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Master Plan Update 14 Matching construction with enrollment

May 17, 2011 Contents and Summary

Introduction: Enrollment-based planning: It’s been nearly three years since the Bond Accountability Commission undertook an in-depth review of high school construction plans for the Cleveland Metropolitan School District as they relate to enrollment. And it’s been nearly a year since the BAC reviewed the building plans for elementary schools. Now it is time to do both. Page 4 Solving the high school puzzle: Assessment of the adequacy and distributional equity of the Master Plan for high school space is extremely difficult because of the variety and volatility of the factors involved. Still, an attempt must be made to assure access for Cleveland's students as well as to provide for the best use of scarce tax dollars. Page 5 Range of possibilities: Enrollment-based calculations suggest capacity needs by which the present plans can be judged. Page 6 Within limits? How to read the charts. Page 8 Charts and analysis of high school plans:

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• The Northeast Region is planned for new or fully renovated high school space that would not accommodate all of its probable students in the target year, 2017-18. The planned Glenville could be made larger, but it appears that the currently planned Glenville for 912 would accommodate the students who will want to attend there in 2017, because the school has only 939 students now and lost 17 percent of its enrollment in the last two years. The better alternative might be to revive the once-planned partial renovation of East Tech for 431 students, but most of those slots would have to be taken from some other planned school. In any case, the non-Master Plan schools in the region provide plenty of capacity for the future as long as they remain in operation. Page 9

• The Master Plan provides for only one high school in the Southeast Region, the already built John Adams for 1,335 students, but that is probably adequate considering the region’s history of steep enrollment decline. A safety valve will be provided by continued operation of John F. Kennedy, which has a capacity of 1,568 students and has 1,013 enrolled. Page 11

• In the West Region, James Rhodes, renovated in Segment 2, is hosting 184 more students than its capacity. Lincoln-West is no longer overcrowded, thanks mostly to creation of the 9th-grade Academy at Thomas Jefferson. John Marshall is no longer overcrowded, owing to formal establishment of a 9th-grade Academy at Carl Shuler and a sharp drop in overall grade 9-12 enrollment. The plan to build Marshall for 1,400 students is questionable because the school has only 1,162, unless the District has reason to believe that the recent enrollment plunge is temporary. If the District eliminates the planned 600-student West Side High, for which no site is known to have been selected, Marshall could be kept at the currently planned capacity. Based only on enrollment, a strong case can no longer be made for a new West Side if the District is committed to operating the 9th-grade academies and Marshall is kept at the current size. If West Side is built, a strong case cannot be made for building Marshall for more students than it has now. Community input on these related issues is needed before construction of Marshall begins. If it is decided to build West Side, the question of a site should quickly be resolved. Page 12

• These Segment 5 decisions are related to future decisions on whether to boost Glenville's planned size or to revive the idea of a partial renovation at East Tech. Again, all of these issues deserve abundant public input. Waiting for the state's new enrollment forecast, which should be available in fall 2012, is in an option, but not a particularly good one for the schools in Segment 5 in view of the risk of even higher energy prices, a major component of construction costs.

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Charts and analysis of elementary school plans: • The Master Plan for the Collinwood neighborhood appears to be on target for the enrollment needs of the future. Page

15 • The plan for building Case and Buckeye-Woodland in Segment 6 would give the East neighborhood 10 percent more

new classroom space than it needs now and probably much more in the target school year of 2017-18. Those schools may be needed to ensure geographic accessibility, but it seems clear that size reductions should strongly be considered. Page 16

• The East Tech neighborhood appears to be on target for the future, though it may have been trimmed too much by the District's recent decision to close Giddings, which had been planned for replacement in Segment 8. Bolton and Stokes Academy provide safety valves should more space be needed, and it may be that one or the other will have to be returned to the Master Plan for co-funded replacement or renovation if neighborhood enrollment should stabilize. Page 18

• With the planned closing of Capt. Arthur Roth, the Glenville neighborhood will have three elementary schools left, and one of those, Michael White, would eventually be demolished under the Master Plan. But another school, dubbed "Glenville," would be added in Segment 6. The remaining schools -- Glenville, Patrick Henry and Franklin D. Roosevelt -- would have 17 percent more total capacity in 2017 than the neighborhood needs now. Consideration should be given to whether a new Glenville is needed and, if it is for geographic reasons, whether it can be pared. Page 19

• The James Rhodes neighborhood would have three elementary schools under the Master Plan, enough to accommodate about 75 percent of the current enrollment. That appears to be prudent. Benjamin Franklin provides a very large safety valve should enrollment stabilize. Page 20

• The John Adams neighborhood is being planned for 92 percent of its current enrollment. That sounds like a recipe for unused space in the future, but for geographical reasons there may be no remedy. Page 21

• The recent decision to close Emile deSauze, which had been slated for replacement in Segment 7, leaves the John F. Kennedy neighborhood on course to have Master Plan space for only 53 per cent of its current students. That seems

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draconian, but the neighborhood lost 18 percent of its students in the last two years and 59 percent since 1998. Eliot and Cranwood remain as safety valves, and either or both could be returned to the construction plan if needed. Page 22

• The Marshall neighborhood is planned for enough new or fully renovated schools to accommodate 89 percent of its current enrollment. The stability of the neighborhood enrollment suggests that this percentage is not too high. Page 23

• The current plan to accommodate 72 percent of the Lincoln-West neighborhood’s current enrollment in new schools in the year 2017 appears reasonable for now. However, the stability of the enrollments at Marin and Tremont, and the 2010 Master Plan decision to scrap plans for a new Scranton, raise the question of where the students from Tremont would go to school if the District indeed demolished the school in Segment 10 as planned. The District said that it considered closing Tremont -- an old building that is far larger than currently needed -- at the end of the current school year as a cost-cutting move but decided against it. If enrollment in the east end of this academic neighborhood holds steady, then consideration ought to be given to a new, smaller Tremont. Page 24

• The plan to build a new Willow for 100 students more than it has would give the South neighborhood the capacity for one percent more students in 2017 than exist now. Eliminating Willow would yield a more reasonable 83 percent. Page 25

------ Introduction: Enrollment-based planning

It’s been nearly three years since the Bond Accountability Commission undertook an in-depth review of high school construction plans for the Cleveland Metropolitan School District as they relate to enrollment. And it’s been nearly a year since the BAC examined the building plans for elementary schools. Now it is time to review both again.

The reviews are needed chiefly because the District’s enrollment has continued to decline, rapidly in some areas, and because the building plan itself has been changed by a little-discussed revision of the Master Plan last June, by the District’s Academic Transformation Plan, and more recently by school closures undertaken to reduce the District’s operating costs.

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Some background: the Ohio School Facilities Commission (OSFC), which pays for 68 percent of most costs of the District’s building program, will co-fund only the school space that its consultants predict will be needed in the program’s final, or build-out, year. Therefore, the OSFC requires that a school district’s Master Plan for construction be adjusted to conform to the latest enrollment estimate. An OSFC consultant completed an enrollment study in 2006, and as a result the District had to pare its construction program, resulting in what we refer to as the Master Plan of 2008. Another forecast was done for the OSFC in 2009, resulting in more cuts that are contained in what we refer to as the Master Plan of 2010, a document compiled by the OSFC staff in consultation with the District Administration.

Delays in the construction program caused the build-out year, which was 2015-16 for the Master Plan of 2008, to be pushed back to 2017-18 for the current plan. The predicted build-out enrollment changed from 40,743 in the 2008 plan to 36,234 in the 2010 plan. Now, to reduce current operating costs, the District has trimmed the 2010 plan by closing two schools that had been scheduled for replacement in the future, and the OSFC will have another enrollment study done next year. That study may or may or may not require more adjustments to the Master Plan.

The OSFC enrollment forecasts are done to ensure that the building plan does not exceed the District’s overall needs, but the OSFC leaves decisions on where to build individual schools and how big to build them up to the District.

In reviewing these decisions the BAC has sought to ensure that they are appropriate for the needs of each academic neighborhood and that they equitably distribute a scarce resource: co-funded space in new or fully renovated schools. The amount of such co-funded space is finite, and it has shrunk with each triennial enrollment forecast. Therefore it is important that too much school capacity not be built in a particular academic neighborhood, because doing so inherently means that another neighborhood will not get enough. And in any case, constructing school space that will not be used is simply a waste of taxpayer money. Improvement in balance

The Bond Accountability Commission reported in August 2008 and July 2009 that under the Master Plan of 2008, some of the District’s 10 academic neighborhoods were allotted more space than it appeared they were likely to have in the build-out year, which would be a waste of taxpayer money. Some academic neighborhoods were being planned for more students in 2015 than they had at the time, despite a decade-long record of steep enrollment decline. And a few neighborhoods were being planned for fewer students than they were likely to have in the build-out year.

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The BAC called on the School District to make further adjustments in the Master Plan to fix those apparent problems before the start of Segment 5. The District subsequently dropped Segment 5 plans for a new Mooney and a new Forest Hill Parkway, a total of 1,000 elementary school slots.

The Master Plan of 2010 also made other reductions, partly by incorporating school closings that were part of the Academic Transformation Plan. All of the neighborhoods that seemed headed for significant over-building of elementary schools were cut back, although two -- East and Adams – were still planned for slightly more students in 2017-18 than they had at that time. In both of those cases, too many schools were built too large in Segments 1-4, leaving little opportunity for adjustments in Segments 5-9.

The Master Plan of 2010 also reduced the size of the planned Glenville High and eliminated the renovation of a wing of East Tech. Now, armed with enrollment figures from 2011, the BAC reviews those changes and the plans for other high schools, the impact of school closings, and the plans for elementary schools. Solving the high school puzzle

Assessment of the adequacy and distributional equity of the Master Plan for high school space is extremely difficult because of the variety and volatility of the factors involved. The Academic Transformation Plan adopted in 2010 added to the complexity of the task by essentially ending the concept of a comprehensive high school anchoring each of 10 preK-8 academic neighborhoods.

Under the Transformation Plan, two of those comprehensive high schools, South and East, were closed. And the remaining neighborhood high schools were grouped into three regions -- Northeast, Southeast and West -- along with the specialty high schools in those respective areas. The comprehensive schools also are or will be divided into multiple academies with varied themes that have the potential to draw students from outside a particular academic neighborhood of residence.

The Academic Transformation Plan also established 9th-grade academies that are not on the campus of the main high school and therefore have eased high school crowding. The creation of a high school for immigrants at the new Thomas Jefferson school also has had an impact.

Meanwhile, no site has been announced for the new West Side High of the current Segment 5, nearly three years after it was added to the Master Plan. The District Administration now acknowledges that it is undecided about whether to move forward with the school.

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Finally, an improvement in the historically high dropout rate at District high schools – a goal of the Academic Transformation Plan -- would eventually result in an increased allotment for co-funded high school space from the OSFC. At this time, the BAC simply does not know whether the dropout rate will improve, so this analysis does not assume that it will. Era of decline

The overriding difficulty in assessing plans for high school space and location lies in the 17 percent drop in Cleveland's population over the last decade and even steeper declines in enrollment in most of the District's academic neighborhoods, reflecting the growth of charter schools and other alternatives. In the Adams neighborhood, for example, preK-8 enrollment fell by 59 percent from 1998 to 2011. Obviously, fewer elementary students will mean less demand for high school space in the future. But how much less? Will Cleveland's population begin to stabilize? And even if it does stabilize overall, will the population of a particular neighborhood or regional group of neighborhoods continue sharply to fall? Will charter schools grow, attracting more District students?

Despite the difficulty, an attempt must be made to assess plans for high school space to assure access for Cleveland's students as well as to provide for the best use of scarce tax dollars. That's why the OSFC has an enrollment forecast done every three years. The last OSFC-commission enrollment forecast estimated that there would be about 13,034 high school/vo-ed students in the current academic year (The District’s head count found about 13,100 in February.) and that there will be about 8,300 in the final year of the program, a decline of 36 percent. Range of possibilities

The task for District planners wishing to build schools of the right size in the right place is to estimate how the district-wide forecast might play out region by region. The BAC has attempted to make such calculations in three ways in order to provide a range of likely outcomes. Two of these calculations are based on the OSFC’s enrollment forecast, which, although it was accurate for this year, may not be accurate for future years. For now, it is the best data that we have.

All three of the estimates are based on the premise that the past is a predictor of the future. For the Cleveland District, where enrollment has declined for many years, that means an underlying assumption that enrollment will continue to fall. That might not be true; for example, it may be that the Academic Transformation Plan and other initiatives will result in stabilization of enrollment. A

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significant reduction in the high school dropout rate would dramatically change the overall enrollment picture. Still, given the historic trends, the decline in Cleveland's overall population, and plans for charter school growth, it seems unwise to plan construction to accommodate an enrollment surge until one begins to occur.

In attempting to compile a range of likely regional high school enrollments for the 2017-18 school year, the BAC first calculated the enrollment decline for each region over the last two years: 5 percent in the Northeast Region, 26 percent in the Southeast, and 11 percent in the West. If those regions continued to lose high school students at those rates, their enrollments in 2017-18 would be 4,758 in Northeast, 844 in Southeast, and 3,262 in West. The district-wide total of this figures is 8,864, which is 555 more than the 8,309 in the OSFC forecast.

Another way to calculate the estimated regional enrollment is simply to apply the OSFC forecast’s estimated percentage decline in district-wide high school enrollment from this school year to 2017-18 -- about 36 percent -- by the number of students in each region this year. That yields these totals: 3,711 in Northeast, 1,553 in Southeast, and 3,121 in West. The total differs only slightly from the OSFC forecast's prediction, due to statistical rounding.

Finally, the BAC took the overall high school student loss estimated in the OSFC forecast between the current school year and 2017-18 -- 4,725 -- and apportioned it among the regions based on each region's percentage share of high school enrollment loss since 1998. This method based on historical trends predicts 3,479 high school students in Northeast, 751 in Southeast, and 4,147 in West. The total differs only slightly from the OSFC forecast's prediction, due to statistical rounding.

The three methods produce a range of estimates for each region: • 3,479 to 4,758 for Northeast, which is to have Master Plan space -- new or fully renovated schools -- for 3,094; • 751 to 1,553 for Southeast, which has Master Plan space for 1,335; • 3,126 to 4,160 for West, which is to have new/renovated space for 4,325.

All three regions, especially Northeast, have far more high school space than they are predicted to need under any of the methods if one considers not only new/renovated Master Plan schools but also all other operating high schools in the region. Within limits?

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Now the question becomes whether the Master Plan high school space provided for each region is appropriate in view of the calculated ranges of expected enrollment. The charts below contain data used in the BAC’s assessment. How to read the charts:

Third column – The 2010 draft Master Plan for each school. For example, if a school is to be demolished in Segment 6, the chart says D-6. If it is to be built new, it says N-6, or renovated, R-6. If it is not to be replaced or demolished, it says Keep.

Fourth column -- The enrollment of each school in early 1998, per the Ohio Department of Education.. Fifth and Sixth columns – The enrollment of each school in February 2009 and January 2011, respectively, per the School District. Seventh column – The percentage change in each school’s enrollment from February 2009 to January 2011. Eighth column – The percentage change in each school’s enrollment from early 1998 to January 2011. Ninth and 10th columns -- The OSFC-funded enrollment capacity for each school for the 2008 Master Plan and the 2010 Master Plan. If a

school is listed for zero capacity, that means it is not planned for renovation or replacement. 11th and 12th columns – Percentage of the January 2011 enrollment that the Master Plans of 2008 and 2010, respectively, would

accommodate by the end of the construction program. For a school or neighborhood with a history of decline (see eighth column), these accommodation percentages should be well below 100 now and grow slowly toward 100 as the program completion year approaches.

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High Schools

Collinwood HS15210 St. Clair 44110 Keep 1410 889 697 -22% -51% 0 0 NA NA

Ginn Academy 655 East 162nd 44110 D-10 0 204 258 26% NA 0 0 NA NA

Glenville HS650 East 113th 44108 N-9 1569 1136 939 -17% -40% 1150 912 122% 97%

East HS1349 East 79th.44103 Keep 1263 661 0 -100%

-100% 0 0 NA NA

Margaret Ireland 1800 East 63rd 44103

D-10 Close 0 94 120 28% NA 0 NA NA

East Tech HS2439 East 55th 44104 Keep 1359 793 862 9% -37% 431 0 50% NA

School of the Arts Stearns Road 44106 N-5 317 403 428 6% 35% 550 550 129% 129%

John Hay 2075 Stokes 44106 R-1 1356 722 859 19% -37% 1232 1232 143% 143%

MLK High1651 East 71st 44103 Keep 346 497 565 14% 63% 0 0 NA NA

J. Addams Business 2373 East 30th 44115 Keep 586 410 397 -3% -32% 0 0 NA NA

J. Addams Design Lab

2373 East 30th 44115 Keep 0 0 218 NA NA 0 0 NA NA

SuccessTech1440 Lakeside 44114 R-1 0 245 231 -6% NA 400 400 173% 173%

MC2 STEM1740 East 32nd 44114 Keep 0 81 224 177% NA 0 0 NA NA

Health Careers1740 East 32nd 44114 Keep 404 0 0 NA

-100% 0 0 NA NA

Harry L. Eastman 41 0 0 NA-100

% 0 0 NA NA

Totals 8651 6135 5798 -5% -33% 3763 3094 65% 53% 4758 3711 3479

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Is the Master Plan high school space provided appropriate in view of the calculated ranges of expected enrollment? For the

Northeast Region, the answer appears to be no. The region is planned for new/renovated high school space that would not accommodate all of its probable students according to the calculated range of possibilities. The region is planned for 485 fewer students than the lower end of its expected enrollment range. However, the Northeast calculations are skewed somewhat by the large number of specialty schools, including Ginn Academy, School of the Arts, John Hay and MC2 STEM, which draw some students from outside the Northeast Region.

The planned Glenville could be made somewhat larger by allocating the approximately 75 OSFC-allowed high school slots that the current Master Plan does not designate for a particular school. However, it appears that the currently planned Glenville for 912 will be more than adequate for the number of students who will want to attend there in 2017, because the school has only 939 students now and lost 17 percent of its enrollment in just the last two years.

The better alternative might be to revive the once-planned partial renovation of East Tech for 431 students, but most of those slots would have to be taken from some other planned school.

In any case, the non-Master Plan schools in the region provide plenty of capacity for the future. It is worth noting that East Tech gained 69 students in the last two years, while Martin Luther King Jr. gained 68, Jane Addams gained 205, and John Hay gained 137. These gains may be due partly to the 2010 closings of East, which had 661 students in 2008-09, and of South, which had 920.

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The predicted range for the Southeast Region is bleak. At the top end, it suggests that the region will have 1,553 students in

2017-18, compared with its current 2,427. At the bottom end, it suggests that the region will have only 751 high school students. That is because the region has lost 46 percent of its high school enrollment since 1998, and it lost 26 percent of its enrollment over just the last two years.

South High, which had 920 students two years ago, was closed for the last academic year, yet only two high schools in the region gained students over the last two years, John F. Kennedy a paltry 37 and the new Washington Park Environmental Studies academy 139.

The Master Plan provides for only one high school in the region, the already built John Adams, which has a capacity of 1,335 students and a current enrollment of 1,077. While the Adams capacity is 220 students less than the top end of the predicted enrollment range, it is nearly 600 more than the bottom end. This suggests that the Master Plan's high school capacity for the Southeast Region is adequate, especially with the continued operation of JFK, which has a capacity of 1,568 students and has 1,013 currently.

The Master Plan of 2010 does not specify what is to become of Washington Park.

High Schools

Wash. Park Environment Studies

3875 Washington Park 44105 ??? 139 NA 0 0 NA NA

South (now closed)7415 Broadway 44105 Keep 1721 920 0 -100%

-100% 0 0 NA NA

John F. Kennedy 17100 Harvard 44128 Keep 1560 976 1013 4% -35% 0 0 NA NA

Whitney Young 17900 Harvard 44128 Keep 221 198 -10% NA 0 0 NA

John Adams 3817 MLK Jr. 44105 N-1 1208 1176 1077 -8% -11% 1335 1335 124% 124%

Totals 4489 3293 2427 -26% -46% 1335 1335 55% 55% 844 1553 751

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The West Region's needs are the most difficult to decipher, in part because the historical stability of its enrollment may be

beginning to weaken and in part because it does not have many specialty schools to absorb students. In addition, the future impact of the fledgling International Newcomers Academy at Thomas Jefferson is difficult to predict.

High Schools NA NA

West Side ??? N-5 0 NA NA 600 600 NA NA

Rhodes 5100 Biddulph 44144 R-2 1518 1374 1189 -13% -22% 1005 1005 85% 85%

Garrett Morgan4016 Woodbine 44113 D-10 214 366 71% NA 0 0 NA NA

Lincoln-West 3202 West 30th 44109 Keep 1472 1384 886 -36% -40% 0 0 NA NA

T. Jefferson 9th grade

3145 West 46th 44102 N-4 362 NA NA 0 370 NA

102%

Jefferson Newcomers**

3145 West 46th 44102 N-4 53 NA NA 0 150 NA

151%

John Marshall w/Shuler until 2011

3952 West 140th 44111 N-5 2141 1990 1162 -24% -30% 1400 1400 120%

120%

Carl Shuler 9th grade

13501 Terminal 44135 D-10 342 * * 0 0 NA NA

Max Hayes Vo-Ed HS W. 65th & Walworth N-5 611 510 517 1% -15% 800 800 155%

155%

Halle CLC 7901 Halle 44102 D-10 33 0 0 NA-100

% 0 0 NA NA

Totals 5775 5472 4884 -11% -15% 3805 4325 78% 89% 3282 3126 4160

* Marshall percentages include Shuler Districttotal

s 8864 8385 8377

** Jefferson capacities are estimates

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In 2008, the BAC cited crowding of the West Region's high schools in suggesting that the District revive a former plan for what was called the West Side Relief high school. The school had been planned as part of the original Master Plan of 2002 to, as the name indicates, relieve crowding in West Region high schools. The District purchased land on West 65th Street for the school but subsequently delayed the planned construction and then dropped the school from its plans.

Then, in July 2008, the District returned the school to its building plans as a 600-student school in Segment 5. However, the District Administration decided to build Segment 5's new Max Hayes Vo-Ed High School on the West 65th site and never acquired any other land for what became known as the West Side High School. Now, with architectural planning under way for all the other Segment 5 schools, the Administration wants to reconsider whether to build a West Side High. With that in mind, the projected range of West Region high school enrollment takes on added importance.

The 4,325-student high school capacity in the current Master Plan for the West Region would provide for about 165 more students than the high end of the probable enrollment range for the region and about 1,200 more than the low end of the range.

Rhodes, renovated in Segment 2, is still hosting more students -- 184 more -- than its OSFC-rated capacity. Lincoln-West is no longer overcrowded, thanks in large part to creation of the 9th-grade Academy at Jefferson. And John Marshall is no longer overcrowded, owing to formal establishment of a 9th-grade Academy at Carl Shuler and a rather sudden drop in overall enrollment.

The combined Marshall-Shuler enrollment has fallen from 1,990 two years ago to 1,504, a decline of 24 percent at a high school that has lost only 30 percent of its enrollment since 1998. The cause of the recent Marshall/Shuler enrollment decline is unclear. Possible explanations include a delayed impact of the end of Cleveland's residency requirement for municipal employees, transfers to Thomas Jefferson, and transfers to other schools (parochial, charter, other districts) to avoid having to spend as much as three years in swing space during Marshall's construction. The swing space has been identified as Shuler and the Brooklawn K-8 augmented by modular classrooms, but that plan is now on hold.

Marshall's current enrollment of 1,162 calls into question whether the school needs to be built for 1,400. It does not seem appropriate unless the District has firm reason to believe that the recent decline is temporary or unless the District is not firmly committed to the Academic Transformation Plan's designation of Shuler as a 9th-grade academy. Otherwise, why not build a new Marshall for 1,100 or even 1,000? Indeed, some neighborhood residents urged at community meetings in 2008 that Marshall be built smaller. That would put the West Region's Master Plan capacity more firmly in line with the expected enrollment range.

Then there is the question of the planned 600-student West Side High School. Marshall could be kept at the currently planned capacity if West Side High is eliminated, which would put the West Region

within the expected range of enrollment for 2017-18. However, elimination of West Side High would leave students in some K-8

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neighborhoods four to five-plus miles from Marshall, their nominal neighborhood high school according to the Academic Transformation Plan.

The Transformation Plan shifted Booker, Alcott, Seltzer, Gallagher and Watterson-Lake elementary schools from the Lincoln-West neighborhood to the Marshall neighborhood. Because the District acknowledges that its academic neighborhoods don't have firm boundaries, we won't argue the change except to note that four of those five elementary schools are closer to Lincoln-West. The fact is, these elementary schools are roughly three to five miles from either high school -- one of the arguments for a new West Side High located between the two.

Depending on its location, a West Side High might also ease a bit of the Rhodes crowding. Finally, some residents have noted that a West Side High could serve as the location of a specialty school, such as a STEM school or a school for advanced studies, to bolster the West Region's offerings of such alternatives, currently limited to Max Hayes Vo-Ed and the Garrett Morgan School of Science. A specialty school could be smaller, perhaps 400 students.

But, based only on enrollment, the conclusions for the West Region are that the creation of off-site 9th-grade academies for Lincoln-West and Marshall mean a strong case can no longer be made for a new West Side High -- IF the District is firmly committed to operating the academies for the foreseeable future and keeps Marshall at 1,400 students. And, if a West Side High is built, a strong case cannot be made for building Marshall for more students than it has now.

The two issues are related, and they are of such importance that the District should seek community input and then make firm plans before construction of Marshall begins. And, if it is decided to keep the plan for a West Side High, then the District must assemble the required real estate with all due haste.

These Segment 5 decisions, in turn, are related to future decisions on whether to boost Glenville's planned size or to revive the idea of a partial renovation at East Tech. Again, all of these issues deserve abundant public input. Waiting for the OSFC's new enrollment forecast, which should be available in fall 2012, is in an option, but not a particularly good one for the schools in Segment 5 in view of the risk of even higher energy prices, a major component of construction costs.

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Elementary schools Collinwood neighborhood

Address

2010 Plan: Reno., Keep, Demo / Segmt.

1997-98 ODE head count

Jan. 2008 CMSD head count

Feb. 2009 CMSD head count

Jan. 2011 CMSD head count

Feb. 2009 - Jan. 2011 pct. change

1997-98 to Jan. 2011 pct. change

2008 Master Plan cap-acity

2010 Master Plan cap-acity

2008 Master Plan pct. of Jan. 11 count

2010 Master Plan pct. of Jan. 11 count

2010 MP excess / (deficit) of space for 2011 students

PreK-8

Collinwood Computech 410

East Clark ES 885 East 146th St. N-3 563 277 249 394 58% -30% 450 450 114% 114%

Euclid Park Ansel Rd. N-4 477 277 249 334 34% -30% 351 351 105% 105%

Hannah Gibbons 1401 Larchmont Rd. 44110 N-2 174 267 269 260 -3% 49% 351 351 135% 135%

Henry Longfellow650 East 140th St. 44110 D-6 445 347 250 0 -100% -100% 0 0 NA NA

Iowa Maple 12510 Maple Ave. 44108 D-10 624 383 329 366 11% -41% 350 0 96% NA

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As far as planned capacity is concerned, this neighborhood appears to be on target for the future, even if Iowa-Maple and

Oliver Perry were eventually closed. Collinwood has lost 48 percent of its prek-8 enrollment since 1998, but the student population grew by 1 percent in the last two years. The 2010 Master Plan does not specify a fate for Perry.

Kenneth Clement***14311 Woodworth Rd 44112 Keep 299 125 153 187 22% -37% 0 0 NA NA

M.t Spellacy (Ginn)655 East 162nd St. 44110 D-10 823 0 0 0 NA -100% 0 0 NA NA

Memorial410 East 152nd St. 44110 N-1 249 504 513 513 0% 106% 631 631 123% 123%

Oliver H. Perry18400 Schenely Ave. 44119 ??? 680 389 443 417 -6% -39% 0 0 NA NA

K-8 Totals 4744 2569 2455 2471 1% -48% 2133 1783 86% 72% (688)

East neighborhood

Address

2010 Plan: Reno., Keep, Demo / Segmt.

1997-98 ODE head count

Jan. 2008 CMSD head count

Feb. 2009 CMSD head count

Jan. 2011 CMSD head count

Feb. 2009 - Jan. 2011 pct. change

1997-98 to Jan. 2011 pct. change

2008 Master Plan cap-acity

2010 Master Plan cap-acity

2008 Master Plan pct. of Jan. 11 count

2010 Master Plan pct. of Jan. 11 count

2010 MP excess / (deficit) of space for 2011 students

PreK-8

Alexander G. Bell 11815 Larchmere 44120 D-10 449 392 403 0 -100% -100% 350 0 NA NA

Buckeye-Woodland 9511 Buckeye Rd. 44104 N-6 482 272 270 305 13% -37% 350 450 115% 148%

Case4050 Superior Ave.44103 N-6 756 536 447 451 1% -40% 375 450 83% 100%

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Even if Case or Buckeye-Woodland were closed, this neighborhood would have enough new schools built under the OSFC

program to accommodate nearly all its current students. Yet neither is planned for closure. Case is scheduled replacement in the imminent Segment 6 with a 450-student new school; that's 75 more students than was provided by the 2008 Master Plan. And

Charles Orr (Early Childhood Cntr.) 9711 Lamont Ave.44114

D-10 Close 291 191 157 173 10% -41% 0 0 NA NA

Daniel Morgan 8912 Morris Court 44106 N-2 527 481 438 354 -19% -33% 480 480 136% 136%

Harry E. Davis Middle

10700 Churchill Ave. 44106 D-10 620 0 0 0 NA -100% 0 0 NA NA

Harvey Rice2730 East 116th St. 44120 N-3 786 266 235 459 95% -42% 450 450 98% 98%

John Raper1601 East 85th St. 44106 D-6 515 468 405 0 -100% -100% 0 0 NA NA

John D. Rockefeller 5901 Whittier Ave. 44103 D-10 516 250 246 0 -100% -100% 0 0 NA NA

Margaret Ireland 1800 East 63rd St. 44103 D-10 562 0 79 57 NA -90% 0 0 NA

Mary Martin8200 Brookline Ave. 44103 R-2 404 342 416 316 -24% -22% 490 490 155% 155%

Mary Bethune11815 Moulton Ave. 44106 R-2 490 361 348 388 11% -21% 500 500 129% 129%

Sunbeam11731 Mt.Overlook 44120 D-10 241 244 210 256 22% 6% 0 0 NA NA

Wade Park7600 Wade Park Ave.44103 N-3 532 242 194 396 104% -26% 501 501 127% 127%

Willson** 1126 Ansel Road 44108 N-3 438 0 0 393 NA -10% 574 574 NA 146%

MLK Middle (half)1651 East 71st St. 44103 Keep 255 0 0 0 NA -100% 0 0 NA NA

K-8 Totals 7864 4045 3848 3548 -8% -55% 4070 3895 115% 110% 347

! 18

Buckeye-Woodland is scheduled for replacement in Segment 6 with a 450-student new school; that's 100 students more than were provided for by the 2008 Master Plan.

The District Administration has said Case and Buckeye-Woodland were increased to 450 students in order to provide 18 classrooms, 2 per grade, at each school. In addition, the Administration has said that the Buckeye-Woodland size was enlarged to take advantage of earlier land purchases that were made by a previous Administration. In view of the school's current enrollment of 305, this would seem to compound one ill-advised decision with another. The only justification for making Buckeye-Woodland that large that we can see would be the closure of Bolton in the nearby East Tech neighborhood.

As it stands, the current plan would give the East academic neighborhood 10 percent more classroom space than it needs in the near future (and probably much more later), even if Margaret Ireland, Sunbeam and the Early Childhood Development Center are closed. The neighborhood has lost 58 percent of its preK-8 students since 1998 and 12 percent in the last two years, which does not suggest that the District needs to plan for a surge in enrollment. We should note that Buckeye-Woodland is shown above in blue because it was previously designated as being part of the Adams academic neighborhood, which also does not need the extra student capacity.

The problem with overcapacity in the East neighborhood traces to other schools that were built too large for their current enrollments: Daniel Morgan, built for 480 students, has a current enrollment 354; Mary Martin, renovated for 490, has only 316; Mary Bethune, renovated for 500, has only 388; Wade Park, built for 501, has only 396; and Willson, built for 574, has only 393. There are no obvious solutions for remedying this overcapacity. One, busing students from nearby neighborhoods to fill the East schools, would be expensive from an operational standpoint. So it may be that Case and Buckeye-Woodland are needed to provide adequate geographic accessibility for the neighborhood's students, but it seems clear that reductions should strongly be considered for the Case and Buckeye-Woodland plans.

! 19

*Giddings was listed in the 2010 Master Plan for replacement for 350 students. It is listed here as zero because the District has elected to close the school.

East Tech neighborhood

Address

2010 Plan: Reno., Keep, Demo / Segmt.

1997-98 ODE head count

Jan. 2008 CMSD head count

Feb. 2009 CMSD head count

Jan. 2011 CMSD head count

Feb. 2009 - Jan. 2011 pct. change

1997-98 to Jan. 2011 pct. change

2008 Master Plan cap-acity

2010 Master Plan cap-acity

2008 Master Plan pct. of Jan. 11 count

2010 Master Plan pct. of Jan. 11 count

2010 MP excess / (deficit) of space for 2011 students

PreK-8

Alfred Benesch 5393 Quincy Ave. 44104 D-10 541 0 0 0 NA -100% 0 0 NA NA

Anton Grdina3050 East 77th St. 44104 N-4 716 547 532 366 -31% -49% 540 540 148% 148%

George W. Carver2201 East 49th St. 44103 N-4 383 426 435 346 -20% -10% 450 450 130% 130%

Audubon 3055 MLK, Jr. Dr. 44104 D-6 703 496 443 0 -100% -100% 0 0 NA NA

Bolton9803 Quebec Ave. 44106 D-10 457 369 369 436 18% -5% 350 0 80% NA

Dike 2501 East 61st St. 44104 ??? 338 390 396 499 26% 63% 0 0 0% NA

CSA Lower (*6-8) Stearns Road 44106 N-5 189 225 119%

Giddings 2250 East 71st St. 44103 Close 616 328 307 284 -7% -54% 450 0* 158% NA

Marion Sterling 3033 Central Ave. 44115 R-8 606 538 530 533 1% -12% 490 490 92% 92%

Carl & Louis Stokes

2225 East 40th St. 44103 D-10 687 550 543 586 8% -15% 450 0 77% 0%

MLK Middle (half) 1651 East 71st St. 44103 Keep 255 0 0 0 NA -100% 0 0 NA NA

K-8 Totals 5302 3644 3555 3239 -9% -39% 2730 1705 84% 53% (1534)

! 20

As far as planned capacity is concerned, this neighborhood appears to be on target for the future, though it may have been

trimmed too much by the District's decision to close Giddings, which had been planned for replacement in Segment 8 under the 2010 Master Plan. Bolton and Stokes Academy provide safety valves should more space be needed, and it may be that one or the other will have to be returned to the Master Plan for co-funded replacement or renovation if overall neighborhood enrollment, which fell 9 percent in the last two years, should stabilize. The 2010 Master Plan does not specify what is to become of Dike. Glenville neighborhood

Address

2010 Plan: Reno., Keep, Demo / Segmt.

1997-98 ODE head count

Jan. 2008 CMSD head count

Feb. 2009 CMSD head count

Jan. 2011 CMSD head count

Feb. 2009 - Jan. 2011 pct. change

1997-98 to Jan. 2011 pct. change

2008 Master Plan cap-acity

2010 Master Plan cap-acity

2008 Master Plan pct. of Jan. 11 count

2010 Master Plan pct. of Jan. 11 count

2010 MP excess / (deficit) of space for 2011 students

PreK-8

Arthur Roth12523 Woodside Ave. 44108

D-10/ close 655 343 299 304 2% -54% 0 0 NA NA

Empire 9113 Parmalee Ave. 44108 D-6 633 338 282 0 -100% -100% 0 0 NA NA

Glenville ??? 44108 N6 0 450 NA NA

Franklin D. Roosevelt 800 Linn Drive 44108 R-2 639 324 360 613 70% -4% 1115 1115 182% 182%

Forest Hill Parkway

450 East 112th St. 44108 D-5 536 402 360 0 -100% -100% 350 0 NA NA

Joseph F. Landis10118 Hampden Ave. 44108 D-6 522 398 360 0 -100% -100% 0 0 NA NA

Louis Pasteur D-6 413 0 0 0 NA 0 0 NA NA

Charles Lake 9201 Hillock Ave. 44108 D-4 338 274 213 0 -100% -100% 0 0 NA NA

! 21

With the planned closing of Capt. Arthur Roth, the Glenville neighborhood will have only three elementary schools left, and

one of those, Michael White, would eventually be demolished under the current Master Plan. But another school, designated as "Glenville," would be added in the imminent Segment 6 at a location that has not been disclosed yet. The three remaining schools -- Glenville, Patrick Henry and Franklin D. Roosevelt -- would have 17 percent more combined capacity than the neighborhood currently needs and, given a 68 percent decline in enrollment since 1998 and a 32 percent decline in just the last two years, probably far more than it needs in the more-distant future.

The problem is Franklin D. Roosevelt, renovated in Segment 2 for 1,115 students but with an enrollment of only 613. Without busing from somewhere else, it does not appear FDR will come close to full utilization as a general preK-8. Given these facts, serious consideration should be given to whether the new Glenville school needs to be built and, if it does for geographic reasons, whether it can be reduced to the OSFC minimum capacity of 350.

Michael R. White1000 East 92nd St. 44108 D-10 400 390 349 462 32% 16% 450 0 NA NA

Patrick Henry11901 Durant Ave. 44108 N-3 804 385 334 347 4% -57% 450 450 130% 130%

Stephen E. Howe1000 Lakeview Road 44108 D-6 456 0 0 0 NA 0 0 NA NA

K-8 Totals 5396 2854 2557 1726 -32% -68% 2365 2015 137% 117% 289

Rhodes neighborhood

Address

2010 Plan: Reno., Keep, Demo / Segment

1997-98 ODE head count

Jan. 2008 CMSD head count

Feb. 2009 CMSD head count

Jan. 2011 CMSD head count

Feb. 2009 - Jan. 2011 pct. change

1997-98 to Jan. 2011 pct. change

2008 Master Plan cap-acity

2010 Master Plan cap-acity

2008 Master Plan pct. of Jan. 11 count

2010 Master Plan pct. of Jan. 11 count

2010 MP excess / (deficit) of space for 2011 students

PreK-8

Benjamin Franklin1905 Spring Road 44109 D-10 640 691 678 667 -2% 4% 0 0 NA NA

! 22

The relatively small Rhodes neighborhood would have three elementary schools under the current Master Plan, enough to

accommodate 1,770 students, about 75 percent of the current enrollment. That appears to be a prudent plan, given the 4 percent drop in enrollment over the last two years. Benjamin Franklin provides a very large safety valve should enrollment stabilize. Otherwise, the plan calls for Franklin eventually to be demolished. Mooney was to have been a Segment 5 school under the 2008 Master Plan, but the June 2010 Master Plan provided for simply demolishing the school in Segment 5. The District has put the demolition on hold, and the school's eventual fate is undetermined.

Charles A. Mooney3213 Montclair Ave. 44109 ??? 1081 614 606 725 20% -33% 650 0 90% NA

Denison3799 West 33rd St. 44109 N-7 757 707 712 617 -13% -18% 720 720 117% 117%

William C. Bryant3121 Oak Park Ave. 44109 R-7 391 502 449 350 -22% -10% 600 600 171% 171%

William R. Harper1468 West 98th St. 44102 N-9 516 0 0 0 NA 0 450 NA NA

Totals 3385 2514 2445 2359 -4% -30% 1970 1770 84% 75% (589)

! 23

The 2010 Master Plan eliminated a new Woodland Hills and reduced the size of Segment 7's Paul Revere from 450 to 350.

Even so, the Adams neighborhood is being planned for 92 percent of its current enrollment. That sounds like a recipe for unused space in the future, but geographically there may be no remedy. The problem is that A.J. Rickoff was built for 720 students in Segment 1, but it has only 504 students. The damage is done, and it cannot be rectified easily by building, say, Segment 5's Miles smaller, without running the risk of increased transportation costs.

PreK-8

A.J. Rickoff 3500 East 147th St. 44120 N-1 490 604 572 504 -12% 3% 720 720 143% 143%

Alexander Hamilton D-6 580 0 0 0 NA 0 0 NA NA

Charles Dickens3552 East 131st St. 44120 N-4 448 384 312 433 39% -3% 450 450 104% 104%

Corlett D-4 563 0 0 0 NA 0 0 NA NA

Miles (Cranwood) 11918 Miles Ave. 44105 N-5 593 416 354 385 9% -35% 450 450 117% 117%

Moses Cleaveland D-4 547 0 0 0 NA 0 0 NA NA

Mount Auburn D-6 456 0 0 0 NA 0 0 NA NA

Mount Pleasant 11617 Union Ave.44105 ??? 0 0 0 0 NA 0 0 NA NA

Nathan Hale3588 MLK, Jr. Drive 44105 N-4 754 367 333 412 24% -45% 400 400 97% 97%

Paul Revere10706 Sandusky Ave. 44105 N-7 672 481 420 508 21% -24% 450 350 89% 69%

Robert Fulton 3291 East 140th St. 44120 D-6 510 316 284 0 -100% -100% 0 0 NA NA

Woodland Hills 9201 Crane Ave. 44105D-10/close 630 394 347 348 0% -45% 450 0 129% NA

K-8 Totals 6243 2962 2622 2590 -1% -59% 2920 2370 113% 92% (220)

! 24

*DeSauze was listed in the 2010 Master Plan for replacement for 450 students. It is listed here as zero because the District has elected to close the school. The District has decided to close Emile deSauze, which had been slated for replacement in Segment 7 under the Master Plan of

2010. That leaves the neighborhood as currently defined on a course to have space for only 53 per cent of its current students. That seems draconian, but the neighborhood did lose 18 percent of its students in the last two years and 59 percent since 1998. Eliot and Cranwood, which are planned for demolition in Segment 10 of the Master Plan, remain as safety valves in the meantime, and either or both could be returned to the construction plan if enrollment stabilizes. The District has spruced up Cranwood for use as a swing space school for Miles students during construction of their new school in Segment 5.

PreK-8

Adlai Stevenson 3938 Jo Ann Drive 44122 N-4 452 299 282 288 2% -36% 450 450 156% 156%

Charles Eliot 15700 Lotus Drive 44128 D-10 728 326 336 466 39% -36% 0 0 NA NA

Cranwood13604 Christine Ave. 44105 D-10 542 0 0 0 0 0 NA NA

Emile deSauze4747 East 176th St. 44128 close 475 356 319 284 -11% -40% 450 0* 158% NA

Whitney Young (2-8 )

17900 Harvard Ave. 44128 D-10 528 182 165 208 26% -61% 0 0 NA NA

Gracemount16200 Glendale Ave. 44128 D-6 611 504 441 0 -100% -100% 0 0 NA NA

Robert Jamison13905 Harvard Ave. 44105 N-4 747 586 522 442 -15% -41% 450 450 102% 102%

Totals 4083 2253 2065 1688 -18% -59% 1350 900 80% 53% (788)

! 25

PreK-8

Almira3380 West 98th St. 44102 N-5 655 471 473 379 -20% -42% 450 450 119% 119%

Artemus Ward4315 West 140th St. 44135 N-3 361 428 449 470 5% 30% 450 450 96% 96%

Brooklawn11801 Worthington 44111 D-6 369 317 278 0 -100% -100% 450 0 NA NA

H. Barbara Booker2121 West 67th St. 44102 N-9 448 531 446 454 2% 1% 450 459 99% 101%

Carl Shuler (6-8 only)

13501 Terminal Ave. 44135 D-10 869 0 0 0 NA 0 0 NA NA

Clara Westropp19202 Puritas Ave. 44135 N-7 591 686 616 534 -13% -10% 720 540 135% 101%

Douglas MacArthur***

4401 Valleyside Rd. 44135 Keep 261 96 165 228 38% 0 0 NA NA

Garfield3800 West 140th St. 44111 N-3 286 160 153 440 188% 54% 426 426 97% 97%

Louis Agassiz3595 Bosworth Road 44111 D-10 430 337 347 352 1% -18% 0 0 NA NA

Louisa May Alcott10308 Baltic Road 44102 R-5 238 212 233 239 3% 0% 192 226 80% 95%

Marion C. Seltzer1468 West 98th St. 44102 R-9 684 641 590 534 -9% -22% 423 423 79% 79%

McKinley3349 West 125th St. 44111 N-7 459 340 308 308 0% -33% 450 450 146% 146%

Nathaniel Hawthorne 3575 West 130th 44111 D-10 0 0 0 0 NA 0 0 NA NA

Newton D. Baker3690 West 159th St. 44111 D-10 622 478 458 514 12% -17% 0 0 NA NA

! 26

Even with a 5 percent enrollment slide over the last two years, Marshall remains the District's most stable academic

neighborhood, especially considering that a portion of the decrease was the result of nominally shifting schools (shown in green above) from the Lincoln-West neighborhood in the Academic Transformation Plan. The Marshall neighborhood is now planned for enough new or fully renovated schools to accommodate 89 percent of its current enrollment. The stability of the neighborhood enrollment suggests that this percentage is not too high.

If enrollment were to fall more sharply in the next few years, the plan certainly provides options for reductions, such as the new Gallagher and the new Wright, each planned for 720 students. It seems unlikely that at least two schools on the Segment 10 demolition list, Baker and Valley View, actually will meet that fate. On the other hand, it might make sense to move the small Valley View and MacArthur gender academies to larger schools in the neighborhood rather than continue to buy expensive modular classrooms to handle their growing enrollment.

Riverside14601 Montrose Ave. 44111 N-1 415 530 554 529 -5% 27% 436 436 82% 82%

Robinson G. Jones3575 West 130th St. 44111 N-3 317 393 396 390 -2% 23% 450 450 115% 115%

Valley View***17200 Valleyview . 44135 D-10 203 98 134 191 43% -6% 0 0 NA NA

Joseph M. Gallagher

6601 Franklin Blvd. 44102 N-8 1086 812 780 690 -12% -36% 540 720 78% 104%

Watterson-Lake1422 West 74th St. 44102 N-7 573 550 564 379 -33% -34% 450 650 119% 172%

Wilbur Wright11005 Parkhurst Dr. 44111 R-9 1180 632 607 573 -6% -51% 0 720 NA NA

Totals 10047 7712 7551 7204 -5% -28% 3382 6400 47% 89% (804)

! 27

As noted above, the Academic Transformation Plan shifted five schools from the Lincoln-West neighborhood to the Marshall

neighborhood. In addition, it designated Thomas Jefferson, which was originally designed in Segment 4 to be a general preK-8 school for 785 students, as a 9th-grade academy and a K-12 International Newcomers Academy. It had a total of 558 students in January 2011, 143 of them in elementary grades. For purposes of our preK-8 analysis, we are treating the school as if it has a capacity of 265 students.

PreK-8

Buhrer 1991 Barber Ave.44113 N-3 445 443 447 332 -26% -25% 350 350 105% 105%

Clark 5550 Clark Ave.44102 R-7 608 595 560 551 -2% -9% 540 540 98% 98%

Garrett Morgan (K-8) 4016 Woodbine Ave. 44113 D-10 572 0 0 0 NA NA 0 0 NA NA

Halle (7-8 only) D-10 30 0 0 0 NA NA 0 0 NA NA

Kentucky 3805 Terrett Ave. 44113 D-10 443 0 0 0 NA NA 0 0 NA NA

Luis Munoz Marin 1701 Castle Ave. 44113 N-9 969 892 823 820 0% -15% 720 540 88% 66%

Orchard 4200 Bailey Ave. 44113 N-5 596 593 537 371 -31% -38% 450 450 121% 121%

P. Dunbar (Brooklawn)

2200 West 28th St. 44113 N-5 367 315 271 205 -24% -44% 450 450 220% 220%

Scranton 1991 Barber Ave.44113 D-10 584 457 447 430 -4% -26% 350 0 81% NA

T. Jefferson (preK-8)3145 West 46th St. 44102 N-4 1057 0 0 143 NA -86% 785 195 NA 234%

Tremont2409 West 10th St. 44113 D-10 932 456 470 522 11% -44% 0 0 NA NA

Walton 3409 Walton Ave. 44113 N-9 690 592 572 544 -5% -21% 450 450 83% 83%

Waverly1810 West 54th St. 44102 D-10 649 448 487 419 -14% -35% 450 0 107% NA

K-8 Totals 7942 4791 4614 4337 -6% -45% 4545 3045 104% 70% (1316)

! 28

The current plan to accommodate 70 percent of the neighborhood’s current enrollment in new schools in the year 2017 appears reasonable for now.

However, the stability of the enrollments at Marin and Tremont, and the 2010 Master Plan decision to scrap plans for a new Scranton, raise the question of where the students from Tremont would go to school if the District indeed demolished the school in Segment 10. The District said that it considered closing Tremont -- an old building that is far larger than currently needed -- at the end of the current school year as a cost-cutting move but decided against it. If enrollment in the east end of this academic neighborhood holds steady, then consideration ought to be given to a new, smaller Tremont. South neighborhood

Address

2010 Plan: Reno., Keep, Demo / Segment

1997-98 ODE head count

Jan. 2008 CMSD head count

Feb. 2009 CMSD head count

Jan. 2011 CMSD head count

Feb. 2009 - Jan. 2011 pct. change

1997-98 to Jan. 2011 pct. change

2008 Master Plan cap-acity

2010 Master Plan cap-acity

2008 Master Plan pct. of Jan. 11 count

2010 Master Plan pct. of Jan. 11 count

2010 MP excess / (deficit) of space for 2011 students

PreK-8

Albert B. Hart3901 East 74th St. 44105 D-6 849 374 408 0 -100% -100% 0 0 NA NA

Fullerton5920 Fullerton Ave. 44105 Keep 422 374 398 401 1% -5% 0 0 NA NA

Miles Park4090 East 93rd St. 44105 N-1 531 549 444 565 27% 6% 650 650 115% 115%

Mound5935 Ackley Road 44105 N-4 491 317 248 253 2% -48% 450 450 178% 178%

Union 6701 Union Ave. 44105D-10/close 401 243 272 254 -7% -37% 0 0 NA NA

Willow 5004 Glazier Ave. 44127 N-9 239 244 222 227 2% -5% 450 350 198% 154%

Warner***8315 Jeffries Ave. 44105 N-2 0 128 197 302 53% 570 570 189% 189%

Totals 2933 2229 2189 2002 -9% -32% 2120 2020 106% 101% 18

! 29

The District shifted Willow to the South academic neighborhood from the East Tech neighborhood in the Academic

Transformation Plan, which is why Willow is shown in blue above. That move resulted in the Master Plan accommodating one percent more students in 2017 than the neighborhood has now. Eliminating Willow from the plan would yield a more reasonable 83 percent. The District Administration has expressed a desire to build a new Willow for the OSFC minimum size of 350, even though the school has only 253 students, on grounds that it serves a geographically isolated area. Yet Willow school is only 1.25 miles from the new Mound that is to open this August. Inclusion of the Warner gender academy may skew calculations for this neighborhood, but it still seems that building a new school with planned overcapacity of 120 from day one would be ill-advised. Construction of Willow is not supposed to occur until Segment 9, so plenty of time remains to make a final decision. Contact the BAC: You may reach the Bond Accountability Commission at bondaccountability@hotmail.com, or call (440) 781-8654.

! 30