy activity
Distance still matters
• Reliance on country portfolio analysis and potential sales is
limiting
– Ignores costs and risks of market entry
• Ghemawat’s CAGE framework
– Takes the broader view of distance
– Much more solid empirical base
• Susceptibility to the different types of distance varies by
industry
Some manifestations of distance
• Cultural distance
– In China, it’s expected that you become friends with your boss
and you go out and socialize in a way that doesn’t happen in the
U.S.
• Administrative and political distance
– Institutional voids, Government policies (trade barriers and
restriction on foreign investment)
– Differences in intellectual property protection regulations and
enforcement
Some manifestations of distance
• Geographic distance
• Economic distance
– Lack of refrigeration infrastructure in China
– Differences in revenue streams and business models
Main suppliers of US
fresh vegetable imports
Source: Increased US imports of
fresh fruits and vegetables, USDA
Sept 2007, FTS-328-01
Globalized world
• Globalization is not complete homogeneity - national differences continue to exist
• Economic, political and socio-cultural differences
• Complexity, diversity and range of problems in international environment
• Despite development of global institutions, government intervention creates an uneven playing field
• Understanding the globalized world
Key issues in the globalization debate
• Implications for jobs and income
• Moving manufacturing facilities to countries with poor labor
and environment standards
• National sovereignty concerns
• Gap between rich and poor
Summary
• Globalization is a multidimensional phenomenon that goes
well beyond economic integration
• Cannot be taken for granted; there have been reversals in the
past
• Not uniform across the globe, varies in degree, pace,
dimensions, industries, social classes…
• Opportunities and challenges offered by the global economy
Administrative issues
• Class schedule
• Syllabus
• Blackboard
• Important issues (assignments, grading, additional material,
other course policies)
• Questions
Next time
• International Trade and Strategic Trade Policy
• Read:
– ‘Why Countries Trade: The Theory of Comparative Advantage’, Darden Note, UV2702
– ‘The Economic Gains from Trade: Theories of Strategic Trade’, HBS Note 9-796-184
– ‘The Competitive Advantage of Nations’, Michael Porter, HBR, March/April 1990: 73-91
– ‘Fashion Invasion’, The Economist, 8 December 2012
– ‘The New Corn Laws’, The Economist, 15 September 2012
• Case:
– Global Wine Wars