Massachusetts Water Resources Authority Model-Buoy Data ... · 3 Location of buoys and survey...

32
Massachusetts Water Resources Authority Model-Buoy Data Comparison and Other Continuous Monitoring Evaluations Wendy Leo Outfall Monitoring Science Advisory Panel Meeting September 23, 2014

Transcript of Massachusetts Water Resources Authority Model-Buoy Data ... · 3 Location of buoys and survey...

Page 1: Massachusetts Water Resources Authority Model-Buoy Data ... · 3 Location of buoys and survey stations NERACOOS A (2001-present) USGS LT-A (1989-2006) NDBC 44013 (2009-2013) • water

Massachusetts Water Resources Authority

Model-Buoy Data Comparisonand Other Continuous Monitoring

Evaluations

Wendy Leo

Outfall Monitoring Science Advisory Panel Meeting

September 23, 2014

Page 2: Massachusetts Water Resources Authority Model-Buoy Data ... · 3 Location of buoys and survey stations NERACOOS A (2001-present) USGS LT-A (1989-2006) NDBC 44013 (2009-2013) • water

2

Outline

• Introduction

• Ongoing NERACOOS A measurements

• NDBC 44013 results for 2013

• Can model be used to track conditions near outfall between surveys?

• Can buoy data improve accuracy of model predictions?

• Fluorescence and chlorophyll

Page 3: Massachusetts Water Resources Authority Model-Buoy Data ... · 3 Location of buoys and survey stations NERACOOS A (2001-present) USGS LT-A (1989-2006) NDBC 44013 (2009-2013) • water

3

Location of buoys and survey stations

NERACOOS A (2001-present)

USGS LT-A (1989-2006)

NDBC 44013 (2009-2013)

• water column monitoringstations

Page 4: Massachusetts Water Resources Authority Model-Buoy Data ... · 3 Location of buoys and survey stations NERACOOS A (2001-present) USGS LT-A (1989-2006) NDBC 44013 (2009-2013) • water

4

Related efforts since 2013 OMSAP meetings

• Worked with NERACOOS to secure funding for Buoy A

• Continued 44013 T, S, chl measurements through summer 2013

• Can model be used to track conditions near outfall between surveys?

• Can buoy data improve accuracy of model predictions?

• Fluorescence and chlorophyll relationship?

Page 5: Massachusetts Water Resources Authority Model-Buoy Data ... · 3 Location of buoys and survey stations NERACOOS A (2001-present) USGS LT-A (1989-2006) NDBC 44013 (2009-2013) • water

5

44013 oceanographic measurements 2013

Page 6: Massachusetts Water Resources Authority Model-Buoy Data ... · 3 Location of buoys and survey stations NERACOOS A (2001-present) USGS LT-A (1989-2006) NDBC 44013 (2009-2013) • water

6

NDBC 44013 results for 2013 surface temperature

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

22

24

Tem

pera

ture

(C)

NERACOOS Buoy A (1 m)

NERACOOS Buoy A (2 m)

NDBC Buoy 44013 (2.4 m, not real-time)

Page 7: Massachusetts Water Resources Authority Model-Buoy Data ... · 3 Location of buoys and survey stations NERACOOS A (2001-present) USGS LT-A (1989-2006) NDBC 44013 (2009-2013) • water

7

NDBC 44013 results for 2013NDBC 44013 results for 2013 surface salinity

28

29

30

31

32

33

Salin

ity (P

SU)

NERACOOS Buoy A (1 m)

NDBC Buoy 44013 (2.4 m, not real-time)

Page 8: Massachusetts Water Resources Authority Model-Buoy Data ... · 3 Location of buoys and survey stations NERACOOS A (2001-present) USGS LT-A (1989-2006) NDBC 44013 (2009-2013) • water

8

NDBC 44013 results for 2013NDBC 44013 results for 2013 surface chlorophyll

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

Chlo

roph

yll c

once

ntra

tion

(ug/

l)

NERACOOS Buoy A (3 m)

NDBC Buoy 44013 (2.4 m, not real-time)

survey surface fluorescence near Buoy A

survey surface fluorescence near Buoy 44013

Page 9: Massachusetts Water Resources Authority Model-Buoy Data ... · 3 Location of buoys and survey stations NERACOOS A (2001-present) USGS LT-A (1989-2006) NDBC 44013 (2009-2013) • water

9

NDBC 44013 results for 2013

0

5

10

15

20

25

Chlo

roph

yll c

once

ntra

tion

(ug/

l)

NERACOOS Buoy A (3 m)

NDBC Buoy 44013 (0.5 or 2.4 m)

WC surveys surface fluorescence near Buoy A

WC surveys surface fluorescence near Buoy 44013

Page 10: Massachusetts Water Resources Authority Model-Buoy Data ... · 3 Location of buoys and survey stations NERACOOS A (2001-present) USGS LT-A (1989-2006) NDBC 44013 (2009-2013) • water

10

Short term events

• Can model be used to track conditions near outfall between surveys?

– capturing relatively brief changes in chlorophyll or changes in DO

that would be missed by ship surveys.

Page 11: Massachusetts Water Resources Authority Model-Buoy Data ... · 3 Location of buoys and survey stations NERACOOS A (2001-present) USGS LT-A (1989-2006) NDBC 44013 (2009-2013) • water

11

Buoy and model results – evaluations completed

Buoy name

Distance from outfall

Depth layer

Depth (m)

Parameters Comparisons to model

44013 12 km shallow 0.5-2.4 Temperature SalinityChlorophyll A

2009-20102009-20102009-2010

A01 23 km shallow 1-3 Temperature SalinityChlorophyll A

2009-20102009-20102009-2010

deep 50-51 TemperatureSalinityDissolved Oxygen

2004-05, 2009-102004-05, 2009-10

USGS(LT-A)

1.2 km deep 30 TemperatureSalinityDissolved Oxygen

2004-20052004-20052003-2005

Page 12: Massachusetts Water Resources Authority Model-Buoy Data ... · 3 Location of buoys and survey stations NERACOOS A (2001-present) USGS LT-A (1989-2006) NDBC 44013 (2009-2013) • water

12

Buoy and model results

Parameter Model similar to buoy? A01 similar to outfall site?

Surface Salinity Strong (except perhaps in summer)

Strong (except spring)

Bottom Salinity Strong Strong

Surface Temp Perfect Perfect

Bottom Temp Strong (with deviations) Good

Bottom DO Good Good (ignoring weekly variability)

Surface Chlorophyll Zero Weak alignment (can satellite data help?)

Page 13: Massachusetts Water Resources Authority Model-Buoy Data ... · 3 Location of buoys and survey stations NERACOOS A (2001-present) USGS LT-A (1989-2006) NDBC 44013 (2009-2013) • water

13

surface temperature – NDBC 44013 – 2010

Buoy and model results

0

5

10

15

20

25

1-Jan-10 2-Mar-10 1-May-10 30-Jun-10 29-Aug-10 28-Oct-10 27-Dec-10

daily

tem

p (C

)

44013 - 2010Model_ 1m - temp Buoy_1m - temp Survey_1m - temp

Page 14: Massachusetts Water Resources Authority Model-Buoy Data ... · 3 Location of buoys and survey stations NERACOOS A (2001-present) USGS LT-A (1989-2006) NDBC 44013 (2009-2013) • water

14

bottom temperature – NERACOOS A – 2010

Buoy and model results

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

1-Jan-10 2-Mar-10 1-May-10 30-Jun-10 29-Aug-10 28-Oct-10 27-Dec-10

daily

tem

p (C

)

A01 - 2010Model_50m - temp Buoy_50m - temp Survey_50m-temp

Page 15: Massachusetts Water Resources Authority Model-Buoy Data ... · 3 Location of buoys and survey stations NERACOOS A (2001-present) USGS LT-A (1989-2006) NDBC 44013 (2009-2013) • water

15

Buoy and model results

surface salinity – 2009

27

28

29

30

31

32

33

1-Jan-09 2-Mar-09 1-May-09 30-Jun-09 29-Aug-09 28-Oct-09 27-Dec-09

daily

sal

init

y (P

SU)

A01 - 2009Model_ 1m - salinity Buoy_1m - salinity Survey_1m-salinity

27

28

29

30

31

32

33

1-Jan-09 2-Mar-09 1-May-09 30-Jun-09 29-Aug-09 28-Oct-09 27-Dec-09

daily

sal

init

y (P

SU)

44013 - 2009Model_ 1m - salinity Buoy_1m - salinity Survey_1m - salinity

Page 16: Massachusetts Water Resources Authority Model-Buoy Data ... · 3 Location of buoys and survey stations NERACOOS A (2001-present) USGS LT-A (1989-2006) NDBC 44013 (2009-2013) • water

16

Buoy and model results

surface salinity – 2010

27

28

29

30

31

32

33

1-Jan-10 2-Mar-10 1-May-10 30-Jun-10 29-Aug-10 28-Oct-10 27-Dec-10

daily

sal

init

y (P

SU)

Model_ 1m - salinity Buoy_1m - salinity Survey_1m - salinity 44013 - 2010

27

28

29

30

31

32

33

1-Jan-10 2-Mar-10 1-May-10 30-Jun-10 29-Aug-10 28-Oct-10 27-Dec-10

daily

sal

init

y (P

SU)

Model_ 1m - salinity Buoy_1m - salinity Survey_1m-salinity A01 - 2010

Page 17: Massachusetts Water Resources Authority Model-Buoy Data ... · 3 Location of buoys and survey stations NERACOOS A (2001-present) USGS LT-A (1989-2006) NDBC 44013 (2009-2013) • water

17

bottom dissolved oxygen –NERACOOS A

Buoy and model results

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

2-Jan-10 3-Mar-10 2-May-10 1-Jul-10 30-Aug-10 29-Oct-10 28-Dec-10

3-da

y di

ssol

ved

oxyg

en (m

g/L)

A01 - 2010Model_50m - DO Buoy_50m - DO Survey_bottom - DO

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

2-Jan-09 3-Mar-09 2-May-09 1-Jul-09 30-Aug-09 29-Oct-09 28-Dec-09

3-da

y di

ssol

ved

oxyg

en (m

g/L)

A01 - 2009Model_50m - DO Buoy_50m - DO Survey_bottom - DO

Page 18: Massachusetts Water Resources Authority Model-Buoy Data ... · 3 Location of buoys and survey stations NERACOOS A (2001-present) USGS LT-A (1989-2006) NDBC 44013 (2009-2013) • water

18

USGS LT-A and NERACOOS A, 2005

Buoy results – USGS LT-A near outfall

bottom salinity

bottom temperature

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

13

1-Jan-05 2-Mar-05 1-May-05 30-Jun-05 29-Aug-05 28-Oct-05 27-Dec-05

daily

tem

pera

ture

(C)

2005USGS_30m_Temp A01_50m_Temp

28

29

30

31

32

33

1-Jan-05 2-Mar-05 1-May-05 30-Jun-05 29-Aug-05 28-Oct-05 27-Dec-05

daily

sal

init

y (p

pt)

2005USGS_30m_Sal A01_50m_Sal

Page 19: Massachusetts Water Resources Authority Model-Buoy Data ... · 3 Location of buoys and survey stations NERACOOS A (2001-present) USGS LT-A (1989-2006) NDBC 44013 (2009-2013) • water

19

buoy vs. buoy, bottom dissolved oxygenUSGS LT-A and NERACOOS A, 2005

Buoy results – USGS LT-A near outfall

6.5

7.5

8.5

9.5

10.5

11.5

1-Jan-05 2-Mar-05 1-May-05 30-Jun-05 29-Aug-05 28-Oct-05 27-Dec-05

daily

ave

rage

dis

solv

ed o

xyge

n (m

g/L)

2005USGS_30m A01_50m Survey_40m - USGS Survey_30m - USGS Survey_50m - A01

Page 20: Massachusetts Water Resources Authority Model-Buoy Data ... · 3 Location of buoys and survey stations NERACOOS A (2001-present) USGS LT-A (1989-2006) NDBC 44013 (2009-2013) • water

20

Compare two locations, data and model -bottom oxygen

Buoy and model results

6.5

7.5

8.5

9.5

10.5

11.5

2-Jan-05 3-Mar-05 2-May-05 1-Jul-05 30-Aug-05 29-Oct-05 28-Dec-05

3-da

y av

erag

e di

ssol

ved

oxyg

en (m

g/L)

Buoy v Buoy2005

USGS_30m A01_50m

6.5

7.5

8.5

9.5

10.5

11.5

2-Jan-05 3-Mar-05 2-May-05 1-Jul-05 30-Aug-05 29-Oct-05 28-Dec-05

3-da

y av

erag

e di

ssol

ved

oxyg

en (m

g/L)

Model v Model2005

USGS_30m (model) A01_50m (model)

Page 21: Massachusetts Water Resources Authority Model-Buoy Data ... · 3 Location of buoys and survey stations NERACOOS A (2001-present) USGS LT-A (1989-2006) NDBC 44013 (2009-2013) • water

21

Buoy and model results

surface chlorophyll –NERACOOS A

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

2-Jan-10 3-Mar-10 2-May-10 1-Jul-10 30-Aug-10 29-Oct-10 28-Dec-10

3-da

y ch

loro

phyl

l-a (

ug/L

)

Model_1m - chla Buoy_1-3m - chla Survey-surf - Chla A01 - 2010

-5

0

5

10

15

20

2-Jan-09 3-Mar-09 2-May-09 1-Jul-09 30-Aug-09 29-Oct-09 28-Dec-09

3-da

y ch

loro

phyl

l-a (

ug/L

)

A01 - 2009Model_1m - chla Buoy_1-3m - chla Survey-surf - Chla

Page 22: Massachusetts Water Resources Authority Model-Buoy Data ... · 3 Location of buoys and survey stations NERACOOS A (2001-present) USGS LT-A (1989-2006) NDBC 44013 (2009-2013) • water

22

Buoy and model results

surface chlorophyll –NDBC 44013

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

2-Jan-09 3-Mar-09 2-May-09 1-Jul-09 30-Aug-09 29-Oct-09 28-Dec-09

3-da

y ch

loro

phyl

l-a (

ug/L

)

44013 - 2009Model_1m - chla Buoy_1-3m - chla Survey_surf - Chla

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

2-Jan-10 3-Mar-10 2-May-10 1-Jul-10 30-Aug-10 29-Oct-10 28-Dec-10

3-da

y ch

loro

phyl

l-a (

ug/L

)

44013 - 2010Model_1m - chla Buoy_1-3m - chla Survey_surf - Chla

Page 23: Massachusetts Water Resources Authority Model-Buoy Data ... · 3 Location of buoys and survey stations NERACOOS A (2001-present) USGS LT-A (1989-2006) NDBC 44013 (2009-2013) • water

23

Buoy and model and satellite results

Satellite and model chlorophyll imagery for two dates marked by green lines in the time-series chart: May 5, and Aug 30 Buoy locations are depicted with black dots in the images.

A01 and 44013 buoy and model surface chlorophyll data in 2010

Aug 30, 2010May 5, 2010(ug/L) (ug/L)

Satellite Satellite

Model Model

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

2-Jan-10 3-Mar-10 2-May-10 1-Jul-10 30-Aug-10 29-Oct-10 28-Dec-10

3-da

y ch

loro

phyl

l-a (

ug/L

)

201044013 - Model (1m) 44013 - Buoy (1-3m) A01 - Model (1m) A01 - Buoy (1-3m)

Page 24: Massachusetts Water Resources Authority Model-Buoy Data ... · 3 Location of buoys and survey stations NERACOOS A (2001-present) USGS LT-A (1989-2006) NDBC 44013 (2009-2013) • water

24

Buoy and satellite results

A01 buoy and satellite surface chlorophyll data in 2010

44013 buoy and satellite surface chlorophyll data in 2010

Satellite imagery for 4 sample time-points labeled A,B,C,D in time-series charts

.

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

2-Jan-10 3-Mar-10 2-May-10 1-Jul-10 30-Aug-10 29-Oct-10 28-Dec-10

3-da

y ch

loro

phyl

l-a (

ug/L

)

2010A01 - Buoy (1-3m) A01 - Satellite

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

2-Jan-10 3-Mar-10 2-May-10 1-Jul-10 30-Aug-10 29-Oct-10 28-Dec-10

3-da

y ch

loro

phyl

l-a (

ug/L

)

201044013 - Buoy (1-3m) 44013 - Satellite

CB

D

C

D

A

A

B

A. Apr 19 C. Sep 4 D. Oct 8B. Apr 24

Page 25: Massachusetts Water Resources Authority Model-Buoy Data ... · 3 Location of buoys and survey stations NERACOOS A (2001-present) USGS LT-A (1989-2006) NDBC 44013 (2009-2013) • water

25

Buoy and model results

Parameter Model similar to buoy? A01 similar to outfall site?

Surface Salinity Strong (except perhaps in summer)

Strong (except spring)

Bottom Salinity Strong Strong

Surface Temp Perfect Perfect

Bottom Temp Strong (with deviations) Good

Bottom DO Good Good (ignoring weekly variability)

Surface Chlorophyll Zero Weak alignment (can satellite data help?)

Page 26: Massachusetts Water Resources Authority Model-Buoy Data ... · 3 Location of buoys and survey stations NERACOOS A (2001-present) USGS LT-A (1989-2006) NDBC 44013 (2009-2013) • water

26

Outline

• Introduction

• Ongoing NERACOOS A measurements

• NDBC 44013 results for 2013

• Can model be used to track conditions near outfall between surveys?

• Can buoy data improve accuracy of model predictions?

• Fluorescence and chlorophyll

Page 27: Massachusetts Water Resources Authority Model-Buoy Data ... · 3 Location of buoys and survey stations NERACOOS A (2001-present) USGS LT-A (1989-2006) NDBC 44013 (2009-2013) • water

27

Fluorescence and chlorophyll

Moored fluorescence can indicate:- Bloom timing - Bloom intensity

Not so much:- Precise concentrations- Compare locations or deployments

Page 28: Massachusetts Water Resources Authority Model-Buoy Data ... · 3 Location of buoys and survey stations NERACOOS A (2001-present) USGS LT-A (1989-2006) NDBC 44013 (2009-2013) • water

28

Fluorescence and chlorophyll

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

Chlo

roph

yll c

once

ntra

tion

(ug/

l)

NERACOOS Buoy A (3 m)

NDBC Buoy 44013 (2.4 m, not real-time)

survey surface fluorescence near Buoy A

survey surface fluorescence near Buoy 44013

Page 29: Massachusetts Water Resources Authority Model-Buoy Data ... · 3 Location of buoys and survey stations NERACOOS A (2001-present) USGS LT-A (1989-2006) NDBC 44013 (2009-2013) • water

29

Fluorescence and chlorophyll

Three examples of deployment-to-deployment transitions in chlorophyll fluorescence and turbidity to assess biofouling

negligible biofouling saturated biofilm frondular biofouling

turb

idity

fluor

esce

nce

Page 30: Massachusetts Water Resources Authority Model-Buoy Data ... · 3 Location of buoys and survey stations NERACOOS A (2001-present) USGS LT-A (1989-2006) NDBC 44013 (2009-2013) • water

30

Fluorescence and chlorophyll

Example of extreme biological growth on the ECO FLNTU observed upon recovery of deployment 30. This type of biofouling is termed frondular.

Photo credit M. Mickelson.

Page 31: Massachusetts Water Resources Authority Model-Buoy Data ... · 3 Location of buoys and survey stations NERACOOS A (2001-present) USGS LT-A (1989-2006) NDBC 44013 (2009-2013) • water

31

Fluorescence and chlorophyll

Time series of hourly observations from GoMOOS buoy I in February 2009.Photosynthetically Available Radiation (PAR) is shown in blue.Calibrated chlorophyll fluorescence is shown in red. From Roesler, C. S., and A. H. Barnard. 2013.

Page 32: Massachusetts Water Resources Authority Model-Buoy Data ... · 3 Location of buoys and survey stations NERACOOS A (2001-present) USGS LT-A (1989-2006) NDBC 44013 (2009-2013) • water

32

Discussion