Markets for the Poor 2017 - Columbia University
Transcript of Markets for the Poor 2017 - Columbia University
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MARKETSFORTHEPOORB8354
Schedule:T/R-BTerm,9:00:00AMto10:30:00AMSPRING2017
URISHALL330(TUESDAYSANDTHURSDAYS)--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
INSTRUCTOR:SureshSundaresanOfficeLocation:401UrisHallOfficePhone: 212-854-4423Fax: 212-316-9180E-mail:[email protected]: Mondays2.00to3.00TA:TBA
REQUIREDCOURSEMATERIAL
o Copiesofslides/articlesthatwillbedistributedinclassandpostedinCanvas.
REQUIREDPREREQUISITESANDCONNECTIONTOTHECORE
Nopre-requisites.Justanopenmindaboutexploringtheimportanceofdeliveringfinancialandothercoreservicestocommunitiesthatareunder-served,andawillingnesstostudyandanalyzetheliteratureandcasespertainingtothemarketsforthePoor.
COURSEDESCRIPTION
A. CourseDescription:
Thepurposeofthiscourseistogivestudentsanin-depthdiscussionofacademicandpolicy/practitionerresearchtobeabletoaddressandevaluatethefollowingquestions.
a) Whatarethechallengesinmeasuringpoverty?
b) Howpervasiveispovertyandwhataretheunderlyingdriversofpoverty?
c) Haseconomicgrowthindevelopingcountries(suchasBrazil,ChinaandIndia)helpedtoalleviatepoverty?
d) HowpervasiveispovertyintheUnitedStates?
e) Whatareinformalcreditmarkets?Whoparticipatesinthem?Whataretheinterestratesanddefaultratesinthesemarkets?
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f) Whatarethechallengestotheflowofcredittothepoorborrowers?Howcantheybesurmounted?
g) WhatistheroleofmicrofinanceindeliveringfinancialservicestothePoor?Howsuccessfulhasbeenthiseffort?Whatarethechallenges?
h) WhataresomeoftherecentcapitalmarketinnovationsinthemarketsforthePoor?Cantheyhelptoscaleupandbringdowninterestrates?
i) Whataresomeoftheinnovationsintroducedbycorporationsandgovernmentsinthisfield?
Withaviewtoaddressingthequestionsabove,thecoursewillbeginbyexamininghowpovertyismeasured,andcharacterize(usingdifferentmeasures)howpervasivepovertyis.Inthiscontext,wewillpayspecialattentiontosimple(exogenous)measuresofpovertyrates,andmulti-dimensionalmeasuresofpoverty,whichlinkpovertytosomeunderlyingdeprivations(suchaslackofaccesstoeducation,healthcare,livingstandards,etc.).Wewillalsoexaminehowthepoororganizetheirlives,budgettheirconsumptionexpenditures,andsurveytheiraccesstocertainservices.Afterthisthecoursewillpresentevidenceontheextenttowhichpovertyhasbeenalleviatedindifferentpartsoftheworld,andhowtheresultscomparewiththeMillenniumDevelopmentGoals(MDG)setbytheUnitedNationsin2000.NewlyestablishedSustainableDevelopmentGoalswillbebrieflypresented.Wewillalsoexploretheextenttowhicheconomicgrowthincountrieshasinfluencedpovertyrates.Inthiscontext,wewillexaminethepovertyalleviationprocessandmajorindicatorsofpovertyinBrazil,ChinaandIndiabeforeandaftertheseeconomiesbegantoexperiencesignificanteconomicexpansion:thisdiscussionwillshedsomelightontherelationshipbetweeneconomicgrowthandpovertyrates.
Aftercharacterizingpoverty,thecoursewillturntotheroleofmarkets(broadlydefinedtoincludeprivatemarkets,corporatesocialinitiatives,andgovernmentinitiatives)thataddresstheneedsofthepoor.Thecoursewillfirstintroduceandexamine“informalcreditmarkets”suchasRotatingSavingsandCreditAssociations(ROSCA),Paydayloans,andmoreestablishedmarketsinconsumercredit.Wewillexaminehowthesemechanismswork,whattheprevailinginterestratesinthesemarketsare,andthemotivationsforpoorborrowerstoselectthesemarketsfortheirconsumption/savingsneeds.Thesemarkets,outsidethebankingsector,playanimportantroleintheprovisionofcredittoasectorunderservedinformalcreditmarkets.
Thediscussionofinformalcreditmarketswillbefollowedbymicrofinance,broadlydefinedtoincludea)loans,b)savings,andc)insurance.Afterdescribingtheextentofthemicrofinancemarket,wewilldrilldowntosomebasicissuesinmicrofinance:a)aremicro-loaninterestrateshigh?b)Whataresomeofthefactorsthatcontributetohighinterestrates?c)Whatistheroleofpeer-monitoringinloanenforcement?d)Issuessuchasjoint-liability,group-lending,absenceofcollateralwillbeaddressed.Potentiallyundesirableconsequencesofexcessivecommunitypressureasamechanismtoensurelowdefaultswillbeexamined.Resultsofcarefullyconductedpovertyimpactstudiesusingrandomizedsamplingmethodswillbesummarized.
Thecoursewillthenturntodifferentprovidersofmicrofinance:Non-GovernmentalOrganizations(NGO),creditunions,non-bankmicrofinanceinstitutions(MFI),banks,etc.Wewillshowtheseinstitutionsdifferintermsoftheborrowerstheyattract,andtheformoflendingtheyprovide.Thecoursewillprovidesomeinsightsonhowaccesstocapitalmarketsbywayofdebtissues,initialpublicoffers,andcollateralizeddebtobligationshavechangedthelandscapeofmicrofinance:ineffectthecreditmarketsforthepoorhaveboth
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veryoldinstitutionssuchasNGOsaswellasinstitutionssuchasSKS,whichhavesuccessfullytappedequityfinance.Securitizeddebtissuanceshavealsobeenmadeinmicrofinance,andwewillreviewthismarket.Theadventofmobilephonetechnologyhasallowedsometelecomcompaniestousethistechnologytodeliververysmallloans:thishasthepotentialtoimprovethescalabilityofmicrofinance.
Inaddition,wewillexaminesomecorporateandgovernmentinitiativesthathavealteredmarketsforhealthcare,marketinganddistributionofgoodsproducedbythepoor.The30-BahtmedicalcareprograminThailandandthee-ChoupalinitiativebythecorporatecitizenITCinIndiaareillustrativeofhowsometimescorporationsandGovernmentscanaltersignificantlythelandscapeofthemarketsforthepoor.
A. CourseOutline:
1. Poverty,itsmeasurement,CausesandManifestations(about1.5lectures)
• Lecturenotestobedistributedinclass.(*)• Creditmarketswithimperfectinformation(adverseselection,ex-antemoralhazard,andex-
postmoralhazard).• Howtowritecontractsandenforcethem?• GrameenBank(Bangladesh)BusinessModel.• GrameenAmericaCaseAnalysis.(Thecaseisinthecoursepacket).
2. InterestRatesonMicroloans.Aretheytoohigh?(about1.5lectures)
• Lecturenotestobedistributedinclass.(*)• Breakingdowninterestrates(operatingexpense,defaults,costoffunding,andprofitmargins)• Benchmark–marginalproductofcapital.• “ReturnstoCapitalinMicroenterprises:EvidencefromaFieldExperiment,”bySureshDel
Mel,DavidMcKenzie,andChristopherWoodruff,WorldBankPolicyResearchWorkingPaper(2007).
• CaseAnalysis-APcrisisandsuicidesofborrowers:WhokilledBhavaniManjula?,2010,AstoryofMicrofinanceinAndhraPradesh.(Thecaseisinthecoursepacket).
3. InformalCreditMarkets(Paydayloans,pawnbroking,ROSCAs,etc.)(about1lecture)
• Lecturenotestobedistributedinclass.(*)• WhymarriedwomenpreferROSCAs?• SiwanAndersonandJean-MarieBaland,“TheEconomicsofRoscasandIntra-household
ResourceAllocation,”TheQuarterlyJournalofEconomics,Vol.117,No.3(Aug.,2002),pp.963-995.
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4. SecuritizationofMicro-loans(about1lecture)
• Lecturenotestobedistributedinclass.(*)• IntroductiontoSecuritizationofMicroloans.• BRACsecuritizationexperience.• Alignmentofincentives,and“skininthegame”.• IFMRCaseAnalysis.(Thecaseisinthecoursepacket).
5. RoleofTechnologyintheMarketsforthePoor(about1lecture)
• Lecturenotestobedistributedinclass.(*)• Analysisofdifferenttechnologydrivenbusinessmodels:
i. M-PESA.ii. FINO.iii. EquityBank/M-Shwari
• EquityBankCaseAnalysis.(Thecaseisinthecoursepacket).• Leap-froggingtechnologiesindevelopingworld.
6. AlternativeModelsforDeliveringFinancialServices(about1to2lectures)
• UniversalIDschemesandintegratingKYCrequirements.• No-frillbankaccounts.• Increasingroleofcapitalmarketsinmicrofinance.• CreditBureausandcreditratingofMFIs:informationsharing.• Alternatemodels:NGOs,CUs,NBFIs,Banks,IPOs,etc.• SKSCaseAnalysis.(Thecaseisinthecoursepacket).• Riskofmissiondrift?
7. NotablePrivateSectorDevelopments(about1to2lectures)
• Peer-to-peerlending(tohouseholds).o Lendingclubmodel.
• Modelsoffinancialservicestoencourageinclusivegrowth.o OnDeck.o NextStreet.
• Eliminatingmiddlemen.• ITCeChoupalCaseAnalysis(Time permitting, The case is in the course packet).
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LECTURESBYPRACTITIONERS[tentativelist]
• SimonaHaiduc,OpportunityInternationalo TheBusinessModelofOpportunityInternationalandtheirworkinMalawi.
• BradSwanson,DevelopingWorldMarkets(OnMay1st).o InvestingintoMicrofinance/PrivateEquity.
COURSEOBJECTIVES
Inadditiontoprovidingstudentswithanin-depthdiscussionofacademicandpolicy/practitionerresearch,thepurposeofthiscourseisalsotoprovideasoundandcomprehensiveworkingknowledgeofthemarketsforthepoorwithanemphasisonhowtheinstitutionsservingthemhaveevolvedovertime,adaptingtotechnologicalinnovations.Inadditiontoprovidingthestudentswithaclearknowledgeofinstitutions,pricingrelationship,applicationsandanalytics,thecoursewillhelpthestudentstothinkthroughmajorissuesfacinginvestors,marketmakers,issuers,andregulators.
ASSIGNMENTS
• Attendanceismandatoryforeachclasssession.TheTAwillrecordstudentattendanceatthecommencementofclass;studentswhoarrive5minutesafterthescheduledcommencementtimewillnotberecordedashavingattendedthesession.Inaddition,informedclassparticipationisexpected.Together,theycarry15%ofthecoursegrade.Studentswhohaveamedicalorotheremergencyreasonfornotattendingclassshouldcontacttheprofessorinadvanceofthesession.
• Studentsmustbringtheirnamecardsandoccupythesameseatineachclass.
• Therewillbethreequizzes,whichwillbe(roughly)assignedasfollows:
o Attheendoffourthsession.o Attheendofeighthsession.o Atthebeginningofthelastsession.
Eachquizwilllastfor30minutes,andcarryquestionstestingyourunderstandingofthematerialcoveredintheprevioussessions.Quizzesareclosedbookandclosednotes.Youcanbringonepageofnotes.Eachquizwillcarry15%weight.• Therewillbecaseassignments,whichwillrequirebothawrittenreportandclasspresentation.
Studentswillbeassignedanumberofcases,asspecifiedinthecourseoutline.Eachcasegroupwillhavenomorethanthreestudents.Eachgroupwillsubmitawrittenanalysisofthefourcases.Groupswillbecalledupontomakepresentationsinclass.Eachcasewillcarryaweightof10%.
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METHODOFEVALUATION
Attendance&Classparticipation
15%
Quiz1 15%Quiz2 15%Quiz3 15%Caseanalysis 40%
CLASSROOMNORMSANDEXPECTATIONS
• Attendanceismandatoryforeachclasssession.TheTAwillrecordstudentattendanceatthecommencementofclass;studentswhoarrive5minutesafterthescheduledcommencementtimewillnotberecordedashavingattendedthesession.Inaddition,informedclassparticipationisexpected.Together,asmentionedearlier,theycarry15%ofthecoursegrade.
• Studentswhohaveamedicalorotheremergencyreasonfornotattendingclassshouldcontacttheprofessorinadvanceofthesession.Onceintheclassroom,studentsareexpectednottoleavetheroomuntilthesessioniscompleted.
• Therewillbeaseatingchart.Studentsmustbringtheirnamecardsandoccupythesameseatineachclass.
• IwouldexpectyouNOTtousemobilephonesorlaptopsordigitalaidsduringclasshours.